Tropical Cyclone Irina kills 72 on Madagascar

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:13 PM GMT on March 07, 2012

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Heavy rains from Tropical Cyclone Irina have killed 72 people on Madagascar and left 70,000 homeless, according to news reports. Irina never reached hurricane strength, but dumped heavy rains on the island over an extended period, February 29 - March 2. The area affected was remote, so the reports of the disaster only today reached the outside world. Irina is the deadliest tropical cyclone of 2012 thus far, and the second deadly storm to affect the island in recent weeks; Tropical Cyclone Giovanna hit the island two weeks ago as a Category 3 storm, killing 35 and leaving 240,000 homeless. Irina is expected to dissipate over cold waters southwest of Madagascar over the next day.


Figure 1. Tropical Cyclone Irina over Madagascar at 07:15 UTC March 1, 2012. At the time, Irina was a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

I'll have a new post on Thursday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting BahaHurican:
OK, it's officially weird. It's raining again.... in March. Its POURING!



And it's all low-level stuff...



AYE, AYE, since when does it rain in March in tha Bahamas? :^)
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485. JRRP
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Quoting BahaHurican:
OK, it's officially weird. It's raining again.... in March. Its POURING!



And it's all low-level stuff...


could be worse, how many inches you got so far, here at my place in Sydney we got 145mm(5.71in) in 24hrs.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
OK, it's officially weird. It's raining again.... in March. Its POURING!



And it's all low-level stuff...


Very weird weather...
Here too. Heavy overcast, continuous showers and no real dry-season as yet.

Nice though!
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OK, it's officially weird. It's raining again.... in March. Its POURING!



And it's all low-level stuff...

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Quoting RTLSNK:
Here is an interesting weather related news item.

On Yahoo news this morning there was an article from the Reuters News Service about the flooding in parts of Australia. Because of the rising flood waters, thousands of Wolf Spiders have fled their normal ground areas into farms and ranches on higher ground.

The white stuff you see all over this Austrailian farm is not snow. It's Wolf Spider Webs.

I wonder if Wallmart sells flame thrower units?



we don't have Wallmart here, got Costco though
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Here is close up photo of the Austrailian Wolf Spiders.
Both photos were taken by Reuters/Daniel Munoz March 6th in the town of Wagga Wagga, New South Wales.

You couldn't pay me enough to get that close, to that farm, to take that photo. :)

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Here's a newly-released video taken just a few hundred yards away from the Henryville, Indiana, tornado as it tore through a neighborhood. The camera movements are jerky, and the commentary is very, er, unhelpful, but the video demonstrates once again the power of these things. [WARNING: GRAPHIC LANGUAGE AT HIGH VOLUME. If you're easily offended and/or you've never been around scared/excited teenagers, don't watch, or at least consider turning your volume down to 'mute'.]

WARNING II: WATCH AT YOUR OWN RISK. GRAPHIC LANGUAGE AT HIGH VOLUME. There. You've been suitably warned. ;-)

Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13743
478. MahFL
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Welcome to the start of the downfall of the American Empire,


Oh it started many many years ago.
"You are watching Fox".......
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477. MahFL
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yes, it is called an Early College, lol.

My school: Pender Early College High School


I think they need a proof reader on their website....

"Five Students From PECHS Earn and High School Diploma and a Two Year Associate Degree from CFCC in Four Years."

Er what ?
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The winter that (mostly) wasn't is set to morph into, well, what, pre-summer? These maps from HAMweather show high and low temperature anomalies forecast for the next five days across the continental U.S.. Note the very widespread area of >10 and even > 20 anomalies near the end of the forecast period:

DAY 1
WarmWarm

DAY 2
WarmWarm

DAY 3
WarmWarm

DAY 4
WarmWarm

DAY 5
WarmWarm
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13743
Here is an interesting weather related news item.

On Yahoo news this morning there was an article from the Reuters News Service about the flooding in parts of Australia. Because of the rising flood waters, thousands of Wolf Spiders have fled their normal ground areas into farms and ranches on higher ground.

The white stuff you see all over this Austrailian farm is not snow. It's Wolf Spider Webs.

I wonder if Wallmart sells flame thrower units?

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474. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL CYCLONE KOJI, CATEGORY ONE (15U)
3:00 PM WST March 8 2012
=============================

At 2:00 PM WST, Tropical Cyclone Koji, Category One (993 hPa) located at 15.9S 90.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The low is reported as moving west southwest at 12 knots.

