February 2012 the globe's 22nd warmest; record Hawaii hailstone confirmed

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:09 PM GMT on March 28, 2012

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February 2012 was the globe's 22nd warmest February on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). Global temperatures were the 15th warmest on record according to NASA. It was the coolest February since 1994, and the coolest month, relative to average, since January 2008. The relatively cool temperatures were due, in part, to the on-going La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific, which has brought a large amount of cool water to the surface. February 2012 global land temperatures were the 37th warmest on record, and ocean temperatures were the 12th warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were colder than average, the 7th or 13th coldest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). February temperatures in the stratosphere were the coldest on record. We expect cold temperatures there due to the greenhouse effect and to destruction of ozone due to CFC pollution. Snow cover during February varied dramatically depending on which hemisphere you were in. Eurasia had its third largest snow cover extent in the 46-year period of record, while North America had its fourth lowest. As seen in Figure 1, much of North America and Siberia were much warmer than average, while Europe was considerably colder than average. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of February in his February 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for February 2012. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

La Niña weakens, almost gone
A borderline weak La Niña event continues in the equatorial Pacific, where sea surface temperatures were approximately 0.5°C below average during February and the the first half of March. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center forecasts that La Niña will be gone by the end of April. The majority of the El Niño computer models predict neutral conditions for this fall, during the August - September - October peak of hurricane season, though 32% of the models predict an El Niño will develop. El Niño conditions tend to decrease Atlantic hurricane activity, by increasing wind shear over the tropical Atlantic.

February Arctic sea ice extent fifth lowest on record
Arctic sea ice extent was at its fifth lowest extent on record in February, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Continuing the pattern established in January, conditions differed greatly between the Atlantic and Pacific sides of the Arctic. On the Atlantic side, especially in the Barents Sea, air temperatures were higher than average and ice extent was unusually low. February ice extent for the Barents Sea was the lowest in the satellite record, due to air temperatures that ranged from 4 - 8°C (7 - 14°F) above average at the 925 mb level (about 3000 feet above sea level). In contrast, on the Pacific side, February ice extent in the Bering Sea was the second highest in the satellite record, paired with air temperatures that were 3 to 5 degrees Celsius (5 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit) below average at the 925 mb level. Satellite sea ice records date back to 1979.


Figure 2. Record-setting hailstone from the Hawaii 'supercell' thunderstorm that hit the Hawaiian island of Oahu on March 9, 2012. Image credit: NOAA/National Weather Service.

Huge hailstone sets Hawaii record
A hailstone with the diameter of roughly that of a grapefruit that hit Oahu on March 9, 2012, has been confirmed as the largest hailstone on record for the state of Hawaii, according to NOAA. The record-setting hailstone was dropped by a “supercell” thunderstorm on the windward side of Oahu. There were numerous reports of hail with diameters of 2 to 3 inches and greater. Hail the size of a penny (diameter of 3/4 inch) or quarter (diameter of one inch) has been reported in Hawaii only eight times since records began, and there is no record of hail larger than 1 inch in diameter. Hail the size of golf balls and baseballs can only form within intense thunderstorms called supercells. These supercells need warm, moist air to rise into progressively colder, drier air, as well as winds changing direction and increasing speed with increasing height off the ground. For both sets of conditions to exist at the same time in Hawaii is extremely rare, but that did occur on March 9. Conditions that day were ideal for a supercell to form, and the storm looked very much like supercell thunderstorms common in the Central U.S. during spring. Supercells can also produce tornadoes, another rarity in Hawaii. The same hail-producing supercell produced a confirmed EF-0 tornado with winds of 60-70 mph in Lanikai and Enchanted Lakes on Oahu.

Jeff Masters

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Wunderground should make their radar so that you can read watches and warnings, like in GRLevel2, without having to go to the warnings page and scroll through the states. That would be awesome.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


i cant see it yet, where did you get it from?

He was not saying this current run, but the 18Z model runs in general. Just like 00Z and 12Z runs are usually more reliable because they get actual upper air observations.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


i cant see it yet, where did you get it from?

Oh I haven't seen this run, I'm just saying it usually does that.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Here is the first forecast of the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season by Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services. I can say that he has been pretty good in past years.

Link

I agree with pretty much everything he said although he didn't really make any major predictions regarding number of storms... He pretty much just said what everyone's been saying for a couple months.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

The 18z generally makes the outbreak more significant than the other GFS runs, so we'll watch to see if this happens again.

