Rick Knabb takes over as director of NHC

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:56 PM GMT on June 04, 2012

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Today marks the first day of work for the National Hurricane Center's new director--Dr. Rick Knabb, who worked at NHC from 2005 - 2008 as a senior hurricane forecaster before leaving in 2008 to take a position as deputy director and director of operations of the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) and NWS Forecast Office in Honolulu, Hawaii. Dr. Knabb left Hawaii to take a position as The Weather Channel's hurricane expert in 2010, where he worked until May of this year. He thus brings a unique mix of NHC experience, managerial experience, and experience communicating to the public on-camera, to the NHC director's job. He will fit in very comfortably with the NHC staff, and should make an excellent NHC director. Knabb, 43, is the second youngest director of NHC. Only Neil Frank, who served as director from 1973 - 1987, was younger at the time he took the job.

Dr. Knabb takes over the directorship of NHC from Bill Read. Read took the post of NHC director in 2008 after Bill Proenza stepped down following a stormy six-month tenure where much of staff revolted against him. In the wake of the turmoil stirred up by Proenza, Read brought stability to the Hurricane Center. Read's management ability, easy-going style, and solid communication skills made Read an excellent choice for director of NHC, and he will be missed. “I will have been in charge just shy of four and a half years on June 1,” Read wrote in a letter to hurricane center staff earlier this year. “I had no idea I would ever be considered for such an honor. It’s been quite a ride and I’m blessed to hit the exit ramp in my career after working with you all.” Read was lucky enough in his four-year tenure at NHC to never oversee a landfalling major hurricane in the U.S.

National Hurricane Center Directors:
Gordon Dunn, 1965 - 1967
Robert Simpson, 1967 - 1973
Neil Frank, 1973 - 1987
Bob Sheets, 1987 - 1995
Robert Burpee, 1995 - 1997
Jerry Jarrell, 1998 - 2000
Max Mayfield, 2000 - 2007
Bill Proenza, January - July, 2007
Ed Rappaport (interim), July 2007 - January 2008
Bill Read, 2008 - 2012
Rick Knabb, 2012 - ????

It looks like Dr. Knabb will have a quiet first week on the job--there are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the computer models is predicting tropical storm development over the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

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990. aspectre
12:06 PM GMT on June 05, 2012
.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
989. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:52 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
988. aspectre
11:52 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
958 AussieStorm: Coastal Sydney has had wind gusts of 128km/h

Meant to ask earlier, are winds high enough to produce with 80mph gusts somewhat expectable in Sydney in the way that SantaAna wind gusts are expectable in SouthernCalifornia?
ie Happens several times a year? Or is this an extraordinary event?

Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
987. LargoFl
11:47 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
519 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-061030-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
519 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2012

...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE
OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, AND BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

WIND: GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HAIL: NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
GULF COAST BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, BRIEF GUSTY WINDS, AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
986. caribbeantracker01
11:44 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: May 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 556
985. LargoFl
11:43 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
984. LargoFl
11:42 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
983. LargoFl
11:40 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
980. AussieStorm
11:37 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting TampaBayStormChaser:
I do not expect anything tropical out of the disturbed weather in the gulf due to high wind shear, but I think that once that moisture combines with the front dropping through FL that a line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop somewhere North of Tampa and South of Jacksonville. The nature coast will most likely see the impacts of this line. Across Tampa Bay, breezy to windy conditions are likely with a west wind of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph along the beaches. Rain chances are lower over the Tampa Bay area and severe storms do not appear to be a threat for Tampa Bay at this time.

What's the chance this does an Albert and develop off the East coast?
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
979. LargoFl
11:37 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
978. LargoFl
11:34 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting LargoFl:
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
977. LargoFl
11:34 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38255
976. WxGeekVA
11:31 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting TampaBayStormChaser:
I do not expect anything tropical out of the disturbed weather in the gulf due to high wind shear, but I think that once that moisture combines with the front dropping through FL that a line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop somewhere North of Tampa and South of Jacksonville. The nature coast will most likely see the impacts of this line. Across Tampa Bay, breezy to windy conditions are likely with a west wind of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph along the beaches. Rain chances are lower over the Tampa Bay area and severe storms do not appear to be a threat for Tampa Bay at this time.


