Extreme 111° heat hits Texas; floods kill 9 in Haiti

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:25 PM GMT on April 26, 2012

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Another round of unprecedented April heat hit the U.S. yesterday, and this time it was Texas' turn to see large sections of the state with the hottest April temperatures in over a century of record keeping. Seven major airports in Texas set all-time April high temperatures yesterday:

Amarillo, TX: 99° (old April record 98° on 4/22/1989 and 4/22/1965)
Lubbock, TX: 101° (old April record 100° on 4/16/1925 and /22/1989)
Dalhart, TX: 96° (old April record 94° on 4/22/1989)
Borger, TX: 99° (tied April record set on 4/22/1965)
Midland, TX: 104° (old April record 101° on 4/21/1989)
Abilene, TX: 104° (old April record 102° on 4/16/1925)
Childress, TX: 106° (old April record 102° on three occasions, most recently on 4/3/2011)

According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt, both Texas and Oklahoma came within 2°F of their all-time April state high temperature record yesterday. Altus, Oklahoma hit 104°, falling 2° short of the April state record of 106° set at the Magnum Research Station in 1972. In the Texas Mesonet, it hit 111° at Knox City 3NW, which is just 2° short of the Texas April state record of 113° set at Catarina in 1984. According to Mr. Burt, What is amazing is that Knox City is in the north-central part of the state, not down in the Rio Grande region like Catarina. The 111° would probably be pretty close to whatever the all-time hottest temp for ANY month might be in that location (probably around 115°). On Sunday this week, Nevada just missed setting their April state high temperature record, when the mercury hit 105° in Laughlin (April state record: 106° in 1989.)


Figure 1. At least 36 of the roughly 400 major U.S. cities that maintain automated weather sensors at their local airports (8%) have set or tied all-time April high temperature records so far this month. The records set yesterday in Texas are not yet in the database, and are not included on this map. Image taken from our new Record Extremes page.

Earlier this week, all-time record April heat hit large portions of Arizona, California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, and Wyoming. At least 36 of the roughly 400 major U.S. cities that maintain automated weather sensors at their local airports (8%) have set or tied all-time April high temperature records so far this month; no all-time April cold records have been set. The U.S. has been on an extraordinary pace of setting high temperature records so far in 2012. During March 2012, an astonishing 32% of all the major airports in the U.S. set all-time March high temperature records. For the year-to-date, there have been 184 new all-time monthly high temperature records set at the major airports, and 6 all-time monthly low temperature records. Not surprisingly, the period January - March this year has been the warmest such period in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895.



Figure 2. Total precipitable water (in mm) for this morning shows a surge of moisture moving westwards though the Caribbean. Precipitable water values in excess of 51 mm (2 inches, orange colors) are capable of generating heavy flooding rains. Image credit: University of Wisconsin CIMSS.

Heavy rains kill nine in Haiti
The rainy season has begun on the Caribbean island of Hispaniola, where heavy rains that began on Monday have triggered mudslides and floods that killed nine people. Nearly 500,000 people are still homeless in Haiti from the January 2010 earthquake, making the country highly vulnerable to flooding disasters. Heavy flooding was also a problem this week in the neighboring Dominican Republic, where 11,000 people were evacuated; no deaths were reported there, however. Precipitation forecasts from the GFS model suggest that the worst is over for Hispaniola, with the axis of greatest moisture expected to move west of the island today. This surge of moisture will bring heavy rains to Jamaica, Cuba, the Bahamas, Cayman Islands, and South Florida during the remainder of the week.

Jeff Masters

I'll have another cup please (BigJohnsSalsa)
Gonna be a good day
I'll have another cup please

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Quoting hydrus:
t 0350 UTC on 25 April 2010, a strong storm was approaching Marion County in southeast Tennessee, which is part of the Morristown, Tennessee National Weather Service Forecast Office’s county warning area. Previous analysis by the forecaster indicated that the storm was not yet severe. However, the image here shows the lightning source densities (lower left) surged to over 200 sources while previous lightning data showed far fewer sources and other observations (radar and probability of severe hail) showed no change at this time. This lightning jump prompted the issuing of a severe thunderstorm warning that ultimately had a 20 minute lead time of severe winds near Jasper, Tennessee at 0410 UTC. The total lightning data helped “tip the scales” on issuing this particular warning.


