Bud the strongest Eastern Pacific hurricane so early in the year; 94L may develop

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:14 PM GMT on May 25, 2012

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Category 2 Hurricane Bud is weakening, but still presents a formidable rainfall threat as it continues north-northeast towards an expected landfall between Manzanillo and Puerto Vallarta, Mexico late Friday night. Thursday night at 11 pm EDT, Bud peaked at Category 3 status, with 115 mph winds, becoming the earliest Category 3 hurricane on record in the Eastern Pacific. Recent Satellite loops show that Bud has weakened, though. The eye has disappeared, and the cloud pattern has shrunk and appears squashed, due to an increase in dry air, wind shear, and cooler sea surface temperatures affecting the storm. These hostile conditions should continue to weaken Bud to a Category 1 hurricane or strong tropical storm by the time of landfall. Bud is projected to cross the coast in a rugged, relatively unpopulated area, so wind and storm surge damage will probably be light to moderate. Heavy rain will cover a much wider area, and will be the main threat from Bud. The coast where Bud is headed towards is very mountainous, and numerous flash floods and dangerous mudslides will affect the region, probably including the cities of Manzanillo and Puerto Vallarta. I don't think Puerto Vallarta will see much in the way of wind or storm surge damage, since it is in a well-protected location and will probably be on the weak (left-front) side of the hurricane. Manzanillo is at higher risk, since it will probably be on the stronger right-front side of the hurricane.


Figure 1. True-color satellite image of Hurricane Bud taken at 12:25 pm EDT May 24, 2012. At the time, Bud was a Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

A record May for the Eastern Pacific hurricane season
Bud is the strongest Eastern Pacific hurricane on record for so early in the year, and is tied with Hurricane Alma of 2002 (115 mph winds) as the second strongest May hurricane on record in the Eastern Pacific. Only Hurricane Adolph of 2001 (145 mph winds) was stronger. Also, Bud's appearance on May 21 marked the earliest date since record keeping began in 1949 for formation of the season's second named storm. The previous record was set in 1984, when the second named storm formed on May 29. Hurricanes are uncommon in the Eastern Pacific in May; there have been just twelve since record keeping began in 1949--an average of one May hurricane every five years. If Bud ends up making landfall in Mexico as a hurricane, it would be only the second Eastern Pacific May hurricane on record to hit Mexico. The other was Hurricane Agatha of May 24, 1971, which hit the same stretch of coast that Bud is threatening. Agatha made landfall as a Category 2 hurricane about 45 mi (75 km) from Zihuatanejo, Mexico. Ocean temperatures this year in the region where Aletta and Bud formed are only slightly above average, so the large-scale atmospheric patterns are probably more to blame for this year's exceptionally early start to hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Invest 94L.

Invest 94L off the Georgia coast could develop this weekend
An area of disturbed weather (Invest 94L) a few hundred miles east of the Georgia coast is headed northeast at about 15 mph. The disturbance has not become more organized over the past day, due to very high wind shear of 40 - 55 knots. However, the latest SHIPS model forecast predicts that wind shear will drop to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, on Saturday and Sunday. Most of our reliable models predict that 94L could organize into a subtropical or tropical depression or storm on Saturday or Sunday off the coast of Georgia/South Carolina. NHC is giving 94L a 70% chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical depression by Sunday morning. A ridge of high pressure is expected to build in over the weekend off the East Coast, which will force 94L to the west back towards the coast, and heavy rains from 94L are likely to begin affecting coastal South Carolina, Georgia, and Northern Florida on Saturday and Sunday. There is a lot of dry, continental air on the west side of 94L, so the rainfall amounts from the storm will be limited unless until the center makes landfall. If these rains do materialize, they would be welcome, considering the moderate to severe drought conditions in the area.

I'll have an update Saturday.

Jeff Masters

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FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 32.5N 74.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 32.3N 75.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 31.4N 77.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 30.5N 79.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 30.2N 81.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL
72H 29/0000Z 30.5N 83.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/0000Z 31.2N 82.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/0000Z 32.5N 78.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


what??? just 50 mph peak? It's 45 mph right now
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Extremely conservative forecast...peak of 50 mph.
Agreed. Their reasoning behind it is somewhat valid though.

