Extreme 111° heat hits Texas; floods kill 9 in Haiti

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:25 PM GMT on April 26, 2012

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Another round of unprecedented April heat hit the U.S. yesterday, and this time it was Texas' turn to see large sections of the state with the hottest April temperatures in over a century of record keeping. Seven major airports in Texas set all-time April high temperatures yesterday:

Amarillo, TX: 99° (old April record 98° on 4/22/1989 and 4/22/1965)
Lubbock, TX: 101° (old April record 100° on 4/16/1925 and /22/1989)
Dalhart, TX: 96° (old April record 94° on 4/22/1989)
Borger, TX: 99° (tied April record set on 4/22/1965)
Midland, TX: 104° (old April record 101° on 4/21/1989)
Abilene, TX: 104° (old April record 102° on 4/16/1925)
Childress, TX: 106° (old April record 102° on three occasions, most recently on 4/3/2011)

According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt, both Texas and Oklahoma came within 2°F of their all-time April state high temperature record yesterday. Altus, Oklahoma hit 104°, falling 2° short of the April state record of 106° set at the Magnum Research Station in 1972. In the Texas Mesonet, it hit 111° at Knox City 3NW, which is just 2° short of the Texas April state record of 113° set at Catarina in 1984. According to Mr. Burt, What is amazing is that Knox City is in the north-central part of the state, not down in the Rio Grande region like Catarina. The 111° would probably be pretty close to whatever the all-time hottest temp for ANY month might be in that location (probably around 115°). On Sunday this week, Nevada just missed setting their April state high temperature record, when the mercury hit 105° in Laughlin (April state record: 106° in 1989.)


Figure 1. At least 36 of the roughly 400 major U.S. cities that maintain automated weather sensors at their local airports (8%) have set or tied all-time April high temperature records so far this month. The records set yesterday in Texas are not yet in the database, and are not included on this map. Image taken from our new Record Extremes page.

Earlier this week, all-time record April heat hit large portions of Arizona, California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, and Wyoming. At least 36 of the roughly 400 major U.S. cities that maintain automated weather sensors at their local airports (8%) have set or tied all-time April high temperature records so far this month; no all-time April cold records have been set. The U.S. has been on an extraordinary pace of setting high temperature records so far in 2012. During March 2012, an astonishing 32% of all the major airports in the U.S. set all-time March high temperature records. For the year-to-date, there have been 184 new all-time monthly high temperature records set at the major airports, and 6 all-time monthly low temperature records. Not surprisingly, the period January - March this year has been the warmest such period in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895.



Figure 2. Total precipitable water (in mm) for this morning shows a surge of moisture moving westwards though the Caribbean. Precipitable water values in excess of 51 mm (2 inches, orange colors) are capable of generating heavy flooding rains. Image credit: University of Wisconsin CIMSS.

Heavy rains kill nine in Haiti
The rainy season has begun on the Caribbean island of Hispaniola, where heavy rains that began on Monday have triggered mudslides and floods that killed nine people. Nearly 500,000 people are still homeless in Haiti from the January 2010 earthquake, making the country highly vulnerable to flooding disasters. Heavy flooding was also a problem this week in the neighboring Dominican Republic, where 11,000 people were evacuated; no deaths were reported there, however. Precipitation forecasts from the GFS model suggest that the worst is over for Hispaniola, with the axis of greatest moisture expected to move west of the island today. This surge of moisture will bring heavy rains to Jamaica, Cuba, the Bahamas, Cayman Islands, and South Florida during the remainder of the week.

Jeff Masters

I'll have another cup please (BigJohnsSalsa)
Gonna be a good day
I'll have another cup please

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253 seflagamma: ...Please call me Gams or Gamma...everyone calls me...those...names here.

Wow, Gamma Gams... they's all sayin' you're hotter 'n X-rayted Legs.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting MAweatherboy1:


I say C

Has anything ever made landfall in Spain?
i think he meant portugal...
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2553
The 18z GFS spins a little something up in the Bahamas 8 days or so from now...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8002
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
FROM THE ASHES OF THE PAST
WE SHALL FORGE A NEW FUTURE AS ONE



From the fires of Mount Doom?


