Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Looks like 95L is trying to make the transition.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30251
okay why havent they designated 95L as a subtropical storm and it has 45mph winds that dosent make any sense to me if the winds are above 39 lol
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Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13451
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That's certainly possible, but what does that have to do with preventing the BOC storm from developing?


All the moisture is going to be concentrated further east than was previously thought.

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Member Since: August 18, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 597
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Exactly the concentration of moisture will be over the Central/Eastern gulf and Florida while the Caribbean, Mexico and the BOC will be drier.


Someone is gonna be right, and someone is gonna be wrong, the events are underway, lets see which bloggers are worthy or not....
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System in NW Caribbean and all it's moisture pulling up across FL on Wednesday.

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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Nobody is talking about that. The focus is on the NW Caribbean which appears that this moisture trough/monsoon trough will lift north across FL over the next 3 days. Then a weak low could form in the Eastern or C Gulf and either move toward ther FL Panhandle or LA.

That's certainly possible, but what does that have to do with preventing the BOC storm from developing?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30251
Looks like a return to happy heat for the end of June after what's been a pretty moderate month so far. Only the West Coast and the far Northeast will enjoy some unseasonable coolness.

heat

heat

The High Park fire in Colorado is up to 88 square miles. It's not the state's largest wildfire, nor its deadliest, but it has been the most destructive, having claimed several hundred homes to-date. The official line is that the blaze may burn until snow finally kills it sometime in fall. Meanwhile, the Whitewater-Baldy fire in New Mexico has grown to 463 square miles.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Nobody is talking about that. The focus is on the NW Caribbean which appears that this moisture trough/monsoon trough will lift north across FL over the next 3 days. Then a weak low could form in the Eastern or C Gulf and either move toward ther FL Panhandle or LA.


Exactly the concentration of moisture will be over the Central/Eastern gulf and Florida while the Caribbean, Mexico and the BOC will be drier.
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Here's the NAM out 45 hours.



Look at the Yucatan Channel.
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Morning All.

Bet we'll see 96L in the NW Caribbean before the day is done. Persistence is the key.

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I don't know why everybody is getting so excited over that low that hits Florida from the east and crosses into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There is a large upper-level low to its north that would not only shear it, but prevent it from being anything tropical in nature. The main focus has been, and continues to be, tropical development in the Bay of Campeche.


Nobody is talking about that. The focus is on the NW Caribbean which appears that this moisture trough/monsoon trough will lift north across FL over the next 3 days. Then a weak low could form in the Eastern or C Gulf and either move toward ther FL Panhandle or LA.
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Quoting rmbjoe1954:
rmjoeb1954 is an imposter. Admin- please delete that sign-on.

Thank you.


aha, he sounded wierd calling out names when i wouldnt.
now i see why
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I don't know why everybody is getting so excited over that low that hits Florida from the east and crosses into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There is a large upper-level low to its north that would not only shear it, but prevent it from being anything tropical in nature. The main focus has been, and continues to be, tropical development in the Bay of Campeche.

Quoting Hurricanes305:
If the monsoonal trough lifts north means drier air will replace it so the caribbean and the BOC will dry out as the focus of the energy remains over the Central/Eastern
gulf.

What? No, it would make it even more unstable due to the added energy.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30251
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Guchol no longer a Major Hurricane, track takes it over Osaka, Japan as a Tropical Storm:



over japan for a day and a half... not good
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6439
If the monsoonal trough lifts north means drier air will replace it so the caribbean and the BOC will dry out as the focus of the energy remains over the Central/Eastern
gulf.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


i dont want to call out names, sorry.
but there were a few well respected bloggers.
no hard feelings or anything, at 1st i didnt know who cat5 was, and i thought people were just typing the wrong name...


