Beryl dumping heavy rains; all-time May heat records set in MI, OH

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:55 PM GMT on May 29, 2012

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Tropical Depression Beryl continues to bring heavy rains to Northern Florida and Southern Georgia, but has begun to move northeast, and will be spreading heavy rains over coastal South Carolina today and North Carolina on Wednesday. Rains of 5 - 8 inches have been common over Northern Florida. These rains have caused numerous problems with street flooding, but no serious damage. The heaviest rains from Beryl so far have been to the southwest of the center, over Lafayette County, Florida, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned one tornado on Monday, near Florida's St. Lucie Medical Center. The twister damaged two roofs and brought down trees and power lines. One swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina, and a 19 year old man is missing and presumed drowned from swimming in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Before becoming a tropical cyclone, Beryl produced heavy rainfall over Cuba, especially Sancti Spíritus Province, where meteorologists reported more than 20 in (510 mm) of precipitation. The rains caused mudslides and flash floods, destroying 47 houses and damaging 1,109 more. Two people died attempting to cross flooded rivers in Cuba.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 12:05 pm EDT May 28, 2012 by NASA's Terra satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 35 mph.

Forecast for Beryl
Beryl will continue to spin and dump copious rains as it treks through Southern Georgia today, and coastal South Carolina and North Carolina on Wednesday. These rains will generally not be heavy enough to cause damaging flooding, since the region is under moderate to severe drought. When Beryl pops off the coast near the North Carolina/South Carolina border on Wednesday, wind shear will be low enough and ocean temperatures warm enough to allow re-intensification to a tropical storm. However, tropical-storm-force winds will probably be limited to the right-front side, over the ocean, and the coast of North Carolina will see winds no greater than 35 mph.


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl from the Valdosta, Georgia radar.

July-like heat wave brings hottest May temperatures on record to Michigan, Ohio
A strong high pressure system anchored over the central U.S. brought more record-smashing May heat to much of the country on Monday. The heat was most notable in Southern Lower Michigan and Northern Ohio, where Detroit (95°F), Flint (93°), Cleveland (92°F), and Toledo, Ohio (96°) tied or set records for their hottest temperature ever recorded in May. On Saturday, at least nine airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 58 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. On Sunday, at least sixteen airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 68 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. Eight airports in the Western U.S. set daily coldest temperature records on Sunday; no airports have set an all-time coldest May temperature record in the U.S. this month. Temperatures 5 - 10°F above average are expected over portions of New England today, but the May 2012 heat wave is pretty much over for the U.S.

Jeff Masters

Beryl's Rain Bands (SunsetSailor)
Beryl's about 75 mi SSE from us and still off shore and on schedule to move over land sometime after mid night. We're getting steady 20-30 mph winds.
Beryl's Rain Bands
Beryl Band (flsky)
Beryl Band

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Quoting sunlinepr:

That really is one of the more interesting movement of storms I've seen.
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Quoting nofailsafe:


You behind a proxy server? Images are getting redirected through digiceljamaica.

http://myweb.digiceljamaica.com/servlet/redi rect.srv/saun/sjkzz/sdtse/skugkm/p1/sst/oper/globa l_anomaly_oper0.png

I'm not sure...I'll have to check it out
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8139
Had an inch of rain today from one thunderstorm. Local weather discussion said this had to do with tropical moisture thrown north by Beryl. Very believable looking at older WV loops.
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Quoting nigel20:
May 29, 2012 SST Anomaly




You behind a proxy server? Images are getting redirected through digiceljamaica.

http://myweb.digiceljamaica.com/servlet/redi rect.srv/saun/sjkzz/sdtse/skugkm/p1/sst/oper/globa l_anomaly_oper0.png
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Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8139
.


Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8139
897 TropicalAnalystwx13: 13Beryl's circulation has entered South Carolina.[wind map]
899 TropicalAnalystwx13: Or maybe not quite yet.
...ADVISORY NUMBER 17...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 29...
...BERYL APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...LOCATION...32.2N 81.3W


The NorthEasternmost dot on the connected line-segments is NHC's most recent position for TDBeryl

All other line-segment dots are previous ATCF positions for Beryl as a TropicalDepression
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http://www.news9.com/story/18650766/tornado-warni ng-issued-for-parts-of-oklahoma-tuesday-night


Hail-Packing Storm Causes Injuries, Damage In OKC Metro
Posted: May 29, 2012 8:40 PM CDT Updated: May 29, 2012 9:46 PM CDT
By Xin Xin Liu, News9.com

OKLAHOMA CITY -

A hail-packing storm system has caused two injuries and severe damage in the Oklahoma City metro area Tuesday night.

According to EMSA, two people suffered injuries when they were hit by large hail. A viewer reported seeing a tornado near N.W. 150th Street and Richland in Oklahoma City. But it is not confirmed yet.

