April Fools weather humor; all-time March warmth in WY, NE

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012

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I don't have an April Fools blog post for you this year, but instead thought I share with you two of the funniest weather-related stories of the year. Firstly, it turns out that you don't need to be a human to enjoy a little snowboarding. The snowy conditions in Russia this winter gave the opportunity for an intrepid crow to take up the sport in this remarkable Youtube video. I found the video over at Andy Revkin's DotEarth blog at the New York Times. The bird is a hooded crow, and has evidently been doing quite a bit of snowboarding, judging by the multiple tracks on the rooftop. Too bad us humans can't use a flap-assist from our wings while snowboarding, it might cut down on injuries!


Video 1. A crow in Russia goes snowboarding on a snow-covered rooftop.

The most insane letter ever written by a child to a TV weatherman
I've done a lot of talks about the weather to schools, and have gotten hundreds of thank-you letters from the kids afterwards. But I've never gotten a letter quite like the one KVUE morning and midday meteorologist Albert Ramon in Austin, Texas recently received after talking at a local school. A sampling:

"Some day when I become supreme Ultra-Lord of the universe I will not make you a slave, you will live in my 200 story castle where unicorn servants will feed you doughnuts off their horns."

And this: "Thank you again for teaching us about meteoroligy, you're more awesome than a monkey wearing a tuxedo made out of bacon riding a cyborg unicorn with a lightsaber for the horn on the tip of a space shuttle closing in on Mars while ingulfed in flames."


Check out the letter here.

Finally, realclimate.org has a funny April Fool's blog post today called ‘Wrong sign paradox’ finally resolved?

All-time March warmth records in Wyoming, Nebraska
Most of Wyoming and much of Nebraska set or tied their record for all-time warmest March temperatures yesterday, no fooling. A strong ridge of high pressure that generated a strong flow of warm air from the southwest was responsible. Some of the records included:

Omaha, NE: 91°F
Lincoln, NE: 91°F
Casper, WY: 77°F
Lander, WY: 76°F
Rock Spring, WY: 72°F
Worland, WY: 81°F
Laramie, WY: 71°F
Rawlins, WY: 73°F
Chadron, WY: 83°F
Sidney, WY: 83°F

Jeff Masters

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203. washingtonian115
11:28 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
I'm not predicting anything until at least May.The models seem confused as to what will truly happen.However at this point in time I'm not buying a strong or moderate El nino.Maybe a weak one at most.That's all I'm saying.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 15710
202. SPLbeater
11:28 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
SPC day 4-8 outlook
------------------------------------------------- -
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 AM CDT SUN APR 01 2012

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW WILL BE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN KS AND N TX ON WED/D4...AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EWD. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF THIS LOW AND AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE FRONT...BUT ONGOING PRECIPITATION INCLUDING STORMS IS LIKELY TO PLAY A ROLE IN WHERE SEVERE WILL OCCUR. WITH RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW AND FORCING WITH DIFFUSE SURFACE PATTERN...IT APPEARS EXPECTED SEVERE COVERAGE WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY BE BELOW CRITERIA. HOWEVER...SOME SEVERE WIND OR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

AS THIS SYSTEM PROGRESSES EWD ON THUR/D5...A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT IS LIKELY FROM AL/GA INTO THE CAROLINAS WITH WIND AND HAIL. HOWEVER...EXPECTED MARGINAL NATURE OF THIS SEVERE AS WELL AS MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW AND ALSO HOW IT INTERACTS WITH A NERN TROUGH WILL PRECLUDE ANY AREAS.

FOR FRI D6...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE PLAINS WITH A RELATIVELY NARROW AXIS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNING NWD. THE QUALITY OF THIS MOISTURE RETURN IS IN QUESTION WITH THE ECMWF ONLY SHOWING 50S TO LOWER 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS ON D6. THIS TROUGH THEN EJECTS NEWD WITH A RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW REGIME OVER THE CONUS.

..JEWELL.. 04/01/2012

----------------------------------------------
sounds good :)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
201. Xandra
11:26 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
As an appointed (by Al Gore) information officer, I can now announce that (after a thorough inventory that is now closed) it has been shown that the thermometers used by HadCRU, NOAA and NASA have been upside down all years so our planet is not as hot as previously thought.

