Torrential rain causes widespread flooding in Florida panhandle

By: Angela Fritz , 2:25 AM GMT on June 10, 2012

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Torrential rainfall led to widespread flooding along the northern Gulf Coast on Saturday, and Pensacola came about 2 inches shy of matching its all-time rainfall record for a calendar day: 15.29 inches. On Saturday, Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain. The previous record was set on October 5, 1934, as Tropical Storm 9 of that year was making landfall. The record for any 24 hour period is 17.1 inches, spanning Octover 4-5 in 1934, according to Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt.

A state of emergency was declared for Florida's Escambia County. According to the AP:

Emergency shelters were opened at a few local schools for people who were urged to evacuate from low-lying areas, the newspaper reported. Thousands were without power. Neighboring Santa Rosa County had about 40 homes flooded.

Streets were flooded throughout Mobile, Ala., which got 5.79 inches of rain. County authorities warned residents to stay off the roads until the waters receded and workers could look for damage and downed utilities.


The rain has since ended for now in the Gulf states, but images and video of the aftermath are still pouring in. The area is expected to receive more rain on Sunday, which could last until the middle of next week, as thunderstorms fire along a stationary front which is draped across the coastal states.


Figure 1. Widespread, heavy rain washes onto the Gulf shores on Saturday, enhanced by a lingering stationary front that's draped across the region. The heaviest rain fell in Pensacola, Florida, which came 2 inches shy of breaking its all-time calendar day rainfall record.


Video: Downtown Pensacola still flooded this evening after the rain had stop. The city's airport received 13.13 inches of rain since midnight.

Angela

Pensacola, FL (Jebekarue)
South Fairfield Drive, north of Hwy 98.
Pensacola, FL
Pensacola Flooding (flwthrfan)
Pensacola
Pensacola Flooding
flood (megulfbreeze)
Out the front window as our house flooded
flood

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Quoting MahFL:


Not really, Hurricane winds are sustained winds, not gusts, you should know that.

yes I know it's not true hurricane sustained winds... it's a gust that is the equivalent of a Cat 1 Hurricane.
Quoting Neapolitan:
You're missing my point, and Aussie's. Neither of us are claiming that the 86 mph gust is a hurricane wind; we're simply saying, again, that a wind gust of 86 mph is a gust of hurricane strength. It's very common in the media to refer to "hurricane-strength winds" or "hurricane-force winds". (Example)

Ah, semantics... ;-)

Thanks for trying to explain what I actually meant.
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I think it's RIP time for 93E

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8047
Quoting MahFL:


No it's not, a hurricane wind has to be sustained, a gust does not count, that's the whole point of hurricane wind speeds is that they are sustained.
You're missing my point, and Aussie's. Neither of us are claiming that the 86 mph gust is a hurricane wind; we're simply saying, again, that a wind gust of 86 mph is a gust of hurricane strength. It's very common in the media to refer to "hurricane-strength winds" or "hurricane-force winds". (Example)

Ah, semantics... ;-)
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Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
If 93L forms, I think it gets to a TD at most. With higher wind shear and cooler waters, it doesn't have long.


I thought we had 93L already and we're going into 95L with the next system?

EDIT: Oh, you must mean 93E now that I think about it.
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Quoting MahFL:


No it's not, a hurricane wind has to be sustained, a gust does not count, that's the whole point of hurricane wind speeds is that they are sustained.

I would be a gust of hurricane strength, all 75 mph hurricanes I have seen have had 75 gusting to 85 so it would indeed be a minimal cat1 gust of wind.
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If 93L forms, I think it gets to a TD at most. With higher wind shear and cooler waters, it doesn't have long.
Member Since: July 19, 2011 Posts: 12 Comments: 2532
898. MahFL
Quoting Neapolitan:
True. But, as Aussie stated, a gust of 86 mph is indeed of hurricane strength. But whatever you call it, that's a lot of wind...


No it's not, a hurricane wind has to be sustained, a gust does not count, that's the whole point of hurricane wind speeds is that they are sustained.
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Quoting nofailsafe:


Texas A&M has a degree in Atmospheric Science, they also have an IDD connection.


He forgot to tell you about the special that is running this month on enrollment referrals.

Each of you will receive a 12th man beer cozy and a carton of Trojans should you enroll in a degree program at Texas A&M.

Do not forget to mention the ad to the registrar when you send in your transcript.



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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
our relief from the heat tomorrow this time for a couple of days anyway more heat with building humidex by thursday into weekend summer approaches fast
And yet another powerful storm for parts of the N.W. and Canada..It does look similar to the systemthats there now.
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Quoting MahFL:


Not really, Hurricane winds are sustained winds, not gusts, you should know that.
True. But, as Aussie stated, a gust of 86 mph is indeed of hurricane strength. But whatever you call it, that's a lot of wind...
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Just for grins, here's the 6z GFS... Raise the DOOMCON, drink Fresca, and carry on with standard doom procedures

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8047
Good morning.
0z GFS at 84 hours shows a TD/Chris off the East Coast



GGEM



NOGAPS

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8047
892. MahFL
Quoting AussieStorm:
A wind gust to 139 km/h(86mph) was recorded at Cape Naturaliste, WA just prior to 2 pm WST today. That's Cat 1 Hurricane strength.


