Summer in March, 2012, draws to a close

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:54 PM GMT on March 23, 2012

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The most incredible spring heat wave in U.S. and Canadian recorded history is finally drawing to a close today, after a ten-day stretch of unprecedented record-smashing intensity. Since record keeping began in the late 1800s, there have never been so many spring temperature records broken, and by such a large margin. Airports in fifteen different states have set all-time records for March warmth, which is truly extraordinary considering that the records were set in the middle of the month, instead of the end of the month. The 29.2°C (85°F) measured at Western Head, Nova Scotia yesterday was the third warmest temperature ever recorded in Canada in March, according to Environment Canada and weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera (top two records: 31.1°C at Alberini Beaver Creek BC on March 29th 1926, and 29.4°C in 1921 at Wallaceburg.) Michigan's all-time record for March warmth was toppled on Wednesday, when the mercury hit 90°F at Lapeer. The previous record, 89° at Lapeer in 1910, was matched at three stations yesterday--Ypsilanti, Dearborn, and Lapeer. The duration, areal size, and intensity of the Summer in March, 2012 heat wave are simply off-scale, and the event ranks as one of North America's most extraordinary weather events in recorded history. Such a historic event is difficult to summarize, and in today's post I will offer just a few of the most notable highlights.


Figure 1. Clear skies over the Eastern U.S. caused by a blocking ridge of high pressure on March 21, 2012, are apparent in this visible satellite image. The comma-shaped cloud pattern over the Central U.S. is associated with a "cut-off" low pressure system. This low is moving over the Eastern U.S. today through Saturday, and will bring an end to "Summer in March" over the U.S. and Canada. Image credit: NOAA's Environmental Visualization Lab, and modified by Andrew Freedman of Climate Central.

Low temperatures beating previous high temperature records for the date
I've never seen a case where the low temperature for the date beat the previous record high. This happened on at least four occasions during "Summer in March, 2012":

The low temperature at Marquette, Michigan hit 52° on March 21, which was 3° warmer than the previous record high for the date.

The low at Mt. Washington, NH on March 21 (44°) beat the previous record high for the date (43°.)

The low temperature for International Falls, Minnesota on March 20 bottomed out at 60°F, tying the previous record high for the date.

The low temperature in Rochester, Minnesota on March 18 was 62°F, which beat the previous record high for the date of 60°.

Breaking all-time April records for warmth in March
Not only did many locations in Canada set records for their all-time warmest March day during "Summer in March, 2012", a number also broke their record for warmest April day:

St. John, New Brunswick hit 27.2°C (81°F) on March 21. Previous March record: 17.5°C on March 21, 1994. April record: 22.8°C.

Kejimkujik Park, Nova Scotia hit 27.9°C on March 21. Previous March record: 22.5°C on March 30, 1986. April record: 25°C on April 27, 1990.

Yesterday, I reported that Halifax, Nova Scotia hit 27.2°C (81°F) on March 22, 2012. Previous March record: 25.8° set the previous day. April record: 26.3°C, set on April 30, 2004. However, Rob Paola, a meteorologist with Environment Canada's Prairie and Arctic Storm Prediction Center in Winnipeg, Manitoba, wrote to tell me that Halifax did not break its April record: In fact, Halifax recorded a temperature of 29.5°C on April 28, 2009. For some reason, that stat does not show up on EC's normal/extremes climate site for Halifax, which only has data up to 2006 for extremes. More details on my blog at http://robsobsblog.blogspot.ca/

Breaking daily temperature records by more than 30°F
It is exceptionally rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and many records were smashed by over 20°. Two stations broke records by more than 30°F, which is truly surreal. Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F), yesterday, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33°F.) Yesterday's high temperature was 24°C (44°F) above average. Pellston, Michigan in the Northern Lower Peninsula--dubbed "Michigan's Icebox", since it frequently records the coldest temperatures in the state--hit 85° on March 21. This broke the previous record for the date (53° in 2007) by 32°, and was an absurd 48°F above average.

