Beryl makes landfall, weakens to a tropical depression

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:47 PM GMT on May 28, 2012

Share this Blog
34
+

Tropical Storm Beryl lumbered ashore near Jacksonville Beach, Florida at 12:10 am this Memorial Day as an intensifying tropical storm with 70 mph winds. Beryl is only the second named storm to hit on a Memorial Day weekend in the U.S. (the three-day weekend was established in 1971.) The other was Subtropical Storm Alpha of 1972, which followed a path almost identical to Beryl's and made landfall as a 60 mph subtropical storm. Beryl's 70 mph winds at landfall make it the strongest landfalling May tropical cyclone since the May 29, 1908 hurricane, which had 75 mph winds when it brought tropical storm-force winds to the Outer Banks of North Carolina.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 2:35 pm EDT May 27, 2012 by NASA's Aqua satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical storm with winds of 65 mph.

Damage from Beryl has been mostly minor, with reports of street flooding, trees down, one house with a roof torn off, and power outages to 25,000 people in the Jacksonville, Florida area. One swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina, and lifeguards performed dozens of rescues along the Southeast U.S. coast over the weekend due to rip currents generated by Beryl's rough surf. A tornado warning was issued near 10:30 am EDT this morning for the region near the coast to the east of Jacksonville, and Beryl's spiral bands could produce rotating thunderstorms that will trigger more tornado warnings today. A few of the top winds generated by Beryl over the past day:

Mayport, Florida: 47 mph, gusting to 62 mph (11:10 pm Sunday night)
Buck Island, St. Johns River: wind gust of 73 mph (10:35 pm Sunday night)
Huguenot Park: 54 mph, gusting to 63 mph
Jacksonville Naval Air Station: 37 mph, gusting to 48 mph
Brunswick, GA: 31 mph, gusting to 45 mph
Buoy 41012, 46 miles ENE of St. Augustine: 47 mph, gusting to 58 mph


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl from the radar out of Jacksonville, FL.

Forecast for Beryl
Beryl has weakened to a tropical depression, but will continue to spin and dump copious rains as it slowly treks through northern Florida, Southern Georgia, and coastal South Carolina Monday and Tuesday. Radar-estimated rainfall amounts as of Monday morning were generally 1 - 4 inches in Northern Florida and Southern Georgia, with a few regions of 4+ inches. Flooding due to heavy rains is probably not a huge concern with this storm, since the Southeast U.S. coast is under moderate to exceptional drought. The 4 - 8 inches of rain expected from Beryl will provide significant drought relief in Florida and Georgia, which are suffering rainfall deficits of 9 - 12 inches (Figure 3.) When Beryl pops off the coast of South Carolina or North Carolina on Wednesday, the storm will probably be moving fast enough that it won't have time to generate enough rain to cause serious flooding problems in those states.


Figure 3. Much of the Southeast U.S. needs 9 - 12 inches of rain (red colors) to bust the current drought. A drought is defined as "busted" when the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) goes higher than -0.5. Image credit: NOAA.

July-like heat wave continues over much of the U.S.
A strong high pressure system anchored over the central U.S. brought more record-smashing May heat to much of the country on Sunday. The heat was most notable in Indiana, where both South Bend (97°F) and Fort Wayne (96°F) set records for their hottest temperature ever recorded in May. Rockford, Illinois (99°) and Chicago (97°) both had their hottest temperature on record so early in the year. On Saturday, at least nine airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 58 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. A compensating sharp dip in the jet stream allowed three airports in the Western U.S. to set daily coldest temperature records on Saturday. Numerous all-time May heat records will be threatened in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today, where temperatures 15 - 20°F above average are expected.

Jeff Masters

()
Jax Beach Pier pre-Beryl (jaxbeachbadger)
Jax Beach Pier pre-Beryl
Tropical Storm Beryl (Skyepony)
Pouring on Palm Bay.
Tropical Storm Beryl

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 436 - 386

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

Been outside fixing the pool (bad capacitor). Need to check tomorrow's forecast for Charleston and Beryl.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Also there are indications we may see TS Chris in 4 days.


