Torrential rain causes widespread flooding in Florida panhandle

By: Angela Fritz , 2:25 AM GMT on June 10, 2012

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Torrential rainfall led to widespread flooding along the northern Gulf Coast on Saturday, and Pensacola came about 2 inches shy of matching its all-time rainfall record for a calendar day: 15.29 inches. On Saturday, Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain. The previous record was set on October 5, 1934, as Tropical Storm 9 of that year was making landfall. The record for any 24 hour period is 17.1 inches, spanning Octover 4-5 in 1934, according to Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt.

A state of emergency was declared for Florida's Escambia County. According to the AP:

Emergency shelters were opened at a few local schools for people who were urged to evacuate from low-lying areas, the newspaper reported. Thousands were without power. Neighboring Santa Rosa County had about 40 homes flooded.

Streets were flooded throughout Mobile, Ala., which got 5.79 inches of rain. County authorities warned residents to stay off the roads until the waters receded and workers could look for damage and downed utilities.


The rain has since ended for now in the Gulf states, but images and video of the aftermath are still pouring in. The area is expected to receive more rain on Sunday, which could last until the middle of next week, as thunderstorms fire along a stationary front which is draped across the coastal states.


Figure 1. Widespread, heavy rain washes onto the Gulf shores on Saturday, enhanced by a lingering stationary front that's draped across the region. The heaviest rain fell in Pensacola, Florida, which came 2 inches shy of breaking its all-time calendar day rainfall record.


Video: Downtown Pensacola still flooded this evening after the rain had stop. The city's airport received 13.13 inches of rain since midnight.

Angela

Pensacola, FL (Jebekarue)
South Fairfield Drive, north of Hwy 98.
Pensacola, FL
Pensacola Flooding (flwthrfan)
Pensacola
Pensacola Flooding
flood (megulfbreeze)
Out the front window as our house flooded
flood

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1003. dabirds
Quoting ILwthrfan:

You should get a nice soaking this morning.  That complex will miss me 50 miles to the south I believe and should continue gain more and more of a southward bias as it tracks eastward..  It has virtually no northward component to it and it is already due west at its northern extent and points south of me.  
Pretty much been the story for you guys all spring north, south, or dries up to west. At least good weather for your ball teams, saw both the guys and gals were in the final 4, some hardware other than football into the case, congrats to them!
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952 HouGalv08: Amazing, isn't it, when you see a map like that. We've managed to build the 4th largest city in the country in one of the most flood prone, disaster potential place in the USA.

The topology ain't much worse than NewYork, LosAngeles, or Chicago. The hurricane hit potential is extra, but the land rises fast enough. Even a 30foot(9metre)storm surge wouldn't penetrate that deeply.

Now ya wanna talk poor infrastructure design&engineering and g'dawf'l construction&zoning codes, that's pure politics. If it weren't for insurance companies, ya'd have already been sacrificed to the AlmightyDollar.
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1000. hydrus
GFS 168..NOGAPS.144.CMC 144..
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Quoting hurricane23:


Nogaps is a horrid model. Again looking at 10 day models isnt wise as any skill level at that time frame may have a large amount of error. I will say this though as heights fall and pressures lower across EPAC/western carib way may see something try to develope into next weekend but again this is far out so well see what if anything materializes.




Gosh, crush his hopes of tracking a storm why don't ya! You've become very cold over the last few years man. Just let him continue to watch it without telling his the downside. This is what makes tracking fun, even if it isn't real, it's a good exercise from what's to come later this year.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
NOGAPS:

NO
Good
At
Predicting
(Stuff)
Good word matching.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16325
Quoting CybrTeddy:
951. Hey 23! Haven't seen you in a while, did you guys get your fair share of rain from all this precip mess we've had in Florida?


Hey cyberteddy! Yes we sure did here at the WFO we got record rainfall especially at MIA few weeks back. Here a pic from the flooding.