SHIPS has upper-level winds subsiding to around 16kts in about 12 hours and still keeps intensification very slow. Should be interesting.
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Quoting MississippiWx:
Lol. Can someone post the first advisory from the NHC on Beryl? I can't seem to find it anywhere. Thanks.

Got to www.nhc.noaa.gov?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Devils win!!!

Beryl forms!

Wedge Tornado moving north of La Crosse...
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15947
1478. Grothar
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Got Gro, SJ, StormChaser, TA13, MissWx, and Kori all here tonight. Like the ol' days haaha.



Hey 09, How's your globe?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27090
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Got Gro, SJ, StormChaser, TA13, MissWx, and Kori all here tonight. Like the ol' days haaha.



Woo hoo!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Got Gro, SJ, StormChaser, TA13, MissWx, and Kori all here tonight. Like the ol' days haaha.



The late night crew never really changes...Except for poor Lefty, haven't seen him in ages.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I have a 10-20% chance of seeing TS force winds.
That is one big cone of uncertainty
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9746
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Not tropical until Monday? 50 mph peak?

Uhh, can we order a new forecaster?


Although maybe a little conservative, I think the forecast is really close based on the data I have seen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Preview from my upcoming blog post on this situation...I agree....

"P8...A pair of tropical waves are in the tropical belt of the Atlantic...one that has entered the Caribbean from the Lesser Antilles...the other following behind hundreds of miles to the east. Both waves are suppressed by dry air mentioned at the end of paragraph P7 above. Upper easterlies (aligned with low-level easterlies) on the south side of paragraph P7's upper ridging means favorable low shear. If the western of the two tropical waves overcomes the dry air and starts to develop T-storm activity in this low shear environment...this may lead to yet another area of interest. Absolutely no signs of that at this time."


bold#1yes
bold#2kinda
bold#3 yes
your bold my italic#1 I say TW in Caribbean is do that
your bold my italic#2 I expect another AOI

lastly I waqs looking on the WV loop and I see 3 spots of moisture one with thw tropical wave one with the one that TS beryl left in the NW caribbean and one with the monsoon trough in the SW carib

if you loop it you will see all three and inbetwee are getting moist and when D-Max comes in I expect to se it even more
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Is the ACE added for subtropicals.???


Nope.
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1471. Grothar
Quoting MississippiWx:
Lol. Can someone post the first advisory from the NHC on Beryl? I can't seem to find it anywhere. Thanks.


:)
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27090
Nice explanation at the end of the advisory as to why they went with sub-tropical as opposed to tropical at this time. Perhaps not fully warm cored yet.........Wait until She crosses the Gulf Stream on the way back to shore and picks up a little more heat...
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9375
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Not tropical until Monday? 50 mph peak?

Uhh, can we order a new forecaster?


You rang? :P
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That sub-storm could get into the Gulf of Mexico....
Is the ACE added for subtropicals.???
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Quoting hurricanejunky:
Tropical Storm Beryl...I smell a chase...
The Xtreme Weather Team is at ChaseCon 4.
I'll let everyone know if we go live.


Hey Junky! Sorry I never got back to you. Just saw the WU mail, and my outbound email isn't working.

My guess is, you'll end up in Sav in if you want the weather associated with this system.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Not tropical until Monday? 50 mph peak?

Uhh, can we order a new forecaster?

Thank you for the request! I want another forecaster too!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Lol. Can someone post the first advisory from the NHC on Beryl? I can't seem to find it anywhere. Thanks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/ 024328.shtml?5-daynl#contents


Subtropical storm is here
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Got Gro, SJ, StormChaser, TA13, MissWx, and Kori all here tonight. Like the ol' days haaha.

...and Cybr, and Progressive, and what the hell did I get myself into with naming too many handles for me to remember...LOL.
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CONE OF DOOM!

forecasted only to become 50 mph storm, i beg to differ. thinking 60-65.
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1461. hydrus
The model runs on Sunday should have a handle on whatever materializes.
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I think the advisory has been posted enough times. Just sayin'. =/

Plus I posted it first. Hehehe! =P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Tropical Storm Beryl...I smell a chase...
The Xtreme Weather Team is at ChaseCon 4.
I'll let everyone know if we go live.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Not tropical until Monday? 50 mph peak?

