Tornadoes, extreme flooding, unprecedented heat expected in U.S. today

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:04 PM GMT on March 19, 2012

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Widespread and potentially catastrophic areal flooding and river flooding is expected this afternoon through Wednesday morning in Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas, Western Louisiana, and Southwest Missouri, warns the National Weather Service in Tulsa, Oklahoma, in their latest flood watch for the region. The storm system responsible is a massive, slow-moving trough of low pressure over the Western U.S. that dumped heavy snows that closed several interstate highways in Arizona over the weekend. This storm system will collide with the warmest and moistest air mass ever recorded in March in the Central and Eastern U.S. According to the NWS in Minneapolis, Minnesota, moisture flowing northwards into Minnesota along the cold front yesterday had the highest levels of moisture ever recorded so early in the year, and moisture levels are expected to remain at record levels today. At the boundary between the Western U.S. trough of low pressure and Central U.S. ridge of high pressure, a cold front will lift huge quantities of moisture-laden air aloft, forcing record rains to fall. A wide region of 4 - 8 inches of rain is expected in the flood watch area, and isolated amounts as high as 15 inches could fall by Wednesday, as numerous rounds of thunderstorms repeatedly track over the same area. The cold front is also expected to trigger a Moderate Risk of severe weather over much of Texas today, including the Dallas-Fort Worth area, says NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. Damaging winds, large hail, flash flooding, and few strong tornadoes are expected to affect the area late this afternoon. Severe thunderstorm watches are already posted for much of West Texas, as seen on our Severe Weather Map. Eleven tornadoes were reported yesterday in Oklahoma, Nebraska, and South Dakota.


Figure 1. Predicted rainfall amounts for the 3-day period Monday morning through Thursday morning show an area of 7+ inches (yellow colors) is expected over Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas, Western Louisiana, and Southwest Missouri. Image credit: NOAA HPC.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a Moderate Risk area for severe weather over much of Texas today, including the Dallas-Fort Worth area.

Summer in March for the Midwest
The ongoing March heat wave in the Midwest is one of the most extreme heat events in U.S. history. With so many records being shattered, it is difficult to cover in detail just how widespread, long-lasting, and extreme the event is, and I offer just a few highlights:

Winner, South Dakota hit 94°F yesterday, the earliest 90°+ reading ever recorded in the Northern Plains, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. The 94°F reading was just 2°F short of the all-time state record for South Dakota in March, which was 96°F in Tyndall in 1943. However, subsequent analysis by NOAA questioned this 94°F reading, and it is now believed that 87°F is the appropriate high for Winner.

International Falls, Minnesota hit 79°F yesterday, the hottest March temperature on record in the Nation's Icebox. At midnight this morning, the temperature was 66°F there, breaking the record high for March 19 (set in 1910) by 6°F. The low temperature for International Falls bottomed out near 60°F this morning, so low for today is (unofficially) the same as the previous record high for the date. This is the seventh consecutive day that International Falls has broken or tied a daily record. That is spectacularly hard to do for a station with a century-long weather record. The longest string of consecutive records being broken I'm aware of is nine days in a row, set June 2 - 10, 1911 in Tulsa, Oklahoma (with weather records going back to 1905.) International Falls has a good chance of surpassing nine consecutive records this week.

Houghton, Michigan, near the frigid shores of Lake Superior, hit 76°F both Saturday and Sunday. It was the hottest March temperature on record, and an astonishing 44°F above the average high for the date (Saturday) of 32°. Huron, South Dakota also recorded a high temperature (88°F) that was 44° above the average high for the date, on Sunday. Most of the cities in Northern Michigan set all-time March high temperature records over the weekend.