Well, I don't know, it didn't do it yesterday. Only that one run was ridiculous. :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

The 18z generally makes the outbreak more significant than the other GFS runs, so we'll watch to see if this happens again.


i cant see it yet, where did you get it from?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
New GFS coming in, the 18z

The 18z generally makes the outbreak more significant than the other GFS runs, so we'll watch to see if this happens again.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



That was back when the shear was stronger, and a lot further north, but we will see.

It's not really changed since this morning...
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Here is the first forecast of the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season by Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services. I can say that he has been pretty good in past years.

Link
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14061
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
While it may not sound too threatening, coming from the SPC, they are definitely expecting something big.

WHILE THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL -- AND
EVENTUALLY THE ERN/NERN U.S. -- WOULD LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY
FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE POTENTIAL...THE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AS DEPICTED IN THESE TWO MODELS CAST
CONSIDERABLE DOUBT AS TO EVEN ROUGH APPROXIMATIONS OF TIMING AND
LOCATION.
THE ECMWF APPEARS SUBSTANTIALLY MORE ROBUST WITH RESPECT
TO SEVERE POTENTIAL -- PARTICULARLY BEYOND DAY 4...WITH ITS MUCH
SLOWER/NEGATIVELY-TILTED PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS
AS OPPOSED TO THE GFS WHICH SHIFTS A MUCH FLATTER SYSTEM QUICKLY EWD
ACROSS THE N CENTRAL U.S./GREAT LAKES REGION. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
MODEL DIVERGENCE...WILL ONCE AGAIN FOREGO AN AREAL HIGHLIGHT THIS
FORECAST.




That was back when the shear was stronger, and a lot further north, but we will see.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
New GFS coming in, the 18z
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
While it may not sound too threatening, coming from the SPC, they are definitely expecting something big.

WHILE THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL -- AND
EVENTUALLY THE ERN/NERN U.S. -- WOULD LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY
FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE POTENTIAL...THE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AS DEPICTED IN THESE TWO MODELS CAST
CONSIDERABLE DOUBT AS TO EVEN ROUGH APPROXIMATIONS OF TIMING AND
LOCATION.
THE ECMWF APPEARS SUBSTANTIALLY MORE ROBUST WITH RESPECT
TO SEVERE POTENTIAL -- PARTICULARLY BEYOND DAY 4...WITH ITS MUCH
SLOWER/NEGATIVELY-TILTED PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS
AS OPPOSED TO THE GFS WHICH SHIFTS A MUCH FLATTER SYSTEM QUICKLY EWD
ACROSS THE N CENTRAL U.S./GREAT LAKES REGION. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
MODEL DIVERGENCE...WILL ONCE AGAIN FOREGO AN AREAL HIGHLIGHT THIS
FORECAST.


Quoting MAweatherboy1:

How come they don't have an area highlighted in the 4-8 day outlook? Is it just because they don't exactly know where it will take place or because it is not bad enough to warrant a threat area?

That, and the fact that model differences were still very extreme this morning when Goss wrote up the discussion. They may have one outlined tomorrow morning.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

The GFS is not as robust as the ECMWF, but there is the potential for a major outbreak next week. Have you not noticed the strong wording from the Storm Prediction Center lately?

How come they don't have an area highlighted in the 4-8 day outlook? Is it just because they don't exactly know where it will take place or because it is not bad enough to warrant a threat area?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



but the shear doesnt look strong enough to me for more that isolated to possibly scattered tornadoes, at best across TN, MS, and LA, and then maybe a few up north.

The GFS is not as robust as the ECMWF, but there is the potential for a major outbreak next week. Have you not noticed the strong wording from the Storm Prediction Center lately?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tornado Outbreaks can be powered by less than 500 j/kg cape if wind shear is strong enough. Just saying. :)



but the shear doesnt look strong enough to me for more that isolated to possibly scattered tornadoes, at best across TN, MS, and LA, and then maybe a few up north.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

El Niño does not typically have a direct effect on how tropical cyclones track during a year like that. However, with this year featuring a cooler than average Eastern Atlantic, it makes sense to have more storms form and hit closer to home.



Thanks,

Its my own personal observation, that Florida and the Carolina's, as well as portions of the gulf coast are somewhat overdue.

The last hurricane to hit here in Florida, I believe was wilma, and I believe the last major to hit the Carolina's was Isabel.

The last system to hit florida was Tropical Storm Bonnie (40mph?) in 2010 and for the Carolina's, Irene in 2011.

The last serious one here in Florida, visited practically ever corner, TS Fay (2008?)

