Tornadoes rip through Dallas metro area

By: AngelaFritz , 9:36 PM GMT on April 03, 2012

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At least three tornadoes have ripped through the Dallas metro area this afternoon, one passing between Dallas and Fort Worth, bearing down on the Dallas-Fort Worth airport but narrowly missing to the east. The other two tornadoes passed east of Dallas, one touching down near the town of Forney, where there were reports of impacts to the high school. The DFW airport issued a ground stop for all incoming flights and grounded all planes at their airports, and a spokesman said they were sheltering passengers. The airport is now closed while they inspect the planes for hail damage, and can accept no incoming flights for lack of a place to put them.

Residential neighborhoods were completely destroyed in the Arlington tornado, and tractor trailers were tossed like toys. Extensive damage was done to the Green Oaks nursing home and rehab center, which is just east of Lake Arlington. The Arlington tornado was on the ground for approximately 30 minutes. In addition to the tornadoes, trained storm spotters were reporting hail up to three inches in diameter, which is approximately the size of a baseball.

The mayor and city council of Arlington, Texas declared a state of disaster for the city when, just an hour after the tornado had passed through, it was obvious that the area had sustained incredible damage.

Tornado warnings continue to be issued, and the potential for severe thunderstorms with and tornadoes will continue through the evening in eastern Texas, Oklahoma, southern Arkansas, and Louisiana. The convective outlook paints a good picture of the tornado potential for the rest of the evening. If you're in one of these regions, stay alert for tornado watches or warnings that may be issued.


Radar reflectivity of the tornadic thunderstorms as they passed over the Dallas metro area this afternoon. The storms that produced tornadoes are circled, and Arlington, Texas has been pointed out on the map.


Tornado warnings (red) and severe thunderstorm warnings (yellow) at the time two tornadoes were passing to the east and west of Dallas, Texas.


Video of the Arlington tornado developing as it crosses US-287 near Sublett Road, from Twitter user @wesstevens.



Video 2. Dramatic video of semi-trailers being tossed more than 100 feet in the air by the Lancaster, Texas tornado of April 3, 2012.

Angela

Forney Tornado (ClockworkLemon)
Tornado that hit Forney, TX 4/3/12
Forney Tornado
Forney Tornado (ClockworkLemon)
Tornado that hit Forney, TX 4/3/12
Forney Tornado
Iowa Hail (RevMac)
A co-worker was describing the severe storm that rolled through eastern Iowa Saturday night and mentioned golf ball sized hail that damaged his home. He produced this photo as evidence. I told Nathan I would share with the WU family.
Iowa Hail
Large Hail (wecarver50)
Hail from April 3 storms in Dallas, Tx
Large Hail

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this has increased from yesterday

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Quoting ClimateChange:
Dr. Spencer reporting 0.23C of global warming over the last month. The global lower tropospheric temperature went from 0.12C below the 1981-2010 mean in February to 0.11C above the 1981-2010 mean in March. With La Nina out of the way and expected to give way to El Nino by summer, we should see those temperatures continue to rapidly climb.

I see that Spencer just updated that page. I imagine Joe Bastardi is feeling let down yet again; he'd been forecasting all fall and winter that the March temp would be down to between -0.15 and -0.3, making 2012 "liable to be the coolest year since the late 1990s". Of course, WUWT trumpeted that prediction, as did many other denialist sites.

When will they ever learn?

Anyway, here's a version of the graph on Spencer's site, only with a standard--and very telling--linear trendline instead of that ridiculous, cherry-picked 3rd order polynomial "for entertainment purposes only" trendline he included to fool the masses:

Spencer
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Quoting ClimateChange:
Dr. Spencer reporting 0.23C of global warming over the last month. The global lower tropospheric temperature went from 0.12C below the 1981-2010 mean in February to 0.11C above the 1981-2010 mean in March. With La Nina out of the way and expected to give way to El Nino by summer, we should see those temperatures continue to rapidly climb.