Chicago, Illinois now has a string of five consecutive days of 80°+ temperatures, and the hottest temperature on record for so early in the year (82°F on Friday, and tied again on Saturday). The average high temperature in August is 82°F in Chicago, so this week is basically summer weather. Prior to this year, there had only been 10 days in March with highs in the 80s in Chicago, going back to 1871. The last time Chicago saw an 80 degree temperature during the month of March (prior to this year) was over 22 years ago back on March 12, 1990 when the high temperature hit 81. This morning's Public Information Statement from the National Weather Service in Chicago had this to say about this unprecedented March heat:

Chicago and Rockford have now both broken high temperature records 5 days in a row. There is even the potential they could tie or break record highs for up to an unbelievable 8 days in a row depending on how warm temperatures get Monday through Wednesday. It is extraordinarily rare for climate locations with 100+ year long periods of records to break records day after day after day.


Figure 3. March's month-to-date average temperature compared to the other top 5 warmest months of March in Chicago. The dotted blue lines are month-to-date average temperatures based on the current predicted temperatures. The hashed black line is the average month to date temperature for March. These graphs really illustrate just how far above the previous warmest top 5 Marches this month really has been and assuming no major pattern change the last week of the month gives some indication of just how far above the record March 2012 could end up being. Image credit: NWS Chicago.

Record heat in Canada
Record-breaking heat has also penetrated into the Prairie provinces of Canada over the past week. Winnipeg, Manitoba broke its record high for the past four days in a row, and hit 21°C yesterday, its hottest temperature on record so early in the year. With today's forecast by Environment Canada and wunderground both calling for highs near 25°C (77°F), Winnipeg is likely to record its highest March temperature on record. Previous record: 23.3°C on March 27, 1946. The earliest date for a 25°C+ temperature in Winnipeg is April 9, 1977.


Figure 4. The jet stream pattern features a large, southwards dipping bulge over the Western U.S., creating a trough of low pressure with cold and snow, and a large, northwards looping bulge over the Central U.S., creating a record-strength ridge of high pressure.

Why the record early-season warmth?
The unusual warmth is due to a loop in the jet stream that has created a large upper-level ridge of high pressure that is stuck in place over the Eastern U.S.--a phenomenon known as a "blocking pattern." Since the jet stream acts as the boundary between cold air to the north and warm air to the south, and the large loop in the jet places its axis far to the north of the eastern U.S., summer-like warmth has developed over the eastern half of the U.S. Conversely, colder than average temperatures have developed over the western third of the U.S. behind the southwards-dipping loop of the jet stream. There are at least three large-scale patterns working together right now to create an unusually strong ridge over the eastern half of the U.S.:

1) La Niña. The on-going La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific has weakened considerably over the past month, but ocean temperatures there are still cool enough to affect the jet stream pattern, favoring high pressure and warm temperatures over the Eastern U.S., and low pressure and cold temperatures over the Western U.S.

2) The Madden-Julian Oscillation( MJO). The MJO is a 2-month cycle of thunderstorm activity that travels west to east along the Equator. The MJO is currently in phase with La Niña, and is helping create warmer temperatures over the Eastern U.S.

3) The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO.) The NAO is in its positive phase, which means the difference in pressure between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High is stronger than usual. This tends to increase the jet stream winds and keeps the jet from sagging southwards over the Eastern U.S.

While the blocking pattern responsible for the heat wave is natural, it is very unlikely that the intensity of the heat would have been so great unless we were in a warming climate. Climate scientist Dr. James Hansen has posted an interesting (as yet unpublished) paper discussing how the odds of such extreme heat events have shifted in recent years.

Extreme jet stream patterns like this often lead to tornado outbreaks in the Midwest, at the boundary of where warm, moist air flowing north from the Gulf of Mexico collides with cold, dry air flowing south. Cold dry air aloft, combined with warm, moist air at the surface, makes the atmosphere unstable, since air rising in thunderstorm updrafts will be less dense than the surroundings, allowing the air to accelerate upwards and increase the intensity of the thunderstorm. This will be the case today, when NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a Moderate Risk area for severe weather over much of Texas today, including the Dallas-Fort Worth area.

