High risk of a major tornado outbreak today; 13 dead from Leap Day outbreak

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:14 PM GMT on March 02, 2012

Share this Blog
36
+

A powerful spring storm system is gathering strength over Missouri this morning, and will track northeastward into Southern Michigan tonight. The atmosphere in the storm's warm sector, south of the the warm front and east of the cold front, is very unstable, thanks to a flow of warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico at the surface, and very cold, dry air aloft. A powerful jet stream with winds winds aloft blowing at 150 mph will interact with this unstable air, and the strong change of wind speed and direction with height (wind shear) associated with this jet will impart a strong twisting motion to updrafts that from in this afternoon's thunderstorms along the cold front. These are ideal conditions for tornado formation, and a large tornado outbreak with damaging long-track tornadoes is likely late this afternoon in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed Central Kentucky, Northern Tennessee, and a small portion of Southern Indiana in their "High Risk" area for severe weather Friday afternoon and evening, and is warning of the possibility of long-track significant tornadoes. While the conditions are not as dangerous as those we saw in 2011 during the May 21 - 25 Joplin, Missouri and late April Southeast U.S. tornado outbreaks, the potential exists for a punishing tornado assault with many more strong and violent tornadoes than occurred during the Leap Day outbreak. A number of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds have already formed this morning along the storm's warm front, in Missouri, Indiana, and Illinois. Consult our Severe Weather Page and Interactive Tornado Page to follow the storms.


Figure 1. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed Central Kentucky, Northern Tennessee, and a small portion of Southern Indiana in their "High Risk" area for severe weather Friday afternoon. This is highest level of alert.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is calling for a 30% chance of tornadoes today within 25 miles of each point in the pink shaded area. Within the hatched area, there is a 10% or greater probability of strong EF-2 and EF-3 tornadoes, or violent EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Leap Day tornado outbreak death toll hits 13
The cleanup continues today from the round of deadly tornadoes that pounded the Midwest on Leap Day, killing thirteen people. The outbreak began on February 28, when nine confirmed tornadoes touched down. A pair of EF-2 tornadoes hit Buffalo, Missouri and Harveyville, Kansas, with each twister causing one death. Also on that day, a weak EF-0 tornado moved over open fields near Gandy, Nebraska--the first February tornado in Nebraska since record keeping began in 1950. The outbreak continued on Leap Day, February 29, with 27 more confirmed tornadoes. Hardest hit was Harrisburg, Illinois, where a violent EF-4 tornado with 180 mph killed six, injured approximately 100, and damaged 200 homes and 25 businesses. The tornado cut a path 26.5 miles long and 275 yards wide across the town, according to the NWS damage survey. The only EF-3 tornado of the outbreak hit Asherville, Missouri that day, killing one person. The other deadly tornadoes of the outbreak included an EF-2 tornado that killed one person in Cassville, MO; an EF-2 that killed two in Monterey, Tennessee, and an EF-1 that killed one person in Smithville, Tennessee. An EF-2 tornado also plowed through downtown Branson, Missouri on Leap Day, injuring 33 people. An NWS storm survey found the tornado was 400 yards wide and carved a path 22 miles long. Overall, damage from the two-day tornado outbreak will run in the hundreds of millions, and could add up to the first billion-dollar weather disaster of 2012 in the U.S. The 36 confirmed tornadoes from the outbreak make it the second largest February tornado outbreak since record keeping began in 1950. The biggest February tornado outbreak occurred on February 5 - 6, 2008, when 92 tornadoes touched down.


Figure 3. Damage at the Branson, Missouri Hilton after the Leap Day tornado. The tornado blew out or cracked windows in 219 of the hotel rooms in the 12-story/295 room Hilton Branson Convention Center, and extensively damaged three of Branson’s 50 plus theatres--Americana Theater, Branson Variety Theater and Dick Clarks’ American Bandstand Theater. Image credit: BransonRecovery Facebook page.

Portlight disaster relief charity responds to the Harrisburg, Illinois tornado
Portlight has a seasoned veteran from last year's tornado recovery efforts in Harrisburg, IL, and is looking for more people to volunteer their time. They are teaming with another disaster recovery charity, Team Rubicon, in the effort. As usual, they will be focusing efforts on the unserved, under served and forgotten. Please visit the Portlight Disaster Relief blog to learn more. Donations are always welcome!


