Beryl headed out to sea

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:53 PM GMT on May 30, 2012

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The center of Tropical Depression Beryl is close to the ocean again, and the storm has strengthened slightly in response. Beryl's heavy rain show will be focused on Eastern North Carolina today, where widespread rain amounts of 2 - 4 inches can be expected. Beryl's heaviest rains fell over Lafayette County, Florida, on Monday and Tuesday, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned a single tornado on both Monday and Tuesday; these twisters did only minor damage. There is a slight chance the storm could produce another weak tornado today over North Carolina. The storm is being blamed for one death--a swimmer that drowned in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Another swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina. All things considered, Beryl was just the sort of tropical storm the Southeast U.S. needed--strong enough to bring the heavy rains needed to alleviate the severe to exceptional drought conditions over the region, but not so strong as to cause major damage and loss of life. The main bummer was that Beryl hit during the Memorial Day holiday weekend, costing the tourism industry tens of millions of dollars in lost business. With Beryl caught in a trough of low pressure and accelerating to the northeast, the storm should transition to an extratropical storm later today.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 2:25 pm EDT May 29, 2012 by NASA's Aqua satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 30 mph.


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl over the past seven days from NOAA/AHPS.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting BDAwx:
Post tropical storm Beryl producing 39kt sustained winds with 997mb pressure and almost 2.5ft storm surge at Hatteras, NC?



Could be. I think this is a web cam from Nags Head. Or Frisco?
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427. wpb

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Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code





2 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles NNW Parkland FL
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


Hydrologic Outlook
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

FLC011-021-043-051-086-099-311200-
BROWARD-COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MIAMI-DADE-PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT LAUDERDALE...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MOORE HAVEN...LA BELLE...CLEWISTON...
BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...MIAMI...WEST PALM BEACH
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES ALLOWING FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS
THE KEYS AND INTO SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY TO 2 TO 4 INCHES
SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED DURING THESE
EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY BECOME A
POSSIBILITY WHERE THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY BECOMES CONCENTRATED.
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES
THROUGH THIS TIME. AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

$$

BAXTER











------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-311000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY
WHERE MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THE MAIN
RISKS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION: SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

BAXTER









------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------



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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ncstorm:


remind me of the April outbreak of last year..


Yeah, but in my area. Maybe I'll get to chase!
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Quoting ScottLincoln:
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.


Whoa! Must be a strong westerly.
Wonder how far east and/or south it will get.
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Quoting hydrus:
Dont see this much either, Canada could get whacked with some very severe weather..


What is causing this pattern or is this the normal setup this type of year.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.


remind me of the April outbreak of last year..
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.
Dont see this much either, Canada could get whacked with some very severe weather..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22682
This storm is in central TX

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
712 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL MCCULLOCH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
CENTRAL CONCHO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 706 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILLERSVIEW...OR
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAINT ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ARE URGED TO TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS...OTHER HAZARDS INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
MILLERSVIEW BY 720 PM CDT...
DOOLE BY 730 PM CDT...
SALT GAP BY 745 PM CDT...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
SSL WRF 4 km grid initialized 00 UTC May 30 201224 hours out..48 hours out...72...
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22682


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.
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**THE LATEST**
(click to enlarge)

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OOOPS, again! lol.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRIDAY NIGHT)...
THE LATEST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THE
CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND GENERALLY REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD. DESPITE THE DRIER AIR IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING PERIOD TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE LAKE AND
EAST COAST AREAS.
THE LATEST HRRR MODEL REFLECTIVITIES LINE UP WELL
WITH THIS PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE MID-EVENING HOURS BEFORE
TRENDING DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AND INDICATES THE
BEST COVERAGE REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN AREAS NORTH OF FORT
LAUDERDALE TO THE LAKE ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY.


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Quoting PedleyCA:


Our next form of amusement?

30/2132 UTC 11.7N 130.1E T1.0/1.0 95W -- West Pacific

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
Quoting Tazmanian:
hey all good news google chrome has stop suporteing facebook



Link





I'm on Facebook right now using Google Chrome and it is having no issues. Plus, why would Facebook stop supporting the Most Popular Browser in the World
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Our next form of amusement?
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Explosive CAPE out there:



Helicites are moderately high too!