Check that... February was revised upwards to -0.11C, so this was 0.22C of global warming, not 0.23C.
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Dr. Spencer reporting 0.23C of global warming over the last month. The global lower tropospheric temperature went from 0.12C below the 1981-2010 mean in February to 0.11C above the 1981-2010 mean in March. With La Nina out of the way and expected to give way to El Nino by summer, we should see those temperatures continue to rapidly climb.

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244. Jax82
Wet n Wild.

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Quoting jeffs713:


Well, it is prime season for severe weather...

Also, that is 10 days out. A week ago, the GFS was forecasting a major cold blast late this week... that isn't in *any* of the models (and highly unlikely considering the lack of snowpack in the midwest and how any cold airmass would quickly modify). I don't put any weight into model forecasts until they are 7 days or less out. Trying to forecast 10 days out is best left to throwing a dart at a wall.


So is 7 days out as well, usually for me 5 days out is the limit
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The GFS continues to show a decent Severe Weather setup starting in the plains on April 14, down into the South April 15, and the East Coast (mainly the Carolinas) on April 16.

Coincidence?







Well, it is prime season for severe weather...

Also, that is 10 days out. A week ago, the GFS was forecasting a major cold blast late this week... that isn't in *any* of the models (and highly unlikely considering the lack of snowpack in the midwest and how any cold airmass would quickly modify). I don't put any weight into model forecasts until they are 7 days or less out. Trying to forecast 10 days out is best left to throwing a dart at a wall.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
548 AM EDT WED APR 4 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-051000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
548 AM EDT WED APR 4 2012

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTERIOR/EAST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MAINLY INTERIOR AND EAST COAST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS
COULD BE STRONG CONTAINING GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

WIND: GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

HAIL: HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTH FLORIDA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF EVEN A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THIS TIME WITH STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
RISKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
Link

Buzzfeed pictures of tornado
Number 22 is the prizewinner
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Good Morning!

I heard there were no fatalities or even serious injuries reported from the tornadoes in Texas yesterday. That is impressive, considering the fool in the truck on the video that stopped but then started driving right at the storm.

The warnings must be doing a good job, and folks must be paying attention. Keep up the good work and making things better.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


I like them all. How is the fishing there?

Good, saw alot of people fishing yesterday, not sure if they got alot but they also do fly fishing there.
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Quoting OracleDeAtlantis:


Of all the images that we've seen today, the most interesting are those curious objects seen jumping around the sky in another major U.S. city. But are they red, orange, or red-orange?

It sure beats me, but you have to wonder, who won this jump shot?







Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall,
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses and all the king's men
Couldn't put Humpty together again ...







Action:
Quote
| Ignore User


Member Since: August 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5







That's a tip not a jump shot
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Good morning. My thinking about what CSU will have in terms of numbers is 10/6/2. Let's see what will they really have later this morning.


I think more
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Good morning. My thinking about what CSU will have in terms of numbers is 10/6/2. Let's see what will they really have later this morning.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14020
The GFS continues to show a decent Severe Weather setup starting in the plains on April 14, down into the South April 15, and the East Coast (mainly the Carolinas) on April 16.

Coincidence?





Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31468
those pictures of the flying trailors were fake john wayne studio stuff. pretty soon they will be trying to tell us global warming is for real.
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A week ago, Scotland had its highest ever March temperature. For the whole of the British Isles, it was the third warmest March of all time.

Now..?

"Nearly 50,000 homes and businesses in England are without electricity after gales and ice brought down power lines.

Northern Powergrid said it was dealing with 40,000 buildings without power in County Durham and North Yorkshire, including 11,000 homes in Whitby.

In North Derbyshire, Western Power Distribution confirmed about 9,000 customers were without electricity.

Drivers were warned to take care as up to 20cm (8in) of snow fell high ground causing treacherous conditions."

Link
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213 drg0dOwnCountry: [USAnnualTornadoCount chart]

According to the StormPredictionCenter, "...the increase in tornado reports over the last 54 years is almost entirely due to [societal*] trends...", and is not indicative of any meaningfully strong signal of an upward trend in the actual number of tornadoes.

