Summer in March, 2012, draws to a close

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:54 PM GMT on March 23, 2012

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The most incredible spring heat wave in U.S. and Canadian recorded history is finally drawing to a close today, after a ten-day stretch of unprecedented record-smashing intensity. Since record keeping began in the late 1800s, there have never been so many spring temperature records broken, and by such a large margin. Airports in fifteen different states have set all-time records for March warmth, which is truly extraordinary considering that the records were set in the middle of the month, instead of the end of the month. The 29.2°C (85°F) measured at Western Head, Nova Scotia yesterday was the third warmest temperature ever recorded in Canada in March, according to Environment Canada and weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera (top two records: 31.1°C at Alberini Beaver Creek BC on March 29th 1926, and 29.4°C in 1921 at Wallaceburg.) Michigan's all-time record for March warmth was toppled on Wednesday, when the mercury hit 90°F at Lapeer. The previous record, 89° at Lapeer in 1910, was matched at three stations yesterday--Ypsilanti, Dearborn, and Lapeer. The duration, areal size, and intensity of the Summer in March, 2012 heat wave are simply off-scale, and the event ranks as one of North America's most extraordinary weather events in recorded history. Such a historic event is difficult to summarize, and in today's post I will offer just a few of the most notable highlights.


Figure 1. Clear skies over the Eastern U.S. caused by a blocking ridge of high pressure on March 21, 2012, are apparent in this visible satellite image. The comma-shaped cloud pattern over the Central U.S. is associated with a "cut-off" low pressure system. This low is moving over the Eastern U.S. today through Saturday, and will bring an end to "Summer in March" over the U.S. and Canada. Image credit: NOAA's Environmental Visualization Lab, and modified by Andrew Freedman of Climate Central.

Low temperatures beating previous high temperature records for the date
I've never seen a case where the low temperature for the date beat the previous record high. This happened on at least four occasions during "Summer in March, 2012":

The low temperature at Marquette, Michigan hit 52° on March 21, which was 3° warmer than the previous record high for the date.

The low at Mt. Washington, NH on March 21 (44°) beat the previous record high for the date (43°.)

The low temperature for International Falls, Minnesota on March 20 bottomed out at 60°F, tying the previous record high for the date.

The low temperature in Rochester, Minnesota on March 18 was 62°F, which beat the previous record high for the date of 60°.

Breaking all-time April records for warmth in March
Not only did many locations in Canada set records for their all-time warmest March day during "Summer in March, 2012", a number also broke their record for warmest April day:

St. John, New Brunswick hit 27.2°C (81°F) on March 21. Previous March record: 17.5°C on March 21, 1994. April record: 22.8°C.

Kejimkujik Park, Nova Scotia hit 27.9°C on March 21. Previous March record: 22.5°C on March 30, 1986. April record: 25°C on April 27, 1990.

Yesterday, I reported that Halifax, Nova Scotia hit 27.2°C (81°F) on March 22, 2012. Previous March record: 25.8° set the previous day. April record: 26.3°C, set on April 30, 2004. However, Rob Paola, a meteorologist with Environment Canada's Prairie and Arctic Storm Prediction Center in Winnipeg, Manitoba, wrote to tell me that Halifax did not break its April record: In fact, Halifax recorded a temperature of 29.5°C on April 28, 2009. For some reason, that stat does not show up on EC's normal/extremes climate site for Halifax, which only has data up to 2006 for extremes. More details on my blog at http://robsobsblog.blogspot.ca/

Breaking daily temperature records by more than 30°F
It is exceptionally rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and many records were smashed by over 20°. Two stations broke records by more than 30°F, which is truly surreal. Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F), yesterday, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33°F.) Yesterday's high temperature was 24°C (44°F) above average. Pellston, Michigan in the Northern Lower Peninsula--dubbed "Michigan's Icebox", since it frequently records the coldest temperatures in the state--hit 85° on March 21. This broke the previous record for the date (53° in 2007) by 32°, and was an absurd 48°F above average.

Breaking daily temperature records nine consecutive days or more
It is extremely rare for stations with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily high temperature record for seven or more days in a row. The longest such streak of consecutive high temperature records at International Falls, Minnesota, was a 5-day period March 3 - 7, 2000. The city has tied or broken their high temperature for the date ten consecutive days, as of yesterday. This streak will likely end today, as the high is predicted to be 60 - 65, and the record high for the date is 66. Chicago, Illinois has tied or broken their daily high temperature record the past nine days in a row. This ties the nine-day streak of record highs set on August 26 - September 3, 1953. Other cites that have set daily high temperature records the past nine days in a row include Fort Wayne and South Bend, Indiana. Numerous cities have broken high temperature records on seven consecutive days during "Summer in March, 2012", including Gaylord, Pellston, and Traverse City in Michigan.


