4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

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Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting bappit:
This dude is out there.



SCIENCE!
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6829
1140. bappit
This dude is out there.

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1139. guygee
You leave out several essential facts, not the least of them being, "Zimbabwe ain't got no nukes, baby!"
Quoting WxGeekVA(1030):


Wow... Just wow.....Zimbabwean dollar
[...]
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well, that was refreshing. :D a 15 minute period of strong gusty winds, heavy rain blowing in sheets, and my brother walking in here to see whats happening. Night all, this thing is past me, halfway through my weather radio warning area. So goodnight!

Pardon me if i get a bit edgy tomorrow, did not intend on staying up tonight, but I guess the Lord had other ideas with the weather, lol.
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holy mackerel listen to that rain against the house...and dat wind......gotta be some gusts to 35-40mph out there, maybe higher
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Quoting SPLbeater:


i should have known that MO was missuori lol.

have fun with your sleet/snow!

i had a quarter inch o that stuff last sunday night.


Ya, I seen your pics. :D I do a crazy amount of lurking. That's more snow than I've gotten this whole month. Just .20" being the most at once I've gotten.
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Quoting Slamguitar:


Michigan. Missouri is MO. All I have to track is a little line of sleet/snow. Some say I'll have 4 - 6 inches with a heavy snow event tomorrow, which would probably we only the 4th time such an amount fell in a 24 hour period this season, all of which I think were in January.


i should have known that MO was missuori lol.

have fun with your sleet/snow!

i had a quarter inch o that stuff last sunday night.
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just heard a low rumble of thunder...ok 2 rumbles..,to my west.

I have missed this all winter!!
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Quoting SPLbeater:


observing the radar, SRM and VIL loops i have set up at the moment, why go back to bed since this line is intensifying? lol.

MI stands for...missouri? is dat right?


Michigan. Missouri is MO. All I have to track is a little line of sleet/snow. Some say I'll have 4 - 6 inches with a heavy snow event tomorrow, which would probably we only the 4th time such an amount fell in a 24 hour period this season, all of which I think were in January.
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Quoting Slamguitar:


I'm hoping for some more nighttime thundersnow before the season is over. I seen two separate occasions this season, and two last season here in southwest MI. It's one of my favorite weather events. Winds have always been light.
I usually don't like nighttime severe thunderstorms ether, but I won't see those for another month. Maybe a little earlier due to the above average March temps.


observing the radar, SRM and VIL loops i have set up at the moment, why go back to bed since this line is intensifying? lol.

MI stands for...missouri? is dat right?
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Quoting SPLbeater:
ok back. radio went off again. this time for the county to my northwest. maybe the line will maintain itself until it gets past me, hopefully not.

I dont like nighttime sever thunderstorms.

b back if it go off again :D


I'm hoping for some more nighttime thundersnow before the season is over. I seen two separate occasions this season, and two last season here in southwest MI. It's one of my favorite weather events. Winds have always been light.
I usually don't like nighttime severe thunderstorms ether, but I won't see those for another month. Maybe a little earlier due to the above average March temps.
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ok back. radio went off again. this time for the county to my northwest. maybe the line will maintain itself until it gets past me, hopefully not.

I dont like nighttime sever thunderstorms.

b back if it go off again :D
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Quoting uncwhurricane85:
kinda off topic being this is a weather blog, but its funny buffalo is seeing their biggest snowfall of the winter season tonight!! what lake effect?


Ya, Erie is pretty cold now. Near the coldest they'll get before warming back up. This isn't getting any enhancement.

Link
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Quoting SPLbeater:


idc if i like politics or not, should it be the subject of a weather blog? nope:)

now, im back off. night all.

Dr. Masters sets the topics on the blog extreme weather and politics is what he picked.
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Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Just because you do not take an interest in politics, doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you.


idc if i like politics or not, should it be the subject of a weather blog? nope:)

now, im back off. night all.
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right as i was watching the three stooges, my weather begins blaring.

Strong line coming through to my west, south tip might git me in a few minutes.
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1125. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 434 Comments: 133378
Quoting RTSplayer:


Reality is what it is whether or not you agree to it's terms and definitions.

That's exactly the problem the author was addressing in the physics world in the paper I cited.

You think you get to define reality. You don't.

God is not magic and not a wizard.

Wizards and mages believe themselves to be tapping into some media greater than themselves.

God is the origin of all things.

Try again.

God is agape. Agape is love, but is also a rational, moral judgement.

