Moderate Risk of tornadoes for Kansas; 1-year Super Outbreak anniversary

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:21 PM GMT on April 27, 2012

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A dangerous severe weather threat is developing for Kansas today, where a small but potent storm system in the western part of the state will intensify and move east. By late this afternoon, the storm will spawn supercell thunderstorms capable of bringing large hail and strong tornadoes to eastern Kansas and extreme western Missouri. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed this region in its "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather, the second highest level of alert. Cities in the Moderate Risk area include Topeka, Kansas, and Kansas City, Missouri.


Figure 1. Severe weather outlook for April 27, 2012, from our severe weather page.

One-year anniversary of the April 27, 2011 Super Tornado Outbreak
One year ago today, an astonishing outbreak of atmospheric violence unparalleled in world history hit the Southeast U.S. A total of 199 tornadoes touched down, including eleven violent EF-4s and four maximum-strength EF-5s. The 4-day period April 25 - 28 was the largest and most damaging severe weather outbreak in world history, with a total of 358 tornadoes, $10.4 billion in damage, and 321 deaths.


Video 1. Remarkable video of the tornado that hit Tuscaloosa, Alabama on April 27, 2011. Fast forward to 4:15 to see the worst of the storm.


Video 2. CBS42 meteorologist Mark Prater tracks the Tuscaloosa, Alabama tornado of April 27, 2011.


Video 3. Five-minute look at the Tuscaloosa tornado of April 27, 2011 and the damage it wrought.

Jeff Masters

As Is (teach50)
My husband and I were visiting my parents in Birmingham, Alabama. We decided to take a day trip to Tuscaloosa to see the damage from the April 27 tornado. It was a sight that I will never forget. Blocks and blocks of flattened houses and stores. This area has not been touched in 2 months. It was so moving that I started to cry thinking of all these poor people.
As Is

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This water has to start surging eastward.
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This is it for me, goodnite folks.......................SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
843 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

GAZ026-028-029-SCZ010>012-019-280145-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-ELBERT-FRANKLIN-GREENWOOD-HART -LAURENS-
843 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ABBEVILLE...ELBERT...GREENWOOD...
SOUTHERN ANDERSON...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHERN HART AND SOUTHERN
LAURENS COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM EDT...

AT 839 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ARCADE TO 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HODGES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
RUCKERSVILLE...
LAKE RUSSELL...
ABBEVILLE...
ELBERTON...
LAKE GREENWOOD...
CROSS HILL...

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3401 8224 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
3401 8259 3396 8256 3398 8266 3398 8287
3417 8311 3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317
3426 8331 3422 8335 3436 8339 3443 8174
3430 8189 3420 8194 3413 8187 3395 8202

$$

JOH
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53500
Quoting weatherh98:


The difference is _________________?

A tropical wave is an elongated area of low pressure that typically originated from Africa and moves east to west across the tropics. A trough is an area of relatively low atmospheric pressure that is typically connected to, or originate, from fronts.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It's not a wave, it's a trough. We probably won't have our first tropical wave until sometime in mid to late May.


The difference is _________________?
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Para los people de aca :O
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Quoting hydrus:
More moisture moving in to Florida.


Still up for question but it looks like most of the heavy rainfall might stay just to the east of south florida as per the GFS.

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
734 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018- VAZ052>057-
281000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
734 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR BALTIMORE
HARBOR AND CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE MARYLAND
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO SMITH POINT AND FOR TANGIER
SOUND.

A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT FOR HARFORD AND
NORTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY NIGHT FOR A PORTION
OF THE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$
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Quoting weatherh98:


creeping into florida

this wave might develop in the epac

It's not a wave, it's a trough. We probably won't have our first tropical wave until sometime in mid to late May.
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
829 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

SCZ032-033-280130-
FLORENCE-MARION-
829 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS FLORENCE AND MARION
COUNTIES THROUGH 930 PM EDT...

