March 2012: warmest in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2012

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Not only was March 2012 the warmest March in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895, it was also the second most extreme month for warmth in U.S. history, said NOAA yesterday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. The average temperature of 51.1°F was 8.6 degrees above the 20th century average for March, and 0.5°F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910. Of the more than 1,400 months that have passed since the U.S. weather records began in 1895, only one month--January 2006--had a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012. A remarkable 25 states east of the Rockies had their warmest March on record, and an additional 15 states had a top-ten warmest March. Only four states were cooler than average, with Alaska being the coldest (tenth coldest March on record.)


Figure 1. Temperature rankings for March 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Twenty five states set records for warmest March in the 118-year records (red colors.) Image credit: NOAA.

March 2012: most daily records broken of any month since July 1936
A wunderground analysis of weather records from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center temperature record database reveals that more daily high temperature records were broken in March in 2012 than for any month except July 1936, going back at least 100 years. Fully 11.3% of all daily high temperature records for the month of March in the U.S. are now held by the year 2012, for the 550 stations in NOAA's National Climatic Data Center database that have weather records extending back at least 100 years. The only month in U.S. history holding a higher percentage of daily temperatures records is July 1936. That month holds 14.4% of all the U.S. high temperature records for the month of July. That month occurred in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936, the hottest summer in U.S. history.



Summer in March 2012: records not merely smashed, but obliterated
Among the 15,000 daily records for warmth set in March 2012 were 21 truly astonishing ones: cases where the low temperature for the day beat the previous high temperature for the day. It is quite rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and NOAA lists 44 cases where a daily record was broken by more than 22°F. Extraordinarily, four stations broke a record for the date by 30°F or more. Canada holds the most surreal record of this nature during the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave: Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F) on March 22, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33.5°F.) Canada also had several stations break their all-time warmest April temperature records in March.



Last 3 months and 12 months were the warmest on record
The previous 12-month period (April 2011 -March 2012), which includes the second hottest summer (June-August) and fourth warmest winter (December-February), was the warmest such period for the contiguous United States. The year-to-date period (January - March) was also the warmest on record. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index, an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 39 percent, nearly twice the long-term average and the highest value on record for the January - March period. The predominant factor was the large area experiencing extremes in warm daily maximum and minimum temperatures.

Analyzing the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave
Dr. Martin Hoerling of NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder has posted a thorough analysis of the heat wave, which he calls, "Meteorological March Madness 2012". He explains that the event was probably a natural phenomenon, one that was predicted more than a month in advance by NOAA's long-range CFS model. A similar, though not as intense heat wave occurred in March 1910. However, he notes that the approximate 0.5 - 1°C warming in the Ohio Valley/Midwest U.S. in recent decades--due to human-caused emission of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide--has significantly increased the odds of major heat waves occurring. He speculates that the odds of a 1-in-40 year heat wave in the Midwest may have increased by about 50% due to human-caused global warming, but that we really don't know how much global warming may have increased the odds of the March 2012 heat wave, saying "This issue of estimating reliable statistics of extreme, rare events continues to be a matter of active research." He estimates that human-caused global warming likely increased the intensity of the March 12 - 23, 2012 heat wave by about 5 - 10%, and concludes by saying, "The probability of heatwaves is growing as [human-caused] warming continues to progress. But there is always the randomness."

Jeff Masters

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I can imagine two to four feet of hail (washed in with the accompanying rain) accumulating in in ditches/depressions. I have seen marble-sized hail, deposited "one marble deep" overall, about a foot deep in drainages.
(edit)
We shoveled it into a garbage can to ice down a keg.
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1113. Patrap
North Korea: Rocket being fueled 'as we speak'

NBC's Richard Engel reports from Pyongyang, North Korea, ahead of the launch.
By Reuters
PYONGYANG, North Korea -- North Korea said Wednesday that it was injecting fuel into its controversial experimental rocket "as we speak" -- meaning it could blast off as early as Thursday.
If all goes to plan, the launch, which North Korea's neighbors and the West say is a disguised ballistic missile test, will take a three-stage rocket over a sea separating the Korean peninsula from China before releasing a satellite into orbit when the third stage fires over waters near the Philippines.
Regional powers also worry it could be the prelude to another nuclear test, a pattern the hermit state set in 2009.
"We don't really care about the opinions from the outside. This is critical in order to develop our national economy," said Paek Chang-ho, head of the satellite control center at the Korean Committee of Space Technology.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


no because 45% * 4 = 180, and teh 2011 superoutbreak certainly didnt get a TorCon of 18.
A 30% risk isnt a 12.

Your logic is flawed

Trust me, i am a math competition expert.


They curve the numbers.