Interesting reasoning for a warning decision process. Would be interested to see this objectively analyzed as a set technique for a peer-reviewed paper, with corresponding FAR/POD/CSI stats.
Lightning typically corresponds to your areas of particularly high VIL or VILD, and many times also corresponds to the ice formation in the storm's core. This can be seen visually if you have GR2Analyst with lightning data in a placefile, then watch storm tracks with VIL/VILD/POSH. I suppose a hypothesis could be made that the sudden jump in lightning density was corresponding to a strengthening storm core, which may not have manifested on radar for another few minutes until 1) the growing ice particles turned into water-coated hail to increase DBZ, or 2) until the increase in ice formation lead to an increase of falling/melting ice, thus heavier rainfall.
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Quoting LargoFl:
i hope your right, we really need the rain in central florida huh


The vast majority of models still persist in keeping the ridge in place for next week over central Florida once that disturbance pushes well east of us.
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Quoting Tribucanes:
certain communities in last years outbreak were under a no-survival strike. Meaning unless you were underground or in a tornado safe-room death was imminent. Technology has now come full circle, we know when and where these monsters are. I'm advocating a drive away plan for survival. Often no other option will be available. I know this will be debated, but I believe it may be the only coarse of survival for some. Once again, I'm not advocating running from a tornado in a car when it's on you; but watching the Tuscaloosa tornado leads me to believe many could have survived by getting in their vehicles and driving five miles in the opposite direction of the tornado. My aim is to save one or more from this most unfortunate beast of nature. The sad truth is, many did the right thing; they enacted their emergency plan. They went to an interior closet and covered themselves and loved ones; it was just their day. Had they got in their vehicles and drove away they would still be with us.
I think this is a good option if somehow you could make sure people got out fast once they were told to leave. Otherwise, Mr. Smith would be running to the car with his keys and kids in hand, but Mrs. Smith would be going through cabinets trying to pack granola bars and water....

This idea would inevitably save people, but some would also find themselves facing the tornado through the car windows instead of in an interior room in a house.
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Also. There is no low trying to form down there. Most of that convection is Baroclinic in nature related to the warm front boundry area/moisture surge flowing up from Columbia and the Ithmus of CA.
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Quoting LargoFl:
i hope your right, we really need the rain in central florida huh


Yeah I know but just as easy as the models jumped on this wet scenario come mid week for C FL it can go away that fast. So the key is to see if how the models handle this scenario thru the weekend. One thing is for sure and that's S FL is in for a lot of rain the next 7 to 10 days.
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COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
715 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER MA TO WATCH HILL RI OUT TO
25 NM

ANZ250-272300-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
715 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS.
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS AROUND
2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.

SEAS ARE REPORTED AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE
AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST THIRD OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVE
HEIGHTS MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

$$
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Quoting StormTracker2K:
It is going to be a wet several days in S FL then building up the Penisula next week according to the models this morning.

i hope your right, we really need the rain in central florida huh
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MJO is forecast to continue thru mid May per GFS.

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Good Morning. That persistent patch of convection North of Colombia will not go away it seems but the very high sheer is keeping things in check. It is situated right near a patch of the jet stream (see link below); that MJO is a workin but the sheer from the Westerlies (as it should be this time of the year) and added jet stream position is too daunting. Gonna be interesting to see what happens with ENSO over the coming weeks in terms of whether continued Neutral conditions (for the time being) will allow the sheer values to drop significantly over the next several weeks going into June. You cannot rush Mother Nature into all the precise elements favorable for storm formation according to the traditional Climatology.

Link
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Yesterday looking toward Nashville..
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Quoting sunlinepr:
Russian Gov’t Radio: “The number of victims has reached one million people today” — Consequences of Chernobyl meltdown are endless and uncontrollable

Chernobyl tragedy: the last “gift” from the Soviet regime
Source: Voice of Russia
Author: Dmitry Konchalovsky
Date: Apr 26, 2012

Exactly 26 years ago there was an explosion at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Whole regions in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus have become unfit for life, and the number of victims has reached one million people today. And experts are still disputing about long-term consequences of the disaster.