Uhh, can we order a new forecaster?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1457. WxLogic
Got beat
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1456. Grothar
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE PICTURES AS WELL AS REPORTS
FROM NOAA BUOY 41002 THIS EVENING INDICATE THAT THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST HAS
COALESCED INTO A TIGHT...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION. AROUND 2200
UTC...THE BUOY REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1004 MB ALONG WITH
PEAK 1-MINUTE WINDS OF 37 KNOTS...SUGGESTING A MINIMUM PRESSURE
AROUND 1001 MB. SINCE THAT TIME...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE
CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE
GENERALLY COOLED. DVORAK SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND
TAFB WERE A SUBTROPICAL ST2.5. GIVEN THESE DATA AND THE FACT THAT
THE SYSTEM IS CENTERED UNDERNEATH AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE...
THE LOW IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME
WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT.

Link ro rest


Link
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27090
Florida landfall as a 50mph TS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Now, I can go calmly read the advisory ;-)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Got the camera charging up... ready to head for Charleston first thing in the morning :) It's so weird earlier today I was worrying I'll have nothing to do in Charleston except for my cousin's party and now Mother Nature decided to give me a gift so I can have something to do in Charleston. Shame I wish I can go down to Georgia...
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8046
1452. cg2916


Could hit GA.
Member Since: December 21, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 3046
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE PICTURES AS WELL AS REPORTS
FROM NOAA BUOY 41002 THIS EVENING INDICATE THAT THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST HAS
COALESCED INTO A TIGHT...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION. AROUND 2200
UTC...THE BUOY REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1004 MB ALONG WITH
PEAK 1-MINUTE WINDS OF 37 KNOTS...SUGGESTING A MINIMUM PRESSURE
AROUND 1001 MB. SINCE THAT TIME...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE
CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE
GENERALLY COOLED. DVORAK SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND
TAFB WERE A SUBTROPICAL ST2.5. GIVEN THESE DATA AND THE FACT THAT
THE SYSTEM IS CENTERED UNDERNEATH AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE...
THE LOW IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME
WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 015/08...THOUGH RECENT FIXES SUGGEST
THAT THE FORWARD SPEED MAY BE SLOWING. A MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHEASTERN STATES IS TEMPORARILY
LEAVING BERYL IN A REGION OF WEAK STEERING. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS
AGREE THAT BERYL WILL TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
STEERED AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL HIGH
FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING BERYL INLAND OVER A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S IN
ABOUT 2 DAYS...WHERE IT SHOULD BRIEFLY STALL. ALTHOUGH THE SPREAD
IN THE GUIDANCE INCREASES AFTER THIS TIME...ALL THE MODELS SHOW A
DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM THE PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES IN
THE 3-5 DAY PERIOD. THIS SHOULD CAUSE BERYL TO TURN EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD WITH SOME ACCELERATION...WITH THE CENTER LIKELY
EMERGING OVER WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST TRACK REPRESENTS A BLEND OF THE
MORE RELIABLE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS AND IS A BIT SOUTH OF THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE PROXIMITY OF BERYL TO AN UPPER-LEVEL COLD LOW MAY SLOW ITS
ABILITY TO TRANSITON TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. MARGINALLY WARM WATERS
AND DRY AIR IN THE VICINITY OF THE CYCLONE COULD ALSO IMPEDE ITS
INTENSIFICATION...ALONG WITH A PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR FORECAST OVER THE STORM. ONE POSITIVE FACTOR COULD BE
THE PASSAGE OF BERYL OVER WARM GULF STREAM WATERS WHICH COULD
POTENTIALLY PROVIDE IT WITH A MOMENTARY BOOST. THE OFFICIAL NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE WHICH
SHOWS ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ONCE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND.




FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 32.5N 74.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 32.3N 75.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 31.4N 77.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 30.5N 79.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 30.2N 81.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL
72H 29/0000Z 30.5N 83.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/0000Z 31.2N 82.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/0000Z 32.5N 78.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We have Subtropical Storm Beryl!

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST...FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Extremely conservative forecast...peak of 50 mph.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
Poll time:

How many people do you think have their finger on the NHC button on their keyboard.

A. 235
B. Just the ones under age 60
C. Just the ones not watching reruns or the Sports
channel


D. Those not watching The "Weather" Channel
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


You have no idea how ecstatic I am right now.


