Torrential rain causes widespread flooding in Florida panhandle

By: Angela Fritz , 2:25 AM GMT on June 10, 2012

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Torrential rainfall led to widespread flooding along the northern Gulf Coast on Saturday, and Pensacola came about 2 inches shy of matching its all-time rainfall record for a calendar day: 15.29 inches. On Saturday, Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain. The previous record was set on October 5, 1934, as Tropical Storm 9 of that year was making landfall. The record for any 24 hour period is 17.1 inches, spanning Octover 4-5 in 1934, according to Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt.

A state of emergency was declared for Florida's Escambia County. According to the AP:

Emergency shelters were opened at a few local schools for people who were urged to evacuate from low-lying areas, the newspaper reported. Thousands were without power. Neighboring Santa Rosa County had about 40 homes flooded.

Streets were flooded throughout Mobile, Ala., which got 5.79 inches of rain. County authorities warned residents to stay off the roads until the waters receded and workers could look for damage and downed utilities.


The rain has since ended for now in the Gulf states, but images and video of the aftermath are still pouring in. The area is expected to receive more rain on Sunday, which could last until the middle of next week, as thunderstorms fire along a stationary front which is draped across the coastal states.


Figure 1. Widespread, heavy rain washes onto the Gulf shores on Saturday, enhanced by a lingering stationary front that's draped across the region. The heaviest rain fell in Pensacola, Florida, which came 2 inches shy of breaking its all-time calendar day rainfall record.


Video: Downtown Pensacola still flooded this evening after the rain had stop. The city's airport received 13.13 inches of rain since midnight.

Angela

Pensacola, FL (Jebekarue)
South Fairfield Drive, north of Hwy 98.
Pensacola, FL
Pensacola Flooding (flwthrfan)
Pensacola
Pensacola Flooding
flood (megulfbreeze)
Out the front window as our house flooded
flood

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Good morning fellow Caribbean friends. Not a single drop of rain has fallen in San Juan on all June so far. Let's see if the Tropical Wave brings some. Also maximun temperatures above the 90's since June 1 until yesterday.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15163
Quoting DDR:
Its been relatively dry on my end,with just a little over half inch up to last night,but i've got another half inch.

OK.
But I have had an inch on Friday, and .5 again yesterday.
It's good though.
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102. DDR
Quoting pottery:

You need more rain???
You didn't get enough yet?

I've had enough for now.

Well if other areas weren't getting i'd say 2009 dryness again.Just over an inch since June 1st.
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Here's the 0z GGEM at 108 hours showing that potential storm off the NC coast



And here's the phase analysis from the GFS showing it is clearly warm core

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8109
100. DDR
Its been relatively dry on my end,with just a little over half inch up to last night,but i've got another half inch.
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Quoting DDR:

Good morning pottery,i suggest you let that cloud park over for at least 6 more hours we need that rain :D

You need more rain???
You didn't get enough yet?

I've had enough for now.
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98. DDR
Quoting pottery:

Nasty weather all over the place....
In Oz, Fla, UK.

Here, we are sitting under a small, damp, incessant dribble.
It's NOT appreciated.
Will whoever it was that left this cloud here, please remove it.

Good morning pottery,i suggest you let that cloud park over for at least 6 more hours we need that rain :D
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Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8109
Hey, NIGEL20 !
Check Tino Best and Ramdin.....

Reminding me of the Good Old Days, man.
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Code Red-60%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUN 10 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED
ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUE TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15163
Good morning ts been raining since 5 am and we are approaching 2 inches. This rain train is about to cause serious flooding
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Here's the 6z GFS at 138 hours... I feel like I'm the only one who's noticed this but I think there's a decent chance we get Chris off the NC coast in 4-6 days... At least as good a chance of us getting him in the Caribbean in a 7-8 days



And actually, looking at the run a little more, I see the GFS has the storm sitting in that same area from about 108 hours to about 144 hours, so it could present some big beach erosion problems if it verified.
The GGEM also supports development there, and the NOGAPS and UKMET both at least show low pressure in the area though neither strengthen it much. The Euro is holding out though as it isn't showing anything.



Yep im right at NC coast and we got a red sky at dawn
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Quoting PlazaRed:
HEAVY rains and wind gusts reaching 140km/h have lashed Perth and the south-west causing widespread damage to homes and buildings.

Heres the link:-
"Copy and paste."

http://www.perthnow.com.au/news/western-australia /widespread-damage-across-perth-and-the-south-west -as-winds-tops-120kmh/story-e6frg143-1226390398309

Strange that Aussie Storm hasn't commented on this. Looks bad in the article.