[...] its consequences are endless and uncontrollable, and it is impossible to count the exact number of victims. Scientists are still arguing if the number of one million deaths is valid, but when such big numbers are taken into account, the one thing is absolutely clear – things are in a bad way. Besides, no one can count how many babies could not be born, and on the lives of how many subsequent generations this disaster will tell in the form of cancer.


No they aren't. At least no credible scientists.

That really is nothing more than purely speculative opinion. Not only that, but it also makes non-falsifiable claims and uses them to support the argument, which pretty much rules out this article coming from a verifiable source. Official scientific reports including ones done by the Union of Concerned Scientists and TORCH do not cite anywhere close to that number, and those reports were produced fairly recently (2005 and 2006). If you have a reputable study that shows otherwise then please include the link.

Things have improved considerably since the accident. The only life that hasn't returned on a permanent basis is human life. You can even get guided tours which take you through the town.

Radiation does not equal guaranteed death or illness. If it did, no one would bother eating salt substitute or have fire detectors in their home. Humans are not fragile creatures that dissolve suddenly when hit by a stray alpha particle, nor do we sprout tumors because we eat bananas.

There are facts when it comes to radiation exposure, and then there is fiction. However, like another topic of discussion on this blog, there is far more fiction than fact.
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409 presslord: I am notorious for walking out of restaurants which don't serve local shrimp....

The good news being that exotic species that hadda be shipped on ice (often for many days, often effectively frozen) will soon become common locally.
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Quoting errantlythought:
Please stop posting that the shrimping waters are being closed outright because of any form of worry over safety - The only closures are from the Alabama state government, and were because the crop were too small in size to continue being harvested.

http://www.local15tv.com/news/local/story/Shrimpi ng-Waters-To-Be-Closed-This-Weekend/_v0NRY93k0epFh 1yC3m2Bg.cspx
dont worry it was only fireworks carry on nothing happening here
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Please stop posting that the shrimping waters are being closed outright because of any form of worry over safety - The only closures are from the Alabama state government, and were because the crop were too small in size to continue being harvested.

http://www.local15tv.com/news/local/story/Shrimpi ng-Waters-To-Be-Closed-This-Weekend/_v0NRY93k0epFh 1yC3m2Bg.cspx
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


I've never seen shrimp that big! I wonder how they taste as one would think the small ones taste much better.


yea...I agree...bet it tastes like a pencil eraser...
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Quoting presslord:


I am notorious for walking out of restaurants which don't serve local shrimp....



once we get rid of the lower life forms
everything else will fall in line with it

kinda like a brick wall
take out bottom row
and the rest will tumble behind it
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It is going to be a wet several days in S FL then building up the Penisula next week according to the models this morning.

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Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


Either this guy is small, or they get really big.




I've never seen shrimp that big! I wonder how they taste as one would think the small ones taste much better.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
384 Tribucanes: How long before West Texas becomes a desert? Good thing ye Texans are a tough lot.

Near as I can remember from my travels, climate-wise:
everything FortWorth&westward has been visibly part of the DesertSouthWest's chaparral&scrubland,
while everything Dallas&eastward has been visibly part of the OldSouth's lush greenery.
There's an amazingly sharp transition within the short distance separating the two cities.
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Quoting stormpetrol:


impressive winds!


Yeah and the winds are all over the place. Could be a low trying to form near this deep convection in the Southern Caribbean.



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Quoting aspectre:
393 LargoFl: I have to agree with you there, this is horrible and I am guessing man cannot do anything to stop this and the gulf seafood industry will vanish as we once knew it.

Even without the oil spill catastrophe, rather inevitable what with international trafficking bringing together species for evolutionary competition within a single human lifetime that would have taken nature tens of thousands of years to set up... if not vastly longer.

Asian Black Tiger Shrimp takes the "jumbo shrimp" oxymoron to a whole new level.

If you can't beat 'em, eat 'em... cuz lionfish are eating darn near everything else out there.


Either this guy is small, or they get really big.


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impressive winds!
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Quoting presslord:


I am notorious for walking out of restaurants which don't serve local shrimp....


I'm with you there.
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Quoting aspectre:
393 LargoFl: I have to agree with you there, this is horrible and I am guessing man cannot do anything to stop this and the gulf seafood industry will vanish as we once knew it.

