High risk of a major tornado outbreak today; 13 dead from Leap Day outbreak

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:14 PM GMT on March 02, 2012

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A powerful spring storm system is gathering strength over Missouri this morning, and will track northeastward into Southern Michigan tonight. The atmosphere in the storm's warm sector, south of the the warm front and east of the cold front, is very unstable, thanks to a flow of warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico at the surface, and very cold, dry air aloft. A powerful jet stream with winds winds aloft blowing at 150 mph will interact with this unstable air, and the strong change of wind speed and direction with height (wind shear) associated with this jet will impart a strong twisting motion to updrafts that from in this afternoon's thunderstorms along the cold front. These are ideal conditions for tornado formation, and a large tornado outbreak with damaging long-track tornadoes is likely late this afternoon in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed Central Kentucky, Northern Tennessee, and a small portion of Southern Indiana in their "High Risk" area for severe weather Friday afternoon and evening, and is warning of the possibility of long-track significant tornadoes. While the conditions are not as dangerous as those we saw in 2011 during the May 21 - 25 Joplin, Missouri and late April Southeast U.S. tornado outbreaks, the potential exists for a punishing tornado assault with many more strong and violent tornadoes than occurred during the Leap Day outbreak. A number of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds have already formed this morning along the storm's warm front, in Missouri, Indiana, and Illinois. Consult our Severe Weather Page and Interactive Tornado Page to follow the storms.


Figure 1. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed Central Kentucky, Northern Tennessee, and a small portion of Southern Indiana in their "High Risk" area for severe weather Friday afternoon. This is highest level of alert.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is calling for a 30% chance of tornadoes today within 25 miles of each point in the pink shaded area. Within the hatched area, there is a 10% or greater probability of strong EF-2 and EF-3 tornadoes, or violent EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Leap Day tornado outbreak death toll hits 13
The cleanup continues today from the round of deadly tornadoes that pounded the Midwest on Leap Day, killing thirteen people. The outbreak began on February 28, when nine confirmed tornadoes touched down. A pair of EF-2 tornadoes hit Buffalo, Missouri and Harveyville, Kansas, with each twister causing one death. Also on that day, a weak EF-0 tornado moved over open fields near Gandy, Nebraska--the first February tornado in Nebraska since record keeping began in 1950. The outbreak continued on Leap Day, February 29, with 27 more confirmed tornadoes. Hardest hit was Harrisburg, Illinois, where a violent EF-4 tornado with 180 mph killed six, injured approximately 100, and damaged 200 homes and 25 businesses. The tornado cut a path 26.5 miles long and 275 yards wide across the town, according to the NWS damage survey. The only EF-3 tornado of the outbreak hit Asherville, Missouri that day, killing one person. The other deadly tornadoes of the outbreak included an EF-2 tornado that killed one person in Cassville, MO; an EF-2 that killed two in Monterey, Tennessee, and an EF-1 that killed one person in Smithville, Tennessee. An EF-2 tornado also plowed through downtown Branson, Missouri on Leap Day, injuring 33 people. An NWS storm survey found the tornado was 400 yards wide and carved a path 22 miles long. Overall, damage from the two-day tornado outbreak will run in the hundreds of millions, and could add up to the first billion-dollar weather disaster of 2012 in the U.S. The 36 confirmed tornadoes from the outbreak make it the second largest February tornado outbreak since record keeping began in 1950. The biggest February tornado outbreak occurred on February 5 - 6, 2008, when 92 tornadoes touched down.


Figure 3. Damage at the Branson, Missouri Hilton after the Leap Day tornado. The tornado blew out or cracked windows in 219 of the hotel rooms in the 12-story/295 room Hilton Branson Convention Center, and extensively damaged three of Branson’s 50 plus theatres--Americana Theater, Branson Variety Theater and Dick Clarks’ American Bandstand Theater. Image credit: BransonRecovery Facebook page.

Portlight disaster relief charity responds to the Harrisburg, Illinois tornado
Portlight has a seasoned veteran from last year's tornado recovery efforts in Harrisburg, IL, and is looking for more people to volunteer their time. They are teaming with another disaster recovery charity, Team Rubicon, in the effort. As usual, they will be focusing efforts on the unserved, under served and forgotten. Please visit the Portlight Disaster Relief blog to learn more. Donations are always welcome!