Consensus still prevails in the case of satellite measurements vs. other measurements, as it also emerged that the satellites have been upside down and driving in the wrong orbit for 30 years.

Here is the correct global temperature anomaly for the years 1950-2010 according to HadCRUT:



And the global temperature anomaly map for the year 2010 (from GISS/NASA):


Member Since: November 22, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1225
Hi,

Usually only check this blog out in the hurricane season. Was interested in getting the experts on here, thoughts on this developing tropical storm in the Pacific.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirg mscol.html

Officially this is only classed as a tropical depression but seems to have the signature of a tropical storm to me. The other issue is its course. Fiji authorities have it going well to the south but its recent movement seems to be ESE rather than the forecast SE. It is moving rather quickly - around 25Mph which will limit intensification to an extent.

The main problem is that Fiji is still experiencing major flooding from the last depression - there are thousands trapped there that cannot get to the airport to get a flight out - there has been over 20 inches of rain in Nadi over the last 4-5 days. It has eased overnight but it looks likely that another lot is coming. Obviously the closer this thing gets to Fiji the worse it will be.

Weather authorities in Fiji are notoriously slow to react and identify issues - the recent flooding was hardly even predicted and no warnings issued. I have a number of people in Fiji trying to leave and just want some decent information, they are not in any danger but would like to know when they can leave.

PS: No April Fools Joke - it is already April 2 here!
Member Since: July 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Both.

I guess that's a fair assessment
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
Quoting SPLbeater:


stop yelling dude!! lose the caps and calm down. we have no need for trollish behavior.

You see how he is acting? Ok, let's pause for a minute and think. If we're just beginning to enter troll season...how is it usually like in August? Two more like these? Three? Four? Maybe Five? Yep...get used to it.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
I am saying 17-10-8 for the Eastern north pacific if an El NIÑO occurs.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BADFORCASTAGAIN:



stop yelling dude!! lose the caps and calm down. we have no need for trollish behavior.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
The average in the eastern pacific:
15.3/8.8/4.2
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
My Eastern Pacific numbers are:

17/10/5

Hydrus,when will you start the poll for the 2012 North Atlantic? I ask because I have seen polls in some sites that have started today.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13299
Quoting nigel20:

I think your prediction will more likely to occur in an average eastern pacific season...are making this prediction. Based on neutral or el nino conditions in the eastern pacific?

Both.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I'm still not buying a major el nino though, so I think about average seasons for both the Atlantic and East Pac

At this point in time the models are not sure what conditions will be in the hurricane season...we have to wait until about the end of April or some time in May what ENSO conditions we will see during the hurricane season
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
Quoting BADFORCASTAGAIN:
EITHER WAY EL NINO OR LA NINO OR WHATEVER FLORIDA WILL GET NOTHING ITS ALWAYS SPOMETHING LIKE WIND SHEAR AFRICAN DUST OR TROUGHS THAT KEEP THEM AWAY

I HAVE A FEELING THIS USER IS A TROLL

Luckily there's a nifty little ignore user button we can use, as well as the always dependable - and even ! buttons :D
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I made my own convective, hail, wind, and tornado outlook for tomorrow. I would like to point out that these images have no affiliation with the Storm Prediction Center.



Hail Outlook: 15% hatched

Tornado Outlook: 2%

Wind Outlook: 15% hatched
I'm telling you, a website is what we both need.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Eastern Pacific hurricane season predictions?

15 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes

I think your prediction will more likely to occur in an average eastern pacific season...are making this prediction. Based on neutral or el nino conditions in the eastern pacific?
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
Quoting Neapolitan:
NONE. IT IS JUST LIKE YOU ALWAYS SAY THERE WILL BE NO HURRICANES IN THE ATLANTIC THIS YEAR NO TROPICAL STORMS EITHER OR TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS IN FACT THERE WILL BE NO TROPICAL WAVES DUE TO A COMBINATION OF WIND SHEAR AND SARAHAN DUST AND NEGATIVE MJO AND COLD SSTS AND POORLY-TIMED TROUGHS AND AN EARLY WINTER AND SHOWER CURTAINS AND ISLAND VOODOO THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN COMPLETELY FREE OF CLOUDS FROM MIDNIGHT MAY 31 UNTIL 12:01 AM ON DECEMBER 1 (EXCEPT FOR MY BIRTHDAY IN EARLY SEPTEMBER WHEN IT WILL POUR BUCKETS AND RUIN MY SWEET SIXTEEN I JUST KNOW IT).