Even without the oil spill catastrophe, rather inevitable what with international trafficking bringing together species for evolutionary competition within a single human lifetime that would have taken nature tens of thousands of years to set up... if not vastly longer.

Asian Black Tiger Shrimp takes the "jumbo shrimp" oxymoron to a whole new level.

If you can't beat 'em, eat 'em... cuz lionfish are eating darn near everything else out there.


I am notorious for walking out of restaurants which don't serve local shrimp....
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Quoting aspectre:
393 LargoFl: I have to agree with you there, this is horrible and I am guessing man cannot do anything to stop this and the gulf seafood industry will vanish as we once knew it.

Even without the oil spill catastrophe, rather inevitable what with international trafficking bringing together species for evolutionary competition within a single human lifetime that would have taken nature tens of thousands of years to set up... if not vastly longer.

Asian Black Tiger Shrimp takes the "jumbo shrimp" oxymoron to a whole new level.

If you can't beat 'em, eat 'em... cuz lionfish are eating darn near everything else out there.


Nice! Getting hungery now!
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


Looks like the CMC finally won one... I guess that it, too, has passed the GFS in global model skill level.


CMC has gotten better over the last couple of years for sure. The Euro and GFS though are still on top. I think the GFS has actually done well this year as it nailed down pretty much everyone of these ULL's this winter & spring when the rest of the models were advertising long wave troughs coming across the US.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
393 LargoFl: I have to agree with you there, this is horrible and I am guessing man cannot do anything to stop this and the gulf seafood industry will vanish as we once knew it.

Even without the oil spill catastrophe, rather inevitable what with international trafficking bringing together within a single human lifetime once geographicly separated species for evolutionary competition that would have taken nature tens of thousands of years to set up... if not vastly longer.

The Asian Black Tiger Shrimp takes the "jumbo shrimp" oxymoron to a whole new level.

If you can't beat 'em, eat 'em... cuz lionfish are eating darn near everything else out there.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:
Looks as if the OZ run of the models want to bring this deep tropical north across the entire FL Penisula by early to mid next week. If this plays out there could be some localized flooding. It's odd because it was the CMC who first picked up on this scenario yesterday.

CMC


GFS


Looks like the CMC finally won one... I guess that it, too, has passed the GFS in global model skill level.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3482
Looks as if the OZ run of the models want to bring this deep tropical north across the entire FL Penisula by early to mid next week. If this plays out there could be some localized flooding. It's odd because it was the CMC who first picked up on this scenario yesterday.

CMC


GFS
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One year today... April 27, 2011 Super Outbreak... Never forget it.
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Moderate risk today... and the chance for T-Storms in Nassau as well? I'm staying inside for today :3 such a nerd.
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Meanwhile, we have our own problems to deal with today. As expected due to the fact they released a PWO earlier this morning, the Storm Prediction Center has decided to upgrade to a Moderate risk for the potential of large, destructive hail and strong tornadoes.



PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI TODAY...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL
OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI
TODAY.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SURROUNDING THE GREATEST
RISK AREA...FROM WEST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS EASTWARD INTO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO THIS MORNING TO THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER
VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. A WARM AND INCREASINGLY MOIST AND
DESTABILIZING LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA
TODAY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO KANSAS. AS
THIS OCCURS...WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AND BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
FOR AN EPISODE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK
AREA. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY BEGIN AS
EARLY AS MIDDAY AND FEATURE A RISK FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW
STRONG TORNADOES. BY THIS EVENING...THE SEVERE RISK WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN
MISSOURI...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
TODAY.

..SMITH.. 04/27/2012
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Quoting sunlinepr:


Looming Crisis: Officials Close Gulf Waters to Shrimping As Reports of Deformed Seafood Intensify

Alarmed by widespread reports of visibly sick, deformed seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico, state officials have closed area waters to shrimping this morning (April 23). The waters will be closed indefinitely as scientists run tests in an effort to get a handle on a situation that is fast becoming a full-blown crisis on the Gulf Coast.

The closures – including all waters in the Mississippi Sound, Mobile Bay, areas of Bon Secour, Wolf Bay and Little Lagoon – mark the first official step in responding to increasingly urgent reports from fishermen and scientists of grotesquely disfigured seafood from Louisiana to the Florida panhandle.

