Tornadoes rip Midwest, killing 9; heavy snow hits Upper Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:05 PM GMT on February 29, 2012

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Strong tornadoes plowed through the Midwest U.S. last night and this morning, killing at least nine people. Six people died in Harrisburg, Illinois when a tornado hit near 5:37 am CST this morning, damaging or destroying 200 buildings. Another person was killed in southwest Missouri near Buffalo when a possible tornado ripped through a mobile home park. Thirteen others were injured in the mobile home park. Two others died in the Cassville and Puxico areas. A tornado also moved through downtown Branson, Missouri early this morning, causing heavy damage to the city's famous theaters, and injuring at least twelve people. A tornado plowed through the small town of Harveyville, Kansas (population 275), twenty miles southwest of Topeka, at 9:03 pm last night. The tornado destroyed 40 - 60% of the structures and injured ten, one critically. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged fifteen preliminary tornado reports yesterday and today.

The same storm system also brought the heaviest snows of the winter to portions of the Upper Midwest, which has received scant snowfall this winter. Blizzard warnings are posted in South Dakota this morning, where snowfall amounts of 6 - 10 inches are common. According to NOAA's latest storm summary, five states have experienced snowfall amounts of ten inches or more--Wisconsin, Minnesota, South Dakota, Michigan, and Nebraska. The highest snow amount as of 8 am CST was recorded at Tripoli, Wisconsin, where fourteen inches had fallen.


Figure 1. Radar image of the squall line that passed through Harrisburg, Illinois this morning, spawning a tornado that killed three people. The position of Harisburg is marked by a circle with a "+" symbol.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged thirteen preliminary tornado reports yesterday.

More tornadoes likely today
The powerful late-winter storm system that spawned the deadly tornadoes will move eastwards, bringing snows of 5 - 10 inches to northern Wisconsin, northern Minnesota, Michigan's Upper Peninsula, and northern New England. The storm's cold front is triggering severe thunderstorms over much of Kentucky this morning, and these thunderstorms are expected to grow in severity and spawn more tornadoes this afternoon, once the heat of the day destabilizes the atmosphere. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has posted tornado watches for portions of Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Ohio this morning, and has placed much of Tennessee and portions of surrounding states in their "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather today. Consult our Severe Weather Page and Interactive Tornado Page to follow today's severe weather.


Figure 3. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Tennessee and portions of surrounding states in their "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather, one level below the highest level of alert, "High Risk."

Jeff Masters

Big Flakes (papajuan)
Winter in Northern Minnesota
Big Flakes

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Looking at those pictures bring back memories of the 2011 spring outbreak...
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Quoting AussieStorm:


Quiet active east of Nashville


There it is...thanks Aussie
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
200 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYC153-175-291915-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120229T1915Z/
MAGOFFIN KY-MORGAN KY-
200 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MORGAN AND EXTREME
NORTH CENTRAL MAGOFFIN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EST...

AT 154 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FLORRESS...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WEST
LIBERTY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

IN ADDITION...THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING HEN EGG SIZED
HAIL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOON AND MIMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN
A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3786 8316 3787 8328 3792 8330 3797 8327
3801 8321 3797 8302 3787 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 265DEG 44KT 3788 8308
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Quoting JNCali:
West of Nashville TN


Quiet active east of Nashville
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
114 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ADAIR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN CASEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 145 PM CST/245 PM EST/...

* AT 112 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHRISTINE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
SANO AND WEBBS CROSS ROADS...
SYCAMORE FLAT AND DECATUR...
WINDSOR AND TEDDY...
MINTONVILLE AND ARGYLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO.
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EDIT****
For whatever reason its not showing it but nashville is lit up with TVS's
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All these twisters, my wife in Georgia has been hit by them so many times I'm thinking of putting in a storm shelter my next trip home.

As it is the odd rain patterns in the eastern caribbean have left the seas so high for so long that the island of Dominica is now out of gas on Wednesday, with a projection (wild guess) that we will have gas again at least in the capitol on Saturday. Monday's a better bet, though, with the rest of the island getting gas by next Wednesday a week from today.

Luckily, on a hunch I put six gallons away in spare cans right before carnival weekend so I think I can ride out (literally) this gas-free time, at least traffic will be very light.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Where about's are you?
West of Nashville TN
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Quoting Patrap:
It's good to see the Bloggers performing with great coverage of the events the last 24.


Sharing is the best way to move forward.

Many thanx to all contributing.






I agree. Hopefully,this same kind of blogging prevails all along during hurricane season,but I am dreaming about that,right Pat?
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14412
Quoting washingtonian115:
I was to.Especially seeing how everyone at that time was letting a cetain troll(who's name will not be mention)was letting everyone get to them/make them paranoid.


No names needed, know exactly whom you speak of lol
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Quoting WDEmobmet:


Funny thing, I was actually scared to speak up back then
Quoting washingtonian115:
I was to.Especially seeing how everyone at that time was letting a cetain troll(who's name will not be mention)was letting everyone get to them/make them paranoid.


when i firs joined i didnt say much. till i found some tropical sites that every one else had, and i got mor active :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4487
Quoting JNCali:
Watched my first rotating cell go right over head.. strange feeling... When I went to the post office which sits on the highest hill in town, a fire truck was parked so they could look toward the oncoming weather.. got another cell booming overhead as I write this.. no hail as of yet but gusts probably hitting 40?