I hope that answers your question; please let me know if you need further clarification. ;-)
HOW DO YOU FIX THE CAPS LOCK?!?!??!!
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
I made my own convective, hail, wind, and tornado outlook for tomorrow. I would like to point out that these images have no affiliation with the Storm Prediction Center.



Hail Outlook: 15% hatched

Tornado Outlook: 2%

Wind Outlook: 15% hatched
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
Quoting BADFORCASTAGAIN:
HOW MANY HURRICANES THIS YEAR FOR THE ATLANTIC?>
NONE. IT IS JUST LIKE YOU ALWAYS SAY THERE WILL BE NO HURRICANES IN THE ATLANTIC THIS YEAR NO TROPICAL STORMS EITHER OR TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS IN FACT THERE WILL BE NO TROPICAL WAVES DUE TO A COMBINATION OF WIND SHEAR AND SARAHAN DUST AND NEGATIVE MJO AND COLD SSTS AND POORLY-TIMED TROUGHS AND AN EARLY WINTER AND SHOWER CURTAINS AND ISLAND VOODOO THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN COMPLETELY FREE OF CLOUDS FROM MIDNIGHT MAY 31 UNTIL 12:01 AM ON DECEMBER 1 (EXCEPT FOR MY BIRTHDAY IN EARLY SEPTEMBER WHEN IT WILL POUR BUCKETS AND RUIN MY SWEET SIXTEEN I JUST KNOW IT).

I hope that answers your question; please let me know if you need further clarification. ;-)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13275
Eastern Pacific hurricane season predictions?

16 named storms
10 hurricanes
6 major hurricanes
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting nigel20:

Could be more if an el nino were to occur..el nino conditions in the eastern pacific reduces wind shear in that region, so storm would have more favourable conditions to develope

I'm still not buying a major el nino though, so I think about average seasons for both the Atlantic and East Pac
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I'm thinking 14-8-4 for the East Pac

Could be more if an el nino were to occur..el nino conditions in the eastern pacific reduces wind shear in that region, so storm would have more favourable conditions to develope
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462



Magnitude 5.3 - GUERRERO, MEXICO
2012 April 01 22:23:49 UTC


Earthquake Details

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 5.3

Date-Time
Sunday, April 01, 2012 at 22:23:49 UTC
Sunday, April 01, 2012 at 05:23:49 PM at epicenter
Location
16.697°N, 98.335°W
Depth
20.8 km (12.9 miles)
Region
GUERRERO, MEXICO
Distances
9 km (6 miles) E (79°) from Ometepec, Guerrero, Mexico
54 km (33 miles) NW (321°) from Pinotepa Nacional, Oaxaca, Mexico
94 km (59 miles) SW (228°) from Tlaxiaco, Oaxaca, Mexico
156 km (97 miles) SE (127°) from Chilpancingo, Guerrero, Mexico
170 km (105 miles) E (96°) from Acapulco, Guerrero, Mexico
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 22.4 km (13.9 miles); depth +/- 10.8 km (6.7 miles)
Parameters
NST=243, Nph=245, Dmin=305 km, Rmss=1.04 sec, Gp=176°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008u3r
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Thanks for posting..this map shows a shear tendency of -5 to -10 knots in the southern Gulf over last 24 hours...and TropicalAnalystwx13 was saying it was now 50 to 60 knots (that means it was 60 to 70 knots 24 horus ago?)....

But this is the shear trend in the previous 24 hours...but what about the predicting shear intensity over the next days....I wish there was a model output that would animate a shear tendecy map like that one into the future...

No problem
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462



Magnitude 5.7 - NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
2012 April 01 21:44:01 UTC


Earthquake Details

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 5.7

Date-Time
Sunday, April 01, 2012 at 21:44:01 UTC
Monday, April 02, 2012 at 07:44:01 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
4.498°S, 153.470°E
Depth
97.5 km (60.6 miles)
Region
NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
Distances
51 km (31 miles) E of Taron, New Ireland, PNG
149 km (92 miles) ESE of Rabaul, New Britain, PNG
887 km (551 miles) NE of PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
2547 km (1582 miles) N of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 13.8 km (8.6 miles); depth +/- 6.8 km (4.2 miles)
Parameters
NST=264, Nph=275, Dmin=149.2 km, Rmss=1.03 sec, Gp= 14°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=9
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008u1l

Did you feel it? Report shaking and damage at your location. You can also view a map displaying accumulated data from your report and others.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting txjac:


Sorry to ask if you have already said, but where do you live?