The move is yet another major setback for the once-legendary Gulf seafood industry as it continues to struggle under the devastating impact of the BP oil spill, which began in April 2010.

Two years later, reports of severely deformed shrimp with bulging tumors – and no eyes – have become common.

And it’s not just the shrimp. Commercial fishermen are reporting red snapper and grouper riddled with deep lesions and covered with strange black streaks. Highly underdeveloped blue crabs are being pulled up in traps without eyes and claws (see link at bottom to my previous post on seafood deformities).

For those who thought 205 million gallons of oil and 2 million gallons of toxic dispersant weren’t going to have an impact on Gulf seafood, you need to check back in with reality.

As for the impetus for the shrimping closures, consider this from an April 18 Al Jazeera report by Dahr Jamail, who has doggedly covered the BP spill since the early days of the disaster:

Tracy Kuhns and her husband Mike Roberts, commercial fishers from Barataria, Louisiana, are finding eyeless shrimp.

“At the height of the last white shrimp season, in September, one of our friends caught 400 pounds of these,” Kuhns told Al Jazeera while showing a sample of the eyeless shrimp.

According to Kuhns, at least 50 per cent of the shrimp caught in that period in Barataria Bay, a popular shrimping area that was heavily impacted by BP’s oil and dispersants, were eyeless. Kuhns added: “Disturbingly, not only do the shrimp lack eyes, they even lack eye sockets.”

Disturbing indeed. I am deeply saddened but not surprised by the shrimping closures. I applaud the courageous move by state officials to put consumer safety first. There’s no doubt in my mind – as I’ve said for months on end – that seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico is unfit for human consumption.

We will bring you updates on water testing and any word on when these areas of the Gulf will be re-opened to shrimping.

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/a-taste-of-the-grotes que-in-the-gulf-eyeless-shrimp-clawless-crabs-and- lesion-covered-fish

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/looming-crisis-offici als-close-gulf-waters-to-shrimping-as-reports-of-d eformed-seafood-intensify

http://www.weartv.com/newsroom/top_stories/videos /wear_vid_22028.shtml

Gulf shrimping shut down

http://www.1041beat.com/cc-common/mainheadlines3. html?feed=118702&article=10070095


Disgraceful!!
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A 4-day tornado outbreak. 358 tornadoes. 349 fatalities. April 27, 2011 was the peak of the event. 292 tornadoes were reported across 21 states on this date one year ago, of which 208 were confirmed.

The largest and costliest tornado outbreak in USA history.

4 EF5's.



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catagorical upgrade to moderate
Link
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Hard to believe it's been a year since the Super Outbreak...

Meanwhile, on the one year anniversary:



RELATIVELY COMPACT CORRIDOR OF SUPERCELL/TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY
DEVELOP AND SHIFT EWD TODAY ACROSS MAINLY KS.
LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL
ALSO IS POSSIBLE. SOME UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN REGARDING
TIMING/DURATION OF FAVORABLE SFC HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OVER
PORTIONS CENTRAL-ERN KS...OTHERWISE NARROW CORRIDOR OF EVEN GREATER
SVR PROBABILITIES MAY BECOME APPARENT.

BY EARLY AFTERNOON...CORRIDOR OF FAVORABLE DESTABILIZATION IS
POSSIBLE BEHIND MORNING ACTIVITY AND AHEAD OF SURGING DRYLINE. MOST
PROBABLE LOCATION ATTM APPEARS TO BE ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL
KS...IN ARC FROM N THROUGH ESE OF NEARBY SFC LOW. MODIFIED
RUC/ETA-KF FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MID-UPPER 60S F SFC
TEMPS...CERTAINLY ATTAINABLE WITH EVEN BRIEF SLOT OF PRE-DRYLINE SFC
INSOLATION...WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO YIELD SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE INFLOW
PARCELS AND MLCAPE 500-1500 J/KG. STG VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT
AND LOW-LEVEL SPEED SHEAR...COMBINED WITH LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY INVOF
SFC LOW AND NEARBY WARM FRONTAL ZONE...SUPPORT RISK FOR SUPERCELLS
WITH LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
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Good Morning... Almost that time of the year.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
435 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-281030-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
435 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...
...THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION
WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC
COAST BEACHES OF MIAMI DADE, BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION SATURDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AS A LOW LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA
AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE SPREADS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA. WHILE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH, THE POTENTIAL IS
INCREASING FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR
THE SOUTHEAST COAST LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
CONTINUED MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH THE MID WEEK PERIOD.

INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS MAY ALSO RESULT IN SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51704
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51704
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


we are coming to a great crossroads
the likes of which have never been seen
I have to agree with you there, this is horrible and i am guessing man cannot do anything to stop this and the gulf seafood industry will vanish as we once knew it.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51704
There are, and have been, a number of active tornado warnings in eastern Colorado this morning, all attached to the low spinning its way eastward:

TORNADO WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 259 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 256 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 243 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 221 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 218 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 155 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 144 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 143 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 125 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 109 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
TORNADO WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 1246 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 1222 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A messy weekend (and beginning of the week) looks to be in store for the Bahamas and the southern parts of Florida:

Miami
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting sunlinepr:


Looming Crisis: Officials Close Gulf Waters to Shrimping As Reports of Deformed Seafood Intensify

Alarmed by widespread reports of visibly sick, deformed seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico, state officials have closed area waters to shrimping this morning (April 23). The waters will be closed indefinitely as scientists run tests in an effort to get a handle on a situation that is fast becoming a full-blown crisis on the Gulf Coast.

The closures – including all waters in the Mississippi Sound, Mobile Bay, areas of Bon Secour, Wolf Bay and Little Lagoon – mark the first official step in responding to increasingly urgent reports from fishermen and scientists of grotesquely disfigured seafood from Louisiana to the Florida panhandle.

The move is yet another major setback for the once-legendary Gulf seafood industry as it continues to struggle under the devastating impact of the BP oil spill, which began in April 2010.

Two years later, reports of severely deformed shrimp with bulging tumors – and no eyes – have become common.

And it’s not just the shrimp. Commercial fishermen are reporting red snapper and grouper riddled with deep lesions and covered with strange black streaks. Highly underdeveloped blue crabs are being pulled up in traps without eyes and claws (see link at bottom to my previous post on seafood deformities).

For those who thought 205 million gallons of oil and 2 million gallons of toxic dispersant weren’t going to have an impact on Gulf seafood, you need to check back in with reality.

As for the impetus for the shrimping closures, consider this from an April 18 Al Jazeera report by Dahr Jamail, who has doggedly covered the BP spill since the early days of the disaster:

Tracy Kuhns and her husband Mike Roberts, commercial fishers from Barataria, Louisiana, are finding eyeless shrimp.

“At the height of the last white shrimp season, in September, one of our friends caught 400 pounds of these,” Kuhns told Al Jazeera while showing a sample of the eyeless shrimp.

According to Kuhns, at least 50 per cent of the shrimp caught in that period in Barataria Bay, a popular shrimping area that was heavily impacted by BP’s oil and dispersants, were eyeless. Kuhns added: “Disturbingly, not only do the shrimp lack eyes, they even lack eye sockets.”

Disturbing indeed. I am deeply saddened but not surprised by the shrimping closures. I applaud the courageous move by state officials to put consumer safety first. There’s no doubt in my mind – as I’ve said for months on end – that seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico is unfit for human consumption.

We will bring you updates on water testing and any word on when these areas of the Gulf will be re-opened to shrimping.

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/a-taste-of-the-grotes que-in-the-gulf-eyeless-shrimp-clawless-crabs-and- lesion-covered-fish

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/looming-crisis-offici als-close-gulf-waters-to-shrimping-as-reports-of-d eformed-seafood-intensify

http://www.weartv.com/newsroom/top_stories/videos /wear_vid_22028.shtml

Gulf shrimping shut down

http://www.1041beat.com/cc-common/mainheadlines3. html?feed=118702&article=10070095