Gale Force Winds
===========
60 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
60 NM from the center in the northwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 16.4S 88.6E - 40 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 16.8S 86.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.4S 82.8E - 45 knots (CAT 2)
72 HRS: 20.4S 81.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1)

Additional Information
=====================

Curvature has increased in the last three hours and a wrap of 0.7 can be obtained on recent visible imagery. DT of 3.0 is assigned and agrees with MET and PAT. FT and CI are set to 3.0. This is in fairly good agreement with SATCON which assigns 49 knots 1-min mean at 0300 AM UTC. The partial ASCAT pass at 0400 AM UTC does not indicate wind speeds greater than 40 knots. Final intensity estimate is set at 40 knots 10-min mean.

The SSMIS pass at 0214 provided an anchor point for recent fixes and increases the confidence in the analysis position.

The system is being steered by a mid-level ridge and a general southwestwards movement is expected to continue through until Saturday when a more southerly track is forecast due to an approaching upper trough.

The next warning will be issued by RSMC Reunion at 12:30 PM UTC..
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473. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #40
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE IRINA (11-20112012)
10:00 AM RET March 8 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Irina (991 hPa) located at 29.2S 40.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 2 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==========
60 NM radius from the center

Near Gale Force Winds
=============
90 NM radius from the center

Dvorak Intensity:

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 28.9S 39.4E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS: 28.7S 38.1E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS: 28.6S 36.2E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS: 25.9S 35.7E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)

Additional Information
=======================

Irina keeps pn undergoing a westerly wind shear well depicted on SSMIS F17 08MAR 0303 AM UTC and low level circulation center (29.3S 40.3E on 37ghz) is located westward of the upper level one (29.3 40.6E on 85ghz). System drifts slowly west northwestward and is expected to keep on shifting slowly globally west northwestward then westward until Saturday morning on the northern edge of a weak mid level ridge (slower timing in regard on previous forecast). Beyond high pressure located over South Africa will steer the system north northwestward. Throughout the forecast period, sea surface temperature marginal (25-26C). Wind shear should weaken, as system would lie under an upper level anticyclone, and might remain very weak until Friday afternoon. However, very slow motion on weak oceanic heat content might limit system intensity at the moderate tropical storm stage. Northerly then northwesterly wind shear is expected to increase again Friday night and system is therefore expected to weaken slightly before its landfall that is forecast on Sunday between Maputo and Inhambane.

Inhabitants of the potential landfall area should closely monitor the evolution of Irina within the next few days.

The next tropical cyclone advisory on TC Irina from Seychelles Meteorological Services will be issued at 12:30 PM UTC..
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It's a bit windy here in SW LA this AM!
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It looks like some transformers are beginning to blow ... maybe.

Underground Explosions Cut Power in Downtown Erie
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Quoting BobWallace:


We've got term limits in the California legislature.

That means that essentially no one knows what's going on. As soon as the newly elected learn their jobs and figure out what needs to be done, they're done.

Nope. No term limits for me. Except at the voting booth.

The best thing might be to do away with seniority privileges in Congress. That way you could vote out your Rep/Senator and not give up powerful chair positions.


We did the term limit thing here in Oregon, it was so bad, we undid it a couple years later.
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Quoting Xyrus2000:


The rich, however, can buy propaganda to convince the unwashed masses to act against their own best interests. And with the recent supreme court decisions, essentially an unlimited amount of money can be applied to doing just that.

Term limits would just mean starting a revolving door parade. :P


We've got term limits in the California legislature.

That means that essentially no one knows what's going on. As soon as the newly elected learn their jobs and figure out what needs to be done, they're done.

Nope. No term limits for me. Except at the voting booth.

The best thing might be to do away with seniority privileges in Congress. That way you could vote out your Rep/Senator and not give up powerful chair positions.
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Yes you have to take in things like utility and repair but thats why I put in same product.


I think Nea was referring to hidden costs. Ones that you don't see at the checkout counter. Such as the pollution, lives, outsourced jobs, etc. it took to make sure we can still buy cheap stuff.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1626
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I go to an Early College, so they treat us like we are actually in college. We get lectures in class all period and have to take notes, but they won't slow down, it's our responsibility it email them if we miss work, and they decide IF we get to make it up.

It's not easy, trust me. :P


Who said classes were the hardest part of college?

The social aspects of college alone has been known to wreck havoc on many a college student. Trying to balance that with work and classes even more so.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1626
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
I don't really understand why everyone thinks America is falling appart. We just got some huge debt problems. People are just freaked out cause the economy sucks. This talk always comes around when its sucking. Btw lots of countries survive debt problems it just really sucks.