So they dont go over 100%
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting Patrap:
N. Korea has started the terminal Count down for the Launch Vehicle.


they aint launching a satellite. its a test to see how far they can launch a nuke.
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
1110. beell
18Z NAM Valid 7PM tomorrow evening. A lead piece of energy over KS atop the dryline.

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Here's video of a flash flood consisting of hail slush taken near Amarillo this evening. Imagine a billion-gallon, mud-flavored Slurpee:

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Quoting weatherh98:




for converting to torcon values it works


no because 45% * 4 = 180, and teh 2011 superoutbreak certainly didnt get a TorCon of 18.
A 30% risk isnt a 12.

Your logic is flawed

Trust me, i am a math competition expert.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9727
TORNADO WARNING
TXC065-233-120115-
/O.NEW.KAMA.TO.W.0002.120412T0039Z-120412T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
739 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
NORTH CENTRAL CARSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE
MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BORGER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE STINNETT...
SANFORD AND BORGER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...TAKE COVER NOW. ABANDON MOBILE HOMES
AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 10148 3576 10124 3557 10141 3565 10160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 209DEG 5KT 3569 10145

$$

KJS
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1106. Patrap
N. Korea has started the terminal Count down for the Launch Vehicle.

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Quoting RTSplayer:


I haven't heard anything officially.

the storm only mn't imagine what would have happened if this had hit directly in Amarillo...omg...

Hopefully there aren't a lot of animal deaths.

Like I said, I don't know much about that area as far as that goes.


Thanks,

I have been in (exposed) to marble to a bit bigger for a couple of minutes and it was not a large amount of stones. It still hurt. I can not imagine being in that unprotected.
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1104. Patrap
It's hard not to feel something about Friday the 13th, Fernsler says. "I find that 95% of people in the world are superstitious about something, and the other 5% are liars," he said.

"That's a good copy and number Houston'
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


that doesnt work, because if the area is 10 times larger, you do not have 150%.

It is a lot easier to work with probabilities of not happening in situations like this, so you could say that the probability that the tornado does not occur in any of the four sections that u could divide forbes' are into is .85^4= .522, or a .47 that it will.
so this would be a TorCon of 5.
Forbes however, seems to have higher numbers, so a 6 or more is what he uses.


The official conversions would be as follows:

2% SPC prob = TORCON of 1 (or about 8% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
5% SPC prob = TORCON of 2 (or about 19% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
15% SPC prob = TORCON of 5 (or about 48% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
30% SPC prob = TORCON of 8 (or about 76% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
45% SPC prob = TORCON of 9 (or about 91% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
60% SPC prob = TORCON of 10 (or about 97% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)



thats mathematically incorrect...

.15 in 25 mile radius would mean a .6 in a 50 mile radius they must do it so that the numbers dont go over 100%
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Looks like nature is putting Texas through "hail" right now.LOLOL.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


that doesnt work, because if the area is 10 times larger, you do not have 150%.

It is a lot easier to work with probabilities of not happening in situations like this, so you could say that the probability that the tornado does not occur in any of the four sections that u could divide forbes' are into is .85^4= .522, or a .47 that it will.
so this would be a TorCon of 5.
Forbes however, seems to have higher numbers, so a 6 or more is what he uses.


The official conversions would be as follows:

2% SPC prob = TORCON of 1 (or about 8% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
5% SPC prob = TORCON of 2 (or about 19% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
15% SPC prob = TORCON of 5 (or about 48% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
30% SPC prob = TORCON of 8 (or about 76% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
45% SPC prob = TORCON of 9 (or about 91% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
60% SPC prob = TORCON of 10 (or about 97% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)


for converting to torcon values it works
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting 1911maker:
Any reports of how large a area got the hail?


I haven't heard anything officially.

the storm only moved 20miles during the 4.5 hours event.

But the core may have been several miles wide of non-stop hail on several occasions.


It was a very, very wide core and we couldn't figure out why it wasn't tornado warned.


I figure as much as 20 miles length and maybe a mile or two wide path, could have had severe hail, but that's just guesstimating from having watched the radar the whole time.

the isolated cases of 4 feet is, I hope, nowhere near that big of an area.


But the storm was 100% chance of hail for 4.5 consecutive hours.

It was 80% or more chance of Severe hail the entire time as well.

Max radar estimated hail stone size ranged from 1 inch to 3.5 inches for the duration of the event.


So certainly any building's roofs which were in the areas with 2feet of more of accumulation are going to have some sort of damage ranging from superficial to catastrophic i'd imagine.


I can't imagine what would have happened if this had hit directly in Amarillo...omg...

Hopefully there aren't a lot of animal deaths.