Well, sort of in the middle of nowhere I guess, in southern Tangipahoa Parish in Louisiana.

I guess if somebody is the type that likes to hang out at bars and get plastered 3 or 4 nights per week, this is heaven. I mean, they hang around at the local bars and clubs and get plastered, and then every week or two, when they get bored with killing themselves at the local place, they'll take a road trip down the bourbon and get plastered down there instead. That's just the way the majority of the culture is around here.

If you don't like that, then there's pretty much nothing to do with your life within driving distance of this place, and as far as I can tell, nowhere else to meet people.

There's no public social activities for anyone else. They got Bingo or other such things for the elderly and sandwich generation people, and they got drunken stupor for college kids or the other retards that like that, but they really got nothing going for a 30 year old.


Oh yeah, the unemployment figures I posted were apparently for the entire nation.

So I figure almost everyone from my age downwards is broke anyway.


But nobody "makes" anything around here, except two or three small factories.

There's the college, but that's that.

Other than that, the economy seems to be based on Beer and antiques...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
175. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #38
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
6:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 11.9N 106.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.7N 104.1E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 0:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0407
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0342 PM CDT SUN APR 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL IL...CNTRL IND...WCNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 012042Z - 012215Z

LATEST VIS IMAGERY SUGGESTS DEEPER CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS ARE
DEVELOPING ACROSS ECNTRL IL INVOF IROQUOIS/VERMILION COUNTIES. THIS
IS LIKELY INDICATIVE OF STRONG THERMAL HEATING AT LOW LEVELS AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...FRONTAL CONVERGENCE SHOULD GRADUAL SAG
SWD INTO THIS ZONE OF STEEPER LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH SHOULD
ENCOURAGE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS
SCENARIO IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY...THOUGH DEEP WLY FLOW MAY
DELAY THE ONSET OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 22-23Z TIME FRAME. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS CERTAINLY SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS THAT WOULD
MOVE SEWD AT ROUGHLY 25-30KT. LATEST THINKING IS AN E-W CORRIDOR OF
CONVECTION COULD EVOLVE ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
WHICH WOULD POSE AT LEAST A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH.

..DARROW.. 04/01/2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
173. txjac
Quoting RTSplayer:
RE: 128

I tried driving around town to see if there was any sort of economic or social activities going on, and there just isn't. Nothing at all to do around this place.

Ok, so it's Sunday. You'd think people would be off from work and be doing something (not that many people even have a job around here, unless you count minimum wage food services or cashier jobs,) but there's nothing going on at all. Rarely even seen traffic so light.

I heard on the news yesterday that up to 55% of young people from 18 to 29 are unemployed. They may as well add 30 and 31 too.

There is simply no opportunity for financial or social advancement to anyone in this age group right now at all..


Sorry to ask if you have already said, but where do you live?
Member Since: April 24, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
Eastern Pacific hurricane season predictions?

15 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
RE: 128

I tried driving around town to see if there was any sort of economic or social activities going on, and there just isn't. Nothing at all to do around this place.

Ok, so it's Sunday. You'd think people would be off from work and be doing something (not that many people even have a job around here, unless you count minimum wage food services or cashier jobs,) but there's nothing going on at all. Rarely even seen traffic so light.

I heard on the news yesterday that up to 55% of young people from 18 to 29 are unemployed. They may as well add 30 and 31 too.

There is simply no opportunity for financial or social advancement to anyone in this age group right now at all..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
WHAT IS INTERESTING IS HOW IT FORECAST THE ENTIRE GLOBE TO COOL OFF

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Is it me or are those saying less El Nino than the last time they ran?


its saying less but still on for an el
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Quoting caribbeantracker01:

Is it me or are those saying less El Nino than the last time they ran?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting caribbeantracker01:
LET US NOT FORGET! THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON BEGINS IN 46 days maybe i wonder if anyone can do a synopsis on thaT season?