Flood risk low this year for the Northern Plains
For the first time in four years, the Northern Plains are not expecting major to record snow melt flooding, said NOAA's National Weather Service in their annual spring flood outlook issued last week. Residents along the Mississippi, Missouri, Red, and Souris Rivers have endured a punishing series of bad flood years, but this year is unlikely to continue that trend, due to a lack of snow cover. The Northern Plains states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, North Dakota, and South Dakota recorded their 3rd - 8th warmest winter in the 117-year record, and are on pace to crush the record for warmest March in history. Winter snowfall was below average over most of the region, and what snow was on the ground at the beginning of March has mostly melted, thanks to the record-breaking March heat this week. The Souris and Red River basins contain about one-third the amount of water in the snow as last year, ranking this season in the lower half of the last 60 years. Precipitation this water year (since Oct 1, 2011) has been less than 50% of the normal across the Upper Mississippi and Upper Missouri Valleys, and much of the region is under moderate to severe drought, according to the latest Drought Monitor.


Figure 5. What a difference a year makes! Snow cover on March 15 of last year (top) was heavy over Minnesota, Wisconsin, and the Dakotas, and caused massive flooding problems on the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers during spring melt season. In contrast, there is almost no snow pack in the Upper Midwest this year (bottom), significantly reducing the odds of spring flooding on the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Image credit: NOAA/NOHRSC.


Figure 6. The U.S. spring flood risk, as predicted by the National Weather Service on March 15, 2012.

Jeff Masters

March 18th sundown (rosana)
Today it was warm, sunny & calm water with clouds matching the mood of the people just enjoying this view.
March 18th sundown
Mullet Lake ice melting (JeffMasters)
I pulled a piece of ice out of Mullet Lake in Northern Michigan during my bike ride along the shore. It was so strange riding shirtless in 82°F heat along the shore of a frozen lake. The ground still had some snow patches from the 16" snow storm from last week. The lake ice is breaking up weeks ahead of usual due to our warm winter and incredible March heat.
Mullet Lake ice melting
Come have a glass of wine on the patio! (RedRoxx)
LOL woke up to MORE snow, in the VOC (Sedona) are today, want to have a drink on the patio with us?
Come have a glass of wine on the patio!
End of the Icefishing Season (bbend)
One last beautiful day on the ice but it's beginning to weaken and get unsafe- another 60 plus degree day. Normally we'd have about 3' of ice or more but this season it was about 24" at the most.
End of the Icefishing Season

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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Either way Houston Metro is going to get dumped on. My guess is 2" to 3" but like you said the key will be where does the front slow down because where ever this happens is where very severe flooding could occur.


Yes indeed. I just went and bought a new weather radio also. I can't wait to get it set up lol. My old one was pretty darn old
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Along the upper southeastern coastline, our evergreen azaleas are blooming about a month ahead of schedule this year.

Considering the relatively warm winters we experience along the coastline normally, due to the Gulf Stream about 70 miles off shore, I'm perplexed. It's been a warmer than average winter, but the nights this spring have been fairly cool and pretty normal, it seems. Maybe I'm overlooking something from casual observation of temperature, but I was always taught that much of the spring deciduous growth and flowering of evergreens was tied partly to the length of the day, not temperature alone. A month ahead is a pretty big leap it seems to me.

We're also way behind on soil precip., adding to the mystery. We've been in the "Extreme category" all winter having recently been upgraded to "Severe," due to a couple of 1-2" rains.



Something else I've noticed, which is stranger than the azaleas, are the mosquitoes. We've had enough recent rains to allow some replacement of the local swamps, but not enough to allow the accumulation in say ... old tires, and other places that mosquitoes like to lay their eggs. They tend to avoid bodies of water large enough to have predators, if they can help it, preferring smaller bodies of water that are less risky, but which provide the food their larva will need.

We've recently had our screens off, and some of these doors and windows open, and the house fills up every day with large female mosquitoes, but they're not biting. It's weird, they seem to be more attracted to the shelter of the interior of the house, but they're not interested in us in the least. Outside also, in areas where I would normally expect to be bitten ... nothing. I know they are there, they're just not biting. These are clearly the females who have hibernated. These aren't new hatchlings, so perhaps this makes the mystery easier to understand, as they tend to be more ravenous. The older females who have wintered here, aren't attempting to lay their eggs this spring.

