Nation's Icebox basks in 77°F warmth

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:08 PM GMT on March 18, 2012

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Each year, when the list of coldest U.S. cities is compiled, International Falls, Minnesota regularly winds up at the top of the list, earning its title as "Icebox of the Nation". The city once hit -55°F (on January 6, 1909), and takes pride in the distinction of being the coldest city in the U.S., having trademarked the term "Icebox of the Nation" in 1948. The city recently defended the trademark against the town of Fraser, Colorado, which sought to usurp the title as the Nation's Icebox. But yesterday, International Falls set a truly phenomenal weather record for warmth. The city's temperature soared to 77°F, which was 42° above the average high temperature for the date. Not only was it the city's hottest March temperature on record by 4°, it was just 4° shy of yesterday's high in Miami, Florida. But what was truly amazing is that the 77°F high in International Falls beat the previous record for the date by 22°! I talked to Christopher C. Burt, wunderground's weather historian, and he couldn't recall seeing a station with a century-plus period of weather records break a daily record by such a wide margin (International Falls' records go back to 1895.) Yesterday's temperatures in International Falls were but one chapter in the on-going story of one of the most extreme meteorological events in U.S. history. Never before has such an extended period of extreme and record-breaking warm temperatures affected such a large portion of the U.S. in March, going back to the beginning of record keeping in the late 1800s. The record-breaking warmth will continue through Thursday, and I'll have much more to say in Monday's post.

Jeff Masters

Haze Night (sally)
This is not what the sky should look like this time of year, What will it look like in July?
Haze Night

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Quoting adamjwpg31:
Suppose to be 26C in Winnipeg, Manitoba Canada today. Tommorow, same temperature with the possibility of Thunderstorms. Is this March? Is this some really weird science fiction movie? I hope this is not a preview of what is to come with a changing climate. Normally in Winnipeg the Red River would be frozen and the snow would start to melt. I could understand 26C this time next month. But March 18? Is something wrong here??


Is that a rhetorical question?
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3293
ok i back guys

low clouds hangin round at the moment...low level LR are stayin low.
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Quoting islander101010:
still dont see any evidence of a water level rise here in e cent fl.
you will when a cat 4 or greater comes barreling along dont worry you will get all the water rise you need then
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536
Early Spring Drives Butterfly Population Declines:
'Ahead-Of-Time' Snowmelt Triggers Chains of Events in the Mormon Fritillary Butterfly
ScienceDaily (Mar. 16, 2012) —
Early snowmelt caused by climate change in the Colorado Rocky Mountains snowballs into two chains of events: a decrease in the number of flowers, which, in turn, decreases available nectar. The result is decline in a population of the Mormon Fritillary butterfly, Speyeria mormonia.
More: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/03/1203 16101634.htm

Sunday-greetings to the sweating US from Germany, Barb
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If the glaciers melt…
1)sea levels will rise, coastal areas will flood.
2)the salinity of the water will change (this is the one you need to worry about).
The amount of salt in the oceans help the waters circulate, exchanging heat for both air and water.
If this ‘oceanic conveyor’ speeds or slows it means that areas that are warm will grow colder or hotter (depending on if the salt content lowers or rises…most likely lower since most glaciers are stored fresh water). Some already dry areas will get drier. and basically be a real crisis.

Axis tilt…
we already tilt at 23 1/2 degrees. the only thing that would dramatically cause the earth to tilt is if we were struck by an outside force. And if that happened it would be so dramatic that everything on earth..even microbes would be wiped out. That being known..why worry?

anyone agree or disagree?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41655
Quoting adamjwpg31:
Suppose to be 26C in Winnipeg, Manitoba Canada today. Tommorow, same temperature with the possibility of Thunderstorms. Is this March? Is this some really weird science fiction movie? I hope this is not a preview of what is to come with a changing climate. Normally in Winnipeg the Red River would be frozen and the snow would start to melt. I could understand 26C this time next month. But March 18? Is something wrong here??
still dont see any evidence of a water level rise here in e cent fl.
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536
Suppose to be 26C in Winnipeg, Manitoba Canada today. Tommorow, same temperature with the possibility of Thunderstorms. Is this March? Is this some really weird science fiction movie? I hope this is not a preview of what is to come with a changing climate. Normally in Winnipeg the Red River would be frozen and the snow would start to melt. I could understand 26C this time next month. But March 18? Is something wrong here??
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At least it is cold somewhere.....


ABAK34 PABR 180948
PNSBRW

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BARROW AK
148 AM AKDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...COLDEST MARCH IN BARROW SINCE 1970...

