Dangerous tornado outbreak expected Saturday; Gulf of Mexico SSTs warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:57 PM GMT on April 13, 2012

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A dangerous tornado outbreak is expected on Saturday over the Plains, says NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Warm, moist air flowing northwards from a Gulf of Mexico that has record-warm waters will collide with cold air funneling down from Canada, creating a highly unstable air mass capable of creating strong thunderstorm updrafts. An impressive upper-level low, accompanied by a jet stream with 105 - 125 mph winds at middle levels of the atmosphere, will create plenty of wind shear, giving the air the spin it needs to form tornadoes. SPC has has issued their highest level of alert, a "High Risk," for much of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska for Saturday. Included in the "High Risk" area are the cities of Wichita, Oklahoma City, and Lincoln. This is the second time SPC has issued a "High Risk" forecast this year; the first "High Risk" forecast came for the March 2 tornado outbreak, which killed 41 people and did $1.5 - $2 billion in damage. It is very unusual for SPC to issue a "High Risk" forecast more than a day in advance of a suspected tornado outbreak; according to Wikipedia, today's "High Risk" forecast is only the second time SPC has ever done this. The other instance was for the April 6 - 8, 2006 tornado outbreak focused over Tennessee, which generated 73 tornadoes that killed 13 and did $1.5 billion in damage. People living in the threatened area need to pay close attention on Saturday to this dangerous severe weather situation.


Figure 1. Severe weather risk for Saturday, April 14, 2012, from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Gulf of Mexico water temperatures the warmest on record
Temperatures in the states bordering the Gulf of Mexico were the 3rd - 7th warmest on record during the first three months of 2012, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. This allowed Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the Gulf of Mexico (25 - 30°N, 85 - 90°W) to climb to 1.4°C (2.5°F) above average during March 2012, according to a wunderground analysis of the Hadley Centre SST data set. This is the warmest March value on record for the Gulf of Mexico, going back over a century of record keeping. During the first two weeks of April, Gulf of Mexico waters remained about 1.5°C above average, putting April on pace to have the warmest April water temperatures on record. Only one year in the past century has had April water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico more than 1.1°C above average; that year was 2002 (1.4°C above average.) All that record-warm water is capable of putting record amounts of water vapor into the air, since evaporation increases when water is warmer. Because moist air is less dense than dry air, this warm, moist air flowing northwards from the Gulf of Mexico into the developing storm system over the Plains will be highly unstable once it encounters cold, dry air aloft. The record-warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico are a key reason for the high risk of severe weather over the Plains this weekend.


Figure 2. Departure of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) from average for April 12, 2012, as computed by NOAA/NESDIS. SSTs in the Gulf of Mexico are at their warmest levels on record for this time of year.

Follow Weather Underground on twitter for the latest on this potential severe weather outbreak.

Jeff Masters

April Storms (llpj04)
this storm greeted me as I came out of the grocery store, chased me home and got to my driveway the same time I did.
April Storms
Lightning Up the Pond - Oklahoma (mbryan777)
Last night we had a pretty spectacular lightning storm. I put the camera on the tripod in time-lapse mode and laid on my back on the hillside above the pond taking in an amazing show. When it got more exciting than I was comfortable with, I ran for the house.
Lightning Up the Pond - Oklahoma

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2507. hydrus
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


Significant tornado is still increasing
For tomorrow too...
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2501 HrDelta The Wichita cell is finally beginning to taper off a bit?

Hasn't had a tornado for a while, but still a fairly strong cell while showing signs of more weakening.
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Tornado warned woodward storm.


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1208 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

OKC045-059-153-150530-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-120415T0530Z/
HARPER OK-WOODWARD OK-ELLIS OK-
1208 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT FOR
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN HARPER...WOODWARD AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
ELLIS COUNTIES...

AT 1204 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A TORNADO WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FARGO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WOODWARD...MOORELAND...FARGO AND TANGIER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET IN...GET DOWN AND COVER UP. TAKE COVER NOW IN A STORM SHELTER
OR AN INTERIOR ROOM OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM DOORS AND
WINDOWS.