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Quoting LargoFl:
the models must be seeing something i dont, there is hardly even a cloud down there


South of Panama is what may be future Carlotta.
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Quoting dabirds:
Last week they showed a possible 2 day event, now lucky if we get 2 hours, but will take anything we can get. Though my area hasn't been as dry, you could see some corn curling up in those higher temps this weekend. Some is already head high, so will be in a critical stage over the next few weeks. A couple of half to inchers needed.
You should get a nice soaking this morning.  That complex will miss me 50 miles to the south I believe and should continue gain more and more of a southward bias as it tracks eastward..  It has virtually no northward component to it and it is already due west at its northern extent and points south of me.  
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993. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
NOGAPS:

NO
Good
At
Predicting
(Stuff)
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting ncstorm:


Yes, its not the best model but it was the only one showing Beryl looping and heading back to florida before the other models started seeing it as well..I know because I am the only one who posts it..LOL! Its all good though..I was just pointing out that all the models could be better and some even had upgrades and still have issues!
I read all your posts and and they are informative.It will be interesting to see how the big three do this hurricane season.
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My pick for a surprise development is the se Bahamas. That's where the front died, and the shear has been dropping.
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nm, whatever it was is gone now.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting washingtonian115:
Is the CMC on board with the development of a caribbean storm?.


it looks like its showing development of the tropical wave near the antilles
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Quoting ILwthrfan:



Much of Central Illinois is staring at 8 inch defecits for season to date rainfall and look for it to continue, last night went to bed with 70% chance of rain with about half inch expected, now it's looking even more grim.  Everything that crosses the Mississippi just evaporates.  


Next two weeks call for little to no rain with much above average temperatures.  Spring skipped us this year and crops will suffer for it. 
Last week they showed a possible 2 day event, now lucky if we get 2 hours, but will take anything we can get. Though my area hasn't been as dry, you could see some corn curling up in those higher temps this weekend. Some is already head high, so will be in a critical stage over the next few weeks. A couple of half to inchers needed.
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Quoting hydrus:
I dont apologize for not giving the NOGAPS its due respect. That model had a minimum of 5 phantom cyclones last year, Nicaragua being its favorite target. Yes, it has had some success, but not as good as the other models. They were suppose to improve its forecast accuracy, and I have not heard anything on it.


Yes, its not the best model but it was the only one showing Beryl looping and heading back to florida before the other models started seeing it as well..I know because I am the only one who posts it..LOL! Its all good though..I was just pointing out that all the models could be better and some even had upgrades and still have issues!
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MCS over Southern Missouri is staying strong this morning.  

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At NOAA the Jacksonville radar has a bizarre color over it. Never seen it before. Any ideas what it is?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Morning guys... latest on that potential development off SE coast?
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Quoting ncstorm:


I think it was Skye who posted accuracy statistics on some of the models with Alberto and Beryl and the CMC performed better than some of the other models
Is the CMC on board with the development of a caribbean storm?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16325
Quoting ncstorm:


LOL..I know right..people always clowning the Nogaps like it never gets anything right..that could be the said about any other model that spawns up TCs..
I dont apologize for not giving the NOGAPS its due respect. That model had a minimum of 5 phantom cyclones last year, Nicaragua being its favorite target. Yes, it has had some success, but not as good as the other models. They were suppose to improve its forecast accuracy, and I have not heard anything on it.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Nope it sure doesn't. I kind of found it odd, I think it has to a lot to do with us having absolutely no winter. If I recall correctly, last year when it was 105 in early June we had high temps in the 20s in early February. I did not even record a freeze this winter.


That's why it's showing hotter
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Like the CMC.


I think it was Skye who posted accuracy statistics on some of the models with Alberto and Beryl and the CMC performed better than some of the other models
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Been out for a few days and missed if you guys finally got some rain late last week. Did you guys get anything in SE TX.


some areas did, most didn't.
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Quoting HouGalv08:
I think that at this point it's way to far out to point to any ONE model as being correct as to where or when, or exact timing when something will develope around the 20th thru 24th time frame. But the fact that most if not all of them show development, then back off on the next run says SOMETHING is coming in that timeframe. Will be interesting once we get closer to the end of next week. Hopefully model consensus will come into better agreement early next week.