It seems like I may have experienced this phenomena in the spring-time before, but not like this. I've caught several females in the house, and there's no blood in them ... in case my wife and I are just imagining not being bitten. I haven't received a single bite in months, and neither has my wife.

So why aren't they biting? I'm thinking ... extended drought, and they know it way before we know it.

Plug that into your formulas.

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Winnipeg Richardson Int'l Airport
Date:
1:00 PM CDT Monday 19 March 2012

Temperature:
72.0F
Dewpoint:
60.8F
Humidity:
68 %
Wind:
S 28 gust 39 mph
Humidex:
80F

Normals
Max:
34F
Min:
14F

Only 2F to go until the warmest March day on record (73.9F on March the 27th, 1947) is broken.
Also, the record humidex for March stands at 65.8F! The record has been shattered by 14.2F so far. Speechless.
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I thought this was kind of cool. It is a NOAA Briefing for SE Texas for this upcoming severe/flood threat tomorrow through Wednesday

Link
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Quoting owenowen:
Wait for it, I'm sure this guy has something that will fulfill his global alarmist manta. Oh wait, he is already trying. "Worst ever, earliest ever". To finish me off, maybe he can pull out some more data with tidbits removed to even further the agenda. From an ice age in the 70's to the earth is melting in only 30 years. Too funny, and now these people want us to pay extra to support their money making schemes. The sheep have arrived, it's time to castrate them.


You know, we get a fair number of trolls on here. You could at least make an effort to be a decent troll.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Yea I noticed that as well. Just wondering how accurate it will be. If the front slows down or the precip develops behind the front like some of the models are thinking we may have a high chance of a flood threat in the Houston area. I guess we will just have to see how it pans out!


Either way Houston Metro is going to get dumped on. My guess is 2" to 3" but like you said the key will be where does the front slow down because where ever this happens is where very severe flooding could occur.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting hydrus:
This shows the moisture feed very well...Link
All I have to do to check out the moisture feed is step out my front door..plenty of moisture!
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Quoting BobWallace:



If the very weird, extreme weather of the last few years continues for a few more years people are going to start a real clamor for doing what we can to keep it from getting worse.

If we can show people how we can maintain our current lifestyles, and even save money, by shutting down fossil fuels then I think it will happen very quickly.


Even if every polluting energy source was stopped today, the weird weather would not stop at where it is now. Warming in the pipeline would continue for at least 1-2 decades.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


According to the latest GFS the heaviest rain may fall around the TX/LA border. It does appear though that Houston could get a solid 1 to 3" with areas around SW LA getting over 7".


Yea I noticed that as well. Just wondering how accurate it will be. If the front slows down or the precip develops behind the front like some of the models are thinking we may have a high chance of a flood threat in the Houston area. I guess we will just have to see how it pans out!
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..... the sun is certainly stronger now. I got severely burnt after 2 full days of surf! but totally worth it.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i have given up on the idea that mankind will do anything about that which they have done therefore i am counting on mother nature to do what shall be done its no longer in our hand but in hers too do as she sees fit


If we really have until 2020 to start significant reduction of CO2 and other greenhouse gases then I think we've got a decent chance of not kicking into runaway gear.

I follow EVs and batteries as close as I can. My guess is that we are 2-5 years from affordable EVs with adequate range for almost everyone. When we hit that point the market will quickly switch away from gasmobiles, purely for economic reasons. EVs are so cheap to drive.

I also follow clean energy and storage. Wind is cheap. Solar is getting cheap. It looks like we'll have affordable grid scale battery storage in the next 2-5 years. When that happens we'll start shutting down fossil fuel generation faster than we are now.

If the very weird, extreme weather of the last few years continues for a few more years people are going to start a real clamor for doing what we can to keep it from getting worse.

If we can show people how we can maintain our current lifestyles, and even save money, by shutting down fossil fuels then I think it will happen very quickly.
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
This is an old run, but the next system off of California could spell trouble..
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Quoting JNCali:
Eastern US High gets moved next week.. maybe...