Not quite. That area of shower and thunderstorm activity is being fueled primarily by upper divergence and has shown no signs of persisting, which is what it needs to do in order for a low pressure area to work down to the surface. In addition, wind shear is 30-40 knots and increasing; it should remain unfavorable for tropical development for the next several days at least. None of the models develop it either.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32528
Quoting Skyepony:
All this about Hayes retiring is somewhat disturbing. He was moving funds around to cover gaps in NWS. Investigations showed gross under funding of the NWS, not gross misappropriation or personal use..


Hey Skye..can't find what your saying about Hayes here at that link...any ideas?
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6881



Today's sunset Grand Cayman. Photo taken by StormPetrol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Also there are indications we may see TS Chris in 4 days.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
One of my relatives in Gilchist County west of Gainesville said over 5" has fallen over the last 6 hours. Yikes!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
GR2Analyst reveals Beryl's center is still moving north-northwestward and is passing directly over the city of Valdosta, GA.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32528
429. wxmod
There appears to be a volcano erupting at about -34,48 in deep water in the north Atlantic. The top MODIS satellite photo is of a huge bloom of something. The bottom MODIS photo is of smog that seems to be eminating from the mid Atlantic (same area, but I can't see the source as it's always covered with clouds) and covering the British Isles. There are no known eruptions in that area, but that's what it looks like.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes305:
Hey NCHurricane2009, what do you think about the convec tion firing near Central America?

The background for what triggered this new disturbance in the Caribbean can be found in paragraph P10 of my latest update...

The disturbance has not done what it has needed to do...fire persistent convection to reduce shear/enhance outflow as paragraph P10 explained. Now the disturbance is in shearing southwesterly flow (between Caribbean upper ridging to its east and upper vortex over the Yucatan to its west). Coincidentally...this southwesterly upper flow is also accelerationally divergent (like the southwesterly flow on the east side of a mid-lat trough as explained in post 409). This recent flare-up near Central America is helped by this upper divergence...but if we want development to occur...we need such flare ups to persist for several hours.
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 528 Comments: 3706
going to get a rainbow pic, might upload if i get the time.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


well wilmington is not the ones who would get it.

I don't think he was talking about Severe Weather...
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32528
Quoting ncstorm:


this was the NWS in Wilmington, NC


its in the long term thursday through monday


well wilmington is not the ones who would get it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting BrickellBreeze:
Look at the blow up of convection and thunderstorms in the last couple frames:

Nothing to lol at.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
423. Skyepony (Mod)
All this about Hayes retiring is somewhat disturbing. He was moving funds around to cover gaps in NWS. Investigations showed gross under funding of the NWS, not gross misappropriation or personal use..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38684
Look at the blow up of convection and thunderstorms in the last couple frames:

Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting Hurricanes305:
Hey NCHurricane2009, what do you think about the convection firing near Central America?
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

It happened with Fay 08.
And Irene over Puerto Rico.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
419. Skyepony (Mod)
Swamped cars, basement & stranded people in Central Pennsylvania today.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38684
Hey NCHurricane2009, what do you think about the convec tion firing near Central America?
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
Quoting ncstorm:


lately we have had nothing but rain..last week it stormed here every day with rain and now we are looking at more rain..uggh..

See I don't want that front to clear FL. I want it to stall over central FL. like a couple weeks ago when we had a shield of rain that overtook the area. When these fronts clear, not only do most of the deep tropical moisture get pinned down in the Caribbean, but dry air and wind shear overtake the GOM and we have to wait for High Pressure to move off the East Coast to get a return of that deep tropical moisture and our normal afternoon seabreezes.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
416. Skyepony (Mod)
Highlights on of an article on the Asian Brown cloud..

China and India are some of the world’s top polluters, with countless cars, factories and households belching more than 2 million metric tons of carbon soot and other dark pollutants into the air every year. These pollutants aren’t just bad news for the countries themselves. A new study reveals that they can affect climate thousands of miles away, warming the United States by up to 0.4 degrees C by 2024, while cooling other countries.

The sixfold and 10-fold increases in dark aerosol emissions would cause global average temperatures at ground level to rise 0.1 degrees C by 2024, the researchers report in a forthcoming issue of Geophysical Research Letters. But possibly more important, the thickening brown cloud would trigger significant changes in long-term weather patterns that would affect areas thousands of miles away. The effect would be somewhat like a human-made El Niño, the climate phenomenon in which sea-surface warming in the tropical Pacific alters temperature and precipitation in the United States and elsewhere.

