Rare March tornado rips Michigan; record March heat wave sets more records

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:43 PM GMT on March 16, 2012

Share this Blog
35
+

As I stepped out of my front door into the pre-dawn darkness from my home near Ann Arbor, Michigan yesterday morning, I braced myself for the cold shock of a mid-March morning. It didn't come. A warm, murky atmosphere, with temperatures in the upper fifties--30 degrees above normal--greeted me instead. Continuous flashes of heat lightning lit up the horizon, as the atmosphere crackled with the energy of distant thunderstorms. Beware the Ides of March, the air seemed to be saying. I looked up at the hazy stars above me, flashing in and out of sight as lightning lit up the sky, and thought, this is not the atmosphere I grew up with.


Video 1. Video taped at Hudson Mills Metro Park in Dexter about 5:30PM on March 15, 2012, by Matthew Altruda from Tree Town Sound, http://www.treetownsound.com. Caution: foul language.

That afternoon, as the Detroit temperature soared to 77°F, the second warmest on record so early in the year, going back to 1871, I watched as late afternoon thunderstorms built with remarkable speed. Though NOAA's Storm Prediction Center had placed Southeast Michigan in their "Slight Risk" area for severe weather, I wasn't too concerned about tornadoes. We don't get many tornadoes in Michigan this early in the year, and certainly not strong ones. Prior to yesterday, there were only sixteen tornadoes on record in Michigan that occurred before March 16, going back to 1950. Though the air was remarkably unstable for this time of year, the upper level winds were not strong enough to generate much shearing action on the air, meaning that tornadoes would have a tough time getting spinning. But the atmosphere had other ideas. In a remarkably short half-hour period, a severe thunderstorm sprang up west of Ann Arbor, began spinning, and dropped a strong tornado down on the unfortunate town of Dexter, Michigan. The tornado skipped along a ten-mile path, damaging or destroying 128 buildings, but fortunately not causing any deaths or injuries. While most of the damage was light to moderate, thirteen homes were demolished, and preliminary damage estimates from the National Weather Service put the twister at the boundary between EF-2 and EF-3 strength, with winds of 135 mph. If confirmed as an EF-3, this would be the earliest EF-3 or stronger tornado in Michigan history, going back to 1950, according to data from The Tornado History Project. The previous earliest appearance of an F-3 tornado in Michigan was on March 20, 1976. At least two other tornadoes touched down in Michigan yesterday, making it the second largest tornado outbreak in state history so early in the year. The record outbreak for so early in the year was the eight tornadoes that touched down on March 12, 1976.



Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image (top) and Doppler velocity image (bottom) of the March 15, 2012 Dexter, Michigan tornado.


Video 2. This video report by AnnArbor.com's Nathan Bomey shows tornado damage in the Dexter, Michigan, about 90 minutes after the tornado came through on Thursday, March 15, 2012.

I talked to a friend in Dexter who relayed the story of her friend who was driving through town, saw the tornado, and pulled over into the Dexter car wash to take shelter. Some strangers living next door to the car wash yelled at him to come shelter in their basement, since the car wash didn't have a basement. He joined them, and was glad he did, because his car and the car wash were heavily damaged by a tree that was flung into it (see damage to the car wash in the video above.)

Hail, Hail, to Michigan
The Dexter storms also brought golfball to baseball-sized hail and a deluge of 4 - 5 inches of rain that caused street flooding in Ann Arbor. My Ph.D. advisor and co-founder of Weather Underground, Dr. Perry Samson, related this story to me: "I was traveling home by bus to go chase, but the bus came to a stand still at Michigan Stadium as cars were sunk up to their windows in water on Main Street. I told the driver I had to chase this storm, and came up with a story about what I do. He gunned the bus and drove through the flood to get me home. So I didn't actually commandeer a bus to chase the tornado, but it was darn close!"

Record Midwest March heat wave topples more records
For the second consecutive day, large portions of Illinois, Wisconsin, and Iowa, including the cities of Chicago, Madison, and Dubuque, recorded their all-time warmest temperatures for so early in the year. Perhaps the most extraordinary record occurred in Madison, Wisconsin, which hit 82°F--a temperature 39°F above average. It was the hottest temperature ever recorded in March, and three degrees warmer than any day so early in the year, going back to 1869. Not as many all-time hottest temperature records for so early in the year were set in Michigan and other surrounding states, due to plentiful moisture that generated afternoon cloud cover. The records will continue to fall across the Midwest for another week, as the ridge of high pressure responsible stays locked in place.