* Their pairing of 'secular' with 'almost' is weird enough to be considered a mistaken usage
since all tornado causes and statistics are secular by definition on science-based sites.
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Quoting aspectre:
219 WxGeekVA [inre 190 aspectre]: Maybe that's it! I mean 1/3 of all of those together like maybe the Big One for LA is what I am feeling... Good god that actually scares me.

I just found it to be a weirdly interesting coincidence that adding up the coordinates for the YellowstoneCaldera, the NewMadridEarthquake, and the Hilina_Slump in Hawaii,
then dividing by 3 resulted in a coordinate within the CatalinaChannel...
(where a few magnitude3.4-and-lower earthquakes occurred in February and March of last year)
...and just a few miles north of the 30 Mile Bank Fault.

Don't know why the BigO would cause a scare; the SoCal motto is:
Did you feel it, too? Did the earth move for ya, babe?
something is going on alright.....

This report on the status of Kilauea volcanic activity, in addition to maps, photos, and Webcam images (available using the menu bar above), was prepared by the USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO). Hawai`i Volcanoes National Park status can be found at http://www.nps.gov/havo/ or 985-6000. All times are Hawai`i Standard Time.

KILAUEA VOLCANO (CAVW #1302-01-)
19°25'16" N 155°17'13" W, Summit Elevation 4091 ft (1247 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Activity Summary for past 24 hours: The summit continued to inflate slowly while back-to-back DI events continued. Overnight, glow was visible within the Halema`uma`u gas plume and from sources within Pu`u `O`o crater. To the southeast, surface flows continued to be active on the pali and the coastal plain; there was no ocean entry. Seismic tremor levels were low; gas emissions were elevated.

Past 24 hours at Kilauea summit: DI inflation and the rise of the summit lava lake slowed, anticipating the next DI deflation. The most recent (preliminary) sulfur dioxide emission rate measurement was 400 tonnes/day on March 29, 2012. The gas plume continued to include a small amount of ash-sized tephra that was deposited on nearby, downwind surfaces.

Since mid-October 2011, the summit GPS network recorded ~1 cm/mo extension indicating continuing long-term summit inflation. Seismic tremor levels remained low and were still increasing slightly with DI inflation, decreasing slightly with DI deflation. Six earthquakes were strong enough to be located beneath Kilauea volcano: 1 beneath the uppermost southwest rift zone, 2 within the upper east rift zone, and 3 on south flank faults.

Background: The summit lava lake is deep within a ~160 m (520 ft) diameter cylindrical vent with nearly vertical sides inset within the east wall and floor of Halema`uma`u Crater. Its level fluctuates from about 70 m to more than 150 m (out of sight) below the floor of Halema`uma`u Crater. The vent has been mostly active since opening with a small explosive event on March 19, 2008. Most recently, the lava level of the lake has remained below an inner ledge (75 m or 250 ft below the floor of Halema`uma`u Crater) and responded to summit tilt changes with the lake receding during deflation and rising during inflation.

Past 24 hours at the middle east rift zone vents: Lava flows continued to be active on the pali and the coastal plain southeast of Pu`u `O`o (within the abandoned Royal Garden subdivision). The webcams showed that the flows were active overnight but are still an estimated 1.6 km (1 mi) from the coast; consequently, there was no ocean entry this morning. Note that the R2cam has been rotated toward the east and the flows are passing in the middle distance on the way to the coast.

Strong glow was persistent from the small collapse pit on the east edge, the small spatter cone on the southeast edge of the floor, and the uppermost lava tube system on the east flank of Pu`u `O`o cone. Seismic tremor levels near Pu`u `O`o were low. The tiltmeter on the north flank of Pu`u `O`o cone recorded weak inflation. GPS receivers on opposite sides of the cone were recording neither extension nor contraction. The most recent (preliminary) sulfur dioxide emission rate measurement was 450 tonnes/day on March 29, 2012, from all east rift zone sources.

