4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

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Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

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Tampa Bay
TDWR High Definition Radar


Base Reflectivity 0.60° Elevation
Range 225 NMI




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985. hurricanehunter27 11:02 PM GMT on February 22, 2012 +0
What is with the massive SVR warning in TN. Lol..!..I saw that too.! All I saw was a cloud..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20507
989. Skyepony (Mod)
We've been having the weak seabreeze with all this heat. It could come into play today & give that an extra kick at the coast in central & south Brevard County...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Slamguitar:
... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Thursday afternoon through
Friday morning...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Winter
Storm Watch... which is in effect from Thursday afternoon through
Friday morning.

Hazardous weather...

* heavy snow will be possible near or shortly after the Thursday
evening commute.

* Reduced visibilities in heavy snow possible Thursday night.

* 4 to 6 inches of snow possible... with locally greater amounts.


Impacts...

* possible hazardous driving conditions with the Thursday evening
commute.

* Friday morning commute delays possible from heavy snowfall
overnight.


Snow in Michigan!! We're so snowless right now, it's just wrong for February.


we be east of mich
calling for snow as well here
we will get a couple of rounds
the next week and and half
march comes in like a savage
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I wouldn't say below average....I'd say average or slightly above average.
I'd have to agree, unless we get a strong El Nino. We'll have to wait and see...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Yay! We're finally getting some rain in New Smyrna Beach!
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What is with the massive SVR warning in TN.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
BLOUNT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN BRADLEY COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
CARTER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
COCKE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
GRAINGER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
GREENE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
HAMBLEN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
HANCOCK COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
HAWKINS COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
KNOX COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
LOUDON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MCMINN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MEIGS COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MONROE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MORGAN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
RHEA COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
ROANE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
EXTREME SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEVIER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
EXTREME WESTERN SULLIVAN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
UNICOI COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
UNION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE..


Seems like a bit of overkill to me. Plus I don't see any storms in that area that severe.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3841
there we go, finally a warning... Unfortunately looks like I'll be missing the action as I was afraid I would here in Pinellas. I was hoping we would get in the action but I figured it would miss us to the north. Darn, I haven gotten 1 really strong thunderstorm since October. This has been the most uneventful winter thunderstorm wise I can think of in quite a while. Ive had rain and some regular thunderstorms, but nothing strong, which is strange...


In fact this has probably been the only line all winter producing strong to severe weather with lots of lighting...
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7281
Yaaa no rain for Pinellas again...
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Runnin my frigidare window A/C!!!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
First warning...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7613
2.16" in 30 minutes so far.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
538 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA
NORTHERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 615 PM EST.

* AT 532 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF WINDERMERE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED
TO... OCOEE...CELEBRATION...LAKE BUENA VISTA...PINE HILLS...
KISSIMMEE...FAIRVIEW SHORES...ORLANDO...WINTER PARK...BUENA VENTURA
LAKES...ORLANDO...AZALEA PARK...EAST LAKE TOHO... SAINT
CLOUD...UNION PARK... NARCOOSSEE...LAKE MARY JANE...HARMONY...BITHLO
AND CHRISTMAS

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Very serious lightning here north of Orlando.
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Some nasty storms heading into/just south of Orlando right now.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7613
... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Thursday afternoon through
Friday morning...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Winter
Storm Watch... which is in effect from Thursday afternoon through
Friday morning.

Hazardous weather...

* heavy snow will be possible near or shortly after the Thursday
evening commute.

* Reduced visibilities in heavy snow possible Thursday night.

* 4 to 6 inches of snow possible... with locally greater amounts.


Impacts...

* possible hazardous driving conditions with the Thursday evening
commute.

* Friday morning commute delays possible from heavy snowfall
overnight.


Snow in Michigan!! We're so snowless right now, it's just wrong for February.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Its really cool to see all the T-storms blow up in South America.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3841
975. MahFL
I am in NE FL and we just got some thunder, and some nice heavy rain, looks like it will fly past soon.
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
I'm really surprised none of these cells have warnings, radar has indicated consistent rotation, albeit weak, and most important strong hail core signatures and some wind velocity signatures that could warrant severe...
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7281
Quoting SPLbeater:
Hmm...thunderstorms starting to form to my north...
Nah, just some convective rain showers. No lightning, Henderson reported rain with winds under 10 mph. Too far from the main lift for thunder in NC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Watch and see if those possibly developing cells in NE AL split a little. If so those will most likely be our first supercells of the day if they develop.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3841
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Hmm...thunderstorms starting to form to my north...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
College of DuPage Meteorology

Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.

Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.

SVR T-STORM WARNING TALLAHASSEE FL - KTAE 254 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

SVR T-STORM WARNING TALLAHASSEE FL - KTAE 1252 PM CST WED FEB 22 2012
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:


It's just 20 miles west of me and the sky is getting dark by the minute. Man this looks intense. I'm going to take some pics as it gets closer.
Quoting hurricanejunky:
Anyone on here in North Central FL getting hammered yet? Impressive looking line coming in...


i wish i waz there...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Tampa Bay
TDWR High Definition Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.60° Elevation
Range 225 NMI

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Very shocked the NWS has no warning on these cells as they are intense! I think it's because they under estimated the dynamics today across C and N FL. Only a 30% chance of showers as turned into a MCS event.



if the winds arent 58mph, and/or there isnt quarter size hail, and/or a tornado/funnel cloud, then the cell isnt severe.

I catch myself reminding my family and me of those steps before i go complaining about it lol. :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting hurricanejunky:
Anyone on here in North Central FL getting hammered yet? Impressive looking line coming in...


