Tornadoes rip Midwest, killing 9; heavy snow hits Upper Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:05 PM GMT on February 29, 2012

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Strong tornadoes plowed through the Midwest U.S. last night and this morning, killing at least nine people. Six people died in Harrisburg, Illinois when a tornado hit near 5:37 am CST this morning, damaging or destroying 200 buildings. Another person was killed in southwest Missouri near Buffalo when a possible tornado ripped through a mobile home park. Thirteen others were injured in the mobile home park. Two others died in the Cassville and Puxico areas. A tornado also moved through downtown Branson, Missouri early this morning, causing heavy damage to the city's famous theaters, and injuring at least twelve people. A tornado plowed through the small town of Harveyville, Kansas (population 275), twenty miles southwest of Topeka, at 9:03 pm last night. The tornado destroyed 40 - 60% of the structures and injured ten, one critically. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged fifteen preliminary tornado reports yesterday and today.

The same storm system also brought the heaviest snows of the winter to portions of the Upper Midwest, which has received scant snowfall this winter. Blizzard warnings are posted in South Dakota this morning, where snowfall amounts of 6 - 10 inches are common. According to NOAA's latest storm summary, five states have experienced snowfall amounts of ten inches or more--Wisconsin, Minnesota, South Dakota, Michigan, and Nebraska. The highest snow amount as of 8 am CST was recorded at Tripoli, Wisconsin, where fourteen inches had fallen.


Figure 1. Radar image of the squall line that passed through Harrisburg, Illinois this morning, spawning a tornado that killed three people. The position of Harisburg is marked by a circle with a "+" symbol.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged thirteen preliminary tornado reports yesterday.

More tornadoes likely today
The powerful late-winter storm system that spawned the deadly tornadoes will move eastwards, bringing snows of 5 - 10 inches to northern Wisconsin, northern Minnesota, Michigan's Upper Peninsula, and northern New England. The storm's cold front is triggering severe thunderstorms over much of Kentucky this morning, and these thunderstorms are expected to grow in severity and spawn more tornadoes this afternoon, once the heat of the day destabilizes the atmosphere. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has posted tornado watches for portions of Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Ohio this morning, and has placed much of Tennessee and portions of surrounding states in their "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather today. Consult our Severe Weather Page and Interactive Tornado Page to follow today's severe weather.


Figure 3. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Tennessee and portions of surrounding states in their "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather, one level below the highest level of alert, "High Risk."

Jeff Masters

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709. Patrap
3:18 PM GMT on March 02, 2012
High risk of a major tornado outbreak today; 13 dead from Leap Day outbreak

Posted by: JeffMasters, 9:14 AM CST on March 02, 2012
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125715
707. GeorgiaStormz
4:11 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Severe Weather Statement

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1009 AM CST THU MAR 1 2012

ALC035-053-011645-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120301T1645Z/
CONECUH AL-ESCAMBIA AL-
1009 AM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA AND SOUTHERN CONECUH COUNTIES...

AT 1005 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BARNETT CROSSROADS...OR 12 MILES NORTH OF FLOMATON...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RANGE...WALLACE...I65 AND AL 41...LENOX...I65 AND CR
6...APPLETON...PEA RIDGE...BREWTON...LONDON...EAST
BREWTON...CASTLEBERRY...SPRING HILL...KIRKLAND...ROCK
HILL...BOYKIN...MARIETTA...DAMASCUS...MELROSE...G EORGIAVILLE.
..JOHNSONVILLE...US 29 AND CR 43...ROBERTS...DIXIE AND BROOKLYN.

LAT...LON 3108 8671 3107 8694 3113 8728 3122 8736
3134 8727 3138 8668 3136 8668 3135 8669
3134 8670
TIME...MOT...LOC 1608Z 269DEG 24KT 3124 8725

$$







Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
706. WDEmobmet
3:54 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Now everybody post there predictions for the 1730 outlook and lets stop arguing over the Carolias.

I say expansion of risk into more of N AL and N MS, and maybe an expansion in TN and KY possibly into NW GA.
No High risk but stronger wording may be used until further model runs are seen to determine if greater threat is warranted.