Background: The eruption in Kilauea's middle east rift zone started with a fissure eruption on January 3, 1983, and has continued since at Pu`u `O`o Cone, or from vents within a few kilometers to the east or west, with few interruptions. A fissure eruption on the upper east flank of Pu`u `O`o Cone on Sept. 21, 2011, drained the lava lakes and fed a lava flow that advanced southeast through the abandoned Royal Gardens subdivision to the ocean within Hawai`i Volcanoes National Park in early December. The ocean entry has been inactive since late December but the flows have remained intermittently active above or on the pali. In general, activity waxes with inflation and wanes with deflation.

Hazard Summary: East rift vents and flow field - near-vent areas could erupt or collapse without warning with spatter and/or ash being wafted within the gas plume; potentially-lethal concentrations of sulfur dioxide gas may be present within 1 km downwind of vent areas. All recently active lava flows are within Hawai`i Volcanoes National Park, adjacent State land managed by the Department of Land and Natural Resources, and private property within the Royal Gardens subdivision; the lava flows do not pose a hazard to any structures not already within the County-declared mandatory evacuation zone. Kilauea Crater - ash and Pele's hair can be carried several kilometers downwind; potentially-lethal concentrations of sulfur dioxide can be present within 1 km downwind.

Viewing Summary: East rift zone flow field - There are active lava flows within the closed-access Kahauale'a Natural Area Reserve (NAR) and the evacuated Royal Gardens subdivision, which can only be viewed from the air. Under favorable weather conditions, the flows can be seen from the County Viewing Area at Kalapana and in the Holei webcam. Pu`u `O`o Cone, the (inactive) West Ka`ili`ili lava ocean entry, and Kilauea Crater - these areas are within Hawai`i Volcanoes National Park; access and viewing information can be found at http://www.nps.gov/havo/planyourvisit/lava2.htm.

Maps, photos, Webcam views, and other information about Kilauea Volcano are available at http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hvo/activity/kilaueastat us.php. A daily update summary is available by phone at (808) 967-8862.

A map with details of earthquakes located within the past two weeks can be found at http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/seismic/volcweb/earthquakes /

A definition of alert levels can be found at http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/activity/alertsystem/ind ex.php

Definitions of Terms Used:

DI tilt event: DI is an abbreviation for 'deflation-inflation' and describes a volcanic event of uncertain significance. DI events are recorded by tiltmeters at Kilauea summit as an abrupt deflation of up to a few microradians in magnitude lasting several hours (weak DI events) to 2-3 days (strong DI events) followed by an abrupt inflation of approximately equal magnitude. The tilt events are usually accompanied by an increase in summit tremor during the deflation phase. A careful analysis of these events suggests that they may be related to changes in magma supply to a storage reservoir at less than 1 km depth, just east of Halema`uma`u crater. Usually, though not always, these changes propagate through the magma conduit from the summit to the east rift eruption site, as many of the DI events at Kilauea summit are also recorded at a tiltmeter at Pu`u `O`o delayed by several hours. DI events often correlate with lava pulses and/or pauses in the eruption at the Pu`u `O`o/Peace Day vents.

fill-and-drain cycles: one of the cyclical behaviors exhibited by the summit lava lake. A fill-and-drain cycle starts with a rise in lava level, a decrease in summit tremor amplitude, and a small decrease in tilt. After a period of minutes to hours, the lava will abruptly drain back to its previous level, seismic tremor amplitude will increase, and summit tilt will return to its previous level. Although not measured continuously, spot checks of gas emissions demonstrate that far less gas is released during the high lava stand than during its draining phase suggesting that, during the high lava stand, lava is puffed up with gas trapped by crusts on the lava surface.

perched lava lake: a lava lake within a rim that is progressively built up by overflows of lava that have cooled and solidified. The most recent example of a perched lava lake is currently active within Pu`u `O`o maintaining a rim standing several meters (yards) above the crater floor. In many ways, a perched lava lake resembles an above-ground swimming pool. Overflows from the pond add layers to the surrounding crater floor building it higher; the overflows also build up the perched lake rim, continually keeping the lake rim raised above the floor.

mauka, makai: Hawaiian terms for directions relative to the coast - makai or ma kai (toward the coast) and mauka or ma uka (toward the highlands or away from the coast).