Major airports that set all-time heat records yesterday
For the second consecutive day, Chicago, Illinois hit 81°F; the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1872, and 35°F above average. This ties the record set on March 12, 1990.

For the second consecutive day, Springfield, Illinois hit 83°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1879, and 32°F above average. This ties the record of 83°F on March 13, 1918.

Rockford, Illinois hit 82°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1893, and 36°F above average. Previous record: 79°F set the previous day.

Moline, Illinois hit 81°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1874, and 33°F above average. Previous record: 80°F on March 12, 1990.

Dubuque, Iowa hit 78°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1874, and 34°F above average. Previous record: 75°F set the previous day, and also on March 12, 1990.

Waterloo, Iowa hit 79°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1895, and 34°F above average. This ties the record set on March 7, 2000.

Madison, Wisconsin hit 82°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1869, and 39°F above average. This is also the warmest temperature ever recorded in March (tied with March 29th, 1986 and March 31, 1981), as is also (by two weeks) the earliest 80° reading ever measured there. The previous record for a temperature so hot this early in the year was 79°F set the previous day, on March 14, 2012.

Data for the previous records was taken from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

I'll have a new post on Saturday.

Jeff Masters

Sterm has Passed (nickwuaa)
Lightning to the east courtesy of my daughter. This was a violent storm that produced a tornado west of us and plenty of hail and thunder.
Sterm has Passed
Looks like Snow (KSMc)
The hail was more than an inch deep.
Looks like Snow
Yikes (Susie77)
Eeks! NWS just issued us a severe thunderstorm warning. Very cool mammatus clouds!
Yikes
Three Strikes at Sunset (CecileWNC)
Three Strikes at Sunset

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 159 - 109

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12Blog Index

March 15, 2012
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
March 15, 2011
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
Good afternoon. Lua looks pretty good...

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Depth of 26C Isotherm

2012



2011
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:


The way this year is going an April hurricane could be possible as the Gulf temps are rising rapidly right now.





There is zero THCP in the Gulf right now. I doubt we will see sufficient heat content to support a hurricane before early June.

THCP 3/15/12
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
A few thoughts on the topic of SpaceWarps and FasterThanLight Travel by theoretical physicist Dr.JohnG.Cramer, discoverer of the Transactional Interpretation of QuantumMechanics*

"...General relativity treats special relativity as a restricted sub-theory that applies locally to any region of space that is sufficiently small that its curvature can be neglected. General relativity does not forbid faster-than-light travel or communication, but it does require that the local restrictions of special relativity must apply. In other words, light speed is the local speed limit, but the broader context of general relativity may provide ways of circumventing this local statute..."

* Regardless of what you think of the venue in which he published this article, ya gotta give the dude a LOT of credit for coming up with a 4th way of interpretting how QM works: Copenhagen, many worlds, hidden variables, and transactional.

Very interesting..I really dig this stuff. There are actually superluminal values ccuring in the Universe to speak of...How far can one travel from the Earth?

Since one might not travel faster than light, one might conclude that a human can never travel further from the earth than 40 light-years if the traveler is active between the age of 20 and 60. A traveler would then never be able to reach more than the very few star systems which exist within the limit of 20-40 light-years from the Earth. This is a mistaken conclusion; due to time dilation, the traveler can travel thousands of light-years during his 40 active years. If the spaceship accelerates at a constant 1 g (in its own changing frame of reference), it will, after 354 days, reach speeds a little under the speed of light (for an observer on Earth), and time dilation will increase his lifespan to thousands of Earth years, seen from the reference system of the Solar System, but the traveler's subjective lifespan will not thereby change. If the traveler returns to the Earth, he will land thousands of years into the future. His speed will not be seen as higher than the speed of light by observers on Earth, and the traveler will not measure their speed as being higher than the speed of light, but will see a length contraction of the universe in his direction of travel. And as the traveler turns around to return, the Earth will seem to experience much more time than the traveler does. So, although his (ordinary) speed cannot exceed c, the four-velocity (distance as seen by Earth divided by his proper (i.e. subjective) time) can be much greater than c. This is seen in statistical studies of muons traveling much further than c times their half-life (at rest), if traveling close to c..........................Universal expansion)

