Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Culprit low looks like it is sitting just off the coast of Nicaragua. A trough extends a long ways northeast but the anchor is much farther southwest than one might think.



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26652
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Good mourning, Levi. Are you going to have a tidbit on the caribbean mess and 95L?


I have a 13-hour work day today so no, but tomorrow I likely will.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26652
Jedkins is just disgruntled as he hasn't had much rain so to him all of FL is still in a drought when that is not the case as the drought across FL has eased up significantly over the past few weeks. Many areas around FL are already near or above there monthly June rainfall averages.

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Re: NWS and Dallas June 13, 2012 hail storms. No judgment good, bad or indifferent - just the facts I could find.

SPC issued Mesoscale Discussion 1153 at 5:17 pm. No watch was issued.

FWD NWS issued the first severe t-storm warning (Collin and Dallas counties) at 5:40 pm. The last warning was issued at 8:35 pm and cancelled at 9:14. Zero expertise on DFW mesoscale geography, so no clue about warning polygon outlines in relation to actual hailfall.

First storm report at 5:50 pm. SPC storm reports June 13, 2012

(All times are cdt)
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930. VR46L
Quoting Neapolitan:
Thanks for mentioning that. There's a small but profound central and Eastern European heat wave going on at the moment, with hundreds of high temperature records being set. Meanwhile, there's a single low temperature record being set in the globe at the moment. (There's your cooling.)

hot

Meanwhile, I don't know that it's accurate (or honest) to use the term "very little drought" to describe the global situation:

dry


Both most of the South East US and the British Isles got out of drought recently which is cause for optimism .

I also find it interesting that the web page you directed me to heading is called , (Unofficial) Record-breaking temperature across the Globe .
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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1005 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

MDZ501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ050-055-501>506-181615-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-
WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-
EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON-
EASTERN PENDLETON-
1005 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

.NOW...
MUCH OF THE EARLIER SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS MOVED EAST OF THE
APPALACHIANS...WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS LEFT BEHIND. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE...THOUGH A FEW AREAS WILL SEE
AN ADDITIONAL COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH LATE THIS
MORNING...BEFORE THE CLOUD COVER BEGINS TO BREAK UP INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. MORE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
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Quoting weatherbro:


Exactly...What there showing is an intense ridge over Florida and the SE this weekend. which will suppress that Monsoonal trough well south of us.


LOL! Keep wishing for that as it is not going to happen.
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Quoting Levi32:


The problem is that the more strung out the moisture field is, the less likely development will occur anywhere.


Exactly instead a monsoon trough moves north up FL. This looks to start happening on Wednesday.

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Still the nw gom nc...nopgaps model is a joke n u know it! :P
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Quoting Levi32:


The problem is that the more strung out the moisture field is, the less likely development will occur anywhere.


Good mourning, Levi. Are you going to have a tidbit on the caribbean mess and 95L?
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Hmmm I really think that this season will be more similar to 2004 than 2005.


I hope not! 2004 gave poor Florida a beating it can't afford to take anymore. (Insurance wise).
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Maybe we will see something like this.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8392
No storm just a bunch of moisture for the Gulf.Could cause more flood problems for already wet areas.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17073
Quoting Levi32:


The problem is that the more strung out the moisture field is, the less likely development will occur anywhere.


oh you here Levi..LOL..I just posted your facebook status..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15662
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from Levi on facebook

A piece of tough forecasting lies ahead this week with the potential gulf development. With the originating disturbance now clearly coming from the Caribbean, the development location is shifting east into the central gulf, though the ultimate destination should remain the NW gulf. Despite being only 3-4 days away from such a development beginning, the models are still all over the place and do not agree on a solution. For now my stand remains as it has been, that development will at least attempt to occur in the gulf, and will bring heavy rains to the northwest gulf region late this week into early next week.

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15662
Quoting stormpetrol:


As usual, we'll wait and see, somehow you mostly always find a way to take ones comments out of context or distort them to your contrary view here on this blog. "Its called cutting off your nose to spite your face"
Have a good day!
I don't think I take them out of context as much offer a contrary point of view based on what I see on satellite maps.

I *do* think the W. Caribbean blob has a chance to develop down the road when the trough axis gets to the BOC. It doesn't have any short-term chance of development, IMO.
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Quoting ProgressivePulse:



Might we squeak in Ernesto as well? With all going on, there is a possibility. 95L, 96L? W-CARIB, 97L? W-ATL.


Hmmm I really think that this season will be more similar to 2004 than 2005.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
HPC Day 5 forecast shows the low in the Bay of Campeche and the trough over Florida. Both are possible, but I do not think either one will interfere with one another. At least, not initially.



The problem is that the more strung out the moisture field is, the less likely development will occur anywhere.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26652
If..you truly believe in Global warming..i again say..Plant a Tree...now science agree's with me............Scientists have long debated about the impact on global climate of water evaporated from vegetation. New research from Carnegie's Global Ecology department concludes that evaporated water helps cool Earth as a whole, not just the local area of evaporation, demonstrating that evaporation of water from trees and lakes could have a cooling effect on the entire atmosphere. These findings, published Sept. 14 in Environmental Research Letters, have major implications for land-use decision making.
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Quoting weatherbro:


Exactly...What there showing is an intense ridge over Florida and the SE this weekend. which will suppress that Monsoonal trough well south of us.