THE TORNADO WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE IN THE DARK. DO NOT
WAIT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 9953 3641 9915 3617 9956 3630 9976
TIME...MOT...LOC 0504Z 214DEG 41KT 3630 9961

$$

AUSTIN
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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Actually we have a moderate risk tomorrow. Right over Minneapolis.
'S what I said.... Mon-Fri a lot of pple will b on possible STS development.

Quoting Hurricanes101:


so if that is the case

then why not hold off on the discussion of proto-alberto until tomorrow? Its not doing anything now and likely wont for a few days

This tornado threat is happening right now
What is so wrong abt doing both? It's good practice 4 ASO when we can have 3-4 TCs going at once.

Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22728
2501. HrDelta
The Wichita cell is finally beggining to taper off a bit?
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Quoting 1900hurricane:
I'd watch this area where there are breaks in the line are for possible spin ups.



Ohh boy, the one SW west of Woodward looks to have some good rotation again, that areas already been hit hard once today.
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SPC tornado reports now 118.



Seems like the Wichita cell has finally died down.
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OMG...

There is ANOTHER tornado near Woodward...

that would be at least the third one today in the exact same spot.

there is also ANOTHER tornado a bit south of that one.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2497. hydrus
12 hour forecast.
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I'd watch this area where there are breaks in the line are for possible spin ups.

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
Yahoo summary

Midwest storms: Tornadoes reported in Midwest
By Ron Recinto and Mike Benzie | The Lookout – 9 hrs ago

Huge tornadic super cells shoot out lightning bolts in the skies near the area of Apache, Oklahoma, April 13, 2012. REUTERS/Gene Blevins
Huge tornadic super cells shoot out lightning bolts in the skies near the area of Apache, Oklahoma, April 13, 2012. …

Below are continuing updates tracking the severe weather battering parts of the Midwest. A round of severe weather which included tornadoes, heavy winds and baseball-sized hail has passed through Oklahoma, Nebraska and Kansas. The area around Wichita, Kan. has been impacted. Officials continue to track the storm as it moves northeast toward Illinois and Minnesota. All times are Central Standard.

11:30 p.m. (CST): The Topeka Capital-Journal reports up to 20 reported tornadoes in Kansas, with the Wichita area taking a significant hit.

10:40 p.m. (CST): Officials are telling the Associated Press that the small town of Thurman, Iowa is nearly 75 percent destroyed. The town's Emergency Management Director said there were no storm related injuries or deaths reported in the community of about 250. Also, a possible tornado struck a hospital Saturday evening in Creston, Iowa, CNN reports .

9:48 p.m. (CST): According to the National Weather Service , a confirmed and "large and extremely dangerous tornado" was located near Argonia, Kan. The alert notes that major power outages and damage is expected. Impacted areas include Wichita and surrounding areas.

9 p.m. (CST): A National Weather Service report states a very large and destructive tornado is likely moving through Fellsburg, Kan. The advisory urges residents to take life-saving precautions immediately.

7:29 p.m. (CST): Tornadoes touched down in Oklahoma, Nebraska and Kansas with no deaths reported and damage in mostly unpopulated areas, Reuters reports . However, according to a National Weather Service advisory: "Conditions will remain favorable for strong to violent and possibly long-lived tornadoes into the overnight hours."

The advisory noted that "Tornadoes during the overnight hours can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and obscured by rain and darkness."

The National Weather Service said severe storms were also possible tonight from Texas to Iowa to South Dakota and Minnesota.

A tornado forms and touches down north of Soloman, Kan., Saturday, April 14, 2012. (AP Photo/Orlin Wagner)
A tornado forms and touches down north of Soloman, Kan., Saturday, April 14, 2012. (AP Photo/Orlin Wagner)

5:05 p.m. (CST): Tornado Watch issued until 12 a.m. for central Iowa and northern Missouri includes Des Moines.

4:29 p.m. (CST): McConnell Air Force Base near Wichita is relocating some of its aircraft as the severe storm approaches the area, a spokeswoman tells the Wichita Eagle newspaper.

3:53 p.m. (CST): An official in Burdett, Kan. tells KSN-TV a tornado came close, but did not hit the town.

3:32 p.m. (CST): Tornado warnings and initial reports are picking up rapidly. The National Weather Service has 8 preliminary reports and warnings now stretch to Oklahoma.