So basically the Tampa Shield is up?
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3470
974. AtHomeInTX
11:10 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
427 AM CDT TUE JUN 5 2012

LONG TERM...WHAT A DIFFERENCE A YEAR MAKES. THIS TIME LAST YEAR
HIGH PRESSURE BECAME DOMINANT OVER THE AREA FROM THE OZARKS WITH
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COMBINING WITH HIGH HUMIDITIES TO PRODUCE
AN OPPRESSIVE HEAT WAVE, HELPING TO KICK OFF THE SEVERE DROUGHT
OVER THE REGION. THE PICTURE IS COMPLETELY CHANGED WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY AND EXTENDING BEYOND THE
LONG RANGE PORTION OF THIS FORECAST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE
EVENTUALLY BECOMES AN UPPER LOW NEAR TEXAS AND LOUISIANA IN A
BLOCKING PATTERN. WE SHOULD SEE WELCOME RELIEF IN POWER
CONSUMPTION AND IN OUR ENERGY BILLS, NOT TO MENTION BENEFICIAL
RAINFALL AND LOWER IRRIGATION COSTS COMPARED WITH LAST YEAR AT
THIS TIME.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 68
973. ncstorm
11:10 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
00z CMC is farther east and crosses Florida into the SE atlantic



Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15222
972. weatherh98
10:58 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

30-40kts of wind shear. I don't think so.


Shear tendency is going lower. Still don think it will develop.
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6482
971. AussieStorm
10:54 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting ilovehurricanes12:
maybe invest soon

30-40kts of wind shear. I don't think so.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
970. weatherh98
10:47 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
6z GFS showed East Pac development again but also had this



Which run had more information in it?!
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6482
969. AussieStorm
10:47 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
BREAKING NEWS...... Flights CANCELLED at Sydney Airport as east coast low continues to lash Sydney. Baggage handlers have called it quits as conditions are to dangerous to work in.
Winds @ Sydney International Airport,
57km/h gusting to 76km/h. At it's peak Sydney Airport wx station reported 80km/h winds with 100km/h gusts.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
968. weatherh98
10:46 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
544 am and we have cumulonimbus clouds boomin skyward.

Hot and humid.
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6482
967. MAweatherboy1
10:46 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
6z GFS showed East Pac development again but also had this

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7754
966. MAweatherboy1
10:38 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
0z GFS continued the pattern of alternating between Atlantic and East Pac development...

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7754
965. islander101010
10:38 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
Coastal Sydney has had wind gusts of 128km/h which is Cat 2 Cyclone strength.
tavaruafriday!
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4533
964. MAweatherboy1
10:36 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Good morning... You don't see this too often

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7754
963. weatherh98
10:25 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting Grothar:


It just reminded me of a funny story from the "Dust Bowl era in Texas and Oklahoma. The farmers, as you know, were practically ruined. Many had to mortgage their farms. The story goes that a farmer went into town and asked for a mortgage on his property. The banker said, "Well, I will have to go out and look at it" The farmer replied, "You don't have to, it is blowing by you right now."



was the guy a nice dude? im sure you remember: P
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6482
962. K8eCane
10:23 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting ilovehurricanes12:
maybe invest soon


Morning
Well that has certainly been hanging around
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
959. KoritheMan
8:07 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting aspectre:
Breaker, breaker...


I think I just found a new desktop background.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 573 Comments: 20455
958. AussieStorm
8:01 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Coastal Sydney has had wind gusts of 128km/h which is Cat 2 Cyclone strength.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
957. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:18 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
Perturbation Tropicale 14-20112012
10:00 AM RET June 5 2012
========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 14 (1003 hPa) located at 9.0S 62.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/S0.0/0 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

12 HRS: 9.3S 60.5E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
24 HRS: 9.4S 58.5E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
48 HRS: 9.0S 55.2E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
72 HRS: 8.4S 53.1E - 20 knots (Low Pressure Area)

Additional Information
====================

Strong winds are expected to increase in the southern semi-circle due to gradient effect, during the trade wind surge. Vertical wind shear is forecast to weaken during the next two days.. so system may deepen as is tracks generally westward.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45240
956. aspectre
7:15 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Breaker, breaker...
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
955. GTcooliebai
7:11 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
I haven't seen the GOM this moist in quite a while.