THE FIRST 17 DAYS OF MARCH IN BARROW HAVE BEEN THE COLDEST SINCE 1970
AND THE 14TH COLDEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN AROUND 1915. SO FAR THIS
MARCH BARROW HAS AVERAGED 22.6 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WHICH IS MUCH
COLDER THAN THE NORMAL TEMPERATURE OF 14 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. THE YEAR
WITH THE COLDEST FIRST 17 DAYS OF MARCH WAS 1959 WITH AN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE OF 30.9 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.




Also, Tornado in California yesterday

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
630 PM PDT SAT MAR 17 2012

...TORNADO NEAR TRANQUILITY ON MARCH 17TH...

AT APPROXIMATELY 330 PM PDT...A TORNADO WAS PHOTOGRAPHED TOUCHING
DOWN NEAR TRANQUILITY. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN THE RURAL
COUNTRYSIDE AND CAUSED NO DAMAGE OR INJURIES. THIS WAS THE 85TH
CONFIRMED TORNADO IN THE SEVEN COUNTIES OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR. THE MOST RECENT TORNADO IN FRESNO COUNTY BEFORE TODAY WAS
ON JANUARY 18TH 2010 WHEN A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF FRESNO.

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Check out the snow on the Grapevine (Tejon Pass) in Southern California this morning:

Link

Friggin' cold here on the Pacific Coast!
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Here is an impressive sattelite loop when Soufriere erupted on Febuary 12,2010.

Very impressive loop. A whole lot of power with those volcanoes.
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And you worried about buckeyes coming to your area, Jeff! It looks like you're too far south for buckeyes. It's more likely that you'll trip over the cypress knees growing in your lakes.
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This is not good. There will be a break after this, but the next system will most likely compound the flooding..
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Soufriere trying to wake up again? It has been throwing light ash for a few weeks back.



Here is the recent data of eruptions by Soufriere with the last big one on Febuary 2010.

Link

And look what happened on the 9th of March 2012 as a small pyrclastic flow went down the slope towards Plymouth, the Montserrat capital.

Link


Here are a couple of impressive sattelite loops when Soufriere erupted on Febuary 12,2010.





Here is when the eruption started,and look at the shadow created by the very high ash thrown up.

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..that's no Moon
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129424
This will be a large cut off low..
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Uploaded by slatester on Mar 16, 2012

Daredevils and risk-takers, the gauntlet has been thrown ... from 13-miles up.

Felix Baumgartner, the 42-year-old who plans to break the speed of sound with a jump from the stratosphere later this summer, completed his first test this week, skydiving in a space suit from 13 miles up in the sky about 5 miles higher that a jumbo jet usually flies.

Baumgartner pulled off this high-flying stunt by heading aloft in his custom designed Red Bull Stratos capsule attached to a 100-foot-wide helium balloon. In a fully pressurized jump suit, he launched himself into a free fall that lasted nearly four minutes and propelled him to speeds of over 360 miles per hour.

The high-flying act is just a dress rehearsal for Baumgartner's ultimate goal: to jump from an altitude of 23 miles, a free fall that will take him past Mach 1. That leap would beat a previous record held by U.S. Air Force Captain Joe Kittinger, who jumped from nearly 20 miles up in 1960. OK, dude, put a diving board on that Red Bull Capsule and a kiddy pool on the ground, and we're talking business.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129424
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I will never forget to bring a pen to school ever again. O_O
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Quoting FatPenguin:
Anyone having trouble with the Wunderground Extreme Weather page? I'm trying to get the total number of records broken over the last few days, but all it's displaying are days for March 14th & 15th.

Would like to get grand total of records broken (record highs daily/month and record high mins) since this event began.
Just as with HAMWeather, some of WU's weather records are culled from the NCDC weather records site, which went down on Friday (possibly due to overload) and hasn't yet been brought back online; the site says only "The NCDC extremes project is down for maintenence until further notice.". I can say this, however: the cumulative total of record highs for the last four days has been in the thousands; it was well over a thousand just for Thursday alone--the last day for which records are available--and that wasn't even the warmest day of the heat wave.
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Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32695
Anyone having trouble with the Wunderground Extreme Weather page? I'm trying to get the total number of records broken over the last few days, but all it's displaying are days for March 14th & 15th.

Would like to get grand total of records broken (record highs daily/month and record high mins) since this event began.
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Quoting Patrap:


Floprida?

Did yer Guv'na rename the State?


No, lol. Wrote that with my iPad, somehow 'Florida' to spellcheck is 'Floprida'

Though.. given all the other seemingly 'intelligent' moves our Governor has done, I wouldn't put it past him to do something like that.
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It's heading into the mid 70s in MA today, we'll be trying for 80 a few times this week... This really is incredible warmth.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
For the first time since September, WU is forecasting 90 degree temperatures for my area in Floprida.


Floprida?

Did yer Guv'na rename the State?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129424
Soufriere trying to wake up again? It has been throwing light ash for a few weeks back.



Here is the recent data of eruptions by Soufriere with the last big one on Febuary 2010.

