Tornado, hail, and torrential rains hammer Hawaii

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:50 PM GMT on March 10, 2012

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A waterspout made landfall on the Hawaiian island of Oahu Friday morning on the east shore town, becoming a rare Hawaiian tornado as it moved through the towns of Lanikai and Kailua. The twister, rated an EF-0 with winds of 60 - 70 mph, tore holes in roofs and downed trees along a 1 1/2 mile long, 20-yard wide path of damage. No injuries were reported. The same storm also brought golf ball sized hail raining down for about 45 minutes on Oahu. The islands have seen intense rains over the past week, thanks to a 1040 mb blocking high pressure system near 40°N, to the NNW of the island that forced a companion cutoff low near 25°N 165°W to stay put, bringing a series of heavy storms to the islands. Rainfall amounts over the past week have exceeded three feet in some locations. The resulting flooding forced the governor on Wednesday to declare two islands, Oahu and Kauai, disaster areas. The latest forecasts for Kauai and Oahu call for sporadic rains to continue over the weekend, followed by a drying trend during the coming week.


Video 1. On March 5, 2012, flooding rains of 3" per hour caused this creek to overflow the Loop Road on Kauai and wash away a pickup truck that tried to cross. The occupants evacuated safely.

Here are some select rainfall amounts over the past week, from the National Weather Service:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1155 AM HST FRI MAR 9 2012

...TORRENTIAL RAINS SLAM HAWAII IN THE PAST WEEK...

A SLOW MOVING FRONT BROUGHT HEAVY RAIN TO MOST ISLANDS THE PAST WEEK...AS IT INTERACTED WITH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES ALOFT. THE FOLLOWING REPRESENTS 7-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS...FROM 11 AM FRIDAY MARCH
2 THROUGH 11 AM FRIDAY MARCH 9.

KAUAI
HANALEI 45.97
WAINIHA POWER HOUSE 43.84
KAPAHI 32.66
MOUNT WAIALEALE RAINGAGE 31.32
LIHUE AIRPORT 13.59

OAHU
OAHU FOREST NWR 39.65
MOANALUA - USGS - USGS 36.42
PUNALUU STREAM - USGS 31.46
WILSON TUNNEL 25.05
LULUKU 22.25
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER 20.47
HONOLULU AIRPORT 4.54

MOLOKAI
MOLOKAI AIRPORT 2.74

MAUI
PUU KUKUI - USGS 16.70
KAHULUI AIRPORT 2.34

HAWAII
HILO AIRPORT 5.97


Video 2. Damage from the March 9, 2012 tornado on Oahu.

Hawaii's tornado history
Tornadoes are rare in Hawaii. According to the Tornado History Project, only 39 tornadoes have hit the state since 1950, an average of one tornado every 1.5 years. The strongest tornadoes to hit the state occurred in 1982, when a series of three F-2 twisters struck Oahu in February and March. Those months are the most frequent months for tornadoes, with 44% of the total. No one has ever been killed in a Hawaiian tornado, but six people have been injured.

Jeff Masters

Hawaii Hail (IslandStyle15)
Rare Hawaii hailstorm to be remembered
Hawaii Hail
Not A good day in Paradise (xJrhouckx)
Hawaii has had ping pong ball size hail and major flooding this week.
Not A good day in Paradise
Uwe ka lani, ola ka honua (Uwekalani)
When the heavens weep, the earth lives. Notice the color of the center falls. Taken from below the Pali Lookout. Many drivers pulled into the overlook to admire these amazing waterfalls.
Uwe ka lani, ola ka honua

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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


That is true and because of that,I think the 2012 season will be dominated by homegrown systems. Adding to the colder MDR is the West African drought and the Positive NAO.


So sad...i like my Cape Verde systems!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting Patrap:
That is true for the MDR, but in the Early seasonal June Breeding area, thew SW GOM and Yucatan, all are above the 2011 numbers .

Sea Surface Anomaly

2012


2011


That is true and because of that,I think the 2012 season will be dominated by homegrown systems. Adding to the colder MDR is the West African drought and the Positive NAO.
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PNA coming back positive, maybe not for long

NAO...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Portlight Disaster Relief
Tornado Response UPDATES
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
This is an interesting article... 71% drop in Great Lakes ice cover in 40 years- That's crazy!