Figure 4. Team Rubicon at work during last year's tornado recovery efforts.

Jeff Masters

HARRISBURG IL (catfish10)
HARRISBURG IL
HARISBURG IL. (catfish10)
Golden circle building
HARISBURG IL.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
958 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN FENTRESS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 956 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONTEREY...OR 11 MILES EAST
OF COOKEVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
PUTNAM...SOUTHERN FENTRESS AND SOUTHERN OVERTON COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ALLARDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:


More sun due to more breaks in the clouds. The High Risk area may need to be shifted south to include Northern AL, TN, NW GA, & Northern MS.


Doubt it, I think the moderate will suffice for here. There won't be enough storms to warrant a High imo, most storms won't come until later tonight. These first storms will be isolated supercells, not a huge line/system.
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PDS Watch



SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 57
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 955 AM UNTIL 600
PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO 25 MILES NORTH OF DANVILLE ILLINOIS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...WW 56...

DISCUSSION...A VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT IS DEVELOPING TODAY ACROSS
NWD-EXPANDING WARM SECTOR...FEATURING MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2500
J/KG...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 50-60 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH OF 300-600
M2/S2. TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER SERN
MO/W-CNTRL IL ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF LONG-TRACKED...SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.


...MEAD
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
959 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 959 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A TORNADO NEAR MERIDIANVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
MOORES MILL.
NEW MARKET.
PLEVNA.
ELORA.
FRANCISCO.
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Circulation that caused first tornado track damage through north Huntsville metro, particularly Hazel Green and Harvest areas, is now moving into the mountainous and more rural Paint Rock River valley area. Good news considering that the circulation is close enough to manifest itself as a TS with a width of 0.2-0.3 miles.
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W...T....F....
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NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0922 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE MO...SRN IL...SRN IN...WRN AND CNTRL
KY...WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 021522Z - 021715Z

A RAPID INCREASE IN THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL APPEARS POSSIBLE BY
MIDDAY...INCLUDING THE RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE
HAIL.


MODELS INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONIC 500 MB JET CORE IS IN THE PROCESS
OF INTENSIFYING IN EXCESS OF 100 KT...AS ITS EXIT REGION NOSES
ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS TOWARD CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. STRONGEST MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE FOCUSED JUST TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THIS FEATURE...BUT THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF STRONGER
FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION APPEARS LIKELY TO WEAKEN
INHIBITION IN THE WARM SECTOR AN ASSOCIATED DEEPENING SURFACE
CYCLONE. AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW TRACKS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...AND NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... MODELS
SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT AND SHARPENING OF A PRE-COLD FRONTAL DRY
LINE BY THE 17-19Z TIME FRAME...SOUTH OF THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS INTO THE VICINITY OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ALONG AND EAST OF THIS FEATURE...COUPLED
WITH WEAK TO MODERATE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION BENEATH THE
MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT...MAY SERVE TO FOCUS THE INITIATION OF DISCRETE
STORMS. IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG SHEAR...AND LARGE CLOCKWISE
CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS BENEATH A 50+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB
JET...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM THE OUTSET...AND TORNADIC POTENTIAL
MAY ALSO INCREASE QUICKLY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR PARTICULARLY STRONG
AND DAMAGING TORNADOES INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE DEEP LAYER WESTERLY MEAN FLOW /50-60+ KT/...CELLS
WILL BE FAST MOVING...BUT ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS COULD
DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE...AS THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRY LINE EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1058 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HAWKINS COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SULLIVAN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
SCOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
CITY OF BRISTOL IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1130 AM EST

* AT 1055 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SURGOINSVILLE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GATE CITY...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
KINGSPORT...GATE CITY...BRISTOL VA...WEBER CITY...MOUNT CARMEL...
BLOOMINGDALE...HILTONS...NICKELSVILLE...COLLINGWOO D...BENHAMS AND
CASTLEWOOD.
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High winds Africa. MODIS

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Quoting ScottLincoln:


Tried to find a Carlton near Athens, AL, but I couldn't find one there. Was a "Carlton" in another part of the state.