I said it few days ago, all residents along the gulf coast should be prepared for tropical activity, we've got a gulf bound storm on the way, forget about where, just know it's coming.
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Quoting ncstorm:


LOL..I know right..people always clowning the Nogaps like it never gets anything right..that could be the said about any other model that spawns up TCs..
Like the CMC.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16325
Quoting washingtonian115:
Wow big diss to the Nogaps.Lol.Anyone keeping an eye out on the S.E development?.


LOL..I know right..people always clowning the Nogaps like it never gets anything right..that could be the said about any other model that spawns up TCs..
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Quoting LargoFl:
the models must be seeing something i dont, there is hardly even a cloud down there
" No clouds, better to make the water nice and warm, my pretty!" Ah, ha, ha, ha ,ha.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


I agree. Watch the next run will have this back over Tampa then back to Houston on the 18Z. I am not concerned of any developement until I see the Caribbean get active again.

You'll be surprised at how fast somethings can spin out of practically "nothing".
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16325
951. Hey 23! Haven't seen you in a while, did you guys get your fair share of rain from all this precip mess we've had in Florida?
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23484
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Doesn't feel as hot, as the rains have been better.


Nope it sure doesn't. I kind of found it odd, I think it has to a lot to do with us having absolutely no winter. If I recall correctly, last year when it was 105 in early June we had high temps in the 20s in early February. I did not even record a freeze this winter.
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Quoting LargoFl:
the models must be seeing something i dont, there is hardly even a cloud down there


I agree. Watch the next run will have this back over Tampa then back to Houston on the 18Z. I am not concerned of any developement until I see the Caribbean get active again.

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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Been out for a few days and missed if you guys finally got some rain late last week. Did you guys get anything in SE TX.
Scattered showers, thunderstorms. But nothing very largely organized covering the entire area.
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Doesn't feel as hot, as the rains have been better.


Been out for a few days and missed if you guys finally got some rain late last week. Did you guys get anything in SE TX.
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the models must be seeing something i dont, there is hardly even a cloud down there
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Houston is off to its hottest year on record..

And here I thought last year was the worst I'd experienced in this city in 37 years!
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Wow big diss to the Nogaps.Lol.Anyone keeping an eye out on the S.E development?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16325
Quoting AussieStorm:

What's those 2 white dots on the power-lines?


That's lightning streaking out. If you look close you will see what I'm talking about.

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I think that at this point it's way to far out to point to any ONE model as being correct as to where or when, or exact timing when something will develope around the 20th thru 24th time frame. But the fact that most if not all of them show development, then back off on the next run says SOMETHING is coming in that timeframe. Will be interesting once we get closer to the end of next week. Hopefully model consensus will come into better agreement early next week.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Houston is off to its hottest year on record..



Doesn't feel as hot, as the rains have been better.
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Quoting hurricane23:


Nogaps is a horrid model. Again looking at 10 day models isnt wise as any skill level at that time frame may have a large amount of error. I will say this though as heights fall and pressures lower across EPAC/western carib way may see something try to develope into next weekend but again this is far out so well see what if anything materializes.




ALL the models are horrid..this goes back to last year..10 days out?? try hours before expected landfall, ie Irene..
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Another 8" to 12" this morning across NE Mobile County. Many areas have seen close to 30" of rain since Friday Night from Mobile to the FL Panhandle. I can tell you that being in Orlando it does seem that the atmosphere has been charged up lately as the rain has been coming in feet lately across many areas of the eastern eastern Gulf Coast.

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Quoting StormTracker2K:
And here's another lightning pic.

What's those 2 white dots on the power-lines?
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Houston is off to its hottest year on record..

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Quoting HouGalv08:
Amazing, isn't it, when you see a map like that. We've managed to build the 4th largest city in the country in one of the most flood prone, disaster potential place in the USA.


What's amazing is you go from sea level at Galveston Bay in Harris County to 350ft elevation on the NW side. We are in a unique area from a natural state, to the economic and non zoning concrete jungle, mania.....sitting ducks if you will.

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Quoting hurricane23:


Nogaps is a horrid model. Again looking at 10 day models isnt wise as any skill level at that time frame may have a large amount of error. I will say this though as heights fall and pressures lower across EPAC/western carib way may see something try to develope into next weekend but again this is far out so well see what if anything materializes.


Lol..
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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