After my first comment, someone quoted me and said "JFV?"
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6439
Guchol no longer a Major Hurricane, track takes it over Osaka, Japan as a Tropical Storm:

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Link

Click on the Fronts , they have now relocated the Low in GOH.
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Quoting rmjoeb1954:

who else called you that i don't mean to call you out i believe you but who else accused you of this


i dont want to call out names, sorry.
but there were a few well respected bloggers.
no hard feelings or anything, at 1st i didnt know who cat5 was, and i thought people were just typing the wrong name...
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95E:
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I won't be back on here again until Thursday evening... Heading to Cape Cod for a few days to escpae the coming heat :)
I don't expect any development on that time, but I'll be rooting for 95L...



Enjoy your week!
Have a nice trip, we'll still be here keeping tabs on things.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:
Here's the monsoon trough setting up over FL.

06Z GFS
next-monday-tues
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Quoting 19N81W:
it does seem that for storms to spin up in the WCarib conditions have to be ideal......where as elsewhere storms seem to spin up and get named even if they are naked swirls in the sky...strange...


I've noticed that for years and commented on it many time!
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Quoting rmjoeb1954:

r u cat5 you sound like it


no, ask any1 here i am not.
but i was called that when i signed up.

i just dont think those cmc runs were anygood, they are way 2 far amplified.
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I won't be back on here again until Thursday evening... Heading to Cape Cod for a few days to escpae the coming heat :)
I don't expect any development in that time, but I'll be rooting for 95L...



Enjoy your week!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
yup....
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Im on vacation right now...im in Pasadena Tx visiting :P
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Quoting 19N81W:
it does seem that for storms to spin up in the WCarib conditions have to be ideal......where as elsewhere storms seem to spin up and get named even if they are naked swirls in the sky...strange...



are u another cayman islands person?
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This is much higher than 30%. I'll say 70%
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Quoting jeffs713:

Overlaying the convergence map and 850mb map will show that the convergence does not line up with the best vort. Also, if you look closely at the shear map, it shows that the shear is marginally favorable only directly above the best vort. Shear in its path is very hostile, and has not been showing a weakening trend. For convergence to be "good", you need at least 10... not 0.


As usual, we'll wait and see, somehow you mostly always find a way to take ones comments out of context or distort them to your contrary view here on this blog. "Its called cutting off your nose to spite your face"
Have a good day!
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


That maybe the set up as you and I were talking last week but was shot down by many on this blog.


we shall see what happens..I can even see the possibility of two lows in the GOM as the CMC and GFS are depicting..the euro was running that set up as well but dropped it
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13451
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it does seem that for storms to spin up in the WCarib conditions have to be ideal......where as elsewhere storms seem to spin up and get named even if they are naked swirls in the sky...strange...
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Shear to decrease to around 5-10kts over the BoC thanks to an Anti-Cyclone.


We'll end up with something in the gulf end of the week
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small chance the w and e gulf might both have tropical systems, less than 10%.

so forget about it.

and friday's CMC run was bogus.
forget that too
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I am new but know my hurricane stuff!
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Quoting jeffs713:

Overlaying the convergence map and 850mb map will show that the convergence does not line up with the best vort. Also, if you look closely at the shear map, it shows that the shear is marginally favorable only directly above the best vort. Shear in its path is very hostile, and has not been showing a weakening trend. For convergence to be "good", you need at least 10... not 0.


Patience.
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6439
Quoting stormpetrol:


Shear is continuing to drop to favorable levels over the AOI in the W Caribbean.



850mb Vort remaining reasonably strong.



More low convergence than previously.



wide spread strong convection. Imo this AOI has "good potential" for development.

Overlaying the convergence map and 850mb map will show that the convergence does not line up with the best vort. Also, if you look closely at the shear map, it shows that the shear is marginally favorable only directly above the best vort. Shear in its path is very hostile, and has not been showing a weakening trend. For convergence to be "good", you need at least 10... not 0.
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Quoting ncstorm:
this was friday's run by the CMC..takes it into the panhandle and up the east coast..






That maybe the set up as you and I were talking last week but was shot down by many on this blog.
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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.