I think that a high risk scenario isnt out of the question. The setup is a nasty one for sure
Member Since: February 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
705. WxGeekVA
3:53 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Oh, and NEW BLOG!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
703. WxGeekVA
3:52 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Now everybody post there predictions for the 1730 outlook and lets stop arguing over the Carolias.

I say expansion of risk into more of N AL and N MS, and maybe an expansion in TN and KY possibly into NW GA.
No High risk but stronger wording may be used until further model runs are seen to determine if greater threat is warranted.


I agree. A expansion of the moderate risk area and stronger wording seem likely. They will also probably shift the slight risk east on the day 3 outlook to include the Virginias and Carolinas, and Maryland.

High Risk would come tonight if guidance continues to show what it is showing right now or any worse.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
702. WDEmobmet
3:45 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
Ya know what, this is a meaningless debate we have here.

If somebody wants to call something a name that is different then another, you cant change that. They wont be persuaded if they choose not to be. And im certain that i wont stop using the reference 'Carolinas' when i talk about the Carolinas regional weather.

So im going to go and eat something, then eat another something, and come back later. :D Here is your random ASCAT for the day


it may very well be meaningless but to see you get your panties in a wad is humorous. I was simply suggesting the difference between common and proper nouns, not trying to change your way of rational. Try not to get so emotional over something so, as you say, meaningless.
Member Since: February 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
700. hydrus
3:41 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Almost looks negative..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
699. GeorgiaStormz
3:41 PM GMT on March 01, 2012



Weak rotation
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
698. GeorgiaStormz
3:37 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Now everybody post there predictions for the 1730 outlook and lets stop arguing over the Carolias.

I say expansion of risk into more of N AL and N MS, and maybe an expansion in TN and KY possibly into NW GA.
No High risk but stronger wording may be used until further model runs are seen to determine if greater threat is warranted.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
697. GeorgiaStormz
3:33 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting ChillinInTheKeys:
Same goes here sort of, if you live in "The Keys", everyone assumes your from Key West.


When we drove through the keys, everyone assumed we were going to key west.
We stopped in key largo and islamorada for a day or 2.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
696. ChillinInTheKeys
3:31 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Same goes here sort of, if you live in "The Keys", everyone assumes your from Key West.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 669
695. SPLbeater
3:30 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


We have Charleston....y'all have....well....us to the South of you ;-)


We have Wilmington, which has the famous WWII battleship USS North Carolina sitting in its docks. Also Charlotte
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


But i am referring to them both. Do i really have to say N and S Carolina?
Should it be the N Carolina Panthers?


ya make it North Carolina Panthers, then SC doesnt have football team lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
694. SPLbeater
3:28 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Ya know what, this is a meaningless debate we have here.

If somebody wants to call something a name that is different then another, you cant change that. They wont be persuaded if they choose not to be. And im certain that i wont stop using the reference 'Carolinas' when i talk about the Carolinas regional weather.

So im going to go and eat something, then eat another something, and come back later. :D Here is your random ASCAT for the day
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
693. muddertracker
3:27 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


yup....it goes back several years...it's my biggest pet peeve....those of us in South Carolina are resistant to anything which might lead anyone to believe we have anything in common with our former territory to the North...


hahhah..that reminds me of when people refer to the civil war as the "war of northern aggression"
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 2316
692. TheOnlyBravesFan
3:26 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Link

Carolinas is a term that has been used for ages according to this.
Member Since: January 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
691. GeorgiaStormz
3:25 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting WDEmobmet:


no nothing wrong with it on a common noun perspective. But to properly identify those areas you would want to use North or South insead as a proper noun


But i am referring to them both. Do i really have to say N and S Carolina?
Should it be the N Carolina Panthers?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
690. presslord
3:24 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
maybe presslord doesnt like SC being together with NC because NC is so much better lol.