The expansion of the universe causes distant galaxies to recede from us faster than the speed of light, if comoving distance and cosmological time are used to calculate the speeds of these galaxies. However, in general relativity, velocity is a local notion, so velocity calculated using comoving coordinates does not have any simple relation to velocity calculated locally[17] (see comoving distance for a discussion of different notions of 'velocity' in cosmology). Rules that apply to relative velocities in special relativity, such as the rule that relative velocities cannot increase past the speed of light, do not apply to relative velocities in comoving coordinates, which are often described in terms of the "expansion of space" between galaxies. This expansion rate is thought to have been at its peak during the inflationary epoch thought to have occurred in a tiny fraction of the second after the Big Bang (models suggest the period would have been from around 10%u221236 seconds after the Big Bang to around 10%u221233 seconds), when the universe may have rapidly expanded by a factor of around 1020 to 1030.[18]

There are many galaxies visible in telescopes with red shift numbers of 1.4 or higher. All of these are currently traveling away from us at speeds greater than the speed of light. Because the Hubble parameter is decreasing with time, there can actually be cases where a galaxy that is receding from us faster than light does manage to emit a signal which reaches us eventually.[19][20] However, because the expansion of the universe is accelerating, it is projected that most galaxies will eventually cross a type of cosmological event horizon where any light they emit past that point will never be able to reach us at any time in the infinite future,[21] because the light never reaches a point where its "peculiar velocity" towards us exceeds the expansion velocity away from us (these two notions of velocity are also discussed in Comoving distance#Uses of the proper distance). The current distance to this cosmological event horizon is about 16 billion light-years, meaning that a signal from an event happening at present would eventually be able to reach us in the future if the event was less than 16 billion light-years away, but the signal would never reach us if the event was more than 16 billion light-years away. WIKI.LINK--Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Damm Gro are pitching an umbrella over your area.


I don't think I have used my umbrella in two years. :)
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Quoting BahaHurican:
It rained pretty heavily here for about 3-4 hours yesterday. Pretty unusual for March.

On the tornadoes... a lot of these records that are being broken are from the 70s. Didn't we have a changeover from a cold PDO around that time? [looking for a logical correlation for the increased tornado activity]


Can you push a little over our way?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion



THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...THAT HAS BEEN NEARLY
STATIONARY FOR THE LAST 48 HOURS ROUGHLY ALONG 77W/78W AND
STRETCHING FROM THE JAMAICA CHANNEL TO 32N...HAS BECOME CUT OFF
FROM ITS SUPPORT LARGE-SCALE TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF 32N. BROAD
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF JAMAICA AND HISPANIOLA IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO 32N BETWEEN 60W AND FLORIDA. ONE POSSIBLE
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE NEAR 27N74W.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N72W 20N71W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 63W AND 72W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING AT 16/1200 UTC WAS 1.51 INCHES. ONE SURFACE TROUGH
IS ALONG 28N72W 20N71W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 57W FROM 22N
TO 30N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 22N TO 28N
BETWEEN 51W AND 55W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 45W/46W
FROM 25N TO 30N. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 25N TO 32N
BETWEEN 44W AND 47W.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Hey folks, look at how is scary to see those very warm Gulfstream waters off the East Coast and is only Mid March.


Seems as if the equatorial pacific is not really warming as before
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
Quoting Grothar:


Also here is the NOAA report for the region. It is an excerpt. I will also provide the link. Notice that Miami-Dade County was 136% above normal due to a stall system which dropped rain in a small area. The rest didn't get much. Look at the deficits.DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
630 AM EST THU MAR 7 2012

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPAND INTO WESTERN METRO AREAS OF BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...
SYNOPSIS...

TWO COLD FRONTS MOVED INTO SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
FEBRUARY. THE FRONTS WERE MOSTLY DRY, EXCEPT ON FEBRUARY 25 THE
FRONT BROUGHT AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN INCH TO THE AREA WITH
SOME ISOLATED AREAS OVER THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL AREAS
BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.

HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL AT SEVERAL
SITES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS DRY SEASON STARTING FROM
NOVEMBER 1, 2011 TO MARCH 7, 2012. THIS IS COMPARED WITH THE
SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR SEASON...FROM JANUARY 1, 2012 TO MARCH 7, 2012.