Or from the Crucible of Training?
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7992
Quoting weatherbro:


Yeah...It appears after the trough drifts northeastwards past the Bahama's by Next week a strong ridge is expected do develop over the Peninsula in it's wake with most models forecasting hot and dry weather thereafter(though the GFS has possible coastal sprinkles south of the Cape).



Coastal sprinkles don't count as precipitation :)


lol
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7992
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.


I say C

Has anything ever made landfall in Spain?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8002
The Barometer Bob Show
This week April 26, 2012
Bob's guests this week are Lanny Dean from ExtremeChaseTours.Com. Lanny was in Kansas during the April 14,2012 Tornado Outbreak. We will discuss this and the Storm Chaser/Spectator convergence in Kansas that day.
Also, Chance Hayes, Warning Coordinating Meteorologist from the National Weather Service in Wichita, Kansas. We will discuss the April 14th event, and how quickly this day materialized as a Severe Weather Outbreak.

Starts in 15minutes

Storm Chat This is where I'll be. Come join me. Sign-in with your WU nick.

Catch ya's there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting hydrus:
Try again..Cool pic of ARP-273...


That was an adventure to get that on there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey, Nigel, what's up

Geek, think I go with G.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Try again..Cool pic of ARP-273...April 20, 2011: To celebrate the 21st anniversary of the Hubble Space Telescope's deployment into space, astronomers at the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, Md., pointed Hubble's eye at an especially photogenic pair of interacting galaxies called Arp 273. The larger of the spiral galaxies, known as UGC 1810, has a disk that is distorted into a rose-like shape by the gravitational tidal pull of the companion galaxy below it, known as UGC 1813. This image is a composite of Hubble Wide Field Camera 3 data taken on December 17, 2010, with three separate filters that allow a broad range of wavelengths covering the ultraviolet, blue, and red portions of the spectrum.

Hubble was launched April 24, 1990, aboard Discovery's STS-31 mission. Hubble discoveries revolutionized nearly all areas of current astronomical research from planetary science to cosmology.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.


Well the past three seasons where the ENSO was going into El Nino events (2004, 2006, 2009) the first storm to make landfall in the Atlantic Basin was in the Gulf Coast.

So I'll go with the trend, and say the Gulf Coast, D.
(Mind you, they were all weak tropical systems, as can be expected for early season mischief from fronts, etc.)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.
D gulf coast
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
Quoting Patrap:
Sorry, I never poll on a Thursday as a rule.


I'm not polling, I'm surveying ;-)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.

I would say E or G
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8424
Sorry, I never poll on a Thursday as a rule.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129444
Quoting EugeneTillman:
Hey Nigel. Hope you are staying on top of this possible disturbance, big guy.

Hey ET. Yes I am
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8424
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.

I say G.
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2553
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Lol, I think that's why the NOGAPS is considered a bad model!


actually Dr. Masters called it one of the reliable models:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I know this is impossible to predict, but here's a quick poll:

Where do you think the first landfalling storm of the Atlantic season will make landfall?

A. Northeast US
B. Southeast Atlantic Coast
C. Florida
D. Gulf Coast
E. Mexico
F. Other Central American country
G. One of the Caribbean islands
H. Bermuda
I. Spain
J. Canada

I say F.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting seflagamma:


Good afternoon to you nigel.
By the way,Please call me Gams or Gamma,
my handle is way too long to type out. And everyone calls me one of those two names here.

Yeah, no problem
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8424
Quoting hydrus:
Very cool...Thank you for posting them.

Welcome Hydrus. Always a pleasure to find something new I can contribute from faraway Germany ...

Edit: Youtube video. The making of Dobrowner's photos:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RQbmXxU2dkg
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 62 Comments: 6530
Quoting barbamz:
Mitch Dobrowner has won the Sony World Photography Award with an amazing series of pics on storms.
Huffington Post: "American photographer Mitch Dobrowner has won the Sony World Photographer of the Year 2012 award, with a series of stunning photographs entitled Storms.
Dobrowner's extraordinary black and white photos of brooding skylines pregnant with impending storms defeated over 112,000 rival images that were submitted from 171 different countries."

Link

Look at the series of his photographs here:
http://lightbox.time.com/2011/09/13/mitch-dobrown er-the-storms/#1
Very cool...Thank you for posting them.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
Met Service of Jamaica

NEWS RELEASE April 26, 2012 at 5:00 p.m.

*** FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL PARISHES AS RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE ISLAND *** The Meteorological Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch for low-lying and flood-prone areas of all parishes until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow A FLASH FLOOD WATCH means that flash flooding is possible and residents are advised to take precautionary measures, keep informed by listening to further releases from the Meteorologica Service and be ready for quick action if flooding is observed or if a Warning is issued. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the Trough east of Jamaica continued to affect the island today. Rainfall data indicates that light to moderate showers and isolated heavy showers occurred across sections of all parishes. With the rains forecast to continue into tonight and through Friday, flash flooding is possible over low-lying and flood-prone areas. Friday, flash flooding is possible over low-lying and flood-prone areas Strong winds are expected mainly over southern parishes and offshore waters. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for offshore areas of the south coast and fishers and other marine interests are being advised to exercise caution, as gusty winds and rough seas are likely in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms. The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the situation
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8424
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012


CARIBBEAN SEA...

SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW DOMINATES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN W
OF 67W THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING
SOUTHWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SE GULF OF MEXICO AND
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER NORTH-
CENTRAL VENEZUELA NEAR 10N67W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO BE CONCENTRATED TO THE SE OF THE TROUGH AXIS THAT
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC
ACROSS NW HISPANIOLA TO 19N74W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALSO
ANALYZED OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 18N83W TO 12N80W TO 10N76W.
WITH THESE BOUNDARIES IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE COUPLED WITH
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO GENERATE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN
71W-81W. TRADES HAVE INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DUE TO
AN TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A 1023 MB HIGH HAS SETTLED
INTO THE SW NORTH ATLC CENTERED NEAR 29N71W THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE DIFFUSE BY FRIDAY...
HOWEVER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
AND SW CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AS A RESULT..AN
INCREASED PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR HISPANIOLA...
JAMAICA...AND EASTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ACROSS HAITI AND PORTIONS OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. OF NOTE...PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC HAVE TRENDED DOWNWARD FROM A PEAK 24 HOUR RAINFALL
TOTAL OF 6.9 INCHES REPORTED AT MONCION ON APR 24 TO 1.5 INCHES
REPORTED AT EL SEIBO ON APR 25.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129444
Quoting ncstorm:
The 18Z NOGAPS has already started gunning for florida, please keep in mind this is the NOGAPS..


Lol, I think that's why the NOGAPS is considered a bad model!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8002
Quoting nigel20:

Good evening seflagamma


Good afternoon to you nigel.
By the way,Please call me Gams or Gamma,
my handle is way too long to type out. And everyone calls me one of those two names here.
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 301 Comments: 40945
Quoting hydrus:
You guys may get in on some of that Caribbean moister out ther...


Thanks hydrus, I guess that is what they are talking about...sounds like a lot of "wet" coming to us this weekend.
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 301 Comments: 40945
251. barbamz
10:21 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Mitch Dobrowner has won the Sony World Photography Award with an amazing series of pics on storms.

Huffington Post: "American photographer Mitch Dobrowner has won the Sony World Photographer of the Year 2012 award, with a series of stunning photographs entitled Storms.
Dobrowner's extraordinary black and white photos of brooding skylines pregnant with impending storms defeated over 112,000 rival images that were submitted from 171 different countries."
Link

Look at the series of his photographs here:
http://lightbox.time.com/2011/09/13/mitch-dobrown er-the-storms/#1
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 62 Comments: 6530
250. nigel20
10:19 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting seflagamma:
Hey everyone,

I know you are all talking about rain and a system out there.

My local forcast here in SE Fla (Broward County) is now calling for 80% chance of rain
this Sunday and 60% Monday.

Is there some front or something coming?

Is that system south of Cuba coming this way???

Help??? We are doing great here in South Florida for April rain this year..


Good evening seflagamma
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8424
249. ScottLincoln
10:18 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Thanks for the info... The debris ball like feature isn't there anymore but the storm is still strong


Have not seen any reports of a large tornado, so probably was not a debris ball. They are rarer than most think.

Quoting MAweatherboy1:

This was the frame I thought I saw the debris ball in... What do you think?


Actually, now that I see your screenshot... no, definitely not a debris ball. That looks like a garden variety appendage to me, barely a hook echo. More than just reflectivity is needed to have reason to believe that debris is present.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3296
248. hydrus
10:13 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting seflagamma:
Hey everyone,

I know you are all talking about rain and a system out there.