Link

And look what happened on the 9th of March 2012 as a small pyrclastic flow went down the slope towards Plymouth, the Montserrat capital.

Link
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For the first time since September, WU is forecasting 90 degree temperatures for my area in Florida.
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The Indian Army team practicing in Resolute Bay two weeks ago.




Arctic wrap-up: Indians and Japanese abandon North Pole ski; 100 yrs ago: Scott determined to fight it out till the last biscuit

Posted: Mar 14


(Correne Coetzer) The leader of the Indian Army team, Anand Swaroop, told ExplorersWeb they have decided to abort their expedition this year “due to adverse ice and weather conditions further compounded by late arrival of sledges.” The Colonel added, “Hopefully, we will come again next year with better luck.” The team and their Norwegian guides haven’t left Resolute Bay. According to Anand and other info received by ExplorersWeb, the solo skier from Japan, Yasunaga Ogita, is turning back from.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129424
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It was three days ago...three days ago.
no i mean sunrise but no sunset right now they still get that but soon it will not get dark till mid sept and the sun will not fall below its setting point
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536


looks like our cutoff is undercutting the ridge seems the ridge wins in the end
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
the sun rises at the north pole in three days

It was three days ago...three days ago.
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The seeds of the shortwave trough that will hit Texas by 78h (06Z0318) and spawn a resurgence in tornadic activity are currently spinning over Arizona.

Phoenix-Mesa Radar

Day 1



Day 2

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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
the sun rises at the north pole in three days
According to this site, it makes its appearance today: http://www.athropolis.com/sun-fr.htm
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13731
http://irishnorthpole2012.com




March 8,2012

Yesterday we covered 4.3 miles, the ground seems to be getting easier, but there are open leads everywhere from the wind the other night and in the last 14 hours we have drifted .95 nautical mile backwards, as we have another storm coming from the other direction now. Yesterday was -47 windchill so it was damn cold.

Other than that, the landscape here is like an earthquake site with jumble in every direction, lumps of ice in every shape and size you could imagine, and when its not covered in snow the ice blue hue is amazing. The sunrise and sunsets are like nothing you have ever seen, so spectacular rising behind us over the mountains of Cape Discovery, and each day getting a little higher in its arc, ever increasing our daylight and visibility.

The eery sound of ice cracking is always an exciting noise, looking to see what is moving and not, and lying in the bag at night listing to the ice creak and groan can certainly keep the senses awake, it's hard to conceive that we ate on a moving ocean that this only a small distance beneath our feet
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.."Cryin' won't help ya, prayer won't do ya no good"..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129424
the sun rises at the north pole in three days
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536
I can remember wearing shorts for NY's Eve in CT back in 1964..also riding around in my Sunbeam Alpine with the top down in March of 1964..and going to the beach on Long Island Sound in the mid-60's in April..my hubby remembers golfing in CT right through the Winter years ago..just like the one they had down there this year..I think MANY years ago there were grapes growing in Southern Vineland (Greenland)???? and the Earth has been warming for the past 10,000 years???...and the skiing was great this year up here in the Mt Washington Valley of NH..and mountains of far Western ME..lots of VERY cold weather too..it's coming to an abrupt end now with suddenly warmer temps..SPRING has sprung..I hope!! :)
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Here in Chicago the weather has been unbelievable. Yesterday's St. Patrick's Day celebrations went off against the backdrop of mid-July type temperatures. The last time the low temperature was below the average high temperature was on March 11th.

Today will mark the seventh day in a row then where the low would be an above normal high, and as for the high? Well that's probably going to be a record once more.

From yesterday's climate report:

High - 82 (record) / 48 (normal) / +35 normal
Low - 58 (record) / 28 (normal) / +28 normal
Average - 70 / 38 (normal) / +32 normal
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Quoting tramp96:
If you took a poll on GW in Europe how do you think
it would come out?

Being one of the "Europeans," I would say based on personal experiences of talking to a lot of people in Europe.
They seem to think that global warming is something that is happening and going to happen to somebody else!
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Quoting Neapolitan:
The fickle public may very well let "talk of GW disappear" with the next US cold snap. But climate (and other) scientists aren't so easily swayed; they see the overall picture, and it's eye-opening.


no for the first time it will be finally notice and this is nothing yet the ice will all but be gone by august greenland will melt faster then ever before and summer well that may be like hell on earth for 3 months

we needed a big event well we are in the makings of one and all will be a witness to that which will be done

there is a sayin don't mess with mom thats the one lady that can truly mess you up
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
sorry pottery but in this case i beleive we are to sitdown shutup and hold on


Not Me !!
I'm going to stand up, hang on to the overhead strap, and swing with the curves and bumps.