AIRPORTS RAINFALL : DEPARTURE : RAINFALL: DEPARTURE
NOV1-MAR7 NOV1-MAR7 JAN1-MAR7 JAN1-MAR7
2011-2012 2011-2012 2012-2012 2012-2012

PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL : 6.52 : -8.47 : 4.29 : -2.57
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT : 5.64 : -2.27 : 3.48 : -0.94
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL : 3.52 : -9.40 : 1.77 : -5.45MIAMI INTERNATIONAL : 6.50 : -3.26 : 3.66 : -0.79


Here is the full link:

Link


Damm Gro are pitching an umbrella over your area.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:


That's a huge difference as it's only 15 to 20 miles from FLL to MIA. Although it's dry now I really think we will get into this summertime thunderstorm regime early this year considering it's beginning to look more like summer across the eastern US in March. Even a few poppers showing up now.



I sure hope you are right about this summer. We really need it badly. The vegetation is really beginning to getting affected and they are getting stressed. I am hoping the patterns change fast.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:



The Climate Plots from NWS Miami show your deficit well, and your not starting off this year any better.





It is really getting bad on the coast. I haven't seen it this dry in more than 90 years.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Really? Last year was really wet from June on in C & S FL.



Also here is the NOAA report for the region. It is an excerpt. I will also provide the link. Notice that Miami-Dade County was 136% above normal due to a stall system which dropped rain in a small area. The rest didn't get much. Look at the deficits.DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
630 AM EST THU MAR 7 2012

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPAND INTO WESTERN METRO AREAS OF BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...
SYNOPSIS...

TWO COLD FRONTS MOVED INTO SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
FEBRUARY. THE FRONTS WERE MOSTLY DRY, EXCEPT ON FEBRUARY 25 THE
FRONT BROUGHT AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN INCH TO THE AREA WITH
SOME ISOLATED AREAS OVER THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL AREAS
BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.

HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL AT SEVERAL
SITES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS DRY SEASON STARTING FROM
NOVEMBER 1, 2011 TO MARCH 7, 2012. THIS IS COMPARED WITH THE
SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR SEASON...FROM JANUARY 1, 2012 TO MARCH 7, 2012.

AIRPORTS RAINFALL : DEPARTURE : RAINFALL: DEPARTURE
NOV1-MAR7 NOV1-MAR7 JAN1-MAR7 JAN1-MAR7
2011-2012 2011-2012 2012-2012 2012-2012

PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL : 6.52 : -8.47 : 4.29 : -2.57
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT : 5.64 : -2.27 : 3.48 : -0.94
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL : 3.52 : -9.40 : 1.77 : -5.45MIAMI INTERNATIONAL : 6.50 : -3.26 : 3.66 : -0.79


Here is the full link:

Link
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Quoting Grothar:


We thought we were going to get some heavy rain yesterday, but only a brief shower. Miami got some, but it is very, very dry here. This has been going on for the past few years. Our summer rains last year were pititful. But, I see the same as you; another dry summer.
It rained pretty heavily here for about 3-4 hours yesterday. Pretty unusual for March.

On the tornadoes... a lot of these records that are being broken are from the 70s. Didn't we have a changeover from a cold PDO around that time? [looking for a logical correlation for the increased tornado activity]
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey folks, apart from the warm GOM,look at how is scary to see those very warm Gulfstream waters off the East Coast and is only Mid March.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:



The Climate Plots from NWS Miami show your deficit well, and your not starting off this year any better.




That's a huge difference as it's only 15 to 20 miles from FLL to MIA. Although it's dry now I really think we will get into this summertime thunderstorm regime early this year considering it's beginning to look more like summer across the eastern US in March. Even a few poppers showing up now.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A few thoughts on the topic of SpaceWarps and FasterThanLight Travel by theoretical physicist Dr.JohnG.Cramer, discoverer of the Transactional Interpretation of QuantumMechanics*

"...General relativity treats special relativity as a restricted sub-theory that applies locally to any region of space that is sufficiently small that its curvature can be neglected. General relativity does not forbid faster-than-light travel or communication, but it does require that the local restrictions of special relativity must apply. In other words, light speed is the local speed limit, but the broader context of general relativity may provide ways of circumventing this local statute..."

* Regardless of what you think of the venue in which he published this article, ya gotta give the dude a LOT of credit for coming up with a 4th way of interpreting how QM works: Copenhagen, ManyWorlds, HiddenVariables, and Transactional.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Yes, we are still in a drought in Broward. If you see the 2nd to last link, we were about 26 inches short for the period. While Dade County got some rain, Broward and Palm Beach were way under. The Eastern Coastal part of the counties have hardly had any rain at all.

