Dangerous tornado outbreak expected Saturday; Gulf of Mexico SSTs warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:57 PM GMT on April 13, 2012

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A dangerous tornado outbreak is expected on Saturday over the Plains, says NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Warm, moist air flowing northwards from a Gulf of Mexico that has record-warm waters will collide with cold air funneling down from Canada, creating a highly unstable air mass capable of creating strong thunderstorm updrafts. An impressive upper-level low, accompanied by a jet stream with 105 - 125 mph winds at middle levels of the atmosphere, will create plenty of wind shear, giving the air the spin it needs to form tornadoes. SPC has has issued their highest level of alert, a "High Risk," for much of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska for Saturday. Included in the "High Risk" area are the cities of Wichita, Oklahoma City, and Lincoln. This is the second time SPC has issued a "High Risk" forecast this year; the first "High Risk" forecast came for the March 2 tornado outbreak, which killed 41 people and did $1.5 - $2 billion in damage. It is very unusual for SPC to issue a "High Risk" forecast more than a day in advance of a suspected tornado outbreak; according to Wikipedia, today's "High Risk" forecast is only the second time SPC has ever done this. The other instance was for the April 6 - 8, 2006 tornado outbreak focused over Tennessee, which generated 73 tornadoes that killed 13 and did $1.5 billion in damage. People living in the threatened area need to pay close attention on Saturday to this dangerous severe weather situation.


Figure 1. Severe weather risk for Saturday, April 14, 2012, from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Gulf of Mexico water temperatures the warmest on record
Temperatures in the states bordering the Gulf of Mexico were the 3rd - 7th warmest on record during the first three months of 2012, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. This allowed Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the Gulf of Mexico (25 - 30°N, 85 - 90°W) to climb to 1.4°C (2.5°F) above average during March 2012, according to a wunderground analysis of the Hadley Centre SST data set. This is the warmest March value on record for the Gulf of Mexico, going back over a century of record keeping. During the first two weeks of April, Gulf of Mexico waters remained about 1.5°C above average, putting April on pace to have the warmest April water temperatures on record. Only one year in the past century has had April water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico more than 1.1°C above average; that year was 2002 (1.4°C above average.) All that record-warm water is capable of putting record amounts of water vapor into the air, since evaporation increases when water is warmer. Because moist air is less dense than dry air, this warm, moist air flowing northwards from the Gulf of Mexico into the developing storm system over the Plains will be highly unstable once it encounters cold, dry air aloft. The record-warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico are a key reason for the high risk of severe weather over the Plains this weekend.


Figure 2. Departure of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) from average for April 12, 2012, as computed by NOAA/NESDIS. SSTs in the Gulf of Mexico are at their warmest levels on record for this time of year.

Follow Weather Underground on twitter for the latest on this potential severe weather outbreak.

Jeff Masters

April Storms (llpj04)
this storm greeted me as I came out of the grocery store, chased me home and got to my driveway the same time I did.
April Storms
Lightning Up the Pond - Oklahoma (mbryan777)
Last night we had a pretty spectacular lightning storm. I put the camera on the tripod in time-lapse mode and laid on my back on the hillside above the pond taking in an amazing show. When it got more exciting than I was comfortable with, I ran for the house.
Lightning Up the Pond - Oklahoma

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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
319 PM AST SAT APR 14 2012

PRC001-081-083-141-142215-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0125.120414T1919Z-120414T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
LARES PR-UTUADO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-LAS MARIAS PR-
319 PM AST SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
LARES...UTUADO...ADJUNTAS AND LAS MARIAS

* UNTIL 615 PM AST

* AT 315 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES HAVE
FALLEN IN THE SOME AREAS AND ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH 615 PM AST. IN ADDITION...QUICK RISES ALONG RIO GUAJATACA IN
LARES HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN THE LAST HOUR. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL
RESULT IN URBAN FLOODING AS WELL AS QUICK RIVER RISES IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1827 6703 1825 6691 1834 6688 1832 6682
1832 6662 1817 6667 1822 6701

$$

ER
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Two beautiful tornadic supercells.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Iowa cell is upgraded to a Tornado Warning.

Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Tornado warning for a cell in Iowa.




TORNADO WARNING
IAC071-145-141945-
/O.NEW.KOAX.TO.W.0002.120414T1917Z-120414T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
217 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN PAGE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA...
NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR FARRAGUT...OR 25 MILES NORTH OF TARKIO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ESSEX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 9549 4081 9551 4087 9539 4091 9533
4090 9525 4085 9521
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 237DEG 26KT 4080 9546

$$

BOUSTEAD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
207 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

KSC123-141-141930-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120414T1930Z/
OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
207 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MITCHELL AND EASTERN
OSBORNE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 201 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TIPTON...OR 26 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BELOIT...VICTOR...TIPTON...OSBORNE...PORTIS...DOWN S...CAWKER
CITY...GLEN ELDER AND SCOTTSVILLE.

THIS STORM IS RAIN WRAPPED WHICH WILL MAKE IDENTIFYING THE TORNADO
DIFFICULT. THIS POSSIBLE TORNADO IS HEADING DIRECTLY TOWARDS TIPTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Southern Most cell has the flying saucer shaped base.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Look at the Iowa storm!



Amazing.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
217 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN PAGE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA...
NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR FARRAGUT...OR 25 MILES NORTH OF TARKIO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ESSEX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 9549 4081 9551 4087 9539 4091 9533
4090 9525 4085 9521
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 237DEG 26KT 4080 9546

$$

BOUSTEAD


362
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Just got off work, I can see things are underway. And wow, that is a complete blimp of a high risk area!

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11940
1049. LargoFl
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
215 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

IAC071-145-141930-
/O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-120414T1930Z/
PAGE IA-FREMONT IA-
215 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM
CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN PAGE AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES...

AT 213 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEROLOGISTS INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ESSEX...OR 27 MILES
NORTH OF TARKIO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ESSEX AND IMOGENE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH
NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND
MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 9521 4077 9548 4085 9553 4091 9540
4090 9529 4090 9519 4084 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 243DEG 33KT 4084 9541
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.75IN

$$

BOUSTEAD
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51781
N of Dodge City, Kansas


W of Essex, Iowa.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

How long has it been on the ground is what I want to know.


Hopefully not too long because it went right over Dodge City
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Look at the Iowa storm!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Some new 18z soundings, this one is Omaha NE. For the rest click Link


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I think this is the tornado SE of Dodge City.


Z1 Clark KS 67 dBZ 44,000 ft. 75 kg/m² 100% Chance 100% Chance 2.75 in. 33 knots SW (223)

Severe TS in Iowa

1 L4 Fremont IA 64 dBZ 38,000 ft. 62 kg/m² 100% Chance 100% Chance 2.25 in. 27 knots SW (217)
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

How long has it been on the ground is what I want to know.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
218 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT 214 PM CDT...STORM CHASERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CLARK STATE LAKE. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL
SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSDOWN...BUCKLIN AND MULLINVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
North Storm:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
216 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE
. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...GRAY AND BURDETT.


DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3782 9983 3795 9999 3826 9970 3827 9951
3815 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 227DEG 37KT 3795 9982
HAIL <.50IN

$$

RUSSELL





Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
216 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...GRAY AND BURDETT.


DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3782 9983 3795 9999 3826 9970 3827 9951
3815 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 227DEG 37KT 3795 9982
HAIL <.50IN

$$
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1039. LargoFl
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

a couple hundred miles east-northeast of bermuda, so yeah. I need to know how to create image url to post the model guidance picture.
ok ty, cant help you with the image maker
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51781
Greensburg cell looks like its about to turn into a monster.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
Quoting LargoFl:
where would that be forming?..out in the eastern atlantic?

a couple hundred miles east-northeast of bermuda, so yeah. I need to know how to create image url to post the model guidance picture.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1036. LargoFl
most of these tornado warnings just expired at 2:15 cdt..any new ones forming? do you see it happening any time soon?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51781
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Very strong couplet.