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
954. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:04 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MAWAR (T1203)
15:00 PM JST June 5 2012
=================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Mawar (975 hPa) located at 27.1N 131.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
=================
50 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
40 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
================
220 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
130 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 31.9N 141.1E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Southeast of Hachijo-jima
45 HRS: 38.4N 149.3E - Extratropical Low East of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45240
953. AussieStorm
6:50 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
'Planets aligned' for wild weather in NSW

A MAJOR storm front is closing in on Sydney, bringing gale-force winds, torrential rain and possible flash flooding.

A severe weather warning has been in place along NSW's coast since yesterday as the weather band moves north from Victoria.

The wild weather is expected to hit Sydney around peak hour, with State Emergency Services (SES) crews turning out in force.

Volunteers in Manly fear big waves could threaten waterfront properties.

"I am preparing at the moment. The unit is filling sandbags right now," SES Manly spokesman Joerg Lindner said.

"It is an unusual situation with the combination of the high tide caused by the full moon, the rain and the winds."

He said the water level was expected to peak around 9pm (AEST) today.

Senior meteorologist with the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), Julie Evans, said heavy rain of up to 50mm was expected to hit Sydney but authorities were more concerned about gale-force winds of up to 120km/h.
"The main message isn't about a rain event, it's very much a wind and wave event," she said.

The mix of gusts and high tides was a potent combination for the state's waterline.

"The planets are aligned, I suppose you could say," she said. "The very high tides this evening could mean you will see an inundation of low-lying coastal areas."

The SES is door-knocking homes in Tempe, in Sydney's inner west, to warn of possible flash flooding from the Cooks River, Macquarie Radio reports.

NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) spokesman Ben Shepherd said volunteers were hard at work cleaning up after the storm along the south coast, where toppled trees had blocked roads and damaged property.

"We've got one house extensively damaged in Malua Bay. A tree's gone down," he said.

He said the rain had helped lower the risk of fire from downed power lines.

Farther inland, the BOM has had reports of snow falling in Oberon, near Orange in the state's west.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
952. brittcrowell
6:35 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Yep Crazy weather extreams at my house this week
http://classic.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweath er/getForecast?query=36092&wuSelect=WEATHER

Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

82° F | -33° F

86° F | 64° F

90° F | -35° F

90° F | 66° F

90° F | 63° F
T-storms
70% chance of precipitation
Chance of T-storms
20% chance of precipitation
Clear Partly Cloudy Clear
Hourly
Hourly
Hourly
Hourly
Hourly
Member Since: October 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
951. AussieStorm
6:05 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
This is a long way out but will be something to watch.


















Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
950. nigel20
5:31 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting KoritheMan:


How old will you be, if you don't mind my asking?

I am now 23...good night everyone!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7981
949. KoritheMan
5:28 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting nigel20:

Thank you very much!


How old will you be, if you don't mind my asking?
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 573 Comments: 20455
948. nigel20
5:28 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
anyway time to check out
take care all

I'm off to bed as well...good night everyone!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7981
947. KoritheMan
5:26 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting tornadodude:
Picture from my friend Steve of the storm in Montana today



Be-YOO-tif-ul.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 573 Comments: 20455
946. tornadodude
5:25 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Picture from my friend Steve of the storm in Montana today

Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8312
945. nigel20
5:20 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting KoritheMan:
Happy birthday, nigel! Have a fantastic time, bro!

Thank you very much!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7981
944. KoritheMan
5:18 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Happy birthday, nigel! Have a fantastic time, bro!
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 573 Comments: 20455
943. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:17 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
anyway time to check out
take care all
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53624
942. nigel20
5:11 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Happy Birthday Nigel. :)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
happy b day friend

Thanks guys...much appreciated!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7981
941. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:02 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting nigel20:

It's 11:49PM in Jamaica, so it's not very late and my birthday will be in a few minutes
happy b day friend
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53624
940. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:00 AM GMT on June 05, 2012
Quoting Grothar:


It looks like a cataract surgery, What is it?
its the sun i guess SDO site is having some issues with the scope

here is another shot

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53624

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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