The downside of course will be the potential damage (major flooding and beach erosion to start with) but this is quite awesome. Against numerous obstacles (dry air to the west; slightly cooler waters to the north; high sheer, etc.), we will remember this one....Blows Alberto away from a few years ago on the Texas coast for entertainment value for sure...........
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9375
Funky track.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hello Beryl... your early haha :D
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
WTNT42 KNHC 260243
TCDAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE PICTURES AS WELL AS REPORTS
FROM NOAA BUOY 41002 THIS EVENING INDICATE THAT THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST HAS
COALESCED INTO A TIGHT...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION. AROUND 2200
UTC...THE BUOY REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1004 MB ALONG WITH
PEAK 1-MINUTE WINDS OF 37 KNOTS...SUGGESTING A MINIMUM PRESSURE
AROUND 1001 MB. SINCE THAT TIME...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE
CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE
GENERALLY COOLED. DVORAK SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND
TAFB WERE A SUBTROPICAL ST2.5. GIVEN THESE DATA AND THE FACT THAT
THE SYSTEM IS CENTERED UNDERNEATH AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE...
THE LOW IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME
WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 015/08...THOUGH RECENT FIXES SUGGEST
THAT THE FORWARD SPEED MAY BE SLOWING. A MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHEASTERN STATES IS TEMPORARILY
LEAVING BERYL IN A REGION OF WEAK STEERING. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS
AGREE THAT BERYL WILL TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
STEERED AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL HIGH
FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING BERYL INLAND OVER A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S IN
ABOUT 2 DAYS...WHERE IT SHOULD BRIEFLY STALL. ALTHOUGH THE SPREAD
IN THE GUIDANCE INCREASES AFTER THIS TIME...ALL THE MODELS SHOW A
DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM THE PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES IN
THE 3-5 DAY PERIOD. THIS SHOULD CAUSE BERYL TO TURN EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD WITH SOME ACCELERATION...WITH THE CENTER LIKELY
EMERGING OVER WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST TRACK REPRESENTS A BLEND OF THE
MORE RELIABLE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS AND IS A BIT SOUTH OF THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE PROXIMITY OF BERYL TO AN UPPER-LEVEL COLD LOW MAY SLOW ITS
ABILITY TO TRANSITON TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. MARGINALLY WARM WATERS
AND DRY AIR IN THE VICINITY OF THE CYCLONE COULD ALSO IMPEDE ITS
INTENSIFICATION...ALONG WITH A PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR FORECAST OVER THE STORM. ONE POSITIVE FACTOR COULD BE
THE PASSAGE OF BERYL OVER WARM GULF STREAM WATERS WHICH COULD
POTENTIALLY PROVIDE IT WITH A MOMENTARY BOOST. THE OFFICIAL NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE WHICH
SHOWS ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ONCE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND.




FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 32.5N 74.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 32.3N 75.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 31.4N 77.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 30.5N 79.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 30.2N 81.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL
72H 29/0000Z 30.5N 83.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/0000Z 31.2N 82.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/0000Z 32.5N 78.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER
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Link
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We have Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl!
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Cantore messed it up... this is a Subtropical Storm. He said Tropical Storm. Oops
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LOL.
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11:00 PM EDT Fri May 25
Location: 32.5°N 74.8°W
Max sustained: 45 mph
Moving: N at 9 mph
Min pressure: 1001 mb
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
Poll time:

How many people do you think have their finger on the NHC button on their keyboard.

A. 235
B. Just the ones under age 60
C. Just the ones not watching reruns or the Sports
channel

C....

000
WTNT32 KNHC 260242
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
Poll time:

How many people do you think have their finger on the NHC button on their keyboard.

A. 235
B. Just the ones under age 60
C. Just the ones not watching reruns or the Sports
channel


235,000 lol
Im dont, im waiting till 10:59edt
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9746
Quoting Grothar:


Most of us never leave. Just shows you how interest ing our lives are. How you doing Galveston?


I'm doing great! It has been nice and warm here (and everywhere, I guess), perfect for going to the beach! Just finished with another year of school today, so I guess I couldn't be better! What have you been up to?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST...
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15947

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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