Nasty weather all over the place....
In Oz, Fla, UK.

Here, we are sitting under a small, damp, incessant dribble.
It's NOT appreciated.
Will whoever it was that left this cloud here, please remove it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Here's the 6z GFS at 138 hours... I feel like I'm the only one who's noticed this but I think there's a decent chance we get Chris off the NC coast in 4-6 days... At least as good a chance of us getting him in the Caribbean in a 7-8 days



And actually, looking at the run a little more, I see the GFS has the storm sitting in that same area from about 108 hours to about 144 hours, so it could present some big beach erosion problems if it verified.
The GGEM also supports development there, and the NOGAPS and UKMET both at least show low pressure in the area though neither strengthen it much. The Euro is holding out though as it isn't showing anything.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8109
Good morning... Based on last night's models, especially the 0z Euro run, it's looking more and more uncertain as to whether we'll get Chris in the next 10 days... The 0z GFS had a weak TS but the Euro showed nothing and none of the other models had anything. We'll see...

Meanwhile 93E changed little overnight... The rather quick organization from yesterday has stopped

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8109
We got a red sky at dawn out over the Atlantic this morning here in SE NC
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PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
422 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012


ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN NEXT SUNDAY...THERE IS LIMITED AND MAINLY GEFS-BASED
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE WHICH FAVORS A SOLUTION SOUTH OF THE 00Z GFS
REGARDING A POTENTIAL WARM CORE CYCLONE IN THE AREA. FOR
NOW...PLACED A WEAK LOW IN THAT AREA. THE 17Z CONFERENCE CALL
WITH NHC WILL LIKELY DISCUSS THIS FEATURE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Quoting wunderkidcayman:

not true there are quite a few mpdels that are developing TS Chris this up comming weekend anyway I am pff to bed and if you still around then I will tell so Good night


ya got me wunderkid. The CMC I have doesn't show down to the Caribbean. Saw this on another site. I need better links. :)

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
86. Skyepony (Mod)
93E

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HEAVY rains and wind gusts reaching 140km/h have lashed Perth and the south-west causing widespread damage to homes and buildings.

Heres the link:-
"Copy and paste."

http://www.perthnow.com.au/news/western-australia /widespread-damage-across-perth-and-the-south-west -as-winds-tops-120kmh/story-e6frg143-1226390398309

Strange that Aussie Storm hasn't commented on this. Looks bad in the article.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting sunlinepr:

Tepco adds 60-ton cover on No. 4 fuel pool (PDF)


The Protection Platform Added on Unit 4 Spent Fuel Pool at Fukushima Daiichi Power Station Tepco June 8, 2012

Link

Thanks for that one.
So after my computer downloaded Japanese fonts in order to show me the picture. I am sure will come in very useful next time they try and do something positive.
The slab of whatever, it is, probably high density concrete will settle nicely onto the top of the pool, no doubt assisted by the next batch of sizeable quakes. Its weight will add a bit more load to whatever is still holding this house of cards up!
It would be interesting to see what they have actually done in the last year, plus how much it has cost so far?
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Quoting wunderkidcayman:

not true there are quite a few mpdels that are developing TS Chris this up comming weekend anyway I am pff to bed and if you still around then I will tell so Good night


Ok. Not trying to start a fuss. Just the one's I usually look at. Good night. :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Yes Saw that earlier. Certainly got my attention. Only now the models have dropped the system except the GFS. Like he says there though it still looks like something will form. Guess we'll see.

not true there are quite a few mpdels that are developing TS Chris this up comming weekend anyway I am pff to bed and if you still around then I will tell so Good night
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12736
Quoting Stormchaser121:
Link
Take a look at this!!

yeah I think it will happen models have been really good with it although some have been on and off with develop but the concencus has a TS in the NW carib by the end of next weekend
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12736
Quoting Stormchaser121:
Link
Take a look at this!!


Yes Saw that earlier. Certainly got my attention. Only now the models have dropped the system except the GFS. Like he says there though it still looks like something will form. Guess we'll see.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Link
Take a look at this!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Well the fronts finally beginning to wash out here over FL. And I see Pensacola got some serious flooding today. Hope everyone is okay. The thing is certain spots in FL. flood easily more than other spots. Like where I live we can get these same amounts and it won't flood. It's probably because the houses in my street are on an inclined and the water flows to the drainage ditch at the end of the street.



I've been here my whole life, and it's never flooded like this before. Not even Ivan's rains caused flooding like we saw today. We picked up a prolific amount of rain in about a four hour span this morning into early afternoon.
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
Don't worry Tampa folks this is 200+ hrs. out. If they can't nail it (see Charley) 12 hrs. before landfall they certainly can't get this one right. It would be miraculous to tell you the honest truth.