Breaking daily temperature records nine consecutive days or more
It is extremely rare for stations with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily high temperature record for seven or more days in a row. The longest such streak of consecutive high temperature records at International Falls, Minnesota, was a 5-day period March 3 - 7, 2000. The city has tied or broken their high temperature for the date ten consecutive days, as of yesterday. This streak will likely end today, as the high is predicted to be 60 - 65, and the record high for the date is 66. Chicago, Illinois has tied or broken their daily high temperature record the past nine days in a row. This ties the nine-day streak of record highs set on August 26 - September 3, 1953. Other cites that have set daily high temperature records the past nine days in a row include Fort Wayne and South Bend, Indiana. Numerous cities have broken high temperature records on seven consecutive days during "Summer in March, 2012", including Gaylord, Pellston, and Traverse City in Michigan.


Figure 2. All-time high temperature records set in March 2012 for the U.S. The grey icons show locations where the March record was broken on multiple days. Image taken from wunderground's new record extremes page, using data from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.

The big picture: the impacts of "Summer in March, 2012"
I've always said living in Michigan would be much more bearable if we could just get rid of March. March weather here is always horrible, with brutal cold, high winds, damaging ice storms, heavy snow, interminable cloudy stretches with no sun, all interspersed with a few teasing warm spells. Well, this year, I got my wish. This March, we started with twelve days of April weather, followed by ten days of June and July weather, with nine days of May weather predicted to round out the month. This has been a huge benefit to the economy--vastly reduced heating costs, no snow removal bills, and far fewer traffic accidents due to icy roads. However, there is major downside to the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave. The growing season is now in full swing, five weeks early. A damaging freeze that will severely impact the fruit industry and other sensitive plants is very likely. Indeed, the forecast calls for lows in the upper 20s in the cherry-growing region of Michigan near Traverse City on Monday night. The exceptional March warmth has also melted all the snow in the northern U.S. and southern Canada, drying out the soils and setting the stage for a much warmer than average summer, and an increased chance of damaging drought conditions. The early loss of snowpack will also likely cause very low flow rates in the major rivers in late summer and early fall, reducing the amount of water needed for irrigation of crops. Low flows may also cause problems for navigation, limiting commercial barge traffic on Midwest rivers.

Links
Andrew Freedman of Climate Central interviewed a number of climate scientists who are experts in studying the link between extreme weather events and climate change for his post, Global Warming May Have Fueled March Heat Wave Odds.

Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt will be posting a more comprehensive summary of the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave this weekend.

Have a great weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post. I expect I'll be hard at work this weekend, mowing my lawn for the first time ever in March!

Jeff Masters

2012 03 22 Neighbor's Magnolia Tree drops its blossoms (gatyamgal)
Because of our week of record breaking Temps here in Bettendorf, IA, the neighbor's tree bloomed and lost its blossoms 3 weeks early. What will April bring?
2012 03 22 Neighbor's Magnolia Tree drops its blossoms
Spring Landscape (thebige)
Spring Landscape
Jefferson Memorial (KEM)
Cherry blossoms in Washington DC.
Jefferson Memorial

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442. Jedkins01 4:19 PM GMT on March 24, 2012 +0
Quoting ILwthrfan:


Actually Jedkins01 is one of the better bloggers here.

It's not so much that it isn't happening, but rather the scale. The next decade or two will go a long ways in getting a much better grasp of just how the climate on this planet is governed.


Thank you!


See, I've made it clear many times that I never once said Climate Change doesn't exist, its the specifics on Climate Change that I'm highly skeptical of. I have a good reason to be, I'm not concerned with the approval of others so much as finding the truth.

Keyword:finding. Like many things in science, there is much yet know about Climate Change.











Action: Quote | Ignore User
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2986



Climate Change is real
nature keeps showing us that fact
except we blame it on everything else but what it is
how big of an event will it take
before we accept the unaccepted
maybe regional and national events are not enough
we need a global event the likes that never been seen before
thats what you want thats what you will get


o by the way we cannot depend on a young person to answer and come up with the truth if it means the end as we know it he will look for every other excuse but his own dimise they have plans and look forward to there future and there own destruction is not part of there future and they will refuse to accept it right till the very end even right outside there door

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54847
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS/COASTAL ATLANTIC...

