Tropical Cyclone Irina kills 72 on Madagascar

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:13 PM GMT on March 07, 2012

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Heavy rains from Tropical Cyclone Irina have killed 72 people on Madagascar and left 70,000 homeless, according to news reports. Irina never reached hurricane strength, but dumped heavy rains on the island over an extended period, February 29 - March 2. The area affected was remote, so the reports of the disaster only today reached the outside world. Irina is the deadliest tropical cyclone of 2012 thus far, and the second deadly storm to affect the island in recent weeks; Tropical Cyclone Giovanna hit the island two weeks ago as a Category 3 storm, killing 35 and leaving 240,000 homeless. Irina is expected to dissipate over cold waters southwest of Madagascar over the next day.


Figure 1. Tropical Cyclone Irina over Madagascar at 07:15 UTC March 1, 2012. At the time, Irina was a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

I'll have a new post on Thursday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Skyepony:
On the homeschool subject... I've seen many kids pulled from Jr High because of social problems the last 5 or so years. A few had even stopped speaking. After a year or so out, usually "unschooling" they begin accelerating to where they are entering college 1-3 years early & fitting in as well as learning fine. I've taught horse riding to homeschoolers on & off for longer than I care to mention..The few that the parents fail to let out of the house always stick in people's mind..Looking back over the years at what the homeschoolers grew up to accomplish compared to the public school kids..hands down the homeschoolers got the better head start. These days getting the social aspect is way easier with all the online interaction. Even SPLbeater~ knows more about hanging out with a bunch of the type of people planning on working with one day... Conversing with more geeks a day than even the gifted or honored classes at school could offer. Homeschooling & public school has changed in the last few decades. 20% of the kids in the county here are homeschooled. Public schools here are great at teaching kids to misbehave, be foul mouthed & how to pass the FCAT.

SPL~ Just be ready to test into at least Calculus before starting college.



Amen

Thank you

Amen

OK :D
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I appreciate what Skye is saying, so plussed her.
However, there are gifted and AP opportunities in the public school that won't leave your child in social limbo; the implication is that if all you're focusing on is academics, then you're missing another important part of education which comes with social experience and emotional maturity.

But overriding everything is that each child is different and what may work for one won't for another. It's got to be a case by case decision. So you may have a point about the kid who is hanging around with weather geeks possibly not finding his social niche is with students his own age.

The reason the homeschoolers may do well isn't because the public education system is so bad, it's because their parents make an extraordinary committment to educating their children. Personally, if my mother had homeschooled me, we would have had a serious problem since she doesn't have either the will or the patience for it. But if she did, I'm sure I would have appreciated the attention.
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84. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting muddertracker:


I usually don't, and probably shouldn't now, but I can't help myself. Where on earth do you live? I am sure the public school teachers in your area would be damn proud of your comments. Not all teachers are great, but most are. They work their asses off for little pay and get second guessed at every turn. For every teacher that gets bad press and does stupid crap, there are hundreds, if not thousands, that do the right thing and are teaching for the right reasons. Generalizations = bad.


I have friends that are teachers that told me to homeschool if I could. I know one that quit teaching so she could homeschool. FL is now all about passing the FCAT. The better the school does as a whole the more money they get. Teacher's hands are tied..they aren't happy either. No one is hating on teachers here.


Huge lead opens up in the ice..East Siberia
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Quoting swampdawg:


Why sit in a grade if you already know all the work. Skip on to the next grade. Hell, leave this kid alone.........


Well that only works if indeed he has mastered the material for a particular grade level.

I'm not sure how things operate where he is, but where I am homeschoolers have to go in for formal educational reviews to ensure that they are actually learning the necessary subjects and acquiring an adequate understanding of those subjects. It's a lot more intensive than just being "asked a few questions". You have to present proof (activities, workbooks, writing samples, lab books, etc.). And then, at certain grade levels, you must must pass assessment exams.

The parent(s) are free, of course, to make any claim they want. But if they can't prove it to the education reviewers then it doesn't hold water. And if an otherwise normal healthy child shows a consistent lack of education (significantly behind where other similarly aged children are) then you may not be allowed to continue homeschooling your child.