Link


Link

Link

This was the drought map from July 2011. As you can see the coastal areas were in EXCEPTIONAL drought.

A result of afternoon seabreezes that collide in the middle of the state during the day and head back towards the West Coast of FL. in the evening. I remember Emily was a tease for South Florida. And we all know Irene pulled down dry continental airmass to Florida.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
XX/AOI/XXL
MARK
25.66N/68.63W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54498
Quoting Grothar:


Yes, we are still in a drought in Broward. If you see the 2nd to last link, we were about 26 inches short for the period. While Dade County got some rain, Broward and Palm Beach were way under. The Eastern Coastal part of the counties have hardly had any rain at all.

Link


Link

Link

This was the drought map from July 2011. As you can see the coastal areas were in extreme drought.




The Climate Plots from NWS Miami show your deficit well, and your not starting off this year any better.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0266
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...NW GA...SE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161740Z - 161945Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
PULSE-LIKE CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
ADDITIONALLY...SLOW STORM MOTION WILL ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS MIDDLE TN. AS TEMPERATURES HAVE
WARMED INTO THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE AIR
MASS HAS BECOME UNCAPPED WITH SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 2000 J/KG. PER
REGIONAL 12Z RAOBS AND LATEST MESOANALYSIS...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7-7.5 DEG C/KM COMBINED WITH AFOREMENTIONED MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO ROBUST UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...IN THE ABSENCE
OF DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT AND VERY WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR
/10-15 KT/...STRONG UPDRAFTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF. THEREFORE
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AND ONLY SPORADIC
INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED AND A WW IS NOT NEED.

..LEITMAN.. 03/16/2012


ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 32708472 32618589 32698668 32908726 33358784 33908808
34338810 34568794 34838763 35668582 35438500 35178450
34478411 33438392 32968409 32708472
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


I heard of some guy with two PhD's. You think they have to call him Dr. Dr.?
.King God.?
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Really? Last year was really wet from June on in C & S FL.



Yes, we are still in a drought in Broward. If you see the 2nd to last link, we were about 26 inches short for the period. While Dade County got some rain, Broward and Palm Beach were way under. The Eastern Coastal part of the counties have hardly had any rain at all.

Link


Link

Link

This was the drought map from July 2011. As you can see the coastal areas were in EXCEPTIONAL drought.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...NW GA...SE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161740Z - 161945Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
PULSE-LIKE CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
ADDITIONALLY...SLOW STORM MOTION WILL ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS MIDDLE TN. AS TEMPERATURES HAVE
WARMED INTO THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE AIR
MASS HAS BECOME UNCAPPED WITH SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 2000 J/KG. PER
REGIONAL 12Z RAOBS AND LATEST MESOANALYSIS...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7-7.5 DEG C/KM COMBINED WITH AFOREMENTIONED MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO ROBUST UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...IN THE ABSENCE
OF DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT AND VERY WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR
/10-15 KT/...STRONG UPDRAFTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF. THEREFORE
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AND ONLY SPORADIC
INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED AND A WW IS NOT NEED.

..LEITMAN.. 03/16/2012
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I hope the Wunderground forecasts are correct. They seem to want to keep things toasty right through next weekend. Just for fun I plugged in the forecasted values for Toledo Express Airport (KTOL) for the next ten days. If those numbers are correct, the mean temperature for the month through the 25th would be 53.2F. The current record warmest March is 47.7F, set in 1945. The 53.2F would also be just shy of cracking the top ten warmest Aprils on record.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:
One little spec of black cloud tops.

Micropinhole eye. :)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


TAFB is northwest of you.

Excerpt:

ONE POSSIBLE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE NEAR 27N74W.