It's just 20 miles west of me and the sky is getting dark by the minute. Man this looks intense. I'm going to take some pics as it gets closer.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Anyone on here in North Central FL getting hammered yet? Impressive looking line coming in...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Very shocked the NWS has no warning on these cells as they are intense! I think it's because they under estimated the dynamics today across C and N FL. Only a 30% chance of showers as turned into a MCS event.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting LargoFl:
gee on the radar its all yellow and red, some much needed rain there


dont quote the troll
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Euro Ensemble mean.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20507
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Hey smartass, I can pull up gas buddy on my phone and check prices there if I like but I thought I'd ask someone on here whom I know (kwgirl) about gas prices where SHE lives since sometimes those gas prices are not up to the minute.

For someone who doesn't like conflict you sure do like to ridicule others and run your mouth alot. Let me know when you get past whatever wackjob issue you have with me and I'll remove you from my iggy list.


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Good Afternoon...
I found some severe weather reports!

Nice.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20507
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 PM CST WED FEB 22 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN NS...THE NRN HALF OF AL...PARTS OF SRN
TN...NWRN GA...FAR WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222008Z - 222215Z

CONTINUED AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION SUGGESTS INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. WW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY PAIRED WITH SURFACE AND OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES REVEAL A CLEARLY DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER...BENEATH
WHAT HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT CAPPING INVERSION. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
CONTINUES TO WARM/SLOWLY MOISTEN...THE EWD SPREAD OF COOLER
AIR/STEEPER LAPSE RATES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH
NOW PROGRESSING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
DESTABILIZATION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

WHILE A LOW-LEVEL FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO
DISCERN -- AND THUS LOCATION OF A CONCENTRATED THREAT AREA REMAINS
UNCERTAIN...INCREASINGLY STRONG/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT IS
PROVIDING A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/ROTATING
STORMS. THIS -- AND THE INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS --
SUGGEST THAT ANY STORMS WHICH CAN DEVELOP WILL LIKELY
ORGANIZE/INTENSIFY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH SOME ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL.

ATTM...CU FIELD APPEARS MOST ROBUST ACROSS NERN MS AND EWD ACROSS
NRN AL AND INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. WITH THIS AREA ON THE NRN
FRINGE OF THE BETTER THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AND NEAR THE SRN
BOUNDARY OF STRONGER UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSING
WAVE...THIS AREA APPEARS ATTM TO BE THE MOST LIKELY INITIATION ZONE
FOR INITIAL CONVECTION.

..GOSS.. 02/22/2012
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20507
Lot's of lightning west of here!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Afternoon...
I found some severe weather reports!

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7613
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
413 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

FLZ042-043-048-049-222200-
SUMTER-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-
413 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CITRUS...HERNANDO...CENTRAL PASCO
AND NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTIES...


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED NEAR HOMOSASSA SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH...WILL AFFECT HOMOSASSA SPRINGS...BEVERLY
HILLS...INVERNESS...AND HERNANDO BEACH UNTIL 500 PM EST.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Yet another human-induced avalanche caught on video
According to a spokesman for the AvalancheControlCenter (a part of the Utah branch of the NationalWeatherService), "weather unlike any I've seen in my 15years here" has made the avalanche hazard exceptionally high this winter.
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stutter-stepped posting deleted
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Thanks for the answer. Here is another graphic that ilustrates what is going on.



I think were heading toward a strong El-Nino JMO though based on the rapid increase in SST's across the equatorial Pacific.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Skyepony:


I had a feeling this was going to happen today. I think the dry mid level air is enhancing these storms as they come ashore however they should weaken some as they come across but still producing frequent lightning, heavy rain, and strong straight line winds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Skyepony:


Warm end of neutral.


Thanks for the answer. Here is another graphic that ilustrates what is going on.

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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Looks like there heading toward FL. Looks as if some severe wx warnings may go up for Citrus & Pasco Counties here soon as this is an intense line of storms rolling in.

just missing my area by a few miles, hopefully some of that rain will move south a lil
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SlormTracker2K:
Guys the storms off the coast headed to C FL is really going to help out the drought! Rainy Season commence! ~Jeff9641, RastaSteve
gee on the radar its all yellow and red, some much needed rain there
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
944. MTWX

CU field developing over CAFB, MS right now...
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943. Skyepony (Mod)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222013Z - 222215Z

CORRECTED TO CHANGE NS TO MS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED HEADLINE

CONTINUED AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION SUGGESTS INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. WW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY PAIRED WITH SURFACE AND OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES REVEAL A CLEARLY DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER...BENEATH
WHAT HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT CAPPING INVERSION. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
CONTINUES TO WARM/SLOWLY MOISTEN...THE EWD SPREAD OF COOLER
AIR/STEEPER LAPSE RATES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH
NOW PROGRESSING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
DESTABILIZATION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

WHILE A LOW-LEVEL FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO
DISCERN -- AND THUS LOCATION OF A CONCENTRATED THREAT AREA REMAINS
UNCERTAIN...INCREASINGLY STRONG/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT IS
PROVIDING A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/ROTATING
STORMS. THIS -- AND THE INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS --
SUGGEST THAT ANY STORMS WHICH CAN DEVELOP WILL LIKELY
ORGANIZE/INTENSIFY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH SOME ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL.

ATTM...CU FIELD APPEARS MOST ROBUST ACROSS NERN MS AND EWD ACROSS
NRN AL AND INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. WITH THIS AREA ON THE NRN
FRINGE OF THE BETTER THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AND NEAR THE SRN
BOUNDARY OF STRONGER UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSING
WAVE...THIS AREA APPEARS ATTM TO BE THE MOST LIKELY INITIATION ZONE
FOR INITIAL CONVECTION.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
941. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


What is your estimation of how ENSO will be by the Summer?


Warm end of neutral.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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