Torrential rain causes widespread flooding in Florida panhandle

By: Angela Fritz , 2:25 AM GMT on June 10, 2012

Share this Blog
36
+

Torrential rainfall led to widespread flooding along the northern Gulf Coast on Saturday, and Pensacola came about 2 inches shy of matching its all-time rainfall record for a calendar day: 15.29 inches. On Saturday, Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain. The previous record was set on October 5, 1934, as Tropical Storm 9 of that year was making landfall. The record for any 24 hour period is 17.1 inches, spanning Octover 4-5 in 1934, according to Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt.

A state of emergency was declared for Florida's Escambia County. According to the AP:

Emergency shelters were opened at a few local schools for people who were urged to evacuate from low-lying areas, the newspaper reported. Thousands were without power. Neighboring Santa Rosa County had about 40 homes flooded.

Streets were flooded throughout Mobile, Ala., which got 5.79 inches of rain. County authorities warned residents to stay off the roads until the waters receded and workers could look for damage and downed utilities.


The rain has since ended for now in the Gulf states, but images and video of the aftermath are still pouring in. The area is expected to receive more rain on Sunday, which could last until the middle of next week, as thunderstorms fire along a stationary front which is draped across the coastal states.


Figure 1. Widespread, heavy rain washes onto the Gulf shores on Saturday, enhanced by a lingering stationary front that's draped across the region. The heaviest rain fell in Pensacola, Florida, which came 2 inches shy of breaking its all-time calendar day rainfall record.


Video: Downtown Pensacola still flooded this evening after the rain had stop. The city's airport received 13.13 inches of rain since midnight.

Angela

Pensacola, FL (Jebekarue)
South Fairfield Drive, north of Hwy 98.
Pensacola, FL
Pensacola Flooding (flwthrfan)
Pensacola
Pensacola Flooding
flood (megulfbreeze)
Out the front window as our house flooded
flood

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 754 - 704

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

WDPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE)
WARNING NR 01//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED JUST NORTH OF
WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED 6-HOUR
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY
CONSOLIDATED AS FORMATIVE BANDS SIGNIFICANTLY DEEPENED AND WRAPPED
TIGHTER INTO A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A
SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY, THE LATEST OF WHICH A 102205Z SSMIS,
CAPTURED THE RAPID GROWTH OF CONVECTION OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED
LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION AND
EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE SSMIS IMAGE WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS FROM
PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS TD 05W HAS TRACKED
CLOSER AND IS NOW 05 DEGREES SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF
LIGHT TO MODERATE (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). ANIMATED
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THAT POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED
OVER THE CYCLONE AS IT REESTABLISHED AN OUTFLOW LINK WITH A TUTT CELL
TO THE NORTHEAST. THE TD IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THIS IS THE FIRST PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN AND ESTABLISHES
THE FORECAST REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
B. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING ALONG THE RIM OF THE
STEERING RIDGE. AFTER TAU 48, IT WILL MOVE ON A MORE NORTHWESTWARD
DIRECTION INTO A BREAK IN THE STR, CAUSED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. DURING THIS TIME FRAME, THE SYSTEM
WILL STEADILY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, IN ADDITION
TO THE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SST (28-30 DEGREES CELSIUS),
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM WILL REACH TYPHOON
INTENSITY BY TAU 72.
C. AFTER TAU 72, THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY FOR TD 05W TO UNDERGO
RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRACKS OVER VERY WARM SST ENHANCED BY THE
WARM KURUSHIO CURRENT AND IMPROVING RADIAL OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY THE
FRONT SLOPE OF THE ADVANCING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MENTIONED IN PARA
3.B. ADDITIONALLY, THE VWS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE LIMITED NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR
AGREEMENT WITH WBAR, AS THE SOLE LEFT OUTLIER. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS
VERY CLOSE TO MODEL CONSENSUS WITH A SLIGHT BIAS TO THE RIGHT TO
OFFSET WBAR. IN VIEW OF THE RELATIVELY TIGHT MODEL AGREEMENT, THE
SIMPLICITY OF THE STEERING PATTERN, AND THE ESTABLISHED STORM MOTION,
THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THIS TRACK FORECAST UP TO TAU 72.
HOWEVER, THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK SPEEDS AFTER TAU 72 IS
POOR. //
NNNN

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
TXPQ28 KNES 102148
TCSWNP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (90W)

B. 10/2032Z

C. 8.5N

D. 148.1E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY CURVED LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES HAVE TIGHTENED AND
CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6HRS. DT
OF 2.0 IS BASED ON 0.3 W BANDING. MET IS 1.5 AND PT IS 2.0. FT IS BASED
ON MET.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...RAMIREZ
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Read back on the blog and noticed some people getting concerned about the lack of enthusiasm from the models on developing a system in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. The ECMWF has completely dropped development in the Caribbean or Gulf and the GFS shows a broad low but doesn't do much with it. The reason behind this is the upper level troughiness being placed over the SW Atlantic. The result is development in the northern Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico is being hindered by the subtropical jet which is shearing the region. Furthermore, this trough is providing for development of another low pressure system in the SW Atlantic (warm core, tropical on model phase analysis) which is robbing the Caribbean and the Gulf of convergence. People have been noticing the GFS splitting the low in the Caribbean, or failing to significantly consolidate the low, and the reason for this is the lack of convergence (in addition to the less favorable upper level conditions).