Thanks and my bad..........I thought of her as soon as I saw "Athens"; she is actually east of Athens, GA in Bulldog Country..... :) But glad she is not there; she is there about 6 months out of the year and lives in a trailer home but came to Florida last week for a few weeks. Thanks for the concern.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9071
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1101 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HANCOCK COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
EASTERN HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 1145 AM EST

* AT 1058 AM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZED
AT THE INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATE 465 AND HARDING STREET ON THE
SOUTHWEST SIDE OF INDIANAPOLIS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM LEBANON TO 5 MILES WEST OF GREENWOOD...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDIANAPOLIS...
GREENWOOD...
SPEEDWAY...
SOUTHPORT...
BEECH GROVE...
ZIONSVILLE...
CARMEL...
LAWRENCE...
FISHERS...
NOBLESVILLE...
GREENFIELD...
ULEN...
HOMECROFT...
WHITESTOWN...
MONUMENT CIRCLE...
WYNNEDALE...
SPRING HILL...
ROCKY RIPPLE...
CROWS NEST...
INDIANA STATE FAIRGROUNDS...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 91 AND 143.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 69 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 22.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 62 AND 112.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 50 AND 110.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.
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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
Damage and injuries reported in the TVS NW of Hunstville, one vehicle trapped by tree downed.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
Quoting Bluestorm5:
You aren't kidding... and it's in Alabama/south TN where the today storms isn't centered at.


More sun due to more breaks in the clouds. The High Risk area may need to be shifted south to include Northern AL, TN, NW GA, & Northern MS.
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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Thank you. I see why people are still focusing on tornado near Huntsville.


Potentially two of them.

Now the southwestern storm has just spiked in reflectivity near the low-level circulation. Not good. A tornado may have just rapidly formed in north Madison, just south of the previous tornado track.

Cancel that.  It appears to be hail-related; my velocity had not updated to reflect the rotation ahead of the highest reflectivity.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3190
Serious, fluid and dynamic Tornadic cells are numerous and this is a Dangerous Situation, if in a Warned area SEEK COVER NOW

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
959 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 959 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A TORNADO NEAR MERIDIANVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
MOORES MILL.
NEW MARKET.
PLEVNA.
ELORA.
FRANCISCO.
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556
WFUS54 KOHX 021558
TOROHX
TNC049-133-141-021630-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0019.120302T1558Z-120302T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
958 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN FENTRESS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 956 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONTEREY...OR 11 MILES EAST
OF COOKEVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
PUTNAM...SOUTHERN FENTRESS AND SOUTHERN OVERTON COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ALLARDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3632 8478 3629 8481 3629 8487 3624 8487
3621 8491 3615 8490 3615 8496 3617 8503
3614 8507 3613 8513 3610 8515 3611 8523
3608 8525 3607 8539 3623 8546 3644 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 1558Z 250DEG 41KT 3619 8529
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
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Quoting weathermanwannabe:


My Mother in Law has a property/trailer home just east of Athens (Carlton) but thankfully she is visiting relatives in Florida today......


Tried to find a Carlton near Athens, AL, but I couldn't find one there. Was a "Carlton" in another part of the state.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3190
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Looks like a broad circulation passed over the southern parts of Cookeville, TN, near the interstate. Not as strong of a signature as the storms near Huntsville.
Thank you. I see why people are still focusing on tornado near Huntsville.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7988
There is some massive hail falling in that purple core...
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Golfball sized Hail near Parkland School reported by Local Law Enforcement.

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Here is the Huntsville Airport Tower feed....Have not head any specifics yet from this source as to current conditions as the signal has been intermittent..

Link

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Golf ball size hail reported at local highschool in huntsville by law enforcement
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800
WFUS54 KHUN 021555
TORHUN
TNC051-021630-
/O.NEW.KHUN.TO.W.0007.120302T1555Z-120302T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
955 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 950 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR ESTILL
SPRINGS...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF WINCHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 65
MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
ALTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.