OG&E reports about 63,345 customers in the metro area are without power as of 9:30 p.m. Tuesday.

Some windows are blown out at Marriott Hotel in northwest Oklahoma City, which is located near Integris Hospital on N.W. Expressway. A roof at the hotel has also blown off and it fell on some cars.

According to The Village Police, lots of transformers are down across The Village area.

Several power lines are also reportedly down near 8400 N. Council Road.

Severe storm damage was reported all across northwest Oklahoma City and Edmond. News 9's Michael Konopasek reports that power is out near Memorial Road and Western.

A tornado warning was issued for Canadian County and Oklahoma County. It remained in effect until 9 p.m. Tuesday.

A funnel was spotted just southwest of Piedmont, according to News 9 storm chaser Val Castor. It is unclear at this point if it has caused any damage.
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71 mph wind gust reported in Minco, OK. In the tropics, the wave near the Yucatan looks like a mess.
~galvestonhurricane
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Well we are back to steamy. Had severe lightening, and heavy tropical rain up to just a couple hours ago as the last of Beryl's tail dragged past us. I was surprised because I thought the tail has already passed, but she could't go without one last kick!

Now we will have sauna like heat till the next one.

N. FL - West of St. Auggie, South of Jacksonville.
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Quoting jamesrainier:
943 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ARCHER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 941 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL
UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OLNEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN ARCHER AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CLAY
COUNTIES.


Some nasty storms out there tonight... I hope people are heeding warnings.
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
It's nice to have some real time admin with a definitive statement. Maybe something new for the season...we can hope. And I hope he/she has a good sense of humor.


Uh,oh. I may be in trouble. How you doing, Cosmic?
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943 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ARCHER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 941 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL
UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OLNEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN ARCHER AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CLAY
COUNTIES.
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Quoting Tazmanian:



so i guss talking about severe weather is considered off topic?


If it is, then we are all banned...
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
NWS messed up at the wrong time, no tornado warning was with that cell and it appears that could have been easily an EF-2 tornado.

What makes you say that?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Quoting CybrTeddy:
NWS messed up at the wrong time, no tornado warning was with that cell and it appears that could have been easily an EF-2 tornado.


Why would they not warn that storm? I don't understand...
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Here's buoy 41008 referenced in their discussion.

25 kt sustained winds gusting to 31 kts.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

BERYL CONTINUES TO PRODUCE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...
SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CYCLONE
HAVE GREATLY DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
MID-LEVEL DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THAT PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 25 KT...WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT WIND
OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA BUOY 41008 AND SHIP KCDK.

AS EXPECTED...THE DEPRESSION IS ACCELERATING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 065 DEGREES AT 9 KT. THE TRACK GUIDANCE
SHOWS BERYL PICKING UP FORWARD SPEED AS IT MOVES ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT DURING THAT TIME. THEREAFTER...
THERE IS INCREASING SPREAD...WITH THE GFS SHOWING AN INTENSIFYING
CYCLONE MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...WHILE THE ECMWF AND
UKMET MODELS SUGGEST A WEAKER LOW MOVING MORE EASTWARD. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES TO LEAN TOWARD THE LATTER SOLUTION AND
IS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST ALSO FOLLOWS THE ECMWF MODEL BY CALLING FOR THE CYCLONE TO
BE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGER
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN 3 TO 4 DAYS. A POSSIBLE ALTERNATIVE
SCENARIO IS FOR BERYL TO BECOME THE PRIMARY EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

AFTER BERYL EXITS THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
IT IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF THE GULF STREAM.
THIS WILL PROVIDE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR BERYL TO REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT BERYL WILL
BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

ALTHOUGH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A TROPICAL STORM CENTERED NEAR
THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS IN 24 HOURS...IT IS EXPECTED THAT
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WOULD BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
OFFSHORE QUADRANT OF THE CYCLONE. AS A RESULT...NO COASTAL WATCHES
OR WARNINGS CURRENTLY SEEM NECESSARY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0300Z 32.2N 81.3W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 30/1200Z 33.1N 79.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 31/0000Z 34.7N 75.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 31/1200Z 36.5N 71.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 01/0000Z 37.7N 66.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 02/0000Z 40.0N 53.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
NWS messed up at the wrong time, no tornado warning was with that cell and it appears that could have been easily an EF-2 tornado.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24169
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Or maybe not quite yet.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

...BERYL APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 81.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM WNW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

Central pressure dropped.
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
It's nice to have some real time admin with a definitive statement. Maybe something new for the season...we can hope. And I hope he/she has a good sense of humor.



i hope so too or they may wind up with more banned than active...oh well
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It's nice to have some real time admin with a definitive statement. Maybe something new for the season...we can hope. And I hope he/she has a good sense of humor.
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Good night! Whatever happened to the blob near the yucca root?
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Quoting jamesrainier:
What's your source, Walshy?