The trough is predicted to move north into the Gulf starting on Wednesday.
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Quoting windshear1993:
now the question is we could see chris and debby before this month is over wow we are shattering the 2005 so far in number of storms



Might we squeak in Ernesto as well? With all going on, there is a possibility. 95L, 96L? W-CARIB, 97L? W-ATL.
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The models are basically a mess today.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24161
Quoting VR46L:
This last couple of weeks must be absolutely devastating for ardent Climate Change believers. Temperatures down and very little drought around.
Thanks for mentioning that. There's a small but profound central and Eastern European heat wave going on at the moment, with hundreds of high temperature records being set. Meanwhile, there's a single low temperature record being set in the globe at the moment. (There's your cooling.)

hot

Meanwhile, I don't know that it's accurate (or honest) to use the term "very little drought" to describe the global situation:

dry
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I don't think anything will really form next week.I think a weak low but nothing else.Just a bunch of mess in and around the gulf/caribbean.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17073
Quoting Jedkins01:


That is not what the NWS is saying or the models? The models are trending towards high pressure dominating through the end of this week, not a monsoon trough and tropical development.


Exactly...What there showing is an intense ridge over Florida and the SE this weekend. which will suppress that Monsoonal trough well south of us.
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CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE EACH DAY
AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHES NORTH AND INTO THE AREA. THERE
IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK OVER SOUTH FLORIDA.
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Quoting VR46L:
This last couple of weeks must be absolutely devastating for ardent Climate Change believers. Temperatures down and very little drought around.


Wouldn't know - we haven't been discussing GW, instead on the tropics until just now.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24161
Quoting VR46L:
This last couple of weeks must be absolutely devastating for ardent Climate Change believers. Temperatures down and very little drought around.


Not necessarily; a new study out of FSU was just published in one of the scientific journals regarding the documented release of methane gasses at a faster clip as a consequence of melting polar caps and the impact of the methane "bubbles" being released into the atmosphere on rising sea levels over the next 50-100 years. Methane is a real contributor to greenhouse emissions. We (those on the Blog except for the teenagers and other young folk) might not be around in 50-100 years but two weeks worth of lower temps and very little drought (not sure what data you are looking at) doesn't cut it when you look at longer-term data on the loss of sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere over the last 25 years.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9211
NAM takes a weak low toward New Orleans at 84 hours.
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days 1-5 Height Anomolies 850mb Euro Ensembles


day 6-10
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15662
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WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE
DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Now this is interesting the NAM takes a low up from the Caribbean and into the eastern Gulf then moves it west toward the C Gulf.
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897. txjac
Quoting RitaEvac:


Rain, rain come our way ...
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
HPC Day 5 forecast shows the low in the Bay of Campeche and the trough over Florida. Both are possible, but I do not think either one will interfere with one another. At least, not initially.



It is certainly a confusing set up. Which is normally the case with monsoonal lows.
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img src="000 ABNT20 KNHC 181133 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
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HPC updated. bringing the L a little farther north.



PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
937 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

VALID 12Z FRI JUN 22 2012 - 12Z MON JUN 25 2012


PRELIMINARY UPDATE...

USED MOSTLY THE 00Z/18 ECMWF WITH A MODEST INCORPORATION OF THE
00Z/18 ECENS MEAN TO UPDATE THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES
FOR DAYS 3 AND 4...THEN FLIPPED THE WEIGHTING BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD TO ADDRESS THE UNCERTAINTIES IN SYNOPTIC DETAIL INHERENT TO
THAT TIME RANGE. THE ECMWF IS SOLIDLY CORRELATED WITH THE ECENS
MEAN...ADDING CONFIDENCE TO ITS SOLUTION. THE 00Z/18 GEFS MEAN
CLUSTERS WELL WITH THE EUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE...ADDING
ADDITIONAL SUPPORT. THE GEM GLOBAL IS ALONE IN SPINNING UP A
TROPICAL CYCLONE EAST OF FLORIDA. WILL AWAIT THE REGULARLY
SCHEDULED 1700Z COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO
REFINE THE POSSIBLE SYSTEM INDICATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 245
now the question is we could see chris and debby before this month is over wow we are shattering the 2005 so far in number of storms
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891. VR46L
This last couple of weeks must be absolutely devastating for ardent Climate Change believers. Temperatures down and very little drought around.
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889. 7544
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
Morning All.

Bet we'll see 96L in the NW Caribbean before the day is done. Persistence is the key.



AGREE and looks like by wends it spreads alot of rain over south fl. a few wet days ahead but also bears watching imo
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HPC Day 5 forecast shows the low in the Bay of Campeche and the trough over Florida. Both are possible, but I do not think either one will interfere with one another. At least, not initially.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32255
Convection starting to fire on the Low in the Gulf of Mexico..

Link
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Looks like 95L is trying to make the transition.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32255

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.