March 2012: warmest in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2012

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Not only was March 2012 the warmest March in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895, it was also the second most extreme month for warmth in U.S. history, said NOAA yesterday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. The average temperature of 51.1°F was 8.6 degrees above the 20th century average for March, and 0.5°F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910. Of the more than 1,400 months that have passed since the U.S. weather records began in 1895, only one month--January 2006--had a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012. A remarkable 25 states east of the Rockies had their warmest March on record, and an additional 15 states had a top-ten warmest March. Only four states were cooler than average, with Alaska being the coldest (tenth coldest March on record.)


Figure 1. Temperature rankings for March 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Twenty five states set records for warmest March in the 118-year records (red colors.) Image credit: NOAA.

March 2012: most daily records broken of any month since July 1936
A wunderground analysis of weather records from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center temperature record database reveals that more daily high temperature records were broken in March in 2012 than for any month except July 1936, going back at least 100 years. Fully 11.3% of all daily high temperature records for the month of March in the U.S. are now held by the year 2012, for the 550 stations in NOAA's National Climatic Data Center database that have weather records extending back at least 100 years. The only month in U.S. history holding a higher percentage of daily temperatures records is July 1936. That month holds 14.4% of all the U.S. high temperature records for the month of July. That month occurred in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936, the hottest summer in U.S. history.



Summer in March 2012: records not merely smashed, but obliterated
Among the 15,000 daily records for warmth set in March 2012 were 21 truly astonishing ones: cases where the low temperature for the day beat the previous high temperature for the day. It is quite rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and NOAA lists 44 cases where a daily record was broken by more than 22°F. Extraordinarily, four stations broke a record for the date by 30°F or more. Canada holds the most surreal record of this nature during the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave: Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F) on March 22, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33.5°F.) Canada also had several stations break their all-time warmest April temperature records in March.



Last 3 months and 12 months were the warmest on record
The previous 12-month period (April 2011 -March 2012), which includes the second hottest summer (June-August) and fourth warmest winter (December-February), was the warmest such period for the contiguous United States. The year-to-date period (January - March) was also the warmest on record. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index, an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 39 percent, nearly twice the long-term average and the highest value on record for the January - March period. The predominant factor was the large area experiencing extremes in warm daily maximum and minimum temperatures.

Analyzing the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave
Dr. Martin Hoerling of NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder has posted a thorough analysis of the heat wave, which he calls, "Meteorological March Madness 2012". He explains that the event was probably a natural phenomenon, one that was predicted more than a month in advance by NOAA's long-range CFS model. A similar, though not as intense heat wave occurred in March 1910. However, he notes that the approximate 0.5 - 1°C warming in the Ohio Valley/Midwest U.S. in recent decades--due to human-caused emission of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide--has significantly increased the odds of major heat waves occurring. He speculates that the odds of a 1-in-40 year heat wave in the Midwest may have increased by about 50% due to human-caused global warming, but that we really don't know how much global warming may have increased the odds of the March 2012 heat wave, saying "This issue of estimating reliable statistics of extreme, rare events continues to be a matter of active research." He estimates that human-caused global warming likely increased the intensity of the March 12 - 23, 2012 heat wave by about 5 - 10%, and concludes by saying, "The probability of heatwaves is growing as [human-caused] warming continues to progress. But there is always the randomness."

Jeff Masters

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Quoting StormTracker2K:


I think Irene will be retired many because of all the flooding she caused across the NE US.


Irene didnt cause all the flooding..the grounds were already saturated and rivers were near flood levels..the NE had heavy rains before Irene got there..it wont be retired..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15300
Quoting StormTracker2K:


I think Irene will be retired many because of all the flooding she caused across the NE US.

I agree. That, and the $3 billion it caused across the Caribbean and Bahamas.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

There's the dreaded if
If I died, I wouldn't be posting here right now. But obviously I'm alive, and Irene didn't hit Mexico.


I'm pretty sure you post in your sleep hahaha JK but in all seriousness I think Irene ought to be retired. I can't believe the NHc isn't considering it.
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

There's the dreaded if
If I died, I wouldn't be posting here right now. But obviously I'm alive, and Irene didn't hit Mexico.


I think Irene will be retired mainly because of all the flooding she caused across the NE US.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
If it had hit Mexico, we wouldn't even be having this discusssion.

There's the dreaded if's ;)

If I died, I wouldn't be posting here right now. But obviously I'm alive, and Irene didn't hit Mexico.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting BahaHurican:
I don't think either deserves it, frankly. There was nothing spectacular about the storm, especially in terms of casualties, and the damage would have been much worse if Irene had taken a more westerly path.