Keyword maybe. Getting really dry here in FL as Late April to early May temperatures have taken hold so far for the whole month of March. Met on channel 9 news in Orlando said (last night)that this may go down has one of the top 10 warmest Marches ever in Orlando.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting BobWallace:


I would count on some sort of 'natural' brakes being applied. The planet has heated way higher than this in the past, nothing stopped it then.

Instead we're watching the grass fire we started spread toward the shed full of dynamite - melting permafrost and the thawing of methane.
I imagine that nature has a few tricks up it's sleeve.. and most of which will not bode well for humans... IMHO
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


Let's hope. It would be nice to discover some natural feedback to mitigate our changes to the planet, but I strongly doubt it. We've already discovered the planet absorbing more greenhouse gases through natural processes than we thought it would, but it isn't enough to stop the energy balance from being out of equilibrium, and thus, the warming of the climate system.


I would NOT count on some sort of 'natural' brakes being applied. The planet has heated way higher than this in the past, nothing stopped it then.

Instead we're watching the grass fire we started spread toward the shed full of dynamite - melting permafrost and the thawing of methane.

edited: Sorry - I left out the 'not'.
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
Eastern US High gets moved next week.. maybe...

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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i have given up on the idea that mankind will do anything about that which they have done therefore i am counting on mother nature to do what shall be done its no longer in our hand but in hers too do as she sees fit


Destroy thou shall be done and all what man has built
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83. CJ5
Quoting flowcool0:

Future America if the republicans get there way.


Ah, jeez. [facepalm]
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Geesh, look at the gulf!


And the hot GulfStream off the EC.
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Low level lapse rates aren't particularly impressive at the moment, but they should improve somewhat as more surface heating kicks in.

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Quoting MississippiWx:
La Nina is trying to hold on as cold anomalies have fought back off the South American coastline. As I and many others have said before, an El Nino will be slow to occur if one occurs at all.

March 1, 2012



March 19, 2012



Geesh, look at the gulf!
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting hydrus:
This shows the moisture feed very well...Link


Yup, I think the heaviest is going to be in LA up into ARK, & OK. Some areas in TX could get shafted if storms don't start popping soon.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Let's hope. It would be nice to discover some natural feedback to mitigate our changes to the planet, but I strongly doubt it. We've already discovered the planet absorbing more greenhouse gases through natural processes than we thought it would, but it isn't enough to stop the energy balance from being out of equilibrium, and thus, the warming of the climate system.
nature can reclaim the earth in 10000 years and remove all most all evidence of us ever being here in the first place trust me all we have to do is simply get out of her way
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54473
La Nina is trying to hold on as cold anomalies have fought back off the South American coastline. As I and many others have said before, an El Nino will be slow to occur if one occurs at all.

March 1, 2012



March 19, 2012

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How to extract your own DNA.
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This shows the moisture feed very well...Link
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i have given up on the idea that mankind will do anything about that which they have done therefore i am counting on mother nature to do what shall be done its no longer in our hand but in hers too do as she sees fit


I'm just about there myself. Too bad it has to be that way.
Member Since: October 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1764
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i have given up on the idea that mankind will do anything about that which they have done therefore i am counting on mother nature to do what shall be done its no longer in our hand but in hers too do as she sees fit


Let's hope. It would be nice to discover some natural feedback to mitigate our changes to the planet, but I strongly doubt it. We've already discovered the planet absorbing more greenhouse gases through natural processes than we thought it would, but it isn't enough to stop the energy balance from being out of equilibrium, and thus, the warming of the climate system.
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Quoting BobWallace:


But all red state extreme weather is caused by same sex marriage in Massachusetts and women (too many things that women do wrong to list).


:)
Member Since: October 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1764
Amazing how when you are bored, want to blog, and have nothing to blog on...how you can create a blog on a long range model forecast!

because in my newest blog, that is the topic if you want to check it out:D

Link
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


Same gish-galloping gibberish nonsense, different day.
i have given up on the idea that mankind will do anything about that which they have done therefore i am counting on mother nature to do what shall be done its no longer in our hand but in hers too do as she sees fit
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54473
Quoting wxmod:


The political strongholds of the republican right are the places that will get hit the hardest by extreme weather caused by co2 and carbon pollution.