composite seismic events: is a seismic signal with multiple distinct phases that has been recorded frequently at HVO from the Halema`uma`u Overlook vent area since its explosive opening in March, 2008. For the composite events recorded at Halema`uma`u, we typically see an initial high frequency vibration lasting for a few seconds that have been correlated with rockfalls. This is followed by about 30 seconds of a long-period (LP) oscillation with an approximately 2- to 3-second period. The final phase of the signal is several minutes of a very-long-period (VLP) oscillation with an approximately 25- to 30-second period. The LP signals are interpreted to be from the uppermost portion of the conduit and VLP signals are interpreted to be fluid passing through a deep constriction in the conduit through which lava rises to the pond surface we see in the webcam.

Halema`uma`u Overlook vent: has been difficult to describe concisely. The vent is actually a pit, or crater, in the floor of the larger Halema`uma`u Crater in the floor of the larger Kilauea caldera or crater - a crater within a crater within a crater. It is easiest to describe as a pit inset within the floor of a crater within a caldera. The pit is about 140 m (460 ft) in diameter at the Halema`uma`u Crater floor, is about 50 m in diameter at the pit floor, and is about 200 m (660 ft) deep. As of November, 2009, a lava pond surface has been visible in a hole in the floor of this pit.

glow: light from an unseen source; indirect light.

incandescence: the production of visible light from a hot surface. The term also refers to the light emitted from a hot surface. The color of the light is related to surface temperature. Some surfaces can display dull red incandescence at temperatures as low as 430 degrees Centigrade (806 degrees Fahrenheit). By contrast, molten lava displays bright orange to orange-yellow light from surfaces that are hotter than 900 degrees C (1,650 degrees F).

CD: Hawai`i County Civil Defense

tonne: metric unit equal to 1,000 kilograms, 2,204.6 lbs, or 1.1 English tons.

tephra: all material deposited by fallout from an eruption-related plume, regardless of size.

ash: tephra less than 2 mm (5/64 inches) in size.

microradian: a measure of angle equivalent to 0.000057 degrees.

More definitions with photos can be found at http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/images/pglossary/index.p hp.

The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory is one of five volcano observatories within the U.S. Geological Survey and is responsible for monitoring volcanoes and earthquakes in Hawai`i.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
getting closer lil by lil......FLASH FLOOD WARNING
LAC051-071-075-087-089-095-041330-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FF.W.0016.120404T1025Z-120404T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
525 AM CDT WED APR 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN JEFFERSON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TIMBERLANE...METAIRIE...MARRERO...
KENNER...HARVEY...AVONDALE...
ORLEANS PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEW ORLEANS...EAST NEW ORLEANS...
NORTHWESTERN PLAQUEMINES PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BELLE CHASSE...
WEST CENTRAL ST. BERNARD PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CHALMETTE...
ST. CHARLES PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HAHNVILLE...
EAST CENTRAL ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT

* AT 517 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WAGGAMAN...
NORCO...NEW SARPY...LAKE CATHERINE...HARAHAN...DESTREHAN AND BRIDGE
CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN NEW
ORLEANS.

&&

LAT...LON 2978 9044 2991 9053 3001 9053 3009 9045
3003 9011 3006 9003 3005 9000 3013 8986
3011 8983 3012 8965 3006 8969 3006 8972
3002 8972 3004 8981 3000 8985 2995 8983
2994 8976 2984 8983 2974 8994

$$

HILL
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
anyone hurt in this? ... It'd be a miracle if not!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
227. MahFL
Quoting Chicklit:

There's some pretty bad stuff going on right now.
Wish I knew more but what I do know is it's been hot here in Florida earlier than ever this year and it never really got cold all winter.
Today around Sanford, Florida, my digital car thermometer registered 96 degrees. Hard to believe, but there it was. Am thinking because it's a Fiesta (lowest end Ford) it's measuring the temperature on the roof, dunno.