AT 829 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SARDIS...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE CITY...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE CLAUSSEN...EFFINGHAM...EVERGREEN...
FRIENDFIELD...GRESHAM...HYMAN...NEW HOPE...PAMPLICO...SARDIS...WEST
MARION...COWARD AND SCRANTON.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7942 3390 7933 3388 7985 3389 7986
3388 7989 3389 7992 3397 7994 3399 7990
3402 7995 3406 7997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 257DEG 23KT 3399 7983

$$

WEISS
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creeping into florida

this wave might develop in the epac
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Quoting Patrap:



BP and their Disaster.
total agreement here for sure
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Quoting LargoFl:
Interesting article here..whats killing the dolphins in the GULF?..............Link



BP and their Disaster.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
..tracking Ivan and "son of Ivan" was a crazy thing..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
Interesting article here..whats killing the dolphins in the GULF?..............Link
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Quoting gulfbreeze:
There where no weather stations intack where the eyewall went ashore I was here and I can tell you the winds where above 135 mph!!!


Crap! Im sorry thought we were talking about Ike, oops sorry, I was under the impression ivan was 4 at landfall..



Yes cat 3, I remember tracking ivan as it curved around! cool storm!
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A Lot of Damage and surge was Ivan's calling card and History.

A Powerful storm no doubt..

Uploaded by RepJeffMiller on Jun 1, 2011


Footage from Hurricane Ivan. Ivan made land fall on September 16, 2004 as a Category 3 storm. It was the 10th most intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded and the 6th costliest to the United States.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
Quoting weatherh98:


No lol it was massive and therefore had a great storm surge however that isn't taken into account in the saffir-Simpson scale
There where no weather stations intack where the eyewall went ashore I was here and I can tell you the winds where above 135 mph!!!
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
754 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

GAZ024-025-027-280030-
754 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING IN MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

AT 751 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM MAYSVILLE TO PAOLI...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1.0 INCHES AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES...
INCLUDING AREAS AROUND HARRISON...FIVE POINTS...POCATALIGO...APPLE
VALLEY...MAYSVILLE...DANIELSVILLE...COMMERCE...IL A...COMER AND
PAOLI. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS ALSO LIKELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3438 8338 3433 8339 3425 8333 3427 8329
3425 8325 3425 8316 3427 8311 3423 8307
3417 8309 3415 8305 3405 8299 3409 8341
3425 8367 3430 8362 3431 8363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 286DEG 21KT 3424 8360 3416 8340
3413 8308

$$
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Quoting nigel20:

Hey pedley. What's up?


Not much, just trying to catch up with the blog, almost there.
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SCC027-085-280030-
/O.NEW.KCAE.SV.W.0062.120427T2352Z-120428T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
752 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTERN CLARENDON COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 750 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SOUTH SUMTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME COMMUNITIES IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE SUMTER...SOUTH
SUMTER...MULBERRY AND MILLWOOD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...TOLL FREE 1 877 6 3
3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3380 7995 3377 7999 3374 7998 3366 8003
3390 8054 3404 8046 3399 8025 3398 8018
3396 8018 3397 8014 3394 7996 3389 7994
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 290DEG 17KT 3388 8033

$$
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Quoting ScottLincoln:
Yikes, surprise low-level circulation from the low topped cell near Overbrook and Vassar, KS.

Also appears to be a reduction in CC associated with the apparently circulation at 2500ft ARL.


Judging from the continued drop in RHO/CC evident on KTWX, it is possible that a weak tornado touched down briefly just northeast of Vassar, KS, and caused damage in the northern recreation areas of Pomona Lake.

Some forested areas and a few small residential neighborhoods are in the area, just south of 205th St and east of Lake Rd 2.
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Quoting EugeneTillman:

If anything, he'll be re-evaluated 5 or 10 mph less that what he was initially pegged for by the NHC. Then there's no way of any chance of upgrade in the future...


They never did with Floyd, which was also 155 mph.

There is no evidence at all to support any decrease in intensity at peak, in fact several satellite agencies at peak had Igor as a Category 5 cyclone. That was the case with Emily in 2005, it was upgraded to Category 5 later on.
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WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 194
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
711 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

KSC001-099-125-133-205-207-280200-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.A.0194.000000T0000Z-120428T0200Z/

TORNADO WATCH 194 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS

ALLEN LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHANUTE...COFFEYVILLE...FREDONIA...
INDEPENDENCE...IOLA...PARSONS AND YATES CENTER.

$$

JAKUB
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comparing past storms CAT5 Ivan. IMO, Igor not a CAT 5, very close but, no ciggies.

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Yikes, surprise low-level circulation from the low topped cell near Overbrook and Vassar, KS.

