Beryl dumping heavy rains; all-time May heat records set in MI, OH

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:55 PM GMT on May 29, 2012

Share this Blog
37
+

Tropical Depression Beryl continues to bring heavy rains to Northern Florida and Southern Georgia, but has begun to move northeast, and will be spreading heavy rains over coastal South Carolina today and North Carolina on Wednesday. Rains of 5 - 8 inches have been common over Northern Florida. These rains have caused numerous problems with street flooding, but no serious damage. The heaviest rains from Beryl so far have been to the southwest of the center, over Lafayette County, Florida, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned one tornado on Monday, near Florida's St. Lucie Medical Center. The twister damaged two roofs and brought down trees and power lines. One swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina, and a 19 year old man is missing and presumed drowned from swimming in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Before becoming a tropical cyclone, Beryl produced heavy rainfall over Cuba, especially Sancti Spíritus Province, where meteorologists reported more than 20 in (510 mm) of precipitation. The rains caused mudslides and flash floods, destroying 47 houses and damaging 1,109 more. Two people died attempting to cross flooded rivers in Cuba.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 12:05 pm EDT May 28, 2012 by NASA's Terra satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 35 mph.

Forecast for Beryl
Beryl will continue to spin and dump copious rains as it treks through Southern Georgia today, and coastal South Carolina and North Carolina on Wednesday. These rains will generally not be heavy enough to cause damaging flooding, since the region is under moderate to severe drought. When Beryl pops off the coast near the North Carolina/South Carolina border on Wednesday, wind shear will be low enough and ocean temperatures warm enough to allow re-intensification to a tropical storm. However, tropical-storm-force winds will probably be limited to the right-front side, over the ocean, and the coast of North Carolina will see winds no greater than 35 mph.


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl from the Valdosta, Georgia radar.

July-like heat wave brings hottest May temperatures on record to Michigan, Ohio
A strong high pressure system anchored over the central U.S. brought more record-smashing May heat to much of the country on Monday. The heat was most notable in Southern Lower Michigan and Northern Ohio, where Detroit (95°F), Flint (93°), Cleveland (92°F), and Toledo, Ohio (96°) tied or set records for their hottest temperature ever recorded in May. On Saturday, at least nine airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 58 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. On Sunday, at least sixteen airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 68 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. Eight airports in the Western U.S. set daily coldest temperature records on Sunday; no airports have set an all-time coldest May temperature record in the U.S. this month. Temperatures 5 - 10°F above average are expected over portions of New England today, but the May 2012 heat wave is pretty much over for the U.S.

Jeff Masters

Beryl's Rain Bands (SunsetSailor)
Beryl's about 75 mi SSE from us and still off shore and on schedule to move over land sometime after mid night. We're getting steady 20-30 mph winds.
Beryl's Rain Bands
Beryl Band (flsky)
Beryl Band

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 530 - 480

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22Blog Index

Quoting StormTracker2K:
I would really watch this line forming in N FL as this could be a bigtime Flood maker across N C FL tonight and tomorrow morning.




Why is Beryl moving east...?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32277
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Plenty of rain approaching the Southern Windwards.



Link


Hmmm that's the moisture that is expected to reach the NW caribbean later this week.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A major general is a Cat 5 storm with a pressure between 900 and 909 mb.
Quoting hydrus:
Major Generals.?..:)


Hurricanes are the officers of the meteorological world.

Lieutenants Cat 1
Captains Cat 2
Majors Cat 3
Colonels Cat 4
Generals Cat 5

Brigadier General (1 star) 910-919 mb
Major General (2 star) 900-909 mb
Lieutenant General (3 star) 890-899 mb
General (4 star) 880-889 mb
5 star General 879 mb and lower.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting GTcooliebai:
1921 the last time a major hit Tampa Bay. By the way since Beryl just plowed into Jacksonville I wonder if that is a sign of things to come?


two storms in less than a week in May before season.....if man can't take that as a sign....then he will get exactly what he deserves
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Quoting RitaEvac:
If rains keep dying out like this at Tampa Bay, then I'd say you got an Omen on yalls head, and something big and bad is coming your way soon.....and it's gonna blow down the shield in such a way that Tampa will never be recognized as it once was.
1921 the last time a major hit Tampa Bay. By the way since Beryl just plowed into Jacksonville I wonder if that is a sign of things to come?
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
I would really watch this line forming in N FL as this could be a bigtime Flood maker across N C FL tonight and tomorrow morning.



Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:



Good thing I'm a Lieutenant Colonel. I outrank majors!
Major Generals.?..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21418
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
RitaEvac I think we'll be having a strengthening El Nino as the year goes on. If I'm right the hurricane season will be a battle of high oceanic heat content vs high shear.


Gulf will be it's own entity and animal, and if one goes it's going off in a bang
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Quoting severstorm:
You know what, that is not the first time i've heard this.


Yea I know, but it's getting awfully and uncomfortably close time now. Only the native Indians know it's a coming
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Plenty of rain approaching the Southern Windwards.



Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
If the blob don`t become Chris we will probably wait for mid June or end June to have Chris.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
How warm does Tampa Bay waters get during peak season? is it cooler than Gulf or warmer?


Warmer sometines in the upper 80's to low 90's. I know I lived there for 3 years when I was a kid.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Storm showing rotation west of Pinellas County.

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
RitaEvac I think we'll be having a strengthening El Nino as the year goes on. If I'm right the hurricane season will be a battle of high oceanic heat content vs high shear.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting severstorm:
You know what, that is not the first time i've heard this.


How much rain did you get today?
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


best lookin pre season storm i've ever seen
if she had to get 36 more hrs over water
would have been a major not a doubt in my mind
then the whole story so far would have been totally different glad it was what it was not what it was trying to become

ya'll got off lucky


Whatever was going on and what was unfolding in front of our eyes, it's a tell tale of what's coming later this season. Gulf storms if they get in or form in it, gonna blow up this year in a big way
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Quoting RitaEvac:
If rains keep dying out like this at Tampa Bay, then I'd say you got an Omen on yalls head, and something big and bad is coming your way soon.....and it's gonna blow down the shield in such a way that Tampa will never be recognized as it once was.
You know what, that is not the first time i've heard this.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting severstorm:
Hey Cyber you get some of that heavy rain that came thru Tampa this afternoon?


It rained for about 20 minutes and has since turned into a light drizzle. By no means a drought buster, or even a dent.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24186
Re: #499 <<Tampa Bay's water is acting as a stabilizing feature to incoming storms. The cooler water is acting as a deterent. >> -- same thing happens to us at the mouth of the Chattahoochee...a lot! (For the record, we are baking under a brilliant sky again today ... not much more than a spitting from Beryl down here.)

So if we transition to El Nino this summer, does that mean prevailing winds will be westerly off the Gulf? If that were to happen and to function like a sea breeze on a grand scale, we may go through yet another summer of below-"average" rainfall along the SW FL coast.

Sigh....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
This link show how much moisture may be pumped into the trough...Link...I posted this earlier, but wanted to show her off one mo time....


the speed of moisture return at the end of the loop is almost certainly a LLJ
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


best lookin pre season storm i've ever seen
if she had to get 36 more hrs over water
would have been a major not a doubt in my mind
then the whole story so far would have been totally different glad it was what it was not what it was trying to become

ya'll got of lucky



Good thing I'm a Lieutenant Colonel. I outrank majors!
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


lol,
look at the gap in Ir over Tampa.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21418
Quoting hydrus:
This link show how much moisture may be pumped into the trough...Link...I posted this earlier, but wanted to show her off one mo time....


best lookin pre season storm i've ever seen
if she had to get 36 more hrs over water
would have been a major not a doubt in my mind
then the whole story so far would have been totally different glad it was what it was not what it was trying to become

ya'll got off lucky
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54419
If rains keep dying out like this at Tampa Bay, then I'd say you got an Omen on yalls head, and something big and bad is coming your way soon.....and it's gonna blow down the shield in such a way that Tampa will never be recognized as it once was.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
RE comment 500 - thanks Neapolitan!

Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
353 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL
UNION AND CENTRAL BRADFORD COUNTIES...