Where about's are you?
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
154 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...YATESVILLE LAKE STATE PARK...
LOUISA...BLAINE...
SOUTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 230 PM EST

* AT 146 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 22
MILES WEST OF MARTHA...OR NEAR WEST LIBERTY...MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CHARLEY...ULYSSES...KIAHSVILLE...DUNLOW...FORT GAY AND EAST LYNN
LAKE.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
SPC AC 291736

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1136 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE LOWER MS
AND TN VALLEY AREA...

...SYNOPSIS...

A PROGRESSIVE SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. UPPER
TROUGH NOW OVER THE OH VALLEY WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT MOVES OFF THE
ATLANTIC SEABOARD THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH
AMPLIFIES OVER THE WRN STATES. A STRONG JET STREAK WILL MOVE THROUGH
BASE OF THE TROUGH AND INTO THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT.


AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
EARLY THURSDAY WITH TRAILING PORTIONS EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH THE
SERN STATES AND TX WHERE IT WILL STALL. WRN EXTENT OF FRONT WILL
RETURN NWD AS A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO CYCLOGENESIS AND STRENGTHENING
LLJ. DRYLINE WILL SETUP FROM W-CNTRL TX INTO CNTRL OK OVERNIGHT
ALONG WRN EDGE OF RETURNING MOIST AXIS. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY
THE IMPULSE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH BASE OF UPPER TROUGH...AND BY
12Z FRIDAY SHOULD EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW IN ERN KS SWWD THROUGH
CNTRL OK AND NWRN TX.

...LOWER MS-MID MS VALLEY INTO WRN PORTIONS OF TN AND OH VALLEYS...

RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING SOUTH OF WARM FRONT WILL BE
RAPIDLY TRANSPORTED NWD THROUGH SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY
THURSDAY NIGHT ALONG STRENGTHENING LLJ. MEANWHILE...INCREASING SWLY
FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVECT STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ABOVE MOIST AXIS CONTRIBUTING TO
DESTABILIZATION. MUCAPE COULD INCREASE TO 1500-2000 J/KG FROM PARTS
OF TX AND OK INTO THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY AND WRN PARTS OF THE TN
VALLEY. PRIMARY CONCERN THIS PERIOD WILL BE EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING WITH EWD
ADVECTING EML...ESPECIALLY WITH WWD EXTENT INTO THE SRN PLAINS.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THETA-E ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT
ACCOMPANYING THE STRENGTHENING SSWLY LLJ WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE
IN THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAINLY FROM PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY
INTO WRN PORTIONS OF THE TN AND OH VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STORMS
WILL MOST LIKELY BE AT LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ABOVE A STABLE
SURFACE LAYER...BUT EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION AND A THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. DUE
TO POTENTIAL CAPPING ISSUES...SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
REGARDING EXTENT AND EXACT LOCATION OF STORM DEVELOPMENT.

....GULF COASTAL STATES...

SOME POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF E-W FRONT OVER THE SERN STATES THAT WILL
STALL BEFORE RETREATING NWD AS A WARM FRONT. GIVEN SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL SHEAR...A CONDITIONAL THREAT WOULD EXIST FOR ISOLATED
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP. WEAK FORCING IN
VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY SUGGESTS STORM COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN VERY
ISOLATED AT BEST.

..DIAL.. 02/29/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1901Z (1:01PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Looks like the Gulf Coast states may get some loving too
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Quoting WDEmobmet:


Funny thing, I was actually scared to speak up back then
I was to.Especially seeing how everyone at that time was letting a cetain troll(who's name will not be mention)was letting everyone get to them/make them paranoid.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Watched my first rotating cell go right over head.. strange feeling... When I went to the post office which sits on the highest hill in town, a fire truck was parked so they could look toward the oncoming weather.. got another cell booming overhead as I write this.. no hail as of yet but gusts probably hitting 40?
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CNN's auto-loading video coverage of the Midwest tornadoes, starting with Harrisburg.
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It's good to see the Bloggers performing with great coverage of the events the last 24.


Sharing is the best way to move forward.

Many thanx to all contributing.




Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128874
Quoting washingtonian115:
I've been following this place since 06.But I was very hesitant to join until finally the 2010 hurricane season.


Funny thing, I was actually scared to speak up back then
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Quoting MississippiWx:


That's basically when I started following. I was a member than, just under a different account. I forgot the password/handle name so I made this one. Ivan was a pretty bad storm for your area.


Yea I was under different name as well... Ivan was a milestone for me. I always loved weather, even as a kid I remember George and Danny but IVAN THE GREAT was Life Changing. Mobile got lucky though it could have been much much worse for us
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Quoting WDEmobmet:

.