My local forcast here in SE Fla (Broward County) is now calling for 80% chance of rain
this Sunday and 60% Monday.

Is there some front or something coming?

Is that system south of Cuba coming this way???

Help??? We are doing great here in South Florida for April rain this year..

You guys may get in on some of that Caribbean moister out ther...
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
247. ScottLincoln
10:11 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Warnings don't verify risk areas, reports do.


Exactly. I was at a conference once where certain individuals showed us a map of the warnings to indicate the verification of some outlooks/watches. It was almost meaningless to me.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3296
246. hydrus
10:11 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


i came from unintelligent muck....nobody loves me....BAWL ! WWAAAA !
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
245. seflagamma
10:07 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Hey everyone,

I know you are all talking about rain and a system out there.

My local forcast here in SE Fla (Broward County) is now calling for 80% chance of rain
this Sunday and 60% Monday.

Is there some front or something coming?

Is that system south of Cuba coming this way???

Help??? We are doing great here in South Florida for April rain this year..

Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 301 Comments: 40945
244. hydrus
10:06 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
241. CaicosRetiredSailor 9:59 PM GMT on April 26, 2012 +1
When it Rains it will Pour--Otherwise, Tough Luck.....hydrus...I want it to rain beer....i,m tired of all this water stuff..give it to Texas...They like water a lot..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
243. flsky
10:02 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting Tribucanes:
you've got to listen to hear

No truer words....
Member Since: October 24, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2102
242. hydrus
10:01 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting nigel20:

whats up hydrus?
Wuzup Nige..Aweful windy here with big thunderstorms moving in. gonna be a rough night.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22314
241. CaicosRetiredSailor
9:59 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
When it Rains it will Pour--Otherwise, Tough Luck

Ocean floats provide yet more evidence of global warming, revealing that rainy regions are getting wetter and dry regions drier much faster than predicted

By David Biello | April 26, 2012. | 3

Around 3,500 robotic buoys have been deployed throughout the world's oceans, delivering unprecedented data on temperature, salinity and other measures.


Warmer air allows for more water vapor. So scientists have long predicted that global warming will result in a more intense water cycle - the process by which water evaporates from the oceans, travels through the atmosphere and then falls as rain. Now new measurements of the ocean's salinity prove that prediction - and suggest that global warming strengthens the water cycle even more than anticipated.

"What we found is that regions that are salty in the main are becoming saltier" and areas that boast more rainfall are getting fresher, explains oceanographer Paul Durack of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who led the research to be published in Science on April 27. "It's another independent estimate of how the climate is changing as we pump out CO2."

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id= climate-change-already-strengthens-water-cycle
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6069
240. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:58 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting Tribucanes:
So, we came from unintelligent muck. It is a scientific impossibility to get intelligent life from unintelligent life. To have intelligent life there must be a life giver........aka God. How can complexity arise naturally out of simplicity, and order out of disorder? Nothing like this is observed to happen in the real world. Real processes always go, if left to do what comes naturally, in the direction of greater disorder and randomness. How can the appearance of design be produced without the reality of design?
In spite of the great number and variety of scientific processes, there are two statements that can be made about all of them without exception. These are:
1. All processes involve interchanges and conversions of an entity called energy, with the total energy remaining constant. Scientifically this is called the law of conservation of energy, or the First Law of Thermodynamics. 2. All processes manifest a tendency toward decay and disintegration, with a net increase in what is called the entropy, or state of randomness or disorder, of the system. This is called the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Thus all the processes of nature are fundamentally processes of quantitative conservation and qualitative disintegration. These two laws, accepted by all scientists as the most universally-applicable principles which science has been able to discover. Now the imagined age-long evolutionary growth of the whole world of organisms has neither program to direct it nor mechanism to empower it. Neither mutation nor natural selection is a program, and neither mutation nor natural selection is an energy conversion device. Neither one is either one. To offset the Second Law, and produce true evolution, evolutionists need still to find a directing code and enabling mechanism, and neither of these has yet been discovered.