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
A NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED CYCLONE WILL MAKE A SLOW
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS/TOWARD THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS UPPER LOW...AMPLE CLOUD
BREAKS/HEATING ARE ALREADY OCCURRING PER SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH
INHIBITION QUICKLY ERODING NEAR/IN THE LEE OF APPALACHIANS. TSTMS
ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD
OF A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT EMERGES FROM THE MOUNTAINS. FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 344.

OVERALL...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES/DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
WILL SUPPORT SEVERE TSTMS...WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR FOR INITIAL SUPERCELLS. SUCH THERMODYNAMIC/KINEMATIC PROFILES
SHOULD BE RELATIVELY EFFICIENT FOR SEVERE HAIL PRODUCTION...PERHAPS
EVEN A FEW SIGNIFICANT SIZE HAIL STONES. MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT MAY ALSO MATERIALIZE AS STORMS CONGEAL TOWARD PIEDMONT AREAS.

...SOUTHEAST GA/NORTHEAST FL/COASTAL SC...
SEVERAL ONGOING/INCREASING CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL POSE MAINLY AN
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS...SEE SEVERE TSTM WATCH 104 AND ASSOCIATED MESOSCALE
DISCUSSIONS.

...PORTIONS OF KY/TN TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...
IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE ADVANCING UPPER LOW...POCKETS OF HEATING
AND STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SOME STRONGER LOW-TOPPED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...EVEN IN THE
PRESENCE OF LIMITED MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 40S
F/. SOME HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS
EVEN SOME FUNNELS/BRIEF TORNADO WITHIN A VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT.

..GUYER.. 03/24/2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0345
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA...NERN FL...SRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 104...

VALID 241629Z - 241730Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 104
CONTINUES.

AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY EXTEND N OF WW 104 INTO SRN
SC...BUT MAY REMAIN MARGINAL IN INTENSITY AND SPATIALLY TO NOT A
WARRANT A NEW WW ISSUANCE.

SEVERAL CLUSTERS AND SHORT-LINE SEGMENTS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
WRN PORTION OF WW 104 AS OF 1615Z...ALONG/AHEAD OF A FRACTURED
PORTION OF THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH ACTIVITY HAS LARGELY
REMAINED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...SOME RISK FOR PRIMARILY
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP INTO PARTS OF FAR SRN SC.
FARTHER S...THE KVAX VWP STILL INDICATES SFC-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 35 KT
WHICH WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS UNTIL CONVECTION CLEARS THE
COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.

..GRAMS.. 03/24/2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
449. wxmod
Irish sea today MODIS

Quoting wxmod:



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SPLbeater:


probably just a thunderstorm, VIL has decreased from 40 to 25 kg/m^2 and base reflectivity has also decreased in refelctivity. Sorry dude..i aint gettin my way either xD

You will be under a Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado Watch soon...
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
447. wxmod



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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
My first chance at hail? Or, at least a thunderstorm.



probably just a thunderstorm, VIL has decreased from 40 to 25 kg/m^2 and base reflectivity has also decreased in refelctivity. Sorry dude..i aint gettin my way either xD
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Bloomin March - in Toledo, Ohio

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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
Splains a lot! ;^)


if your saying that me being a blonde is reason for me being stupid in your eyes, your dead wrong again.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54847
Quoting ILwthrfan:


Actually Jedkins01 is one of the better bloggers here.

It's not so much that it isn't happening, but rather the scale. The next decade or two will go a long ways in getting a much better grasp of just how the climate on this planet is governed.



Thank you!


See, I've made it clear many times that I never once said Climate Change doesn't exist, its the specifics on Climate Change that I'm highly skeptical of. I have a good reason to be, I'm not concerned with the approval of others so much as finding the truth.

Keyword:finding. Like many things in science, there is much yet know about Climate Change.










Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54847
Tornado Watch incoming..



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0344
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...LEE OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS TO THE VA/NC/SC
PIEDMONT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241603Z - 241800Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED WITHIN AN ARCING BAND OF SEMI-DISCRETE TSTMS.
PRIMARY INITIAL THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...WITH EVENTUAL THREATS
FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. THE PROBABILITY OF A WW
ISSUANCE IS 95 PERCENT.