We have Charleston....y'all have....well....us to the South of you ;-)
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
689. TheOnlyBravesFan
3:24 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Nothing wrong with using Carolinas to refer to both NC/SC. It gives you a general sense of the area being spoken of.
Member Since: January 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
688. SPLbeater
3:23 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting WDEmobmet:


no nothing wrong with it on a common noun perspective. But to properly identify those areas you would want to use North or South insead as a proper noun


i have heard TWC say it(which doesnt mean much)...the SPC uses Carolinas...and i certainly will not change my view.

The Carolinas is a small region, and nobody can change that. cal it what you want, but it is what it is. The Carolinas.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
687. hydrus
3:23 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


I will refer you to post #660 my friend
Yes sir. Please bare in mind that I type Carolinas,s for entertainment purposes. I am perfectly aware that the two states are distinct and separate entities.......carolina,s..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
686. muddertracker
3:23 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
when i say THE CAROLINAS, i am not referring to SC or NC.

i am referring to both. aint nothing wrong with that, and there will never be.

oh no....lol!
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 2316
685. SPLbeater
3:22 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
maybe presslord doesnt like SC being together with NC because NC is so much better lol.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
684. WDEmobmet
3:20 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
when i say THE CAROLINAS, i am not referring to SC or NC.

i am referring to both. aint nothing wrong with that, and there will never be.


no nothing wrong with it on a common noun perspective. But to properly identify those areas you would want to use North or South insead as a proper noun
Member Since: February 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
683. presslord
3:20 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Carolinas refers to both NC and SC. That pretty much tells you where it is at. Is there anything wrong with saying the Dakotas?


not really....since that's in Canada
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
682. LargoFl
3:19 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1016 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

GAZ074-076-085-086-011600-
1016 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 45 MPH WINDS IN WASHINGTON...
JOHNSON...EMANUEL AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM EST...

AT 1011 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST OF COLEMANS LAKE THROUGH
PRINGLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH ARE LIKELY AS THESE STORMS MOVE ACROSS
WASHINGTON...JOHNSON...EMANUEL AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 AM
EST. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE MOXLEY...
BARTOW...WADLEY...PRINGLE...NEW HOME...KITE...BLUNDALE...COLEMANS
LAKE...THREE POINTS AND SUMMERTOWN.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3267 8252 3287 8275 3300 8232 3292 8227
3284 8231 3281 8222 3282 8215 3281 8213
3277 8212
TIME...MOT...LOC 1516Z 278DEG 26KT 3293 8217 3286 8253
3283 8266

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
681. GeorgiaStormz
3:19 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


there's nothing right with it either...and for purposes of forecasting...one must specify with some accuracy where places are.....at


Carolinas refers to both NC and SC. That pretty much tells you where it is at. Is there anything wrong with saying the Dakotas?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
680. presslord
3:18 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



AHHHH. Thats your problem with carolinas. For the rest of us it is just fine.


it's mostly about me being a Charleston snob....although saying a hurricane is gonna hit the Carolinas is about as useful as saying it's gonna hit Florida
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
679. Jax82
3:17 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Feb 28, 2012


Feb 28, 2011
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
678. presslord
3:17 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


there is nothing wrong with 'the carolinas'.
Saying you should not use it is like saying prepositions are not words you should end sentences... with.


there's nothing right with it either...and for purposes of forecasting...one must specify with some accuracy where places are.....at
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
677. GeorgiaStormz
3:16 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


yup....it goes back several years...it's my biggest pet peeve....those of us in South Carolina are resistant to anything which might lead anyone to believe we have anything in common with our former territory to the North...



AHHHH. Thats your problem with carolinas. For the rest of us it is just fine.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
676. hydrus
3:16 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
675. SPLbeater
3:16 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
when i say THE CAROLINAS, i am not referring to SC or NC.

i am referring to both. aint nothing wrong with that, and there will never be.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
674. presslord
3:14 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting WDEmobmet:


Bitter sweet feeling, I understand the use of the term for generalizing a specefic region, however I have to agree with you presslord, completely inaccurate. It should instead state S. Carolina or N. Carolina properly


and you...are my new best friend...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
673. GeorgiaStormz
3:14 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


not only is this geographically inaccurate....in terms of weather forecasting, it's meaninglessly imprecise...