Figure 4. Team Rubicon at work during last year's tornado recovery efforts.

Jeff Masters

HARRISBURG IL (catfish10)
HARRISBURG IL
HARISBURG IL. (catfish10)
Golden circle building
HARISBURG IL.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 504 - 454

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43Blog Index

Storms on the Southern extent now firing and may go Severe within the Hour.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
155 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
NORTHERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST.

* AT 152 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CORYDON...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HENDERSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUDS NEAR ZION AND CORYDON AS
THIS STORM PASSED THROUGH THOSE AREAS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...ROCKPORT...ROBARDS...STANL EY...EUREKA...
GRANDVIEW...KNOTTSVILLE AND HEBBARDSVILLE.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
502. 2atod
Yes i am tracking one right now just north of Louisville:



Looks serious. I am just wondering where all of this energy is coming from. Its not so warm here.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:



Quite interesting. 53 degrees in Wilmington Ohio (SW Ohio),severe storms tonight with a low of 32!!!

This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Breezy, with a south wind between 18 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 9pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Low around 32. Windy, with a west wind 25 to 28 mph decreasing to between 15 and 18 mph. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Member Since: January 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
154 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTH CENTRAL HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST.

* AT 152 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 7 MILES
SOUTH OF STURGIS. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
STURGIS...PROVIDENCE...CLAY...DIXON...WHEATCROFT AND NEBO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
These storms are moving... 50-60+ mph. This makes it a lot easier for people to get caught off guard, so stay alert if you're in the threat area.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7623
SPC



WOUS64 KWNS 021943
WOU0

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 60 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC003-017-030300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0060.120302T1950Z-120303T0300Z/

AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHLEY CHICOT


LAC003-009-011-013-021-025-029-031-035-039-041-043 -049-059-061-
065-067-069-073-079-081-083-085-107-111-115-123-12 7-030300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0060.120302T1950Z-120303T0300Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA DE SOTO EAST CARROLL
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION VERNON WEST CARROLL
WINN


MSC011-055-083-133-149-151-030300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0060.120302T1950Z-120303T0300Z/

MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOLIVAR ISSAQUENA LEFLORE
SUNFLOWER WARREN WASHINGTON


TXC005-241-347-351-403-405-419-457-030300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0060.120302T1950Z-120303T0300Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANGELINA JASPER NACOGDOCHES
NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY TYLER


ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
151 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GILES COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 149 PM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS NEAR ELKMONT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARDMORE...
ELKTON..
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
149 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEASTERN POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTH CENTRAL CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.

* AT 147 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR REIDLAND. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
CALVERT CITY...HAMLETSBURG...SMITHLAND...GRAND RIVERS...DYCUSBURG
AND KUTTAWA.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Quoting 2atod:
I am in sw Ohio and it has been overcast for much of the day. They called for it to reach 70 but it sitting right around 55. Dewpoint is only in the low 50s. Still a PDS watch and the storms in southern Indiana look strong. Cape values seem really high in central kentucky, well south of here. Is the high risk this far north warranted? What are the justifications for the current high risk area? I just want to see if i am understanding this all right.


SW Ohio is under a high risk. reason being, the high risk area has a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within a 25mile point.

Categorical

Tornado probabilities
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
TWC Breaking ‏ @TWCBreaking

DANGEROUS rotation associated with this cell near Marengo, Ind. Fredericksburg, Hardinsburg take cover!!
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2atod:
I am in sw Ohio and it has been overcast for much of the day. They called for it to reach 70 but it sitting right around 55. Dewpoint is only in the low 50s. Still a PDS watch and the storms in southern Indiana look strong. Cape values seem really high in central kentucky, well south of here. Is the high risk this far north warranted? What are the justifications for the current high risk area? I just want to see if i am understanding this all right.


The tornadoes are headed your direction. http://www.wunderground.com/tornado/?MR=1
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
242 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
DUBOIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EST

* AT 237 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
DUBOIS...CRAWFORD AND ORANGE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ENGLISH...JASPER...