They are located behind the front bumper, the hot air temp could be heat from the road surface, which won't be an official temp as that is measured over grass.
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Product Changes for the 2012 Hurricane Season (PDF)


Excerpt:


In 2012, NHC will be working behind the scenes on potential enhancements to products and services. These planned in-house (non-public) experiments include extending tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts out to seven days from the current five-day period, extending tropical cyclone formation forecasts out to five days from the current 48 hours, creation of track and intensity forecasts for disturbances with a high chance of formation, and the issuances of tropical cyclone warnings prior to the formation of a cyclone.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
219 WxGeekVA [inre 190 aspectre]: Maybe that's it! I mean 1/3 of all of those together like maybe the Big One for LA is what I am feeling... Good god that actually scares me.

I just found it to be an amusingly weird coincidence that adding up the coordinates for the YellowstoneCaldera, the NewMadridEarthquake, and the HilinaSlump in Hawaii,
then dividing by 3 resulted in a coordinate within the CatalinaChannel...
(where a few magnitude3.4-and-lower earthquakes occurred in February and March of last year)
...and just a few miles north of the 30 Mile Bank Fault.

Don't know why the BigO would cause a scare; the SoCal motto is:
Did you feel it? Did you feel it, too? Did the earth move for ya, baby?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
95 WxGeekVA: Trying hard here to concentrate and determine a location I feel something from New Madrid, something else from Yellowstone, and yet another feeling from Hawaii.

So add up
Yellowstone(supervolcano) at 44.4n110.7w PLUS
NewMadrid(earthquake) at 36.4n89.6w PLUS
Hawaii(mega-tsunami) at 19.27n155.164w
to get (a non-physical) 100.07n355.164w
divide by 3 to get 33.56n118.388w, and voila...

LAX is LosAngelesInternationalAirport
3CL6 is RanchoPalosVerdes(heliport)
The unlabeled dot is 33.56n118.388w
And CIB is CatalinaIsland(airport)

So if a magnitude9plus supervolcano earthquake mega-tsunami happens there,
IT'S ALL YOUR FAULT!!!


CLEVELAND VOLCANO (CAVW #1101-24-)
52°49'20" N 169°56'42" W, Summit Elevation 5676 ft (1730 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Elevated surface temperatures were observed in satellite images of Cleveland Volcano today. This is consistent with the hot lava dome in the summit crater reported on March 28, 2012 . AVO has received no other reports of activity at the volcano.

While the volcano remains active, sudden explosions of blocks and ash are likely. It is possible for associated ash clouds to exceed 20,000 feet above sea level. If a larger ash-producing event occurs, seismic, infrasound, or volcanic lightning networks should detect the event and alert AVO staff. There is no real-time seismic monitoring network on Mount Cleveland so AVO is unable to track activity in real time.

ILIAMNA VOLCANO (CAVW #1103-02-)
60°1'55" N 153°5'30" W, Summit Elevation 10016 ft (3053 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: ADVISORY
Current Aviation Color Code: YELLOW

Seismic activity at Iliamna Volcano remains slightly above background. Clear views by web camera and satellite over the past 24 hours show no unusual activity.

The current activity at Iliamna does not indicate an imminent or certain eruption. A similar seismic swarm at Iliamna in 1996-1997 was not followed by eruptive activity. Prior to an eruption, AVO would expect to see a further increase in earthquake activity.

VOLCANO INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET: http://www.avo.alaska.edu
RECORDING ON THE STATUS OF ALASKA'S VOLCANOES (907) 786-7478

CONTACT INFORMATION:
John Power, Scientist-in-Charge, USGS
jpower@usgs.gov (907) 786-7497

Jonathan Dehn, Acting Coordinating Scientist, UAF
jdehn@gi.alaska.edu (907) 474-6499

The Alaska Volcano Observatory is a cooperative program of the U.S. Geological Survey, the University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute, and the Alaska Division of Geological and Geophysical Surveys.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
LAZ059>064-067>070-040945-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
341 AM CDT WED APR 4 2012

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST AFFECTING ST.
CHARLES PARISH...UPPER LAFOURCHE PARISH...UPPER JEFFERSON PARISH...
UPPER PLAQUEMINES PARISH...LOWER LAFOURCHE PARISH...LOWER JEFFERSON
PARISH...ORLEANS PARISH...LOWER PLAQUEMINES PARISH...UPPER ST.
BERNARD PARISH...LOWER ST. BERNARD PARISH...