12z GFS Ensemble depiction of the trough over the East Coast/SW Atlantic dipping into the Gulf and Caribbean





12z ECMWF Ensemble showing low SLP off the East Coast, resulting in convergence being spread across the SW Atlantic, rather than focused on the Caribbean




So the models showing a stronger upper level trough over the East coast and SW Atlantic explains why they have become less enthusiastic about development over the Gulf and Caribbean region. However, ensemble runs still show large areas of low pressure in the western Caribbean and this is beyond a week out, so we will have to keep our eyes open, especially with the current MJO forecast. And keep in mind I'm trying to shed light on the lack of enthusiasm from today's model runs, by no means am I saying we won't see development in this area.




Finally, as people have already noted, this upper level troughing over the SW Atlantic may help incubate a trough split and allow it to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone. Although the ECMWF and GFS both try and develop something in this area, it is a long way out so confidence is low. This is highlighted by the large disagreement on timing and positioning of the low. Anyway, just another thing to keep in mind in addition to possible development in the Caribbean and I hoped this helped clear up some people's concerns.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting hydrus:
That is a large and intense line of storms.
our relief from the heat tomorrow this time for a couple of days anyway more heat with building humidex by thursday into weekend summer approaches fast
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
748. wxmod
Quoting aspectre:
594 Tribucanes: Three types of rattlesnakes, copperheads, cottonmouths, and...the coral snake.
Luckily the other 43 varieties common to Florida are non venomous.


True, dat.


Soon they'll be available in your grocery store!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


that TD looks like crap!

Well, it is a tropical depression after all.



Expected to reach 90 knots (105 mph).
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31547
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


that TD looks like crap!
though is expect to become a typhoon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 8.4N 146.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 146.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 9.1N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 9.7N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 10.1N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 10.7N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 11.9N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 15.4N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 20.4N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 146.1E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED JUST NORTH OF
WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z,
112100Z AND 120300Z. //
NNNN

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Severe storms SOUTH OF FAIRBANKS, AK?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
We have a new TC to track,this one in the WPAC as JTWC just upgraded to TD 05W.



that TD looks like crap!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
683. K8eCane: Oh S### I'm just scrollin thru to see what I missed whilst I was showering and....
AHHHHHHHH...Is this in FLORIDA?? too close to NC for my likin


Fortunately, BurmesePython's can handle only the briefest bout of freezing weather, which rules out presentday NorthCarolina.
Unfortunately, they couldn't handle Everglade's infrequent stretches of winter cold over enough years to reach reproductive age to become a viable population until relatively recently.
So pythons and other large constrictors homesteading NC someday in the foreseeable future is within the realm of possibility.
Of course, freshwater gators and saltwater crocs 'll probably beat them there. But there's a healthy retail market for their hides, and they're a lot easier to hunt down.
Watch for iguana migration. If iguanas can get comfortable there, the others will follow.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Glad your getting your storms up in Minn., glad also it's not tornado warned anymore. Enjoy the show.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It certainly is! The front just hit me in Minneapolis, and the winds are gusting...waiting for the hail =D




Quoting hydrus:
That is a large and intense line of storms.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
That is a large and intense line of storms.

I think a derecho was trying to form
At least i think thats what its called :p
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Danny was ugly. Jose was beautiful compared to this storm. All better.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We have a new TC to track,this one in the WPAC as JTWC just upgraded to TD 05W.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Was the last sentence structurally correct?.......lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BTW we have td 05w in the Western pacific base on the JTWC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose
Danny it was ugly Jose is beautiful compare to this storm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Nah...I'd bet that one storm is the most we'd get out of all of this...it would be utterly shocking if they all became storms....
I agree 1 maybe 2, but the genesis for 3 could be there
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
That's a nice whip tail sucking moisture up. Also, if I'm seeing things right, fueling the winds for those four (five now?!) fires burning in Colorado. Crazy smoke streaming off those if that's what they are. Bad situation.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:


Scumbag hat?