3:19 p.m. (CST): The severe to strong weather is expected to affect parts of the central and southern Plains this afternoon and tonight, says the National Weather Service. The NWS Storm Prediction Center is forecasting the development of strong to violent long-track tornadoes in parts of Kansas, Oklahoma and Nebraska.

2:16 p.m. (CST): The National Weather Service in Dodge City, Kan. has confirmed a tornado 8 miles northwest of Spearville, Kan.

2:15 p.m. (CST): Baseball-sized hail crashed through windows in northeast Nebraska and at least three possible tornadoes have been reported in parts of Oklahoma, according to an AP report.

1:50 p.m. (CST): The University of Nebraska cancelled their Spring scrimmage as hail and sharp lightning moved through the area 90 minutes before the scheduled kickoff. The Associated Press reports officials decided to cancel rather than delay the scrimmage because of the threat of more strong storms and possible tornadoes later in the day.

1:04 p.m. (CST): The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued tornado warnings in North Central Kansas. Warnings are for Northwestern Osborne County and Southern Smith County.
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That storm near Lincoln is moving exceptionally fast.

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
Well goodnight everyone. It was a pleasure. Everyone stay safe and I'll hope to see you all tomorrow.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
This coupld potentially be another historic night of tornadoes, but the key word is potentially, there is a lot of hype and false info that can be spread around through the internet, which is why I hate social media sometimes... Anyways, as a student seeking to become a meteorologist, I am very hyped about this event tonight. However, I won't participate in OVER-hype which could spread false information. Lets wait until morning when the NWS teams can get out there and we get more significant confirmation.


When I was a kid I always over-hyped weather events, then people started not having so much confidence in my advice, and eventually being the boy who cried world catches up with you in a negative psychological way as well. That being said I realize not everyone here is actually going to become a professional in the meteorological world, but still, lets try to be honest here and not spread false info.


Trust me, I am not the mellow type when it comes to weather, nothing in life gets me more excited then intense weather events, but I've learned to do my best at seeking to improve my accuracy and honesty of weather reporting and commentary despite my excitement. In the end its better for all of us including ourselves, hopefully everyone can agree with me on this :)


I'm not saying there isn't extremely dangerous and potentially deadly severe weather tonight, but lets not make up info about what is happening, lets wait for professional confirmation.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8016
Quoting RTSplayer:


No.

Two very long track 5 and 6 hour tornadoes (or at least insane cells that repeatedly put down wedge tornadoes.)


I know it wasn't.... it's a joke we have carried on every hurricane season.
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Quoting Hurricanes101:
Tornado warning in Texas now too

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1152 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MOTLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
WESTERN COTTLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT

* AT 1148 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST
DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 23 MILES WEST OF
PADUCAH...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATADOR...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE PADUCAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES
AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8067451290.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.



Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
Omaha could be under the gun with this one.


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Quoting 1900hurricane:
The long track cell might finally be starting to succumb.

Yah seemed like its done.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
Tornado heavily damages south Wichita mobile home park

Eagle staff and wire reports
Published Saturday, April 14, 2012, at 11:35 p.m.
Updated Saturday, April 14, 2012, at 11:47 p.m.


A mobile home park near 52nd Street South and Clifton was heavily damaged by a tornado that swept through Wichita tonight.

There also was a fire burning in the middle of the Pinaire Mobile Home Park, apparently caused by a ruptured natural gas line. There were no immediate reports of how many people might have been injured.

Emergency vehicles were having trouble getting to the park because of extensive damage to trees and power lines in the area. Many emergency responders were arriving on foot to the park.

Shortly after the storm – which swept up from Oklahoma and through Sumner County and south Wichita – passed through, residents of the park were shouting the names of family members who were missing. Other residents were asking people to be quiet so they could hear the voices of people who might be trapped in the debris.

Many residents were gathering at the entrance to the park.

There also were unconfirmed reports of damage at Spirit AeroSystems and McConnell Air Force Base.

The storm that hit the park was part of a strong system that moved across Kansas, churning up more than a dozen tornados but causing no deaths or major damage across the state by late evening.