AT 340 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHALMETTE TO
18 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAROSE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
RACELAND...MATHEWS...LOCKPORT...POINTE A LA HACHE...PORT SULPHUR...
EMPIRE AND CUT OFF

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$






Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
Quoting sunlinepr:
Another view of the flying trailer

Simply amazing photo there
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36912
Quoting Phatkhat:
Holy crap, that Lancaster video was scary! Does anyone know, was that the truckstop at Lancaster (up by Bruces BBQ) or some company yard? Hubby always stays at the truckstop at Lancaster when he's in Dallas - glad he wasn't down there today!! He's been lucky this year - ahead or behind the bad ones. Hope his luck holds.

You know those semis are around 40K lbs empty, and twice that fully loaded. And they got sucked up like potato chips! Cripes!
most trailers weigh from 9,000 (flatbed) to 13,000# (reefer) when empty. the pics i saw appeared to be a trucking co. yard-probably schneider, from the orange trailers. most tractors weigh from 18,000# up to 22,000# depending on age and sleeper size. didn't see any tractors airborne in that video on TWC. sincerely hope drivers were in a safe room in the terminal. on a weather note, all the t-storms slipped past most of central il. this evenning, some light rain, little thunder/lightning. hope everyone in the path of those storms stay safe. hubby's family is in houston/galveston area.

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Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:

Thank you for clarifying that.
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Quoting aspectre:
95 WxGeekVA: Trying hard here to concentrate and determine a location I feel something from New Madrid, something else from Yellowstone, and yet another feeling from Hawaii.

So add up
Yellowstone(supervolcano) at 44.4n110.7w PLUS
NewMadrid(earthquake) at 36.4n89.6w PLUS
Hawaii(mega-tsunami) at 19.27n155.164w
to get (a non-physical) 100.07n355.164w
divide by 3 to get 33.56n118.388w, and voila...

LAX is LosAngelesInternationalAirport
3CL6 is RanchoPalosVerdes(heliport)
The unlabeled dot is 33.56n118.388w
And CIB is SantaCatalina(airport)

So if a magnitude9plus supervolcano earthquake mega-tsunami happens there,
IT'S ALL YOUR FAULT!!!


Maybe that's it! I mean 1/3 of all of those together like maybe the Big One for LA is what I am feeling... Good god that actually scares me.
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Quoting Birthmark:

That's not true! ;)
Well, generally. Most people seem to fundamentally misunderstand what an argument actually is.
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Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


I posted this earlier in post 91. This shows us the trend.


The point you are not mention is the fact that every single event is part of the climate, though each of the events is partially enhanced - on steroids. We choke up the dice, we increasingly rise the chance of more and more violent weather extremes.
faster and faster
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting KoritheMan:


Arguing about anything is kind of pointless.

That's not true! ;)
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Quoting Levi32:
From p. 269 of the IPCC SREX Report

"The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable
to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and
extratropical storms and tornados (Boruff et al., 2003; Pielke Jr. et al.,
2003, 2008; Raghavan and Rajesh, 2003; Miller et al 2008; Schmidt et al.,
2009; Zhang et al., 2009; see also Box 4-2)
"

"Trend in impacts" doesn't mean necessarily that there aren't more events --just that there is no trend in the impacts of those events.

For instance on page 9 we find this statement: "There is evidence that some extremes have changed as a result of anthropogenic influences, including increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. It is likely that anthropogenic influences have led to warming of extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures at the global scale. There is medium confidence that anthropogenic influences have contributed to intensification of extreme precipitation at the global scale. It is likely that there has been an anthropogenic influence on increasing extreme coastal high water due to an increase in mean sea level. The uncertainties in the historical tropical cyclone records, the incomplete understanding of the physical mechanisms linking tropical cyclone metrics to climate change, and the degree of tropical cyclone variability provide only low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences. Attribution of single extreme events to anthropogenic climate change is challenging."