Link
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7607
That is true for the MDR, but in the Early seasonal June Breeding area, the SW GOM and Yucatan, all are above the 2011 numbers .

Sea Surface Anomaly

2012


2011


2011
26C isotherm


2012
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
The TCHP is more colder in 2012 than in 2011 in general on the North Atlantic Basin.

March 11 2011



March 10 2012

Still bet we have an active season.
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The TCHP is more colder in 2012 than in 2011 in general on the North Atlantic Basin.

March 10 2012



March 10 2011

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Quoting aspectre:
Spanish farmers and ranchers struggle with the driest winter in at least 70years. Those in Aragon -- which includes the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza -- will lose around 1.3billion euros ($1.7billion) this season due to the lack of rain.

The Sotonera reservoir, one of the biggest in the region, has dropped to 40 percent of its capacity.

"I am 50 and I have never seen anything like this. It has not rained since October," said Fernando Regano, a farmer...in the province of Huesca. The average [yearly] consumption of water per hectare of land should be between 7,500 and 8,000 cubic metres [equivalent to 29.5to31.5inches of precipitation] but this year it has been just 2,100 cubic metres per hectare [equivalent to 8.3inches]

The drought has also caused habitual summer forest fires to come early: they have already ravaged hundreds of hectares in the north.

Wow! That is exremely bad...I hope they get some well needed rain!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7827
Tropical pacific march 10 2012
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7827
Tropical pacific march 10 2011 SST's
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7827
Spanish farmers and ranchers struggle with the driest winter in at least 70years. Those in Aragon -- which includes the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza -- will lose around 1.3billion euros ($1.7billion) this season due to the lack of rain.

The Sotonera reservoir, one of the biggest in the region, has dropped to 40 percent of its capacity.

"I am 50 and I have never seen anything like this. It has not rained since October," said Fernando Regano, a farmer...in the province of Huesca. The average [yearly] consumption of water per hectare of land should be between 7,500 and 8,000 cubic metres [equivalent to 29.5to31.5inches of precipitation] but this year it has been just 2,100 cubic metres per hectare [equivalent to 8.3inches]

The drought has also caused habitual summer forest fires to come early: they have already ravaged hundreds of hectares in the north.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Exams aren't that hard to write. I just had to write a 4-page and a 5-page one. It's much easier than it sounds. :P


good, good...:D

So we had to end church early this morning, because one of the ladies that sings in the choir passed out. i think she might be going to hospital, but either if she doesnt or does please say a special prayer for her and keep her in your thoughts:)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting Ameister12:
It's been one year since the tragic 9.0 earthquake and its tsunami devastated much of Japan.

Yeah..it was such an extremely powerful earthquake, that one of the most prepared countries when it comes to earthquakes wasn't able to prepare for the outcome...my prayers goes out to the people that are still recorving from this disaster
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7827
I just noticed this while shopping for RAM.



Are you kidding me?!?!
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


how am I gonna know that?


There will only be one horse drawn carriage and it will minus the horse? ... I was joking. ;-)
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Good morning guys
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7827
Quoting MontanaZephyr:


Actually, 'space' is 'in the world' as well as out of it, that is, the world is 'in space'.

You can verify this experimentally at home by putting things 'in' it.

A correct answer to the riddle would be "Mars'.

Pluto is colder than Mars. :P
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It's been one year since the tragic 9.0 earthquake and its tsunami devastated much of Japan.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Damn....you got it.


Actually, 'space' is 'in the world' as well as out of it, that is, the world is 'in space'.

You can verify this experimentally at home by putting things 'in' it.

A correct answer to the riddle would be "Mars'.
Member Since: May 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 437
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31425
Quoting TampaSpin:



Outside of the Birth of this child....The next happiest moment with this child is this moment doing FATHER / DAUGHTER BRIDE DANCE.....OMG i can't describe the feelings of this with her! She is one awesome beautiful young lady inside and out! Maybe i am a little bias tho!
Hey, u r kidding me that ur daughter is married already.... Where did the time go? But I agree she makes a beautiful bride....
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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Well, that will explain how the horse died. ... Was it a one horse town?


how am I gonna know that?
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Is interesting to note that the CFSv2 model has gone down to Neutral all the way thru the Fall,after reaching El Nino threshold in Febuary runs.