LAT...LON 3535 8605 3535 8603 3532 8600 3531 8596
3530 8592 3526 8589 3520 8614 3535 8620
3537 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 1555Z 251DEG 56KT 3531 8606


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
wow what great forecasting by the NWS. TN closed many of there schools and im sure with this early warning many people that live in mobile homes are not there today. In these times when alot of people are calling for "smaller Government" i hope they see here today that the fine people at the NWS are going to save countless lives today.
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The Tornado NW of Huntsville is confirmed on the ground by Law Enforcement, Debris Ball in full view.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828


3 tornado warnings.
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Quoting Bluestorm5:
The rotation went right over Cookeville, TN. Someone with better radar confirm that? (I'm on NWS site's radar)


Looks like a broad circulation passed over the southern parts of Cookeville, TN, near the interstate. Not as strong of a signature as the storms near Huntsville.
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Madison County Sheriff and Huntsville Police Live Scanner Audio Feed
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
A tornado likely continues on the ground from the supercell just north of Huntsville, AL. Shear of 100-110kts just moved through semi-suburban neighborhoods southeast of Hazel Green and is now headed for Plevna/New Market areas. Spectrum width spike still evident. Even without spotter confirmation, radar data available would indicate a high likelihood of a small tornado.

On a side note, circulations like this are exactly what the change to super-res helped us to see better.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3190
this is likely on the ground
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Another tornado warning in Tennessee. That makes it 4 rotations we're watching right now.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
947 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

ALC071-089-TNC051-103-021615-
/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120302T1615Z/
JACKSON AL-MADISON AL-FRANKLIN TN-LINCOLN TN-
947 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN...SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN MADISON
AND NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 946 AM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HAZEL GREEN...OR ABOUT NEAR MERIDIANVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NEW
MARKET...PLEVNA...ELORA...LARKIN...FRANCISCO...HU NTLAND...BEANS
CREEK...ESTILLFORK...MAXWELL AND HYTOP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO HOMES AND OTHER STRUCTURES. TAKE COVER NOW!

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8660 3494 8666 3513 8620 3491 8608
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 249DEG 44KT 3492 8650

$$

KDW
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AND PEOPLE WHERE SAYING THIS wouldnt start until after school was out
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
949 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 947 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CENTREVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WASHINGTON PARK...BELLEVILLE...CASEYVILLE...SWANSEA...FAIRVIE W
HEIGHTS...COLLINSVILLE...SHILOH...O'FALLON...SCOTT AFB...
MASCOUTAH...LEBANON...NEW BADEN...HIGHLAND...ST. JACOB...NEW
MEMPHIS...TRENTON...ALBERS...AVISTON...SUMMERFIELD AND
DAMIANSVILLE.
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241
WFUS54 KOHX 021551
TOROHX
TNC031-061-177-021615-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0018.120302T1551Z-120302T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
951 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN COFFEE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN GRUNDY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 948 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ESTILL SPRINGS...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF
WINCHESTER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
GRUNDY...SOUTHERN COFFEE AND SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3530 8596 3531 8600 3534 8604 3536 8615
3533 8619 3534 8622 3534 8626 3535 8625
3537 8628 3569 8574 3543 8552 3528 8592
TIME...MOT...LOC 1551Z 237DEG 46KT 3533 8610
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
Quoting ncstorm:
tornado warnings are happening HOURS before the event was supposed to happen..not good at all!
You aren't kidding... and it's in Alabama/south TN where the today storms isn't centered at.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7988
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127828
Quoting ScottLincoln:
Radar continues to indicate a likely small tornado near Hazel Green, AL, just north of Huntsville. Tight, strong circulation with 90-100kts of shear at only ~1500ft continues to support high likelihood.

Wider circulation just east of Athens, AL, has broadened and slightly weakened, but environment, storm structure, and evident mesocyclone continue to indicate that a tornado could develop at any time.


My Mother in Law has a property/trailer home just east of Athens (Carlton) but thankfully she is visiting relatives in Florida today......
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9071
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1045 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1115 AM EST

* AT 1041 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLEVELAND...OR 13 MILES WEST OF LEBANON...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
LEBANON...CLEVELAND...HANSONVILLE...HILANDER PARK...HOLSTON...
LINDELL...EMORY-MEADOW VIEW...HONAKER...ROSEDALE...GLADE SPRING AND
DYE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR CENTRAL TENNESSEE.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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