Lee doesn't seem to deserve it either; IIRC much of the damage was in areas that had already had flood problems that spring and summer.

Lee certainly doesn't deserve it, as his damaged was caused after he was tropical.
Irene is a different story however.
Irene caused all time flood records to be broken in 26 rivers. It killed 56 people. It knocked out power to 9 million people (including me). It caused billions in damage.
I honestly don't see how it can't be retired.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7787
If it had hit Mexico, we wouldn't even be having this discusssion.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22139
Quoting BahaHurican:
I don't think either deserves it, frankly. There was nothing spectacular about the storm, especially in terms of casualties, and the damage would have been much worse if Irene had taken a more westerly path.

Lee doesn't seem to deserve it either; IIRC much of the damage was in areas that had already had flood problems that spring and summer.


Not quite.

Louisiana had been in a persistent drought.

The flooding was from the Mississippi valley floods from all the rains in the Missouri and Ohio valleys. It hadn't rained much at all in Louisiana when Lee hit.

In fact, Lee broke several 1 and 2 day rainfall accumulation records in Louisiana, which considering the past is pretty hard to do.

the drought is what made it possible for the land to absorb so much water without causing severe damage.

We got 14.5 inches rainfall from Lee, but only 12 inches rain from Katrina and Rita combined.


Rainfall usually is not an issue in Louisiana unless you live in a pit somewhere or right on a river.


Now if it had been an "average" year ahead of time, and then got Lee, we probably would have gotten some half-decent river flooding in Livingston and Tangipahoa parishes.

As it was, the creeks and rivers came up, but were still well over 10 feet below record levels, at least in the places I checked.

they were nowhere near the 2001 flood levels, never mind the 1983 flood levels (which were over some of the gauges.)



overall, Lee brought some much welcome rain and we were glad to get it.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
TWC: ""Accuweather is innovative and resourceful, and so are we.
They never stop making inaccurate forecasts, and neither do we."

The rain line is slowly sagging southwards, the cold spell can now begin.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9730
Quoting BahaHurican:
I don't think either deserves it, frankly. There was nothing spectacular about the storm, especially in terms of casualties, and the damage would have been much worse if Irene had taken a more westerly path.

Lee doesn't seem to deserve it either; IIRC much of the damage was in areas that had already had flood problems that spring and summer.

The storm killed 56 people, caused $10.1 billion in damage, and was one of the most costly Northeast hurricanes on record, and you are saying that it doesn't deserve to be retired?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting BahaHurican:
I don't think Irene deserves it, frankly. There was nothing spectacular about the storm, especially in terms of casualties, and the damage would have been much worse if Irene had taken a more westerly path.

Lee doesn't seem to deserve it either; IIRC much of the damage was in areas that had already had flood problems that spring and summer.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22139
Wet wx for FL next week. Hopefully it materializes this time! This is right across the hardest drought areas.

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Watch Possible

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Quoting Neapolitan:
Further proof--as if any were needed--that many aged and retired engineers know as much about modern climate science as modern climate scientists know about flying the shuttle or the Apollo capsule; cross-discipline "expertise" should never be assumed.


Not only that- what, exactly, do former astronauts know about climate? I am former waitress, would you hire me to do your quadruple bypass surgery?? It just doesn't follow. Healthy skepticism needed here.
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Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


Doubt either one, there was this in the comments on the NHC Facebook Page



Hi NHC, when will the fate of Irene be determined? I thought names were retired during the NHC (National Hurricane Conference)? If so, will it be retired?
March 28 at 1:10pm.



NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center There are no plans to retire Irene, although it's actually determined when the WMO Region IV meets in April.
I don't think Irene deserves it, frankly. There was nothing spectacular about the storm, especially in terms of casualties, and the damage would have been much worse if Irene had taken a more westerly path.

Lee doesn't seem to deserve it either; IIRC much of the damage was in areas that had already had flood problems that spring and summer.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22139
Quoting Skeptic33:
Link



Former NASA scientists, astronauts admonish agency on climate change position

Joint letter to NASA Administrator blasts agency’s policy of ignoring empirical evidence

HOUSTON, TX - April 10, 2012. 49 former NASA scientists and astronauts sent a letter to NASA Administrator Charles Bolden last week admonishing the agency for its role in advocating a high degree of certainty that man-made CO2 is a major cause of climate change while neglecting empirical evidence that calls the theory into question.