That's at least a funnel cloud now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Here's both dodge city storms:

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3482
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Very strong couplet.

This hook would look a bit nicer away from the radar site.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
1032. redux
greensburg cell has 3.25" hail associated with it, per the storm track.

on this grlevel, where should i tell the software to look for the library?
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 250
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
145 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CASS COUNTY IN EASTERN NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 140 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLOODING NEAR GREENWOOD.
PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 80 ARE UNDERWATER RESULTING IN A BACKUP OF
TRAFFIC.


THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN NEBRASKA NEAR MILE MARKER 420.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A
FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER FIND ANOTHER ROUTE OVER HIGHER GROUND.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1030. LargoFl
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
All the models are in agreement on the formation of Alberto on Monday.
anyone know how to create an image url for a custom image? (Like from powerpoint)
where would that be forming?..out in the eastern atlantic?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51781
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
North of Dodge City:

2 chasers on it right now. Everyone if u want to look at chasers here:Link
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
Very strong couplet.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
North of Dodge City:



Looks like its trying!!! Half a storm haha
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
North of Dodge City:



Almost certainly a tornado
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1025. LargoFl
TORNADO WARNING
KSC123-141-141930-
/O.NEW.KGID.TO.W.0009.120414T1857Z-120414T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
157 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 156 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF HUNTER...OR 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BELOIT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BELOIT...HUNTER...OSBORNE...VICTOR...TIPTON...PORT IS...DOWNS...
CAWKER CITY...GLEN ELDER AND SCOTTSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 9883 3957 9870 3956 9793 3944 9794
3921 9822 3921 9848 3913 9850 3913 9869
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 211DEG 38KT 3923 9853
HAIL 2.75IN

$$

HEINLEIN
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51781
North of Dodge City:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
All the models are in agreement on the formation of Alberto on Monday.
anyone know how to create an image url for a custom image? (Like from powerpoint)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:
What a strorm.. near Englewood, KS...



Check out that updraft!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The storms North and South of Dodge may have some monsters with them.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
Quoting WxGeekVA:
What a strorm.. near Englewood, KS...

Wow cool visual
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Mitchell and Osborne county storm has some very strong rotation. It might be producing a strong and rain wrapped tornado.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is a confirmed tornado headed towards Greensburg, Kansas (or just west).

I think it will stay just west but storms with tornadoes like to make that right turn so Greensburg should be on alert
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Any link to it as people would want to see it.
Link Also there is about 10 to 15 other chasers heading down to the storm.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
1015. kabloie
Dodge City Radar getting a very close look at that tornado right now.

Dodge City Radar
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What a strorm.. near Englewood, KS...

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3482
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Everyone should watch Jeff Blairs stream, he is in a great spot.


Any link to it as people would want to see it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is a confirmed tornado headed towards Greensburg, Kansas (or just west).

That's not good to hear. Greensburg does not need another tornado.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This is the tornado warned cell south of Dodge City, moving NE.

Q1 68 dBZ 37,000 ft. 72 kg/m² 100% chance 100% chance 3.00 in. 37 knots SW (228)
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is a confirmed tornado headed towards Greensburg, Kansas.
Ow jeez not Greensburg. For those that don't know Greensburg was destroyed by an EF5 tornado not to long ago.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3906
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
12z ECMWF in 72 hours still has the low,but a little bit weaker than in past runs.



Probably more realistic.. 996 mb storm in April wasn't very likely.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 25167
There is a confirmed tornado headed towards Greensburg, Kansas (or just west).
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Wow just took a look at it and yes.


It looks like the circulation was pretty broad buying the last few minutes it tightened may need a warning soon
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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Gust front cloud, SE Michigan
Thunderstorm over Grand Teton
Double rainbow over Old Faithful
Rainbow in Riverside Geyser