The debt isn't a problem. It's a symptom caused by a whole host of complex and interconnected problems. :P
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1626
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Remember before the downfall of Rome what the last emperors did to try and stay into power for as long as they could:


Bread
and
Circuses

Bread = Welfare, Obamacare, and free stuff for everyone.

Circuses = Has anyone been watching the news recently? Half of it is stupid celebrity nonsense and talking heads trying to outdo each other. And the biggest news isn't the brewing Middle East war or oil prices, it's "Snooki Engaged and Pregnant!!!"

Welcome to the start of the downfall of the American Empire, people. Brought to you by large corporations, political greed and the politicians quest for power!

As seen by a realist concerned by recent world events.


This is incorrect. Bread and circuses were not the cause of the downfall of Rome. Bread and circuses were used to placate and distract the population (most which were poor) from the real problems of the empire or to curry political favor among the population. This happened while Rome was still a republic.

The reasons for the collapse of the Roman Empire were many, varied, and complex. It was a combination of sociological, economical, and military factors. Bread and circuses had nothing to do with it.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1626
I'll put up this one:

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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i like all music it is universal


Search for Voyager Golden Record on youtube and you'll find a lot of good stuff.
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For real Goodnight all.
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I looked for the Voyager golden record on youtube but there is no one clip with all the songs. Just a bunch of individual songs that are too many to post.
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Not only is music universal according to Steve Winwood of Traffic he made all his music using math. Good album Keeper, Traffic (John Barkley Corn Must Die).
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wunder if twin flares could happen at the same time or close to one another hmmm


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Well I feel like I'm in the Godfather just when I thought I was out, they pulled me back in. Nice post gang and the weather Queen is in the house. Skypony
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Ok who elects them to office? The top rich are a tiny ammount of the US population. At some point they will have to listen to there constituency. Money really helps get them re-elected and thats about it. And it really pisses me off how people only blame the Republicans. Its EVERYONE! Best way to fix it is put a limit on terms and stop the fact that working for congress is now a caree instead of a service.


The rich, however, can buy propaganda to convince the unwashed masses to act against their own best interests. And with the recent supreme court decisions, essentially an unlimited amount of money can be applied to doing just that.

Term limits would just mean starting a revolving door parade. :P
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1626
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting ElConando:


Tis no lie, I have seen it!!!


What dragged you out of the woodwork? How you been?
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i like all music it is universal
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Earth 4.5 billion years old,Human Civilization is but a blink of thee eye


Speak for yourself. :)
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Well God might be a little lonely without us, but the earth wouldn't miss a turn. I expect when it comes to God and creation we may have overestimated ourselves a tad. It's an awful big universe to put all your eggs in one basket. Just say in. Will time to retire before I over stay my welcome. As Jed Clampett would say you all come back now.
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
Yes, it is.


Hey, where were you. I sat at that bar for 2 hours and you all never showed.
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446. Skyepony (Mod)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39100
Magnitude 5.1 - VANUATU REGION
2012 March 08 03:51:34 UTC
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129441
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Going back to your taste in music would you happen to be a fan of the Offspring?


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
443. Skyepony (Mod)
From Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney to the Cato Institute, Heritage Foundation and Americans for Prosperity, the Koch political network has been furiously attempting to block any oversight or regulation of the pollution and risks associated with fracking, no matter the danger to the American public. More here..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39100
Quoting Patrap:
Current Mayan Date

baktun 12 katun 19 tun 19 uinal 3 kin 11
Haab: 19 Kayab
Tzolkin: 1 Chuen
Mayan epoch: 11 Aug, 3114 B.C.E.

...date based on local time 9:28:46pm, Wed Mar 7, 2012


Earth 4.5 billion years old,Human Civilization is but a blink of thee eye
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55665
Quoting Grothar:


Oh, I believe it. I've been on I-95 when it was raining on one side and not the other.


Tis no lie, I have seen it!!!
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Well what was interesting is we were involved in the game we didn't notice the rain until we heard it coming it sounded like a herd of horses. The sound actually startled us.
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God moves in mysterious ways.
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We all are made of Stars.

Moby
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129441
Quoting Grothar:


Oh, I believe it. I've been on I-95 when it was raining on one side and not the other.


I've seen it rain on one side of my yard and not the other.
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Quoting Grothar:


Great movie!
Yes, it is.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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