Figure 2. All-time high temperature records set in March 2012 for the U.S. The grey icons show locations where the March record was broken on multiple days. Image taken from wunderground's new record extremes page, using data from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.

The big picture: the impacts of "Summer in March, 2012"
I've always said living in Michigan would be much more bearable if we could just get rid of March. March weather here is always horrible, with brutal cold, high winds, damaging ice storms, heavy snow, interminable cloudy stretches with no sun, all interspersed with a few teasing warm spells. Well, this year, I got my wish. This March, we started with twelve days of April weather, followed by ten days of June and July weather, with nine days of May weather predicted to round out the month. This has been a huge benefit to the economy--vastly reduced heating costs, no snow removal bills, and far fewer traffic accidents due to icy roads. However, there is major downside to the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave. The growing season is now in full swing, five weeks early. A damaging freeze that will severely impact the fruit industry and other sensitive plants is very likely. Indeed, the forecast calls for lows in the upper 20s in the cherry-growing region of Michigan near Traverse City on Monday night. The exceptional March warmth has also melted all the snow in the northern U.S. and southern Canada, drying out the soils and setting the stage for a much warmer than average summer, and an increased chance of damaging drought conditions. The early loss of snowpack will also likely cause very low flow rates in the major rivers in late summer and early fall, reducing the amount of water needed for irrigation of crops. Low flows may also cause problems for navigation, limiting commercial barge traffic on Midwest rivers.

Links
Andrew Freedman of Climate Central interviewed a number of climate scientists who are experts in studying the link between extreme weather events and climate change for his post, Global Warming May Have Fueled March Heat Wave Odds.

Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt will be posting a more comprehensive summary of the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave this weekend.

Have a great weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post. I expect I'll be hard at work this weekend, mowing my lawn for the first time ever in March!

Jeff Masters

2012 03 22 Neighbor's Magnolia Tree drops its blossoms (gatyamgal)
Because of our week of record breaking Temps here in Bettendorf, IA, the neighbor's tree bloomed and lost its blossoms 3 weeks early. What will April bring?
2012 03 22 Neighbor's Magnolia Tree drops its blossoms
Spring Landscape (thebige)
Spring Landscape
Jefferson Memorial (KEM)
Cherry blossoms in Washington DC.
Jefferson Memorial

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Twins:

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
601. Bluestorm5
8:58 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, I was going to post about that earlier, but it escaped my mind.

2012 has reached record tornado activity today.


Bad news is that March 23rd to April 1st is usually the time when tornado activity REALLY picks up. 2011 was below average in tornado activity until last week of March/first week of April. We all know what happened after that in 2011... just hope it's not the case in 2012.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
600. hydrus
8:58 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Man that is a mean looking cell.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22583
599. Ameister12
8:57 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Nice hook west of Stuart, Virginia.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5082
598. GeorgiaStormz
8:57 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
597. GeorgiaStormz
8:52 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
596. nigel20
8:52 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting blsealevel:
This is just a test dont be alarmed

This seems alitle light to me although its a little soon to be watching for this but still one never knows



Link

I'm wondering if the drought conditions in sections of Africa will lead to larger SAL outbreaks
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8465
595. hydrus
8:51 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting BobWallace:


There is one argument that a series of volcanoes over a few years helped create or created the Little Ice Age.

By keeping particulates in the atmosphere the Earth was cooled which allowed significant Arctic ice growth which brought about a multi-hundred year cooling period.

Not yet settled science....
There is speculation that impacts from comets or asteroids, whether they exploded in the air above ground, in the ocean, or even in some remote land area could be the cause..............Ancient Crash, Epic Wave

By Sandra Blakeslee. The New York Times, November 14, 2006.

At the southern end of Madagascar lie four enormous wedge-shaped sediment deposits, called chevrons, that are composed of material from the ocean floor. Each covers twice the area of Manhattan with sediment as deep as the Chrysler Building is high.

On close inspection, the chevron deposits contain deep ocean microfossils that are fused with a medley of metals typically formed by cosmic impacts. And all of them point in the same direction -- toward the middle of the Indian Ocean where a newly discovered crater, 18 miles in diameter, lies 12,500 feet below the surface.

The explanation is obvious to some scientists. A large asteroid or comet, the kind that could kill a quarter of the world's population, smashed into the Indian Ocean 4,800 years ago, producing a tsunami at least 600 feet high, about 13 times as big as the one that inundated Indonesia nearly two years ago. The wave carried the huge deposits of sediment to land.