AT 353 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW RIVER...OR NEAR
LAKE BUTLER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


It didn't make landfall on the OBX the eye stayed offshore as far as we know.
Yeah I see it on the map you posted it made landfall as a tropical storm, looks like on the far eastern parts of Long Island.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Hey Cyber you get some of that heavy rain that came thru Tampa this afternoon?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
How warm does Tampa Bay waters get during peak season? is it cooler than Gulf or warmer?
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I thought Hurricane 2 of 1908 was the strongest pre-June landfalling storm?


It didn't make landfall on the OBX the eye stayed offshore as far as we know.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I thought Hurricane 2 of 1908 was the strongest pre-June landfalling storm?
Not according to Chris Landsea at the NHC:

Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall in Jacksonville as the strongest tropical storm to hit land before the beginning of the hurricane season.

Beryl packed 70 mph winds as it came ashore at about midnight Sunday. That was stronger than 1972's Subtropical Storm Alpha, which had peak winds of about 60 mph. It also was stronger than an unnamed storm in 1908 that had top winds of about 65 mph, according to National Hurricane Center meteorologist Chris Landsea.

"This was a little bit stronger impact," Landsea said of Beryl.
(Source)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Tampa Bay's water is acting as a stabilizing feature to incoming storms. The cooler water is acting as a deterent. It may never be the same there ever again.




Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9630
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Finally, nice steady rain coming down in my area. Though it won't last.. it's nice to see.


Looks like another one of these heavy bands are going to set up across N C FL later tonight then drift SE toward Tampa tomorrow morning. Notice the band of higher precip depicted by the HPC.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I thought Hurricane 2 of 1908 was the strongest pre-June landfalling storm?

Turns out, it didn't actually make landfall on the USA.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32277
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

The NHC confirmed yesterday that Beryl was the strongest pre-June USA-landfalling tropical storm on record.
I thought Hurricane 2 of 1908 was the strongest pre-June landfalling storm?
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
According to HURDAT a hurricane was offshore the OBX on May 29, 1908 and brought sustained 55 kt winds near Hatteras.



Remarkably this was not the first tropical cyclone of the year. Not even the first hurricane.

A Cat 2 hurricane had previously hit the NE Caribbean in March 1908!

Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting BrickellBreeze:




lol,
look at the gap in IR and the smaller one in VIS over Tampa.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This link show how much moisture may be pumped into the trough...Link...I posted this earlier, but wanted to show her off one mo time....
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21418
Quoting K8eCane:



It looks on ir satellite like she is trying to wrap convection on the west side. I dont understand how that can happen with the front coming in on her


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
They also stated Beryl wasn't likely to be upgraded to a hurricane in post-season analysis.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32277
Quoting KoritheMan:


I want the exact quote, because I missed it.


Link source jk
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


I want the exact quote, because I missed it.

"As Beryl continues to produce heavy rain over portions of the Southeast U.S...a look into the records books going back to 1851 finds that Beryl is the strongest pre-June U.S. landfalling tropical (or subtropical) cyclone on record, with 60 knot (70 mph) winds.
The most intense U.S. landfall previously was 50 knots (60 mph) from Subtropical Storm Alpha in 1972 - in nearly the same spot as Beryl." -- NWS NOAA National Hurricane Center facebook
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32277
I don't doubt you analyst but where on the NHC site is that statement about Beryl being the strongest pre season storm to hit the USA?
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8630
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I am sticking to my prediction that we won't see "Chris" until at least the middle of next month. The MJO is gone, there are low pressures across the USA, and the models show nothing.

maybe by jun 9th-13th timeframe
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54419
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

...Yesterday. :P


I want the exact quote, because I missed it.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 585 Comments: 20851
Finally, nice steady rain coming down in my area. Though it won't last.. it's nice to see.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24186
Quoting KoritheMan:


When?

...Yesterday. :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32277
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I don't think there's enough Severe Weather warnings out...




Never had one.



Looks like an overkill amount of warnings to me...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

The NHC confirmed yesterday that Beryl was the strongest pre-June USA-landfalling tropical storm on record.
Indeed. One of Beryl's two claims to fame, the other being that it was the earliest second named storm of an Atlantic tropical season since records began in 1950.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes305:


He got the attention span of a 14 year old. lol


Because he is 3 strikes youre out

You are like number 20 and 2 of the day iggy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 530 - 480

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
62 °F
Mostly Cloudy