It appears that because the water is cooler this year, Jim cantore appears to be downplaying the numbers.

But call me silly, but as they say with Andrew and Camille and Hugo, it only takes one to make some hurt.

Last year, we had some scares down here with Irene, it took a hook right.

Earl in 2010, and Irene in 2011..

How long can we escape another hit..

Will be watching, learning, and praying for Florida, the Carolina, and as always the friendly folks on the United States Gulf Coast.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Didn't look that bad, capes around 1500 and mildy curving hodographs, they looked best around TN, the 100+kt stuff is gone(on the GFS at least)

Tornado Outbreaks can be powered by less than 500 j/kg cape if wind shear is strong enough. Just saying. :)
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
504 PM AST WED MAR 28 2012

PRC013-065-141-290000-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0072.120328T2104Z-120329T0000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
HATILLO PR-UTUADO PR-ARECIBO PR-
504 PM AST WED MAR 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
HATILLO...UTUADO AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 800 PM AST

* AT 503 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED TO LOCALLY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG
ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST 800 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1840 6680 1840 6660 1831 6661 1825 6662
1825 6681

$$

EM
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14061
Interesting fact: The record-breaking tornado season of 2004 started out extraordinarily slow, with only sixty-two confirmed tornadoes in the January-March period. For comparison, up to March 28, 2012, at least 250 tornadoes have been confirmed.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Nothing much, just the potential big outbreak of Severe Weather I've been talking about for the next week. =P


Didn't look that bad, capes around 1500 and mildy curving hodographs, they looked best around TN, the 100+kt stuff is gone(on the GFS at least)
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Nothing much, just the potential big outbreak of Severe Weather I've been talking about for the next week. =P
it seems like it's been awhile sense the last outbreak. Been bord out of my mind waiting for one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
453 PM AST WED MAR 28 2012

PRC107-282345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0071.120328T2053Z-120328T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
OROCOVIS PR-
453 PM AST WED MAR 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY...

IN PUERTO RICO
OROCOVIS

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 451 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED
SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RISES
IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL AS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN THROUGH AT LEAST 745 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1820 6640 1817 6651 1822 6652 1825 6651
1826 6642 1826 6641

$$

OMS
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14061
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
I see some possible severe weather in LA, into MS and AL around 120-150 hrs.

Anybody else see this?

Nothing much, just the potential big outbreak of Severe Weather I've been talking about for the next week. =P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Anyone else see a bad combination in the Southwest? This continued heat and dryness out there is, as I've said before, going to create a bad wildfire season.





Also relating to fires, firefighters are still struggling to get the upper hand on the one in Colorado, though the weather was a bit more helpful today with lighter winds. Apparently it started as a controlled burn, as far too many do.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting BrickellBreeze:
One Question:

If we were to transition to an el niño during the peak of hurricane season would that cause more storms to take a track closer to the islands or united states, or would the effect of el niño be late for this season?


Thank You in Advance

Going into Meterology next Semester.

El Niño does not typically have a direct effect on how tropical cyclones track during a year like that. However, with this year featuring a cooler than average Eastern Atlantic, it makes sense to have more storms form and hit closer to home.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
I see some possible severe weather in LA, into MS and AL around 120-150 hrs.

Anybody else see this?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Quoting hydrus:
Have you seen the latest Euro run..I do not like it..Link


Yes, I've been keeping tabs on all the models, and we could be looking at a significant tornado outbreak coming into April. So far, 2012 has been beating all other tornado seasons, including last year, at this time with both amount of storms and damage.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
One Question:

If we were to transition to an el niño during the peak of hurricane season would that cause more storms to take a track closer to the islands or united states, or would the effect of el niño be late for this season?


Thank You in Advance

Going into Meterology next Semester.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:
I would think it obvious, but to be honest I'm getting annoyed about this. It would be one thing if this was a one time only event but this has been going on for the better part of three years. Cyclone2012 = Troll, the same troll that has been pestering this blog for years. Whether that he is JFV or not is irrelevant, though if I had to place it I doubt it's JFV it's more than likely a former blogger who's ticked off about a previous ban. What he wants to do is get a reaction from you, that's why I generally tend to ignore it but I just had to put it out there. The ignore button is like HeadOn, whenever applied all pain evaporates.
Have you seen the latest Euro run..I do not like it..Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20536
Looks like a potential snow shower outbreak next week...

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Thanks for the answers I will check their forecast when I return from work in Las Vegas
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting weaverwxman:
I for one have a pretty long iggy list. I am anxious about the early season forecast when will it be released anyone know?