Other areas may be more strict or less strict than where I am though.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1225
Quoting swampdawg:


Why sit in a grade if you already know all the work. Skip on to the next grade. Hell, leave this kid alone.........


The early grades aren't really a challenge to anyone (well, shouldn't be!). They mostly exist for the social aspect. You don't have to be smart to graduate grade 6. Elementary curriculum, as it is now, is more of a way for kids to learn social skills, teamwork, leadership etc as some extracurricular activities that aid in that area of growth aren't available for many kids.

Now yes, you do learn important things in those grades, but I never noticed that I was actually learning anything until grade 9. It's great if you can skip a grade, in the short term. I agree. Though it isn't a great option in the longer term. I never skipped a grade, but I did miss 4 out of 6 months of grade 9, and wow, I missed a lot.

I'm on course to go to college when I am 17, however my parents strongly recommend that I do not go until I am 18.

About homeschooling, yeah it has benefits. I fail to see large benefits over public schooling though.
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Quoting SPLbeater:


it seems like some always forget that last sentence. :)

And it is nothing short of true.
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Quoting Skyepony:
(Reuters) - When at least 80 tornadoes rampaged across the United States, from the Midwest to the Gulf of Mexico, last Friday, it was more than is typically observed during the entire month of March, tracking firm AccuWeather.com reported on Monday.

According to some climate scientists, such earlier-than-normal outbreaks of tornadoes, which typically peak in the spring, will become the norm as the planet warms.

"As spring moves up a week or two, tornado season will start in February instead of waiting for April," said climatologist Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Whether climate change will also affect the frequency or severity of tornadoes, however, remains very much an open question, and one that has received surprisingly little study.

"There are only a handful of papers, even to this day," said atmospheric scientist Robert Trapp of Purdue University, who led a pioneering 2007 study of tornadoes and climate change.

"Some of us think we should be paying more attention to it," said atmospheric physicist Anthony Del Genio of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, part of NASA. more here.



On the homeschool subject... I've seen many kids pulled from Jr High because of social problems the last 5 or so years. A few had even stopped speaking. After a year or so out, usually "unschooling" they begin accelerating to where they are entering college 1-3 years early & fitting in as well as learning fine. I've taught horse riding to homeschoolers on & off for longer than I care to mention..The few that the parents fail to let out of the house always stick in people's mind..Looking back over the years at what the homeschoolers grew up to accomplish compared to the public school kids..hands down the homeschoolers got the better head start. These days getting the social aspect is way easier with all the online interaction. Even SPLbeater~ knows more about hanging out with a bunch of the type of people planning on working with one day... Conversing with more geeks a day than even the gifted or honored classes at school could offer. Homeschooling & public school has changed in the last few decades. 20% of the kids in the county here are homeschooled. Public schools here are great at teaching kids to misbehave, be foul mouthed & how to pass the FCAT.

SPL~ Just be ready to test into at least Calculus before starting college.



I usually don't, and probably shouldn't now, but I can't help myself. Where on earth do you live? I am sure the public school teachers in your area would be damn proud of your comments. Not all teachers are great, but most are. They work their asses off for little pay and get second guessed at every turn. For every teacher that gets bad press and does stupid crap, there are hundreds, if not thousands, that do the right thing and are teaching for the right reasons. Generalizations = bad.
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co2now.org


393.65ppm


Atmospheric CO2 for February 2012


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Quoting swampdawg:


Why sit in a grade if you already know all the work. Skip on to the next grade. Hell, leave this kid alone.........
I said that earlier. I would much rather move on and learn more.
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Great post Skye.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:




Wow... looks like it is moving further and further east as each day passes
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74. Skyepony (Mod)
(Reuters) - When at least 80 tornadoes rampaged across the United States, from the Midwest to the Gulf of Mexico, last Friday, it was more than is typically observed during the entire month of March, tracking firm AccuWeather.com reported on Monday.

According to some climate scientists, such earlier-than-normal outbreaks of tornadoes, which typically peak in the spring, will become the norm as the planet warms.