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
239. Tribucanes
9:57 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
you've got to listen to hear
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
238. hurricanehunter27
9:53 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting Tribucanes:
So, we came from unintelligent muck. It is a scientific impossibility to get intelligent life from unintelligent life. To have intelligent life there must be a life giver........aka God. How can complexity arise naturally out of simplicity, and order out of disorder? Nothing like this is observed to happen in the real world. Real processes always go, if left to do what comes naturally, in the direction of greater disorder and randomness. How can the appearance of design be produced without the reality of design?
In spite of the great number and variety of scientific processes, there are two statements that can be made about all of them without exception. These are:
1. All processes involve interchanges and conversions of an entity called energy, with the total energy remaining constant. Scientifically this is called the law of conservation of energy, or the First Law of Thermodynamics. 2. All processes manifest a tendency toward decay and disintegration, with a net increase in what is called the entropy, or state of randomness or disorder, of the system. This is called the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Thus all the processes of nature are fundamentally processes of quantitative conservation and qualitative disintegration. These two laws, accepted by all scientists as the most universally-applicable principles which science has been able to discover. Now the imagined age-long evolutionary growth of the whole world of organisms has neither program to direct it nor mechanism to empower it. Neither mutation nor natural selection is a program, and neither mutation nor natural selection is an energy conversion device. Neither one is either one. To offset the Second Law, and produce true evolution, evolutionists need still to find a directing code and enabling mechanism, and neither of these has yet been discovered.
This is what I'm talking about right here. OFF TOPIC. This topic is fine but what does it have to do with weather?
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3851
237. weatherbro
9:53 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:



Currently there isn't much sign it will spread north into Central Florida, but its at least a good sign things are headed in the right direction. The problem is you can never be sure when the wet season will get going this time of year because we can head into one of these patterns where the heat and moisture starts building but sometimes an upper ridge can take control and suppress rain for 2 or 3 weeks instead of the rain pattern taking shape. I've seen some years where the rain does get going early and other years where it seems like it will but it just ends up being parched dry and hot beneath a powerful upper ridge until June.

The average rainfall for May is give or take, 3 to 4 inches depending on which part of Florida you live. My experience living here over the years is that the wet season either starts sometime in May or it ends up being extremely dry. The 2 possible events tend to average out to 3 or 4 inches. However in reality in May you should probably expect barely any rain, well below average, or above average rain. I've seen some year we get 6 to 10 inches for month of May and some years we struggle to even get 1 inch its so dry.


It is common though, for the rain season to start 3 or so weeks in South Florida before it does here. Climatologically speaking, the wet season in South Florida is May through October. Whereas in Central Florida its generally the last week of May through the first week of October


Yeah...It appears after the trough drifts northeastwards past the Bahama's by Next week a strong ridge is expected do develop over the Peninsula in it's wake with most models forecasting hot and dry weather thereafter(though the GFS has possible coastal sprinkles south of the Cape).
Member Since: May 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1371
236. Tribucanes
9:49 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
So, we came from unintelligent muck. It is a scientific impossibility to get intelligent life from unintelligent life. To have intelligent life there must be a life giver........aka God. How can complexity arise naturally out of simplicity, and order out of disorder? Nothing like this is observed to happen in the real world. Real processes always go, if left to do what comes naturally, in the direction of greater disorder and randomness. How can the appearance of design be produced without the reality of design?
In spite of the great number and variety of scientific processes, there are two statements that can be made about all of them without exception. These are:
1. All processes involve interchanges and conversions of an entity called energy, with the total energy remaining constant. Scientifically this is called the law of conservation of energy, or the First Law of Thermodynamics. 2. All processes manifest a tendency toward decay and disintegration, with a net increase in what is called the entropy, or state of randomness or disorder, of the system. This is called the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Thus all the processes of nature are fundamentally processes of quantitative conservation and qualitative disintegration. These two laws, accepted by all scientists as the most universally-applicable principles which science has been able to discover. Now the imagined age-long evolutionary growth of the whole world of organisms has neither program to direct it nor mechanism to empower it. Neither mutation nor natural selection is a program, and neither mutation nor natural selection is an energy conversion device. Neither one is either one. To offset the Second Law, and produce true evolution, evolutionists need still to find a directing code and enabling mechanism, and neither of these has yet been discovered.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
235. TropicalAnalystwx13
9:46 PM GMT on April 26, 2012
Never forget.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32717

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.