The group, which includes seven Apollo astronauts and two former directors of NASA’s Johnson Space Center (JSC) in Houston, are dismayed over the failure of NASA, and specifically the Goddard Institute For Space Studies (GISS), to make an objective assessment of all available scientific data on climate change. They charge that NASA is relying too heavily on complex climate models that have proven scientifically inadequate in predicting climate only one or two decades in advance.

H. Leighton Steward, chairman of the non-profit Plants Need CO2, noted that many of the former NASA scientists harbored doubts about the significance of the CO2-climate change theory and have concerns over NASA’s advocacy on the issue. While making presentations in late 2011 to many of the signatories of the letter, Steward realized that the NASA scientists should make their concerns known to NASA and the GISS.


Is one of them also the guy who proposes using a "gravity tractor" to move meteors, neglecting the fact that this actually violates conservation laws?

I'm surprised History, Discovery, etc, allowed that to be aired, because if you do the math it does not work. It would still require as much fuel as pushing the thing directly (they just neglected half of the calculation).


But whatever, he was a former astronaut, so he got to be a "panel expert" on a documentary, and couldn't do 9th grade level physical science. Sad thing is, nobody else on the program caught him and refuted the bogus idea.

Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


climate scientists know that we shouldnt lauch space shuttles and rockets because they emit too much CO2.
Electric engines into space!!!!!!!!! :)


You've got mail
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting RTSplayer:


That's gotta suck.

What's being done to fight that fire? It's close to the state boundary and also close to the exceptional drought region to it's southwest.

A few posts ago it was stated it was projected to burn another 20k acres. That's 31 square miles.
I can't tell from that image where it's located but it could be this

If it's in a region like the Okefenokee and the Honey Prairie Fires they might just let it smolder. a) saves money and b) certain bio regions need to burn to renew. But sadly it's really TOO dry in the south of the state right now and the fires are damaging, not just cleansing.
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0488
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102035Z - 102230Z

POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS INCREASING ATTM ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE AND SURROUNDING AREAS. LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD
EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDS OF SLOWLY INCREASING CU
IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS INVOF THE TX PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...WITH
LIMITED SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THIS
AREA...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT WOULD APPEAR TO EXIST ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...WHICH LIES ON THE FAR SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER FLOW FIELD
ALOFT. THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF LIMITED
STORM ORGANIZATION AND THUS ONLY LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL...WW MAY
BE WARRANTED IF TRENDS SUGGEST FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
WOULD BECOME LIKELY.

..GOSS.. 04/10/2012
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7787
122 TXMegaWatt: Thought I'd share with the blog. Some of you may have seen this already. For those of you who haven't, you're in for a treat. Enjoy! Link

Coulda been good, except a MORON decided to inject the nonsequiter "Forget Jesus, stars sacrificed themselves..." into what should have been a science discussion.
1) I've yet to see any scientific basis to conclude that stars are sufficiently conscious or intelligent or self-directing to have "sacrificed themselves", not even metaphorically.
2) Why torque off a LOT of people at the beginning of an exposition by attacking their core belief system IF ones purpose is to expose folks to the wonders of science?
Sounds more like the proselytizing of an atheism-is-my-religion ("but I'll never admit it") zealot trying to cram his unsupportable beliefs upon those who are interested in the Sciences.

After a few more seconds, I just decided to shut it off. The mood (music and "poetic"prose in pretentious narrative voicings) was too airy-fairy NewAge in its mixture of physics with bad metaphysics and pseudo-philosophical rambling for my taste.
Perhaps if they hadn't decided to pick a fight at the beginning, I woulda had a different reaction. Or at least woulda tolerated the airy-fairyness a bit longer, maybe even long enough to see the ending.
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Quoting Skeptic33:
Former NASA scientists, astronauts admonish agency on climate change position

Joint letter to NASA Administrator blasts agency’s policy of ignoring empirical evidence

Alternate headline: "Old Men Yell at Cloud."

If they have an alternate explanation, they are perfectly free to publish in the reputable, peer-reviewed journal of their choice.

Science isn't done through press releases.
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.DISCUSSION... DISPERSION VALUES ARE STILL FORECAST TO BE ABOVE 75 OVER A LARGE AREA OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON COINCIDENT WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. ERC VALUES ARE ALSO FAIRLY HIGH... SO THE LARGE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR MOST OF THE FLORIDA ZONES. ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET... ALTHOUGH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S IN THE AFTERNOON.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Power is back after it went out briefly as the heavy thunderstorm moved thru.

Nigel20,already six flood advisories have been issued today. And so far this year 156 flood advisories have been issued in Puerto Rico,making these normally dry months of the year one of the wettest ever.