Oklahoma LIVE News. Their spotter reported a quarter mile wide stove type tornado. Reed Timmer also said he saw it. NWS did not issue a tornado warning. Sirens did go off though.

Link
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 904
OKC power outages per OG&E... 63,345 homes and businesses.

Links to internet live stream coverage with OKC TV mets and spotters:
~KFOR live stream
~OKC Channel 9 live stream


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0973
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/S-CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 317...319...

VALID 300210Z - 300345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
317...319...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WIND THREAT EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT
OF VERY LARGE HAIL ACROSS CNTRL/S-CNTRL OK.

DISCUSSION...COMPLEX INTERACTION BETWEEN SUPERCELLS APPEARS TO BE
EVOLVING INTO A CONVECTIVE LINE/MCS ACROSS CNTRL OK. ONE SUPERCELL
ACCELERATED ACROSS KINGFISHER AND CANADIAN COUNTIES WHILE
LEFT-MOVING AND RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS COLLIDED OVER OKLAHOMA
COUNTY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE COLLISION WILL RESULT IN
UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A MESO-LOW WHILE THE ACCELERATING SUPERCELL
FORMS THE APEX OF A BOWING SEGMENT. THIS LINE SHOULD THEN BEGIN TO
ACCELERATE SWD/SEWD ACROSS CNTRL OK AND INTO S-CNTRL OK.
THEREFORE...CONVECTIVE WIND THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE WITH A
CONTINUING THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL.

..MOSIER/HART.. 05/30/2012

Caught this before the NE and SE moving storms collided over the city.
8:22 p.m. cdt
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Or maybe not quite yet.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

...BERYL APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 81.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM WNW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Beryl's circulation has entered South Carolina.



well it took her long enough
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3189
Beryl's circulation has entered South Carolina.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Environment Canada has succeeded in its bid to have the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) officially retire the name 'Juan' from its rotating list of hurricane names. Environment Canada requested that the name 'Juan' be retired in consideration of the devastating impacts of Hurricane Juan on the people of Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island. It is the first time that Canada has requested the retirement of a hurricane name.

http://web.archive.org/web/20060509051626/http:// atlantic-web1.ns.ec.gc.ca/newsreleases/default.asp ?lang=En&n=561C8A5C-1
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Good evening all
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Wow the sky is lighting up in OK. http://www.weather.com/tv/tvshows/Livestream
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Twould be interesting if a Berylroll were to put a TropicalCyclone into the Gulf or the Caribbean.
Heck it'd be interesting if Beryl headed somewhat south again rather than northeastward as predicted, no matter how little time it spent travelling in that direction.
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892. WunderBlogAdmin (Admin)
Hello Bloggers,

Lets remember to stay on-topic in Dr. Masters' blog! Referencing trolls is not considered on-topic.

Thank you so much!

WunderBlogAdmin
What's your source, Walshy?
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Union City is just under the O in Oklahoma City

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

...No idea.

The only thing I can think of is that Elena (and Gloria which caused considerably less monetary damage than either of the previously listed storms) were more infamous storms for whatever reasons than Juan. Maybe because the population areas targeted (Elena caused evacuations from New Orleans to Tampa because of erratic movement and Gloria targeted the Northeast)? All this is pure speculation though as this was several years prior to my birth.
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looks like something wants to sneak into the BOC
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Union City is a town in Canadian County, Oklahoma, United States. The population was 1,375 at the 2000 census. It is part of the Oklahoma City Metropolitan Statistical Area.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_City,_Oklahoma
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Debris ball forming on radar. NWS fails to issue tornado warning. Tornado still on the ground.

Union City, OK.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 904
TORNADO ON THE GROUND ON THE EAST SIDE OF UNION CITY, OK. NO TORNADO WARNING YET.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 904
I certainly would not include you, doabarrelroll, in any list of trolls.
But then again, it's annoying as heck when people keep dropping in talk of trolls even with no previous mention and no current troll-like behaviour.

Quit paying attention to their existence. Period.
Do not quote trolls.
Do not respond to trolls.
Do MINUS them, then SHOW them, then flag them !

Otherwise, you are doing what they want you to do.
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Starting to see some rotation near Union City, OK. Watch out.
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Quoting 1900hurricane:

Which is what I don't get. Why was Juan not requested for retirement but Elena was, despite Juan causing more damage than Elena did in a similar location?

...No idea.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, LOL.


yeah that was the model that scared grandpato4 so much til he found out it isnt really a model
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I should pay more attention to these things, lol...

The USA didn't request retirement, so therefore it wasn't.

Which is what I don't get. Why was Juan not requested for retirement but Elena was, despite Juan causing more damage than Elena did in a similar location?
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.