March 11



Febuary 21

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Quoting Skeptic33:
...with weaker solar cycle after this one, we will see a cooling trend...
But we've been in a weak solar cycle, of course, yet temperatures continue to increase. Nah, not a single credible scientist calls for any incipient cooling trend; it's nothing but continued heating as far as the eyes--and models--can see.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13455
I'll ask my question from the next to last post of the prior blog.

Thought I read that the Sahel region of Africa was experiencing drought currently. Does that not lead to a suppressed Cape Verde season??

Anyone have any info?
Thanks.
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SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA...AND INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS RISK IS CONDITIONAL...HOWEVER...AS OVERALL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED BY POOR INSTABILITY. NONETHELESS...ATMOSPHERIC WIND PROFILES ARE FORECAST TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
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Could be a big day for Little Rock and Shreveport. They are both under a 10% chance for tornadoes (which is a good chance for a couple tornadoes, maybe a strong one). Damaging winds and maybe some hail will also be possible today.


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Quoting islander101010:
hope for a stronger el nino


Nah. With colder PDO, it's going to be weak and short. Expect more and long lasting La Nina for the next 20-30 years... plus with weaker solar cycle after this one, we will see a cooling trend as well...

That's climate "change" for you...
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL TX TO FAR WESTERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 111256Z - 111530Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY DEVELOP/GRADUALLY
INCREASE THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST INTO EAST-CENTRAL
TX/EVENTUALLY FAR WESTERN LA. INITIAL THINKING IS THAT A WATCH COULD
BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS MID/LATE MORNING ACROSS THE REGION.

PER LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS...A MODIFIED GULF AIRMASS WITH
MIDDLE/UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SPREAD
NORTHWARD ALONG THE UPPER TX COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH ELEVATED
TSTMS ONGOING EARLY DAY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY...THE GRAZING
SOUTHERN INFLUENCE OF A CLOSED CYCLONE CENTERED/MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY INTERACT WITH THIS
INCREASINGLY MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
INTO EAST-CENTRAL TX/FAR WESTERN LA TODAY. AS SUCH...SURFACE BASED
TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT WITHIN THE WARM/MOIST
SECTOR AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING SURFACE TROUGH/WEAK FRONT...WITH
INCIPIENT SIGNS OF WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES/INCREASING CG LIGHTNING
ALREADY NOTED NORTH OF HOUSTON VICINITY. ACCORDINGLY...THE LATEST
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...INCLUDING CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS SUCH AS
THE 00Z WRF-NMM AND SPC EXPERIMENTAL SSEO...IMPLY THAT STORMS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DEVELOP/MATURE INTO LATE MORNING/MIDDAY WITHIN A
PERSISTENT SSW-NNE CORRIDOR OF INCREASING MOIST/CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL
FLOW. GIVEN THIS ANTICIPATED EVOLUTION/THERMODYNAMIC TRENDS...SHEAR
PROFILES COINCIDENT WITH THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A MODERATELY STRONG
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED/EMBEDDED
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS/SOME HAIL.

..GUYER.. 03/11/2012
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7607



Outside of the Birth of this child....The next happiest moment with this child is this moment doing FATHER / DAUGHTER BRIDE DANCE.....OMG i can't describe the feelings of this with her! She is one awesome beautiful young lady inside and out! Maybe i am a little bias tho!
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Family's surveillance cameras rolling as tornado hits West Liberty

Holy sheet that's bizarre
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Weak El Nino by fall.
hope for a stronger el nino
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Are you thinking El Nino?


Weak El Nino by fall.
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Quoting KeyWestSun:
This is hard to get over. Look at this warmth across the Lower 48 for this upcoming week into the early realm of next week.