WWow! The rainy season is not even here as yet and so much flood reports...hopefully the rainy and hurricane season will be good for Puerto Rico
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Further proof--as if any were needed--that many aged and retired engineers know as much about climate science as climate scientists know about flying a shuttle; cross-discipline "expertise" should never be assumed.


climate scientists know that we shouldnt lauch space shuttles and rockets because they emit too much CO2.
Electric engines into space!!!!!!!!! :)
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9730
Quoting Skeptic33:
Link



Former NASA scientists, astronauts admonish agency on climate change position

Joint letter to NASA Administrator blasts agency%u2019s policy of ignoring empirical evidence

HOUSTON, TX - April 10, 2012. 49 former NASA scientists and astronauts sent a letter to NASA Administrator Charles Bolden last week admonishing the agency for its role in advocating a high degree of certainty that man-made CO2 is a major cause of climate change while neglecting empirical evidence that calls the theory into question.

The group, which includes seven Apollo astronauts and two former directors of NASA%u2019s Johnson Space Center (JSC) in Houston, are dismayed over the failure of NASA, and specifically the Goddard Institute For Space Studies (GISS), to make an objective assessment of all available scientific data on climate change. They charge that NASA is relying too heavily on complex climate models that have proven scientifically inadequate in predicting climate only one or two decades in advance.

H. Leighton Steward, chairman of the non-profit Plants Need CO2, noted that many of the former NASA scientists harbored doubts about the significance of the CO2-climate change theory and have concerns over NASA%u2019s advocacy on the issue. While making presentations in late 2011 to many of the signatories of the letter, Steward realized that the NASA scientists should make their concerns known to NASA and the GISS.
Further proof--as if any were needed--that many aged and retired engineers know as much about modern climate science as modern climate scientists know about flying the shuttle or the Apollo capsule; cross-discipline "expertise" should never be assumed.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-012- 014>019-023>026-
PAZ060>062-067>071-111945-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOME RSET-
MIDDLESEX-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
345 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

RED FLAG WARNING.



.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...THURSDAY...
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. OF THESE DAYS...THURSDAY AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOONS APPEAR TO BE THE DAYS OF HIGHER CHANCES FOR A RED FLAG
CONDITION.

TEMPERATURES COULD APPROACH FREEZING BOTH LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHTS IN PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY COUNTRYSIDE.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$
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Quoting nigel20:

hopefully there are no reports of flooding


Power is back after it went out briefly as the heavy thunderstorm moved thru.

Nigel20,already six flood advisories have been issued today. And so far this year 156 flood advisories have been issued in Puerto Rico,making these normally dry months of the year one of the wettest ever.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14267
Quoting nigel20:

that's what you would expect in the west coast and not the east coast
your so right there..its amazing and the smell of this smoke sickens you, allergies going full blast everytime I go outside.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Haha, that was me. :)


Ahhh found it haha
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting LargoFl:
just saw long Island ny has brush fires going, but here in florida......from msnbc i think.....In Florida, 89 wildfires affecting nearly 16,000 acres were burning, according to the Florida Forest Service. That included 18 fires of more than 100 acres each, and one of over 11,000 acres in the Osceola National Forest near the Georgia border.

that's what you would expect in the west coast and not the east coast
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Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


Doubt either one, there was this in the comments on the NHC Facebook Page



Hi NHC, when will the fate of Irene be determined? I thought names were retired during the NHC (National Hurricane Conference)? If so, will it be retired?
March 28 at 1:10pm.



NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center There are no plans to retire Irene, although it's actually determined when the WMO Region IV meets in April.


If Irene isn't retired, it will go down as the most damaging cyclone to not be retired. But, like said it's determined by WMO and not just by the NHC.
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Link



Former NASA scientists, astronauts admonish agency on climate change position

Joint letter to NASA Administrator blasts agency’s policy of ignoring empirical evidence

HOUSTON, TX - April 10, 2012. 49 former NASA scientists and astronauts sent a letter to NASA Administrator Charles Bolden last week admonishing the agency for its role in advocating a high degree of certainty that man-made CO2 is a major cause of climate change while neglecting empirical evidence that calls the theory into question.

The group, which includes seven Apollo astronauts and two former directors of NASA’s Johnson Space Center (JSC) in Houston, are dismayed over the failure of NASA, and specifically the Goddard Institute For Space Studies (GISS), to make an objective assessment of all available scientific data on climate change. They charge that NASA is relying too heavily on complex climate models that have proven scientifically inadequate in predicting climate only one or two decades in advance.