15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS A SERIES OF WEAK CYCLONES ALONG A FRACTURED
COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN VA INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS SWWD INTO CNTRL GA.
AN ARCING BAND OF TCU/SMALL CBS RUNNING ALONG THIS AXIS SHOULD SERVE
AS THE FOCUS FOR ROBUST TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY MID-AFTERNOON GIVEN
FURTHER HEATING AND AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES DOWNSTREAM OF
UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSE SHIFTING SEWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.
CONVECTION-ALLOWING AND OPERATIONAL MODEL GUIDANCE ARE CONSISTENT
WITH ADVERTISING THIS SCENARIO.

EVIDENCE OF BACKING MID-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN NOTED IN 12Z GSO/RNK
RAOBS ALONG WITH CURRENT FCX/RAH VWP DATA. THIS WEAKNESS IN THE
HODOGRAPH MAY LIMIT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES INITIALLY. HOWEVER...WITH
TIME MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE SWLY WIND PROFILES WILL BECOME MORE
UNIDIRECTIONAL AND RESULT IN STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 40 KT.
WITH MLCAPE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG...THREAT
FOR SUPERCELLS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST. SOMEWHAT STRONGER
LOW-LEVEL SWLYS AMIDST MORE BACKED NEAR-SURFACE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
BE MAINTAINED FARTHER E ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND SHOULD AID IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.


..GRAMS.. 03/24/2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting reedzone:
Why did the SPC cut the watch at St. Johns County? There are 2 lines of strong storms heading a bit south of the Watch.. The Severe Weather watch should have been extended farther south towards Daytona Beach/Orlando. Of course, it's the SPC, always on top of things :P. Just like they were on top of things when a tornado/severe weather warning wasn't issued here a few weeks or a month ago, when we had wind damage in PC.

Lol, you're funny.

You realize the National Weather Service issues warnings, right? ;)
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting Cyclone2012:


Really? I thought it was summer down here?
Fall now I think.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Why did the SPC cut the watch at St. Johns County? There are 2 lines of strong storms heading a bit south of the Watch.. The Severe Weather watch should have been extended farther south towards Daytona Beach/Orlando. Of course, it's the SPC, always on top of things :P. Just like they were on top of things when a tornado/severe weather warning wasn't issued here a few weeks or a month ago, when we had wind damage in PC.
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Quoting TomTaylor:
weather456 was another good one, wish he was still here

He will be this season. Go check out his latest blog entry.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting presslord:
Many of us have watched Levi, as well as Drak, over the years...and feel a certain 'pride of ownership' in them...either of them would be fine role models for any prepubescent adolescent interested in weather...
weather456 was another good one, wish he was still here
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Curiously - I live in the depths of Florida, and I have never once seen Hail. Seems like SFL gets the big thunderstorms usually.
I remember a bad hail storm that hit Orlando in 1992. It did well over 60 million dollars damage. ( and that is in 92 dollars..)..Link
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Oh ok. I thought the probabilities were the same for all of them.

I hope not. I'd usually start trying to find somewhere else to go with a 30% tornado. ;)

April 27 got a 45% tornado (although I believe a rare 60% was warranted).

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tornado probabilities are different than hail and damaging wind probabilities. 10% and 15% probs. are typically used for Moderate risk events, so 5% is a high-end Slight.

"LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT DUE TO STEEP
LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES."

Oh ok. I thought the probabilities were the same for all of them.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 7946
Quoting SPLbeater:


i find that i cant laugh at those jokes due to the fact i am a blonde. :)
Splains a lot! ;^)
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Quoting hydrus:
Looks rather tranquil on this side.


You can see how big is the drought in WestCentral Africa that there are almost no clouds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Really? The SPC doesn't seem to think so...


Tornado probabilities are different than hail and damaging wind probabilities. 10% and 15% probs. are typically used for Moderate risk events, so 5% is a high-end Slight.

"LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT DUE TO STEEP
LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES."
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No, the main storm mode is expected to be supercellular.

Really? The SPC doesn't seem to think so...

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 7946
My first chance at hail? Or, at least a thunderstorm.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Probably not much of a tornado threat though. We'll likely see a bow echo set up for a damaging wind threat.