"As spring moves up a week or two, tornado season will start in February instead of waiting for April," said climatologist Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Whether climate change will also affect the frequency or severity of tornadoes, however, remains very much an open question, and one that has received surprisingly little study.

"There are only a handful of papers, even to this day," said atmospheric scientist Robert Trapp of Purdue University, who led a pioneering 2007 study of tornadoes and climate change.

"Some of us think we should be paying more attention to it," said atmospheric physicist Anthony Del Genio of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, part of NASA. more here.



On the homeschool subject... I've seen many kids pulled from Jr High because of social problems the last 5 or so years. A few had even stopped speaking. After a year or so out, usually "unschooling" they begin accelerating to where they are entering college 1-3 years early & fitting in as well as learning fine. I've taught horse riding to homeschoolers on & off for longer than I care to mention..The few that the parents fail to let out of the house always stick in people's mind..Looking back over the years at what the homeschoolers grew up to accomplish compared to the public school kids..hands down the homeschoolers got the better head start. These days getting the social aspect is way easier with all the online interaction. Even SPLbeater~ knows more about hanging out with a bunch of the type of people planning on working with one day... Conversing with more geeks a day than even the gifted or honored classes at school could offer. Homeschooling & public school has changed in the last few decades. 20% of the kids in the county here are homeschooled. Public schools here are great at teaching kids to misbehave, be foul mouthed & how to pass the FCAT.

SPL~ Just be ready to test into at least Calculus before starting college.

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Quoting Chicklit:

I was 17.
As smart as teenagers think they are, they have incredible gaps in thought processes. Sometimes starting too early can really set you back in other ways.



All i need to do when i git to college is remember one thing: dont be reed timmer and skip classes to go storm chasing lol
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Quoting yqt1001:


He's homeschooled, he's already hurt socially.


Why sit in a grade if you already know all the work. Skip on to the next grade. Hell, leave this kid alone.........
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Many of us could be in for a light show this evening. From Spaceweather.com:

"GEOMAGNETIC STORM UPDATE: A CME propelled toward Earth by this morning's X5-class solar flare is expected to reach our planet on March 8th at 0625 UT ( /- 7 hr). Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, who prepared the CME's forecast track, say the impact could spark a strong-to-severe geomagnetic storm. Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras."

IOW, a visible aurora is possible anywhere on the planet between about 6:25 PM EST this evening and 8:25 AM EST tomorrow morning, with the median time at about 1:25 AM EST tonight.

It's highly unfortunate that there'll be a nearly full moon tonight. But aurorae in northern latitudes may be more than bright enough to compensate...


It'll be cloudy here all day and then Rainpocalypse-II starts up tomorrow, so I don't guess, even in the best of circumstances, that we'd be able to see it here in HGX.
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Looks like the worst of this rain event will be from LA to TN. Somebody in that zone is going to get a foot of rain.

This just for 48 hours.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting Xyrus2000:


I'll second that. I graduated early and went to college when I was 16. In hindsight, that was mistake. :P

I was 17.
As smart as teenagers think they are, they have incredible gaps in thought processes. Sometimes starting too early can really set you back in other ways.
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Quoting WatchingThisOne:


Yup. Not sure about education, but social skills are not strengthened by being rushed through to college.


I'll second that. I graduated early and went to college when I was 16. In hindsight, that was mistake. :P
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1225
The surfers in Puerto Rico are happy to have the windy with very high swells that are occuring now. Wow,the very strong Bermuda High Pressure is at 1040 mbs.



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The GFS, NOGAPS and ECMWF are all hinting at another tropicl system forming east and north of 90E 20S late this week or early next week. NOGAPS and GFS arent sure with movement of the forecast low; ECMWF moves it southeastward in Australia.

Might include that in my next blog. :D
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Anyone have any updated models about this rain event in Texas this weekend?


Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Anyone have any updated models about this rain event in Texas this weekend?
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Quoting hydrus:
This is just my own opinion, but skipping a grade is not always a bad thing. If you know the work and A+ everything that crosses your desk, then you should move on. To me an advanced student is wasting time in a classroom when he or she knows the material inside and out. Anyone who matriculates early and graduates early may find the maturity level of others challenging or even uncomfortable, but those issues usually pass with time. Speedy completion of college education needed for the career you are pursuing may be beneficial in the long run. We are all individuals, and all handle different situations differently.


it seems like some always forget that last sentence. :)

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Not only is the possibility of Peyton joining the Dolphins but it appears Reggie Wayne wants to play for the Dolphins as well. WOW!!
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16S
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LinkNOAASpace Weather Prediction Center
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Quoting SPLbeater:


ya i know i should do good, and i try to do good...but dat dont mean i am fully enthused lol.



I dont think 4 years ahead of me in high school and college is being rushed. I did NOT skip because i wanted to, I did NOT skip on my decision. I skiped because i already knew the work, and that was my mothers decision.
This is just my own opinion, but skipping a grade is not always a bad thing. If you know the work and A+ everything that crosses your desk, then you should move on. To me an advanced student is wasting time in a classroom when he or she knows the material inside and out. Anyone who matriculates early and graduates early may find the maturity level of others challenging or even uncomfortable, but those issues usually pass with time. Speedy completion of college education needed for the career you are pursuing may be beneficial in the long run. We are all individuals, and all handle different situations differently.
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Quoting yqt1001:


He's homeschooled, he's already hurt socially.


is that so? i havnt noticed.
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Statistical Auroral Oval




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Quoting Neapolitan:
Many of us could be in for a light show this evening. From Spaceweather.com:

"GEOMAGNETIC STORM UPDATE: A CME propelled toward Earth by this morning's X5-class solar flare is expected to reach our planet on March 8th at 0625 UT ( /- 7 hr). Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, who prepared the CME's forecast track, say the impact could spark a strong-to-severe geomagnetic storm. Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras."

IOW, a visible aurora is possible anywhere on the planet between about 6:25 PM EST this evening and 8:25 AM EST tomorrow morning, with the median time at about 1:25 AM EST tonight.

It's highly unfortunate that there'll be a nearly full moon tonight. But aurorae in northern latitudes may be more than bright enough to compensate...


Even here at 37 north?
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Novelty has increased and when the Universe manifests something, it can do what is not expected, and usually does.


Like the notion of a World when those of us over 50 were programmed to believe that the Soviet Union was a Given to continue...ad infinitive in our lives.

Now, we rarely mention that collapse at all.



Caesar:
Who is it in the press that calls on me?
I hear a tongue shriller than all the music
Cry "Caesar!" Speak, Caesar is turn'd to hear.

Soothsayer:
Beware the ides of March.

Caesar:
What man is that?

Brutus:
A soothsayer bids you beware the ides of March.

Julius Caesar Act 1, scene 2, 15-19
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CME Prediction Model - [SWPC]

WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction

Description: Latest CME-based model run



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Many of us could be in for a light show this evening. From Spaceweather.com:

"GEOMAGNETIC STORM UPDATE: A CME propelled toward Earth by this morning's X5-class solar flare is expected to reach our planet on March 8th at 0625 UT ( /- 7 hr). Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, who prepared the CME's forecast track, say the impact could spark a strong-to-severe geomagnetic storm. Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras."

IOW, a visible aurora is possible anywhere on the planet between about 6:25 PM EST this evening and 8:25 AM EST tomorrow morning, with the median time at about 1:25 AM EST tonight.

It's highly unfortunate that there'll be a nearly full moon tonight. But aurorae in northern latitudes may be more than bright enough to compensate...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13275
Quoting RTSplayer:


Don't bet on it.

Skipping a grade might be cute, but it hurts you socially and it even hurts your education.


He's homeschooled, he's already hurt socially.
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Quoting RTSplayer:
41:

How does that get calculated?

It looks to me like the central 1/3rd is "normal" and then 1/6th on either side is "above/below" and then another 1/6th is "much".


Is it using standard deviations, or something arbitrary?
F rom the NCDC:

"In order to place each month and season into historical context, NCDC assigns ranks for each geographic area (division, state, region, etc.) based on how the temperature or precipitation value compares with other values throughout the entire record when sorted from highest to lowest value. In other words, the numeric rank value within the area represents the position or location of the sorted value throughout the historical record (1895-present). As a year is added to the inventory, the length of record increases. In 2010, NCDC had 116 years of records, thus the number 116 would represent the warmest or wettest rank; the number 1 would represent the coolest or driest rank. If a state has rank of 110, then it would be the seventh warmest or wettest on record for that time period. If a state rank has a value of 7, then that state ranked seventh out of 116 years, or seventh coolest or driest.