H. Leighton Steward, chairman of the non-profit Plants Need CO2, noted that many of the former NASA scientists harbored doubts about the significance of the CO2-climate change theory and have concerns over NASA’s advocacy on the issue. While making presentations in late 2011 to many of the signatories of the letter, Steward realized that the NASA scientists should make their concerns known to NASA and the GISS.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I believe that is a pretty accurate statement.

just saw long Island ny has brush fires going, but here in florida......from msnbc i think.....In Florida, 89 wildfires affecting nearly 16,000 acres were burning, according to the Florida Forest Service. That included 18 fires of more than 100 acres each, and one of over 11,000 acres in the Osceola National Forest near the Georgia border.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Haha, that was me. :)


Lol I tried to see it but I didn't know where it was hahaha
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6493
Quoting LargoFl:
stay safe up there ok and if you can, send a lil shower or two this way ok


a little gusty winds never hurt anybody, and it should rain later this week in florida :) ....... i think
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9730
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


i did notice the wind.
stay safe up there ok and if you can, send a lil shower or two this way ok
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

General persistence with minor improvements.


Thanks much...not what most people in the east coast would want to hear
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although the new gfs seems more open to the open trough solution, overall it is not buying it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9730
Quoting nigel20:

what's the outlook for the drought...will there be improvement or will the drought persist?

General persistence with minor improvements.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, I think it's safe to say we need some.



That's gotta suck.

What's being done to fight that fire? It's close to the state boundary and also close to the exceptional drought region to it's southwest.

A few posts ago it was stated it was projected to burn another 20k acres. That's 31 square miles.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I believe that is a pretty accurate statement.


what's the outlook for the drought...will there be improvement or will the drought persist?
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I believe that is a pretty accurate statement.

img src=


D3 here and if the dryness persists may be in D4 in the near future.
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Quoting LargoFl:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
351 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

GAZ026-028-029-102100-
ELBERT-FRANKLIN-HART-
351 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...A BAND OF SHOWERS TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
GEORGIA PIEDMONT THROUGH 5 PM THIS EVENING...

A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA PIEDMONT THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL WITH THE SHOWERS WILL
GENERALLY BE BRIEF AND MODERATE...THE SHOWERS COULD CHANNEL STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS FRANKLIN...HART...AND ELBERT COUNTIES THROUGH 5 PM...WITH THE
GUSTIEST WINDS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE AREA FROM ROYSTON TO ELBERTON TO
FORTSONIA.

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3397 8279 3400 8293 3417 8311
3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
3422 8335 3426 8334 3432 8340 3446 8340
3448 8318 3453 8311 3447 8301 3448 8289
3427 8275 3415 8272 3409 8264 3396 8256

$$

HG


i did notice the wind.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9730
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


Doubt either one, there was this in the comments on the NHC Facebook Page



Hi NHC, when will the fate of Irene be determined? I thought names were retired during the NHC (National Hurricane Conference)? If so, will it be retired?
March 28 at 1:10pm.



NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center There are no plans to retire Irene, although it's actually determined when the WMO Region IV meets in April.

Haha, that was me. :)
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting CybrTeddy:
We'll find out this week btw if Irene and or Lee get's retired from the naming rotation.


Doubt either one, there was this in the comments on the NHC Facebook Page



Hi NHC, when will the fate of Irene be determined? I thought names were retired during the NHC (National Hurricane Conference)? If so, will it be retired?
March 28 at 1:10pm.



NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center There are no plans to retire Irene, although it's actually determined when the WMO Region IV meets in April.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
I am under a heavy thunderstorm as I type this.Loud thunder is going on where I live in Isla Verde,PR.

hopefully there are no reports of flooding
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Quoting nigel20:

i've notice that you guys have fires all over the east coast...i guess you guys need some well needed rain

I believe that is a pretty accurate statement.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting LargoFl:
I found this on another weather blog..any truth to this? was THIS the cause of our HOT spring and warm winter???.........................First Grímsvötn volcano erupted through a glacier. Then it exploded through the air. Finally, its debris changed the atmosphere so much that it blasted winter away from most of the US.


Actually, volcanoes usually cause cooling regionally and even globally due to aerosols and ash blocking the sun.

Volcanoes can also cause droughts or extreme precipitation events (both rain and snow,) because the ash can screw up atmospheric moisture in several ways, or just serve as a seed particle for a drop of rain or a snow flake, etc.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
I am under a heavy thunderstorm as I type this.Loud thunder is going on where I live in Isla Verde,PR.
stay safe and watch out for the lighning
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Fire.


i've notice that you guys have fires all over the east coast...i guess you guys need some well needed rain
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I am under a heavy thunderstorm as I type this.Loud thunder is going on where I live in Isla Verde,PR.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14267

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.