Most astronomers doubt that any large comets or asteroids have crashed into the Earth in the last 10,000 years. But the self-described ''band of misfits'' that make up the two-year-old Holocene Impact Working Group say that astronomers simply have not known how or where to look for evidence of such impacts along the world's shorelines and in the deep ocean.

Scientists in the working group say the evidence for such impacts during the last 10,000 years, known as the Holocene epoch, is strong enough to overturn current estimates of how often the Earth suffers a violent impact on the order of a 10-megaton explosion. Instead of once in 500,000 to one million years, as astronomers now calculate, catastrophic impacts could happen every few thousand years.

The researchers, who formed the working group after finding one another through an international conference, are based in the United States, Australia, Russia, France and Ireland. They are established experts in geology, geophysics, geomorphology, tsunamis, tree rings, soil science and archaeology, including the structural analysis of myth. Their efforts are just getting under way, but they will present some of their work at the American Geophysical Union meeting in December in San Francisco.

This year the group started using Google Earth, a free source of satellite images, to search around the globe for chevrons, which they interpret as evidence of past giant tsunamis. Scores of such sites have turned up in Australia, Africa, Europe and the United States, including the Hudson River Valley and Long Island.

When the chevrons all point in the same direction to open water, Dallas Abbott, an adjunct research scientist at Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades, N.Y., uses a different satellite technology to look for oceanic craters. With increasing frequency, she finds them, including an especially large one dating back 4,800 years...Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22583
594. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:49 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
2012 is winning


Yeah, I was going to post about that earlier, but it escaped my mind.

2012 has reached record tornado activity today.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
593. Bluestorm5
8:46 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Dang, I haven't seen so many storms popping up on radar at the same time in Carolinas since April 16th... scary.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
592. GeorgiaStormz
8:46 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
2012 is winning

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
591. Barefootontherocks
8:45 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 158 Comments: 19344
590. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:43 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
S Central NC is under the bulls eye on mesoanalysis, but helicities are nil, so not many tornadoes i think.

My GRLevel2 trial ran out yesterday, but i havent closed the program and it is still running. Yesssss!!

Wind Shear is sufficient enough to support an appreciable tornado threat across central North Carolina.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
589. Bluestorm5
8:42 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
I'm seeing a huge storm cloud to my south. That storm is severe t-storm warned in area from Fayetteville to Goldsboro.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
587. hydrus
8:39 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This system is huge and pretty strong, keeping it at 53 F in central TN.
It is 53 degrees here at my house too..Gettin windy tho.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22583
586. GeorgiaStormz
8:35 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
S Central NC is under the bulls eye on mesoanalysis, but helicities are nil, so not many tornadoes i think.

My GRLevel2 trial ran out yesterday, but i havent closed the program and it is still running. Yesssss!!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
585. blsealevel
8:34 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
This is just a test dont be alarmed

This seems alitle light to me although its a little soon to be watching for this but still one never knows



Link
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
584. BobWallace
8:32 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Something as cataclysmic as a supervolcano erupting could have drastic effects on the Earth. Ice age.?..I dunno..


There is one argument that a series of volcanoes over a few years helped create or created the Little Ice Age.

By keeping particulates in the atmosphere the Earth was cooled which allowed significant Arctic ice growth which brought about a multi-hundred year cooling period.

Not yet settled science....
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
583. SPLbeater
8:32 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Left my grandmother in charge of the weather radio while i was gone, came back and she was confused enough to get a tornado watch issued xD
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
582. GeorgiaStormz
8:30 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
This system is huge and pretty strong, keeping it at 53 F in central TN.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
581. SPLbeater
8:29 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
looks like the action started once i left. we actually got to go fishin!!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
580. nigel20
8:25 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Cyclone2012:


Boy....you BETTER. Phew, =). LOL.

TropicalAnalystwx13 is always joking around.....that's how he is
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8465
579. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:25 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Hey, been away from the computer the last few days, thought this system was dying.

Did the storms just start up?

They've been going for the past several hours, but have been generally ramping up in intensity.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
578. Some1Has2BtheRookie
8:22 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:



I find it interesting what you have to say here, my view on Climate Change is very much similar as Levi's is, why then am I attributed to having the same thinking as those who say "drill baby drill"...











I made the statement of, "Drill, Baby, Drill". I was not directing at you or anyone else. What I was saying is that if the AGWT is disproved, the Laws of Physics turned upside down and Chemistry proven useless concerning the AGWT and we discover that the burning of fossil fuels are not a detriment to our climate then, by all means, "Drill, Baby, Drill!". I would be in full support of it, if all the evidence is proven wrong concerning the burning of fossil fuels.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
577. GeorgiaStormz
8:19 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Hey, been away from the computer the last few days, thought this system was dying.