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Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22682
The storm NW of the main one is also tornado warned once again
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
I've got a question that I've been meaning to ask about the NOAA radar sites. It seems that the radar attenuation goes up every night and then back down in the day. Is this caused by them 'amping' the signal or is the clutter just bugs? flying at night or something.. For example look at the national grid. It looks like this is happening on the Little Rock radar

NOAA RADAR National Grid
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No big surprise here

* AT 637 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRUSCOTT. THE TORNADO WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. RESIDENTS NEAR TRUSCOTT AND NORTH OF BENJAMIN
SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Quoting 1900hurricane:
The cell near San Angelo is really starting to ramp up too!

Looks like it's getting a nice little couplet on it.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Outflow boundaries showing up well on that one.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22682
Quoting ScottLincoln:
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
The cell near San Angelo is really starting to ramp up too!





This cell is outside of the Slight Risk too!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Very impressive:



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Man, I should have gone chasing today! I briefly thought about it, but the tornado potential looked kinda low and most of the stuff looked like it might have been out of my range. I could have made it to that storm near Childress though. Oh well, maybe I'll get lucky tomorrow? The hatched area will be all around me.

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Very likely producing a tornado again (if it ever stopped):

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
The storm has already cycled through, rotation is back and very strong.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
These are mallard ducks. Male has the green head. Mallard is the most common kind of duck in the USA.


Cute :-)
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Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?



Check out Link
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Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?


Link
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?


Yes, thankfully.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
It's also very possible there's a tornado on the ground with the other tornado warned storm in Texas farther south.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I think its cycling now... Rotation is a bit less defined.

Yeah.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?

Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
I think its cycling now... Rotation is a bit less defined.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Very nice outflow boundary
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No idea.


Here are a bunch of Duck Pictures.

12 different kinds
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Wow!

No kidding-o! four cells popped in TX panhandle (add) off the dryline. Two southerly ones came together with a bang. You could see it on SRV loop!

CDT 5:28pm


CDT 5:46 pm (mod: switch to graphic that's time-stamped)


(Please excuse me while I answer my weather radio.)

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AT 614 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A TORNADO
WAS VERY LIKELY OCCURRING NEAR THE COTTLE-FOARD COUNTY LINE WEST OF
CROWELL. THE STORM WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. IN ADDITION TO
THE THREAT OF A TORNADO... THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL LARGER THAN BASEBALLS AND WINDS GUSTS OF 80 MPH.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56140
Actually, no it isn't. The storm just has an irregular...uhh, velocity signature.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Storm is cycling.

The scary thing is there's nothing to stop it from cycling over and over again... No storms in front of it to interfere with it, and favorable conditions
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Storm is cycling.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It seems to at least be maintaining strength if not intensifying.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32853
It will likely be extremely hard to see this tornado. Radar show that the rotation is located in extremely heavy rain and large hail.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
603 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC101-269-302315-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120530T2315Z/
KING TX-COTTLE TX-
603 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE AND
NORTHEASTERN KING COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 559 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HACKBERRY...OR 13 MILES EAST
OF PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 600 PM 80 TO 90 MPH WINDS WERE REPORTED AT PADUCAH
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE AND NORTHEASTERN
KING COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3376 10017 3402 10027 3414 10010 3407 10004
3384 10004 3384 10000 3383 9999 3376 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 323DEG 25KT 3395 10006

$$

MEADOWS
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC399-302315-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120530T2315Z/
RUNNELS TX-
602 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RUNNELS COUNTY...

AT 559 PM CDT... THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR BENOIT...OR NEAR BALLINGER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. PUBLIC
REPORTS FROM BALLINGER INDICATE ROTATION WITHIN THE STORM AND BLOW
DUST FROM STRONG WINDS IN THE AREA. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO BE
PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS.
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
OVERTURNED VEHICLES...
DAMAGE TO TREES...SOME MAY BE UPROOTED...
DAMAGE TO HOMES...MAY DESTROY MANUFACTURED HOMES...
DENTED VEHICLES...
MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE...
MAY BREAK WINDOWS ON VEHICLES AND HOMES...
MAY INJURE PEOPLE...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK LEFT UNPROTECTED...
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BENOIT BY 610 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 9983 3170 9981 3176 10011 3188 10009
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 278DEG 21KT 3179 9988

$$
DANIELS
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
613 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
FOARD COUNTY IN NORTH TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTH TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 610 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A TORNADO IS VERY LIKELY NEAR HACKBERRY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF SOUTHWESTERN FOARD AND NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE TORNADO WILL BE HIDDEN BY RAIN AND YOU MAY NOT SEE IT. DO NOT
WAIT. TAKE COVER NOW.

This one is probably an EF 3 or more, again luckily over mostly rural areas.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8046

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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