At least I can say I'm having fun.....
May as well.
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Saw this graph this morning from NWS Chicago:

uh-oh

(The dotted light blue line is the forecast for the next week.)
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Quoting ClimateChange:
I also wanted to note the big, swelling green buds are rapidly coming out on trees here in Toledo. I expect many trees to begin leafing out by Wednesday, as temperatures are generally expected to remain at or above 55 through then (with daytime highs in the 70s and low 80s). I don't know if anybody else is observing this, or if this is just a local phenomenon. Leaf out in the middle of March seems pretty astounding though.

Although the Temps here are pretty 'normal' , we have also noticed unusual flowerings, leaf-falls and blooms recently.

Our dry-season (Dec-May) has so far been very wet, and this will account for some of the vegetation anomaly, but the large trees that usually indicate the height of the dry season are flowering now, and some are leafing out now when they would normally do that in May-June.

It's difficult to see a pattern, so far.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24789
Taking into account the Humans day now, Im not at all surprised not many folks are concerned, as most are as detached from nature as can be.

In my Daily Walks I see Hundreds of Folks in the Park with "Buds" sticking out of their ears to a I-pod r other device, They dont even see other Humans seems.

In the linguistics view of things, were becoming more connected here than in any time before. We dont use the 60-70% visual comms skills cuz we rarely speak face to face anymore, Its all becoming a "New" language.

In the beginning in IRC we used emoticons and those are even becoming unnecessary as we develop the skills to emote in Sentence and the ability to do the same in reading. This is the change JK and others saw decades ago.

As we give more of "us" over to the "teleconferencing/sharing/learning", our minds are changing socially in new and unprecedented ways.


Novelty will win in this advanced way, we cannot.
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Quoting tramp96:


Talking to the locals in Winter Park Co. they say they
haven't seen anything like it in 30 years that they have
been there. One lady told me this is the way it looked
June 1st last year.
I wonder what next winter holds?
Will the the talk of GW disappear into the cold or will
we have more of the same hot temps.

BTW the skiing did suck
The fickle public may very well let "talk of GW disappear" with the next US cold snap. But climate (and other) scientists aren't so easily swayed; they see the overall picture, and it's eye-opening.
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Quoting LargoFl:
What scares me the most is this, march and april can be very unusual some years, right now the temps are high, all the plants and tree's are blooming, the ground is drying out, and what happens IF..a surprise freeze comes down the pike? what happens is..we Lose alot, once in bloom the plants and tree's cant withstand a freeze, and what about the crops?..something to watch out for even if right now its unlikely to happen
don't be scared winter is done even if it cools now and we get snow it will be gone 24 hrs later in the warm march sun it crosses the line in 3 days
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Quoting tramp96:


They had a cold snap that killed 60 people in the last week of
Jan.


True. We actually let our neighbors dog sleep in the hosue with us for a few nights. Only -18 C (according to the untrusty thermometer outside) but cold enough we felt better about letting the dog in.

But very few people think that was anything other than weather. Northern Italy is used to changing weather patterns and they all know that when the winter wind is from the North it brings cold and any wind from Africa brings heat.

The global warming beliefs are based on longer term observations like low snowfall and increasing heat. I can't speak for that, having been here only a few years. But I know that most communties in the Alps are taking it seriously, e.g. developing biking and hiking tourism rather than snow based resorts.

But as I said, it is an empiracal observation talking to people I know: global warming is referred to as fact rather than as theory in the US.
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Record breaking:
It seems to me that access to information is also at new levels.
When I read here about older extreme high or low temperatures, rainfall, wind, drought, etc. which we compare present data to I try to remember where I was and what I was aware of at that time.
I can only reflect about 60 years or less but before I found this blogspace I simply did not know much about "who, what, where?" and certainly very little about "Why?".
This site gives people worldwide access to information (and the option of providing some) "in the NOW".
As many early bloggers were saying in the early 21st century:
"Thank you Dr. Masters!"
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Quoting pottery:

Many thanks.
Venturing into New Territory is always fun.
Or it's supposed to be, anyway.
I'm not sure I want to go along for this ride.....
sorry pottery but in this case i beleive we are to sitdown shutup and hold on

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55536
I also wanted to note the big, swelling green buds are rapidly coming out on trees here in Toledo. I expect many trees to begin leafing out by Wednesday, as temperatures are generally expected to remain at or above 55 through then (with daytime highs in the 70s and low 80s). I don't know if anybody else is observing this, or if this is just a local phenomenon. Leaf out in the middle of March seems pretty astounding though.
Member Since: September 8, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 245
Warm warm warm. Like late May in the Middle of March here in P'cola.
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40. Skyepony (Mod)
I've been almost surprised at the number of people here in FL that aren't even noticing this.

Thanks for including the sun pics. The expanded sun disks near the horizon speaks volumes about the amount of heat in the atmosphere. This bodes bad for the summer ahead.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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