The "Below Normal", "Near Normal", and "Above Normal" shadings on the color maps represent the bottom, middle, and upper tercile (or three equal portions) of the distribution, respectively. The lowest and uppermost decile (or 10%) of the distribution are marked as "Much Below Normal" and "Much Above Normal", respectively. In other words, for a 116-year period (1895-2010), a rank of Much Above/Below Normal, would be in the top/bottom 12 on record. Below/Above Normal, would represent one of the 39 coolest/warmest or driest/wettest such periods on record. "Near Normal" would represent an average temperature or precipitation value that was not one of the 39 coolest/warmest or driest/wettest on record. For a 116-year period of record, "Near Normal" would represent a rank between 40 and 77."
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13275
U.S. hurricane forecasters embark to Mexico & Caribbean on preparedness mission

Excerpt:

NOAA and the U.S. Air Force Reserve will host a series of public events from March 12 to 17 in six communities in Mexico and the Caribbean to encourage residents to prepare for the 2012 hurricane season which begins June 1.

Locations and times for public tours are listed below (all times are local):

•March 12, 11:30 a.m. to 3 p.m. – Campeche Intl. Airport, Campeche, Mexico
•March 13, 11 a.m. to 3 p.m. – Chetumal Intl. Airport, Chetumal, Mexico
•March 14, noon to 3 p.m. – Limon Intl. Airport, Limon, Costa Rica
•March 15, 9 a.m. to 11 a.m. – Juan Santa Maria Intl. Airport, San Jose, Costa Rica
•March 16, 11 a.m. to 3 p.m. – Princess Juliana Intl. Airport, San Maartin
•March 17, 10 a.m. to 5 p.m. – Isla Grande Airport, San Juan, Puerto Rico
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Hey, you definitely don't want to give up now, I hated school when I was in Middle School and also home schooled. If there is one big lesson I hope you learn, if you love meteorology and want that to be your career, work HARD at math now through high school so you don't suffer the consequences in college!

See, I'm good enough at math to where I could still get A's if I didn't do my homework because I would do a mental "cheat" by just plugging in numbers to get answers without really doing much home work. I did that because back then I would get in a huge fight with my mom about how I don't need to do my home work and then use that I still get good grades as a guilt trip, yeah, it was bad, I don't excuse any of that behavior!

But here I am halfway through college and now in Calculus 3 suffering from silly algebra mistakes because complex algebra in calculus must be mastered like 1 1=2, which I did not in high school.


You have many years of complex mathematics to learn ahead of you, so work hard now and it would save you from trouble later! lol


ya i know i should do good, and i try to do good...but dat dont mean i am fully enthused lol.

Quoting WatchingThisOne:


Yup. Not sure about education, but social skills are not strengthened by being rushed through to college.


I dont think 4 years ahead of me in high school and college is being rushed. I did NOT skip because i wanted to, I did NOT skip on my decision. I skiped because i already knew the work, and that was my mothers decision.
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
Quoting Jedkins01:



Is multi-variable calculus what they called it back in your day? Because I am in Calculus 3 right now, and its all about multi-variable calculus and vector calculus. You know, partial derivatives, convergence and divergence theorems, line integrals and flux integrals, multiple integration... All that good stuff :)
Thanks a lot Jed...Thanks a lot...:) Added Yes, the applications you mention are associated with multivariable calculus..
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41:

How does that get calculated?

It looks to me like the central 1/3rd is "normal" and then 1/6th on either side is "above/below" and then another 1/6th is "much".


Is it using standard deviations, or something arbitrary?
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Quoting RTSplayer:


Don't bet on it.

Skipping a grade might be cute, but it hurts you socially and it even hurts your education.