No, the main storm mode is expected to be supercellular, with the potential to produce large hail, a few tornadoes, and damaging wind gusts within storms.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Just went through the WRF model...I see why the SPC has a 30% area.

Looks like this afternoon is going to be active.

Probably not much of a tornado threat though. We'll likely see a bow echo set up for a damaging wind threat.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 7946
Quoting ncstorm:
and the storms are starting to pop up..sun is peeping through the clouds..


Just went through the WRF model...I see why the SPC has a 30% area.

Looks like this afternoon is going to be active.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
and the storms are starting to pop up..sun is peeping through the clouds..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16041
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I just want to have a Severe Thunderstorm with Quarter to ping-pong sized hail.

I've not seen hail in five years.


Curiously - I live in the depths of Florida, and I have never once seen Hail. Seems like SFL gets the big thunderstorms usually.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24476
Quoting AussieStorm:

Bloody cold mate, currently @ 2am and it's 55.4F

LOL.

55 degrees is not cold. Especially at 2AM. :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting hydrus:
They are just for fun. Black hair would suffice.


i know they arent serious. i would prefer different jokes such as...this!(not intenting to hurt any nerves here)

ur mama so stupid she threw a rock at the ground and missed LOL
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Quoting AussieStorm:

Bloody cold mate, currently @ 2am and it's 55.4F
55.4 cold.? HHHHAA HHAAA !!lolololol
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Sigh...
Looks rather tranquil on this side.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nino 1+2 is warming again after cooling down a bit in the past two weeks.However,Nino 3.4,the most important region of ENSO continues on the cool side.

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Quoting Cyclone2012:
George, how's everything down under, man?

Bloody cold mate, currently @ 2am and it's 55.4F
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3-hour SBCAPE change:



Current Mid-Level Lapse Rates:



Current LCL Heights:



Effective Bulk Wind Shear:

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:
People really here saying Levi is not smart enough weather wise to debate with someone? LOL my god don't make me laugh at your stupidity.

I hope no one said that about Levi. If they did, I certainly don't agree with it. Levi is, imo, highly intelligent and educated about weather. I love reading his hurricane articles and I frequently learn things.

None of that makes him infallible, though --none of us are. Nor does it make him an expert on climate --which is a very different topic from weather. I am nearly certain that if he reads only the peer-reviewed *scientific* papers on AGW and Climate Change, leaving the politics and economics out of it, that he will be convinced. And if isn't convinced, he'll have a much firmer base for his skepticism.
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This could be a similar set up down the road..
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NOUS72 KNES 241358
ADMNES
SUBJECT: ADMINISTRATIVE: GOES-13 (GOES-EAST) RSO SCHEDULED FOR MARCH
*TOPIC: *GOES-13 (GOES-EAST) RSO IS SCHEDULED FOR MARCH 24, 2012

*DATE/TIME**ISSUED: *MARCH 24, 2012, 1350 UTC

*PRODUCT(S) OR DATA IMPACTED:*GOES-13 (GOES-EAST) IMAGER DATA AND
PRODUCTS**

*DATE/TIME OF INITIAL IMPACT:*MARCH 24, 2012, J-DAY 084 @ 1814 UTC*
*

*DATE/TIME OF EXPECTED END:*MARCH 25, 2012, J-DAY 085 @ 0614 UTC******

*LENGTH OF OUTAGE:*12 HOURS *
*

*DETAILS/SPECIFICS OF CHANGE:*RSO REQUESTED BY WFO CHARLESTON SC FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SC.
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Sigh...
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32525
Quoting SPLbeater:


i find that i cant laugh at those jokes due to the fact i am a blonde. :)
They are just for fun. Black hair would suffice.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sunshine Coast mops up after torrential rain

Authorities say it is still unclear how many homes and businesses were affected by flash flooding on Queensland's Sunshine Coast.

It is believed at least 200 properties were swamped and hundreds of cars were abandoned as major roads flooded on Thursday afternoon.

Almost 400 millimetres fell in six hours in the worst affected areas.

Sunshine Coast council disaster coordinator Andrew Ryan says staff are still doorknocking flood-hit areas.

"[Speaking] to residents just see what's actually happened there - whether we need to provide assistance such as skip bins to help people clean up their waste etc," he said.