:)
i was going to go with that loc but decided to keep it near to the t storm activity thats where i see the greatest turning at the moment :)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54498
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



You sound more like a company avoiding a lawsuit than someone posting a simple disclaimer :)

Lol, well I do not want anybody think I'm trying to imitate any NOAA branch or something. =P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32289
Quoting Grothar:


I heard of some guy with two PhD's. You think they have to call him Dr. Dr.?
When all is said and done, this system will have affected the U.S. for two weeks.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
One little spec of black cloud tops.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



You sound more like a company avoiding a lawsuit than someone posting a simple disclaimer :)
i have the same thing on my blog as well

NOTICE
All the weather images and data on the pages contained herein are provided by external sources. Provided "as is" without warranty of any kind. Any material that is copyrighted is property of the respective owner(s) and is to be used at your own risk. I do not take responsibility for any of the data shown on any maps. That is the sole responsibility of the provider the information comes from. The availability of the data on this site solely depends on the source. Don't use the weather information found here as your basis for life or death information. While the data presented on this blog should be correct, the data feed is not consistent enough to provide all of the data all of the time. More importantly, Your local National Weather Service office and/or NOAA weather radio is where you should get your important severe weather information. Use this blog for your enjoyment, but do not use it when making serious decisions. The information on this blog is gathered from other sources for information purposes only and is not intended for operational use
************************
* Be Safe * Be Smart * Be Prepared *
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54498
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
DISCLAIMER:
The forecasts I make are produced by looking at weather models and experience. I have an understanding to be able to produce a weather forecast. My forecasts have NO intention to override those of the NWS Storm Prediction Center or National Weather Service. I do not claim any copyright for our works on our website, however, my forecasts and graphics are my own property
.
Reminder: My products ARE NOT official information. For OFFICIAL information, please visit the National Weather Service and/or your local news source!
I am not responsible for any damages, and/or loss of live due to my forecast. As mentioned above, for realtime information, visit your local news source or the NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

Sunday:




You sound more like a company avoiding a lawsuit than someone posting a simple disclaimer :)
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9731
Quoting SPLbeater:

gee Lua...

Very high cloud tops
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
Lua's eye is elongated north to south, but holding. :D
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
XX/AOI/XXL
MARK
25.66N/68.63W


TAFB is northwest of you.

Excerpt:

ONE POSSIBLE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE NEAR 27N74W.


:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Link

Watching my Horns this season...I definitely can't get no satisfaction! (Stones, baby)...oh, yeah...it's drizzlin' now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

gee Lua...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Yep. Even a simple little parsec is too far for us to achieve as anything other than just a dream.

A light year away from earth is extremely far, which is nothing when compared to a 45-90 billon light year universe
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
Quoting presslord:


perhaps not....but a PhD is a pretty damned good indicator


I heard of some guy with two PhD's. You think they have to call him Dr. Dr.?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26529
Looks impressive .
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
Quoting swampdawg:


If you see 'heat' lightning.......go to the radar, and sure enough, you'll find a distant thunderstorm. If it's not on the radar, then the storm is in the process of building into a bigger storm, that will eventually show up on radar. Heat does NOT cause lightning to just start flashing in the sky.........


Well said!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Until we can manipulate gravitational fields (or discover negative mass), we won't be breaking the speed of light anytime soon. :P


Yep. Even a simple little parsec is too far for us to achieve as anything other than just a dream.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Until we can manipulate gravitational fields (or discover negative mass), we won't be breaking the speed of light anytime soon. :P
My thoughts precisely...There is evidence that gravity waves move much faster than light. 7 and a half times around the Earth sounds fast, but not in universal aspects..JMO..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21433
XX/AOI/XXL
MARK
25.66N/68.63W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54498
Quoting LargoFl:
Amazing video, wish i knew How to post a link, but in google, put in..what IF a hurricane hit tampa bay....amazing video, the people from the weather channel are doing it...geez im moving LOL, maybe someone who knows how to post links can get it and post it..what a shocker it is to see
here it is www.TampaBayCatPlan.org
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
DISCLAIMER:
The forecasts I make are produced by looking at weather models and experience. I have an understanding to be able to produce a weather forecast. My forecasts have NO intention to override those of the NWS Storm Prediction Center or National Weather Service. I do not claim any copyright for our works on our website, however, my forecasts and graphics are my own property
.
Reminder: My products ARE NOT official information. For OFFICIAL information, please visit the National Weather Service and/or your local news source!
I am not responsible for any damages, and/or loss of live due to my forecast. As mentioned above, for realtime information, visit your local news source or the NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

Sunday:

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32289
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8164
Amazing video, wish i knew How to post a link, but in google, put in..what IF a hurricane hit tampa bay....amazing video, the people from the weather channel are doing it...geez im moving LOL, maybe someone who knows how to post links can get it and post it..what a shocker it is to see
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 159 - 109

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.