Yes that's true. Even when Ike was approaching, the day they called for an evac of the upper Texas coast all of the states busses and resources were still in south Texas where up until then thats where it was thought to be headed. Probably 36 hours before landfall.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Well the fronts finally beginning to wash out here over FL. And I see Pensacola got some serious flooding today. Hope everyone is okay. The thing is certain spots in FL. flood easily more than other spots. Like where I live we can get these same amounts and it won't flood. It's probably because the houses in my street are on an inclined and the water flows to the drainage ditch at the end of the street.

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Quoting AtHomeInTX:
Don't worry Tampa folks this is 200+ hrs. out. If they can't nail it (see Charley) 12 hrs. before landfall they certainly can't get this one right. It would be miraculous to tell you the honest truth.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nevermind. :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100519
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUN 9 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 650
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting lobdelse81:

I saw your blog post. Thanks for your insight. So with the MJO returning to our neck of the woods, and some of the models suggesting possible development in 7-10 days in the Western Caribbean, do you think we will likely see the Atlantic Basin's "C" storm before the month is out?


At this point, yes.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
I was eyeing 93E at work today, and knew I'd have to blog.

I saw your blog post. Thanks for your insight. So with the MJO returning to our neck of the woods, and some of the models suggesting possible development in 7-10 days in the Western Caribbean, do you think we will likely see the Atlantic Basin's "C" storm before the month is out?
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:

also notice 00Z run has it tracking more E bound rather between the yucatan channel
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12736
Link
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Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
Yup,93e lookin mo better tonight


I gave it 40% mostly due to lack of visible imagery to confirm the location of the vortex. I realize this is probably conservative. Oh well, there is time to revise things tomorrow.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
I was eyeing 93E at work today, and knew I'd have to blog.
Yup,93e lookin mo better tonight
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I was eyeing 93E at work today, and knew I'd have to blog.
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Oh,It's night night time
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Is the Blog hanging up?
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Don't know if someone posted this video of the Perth Tornado...

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The NHC will bump up 93E's chances of formation at 11 PM PDT.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
LOW PRES 1007 MB AT 09N106W SITS EMBEDDED IN MONSOON TROUGH JUST
SE UNDER BROAD ANTICYCLONE AT 16N108W. GOOD ANTICYCLONIC TURNING
ALLOWS LOW PRES TO ADVECT ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AT LOWER
LEVELS...LIFT IT WITH NUMEROUS DEEP STRONG CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW
AT UPPER LEVELS. STATISTICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGREE ON INTENSIFYING
TO TROPICAL SYSTEM LOW PRES WITHIN 24 HRS WHILE DYNAMICAL
SOLUTIONS ARE SLOWER...MORE LIKE 48-60 HRS. BUT BOTH CAMPS AGREE
TO TRACK IT W JUST ALONG 10N. PRESENTLY...NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF LOW PRES CENTER WITH
BANDS FORMING WITHIN 240 NM SW...SE AND N.
My guess is 70% or maybe 90%
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Thanks Angela.
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The NHC will bump up 93E's chances of formation at 11 PM PDT.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
LOW PRES 1007 MB AT 09N106W SITS EMBEDDED IN MONSOON TROUGH JUST
SE UNDER BROAD ANTICYCLONE AT 16N108W. GOOD ANTICYCLONIC TURNING
ALLOWS LOW PRES TO ADVECT ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AT LOWER
LEVELS...LIFT IT WITH NUMEROUS DEEP STRONG CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW
AT UPPER LEVELS. STATISTICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGREE ON INTENSIFYING
TO TROPICAL SYSTEM LOW PRES WITHIN 24 HRS WHILE DYNAMICAL
SOLUTIONS ARE SLOWER...MORE LIKE 48-60 HRS. BUT BOTH CAMPS AGREE
TO TRACK IT W JUST ALONG 10N. PRESENTLY...NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF LOW PRES CENTER WITH
BANDS FORMING WITHIN 240 NM SW...SE AND N.
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interesting retrograding of the low in the Atlantic by the GFS as of hour 84....



goodnight everyone
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I hope this means the rains will stop and they can dry out.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1006 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE PREVAILS ALONG 25N. A HIGH PRES CENTER WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE NE GULF TUE AND MIGRATE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
WED AND THU.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
Quoting nigel20:

OK, no problem!


Found it take a look


Link
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Less than 20 knots through the forecast period (120 hours).

Thanks!
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