Also appears to be a reduction in CC associated with the apparently circulation at 2500ft ARL.
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local weather guy said that a low is trying to form below florida, they dont know yet, where this is headed, or how much if any rain will fall on florida..maybe tomorrow they will get a better handle on it, we sure could use more rainfall here in central florida,dry as a bone it is..
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
615 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-281000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
615 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO SOUTH FLORIDA SATURDAY
AND POSSIBLY OCCUR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AS A LOW LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES THE AREA AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WHILE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH, THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL INCREASE, ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
CONTINUED MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA BEACHES OVER THE WEEKEND AND TO THE MID WEEK PERIOD.

INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS MAY ALSO RESULT IN SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
And right on cue, just like every other storm today, the Topeka storm has crumbled!
no new warnings out as of 8:05
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
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April 27 is cursed...

100 years ago.

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And right on cue, just like every other storm today, the Topeka storm has crumbled!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7728
Quoting PedleyCA:


It is loading as of right now....

Hey pedley. What's up?
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Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
Does anyone use Mint.com? I haven't been able to access the homepage for the past 24 hours...


It is loading as of right now....
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
All of a sudden a nice hook on the storm heading for Topeka

Right on cue, look out Topeka

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
651 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...
CENTRAL SHAWNEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 648 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BURLINGAME...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT HOUSE AND BUILDING DAMAGE POSSIBLE. MOBILE
HOMES COMPLETELY DESTROYED IF HIT. SOME TREES UPROOTED OR
SNAPPED. VEHICLES WILL LIKELY BE THROWN BY TORNADIC WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOPEKA...AUBURN...PAULINE...TECUMSEH...FORBES FIELD AND BILLARD
AIRPORT.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 161 AND 184.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 351 AND 355.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3881 9575 3882 9595 3886 9595 3917 9581
3912 9559 3907 9560 3905 9558 3907 9555
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 206DEG 40KT 3886 9584

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

PHILLIPS

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7728
All of a sudden a nice hook on the storm heading for Topeka
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7728
Quoting gulfbreeze:
They should upgrade Ivan to a cat 4 at landfall on the Gulf Coast.

Maybe, I saw pictures of the damage and it looked pretty extreme
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
And out on nowhere both of the cells have rotation showing on radar. They are now surfaced based.


I'm not sure if the rotation is the clue to whether or not they are surface-based. I think a better indicator would be watching them slow down and turn to the right. That is a better indication that they are ingesting and being altered by near-surface winds.
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Topeka's under a warning now:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
647 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS...
CENTRAL SHAWNEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 643 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
HARVEYVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. AT 637 PM...GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL
WAS REPORTED IN HARVEYVILLE.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOPEKA...AUBURN...DOVER...PAULINE...SILVER LAKE...TECUMSEH...
GRANTVILLE...MERIDEN...PERRY LAKE...FORBES FIELD AND BILLARD
AIRPORT.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 168 AND 184.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 348 AND 355.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3919 9543 3888 9570 3890 9594 3896 9595
3922 9586 3922 9559
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 211DEG 35KT 3886 9587

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50 MPH

$$
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7728
Quoting gulfbreeze:
They should upgrade Ivan to a cat 4 at landfall on the Gulf Coast.


No lol it was massive and therefore had a great storm surge however that isn't taken into account in the saffir-Simpson scale
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Dr. Greg Forbes
It's generally looking like a "forecast bust" today, as the cap won't break down in southeast KS where it's most unstable. That's a good thing for the public! The upper-air system was so small that it missed southeast KS and wasn't able to lift off the cap (warm air aloft) there. The tornado threat appears to be continuing to diminish.
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More moisture moving in to Florida.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20932
And out on nowhere both of the cells have rotation showing on radar. They are now surfaced based.
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Storm northeast of Osage city is starting to crank up... The one headed towards Topeka has a hook forming
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Quoting kmanislander:


The upgrading of the November 1932 hurricane to CAT 5 will not come as a surprise to those living in the Cayman Islands. That same hurricane destroyed the island of Cayman Brac and killed a large number of its inhabitants. Tidal waves over 40 feet high swept ashore drowning many. My mother was a child then and recalls trekking through ocean water inland to get to high ground with her parents. Many bodies were found in tree tops. One family that owned a two storey home had tiger sharks swimming around the downstairs !.

We have always believed that hurricane was a CAT 5 so seeing it upgraded now confirms that. It was the worst recorded hurricane in the history of these islands.
November will probably be a more active month as time wears on.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20932

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.