I really am so bored today. :P




i know the feeling. past high profile trial transcripts are pretty interesting
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Yes it is Hydrus. Any chance of it making it's way severe warned to central Wisconsin over the night. I really, really doubt it, but I haven't seen one severe warned storm this year. I'm going through withdraw.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The smoke plume from the High Park Fire is huge now, extending across parts of Wyoming and Nebraksa, and going ~20,000ft into the air according to radar. Visible satellite tells the story. This youtube video is also remarkable of a person escaping from the flames racing down the hillside.

Can never get the youtube videos to embed on here so here is a Link



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:

I just got a tear in my eye...LOL.

Now...I am trying to think of how we can make it better?

Oooh...I know...how about putting that obnoxious hat on the storm? If y'all know what I am talking about...I never understood where that hat came from...or know what it means....just sayin....


Scumbag hat?

I really am so bored today. :P

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
e storms??
Quoting ncstorm:


the model runs off the SE coast for the GFS start at 98-108 hours..the SE storm off the NC coast is gone by the time the GFS starts the storm I posted which is 180 hours..it makes sense as the wave near the antilles needs time to travel to the conus..but again..Im just guessing..heck we could be looking at c, d and e storms
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
That is a large and intense line of storms.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20539
Quoting Tribucanes:
I'm going to have to go with Jose too. Lots of good candidates though. Nicole was really pathetic from a put together point of view, but the death and financial toll makes Nicole not the winner.


Outside of those tolls as a system in nature it was really deplorable.

Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose


E. Nicole
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Nah...I'd bet that one storm is the most we'd get out of all of this...it would be utterly shocking if they all became storms....

I think we'll end up with two now...one off the East Coast and another in the west Caribbean.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31547
Quoting ncstorm:


the model runs off the SE coast for the GFS start at 98-108 hours..the SE storm off the NC coast is gone by the time the GFS starts the storm I posted which is 180 hours..it makes sense as the wave near the antilles needs time to travel to the conus..but again..Im just guessing..heck we could be looking at c, d and e storms


Nah...I'd bet that one storm is the most we'd get out of all of this...it would be utterly shocking if they all became storms....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I'm going to have to go with Jose too. Lots of good candidates though. Nicole was really pathetic from a put together point of view, but the death and financial toll makes Nicole not the winner.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
644 NCHurricane2009: Who thinks Debby will be named before 11 AM EDT July 5? If so....it will beat Dennis of 2005 as the earliest fourth named storm on record....in the Atlantic Basin....

160th Julian day of 2005

160th Julian*day of 2012

* Leap year
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose


Henri!! hands down
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose

I pick like you....Jose....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:


Your wish



is my command.

I just got a tear in my eye...LOL.

Now...I am trying to think of how we can make it better?

Oooh...I know...how about putting that obnoxious hat on the storm? If y'all know what I am talking about...I never understood where that hat came from...or know what it means....just sayin....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


J. Chris in 2006.

Well I asked for 2008-2011, but Chris looked bad too lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose


J. Chris in 2006.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
can't wait for the front to blow through and break this heat!

The Wundermap tells me that it's 20 degrees cooler on the backside of that line of storms...



Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose
Om my do you even have to ask?.Danny for the win.Such a horrid storm.

Oh okay then.I wasn't looking at the time.The caribbean is the most likely destination.I don't think it will go north of the caribbean.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16439
Quoting washingtonian115:
The blogs doom con level will be well over 9000.
LOL I think your right
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
What I'm saying is that the storm that some of the models have been picking up on near the S.E coast comes from that mess near the gulf coast.While the caribbean tracker comes from the tropical wave.That's why I think their could be two separate storms except for just one storm in different locations like that model is talking about.


the model runs off the SE coast for the GFS start at 98-108 hours..the SE storm off the NC coast is gone by the time the GFS starts the storm I posted which is 180 hours..it makes sense as the wave near the antilles needs time to travel to the conus..but again..Im just guessing..heck we could be looking at c, d and e storms
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
From 2008-2011, which storm looked the worst?
A. Nana 2008
B. Danny 2009
C. Erika 2009
D. Henri 2009
E. Nicole 2010
F. Shary (for a hurricane) 2010
G. Don 2011
H. TD 10 2011
I. Jose 2011
J. Other
I say Jose
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ya, NC has five times the snakes Florida does. About the same number of types, but many, many more. I grew up in rural Wilson, N.C and it wasn't uncommon to see two, three, even five snakes a day. Good news is K8tcane your chance of getting bitten by a poisonous one is well under one percent. Take a good walking stick and when you go off the beaten trail just use it as the first leg in to where a poisonous snake may be. I used to catch em as a young boy and was bitten probably a dozen times. None poisonous, but I did have a close call with a copperhead that was over seven feet long, but that's a story for another day.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
Looks like the models are throwing in more monkey wrench's,looks to be a busy time in here if all this comes to fruition!
The blogs doom con level will be well over 9000.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16439

Viewing: 754 - 704

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Partly Cloudy
78 °F
Partly Cloudy