In particular, the large increases in dark aerosol emissions would cause as much as 0.4 degrees C warming in the eastern United States during the winter months and a similar temperature increase over most of the United States during the summer months. In contrast, Greenland, much of northern Canada, and significant swaths of Antarctica would cool by 0.25 degrees C or more during summer and winter.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38684
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

True... you got me there.


But, I Kinda of Agree with you. She is definitly feeding off those warm waters of the Gulf.
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting BrickellBreeze:


Yes, but that was over the everglades, and Fay had just made landfall, Winds could have been at 70mph at Landfall, but the HH did not record them and no surface observations at landfall recorded them due to it making landfall in a rural area

True... you got me there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Looks like Wed. going to be a washout. Not a drastic change in temps. Humidity levels will probably go down and make it feel refreshing at night, once the front clears.


lately we have had nothing but rain..last week it stormed here every day with rain and now we are looking at more rain..uggh..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CosmicEvents:
If you look at the vis wide view it appears that Beryl is a strong low perfectly positioned and presently tapping on moisture from feeder bands in both the Atlantic and the jet fuel in the GOM. She's in the sweet spot right now and may just maintain or gain a little convection as the tropical low eases out to the East...points in coastal Ga through the Carolinas to KH should watch this one......



Land-O-Cane ? lol

--------

Amazing at the Rainfall totals so far... And 4-6 inches are expected on top of that number in some areas of N Florida, as Beryl slowly moves away

Heavy Flooding already occurring in N Florida.

Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting BrickellBreeze:


Your going to get an Outer Band from Beryl soon, should cool things off.


I sure hope your right about that..even the swimming pool was uncomfortable today.
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6881
Quoting ncstorm:




it only goes out to 7 days
Looks like Wed. going to be a washout. Not a drastic change in temps. Humidity levels will probably go down and make it feel refreshing at night, once the front clears.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Will this frontal upper trough impede re-intensification
or will the Gulf stream help it some.



Well...every mid-latitude upper trough has divergence on its east side...the divergence supporting a surface frontal (non-tropical) cyclone. Its seems Beryl is going to "hook up" with the upper trough's divergence while she goes NE...which could allow it to re-strengthen non-tropically. That is why the NHC and maybe some of the models shows some re-strengthening...
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 528 Comments: 3706
Quoting RussianWinter:


Broward, to people from miami, is the beginning of North FL.

LOL! People from Broward are confused as to why Miamians dont consider that Miami
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting pcola57:


Thank you for that link thelmores as it actually works.All I could get was a copy and paste image from anyone before,not an actual working website.

By the way we hit 98 degrees today here in Pensacola smashing the old record by 3 degrees.(It's an official reporting station at regional airport,wonder why it doesn't show up on WU homepage weather events section??


Your going to get an Outer Band from Beryl soon, should cool things off.
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
If you look at the vis wide view it appears that Beryl is a strong low perfectly positioned and presently tapping on moisture from feeder bands in both the Atlantic and the jet fuel in the GOM. She's in the sweet spot right now and may just maintain or gain a little convection as the tropical low eases out to the East...Points in coastal Ga through the Carolinas to the OBX should watch this one......
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

It happened with Fay 08.


Yes, but that was over the everglades, and Fay had just made landfall, Winds could have been at 70mph at Landfall, but the HH did not record them and no surface observations at landfall recorded them due to it making landfall in a rural area
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting thelmores:


Radar images can be found here......, Since nobody else seemed to want to share the link! LOL


Thank you for that link thelmores as it actually works.All I could get was a copy and paste image from anyone before,not an actual working website.