we are coming to a great crossroads
the likes of which have never been seen
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
And let us not forget that every day 25000 kids die in this fallen world due to poverty, those of us who wake up every day to post are blessed. This is, in my opinion, the best site for weather and climate change debate on the internet. Makes you wonder why there aren't more of us here. Should be thousands of us posting as opposed to dozens. I'm thankful to all who post here, even those who opinions I ardently oppose. I'm out.........PEACE.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
certain communities in last years outbreak were under a no-survival strike. Meaning unless you were underground or in a tornado safe-room death was imminent. Technology has now come full circle, we know when and where these monsters are. I'm advocating a drive away plan for survival. Often no other option will be available. I know this will be debated, but I believe it may be the only coarse of survival for some. Once again, I'm not advocating running from a tornado in a car when it's on you; but watching the Tuscaloosa tornado leads me to believe many could have survived by getting in their vehicles and driving five miles in the opposite direction of the tornado. My aim is to save one or more from this most unfortunate beast of nature. The sad truth is, many did the right thing; they enacted their emergency plan. They went to an interior closet and covered themselves and loved ones; it was just their day. Had they got in their vehicles and drove away they would still be with us.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wow as a major shrimp consumer and one who spent many a day on my Grandfathers sailboat in the Gulf, this is a sad day indeed. For them to shut down shrimping in these areas is a major red flag. This is in the infancy of the effect we will see. For this to happen so fast is unbelievable. Sadly, much has already been passed on to consumers and effects will rear their ugly heads far too soon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Looming Crisis: Officials Close Gulf Waters to Shrimping As Reports of Deformed Seafood Intensify

Alarmed by widespread reports of visibly sick, deformed seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico, state officials have closed area waters to shrimping this morning (April 23). The waters will be closed indefinitely as scientists run tests in an effort to get a handle on a situation that is fast becoming a full-blown crisis on the Gulf Coast.

The closures – including all waters in the Mississippi Sound, Mobile Bay, areas of Bon Secour, Wolf Bay and Little Lagoon – mark the first official step in responding to increasingly urgent reports from fishermen and scientists of grotesquely disfigured seafood from Louisiana to the Florida panhandle.

The move is yet another major setback for the once-legendary Gulf seafood industry as it continues to struggle under the devastating impact of the BP oil spill, which began in April 2010.

Two years later, reports of severely deformed shrimp with bulging tumors – and no eyes – have become common.

And it’s not just the shrimp. Commercial fishermen are reporting red snapper and grouper riddled with deep lesions and covered with strange black streaks. Highly underdeveloped blue crabs are being pulled up in traps without eyes and claws (see link at bottom to my previous post on seafood deformities).

For those who thought 205 million gallons of oil and 2 million gallons of toxic dispersant weren’t going to have an impact on Gulf seafood, you need to check back in with reality.

As for the impetus for the shrimping closures, consider this from an April 18 Al Jazeera report by Dahr Jamail, who has doggedly covered the BP spill since the early days of the disaster:

Tracy Kuhns and her husband Mike Roberts, commercial fishers from Barataria, Louisiana, are finding eyeless shrimp.

“At the height of the last white shrimp season, in September, one of our friends caught 400 pounds of these,” Kuhns told Al Jazeera while showing a sample of the eyeless shrimp.

According to Kuhns, at least 50 per cent of the shrimp caught in that period in Barataria Bay, a popular shrimping area that was heavily impacted by BP’s oil and dispersants, were eyeless. Kuhns added: “Disturbingly, not only do the shrimp lack eyes, they even lack eye sockets.”

Disturbing indeed. I am deeply saddened but not surprised by the shrimping closures. I applaud the courageous move by state officials to put consumer safety first. There’s no doubt in my mind – as I’ve said for months on end – that seafood coming out of the Gulf of Mexico is unfit for human consumption.

We will bring you updates on water testing and any word on when these areas of the Gulf will be re-opened to shrimping.

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/a-taste-of-the-grotes que-in-the-gulf-eyeless-shrimp-clawless-crabs-and- lesion-covered-fish

http://www.stuarthsmith.com/looming-crisis-offici als-close-gulf-waters-to-shrimping-as-reports-of-d eformed-seafood-intensify

http://www.weartv.com/newsroom/top_stories/videos /wear_vid_22028.shtml

Gulf shrimping shut down

http://www.1041beat.com/cc-common/mainheadlines3. html?feed=118702&article=10070095
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I'm assuming this trough is what they referred to as a tropical wave?


SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1031 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 27N WILL LIFT N TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST BY LATE FRI BEFORE BUILDING OVER THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES SAT THROUGH TUE. A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA LATE SAT THROUGH SUN...INTO THE SE GULF
MON...AND INTO THE S CENTRAL GULF TUE.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 437

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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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