I know that the basin produces great looking storms but it gets boring just watching them take a path to either Hawaii or to the Baja. Anything can happen in the atlantic. But synopsis, I'd say 14-10-5
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165. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
6:00 AM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (997 hPa) located at 17.6S 169.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection has increased in the past 24 hours. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.4 wrap giving DT=2.5, MET=2.5. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 2:30 AM UTC..
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I'm thinking 14-8-4 for the East Pac


ok sounds average since the eastern pacific is generally more active than the atlantic more so to do with formation of storms in my opinion
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Quoting caribbeantracker01:
LET US NOT FORGET! THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON BEGINS IN 46 days maybe i wonder if anyone can do a synopsis on thaT season?

I'm thinking 14-8-4 for the East Pac
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
LET US NOT FORGET! THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON BEGINS IN 46 days maybe i wonder if anyone can do a synopsis on thaT season?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
i would have really liked to see joe's video's on this season regardless of what people think he has been consistent in forecasting correct conditions well maybe a lil off in the short range jus kiddin
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Afternoon. For the weather Newbies on blog, don't be fooled by the posted "still-shots" on April Fools Day. That "line" of clouds stretching from the Antilles out into the Middle-Atlantic is NOT the ITCZ and that huge Blob near the Gulf of Mexico is NOT the first storm of the 2012 Hurricane Season; although this is a very good optical illusion.
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Quoting hydrus:
I have been tracking this for a long time. It is actually the remnant circulation of tropical storm Karen.Hurricane Karen near peak intensity
Formed September 24, 2007
Dissipated September 29, 2007
Highest winds 1-minute sustained:
75 mph (120 km/h)
Lowest pressure 988 mbar (hPa); 29.18 inHg
Fatalities None
Damage None
Areas affected No land areas
Zing!!!

Good one :o)
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Quoting Patrap:


looks like Cancun is going its heavy rainfall..hope this comes north then north east
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Moisture looks limited at that time frame.

I doubt we'll see a more substantial Severe Weather event anytime soon with a relatively zonal flow overtaking the CONUS.
weather channel guy this morning giving the weekly said the mid states better watch this system coming into oregon now, its cold and its going to crash into this high 80's-low 90's mid week...boom maybe come the tornado's again..something to watch and wait to see what happens mid week
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Quoting Tazmanian:
this may be the hotes summer evere for the USA and it looks like for some its off too a early start so it looks like the 100s are not that far be hid
yes I kinda agree, if this hot pattern holds true, this summer is going to be awful, keeping a very close eye on the Gulf water temps..
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Quoting nigel20:


Thanks for posting..this map shows a shear tendency of -5 to -10 knots in the southern Gulf over last 24 hours...and TropicalAnalystwx13 was saying it was now 50 to 60 knots (that means it was 60 to 70 knots 24 horus ago?)....

But this is the shear trend in the previous 24 hours...but what about the predicting shear intensity over the next days....I wish there was a model output that would animate a shear tendecy map like that one into the future...
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 391 Comments: 3519
Come check out the new blog entry reviewing the 2011 book by Mark Lynas titled "The God Species."

For the April post, Lynas divides Chapter 2 into four interesting, interrelated sections titled "The Ascent of Man," "God Species or Rebel Organism?", "The Descent of Man," and "Birth of the Fire-Ape."

I also highly recomend reading the interesting "Preface" section from the March 2012 entry.

This blog is updated on the first of each month over the span of twelve months, with a new subject for each environmental issue. The order of these topics will be the following...

March 1st: Preface
April 1st: Introduction: The Ascent of Man
May 1st: Boundary 1: Biodiversity
June 1st: Boundary 2: Climate Change
July 1st: Boundary 3: Nitrogen
August 1st: Boundary 4: Land Use
September 1st: Boundary 5: Fresh Water
October 1st: Boundary 6: Toxics
November 1st: Boundary 7: Aerosols
December 1st: Boundary 8: Ocean Acidification
January 1st: Boundary 9: Ozone Layer
February 1st: Epilogue: Managing the Planet
--------------------------------

I invite everyone of all kinds to come check it out. I would be very interested in "respectful and friendly" insights on the subject matter.

Here's the link: Link
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Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.