By the way we hit 98 degrees today here in Pensacola smashing the old record by 3 degrees.(It's an official reporting station at regional airport,wonder why it doesn't show up on WU homepage weather events section??)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6881
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


that is what i thought when it showed up at 264 hrs, but here we are at 108 so...
I guess we'll know soon enough when it lifts off to the Northeast and leaves behind some moisture. Could really use some rain in the Tampa Bay area, actually one of the models was showing that scenario. Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Can you post what the temperatures are going to be like?




it only goes out to 7 days
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
From NWS BMX:
.MODELS HAVE CONSTANTLY SHOWN THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIFT
AND INSTABILITY ALONG THE COLD FRONT...BEING THAT THIS IS AN EARLY
JUNE COLD FRONT. A LOT WILL RIDE OVER HOW CLOSE THE SURFACE LOW GETS
TO OUR AREA. IF THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENTS JUST TO OUR WEST AS THE
TROUGH TILTS NEGATIVELY...THE LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY...INCREASING
THE SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WOULD OPEN THE DOOR FOR AN
INCREASED TORNADO THREAT.
ALSO...MODELS HAVE BEGUN TO PICK UP ON A
LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPING AND MOVING OVER THE AREA. AGAIN...IF THE
JET DOES DEVELOP AND STRAIGHTEN...THIS WILL INCREASE OUR CHANCE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.
Some of the models have shown just that, surface low developing and increasing the jet max.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BrickellBreeze:


Is that even possible?



It happened with Fay 08.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting thelmores:


Radar images can be found here......, Since nobody else seemed to want to share the link! LOL


Thank you for that link thelmores as it actually works.All I could get was a copy and paste image from anyone before,not an actual working website.

By the way we hit 98 degrees today here in Pensacola smashing the old record by 3 degrees.(It's an official reporting station at regional airport,wonder why it doesn't show up on WU homepage weather events section??
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6881
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Is it me or is Beryl beginning to decouple?



The Center has lost definition, but the bands are still circulating around.
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Off topic
Would the NHC now use the 130 mph mark in official advisories since they changed the scale?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


link?

it is only 90 -120 hrs out


this was the NWS in Wilmington, NC


its in the long term thursday through monday
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Beyrl is beginning to fire more convection. She might intensify back to 35 Mph if she keeps this up.


Is that even possible?


Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting gator23:

Broward is Miami's Canada


Broward, to people from miami, is the beginning of North FL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I can't believe there are prospects for a severe weather event and we are near June, especially this far Southeast.


that is what i thought when it showed up at 264 hrs, but here we are at 108 so...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Is it me or is Beryl beginning to decouple?

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Will be in Tropics chat, if anyone wants to talk about Beryl, Live.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
good evening all just wanted to let you know we have only got about .75 of a inch in Tallahassee area but to our east they have been slammed. Hope every one on the east coast is ok and this was a good wake up call that this can happen at a fast pace and early on. Thanks for all the updates posted and the best info any where.


Matt
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
only thing missing for tornadoes seems to be undirectional low level shear, which a surface low or a LLJ could provide.

from louisville,ky:
It does appear that instability and shear would be in
close proximity to each other which may result in an regional
outbreak of severe from the southeast US northeastward along the
western spine of the Appalachians.


This event has made it into almost every HWO, and some WFO's think the GFS is initializing more accurately to predict the long term.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
From NWS BMX:
.MODELS HAVE CONSTANTLY SHOWN THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIFT
AND INSTABILITY ALONG THE COLD FRONT...BEING THAT THIS IS AN EARLY
JUNE COLD FRONT. A LOT WILL RIDE OVER HOW CLOSE THE SURFACE LOW GETS
TO OUR AREA. IF THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENTS JUST TO OUR WEST AS THE
TROUGH TILTS NEGATIVELY...THE LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY...INCREASING
THE SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WOULD OPEN THE DOOR FOR AN
INCREASED TORNADO THREAT. ALSO...MODELS HAVE BEGUN TO PICK UP ON A
LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPING AND MOVING OVER THE AREA. AGAIN...IF THE
JET DOES DEVELOP AND STRAIGHTEN...THIS WILL INCREASE OUR CHANCE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I can't believe there are prospects for a severe weather event and we are near June, especially this far Southeast.

This has been a pretty forgiving severe weather season so far, at least for the last month and a half... Only a couple bad outbreaks, nothing like last year thankfully.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Beyrl is beginning to fire more convection. She might intensify back to 35 Mph if she keeps this up.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 436 - 386

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.