there is nothing wrong with 'the carolinas'.
Saying you should not use it is like saying prepositions are not words you should end sentences... with.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9467
672. presslord
3:13 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
The usage of the moniker "Carolinas" seems to be commonplace. I see it almost everywhere when driving through the region. For instance, this hospital took the title- Carolinas Medical Center, Charlotte, NC
Welcome to Carolinas Medical Center, an 874-bed hospital in Charlotte, North Carolina. CMC is the only Mecklenburg County hospital with a Level I trauma center. Even Wiki..The Carolinas - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Culture|
Politics|
Economy|
Sports

"The Carolinas" is a term used in the United States to refer collectively to the states of North and South Carolina. Together, the two states (North Carolina ...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Carolinas - Cached
More results from en.wikipedia.org »..Besides, it is fun to see your humorous posts after someone types "Carolinas"..:)


I will refer you to post #660 my friend
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
671. hydrus
3:13 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
670. Guysgal
3:13 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
"Storm of the Century" could become "Storm of the Decade"!

Link
Member Since: May 9, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 191
669. aerojad
3:13 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
"The Carolinas" is the "Happy Holidays" of the Weather Underground, and fought over with similar ferocity.
Member Since: June 5, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 114
668. WDEmobmet
3:10 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


not only is this geographically inaccurate....in terms of weather forecasting, it's meaninglessly imprecise...


Bitter sweet feeling, I understand the use of the term for generalizing a specefic region, however I have to agree with you presslord, completely inaccurate. It should instead state S. Carolina or N. Carolina properly
Member Since: February 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
667. hydrus
3:09 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


lottsa people smoke crack, too...I assume you think that makes it OK...
The usage of the moniker "Carolinas" seems to be commonplace. I see it almost everywhere when driving through the region. For instance, this hospital took the title- Carolinas Medical Center, Charlotte, NC
Welcome to Carolinas Medical Center, an 874-bed hospital in Charlotte, North Carolina. CMC is the only Mecklenburg County hospital with a Level I trauma center. Even Wiki..The Carolinas - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Culture|
Politics|
Economy|
Sports

"The Carolinas" is a term used in the United States to refer collectively to the states of North and South Carolina. Together, the two states (North Carolina ...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Carolinas - Cached
More results from en.wikipedia.org »..Besides, it is fun to see your humorous posts after someone types "Carolinas"..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
666. presslord
3:06 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting Hangten:


Is there a joke about the Carolinas I'm missing here? I noticed a couple references the past couple of times.


yup....it goes back several years...it's my biggest pet peeve....those of us in South Carolina are resistant to anything which might lead anyone to believe we have anything in common with our former territory to the North...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
665. StormTracker2K
3:05 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Don't be surprised if we have severe wx ongoing Saturday night and early Sunday from Tampa Bay north into S GA.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
664. Hangten
3:03 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


not only is this geographically inaccurate....in terms of weather forecasting, it's meaninglessly imprecise...


Is there a joke about the Carolinas I'm missing here? I noticed a couple references the past couple of times.
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 75
663. SPLbeater
2:59 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


lottsa people smoke crack, too...I assume you think that makes it OK...


you arent making a lick of sense here
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
662. LargoFl
2:58 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
424 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-012130 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
424 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MID MORNING
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE REGION IN THE FOG.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NATURE COAST ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED...AND SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

...DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. FOG WILL DISSIPATE DURING
THE MID MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE GULF WATERS SATURDAY AND THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

JOHNSON
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
661. Hangten
2:57 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 75
660. presslord
2:56 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:


how can it be inaccurate if thats the region i speak of?

The heading for the SPC paragraph on friday that tells the severe potential for NC and SC says: ...CAROLINAS...


lottsa people smoke crack, too...I assume you think that makes it OK...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
659. SPLbeater
2:56 PM GMT on March 01, 2012
Quoting presslord:


not only is this geographically inaccurate....in terms of weather forecasting, it's meaninglessly imprecise...


how can it be inaccurate if thats the region i speak of?

The heading for the SPC paragraph on friday that tells the severe potential for NC and SC says: ...CAROLINAS...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.