IN ADDITION...SCHNELLVILLE...YOUNGS CREEK AND WICKLIFFE ARE
INCLUDED IN THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING.

FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN THIS WARNING...
HUNLEY CREEK OVERFLOWS ONTO LOW LYING AREA OF COUNTY ROAD 1100
SOUTH.
ELL CREEK OVERFLOWS ONTO COUNTY ROAD 400 SOUTH JUST NORTH OF
HUNTINGBURG.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1 AND ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
490. 2atod
I am in sw Ohio and it has been overcast for much of the day. They called for it to reach 70 but it sitting right around 55. Dewpoint is only in the low 50s. Still a PDS watch and the storms in southern Indiana look strong. Cape values seem really high in central kentucky, well south of here. Is the high risk this far north warranted? What are the justifications for the current high risk area? I just want to see if i am understanding this all right.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
242 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN DUBOIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EST...

* AT 237 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR SAINT ANTHONY...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO...MOVING EAST
AT 60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL ALSO IMPACT...

SCHNELLVILLE...
MENTOR...

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE ORIGINAL ONE AS IT WAS ABOUT TO
EXPIRE BUT THE TORNADIC THREAT STILL REMAINS WITH THE CELL OVER
BRETZVILLE. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS HAS ALSO BEEN
REPORTED!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Cell K5 is taking on the classic hook look.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
240 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHWESTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST...

* AT 237 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOGTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE HAIL OF GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL OR
LARGER.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
SALEM...
FREDERICKSBURG AND HARDINSBURG...
ORGAN SPRINGS AND BECKS MILL...
SHORTS CORNER AND NEW PEKIN...
BLUE RIVER AND FARABEE...
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Post 483: That is a serious hook... That could be a big tornado.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7623
TWC Breaking ‏ @TWCBreaking

Update...funnel cloud sighted in city of Huntingburg moments ago.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
138 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.

* AT 133 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A WALL CLOUD
NEAR LONE OAK. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

WINDS TO 70 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
REIDLAND...CALVERT CITY...LEDBETTER AND SYMSONIA.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
480. Jax82
Classic supercells.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A good note for Harrisburg, their boys won a 2A sectional game last night (one of the final 16 teams), play against Pinckneyville for championship Sat. (My daughter's schoolmates play for a 1A championship tonight.)

Very cold, blustery wind on the backside of this front.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
These storms are bringing in the cold big time.
Today's forecast high in Indianapolis: 65
Tomorrow's forecast high: 41
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7623
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
TWC Breaking ‏ @TWCBreaking

Receiving preliminary reports of major damage and psbl injuries in Tellico Plains, TN (southeast TN)
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
137 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GIBSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
NORTHERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.

* AT 134 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAUBSTADT...OR NEAR FORT BRANCH...AND MOVING
EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
OAKLAND CITY...LYNNVILLE...WINSLOW...MACKEY...SOMERVILLE AND
SPURGEON.

THIS POTENTIAL TORNADO WILL PASS JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64 BETWEEN
EXITS 25 AND 39.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Quoting Skyepony:
Stray Light Corrections in GVAR Signal for GOES-East


ooofh, ET must a threw a rock seem's. : )




Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
TWC Breaking ‏ @TWCBreaking

TAKE COVER in the city of Huntingburg, IN. Reports of #tornado on ground. Supercell with history of #damage!
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
471. Skyepony (Mod)
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
234 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HANCOCK COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
EASTERN HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 315 PM EST

* AT 232 PM EST...TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON THE
WESTERN EDGE OF PLAINFIELD. DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH MAY
ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLAINFIELD...OR 12
MILES WEST OF INDIANAPOLIS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDIANAPOLIS...
SPEEDWAY...
SOUTHPORT...
ZIONSVILLE...
BEECH GROVE...
CARMEL...
LAWRENCE...
FISHERS...
NOBLESVILLE...
GREENFIELD...
CLERMONT...
EAGLE CREEK RESERVOIR...
WHITESTOWN...
HOMECROFT...
MONUMENT CIRCLE...
WYNNEDALE...
SPRING HILL...
ROCKY RIPPLE...
CROWS NEST...
NORTH CROWS NEST...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 102 AND 133.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 69 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 16.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 65 AND 109.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 60 AND 98.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanx for the update on that Dr. Masters.