McConnell AFB was the one that got hit in the 1991 Andover tornado correct? Also I have a friend who is stationed in Ft Riley Base, (who is a big weather junkie). He's been out all day chasing. He got back to the base in the evening and had to take cover, the southside of the base took a hit.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


That is unreal. Thanks for the synopsis. I greatly appreciate it. Ill be watching this all night long. I get obsessed and can't sleep when this kind of stuff is going on. I am sure I am not the only one.
after today, I'm getting really tired... I wish this Wichita tornadic cell died out soon, but conditions support the cell going into Missouri, maybe making close call with KC :\
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The long track cell might finally be starting to succumb.

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
Tornado warning in Texas now too

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1152 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MOTLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
WESTERN COTTLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT

* AT 1148 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST
DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 23 MILES WEST OF
PADUCAH...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATADOR...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE PADUCAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES
AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8067451290.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.
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Quoting tropicfreak:
Dang.....judging by the amount of comments, did we have a major hurricane forming out of nowhere and barreling towards Florida?


No.

Two very long track 5 and 6 hour tornadoes (or at least insane cells that repeatedly put down wedge tornadoes.)
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2480. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


That is unreal. Thanks for the synopsis. I greatly appreciate it. Ill be watching this all night long. I get obsessed and can't sleep when this kind of stuff is going on. I am sure I am not the only one.
That damn Wichita storm still has a wedge reported on it.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Tornado heavily damages south Wichita mobile home park

Eagle staff and wire reports
Published Saturday, April 14, 2012, at 11:35 p.m.
Updated Saturday, April 14, 2012, at 11:47 p.m.


A mobile home park near 52nd Street South and Clifton was heavily damaged by a tornado that swept through Wichita tonight.

There also was a fire burning in the middle of the Pinaire Mobile Home Park, apparently caused by a ruptured natural gas line. There were no immediate reports of how many people might have been injured.

Emergency vehicles were having trouble getting to the park because of extensive damage to trees and power lines in the area. Many emergency responders were arriving on foot to the park.

Shortly after the storm – which swept up from Oklahoma and through Sumner County and south Wichita – passed through, residents of the park were shouting the names of family members who were missing. Other residents were asking people to be quiet so they could hear the voices of people who might be trapped in the debris.

Many residents were gathering at the entrance to the park.

There also were unconfirmed reports of damage at Spirit AeroSystems and McConnell Air Force Base.

The storm that hit the park was part of a strong system that moved across Kansas, churning up more than a dozen tornados but causing no deaths or major damage across the state by late evening.
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Quoting sunlinepr:
Rainy, windy down here....



In fact,a Wind Advisory has been issued for the higher elevations of PR.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1131 PM AST SAT APR 14 2012

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

PRZ001-002-004>006-008>010-012-013-VIZ001-002-151 145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.WI.Y.0003.120415T0331Z-120415T1500Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-NORTH CENTRAL-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-NORTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1131 PM AST SAT APR 14 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM AST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM AST SUNDAY.


* TIMING...OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ESPECIALLY
OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN AND OVER SAINT THOMAS. SHELTERED AREAS
LIKE VALLEYS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT LESS WINDS.

* IMPACTS...MINOR WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE MAINLY TO WEAKENED TREES
AND LOOSE OBJECTS. SOME TREE BRANCHES MAY BREAK OFF AND SMALL
TREES GET BLOWN OVER. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 MPH OR
GREATER ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. PEOPLE IN THE
ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS OR LAWN FURNITURE. TRUCKS AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOUNTAINS PASSES.

&&

$$
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14892
Is there any significant damage or casualties so far?
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I just realized I was on page 50...
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Quoting hydrus:
Isosurface of 85% humidity colored by temperature (-4 to 10 degrees C). The freezing point of water is colored pink.



That is a nice tool and all, accept the fact that the map view makes it useless :) lol at least to me anyway, you can't see what's going on at all from that 3d view at like a 45 degree angle.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8016
Quoting Bluestorm5:
You missed maybe two of the strongest tornado of 2012...

First, a tornado formed in Oklahoma. That tornado quickly turned into EF4/5 monster that missed Greensburg by 2 miles to west. However, that tornado continued to strengthen and got stronger. At one point, the wind scan showed 207.2 mph. That tornado went on to hit Macksville, St. John, Hudson, Lyons, and now Salina.