Like I said, I don't know much about that area as far as that goes.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting Patrap:
Three Friday the 13ths, 13 weeks apart, a rarity




Thanks, and from the link

It's hard not to feel something about Friday the 13th, Fernsler says. "I find that 95% of people in the world are superstitious about something, and the other 5% are liars," he said.
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1098. ncstorm
From Frank Strait..that hail is unreal

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TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
633 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 700 PM MDT

* AT 626 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 9 MILES NORTH OF
GLADIOLA...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF TATUM...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
GLADIOLA...
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Quoting weatherh98:


Or look at it like this, had to do math, keep in mind that the area of a circle is
A=pi*r2

There fore

With the way the nws does it, a=3.14(25)(25)=1962.5 square miles
With the way Forbes does it, a=3.14(50)(50)=7850

Therefore 1962.5(4)=7850

So if you take an nws value of 15% and multiply by 4 make that 60 and make it a tor con value of 6

Hope that made sense,



that doesnt work, because if the area is 10 times larger, you do not have 150%.

It is a lot easier to work with probabilities of not happening in situations like this, so you could say that the probability that the tornado does not occur in any of the four sections that u could divide forbes' are into is .85^4= .522, or a .47 that it will.
so this would be a TorCon of 5.
Forbes however, seems to have higher numbers, so a 6 or more is what he uses.


The official conversions would be as follows:

2% SPC prob = TORCON of 1 (or about 8% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
5% SPC prob = TORCON of 2 (or about 19% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
15% SPC prob = TORCON of 5 (or about 48% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
30% SPC prob = TORCON of 8 (or about 76% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
45% SPC prob = TORCON of 9 (or about 91% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
60% SPC prob = TORCON of 10 (or about 97% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9727
1095. Patrap
Three Friday the 13ths, 13 weeks apart, a rarity

For many pagans, 13 is a lucky number, because it corresponds with the number of full moons each year, says Ivo Dominguez Jr., owner of Bell, Book & Candle, a pagan and occult book and gift shop in Dover, Del.
While Friday the 13th can feel special, it isn't. In a 400-year period, the 13th falls on a Friday more than any other day: 688 times, Fernsler says.


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Quoting Patrap:


Happy Early B-day then.

Avoid the Doom...


ill atempt
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Quoting Patrap:
3 Friday the 13ths this year 13 weeks apart.

Jan. 13, April 13 and July 13 are exactly 13 weeks apart.


My b-day fell on the January one. I am still alive. :)

How often does this happen? The frequency of Friday the 13ths that is.
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1092. Patrap
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


And December 21rst is on a Friday.


Same day as the Winter Solstice.

Huh, somebody best be writing or carving this down in stone..it may be important.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


You had chest pains? At least you went to the doctor for that. That's not something to screw around with.
Yes.I had to go to the Doctors to check what it really was.I was concerned that I had developed something more series.
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Quoting Patrap:
3 Friday the 13ths this year 13 weeks apart.

Jan. 13, April 13 and July 13 are exactly 13 weeks apart.


And December 21rst is on a Friday.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14260
The NAM is giving southwest/central Kansas an EHI value of 7, CAPE values near 2000 j/kg, and Storm Relative Helicity values over 500 m2/s2.
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1088. Patrap
Quoting weatherh98:


happens my birthday falls on the April one this year!!


Happy Early B-day then.

Avoid the Doom...
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I'm feeling better than I was this morning that's for sure.The doctor said the pain in my chest may come from my allergies.


You had chest pains? At least you went to the doctor for that. That's not something to screw around with.
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Quoting Patrap:
3 Friday the 13ths this year 13 weeks apart.

Jan. 13, April 13 and July 13 %u2014 are exactly 13 weeks apart.


happens my birthday falls on the April one this year!!
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Quoting beell:


That's Saturday's chart. 7PM CDT

Oops, my bad. Here's tomorrow evening's:

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1084. Patrap
3 Friday the 13ths this year 13 weeks apart.

Jan. 13, April 13 and July 13 are exactly 13 weeks apart.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No, Dr. Forbes doesn't incorporate significant tornadoes into his TOR:CON.

Revised my post, go look back.


Or look at it like this, had to do math, keep in mind that the area of a circle is
A=pi*r2

There fore

With the way the nws does it, a=3.14(25)(25)=1962.5 square miles
With the way Forbes does it, a=3.14(50)(50)=7850

Therefore 1962.5(4)=7850

So if you take an nws value of 15% and multiply by 4 make that 60 and make it a tor con value of 6

Hope that made sense,

Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting PedleyCA:


How are you feeling tonight....
I'm feeling better than I was this morning that's for sure.The doctor said the pain in my chest may come from my allergies.
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Any reports of how large a area got the hail?
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
i deleted the video, tell me if that helps, other wise i will try to turn the page.

sorry
Thanks... I notice there is sometimes weirdness with utube videos... dunno if it has anything to do with the width of the embed or what.
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1079. beell
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
We've got a tornado outbreak upcoming tomorrow. It will probably be the biggest tornado day since March 2.