But all red state extreme weather is caused by same sex marriage in Massachusetts and women (too many things that women do wrong to list).
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
#63

I don't remember when I saw a NWS graphic mentioning the possibility of 15" of rain when there wasn't a tropical system involved!
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This should be the area to watch over the next few hours as this area should fill in.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting owenowen:
Wait for it, I'm sure this guy has something that will fulfill his global alarmist manta. Oh wait, he is already trying. "Worst ever, earliest ever". To finish me off, maybe he can pull out some more data with tidbits removed to even further the agenda. From an ice age in the 70's to the earth is melting in only 30 years. Too funny, and now these people want us to pay extra to support their money making schemes. The sheep have arrived, it's time to castrate them.


Same gish-galloping gibberish nonsense, different day.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
From Tulsa NWS:

Yikes!


Not much rain in TX at the moment as most of it is in OK. Hopefully we start getting some cells firing over the Hill Country over the next few hours as the Upper Low moves in.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
South Asia smog today. MODIS
Member Since: October 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1764
From Tulsa NWS:

Yikes!
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13568
Quoting AussieStorm:

you don't have 24hr pubs like we do? Shame they have to close to restock. Here they just switch to a new keg and keep the festivities going.
I will visit Australia some day..I have read a lot about it and am exited to go. I am goin Pub surfing, surfing and checking out craters from meteor impacts...And Ayers Rock....yeah man
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Quoting flowcool0:

Future America if the republicans get there way.


The political strongholds of the republican right are the places that will get hit the hardest by extreme weather caused by co2 and carbon pollution.
Member Since: October 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1764
And here is why they jacked up the rainfall totals..Watch the upper low..Precipital water..00 CRAS pwtr Image Loop ....Link
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Mullet Lake was my absolute favorite fishing and camping lake in the lower peninsula (Muskellunge Lake in the U.P.) as a kid. I have so many memories there, but it's hard to remember it getting above 80F much, and we usually went in July/Aug. Thanks for sharing Dr. Masters!
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Quoting owenowen:
Wait for it, I'm sure this guy has something that will fulfill his global alarmist manta. Oh wait, he is already trying. "Worst ever, earliest ever". To finish me off, maybe he can pull out some more data with tidbits removed to even further the agenda. From an ice age in the 70's to the earth is melting in only 30 years. Too funny, and now these people want us to pay extra to support their money making schemes. The sheep have arrived, it's time to castrate them.


Your statement is laughable. Does he have to say "Worst heat wave since records began in xxxx; earliest heat wave since records began in xxxx"?

It's understandable that this is what he means.
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I suggest Looking at a "Surface" map, before drinking and posting.


Urppp,..scuse me

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Quoting AussieStorm:
Anyone notice the little spinner off the East coast?
Last year this would of been named a TS.


Yeah that's a nice little spin. Here is a closer GOES Visible Loop
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
Quoting hydrus:
Thats when the bars in S.E.Florida close for an hour to restock....Then we are thirsty again and resume the festivities...yee haa !

you don't have 24hr pubs like we do? Shame they have to close to restock. Here they just switch to a new keg and keep the festivities going.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15940
Quoting AussieStorm:

4am ain't early, It's late.
Thats when the bars in S.E.Florida close for an hour to restock....Then we are thirsty again and resume the festivities...yee haa !
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I'm probably going to drive up to Hearne in the next hour or so to wait and see if anything starts to fire up. Hearne is a good spot for me to start. It has many crossroads, so I can go in pretty much any direction that I need to, plus it's really close to College Station so I can just go home if nothing worth chasing develops.
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Quoting Patrap:


Me tinks your into da beer early Aussie.

: )

4am ain't early, It's late.
Did you have a look?
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15940
Keeping an eye on Weathertap regional radar and see the current frontal line heading in the direction of Joplin, MS. Here's hoping that nothing spins up for them; I haven seen any tornadoes this far so hopefully, this will remain the case.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9240

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.