Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Something for south Florida in a few days?

showers
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guchol weakening and okinawa able to breath sigh of relief, but serious rainfall threat to western and central japan, especialy Shikoku and Central Honshu. less recurvature + slower storm = more time over the mountains. Falling on v wet ground, plus, TS talim to follow close behind. Expect v weak Cat 1 at landfall but rainfall in excess of 500mm.
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782. beell
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Good Morning Folks. Don't know what the models will have in store over the next few days but just noting that the "blob" now retro-grading towards Nicaragua and Honduras is headed towards an area of lower sheer and vorticity is starting to show up at the 850mb level with no ULL in the area to suppress potential development.

Link

Link
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nogaps has the e coast low too:

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



Seem to always be a few posts behind you
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



so you looked at vorticities, i was going to, but as i said in my earlier post, i found and easier way.

what is your take on the cmc and ecmwf low on the east side of florida?
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


how did you know that already, i was guessing mid or upper but i hadnt found the truth yet


Go here and toggle through the W-low, W-mid, & W-high
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:)
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Something for south Florida in a few days?

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Something for south Florida in a few days?

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Quoting stormwatcherCI:
hmmm. Weird since I don't see anything on the surface map.


Upper Level Low
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


how did you know that already, i was guessing mid or upper but i hadnt found the truth yet

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32824
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Upper level low.


how did you know that already, i was guessing mid or upper but i hadnt found the truth yet

now i found it, there is a wind hi box right above the wv loop, so i didnt have to go searching for vorticities.... >:|

clearly shows the ull
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ok thx
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


They show a trough.

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Quoting Jedkins01:


That is not what the NWS is saying or the models? The models are trending towards high pressure dominating through the end of this week, not a monsoon trough and tropical development.


Jed what are talking about? The models are practically flooding FL later this week and into the weekend. This is a very rare event of an monsoon trough setting up over FL.



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
319 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

TUE/WED...TRANSITORY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL
SLOWLY EXTEND OFFSHORE THE MID ATLC SEABOARD THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH
A LOCAL CONTINUATION OF RELATIVELY STABLE BRISK ONSHORE WINDS.
ISOLD PRECIP BEGINNING EARLY WED WILL BE ASCD WITH A FEW LOW
TOPPED MARINE SHOWERS MOVING ASHORE. COT`D STRONG MARINE INFLUENCE
WL KEEP A RATHER LOW RANGE OF TEMPS WITH HIGHER DAYTIME READINGS
WELL INLAND. POPS WL BEING A SLOW UPWARD CREEP BY WED FROM THE S
AS HIGHER MOISTURE ASCD WITH A MONSOONAL TROUGH EDGES NWD TOWARD
THE REGION.



THU/SAT...FORECAST LIFTING NWD OF TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CARIB
FEATURES VARYING DEGREES OF PSBL LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AND LTST GFS/ECMWF FEATURES WEAK LOW GENESIS ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ANYWHERE FROM S OF THE AREA TO PERHAPS THE EASTERN
GULF. FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW DURING THIS PERIOD AND
CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW LOCALLY HAS BEEN CAPPED IN BREEZY CATEGORY.
POP DEPICTION FROM N-S ASSUMES HIGHER MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA AT WEEKS END WITH COVERAGE BY WEEKS END RANGING
SCATTERED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WITH LOW CONFIDENCE.

8 Day Precip Map 06Z GFS





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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
HPC 5day S FL??


They show a trough.

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 253
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
SO what is that??

Upper level low.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32824
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
SO what is that??


a stuck swirl?
a weak low?
the cmc cane?

i guess a weak low/swirl mix
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
95E up to 40%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE
DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Eastward ????????????
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
HPC day5 S FL??
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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
What is that????Link
hmmm. Weird since I don't see anything on the surface map.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
SO what is that??
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look at the ECMWF heights off florida , it is the same place where the CMC puts the hurricane.


by 240, the high is taking over:


and is the GGEM the exact same as the CMC?
I thought it was more of a variant created by the same people
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Do you have the link to that graphic site?
Go to stormjunkie.com, click on tropical and then on weather & after that you will see tropical development etc. on the bottom just click on that.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
What is that????Link
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758. VR46L
95L is now a orange circle!!!!!