I agree.. Despite my Member Since activity i have followed since 04 after ivan
I've been following this place since 06.But I was very hesitant to join until finally the 2010 hurricane season.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Hook echo.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32347
Quoting KeyWestSun:

Cute avatar! :)
Thanks :).
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1240 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN ADAIR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHEASTERN BARREN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN GREEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN HART COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN METCALFE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 115 PM CST...

* AT 1235 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CORAL HILL...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
GREENSBURG...
GLASGOW...
SAVOYARD AND KNOB LICK...
NODE AND LITTLE BARREN...
LILETOWN AND EXIE...
BRAMLETT AND FRY...
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
140 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL MAGOFFIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 137 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EZEL...OR 10 MILES WEST OF WEST LIBERTY...
AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

IN ADDITION...UP TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS
STORM AND UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEST LIBERTY...KELLACEY...PEKIN...REXVILLE...MIZE...ZAG ...NEW
CUMMER...TWENTYSIX...GRASSY CREEK...DEMUND...HENRY...WOODSBEND...
NICKELL...DEHART...LIZZIELANE...BLAZE...YOCUM...PA NAMA...GREEAR AND
LIBERTY ROAD.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Quoting WDEmobmet:

.

I agree.. Despite my Member Since activity i have followed since 04 after ivan


That's basically when I started following. I was a member than, just under a different account. I forgot the password/handle name so I made this one. Ivan was a pretty bad storm for your area.
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LOUISVILLE, KY. (WDRB) -- Reports of storm damage are coming in across a wide swath of the WDRB viewing area, including a confirmed tornado in Hodgenville.

According to a clerk in the Larue County Sheriff's Office, he personally witnessed a subdivision virtually "wiped out." He said he saw a funnel cloud sweep down and hit several homes in a subdivision off of Lincoln Blvd., near a gas station called IGA Express.

He said the structures are still standing, but lots of roofs are gone and the exteriors of several homes are damaged. He said practically every home was, "torn to pieces." He continued, "It's like it just came down, wiped that subdivision out and then went back up."

He says he saw this when he went to make sure a friend was OK.

There are power outages all over Hodgenville.

more http://www.wdrb.com/story/17045594/storm-damage-r eports-from-all-around-wdrb-viewing-area
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Quoting WDEmobmet:

.

I agree.. Despite my Member Since activity i have followed since 04 after ivan


i join in 8/4/11, but followed since the 09 hurricane season :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4487
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Quoting MississippiWx:


It's all good. This blog is for learning and I have certainly learned a ton from it the last several years. People bicker at times, people troll at times, but overall it is hard to find a blog with such good info and a collection of very knowledgeable people.

.

I agree.. Despite my Member Since activity i have followed since 04 after ivan
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Hogdenville tornado Source and more pics: http://www.wdrb.com/story/17045594/storm-damage-r eports-from-all-around-wdrb-viewing-area


Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
Quoting wxmod:


Thanks for your comment. You can go to Link http://lance.nasa.gov/imagery/rapid-response/subse ts/ and pull up the original photo. There is a map in the side bar that shows exact location. I'll be looking at google earth for a way to overlay. Most of the photos I put here show hundreds of miles in each direction.


Creating a KML file for overlaying a single image is pretty easy. You specify the image uri, the coordinates, and optionally a transparency.
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Quoting WDEmobmet:


Yea thats what I was thinking... SOrry guys and gals I jumped the gun


It's all good. This blog is for learning and I have certainly learned a ton from it the last several years. People bicker at times, people troll at times, but overall it is hard to find a blog with such good info and a collection of very knowledgeable people.
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ELIZABETHTOWN, Ky. (WTVQ) -

Emergency management says Harry Owen Trucking was demolished, but all employees were able to get out of the building.

http://www.wate.com/story/17046472/storms-leave-p ath-of-damage-in-hardin-county
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Why does it seem that the cleverbot is always asking questions xD
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4487
New TVS west of Stanton



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Images from Elizabethtown damage


Images from Elizabethtown damage


Images from Elizabethtown damage
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I'm a bit jealous of the upper plains...The kids have not had one snow day and I promised that I'd help them build their candy snow man.That's not going to happen maybe until next winter...
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Quoting MississippiWx:


A debris ball would be at the end of the hook, not behind it.


Here is a visual example of what I mean. The debris ball is really the tornado itself surrounded by debris. So it's pretty accurate to follow the debris ball if you want to follow the tornado. As you see in this picture, it's at the end of the hook. The hook is made by the inflow coming into the mesocyclone (the tornado).

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Quoting MississippiWx:


A debris ball would be at the end of the hook, not behind it.


Yea thats what I was thinking... SOrry guys and gals I jumped the gun
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I to would like to know. So I know what to look for in the future.


Yea same here, I assume it was becuase it was off of the main rotation, however I really doubt it becuase it seems as though most debris balls form either out ahead of the rotation or are at least lateral to it. In this case it was behind it so.... I really dont know
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Dr Masters
Do you think this is a debris ball wsw of this hook?



A debris ball would be at the end of the hook, not behind it.
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Quoting KeyWestSun:
For anyone wondering, Harrisburg, IL is a town in central Saline County in downstate Illinois. It has a population of 9,860 people according to the 2000 census numbers.
just saw he video on CNN, geez what destruction,prayers for all those people
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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