Did the storms just start up?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9756
576. LargoFl
8:17 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
The weather is turning bad along the east coast, so far the sun is still out here around tampa bay, but the clouds to the north tell the story about what we may get here later on tonight..how is it now in YOUR area?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
575. nigel20
8:14 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting wxmod:


I don't have info on that, however, last September there was a large area of black carbon soot on the snow in Greenland. Carbon soot seems to go hand in hand with drought because of the small droplet size that forms around the particles. The carbon comes largely from burning coal.

Thanks for the info
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8465
574. TomTaylor
8:14 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting presslord:

The difference between weather and climate: You can't weather a tree, but you can climate.
Quoting presslord:
What do they call the main conference room at The Weather Underground?
The Topical Convergence Zone.
Quoting presslord:
What do meteorologists call PMS?
Conditional instability.
lols

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

He will be this season. Go check out his latest blog entry.
thats good news
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
573. LargoFl
8:14 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
vSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC071-119-SCC091-242045-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0037.120324T1952Z-120324T2045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
352 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
GASTON COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
WEST CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA...
NORTH CENTRAL YORK COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 349 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES
NORTH OF CLOVER...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GASTONIA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
GASTONIA.
LOWELL AND CRAMERTON.
BELMONT.
MOUNT HOLLY.
PAW CREEK.
MOUNTAIN ISLAND LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO PRODUCING FREQUENT AND INTENSE
LIGHTNING. TURN OFF ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. DO NOT USE CORDED
TELEPHONES. DO NOT TAKE A BATH OR SHOWER.

&&

LAT...LON 3508 8128 3516 8135 3517 8133 3521 8133
3541 8101 3540 8097 3524 8084
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 236DEG 23KT 3520 8122

$$

JOH
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
572. LargoFl
8:10 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
359 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

FLZ021-022-035-036-242045-
ALACHUA-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-SUWANNEE-
359 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN
ALACHUA...SOUTHWESTERN COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
SUWANNEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 445 PM
EDT...

AT 400 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BELL...OR 5 MILES
EAST OF CROSS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND TRENTON...BELL AND FORT
WHITE THROUGH 445 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 2964 8296 2970 8296 2974 8294 2976 8296
2980 8293 2982 8294 2984 8290 2987 8288
2990 8291 2998 8271 2966 8255 2958 8296
2963 8298
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 246DEG 46KT 2970 8295

$$

PETERSON
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
571. LargoFl
8:09 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That is because the atmosphere is unstable. Looks like our main threat will come in two to three hours or so.

yes we have to watch this one closely,warnings and watches are all over the southern east coast. eventually some of this may come my way, probably tonight, well we could use the rain here..not the wind or tornados
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
569. Some1Has2BtheRookie
8:08 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:



Thank you!


See, I've made it clear many times that I never once said Climate Change doesn't exist, its the specifics on Climate Change that I'm highly skeptical of. I have a good reason to be, I'm not concerned with the approval of others so much as finding the truth.

Keyword:finding. Like many things in science, there is much yet know about Climate Change.












I completely agree with you Jedkins01. There is much that is unknown concerning the climate. This should not viewed as we do not know anything and that what we do know is wrong now, or even would be wrong with further knowledge.

As with you, climatologist work within the framework of the information and the knowledge they have now. Much of the knowledge they have now will come from the known laws concerning physics and from Chemistry. The AGWT is the most accurate theory we have to show what is being observed now. There has been no competing theory presented that better explains our observations. No other competing theories even come close to better explaining what is being observed than has the AGWT. There should be no emphasis placed on rather our not you choose to accept this fact. This will remain a fact, never the less.

I do not care that you are a skeptic of the AGWT. I, and others, have many times stated that the sciences requires true skepticism. I have only asked of you to explain your reason(s) for being a skeptic. Simply saying that is wrong, you do not trust it or that you want more information are not qualifications for classifying yourself as a true skeptic. You must provide scientific evidence that supports your skepticism, since you are the one making the claims. At the very least, you need to show evidence that a part of the theory is wrong. Without your ability to do so has moved you more from being a skeptic to just being someone that denies the evidence given.

You are one the best here at providing tropical forecasts for us see. I will be completely honest and say that Levi32 does a better job than you do in explaining why he thinks a system will behave a certain way. This is not a discredit to you or your forecasts. This is only a statement that some are better at doing things than are others. I certainly could not even come close to forecasting systems than either you or Levi32 are able to do. I am fully aware of this and I make no attempts to hide this fact. A prime example of an exercise in futility would be my attempt to claim that I know more than either you or Levi32.