I suggest we ALL load only still frames to decrease the Load as well.



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
467. JeffMasters (Admin)
Sorry about the radar downtime. The Alteon load balancer that serves our radar pages got overwhelmed and crashed. Before bringing the load balancer back up, we moved some traffic to our www machines, delaying the return of the radar imagery. We are back up, and so far the system is happy. The loads we are seeing on our radar machines are in excess of anything we saw during last year's outbreaks, since today's thunderstorms cover a wider area.

Jeff Masters
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
133 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 133 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WHEELER...OR 7 MILES EAST OF BALDWYN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IUKA AND
TISHOMINGO STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
464. Jax82
Sheesh look at these two cells. Its looks like two eyes with the county below it looking like a mouth...SCARY.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0213
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL MS...NRN LA...E TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 021926Z - 022030Z

RADAR TRENDS SHOW INCREASING COVERAGE OF TSTMS ALONG AN EWD
PROGRESSING DRYLINE ACROSS NRN LA. PRIMARY THREATS APPEAR TO BE
LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

19Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN APPARENT DRYLINE /POSITIONED FROM 30 E ELD
TO 35 SSE GGG/ MOVING EWD ACROSS NRN LA/ E TX...WHILE PRIMARY
SYNOPTIC-SCALE COLD FRONT REMAINS POSITIONED FARTHER TO THE NW.
RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN TSTMS IS OCCURRING ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER N-CNTRL LA. STRONG DIABATIC HEATING OVER THIS
REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER 80S...HAS YIELDED
MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1000 J/KG /PER RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/. STRONG
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS /30-40 KTS AT 2 KM AGL PER POE AND DGX VWP
DATA/ ALONG WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LEAD TO AN
ENHANCED THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS. TOR THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO
BE AS ROBUST AS AREAS FARTHER N/E...AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS A
SIGNIFICANT WLY COMPONENT...AND CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY FAVOR
BROKEN LINES ANCHORED NEAR/AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. HOWEVER...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT STILL CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN STRONG FLOW
FIELDS.

..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012


ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 32789029 32139095 31519237 31169422 31389493 31779476
32819315 33259223 33549140 33519059 32789029
Member Since: January 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
Indianapolis is about to get slammed...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7623



Amazing TORNADO HEADING TOWARD JASPER,INDIANA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TORNADO WARNING
ILC059-KYC101-225-022000-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0043.120302T1928Z-120302T2000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
128 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL GALLATIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
WESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 200 PM CST.

* AT 124 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF SHAWNEETOWN...AND MOVING EAST AT
65 MPH.

THIS STORM IS ALSO LIKELY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
MORGANFIELD...BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...UNIONTOWN...CORYDON...ROBARDS
AND WAVERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3762 8821 3771 8823 3778 8797 3777 8795
3779 8794 3786 8768 3783 8768 3782 8764
3785 8759 3766 8754
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 251DEG 57KT 3766 8809

$$




Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7623
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
131 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...
CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 200 PM CST

* AT 129 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
DUKETON...OR ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTH OF RUSSELLVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PLEASANT RIDGE...
NEWBURG...THARPTOWN...
MT HOPE...
HATTON...LANDERSVILLE...
MOULTON...NORTH COURTLAND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Member Since: January 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
and west of jasper????
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
130 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTH CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 200 PM CST

* AT 128 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
OLIVER...OR ABOUT 18 MILES WEST OF ATHENS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OLIVER...
COXEY...RIPLEY...
CAIRO...MT ROZELL...
CARTWRIGHT...
LEGGTOWN...
ELKMONT...HOLLAND GIN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
holy cow ... EAST OF JASPER
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 224 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FONTANA VILLAGE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF ROBBINSVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWFOUND GAP...
SMOKEMONT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.
OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME
OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS
BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS WILL PRECEDE THE TORNADO. WIND DRIVEN HAIL OF THIS SIZE
POSES A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF INJURY AND DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF
BUSINESS.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159

Viewing: 504 - 454

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
61 °F
Mostly Cloudy