Sat 59
Sun 60
Mon 73
Tue 59
Wed 73
Thu 58
Fri 63

These are predicted highs for Chicago, a city that boasts a measly 44 degree average high for this time of year.

click to enlarge


Wow, this is like the same weather pattern back in 67!
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
check this out,
Deadhorse, AK

current temperature -28F.
Feels like -61F
Winds SW at 24 mph
Blowing snow. 1" snowfall expected
expected to get much colder


nws
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
206 PM AKST SAT MAR 10 2012

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 70 BELOW
* TEMPERATURES...35 TO 40 BELOW BUT RISING OVERNIGHT
* WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.


some serious weather going on there... wow!


Well, that will explain how the horse died. ... Was it a one horse town?
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Thanks everyone for answering me the storms were Bret and Dean.tropical storm Danielle almost make it but make landfall in Eastern Virginia.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
check this out,
Deadhorse, AK

current temperature -28F.
Feels like -61F
Winds SW at 24 mph
Blowing snow. 1" snowfall expected
expected to get much colder


nws
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
206 PM AKST SAT MAR 10 2012

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 70 BELOW
* TEMPERATURES...35 TO 40 BELOW BUT RISING OVERNIGHT
* WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.


some serious weather going on there... wow!


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Im going to sleep....

DST begins soon

I DON'T WANT TO CHANGE MY CLOCK 1RH AHEAD
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Tomorrow is not looking like too big of a day. Instability will be a major limiting factor, especially due to this:

Still, a few tornadoes are possible.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31425
Here's a place not to live...

"A small town in northern Alabama, Tanner, was hit by a F5 tornado on April 3, 1974 during the Super Outbreak and was struck again 45 minutes later by at least a high-end F4 (some sources say F5), demolishing what remained of the town. 37 years later, on April 27, 2011, during what some meteorologists have dubbed Super Outbreak II, Tanner was hit yet again by the EF5 Hackleburg tornado, producing high-end EF4 damage in the southern portion of town.

On March 2, 2012 around 8:30 AM to 2 PM, five tornadoes struck just outside of town but hit the towns of Meridianville and Harvest. The first tornado was rated EF3, the second tornado struck 30 minutes later and was rated EF2, the third one hit within 20 minutes but was weak and rated EF1. Finally the fourth and fifth tornadoes were weak and both were rated EF0. All 5 were caused by 4 individual supercell thunderstorms."
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31425
Quoting AussieStorm:
Family's surveillance cameras rolling as tornado hits West Liberty
Wow. That is one freaky video...
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check this out,
Deadhorse, AK

current temperature -28F.
Feels like -61F
Winds SW at 24 mph
Blowing snow. 1" snowfall expected
expected to get much colder


nws
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
206 PM AKST SAT MAR 10 2012

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 70 BELOW
* TEMPERATURES...35 TO 40 BELOW BUT RISING OVERNIGHT
* WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.


some serious weather going on there... wow!
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There have actually three tropical cyclones to make landfall in Delaware in recorded history.

1.) Tropical Storm Dean 1983

2.) Tropical Storm Bret 1981

3.) Tropical Storm Danielle 1992
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31425
Quoting allancalderini:
Two cyclones make landfall in Maryland does anyone know which cyclones were? I think one is tropical storm Bret but I may be incorrect.


Either Bret (1981) and Dean (1983), or Bret and Danielle (1992).
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
If (Big if) ENSO ends up to be Neutral by Summer and Fall,here is a graphic that shows how many landfalls have occured in the U.S from 1980 thru 2009.



Landfalls in the U.S when El Nino was around from 1980 thru 2009.



Are you thinking El Nino?
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Quoting SPLbeater:
My last day of school is June 1st.

and there is an assignment that i RARELY see....the 4 letter word Exam 0.o

so, i have 55 days of school work left :D

night all!

Exams aren't that hard to write. I just had to write a 4-page and a 5-page one. It's much easier than it sounds. :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31425
My last day of school is June 1st.

and there is an assignment that i RARELY see....the 4 letter word Exam 0.o

so, i have 55 days of school work left :D

night all!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481


possible flare up underway
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Quoting nigel20:


2012 is running way above the average for this time of the year
and continue into spring and early summer
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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