Not really, Hurricane winds are sustained winds, not gusts, you should know that.
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Quoting lightning75:
Althought the flooding is no where near as bad as in the northern GOM its pretty bad on the other side of the pond (UK in particular)

Link

We have flooding here in Sydney too. had 5.15in since 9am yesterday (Sunday) morning, and it's still raining.
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A wind gust to 139 km/h(86mph) was recorded at Cape Naturaliste, WA just prior to 2 pm WST today. That's Cat 1 Hurricane strength.
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..............good morning folks, hot and sunny here in florida today..all that heavy rain in the panhandle will be sweeping up the east coast, those up there that need the rain..its coming..have a great day everyone
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42262
Quoting aspectre:
From eyeballing the chart, minimum sea ice extent dropped from 2006's ~4,400,000sq.kilometres to 2007's ~3,000,000sq.kilometres

A similar ~1,400,000sq.kilometres drop from 2011's ~3,400,000sq.kilometres would produce a minimum sea ice extent of ~2,000,000sq.kilometres for 2012... And

wouldn't be much of a consolation.


Looking at the way that graphs heading, it might be optimistic to say we will have:- 2,000,000sq.kilometres for 2012
There's still over 3 months to go according to the historical levels on the graph, until Septembers end.
Possibly once a certain level of sea ice melts, then the remainder might have very little chance of remaining in place, except for isolated cold spots.
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885. emguy
Hmmm...Based on what I've seen in the models the last 24 hours or so...there isn't really any significant change to the overall pattern, just some tweaking required in the details, but tropical development appears to be on from Friday through the 20th...Starting in the Carribean then moving into the Eastern Gulf.

Overall, ridging over the eastern Atlantic with ridging over the easten US and East Central US into the Central Gulf. Generally speaking, lower pressures in the Carribean and Eastern Gulf. Considering the Euro dropped a closed isobar "Low" isn't as concerning to me for development, as the parrern in the Euro hasn't changed a bit except a subtle pressure increase...There is still the appearance of lower pressures in the Eastern Gulf with a look of a wrap around high into Central Gulf that would prevent anything from moving toward Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi or Alabama.

Overall, the biggest concern is just that...the wrap around high...as this is a motion prohibitive setup, and the disturbance that will move toward the West Coast of the Florida Penninsula and/or Eastern Half of Florida Panhandle shall move very slow. Otherwise, keep an eye on it folks in Florida. It's not gone...it's just evolving.
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884. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
15:00 PM JST June 11 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 8.7N 145.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.0N 143.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands
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From eyeballing the chart, minimum sea ice extent dropped from 2006's ~4,400,000sq.kilometres to 2007's ~3,000,000sq.kilometres

A similar ~1,400,000sq.kilometres drop from 2011's ~3,400,000sq.kilometres would produce a minimum sea ice extent of ~2,000,000sq.kilometres for 2012... And

wouldn't be much of a consolation.

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I'm off to bed...good night/good morning everyone!
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a lot of rain in the ocean...lol
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Quoting wunderkidcayman:

wow lot closer to us in Grand Cayman


and looks like it has some rain with it
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last post see ya after sunrise
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 110531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 10 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL
HOURS. THE PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE DECREASING AS
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Quoting nigel20:

Good evening allan!
Good evening nigel happy to see you.
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
00 GFS at 168 hours

wow lot closer to us in Grand Cayman
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12717
Just finished a blog on 93E. Too bad Cody's asleep. :/
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Quoting nofailsafe:


Texas A&M has a degree in Atmospheric Science, they also have an IDD connection.
I'll consider it. Thanks.
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00 GFS at 168 hours
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Quoting allancalderini:
hello everyone

Good evening allan!
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Quoting KoritheMan:

I'm thinking of getting into Florida State if I can, since I want to specialize in tropical meteorology. However, it's difficult to find schools with undergrad degrees in meteorology, which is what's been holding me back.


Texas A&M has a degree in Atmospheric Science, they also have an IDD connection.
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hello everyone
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TXPQ28 KNES 110326
TCSWNP

A. 05W (05W)

B. 11/0232Z

C. 8.6N

D. 146.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMI

H. REMARKS...CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITHIN THE LAST FEW HOURS; HOWEVER,
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING
YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. MET IS 1.0 WHILE PT IS 1.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

10/2205Z 8.9N 148.6E SSMI


...MYRGA
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Quoting Tazmanian:
Going camping and boating
be safe taz have fun
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per 12z EURO,perhaps Carlotta heading west
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any time
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I have a bad back but you DANG sure wouldnt know it when i see a snake
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Quoting Tribucanes:
K8ecane, may love find you and snakes not.....:)



Oh I do a great snake dance. Trust me. Thanks for the blessings!!
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K8ecane, may love find you and snakes not.....:)
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i will be glad when we have somethin in atlantic, carribean, gulf to track. those three are my personal preference for tracking. Have Fun Taz!!
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Quoting Tazmanian:
Going camping and boating

Hopefully you'll have a wonderful trip!
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
Imagine a day when you woke up and saw this....



This would qualify as DOOM Level: OVER 9000

Great Photoshopping too BTW


No thank you. Waking up to Humberto was enough for me. Only we didn't actually "see" much. Lol :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 254
Quoting K8eCane:



Yes it is. Im glad to hear that he does believe people can change for the better if they desire to.


Oh good grief. Sposed to be talkin about the weather
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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