Now, let us say that you provide us with a forecast. Someone posts behind you that your forecast is wrong or the person simply does not trust your forecast. They offer no evidence as to why the forecast is wrong or why they do not trust it. Are you not at least curious as to why they have reasoned as they have? Are you more prone to dismiss their statement when they have provided no sound reasoning for their statement than if they offered a reasonable alternative to your forecast, and with an explanation of such? Are they merely a skeptic or have they taken on the appearance of someone that will just deny the evidence you have provided to us and with no apparent reason as to why?

You can claim that you want more information. You can claim that we do not yet know everything there is to know. Are you also able to claim, at this time, that the AGWT is wrong or invalid? Are you able to provide us with a competing theory that better explains our observations? ... You can spend your entire life trying to find answers to all of your questions. Does this require that you must now dismiss what is known to you while you seek your answers to everything? This, my friend, would be an extreme exercise in futility.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
568. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:05 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting ncstorm:
Woah..the radar has lighted up


That is because the atmosphere is unstable. Looks like our main threat will come in two to three hours or so.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
567. LargoFl
8:05 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
weather is getting dangerous folk, heed your local warnings today and tonight: TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

TORNADO WATCH 108 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

VAC019-031-035-037-063-067-083-089-141-143-515-59 0-680-690-
250300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0108.120324T1935Z-120325T0300Z/

VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEDFORD CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHARLOTTE FLOYD FRANKLIN
HALIFAX HENRY PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

BEDFORD DANVILLE LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE
$$


ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
566. ncstorm
8:04 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Woah..the radar has lighted up

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16222
565. nigel20
8:02 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Something as cataclysmic as a supervolcano erupting could have drastic effects on the Earth. Ice age.?..I dunno..

It is said that the eruption of a super volcano could emit enough ash the blanket the earths atmosphere...this could inturn reduce the heating energy that the earth receives from the sun....
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8465
564. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:01 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Cyclone2012:


Why do you? This man's a SAINT on this blog. Not to mention, HIGHLY loved by many, too, =(.

I'm joking, lol. I'm probably closer to Gro here than anyone else.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
563. LargoFl
8:01 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
TORNADO WARNING
VAC063-141-242015-
/O.NEW.KRNK.TO.W.0007.120324T1946Z-120324T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
346 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
CENTRAL FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT.

* AT 343 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BUFFALO
RIDGE...OR NEAR WOOLWINE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUFFALO RIDGE...
WOOLWINE...
CHARITY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE RELAY YOUR SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT...1...8 6
6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SATURDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3671 8037 3692 8026 3689 8021 3687 8023
3685 8012 3683 8009 3669 8032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 219DEG 21KT 3674 8032

$$

DS
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
561. LargoFl
7:58 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
331 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

FLZ023>025-GAZ164-242015-
BAKER-CHARLTON-DUVAL-NASSAU-
331 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN
BAKER...SOUTHERN CHARLTON...NORTHERN DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES FOR
STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 330 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST. GEORGE...OR 19
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALLAHAN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND ST. GEORGE...RATLIFF...
CALLAHAN...OCEANWAY AND JACKSONVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT THROUGH
415 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS
OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3071 8166 3046 8156 3036 8218 3053 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 253DEG 25KT 3047 8207

$$

PETERSON
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42039
560. TropicalAnalystwx13
7:57 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5:
What's up with bad storms on Saturdays in North Carolina in recent years???

I don't know...April 16 was on a Saturday as well.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
559. Bluestorm5
7:55 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
What's up with bad storms on Saturdays in North Carolina in recent years???
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
558. TropicalAnalystwx13
7:55 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting Grothar:
Hello Boys and Girls.

I would respond to this comment to say that I am not a boy, I am a teenage male, and a lot here are adults, not boys/girls, but unfortunately...I have you on my ignore list.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32802
557. Bluestorm5
7:54 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Likely tornado on the ground in Virginia. Look at the hook echo.



Where's all the typical Severe Weather people today? I feel alone here lol.
just arrived lol. I'm just working on this stupid Junior Paper...
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
555. Jedkins01
7:53 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
I'm hoping to see some strong thunderstorms tonight, something I have seen VERY little of this year so far. La Nina has had a tight restriction on weather in here so far...


Atmospheric conditions are looking pretty decent for strong storms tonight, instability and moisture look good.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8014
554. Bluestorm5
7:53 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Great... I'm at heart of all of this weather event here at crossroad of I-40/I-95. Everything is calm and cloudy here, but my NOAA radio been going crazy today.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8074
552. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
7:51 PM GMT on March 24, 2012
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55974

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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