Second, a strong tornado formed near Woodward, OK. That tornado lifted up and down (the blog saw the tornado lived from OKC news helicopter) and went over Dacoma and Cherokee. That tornado got REALLY strong crossing the OK/KS border near Manchester. That tornado might be EF4/EF5 because of 200-300 knots gate to gate velocity. That tornado curved north and went over slightly, went over Argonia, Conway Springs, Clearwater, Haysville, and finally Wichita. Tornado was 3/4 mile to mile wide between Argonia to Wichita as tornado reached the peak. The tornado was going to hit Wichita directly as a strong tornado to the point that NWS Wichita gave the job to NWS Topeka. Tornado ended up going over a air force base and only shaved the southern and eastern part of Wichita. Tornado then went over El Dorado and now in Eureka, KS. We've been tracking it for 5 hours.


That is unreal. Thanks for the synopsis. I greatly appreciate it. Ill be watching this all night long. I get obsessed and can't sleep when this kind of stuff is going on. I am sure I am not the only one.
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Omg STILL a tornado on the ground with old Wichita storm.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Dang.....judging by the amount of comments, did we have a major hurricane forming out of nowhere and barreling towards Florida?
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Quoting 1900hurricane:
CAPE could possibly sustain the easternmost supercell all the way to Kansas City.

Yah that will look really good on the Wikipedia page, "Great Wichita/Kansas City tornado of 2012."
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Anyone have a link to live Nebraska coverage?
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Freaking ENORMOUS Meso with a confirmed tornado near Lincoln, NE.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Rainy, windy down here....

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CAPE could possibly sustain the easternmost supercell all the way to Kansas City.

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Storm just west of Eureka KS has a significant hook echo. Could easily be a tornado on the ground.

I just got back from a wedding so I am a little late lol
You missed maybe two of the strongest tornado of 2012...

First, a tornado formed in Oklahoma. That tornado quickly turned into EF4/5 monster that missed Greensburg by 2 miles to west. However, that tornado continued to strengthen and got stronger. At one point, the wind scan showed 207.2 mph. That tornado went on to hit Macksville, St. John, Hudson, Lyons, and now Salina.

Second, a strong tornado formed near Woodward, OK. That tornado lifted up and down (the blog saw the tornado lived from OKC news helicopter) and went over Dacoma and Cherokee. That tornado got REALLY strong crossing the OK/KS border near Manchester. That tornado might be EF4/EF5 because of 200-300 knots gate to gate velocity. That tornado curved north and went over slightly, went over Argonia, Conway Springs, Clearwater, Haysville, and finally Wichita. Tornado was 3/4 mile to mile wide between Argonia to Wichita as tornado reached the peak. The tornado was going to hit Wichita directly as a strong tornado to the point that NWS Wichita gave the job to NWS Topeka. Tornado ended up going over a air force base and only shaved the southern and eastern part of Wichita. Tornado then went over El Dorado and now in Eureka, KS. We've been tracking it for 5 hours.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
we have the same argument every year...

it IS possible 2 think abt 2 things at once... and some of us are interested. 2morrow this outbreak will b over and proto-albert will b a big topic of dscussion.

If u not interested, cool... don't answer.


so if that is the case

then why not hold off on the discussion of proto-alberto until tomorrow? Its not doing anything now and likely wont for a few days

This tornado threat is happening right now
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Quoting BahaHurican:
we have the same argument every year...

it IS possible 2 think abt 2 things at once... and some of us are interested. 2morrow this outbreak will b over and proto-albert will b a big topic of dscussion.

If u not interested, cool... don't answer.
Actually we have a moderate risk tomorrow. Right over Minneapolis.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Wedge still reported on Wichita cell.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


if you are looking to change the subject its not going to happen...something that even if it did form wont affect anyone is not as important as major tornadoes that are ongoing right now potentially with fatalities
we have the same argument every year...

it IS possible 2 think abt 2 things at once... and some of us are interested. 2morrow this outbreak will b over and proto-albert will b a big topic of dscussion.

If u not interested, cool... don't answer.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22728
God what a outbreak this has become...
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3852
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2457. hydrus
Isosurface of 85% humidity colored by temperature (-4 to 10 degrees C). The freezing point of water is colored pink.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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