CSU on April 4 and TSR on April 5.NOAA around the third week of May.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14061
Quoting weaverwxman:
I for one have a pretty long iggy list. I am anxious about the early season forecast when will it be released anyone know?

CSU releases theirs on April 4.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
I for one have a pretty long iggy list. I am anxious about the early season forecast when will it be released anyone know?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Interesting article: Splat Science: Fossilized Raindrops Reveal Early Earth's Hazy Skies Nothing in the article suggests that skies were hazy, but oh well.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Afternoon all.

Hey CybrTeddy.

Quoting 7080734:
Where is this severe weather going to be, exactly? Northern Illinois at all?

Doesn't look like it.

Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


How do u know that is what it is, i didnt see anything wrong.

When you've been on the blog during several troll attacks, you tend to spot how they act rather quickly. Ask anybody else that has been here for a while..
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
I would think it obvious, but to be honest I'm getting annoyed about this. It would be one thing if this was a one time only event but this has been going on for the better part of three years. Cyclone2012 = Troll, the same troll that has been pestering this blog for years. Whether that he is JFV or not is irrelevant, though if I had to place it I doubt it's JFV it's more than likely a former blogger who's ticked off about a previous ban. What he wants to do is get a reaction from you, that's why I generally tend to ignore it but I just had to put it out there. The ignore button is like HeadOn, whenever applied all pain evaporates.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Afternoon all.
Afternoon Cybrteddy.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20536
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

JFV has not been on the blog in years, but he has little impostors that like to pretend that it's him.

Immature is what it is...


How do u know that is what it is, i didnt see anything wrong.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9721
Where is this severe weather going to be, exactly? Northern Illinois at all?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Next week has the potential to be a Tornado Outbreak Sequence.

A tornado outbreak sequence (or extended tornado outbreak) is a period of continuous or nearly continuous high tornado activity consisting of a series of tornado outbreaks over multiple days with no or very few days lacking tornado outbreaks.

A tornado outbreak is the occurrence of multiple tornadoes spawned by the same synoptic scale weather system. Beyond this, there is no single agreed upon definition, and the number of tornadoes required to qualify as an outbreak typically are at least six to ten.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Afternoon all.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:
This looks bad in regards to the severe wx potential. This is something you don't want to see going into April as we all remember what happened in April 2011.

CMC Model
That system could bring frost to the Mid-South. I am waiting on the next GFS. CMC 144 hours..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20536
Quoting Cyclone2012:
Alaskan, if you're still around, I'd like an answer to my inquiry, PLEASE. As I do not like to be kept waiting.


Patience is a virtue. So is being polite. Demanding answers from people isn't really the best way to garner favor with them.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1457
The atmosphere across Kansas, Nebraska, and Missouri is becoming primed for Severe Weather. Mesoscale Analysis reveals MLCAPE between 1000-2000 j/kg across Eastern Kansas, along with 55 knots of Effective Bulk Wind Shear. LCL heights lie near 1000m, revealing that an isolated tornado or two is possible with any supercell that can get going independently. Mid-level lapse rates are extremely high, and accordingly, the main threat across this area will likely be very large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a 30% hatched area for large hail, and we may get a few 3"+ reports (it would not surprise me). An MD was sent out a little while ago, and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued soon.

CU Field is already popping.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
Quoting washingtonian115:
em I'm sorry I didn't see your post.On one of them it had copy right violation so I had to get rid of it fast. They have been sending me e-mails and in some cases had gotten rid of some of my pictures.


Copyrighted images, I understand.

But you're having others deleted? What has been the reason given in the emails?

(Perhaps it's annoying flashing pictures. If that's the case - I applaud their actions. ;o)



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Gonna be an active evening in SE TX.



Wondering if some of these will make it to Houston. NOAA doesn't seem to think so but they obviously are not 100% sure
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
120. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
3:00 AM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.2N 112.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 112.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44849
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Looking at WunderBlogAdmin's profile, everybody that was permanently banned was accidentally unbanned in 2008. I wish they could do that sometimes, I think people deserve second chances.

WunderBlogAdmin has a profile? I've never seen an admin post on the blog. And I agree about the second chances. However most who get banned probably deserve it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7636
Quoting Neapolitan:
Or April 1974, for that matter. :-\

Looks like some good hail in eastern Kansas this afternoon/evening:

hail
"Good hail"

Hmmmm ... you must be an insurance claims guy.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.