That's Saturday's chart. 7PM CDT
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Not intending to start a fight on this, but given that there is talk on the blog about quakes...............and then I pop over to see what is new on NPR and this shows up.

Link

The U.S. Geological Survey will soon confirm that the oil and gas industry is creating earthquakes, and new data from the Midwest finds that these man-made quakes are happening more often than originally thought.
.
.
.
.
.
Frohlich notes somewhat reassuringly that so far, man-made quakes have not been any bigger than natural earthquakes in a region.
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i deleted the video, tell me if that helps, other wise i will try to turn the page.

sorry
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Quoting weatherh98:
TxDOTAmarillo
Heavy rain and up to 4 ft of hail has US 287 blocked north of Amarillo. Traffic moving slowly through the area. Expect some delays.


found via twitter, it wasnt a joke

4 FEET OF HAIL



There is no telling what kind of damage this has done.

I'm not sure what the local economy is there like farming or wildlife, etc.

I think one should be prepared for mass livestock casualties and mass wildlife casualties.

this will have bludgeoned, froze, or drowned cattle, dogs, cats, birds, etc, anything that was outside and couldn't make it to shelter in the isolated areas where it was so bad.


It will also have collapsed some flat roofs on things like convenience stores and groceries, possibly some service station awnings, sheds, and other weak structures, maybe even some houses and mobile homes too, etc.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting BahaHurican:
GAStormz, I think ur utube video has screwed the blog.....

Are you using...

a.) Classic Weather Underground
b.) Internet Explorer

If b, you better go get Google Chrome!
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Why with all the strong quakes?.Maybe the earth will end this year in December.


How are you feeling tonight....
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GAStormz, I think ur utube video has screwed the blog.....

EDIT: Good video, though.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22101
Quoting Doppler22:
Link

For mexico quake and

Link

For Oregon quake

Geez, what is it, earthquake day?
Man! Most big earthquakes I have seen in one day!
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Looks like the 5.9 earthquake off Oregon was close enough to the border with CA to make any confusion logical.

Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22101
Quoting weatherh98:


So that's for just seeing a significant one? So there may be tornado in 50 miles and there's a 30% chance it's big!?

No, Dr. Forbes doesn't incorporate significant tornadoes into his TOR:CON.

Revised my post, go look back.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32046
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

For a 15% tornado? No...Dr. Greg Forbes usually goes 6/7 for a 15% tornado.


So that's for just seeing a significant one? So there may be tornado in 50 miles and there's a 30% chance it's big!?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting weatherh98:


so its like a tor con of a 3??

For a 15% tornado? No...Dr. Greg Forbes usually goes 6/7 for a 15% tornado. But his numbers are within a 50 mile radius of any particular area.

I know it's confusing, just look at it like this:

2% tornado - maybe a tornado or two
5% tornado - a few tornadoes
10% tornado - 8 tornadoes (outbreak) or more
15% tornado - Could see many tornadoes (The January 22-23, 2012 tornado outbreak had 45 tornadoes and they had a 15% tornado)
30% tornado - Run away..
45% tornado - Run away...
60% tornado - Run away.....
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32046
TxDOTAmarillo
Heavy rain and up to 4 ft of hail has US 287 blocked north of Amarillo. Traffic moving slowly through the area. Expect some delays.


found via twitter, it wasnt a joke

4 FEET OF HAIL
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
611 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN LOVING COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
SOUTHEASTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM MDT/815 PM CDT/

* AT 608 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF RED BLUFF LAKE...OR 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENTONE...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
RED BLUFF LAKE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS DETECTED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.


http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/

SVR T-STORM WARNING MIDLAND/ODESSA TX - KMAF 611 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING AMARILLO TX - KAMA 705 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING AMARILLO TX - KAMA 703 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING LUBBOCK TX - KLUB 703 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING PUEBLO CO - KPUB 559 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING MIDLAND/ODESSA TX - KMAF 558 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
558 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 700 PM MDT

* AT 554 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11
MILES NORTH OF GLADIOLA...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF TATUM...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NORTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY...
STATE HIGHWAY 125 SOUTHEAST OF CROSSROADS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM... TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
A 15% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of any particular location is significant. Imagine how the people felt on April 27 when they were in a 45% chance of seeing a significant tornado within 25 miles of their location.


so its like a tor con of a 3??
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
never mind i deleted it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9727

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.