"Today's effort is going to be focussed on recovering and helping businesses and people in their homes in the clean-up recovery process."

Weather bureau forecaster Matthew Bass says some parts of the Sunshine Coast received hundreds of millimetres of rain in just a few hours.

"The reason why the rainfalls added up is because it was very slow moving and really sat over that southern end of the Sunshine Coast for a number of hours and dumped torrential amounts of rain," he said.

"The heaviest rainfall was 383 millimetres and that was around the Kawana Waters area."

Emergency calls

Emergency Management Queensland spokesman Peter Twomey says there were 605 calls to the State Emergency Service (SES).

"The SES will finish off the jobs that they had last night," he said.

"We provide that data to council and Queensland Fire and Rescue Service.

"They're now going around doing an impact assessment, identify the level of impact for those people, and then based on that data then council will work on a plan to assist in the recovery."

Resorts in flood-affected areas are pumping out underground car parks that filled with water in yesterday afternoon's deluge.

Most of the cars left abandoned on flooded roads have been collected and council crews are continuing to doorknock homes.

Councillor Chris Thompson has been checking on damage in Alexandra Headland and Mooloolaba.

"There has been probably up to a couple of hundred homes that have been affected with minor flooding and I would say there is probably about 30 homes that have had some severe flooding," he said.

Eight shops at Alexandra Headland had water through them and pizza store manager Matt Wearne can still joke.

"Looked like a nice part of Venice had come to the Sunshine Coast - it was a bit weird," he said.

Alexandra Headland ice cream vendor Peter Carroll says the damage is not too significant.

"So far luckily all our compressors and our freezers and that seem OK," he said.

"Got everything up high - it didn't get into our freezers luckily and our ice cream cabinets.

"Had a busy night last night cleaning up.

"We had ... about a foot of water through our shop, as did all the shops opposite the surf club at [Alexandra Headland].

"The resort behind us had I'd say a couple of metres through the car park at the back."

Traffic chaos

Noosa resident Lorelle was caught up in the traffic gridlock during the height of the flooding.

"About halfway home I pretty much burst into tears," she said.

"It was much more stressful than I'd sort of thought about when I was actually in the situation."

Alan Fox-Rogers from Sunshine Coast disaster management group says council crews are trying to clear away the many cars left abandoned by drivers as flood waters rose.

"Police will be trying to contact people, saying come and get your vehicle," he said.

"Overnight our focus has been on moving cars, clearing the roads and making sure that in the morning that people could travel.

"We haven't been able to do any major damage assessment because that's taken up most of our time."

The severe weather warning for the Sunshine Coast has been cancelled.

Sunday's Mooloolaba triathlon has not been affected by the flooding.

© ABC 2012
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
Words of truth.


I wish I had originated it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
I have learned a lot too..From a bunch here I tell ya...........Q. How do you amuse a blonde for hours?
A. Write 'Please turn over' on both sides of a piece of paper. :). .DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VA
SOUTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEAST GA...

...VA/NC/SC/GA...
A PERSISTENT UPPER LOW CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN IL WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD TODAY INTO THE OH/TN VALLEYS. A SURFACE COLD
FRONT IS ADVANCING EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW AND WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
SOUTHEAST. MORNING SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUDS
AND PRECIP IN A SHIELD ACROSS MUCH OF VA AND CENTRAL/EASTERN NC.
HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL HEATING IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLOUD
COVER...ALLOWING PORTIONS OF NC/SC TO SEE AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-1500 J/KG. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA SHOW STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY DURING THE MID AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NC/SC. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. MODELS ALSO SHOW A 40+ KNOT 700MB WIND MAX ROTATING
INTO THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT DUE TO STEEP
LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

...KY/TN...
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW WILL TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
PARTS OF KY/TN TODAY. THIS REGION IS POST-FRONTAL WITH DEWPOINTS
ONLY IN THE 40S. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT MAY RESULT IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE PRIMARY VORT MAX CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. AMBIENT VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT MIGHT ALSO FAVOR FUNNEL
CLOUDS OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

..HART/HURLBUT.. 03/24/2012


i find that i cant laugh at those jokes due to the fact i am a blonde. :)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.