Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012 | +35 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Ridge over TX and one over Bermuda while a weakness developes over the eastern Gulf in between the 2 ridges.
Low is starting to become more define with a develop circulation which is broad.
Very close to getting a name IMO.
LOL. No problema, gordy!
What the heck? Where did my profile picture go??
Several Texans reaching for anti-depressants
Exactly, now that the highs are going to split it would not make sense for the low to head west into the High over the Central US. Thus forcing the W caribbean disturbance north into the Eastern gulf.
TS or STS 95L looks good
Yeah the absence of the Upper Low east of FL is forcing the ridge to split into 2 different highs with one over TX and the other over Bermuda.
Caribbean AOI:
Chris and Debby by the end of the weekend??! 4 storms by the end of June would be pretty remarkable.
Convection is weakening, but has expanded in coverage and organization. I think this is due to it becoming separated from the front and transitioning to tropical, similar to what happened with Beryl. Banding is also becoming apparent on the south and east sides of the system as well.
well see i think we are well on are well too 21 name storms if we dont get a EL nino later this summer or fall
Agreed.
Nah it's okay, we got 0.02" last night. We're good for the rest of the summer.
right we are on the same pace good
now the low is located somewhere around
15.5N 81.0W
Lol. At least we have a sense of humor about it!
I can see us getting 14 or 15, due to number inflation caused by the early storms if nothing else, but I'd be pretty shocked to see numbers as high as 21.
Ok so that confirms that the low in the GOH is just a mid-level spin.
Why not? High pressure to the north. It is a common path for June.
Already there.
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