A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300
MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY
ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
6z gfs shows 2 competing lows in the c gulf both of which are killed by this:



lot of high there.
Notice the low out there by Africa.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:




could be a strong STS.
would be interesting if we get chris in the n atl, but nothing in the gom which we have been drooling over.
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Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32824
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
lol but that for 7/3??


it is the same high, just a little bit later in time

this is the end of tropical stuff,

note the 1008mb low by tx, it is the lone survivor by this time.
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lol but that for 7/3??
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
6z gfs shows 2 competing lows in the c gulf both of which are killed by this:



lot of high there.
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6z gfs shows 2 competing lows in the c gulf both of which are killed by this:



lot of high there.
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Quoting ChaseyChasinStorms:
Good morning all. Hot and sticky already here in Slidell, LA and it's only 6:30 am. Boy do I miss Albuquerque weather!!!


I bet you do! I used to live in El Paso. Now I live on the TX/LA border. Might as well be a different planet. lol
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 253
HPC 5day S FL??
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I would give it a yellow circle at the 2pm TWO.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32824
95E up to 40%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE
DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14894
:)
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Up to 30%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300
MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY
ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Good morning all. Hot and sticky already here in Slidell, LA and it's only 6:30 am. Boy do I miss Albuquerque weather!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
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Up to 30%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300
MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY
ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14894
Quoting stormwatcherCI:




We now have blue in the Caribbean. When certain bloggers(whom shall remain nameless) see this we will have a Cat 5 on our hands for sure. J/K Anyway, think we need to watch it just the same.


Do you have the link to that graphic site?
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14894
Quoting ncstorm:


Im just going to sit back and watch the madness..LOL..


Lol.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 253
Lake Charles

ELSEWHERE...MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUE TO FORM A BROAD SFC TROF/LOW
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TUE/WED. THEREAFTER...MODELS DIVERGE ON THE
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM...WITH THE NAM/CMC DEVELOPING OVER THE
E GULF...AND THE GFS/ECMWF SLOWER IN DEVELOPING THE SYSTEM BUT KEEPING
A BROAD LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN/WESTERN GULF INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH
THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE OVER OUR REGION BY THIS TIME...THIS IS
THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 253
LOL
Quoting ncstorm:


Im just going to sit back and watch the madness..LOL..
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HPC

REGARDING THE TROPICS/LOWER LATITUDE EVOLUTION... THE CANADIAN IS
THE CLEAR OUTLIER IN DEVELOPING A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT TRACKS
ACROSS SRN FL/WRN ATLC AND BY DAY 7 ENDS UP NOT TOO FAR EWD OF THE
PRIMARY SFC LOW CLUSTERING NEAR NEW ENGLAND. REMAINING CONSENSUS
INDICATES A WAVY SFC FRONT/TROF OVER THE FL PENINSULA WITH SOME
WEAKENING LIKELY BY SAT-MON. MEANWHILE THERE CONTINUE TO BE
INDICATIONS OF PSBL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SWRN GULF OF MEXICO BUT
ASIDE FROM THE 00Z ECMWF THERE IS CONSIDERABLE RELUCTANCE IN
GUIDANCE TO BRING ANY FEATURE N OF 23-24N LATITUDE. MANUAL FCST
REFLECTS YDAYS NHC/HPC COORDINATION WITH LATEST
GUIDANCE/EXTRAPOLATION USED FOR DAY 7.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 253
Quoting StormTracker2K:
If you live in FL get ready as tropical developement could be head into our region later this week. Also this is something you rarely see here in FL and that a monsoon trough setting up over the FL Penisula. Get ready for some serious rains coming by Wed. I've already had 9.68" for the month of June and can't even imagine what most of E C FL will end up with by months end.




That is not what the NWS is saying or the models? The models are trending towards high pressure dominating through the end of this week, not a monsoon trough and tropical development.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8016

717. StormTracker2K 10:31 AM GMT on June 18, 2012 +1
If you live in FL get ready as tropical developement could be head into our region later this week. Also this is something you rarely see here in FL and that a monsoon trough setting up over the FL Penisula. Get ready for some serious rains coming by Wed. I've already had 9.68" for the month of June and can't even imagine what most of E C FL will end up with by months end.

I hope you are correct in this forecast. here in the riverview area / southeast tampa bay area its very dry. even when everyone else was getting all that rain a week or so ago here... not much.. i measured almost 3 inches for that week while everyone else was getting three inches everyday. we need our regular rainy season to kick on.
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We now have blue in the Caribbean. When certain bloggers(whom shall remain nameless) see this we will have a Cat 5 on our hands for sure. J/K Anyway, think we need to watch it just the same.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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