So, it's a mixed bag with a lot of uncertainty in some areas concerning the weather and what's might have changed (if anything) in many geographic regions.
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Quoting OracleDeAtlantis:

Published 6:23 PM GMT on April 02, 2012

So as we reflect on the four year anniversary of what happened in Atlanta on this important day in basketball, let U.S. not forget that someone is watching the game we are playing with the most important ball of all, and She never likes losing a season.


Of all the images that we've seen today, the most interesting are those curious objects seen jumping around the sky in another major U.S. city. But are they red, orange, or red-orange?

It sure beats me, but you have to wonder, who won this jump shot?







Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall,
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses and all the king's men
Couldn't put Humpty together again ...





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Quoting bappit:
Arguing about what some newsperson said is kind of pointless.


The former head of the Climate Analysis Section of the National Center for Atmospheric Research stands by his 2011 statement, “It is irresponsible not to mention climate change in stories that presume to say something about why all these storms and tornadoes are happening.” Below is some clarification of the context of that quote that he added. Trenberth also said:

Joe, what we can say with confidence is that heavy and extreme precipitation events often associated with thunderstorms and convection are increasing and have been linked to human-induced changes in atmospheric composition. LINK
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Quoting bappit:
Arguing about what some newsperson said is kind of pointless.


Arguing about anything is kind of pointless. But we do it anyway.
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Arguing about what some newsperson said is kind of pointless.
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Quoting sunlinepr:
Another view of the flying trailer


The wizard of Oz on steroids.
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Quoting Levi32:


Most if not all of that trend is due to infrastructure and population growth. If even the IPCC recognizes this fact, there's not much you can offer up.

The trend is not linear, hence this can not be only because of population density or infrastructure.
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Another view of the flying trailer

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Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


I posted this earlier in post 91. This shows us the trend.


The point you are not mention is the fact that every single event is part of the climate, though each of the events is partially enhanced - on steroids. We choke up the dice, we increasingly rise the chance of more and more violent weather extremes.


Most if not all of that trend is due to infrastructure and population growth. If even the IPCC recognizes this fact, there's not much you can offer up.
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Quoting Levi32:
That the media and supposedly educated meteorologists are saying that a couple of regular April tornadoes are due to climate change is unmindful and misleading.



I posted this earlier in post 91. This shows us the trend.


The point you are not mention is the fact that every single event is part of the climate, though each of the events is partially enhanced - on steroids. We choke up the dice, we increasingly rise the chance of more and more violent weather extremes.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
From p. 269 of the IPCC SREX Report

"The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable
to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and
extratropical storms and tornados (Boruff et al., 2003; Pielke Jr. et al.,
2003, 2008; Raghavan and Rajesh, 2003; Miller et al 2008; Schmidt et al.,
2009; Zhang et al., 2009; see also Box 4-2)
"

That the media and supposedly educated meteorologists are saying that a couple of regular April tornadoes are due to climate change is unmindful and misleading.

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Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:
CNN meteorologist: Today%u2019s tornadoes are %u2018climate change we are seeing%u2019


Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/04/03/cnn-meteorologi st-todays-tornadoes-are-climate-change-we-are-seei ng/


I am a firm proponent of AGW, but I think it's ridiculous how literally everything is attributed to it. People say no single event can be blamed on global warming, but they sure don't seem to act on that...

EDIT: Upon reading, I see that Alexandra Steele said this. I understand her underlying point, that extreme weather is becoming more common. I certainly don't disagree with that. But there isn't enough data in the historical record to accurately say whether or not climate change/global warming is actually altering the strength and magnitude of tornadoes.
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Quoting allancalderini:
Of all the super volcanoes Toba is the strongest am I correct?

Yep.

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/images/pglossary/erupti onsize.php

I don't think I ever want to attend a Toba party.
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CNN meteorologist: Today’s tornadoes are ‘climate change we are seeing’


Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/04/03/cnn-meteorologi st-todays-tornadoes-are-climate-change-we-are-seei ng/
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.