Yup. Not sure about education, but social skills are not strengthened by being rushed through to college.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Quoting Jedkins01:


Hey, you definitely don't want to give up now, I hated school when I was in Middle School and also home schooled. If there is one big lesson I hope you learn, if you love meteorology and want that to be your career, work HARD at math now through high school so you don't suffer the consequences in college!

See, I'm good enough at math to where I could still get A's if I didn't do my homework because I would do a mental "cheat" by just plugging in numbers to get answers without really doing much home work. I did that because back then I would get in a huge fight with my mom about how I don't need to do my home work and then use that I still get good grades as a guilt trip, yeah, it was bad, I don't excuse any of that behavior!

But here I am halfway through college and now in Calculus 3 suffering from silly algebra mistakes because complex algebra in calculus must be mastered like 1 1=2, which I did not in high school.


You have many years of complex mathematics to learn ahead of you, so work hard now and it would save you from trouble later! lol
I can speak for experience in being severely misguided by my high school counselor and Jr. College counselor severely for the very reasons your stating above.  sigh.... By the time I transferred into a 4 yr institution i was out of luck only having 5 semesters to get my degree and no one informed me of the Calculus II, III and Multi-variable Calculus along with the Physics course that you had to have for the degree.  I was basically told to take all 5 of those courses in 2 semesters.  I made it through the first, but I was annihilated in my second semester when taking Calculus III and Physics Electric and Magnetic (II) and I was forced to find another area of study.  I was not happy about the situation but what can I say was young and very stupid then. lol
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
Observed at: Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 12:00 PM EST Wednesday 7 March 2012
Condition: Mainly Sunny
Pressure: 30.12 inches
Tendency: falling
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 3

Temperature: 59.2°F
Dewpoint: 31.5°F
Humidity: 35 %
Wind: SW 21 gust 32 mph
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
NOAA is out with its State of the Climate report for both February, and winter as a whole. No big surprise; it's been abnormally warm. In fact, for winter, 39 states were above normal to much above normal and 9 were near normal. Not one of the 48 contiguous states experienced even a slightly below normal winter.

Hot, hot, hot
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13275
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
Quoting SPLbeater:


middle school. i be in 9th grade this coming year.

everybody else my age will be in 8th. when i started homeschooling after 5th, mom asked me some 6th grade questions all around subjects. i answered correct, so she put me directly in 7th, skipping 6ht completely.

so, i will be the first of my age to see high school work! :D


Don't bet on it.

Skipping a grade might be cute, but it hurts you socially and it even hurts your education.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
From the previous blog entry:I like this Environment Canada page, which not only shows a North American map, but a whole globe one as well, both displaying forecasted high and low temperature anomalies for the 8-14 day period.

Oh, Canada

Oh, Canada
warmer and warmer faster and faster

winter is done east of the rockies
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
Quoting Patrap:
RADIATION STORM ALERT:

A Strong S3 Radiation Storm (10MeV Integral Flux > 1000pfu) is now in progress.
This is the result if high energy protons incoming from a large solar flare.

The high energy proton levels continue to rise following the strong solar flare from very early this morning. A strong S3 Level Radiation Storm is now in progress. The increase in proton levels are a direct result of the major solar flare activity from early Wednesday morning around Sunspot 1429.




GEOMAGNETIC STORM ALERT:

A moderate Geomagnetic Storm (KP=6) is again in progress due to an incoming CME shock.
Be on the lookout for Aurora at high latitudes. Stay tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.

www.solarham.com


WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction

Description: Latest CME-based model run


Starting to go off the charts
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RADIATION STORM ALERT:

A Strong S3 Radiation Storm (10MeV Integral Flux > 1000pfu) is now in progress.
This is the result if high energy protons incoming from a large solar flare.

The high energy proton levels continue to rise following the strong solar flare from very early this morning. A strong S3 Level Radiation Storm is now in progress. The increase in proton levels are a direct result of the major solar flare activity from early Wednesday morning around Sunspot 1429.




GEOMAGNETIC STORM ALERT:

A moderate Geomagnetic Storm (KP=6) is again in progress due to an incoming CME shock.
Be on the lookout for Aurora at high latitudes. Stay tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.

www.solarham.com


WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction

Description: Latest CME-based model run
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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.