Now again, the fact I don't understand does not mean it isn't rational or logical. As I've pointed out before, logic can exceed human capacity to understand, and nevertheless be perfectly valid.


You can continue with your "sky fairy / wizard / magic" argument vs God, but I will always remind you of how wrong you are.


What's funny to me, is you actually believe the pseudo philosophical thinking that you are trying to use as evidence. And the sad part is your ending argument is a statement of rightness, somehow implying that you know the real answer while I don't. It's condescending, anti-intellectual, and flat out self important.
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Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Just because you do not take an interest in politics, doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you.


In Soviet Russia, politics do YOU!
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Quoting RTSplayer:


Reality is what it is whether or not you agree to it's terms and definitions.

That's exactly the problem the author was addressing in the physics world in the paper I cited.

You think you get to define reality. You don't.

God is not magic and not a wizard.

Wizards and mages believe themselves to be tapping into some media greater than themselves.

God is the origin of all things.

Try again.

God is agape. Agape is love, but is also a rational, moral judgement.

Now again, the fact I don't understand does not mean it isn't rational or logical. As I've pointed out before, logic can exceed human capacity to understand, and nevertheless be perfectly valid.


You can continue with your "sky fairy / wizard / magic" argument vs God, but I will always remind you of how wrong you are.


Even if we grant you this, that doesn't strengthen your argument if you are trying to prove god's existence.
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Quoting SPLbeater:
gee it got quiet. yal see what a political discussion on a weather blog can do? DESTRUCTIVE AINT IT?? lol.



Just because you do not take an interest in politics, doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6829
Quoting Naga5000:


That's a created definition of a being that may or may not exist; your "logic" is pretty absurd and flawed.

This seems to be one of the crossroads of arguments such as this one. You and I don't share this definition of "God", your God that you equate to governance of the rational, I equate to a magic sky wizard, get it?

Sorry we can't engage each other in actual debate because the terms and definitions we use haven't been agreed upon.


Reality is what it is whether or not you agree to it's terms and definitions.

That's exactly the problem the author was addressing in the physics world in the paper I cited.

You think you get to define reality. You don't.

God is not magic and not a wizard.

Wizards and mages believe themselves to be tapping into some media greater than themselves.

God is the origin of all things.

Try again.

God is agape. Agape is love, but is also a rational, moral judgement.

Now again, the fact I don't understand does not mean it isn't rational or logical. As I've pointed out before, logic can exceed human capacity to understand, and nevertheless be perfectly valid.


You can continue with your "sky fairy / wizard / magic" argument vs God, but I will always remind you of how wrong you are.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
night all!
back tomorow moOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOrning!

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D
:):):):):):):):):):)
=p=p=p=p=p=p=p=p=p=p
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gee it got quiet. yal see what a political discussion on a weather blog can do? DESTRUCTIVE AINT IT?? lol.

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kinda off topic being this is a weather blog, but its funny buffalo is seeing their biggest snowfall of the winter season tonight!! what lake effect?
Member Since: August 4, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 582
"the rational principle that governs the universe".. how about the irrational principle that governs the universe...
zn+1 = zn2 + i
;)
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1115. Patrap

Pure energy, pure thought...

...beware the Ides of March
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 434 Comments: 133378
Path of tsunami debris mapped out

Houses and cars were swept out to sea in Kesennuma City.
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Has anybody seen what the NOGAPS GFS and ECMWF has going to Madagascar next week?

Large cyclone, central Madagascar, east side! close to where Giovanna made landfall.(in my blog) :D

u can see alot of convection already in the position that this system is forecas tto take shape
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Quoting RTSplayer:


By definition, God is equated to "the rational principle that governs the universe," therefore your statement cannot be true.


That's a created definition of a being that may or may not exist; your "logic" is pretty absurd and flawed.

This seems to be one of the crossroads of arguments such as this one. You and I don't share this definition of "God", your God that you equate to governance of the rational, I equate to a magic sky wizard, get it?

Sorry we can't engage each other in actual debate because the terms and definitions we use haven't been agreed upon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RTSplayer:


Ah, then you have defeated your own self. I hope you see that.

I've used the same argument myself.

"In the beginning was the Logos and the Logos was with God and the Logos was God...all things were made by him..."

to believe otherwise requires, I think, a very narrow world view and an unhealthy dose of ego.Now, this is surprising news. Will you kindly supply a list of names?


Half a moment.


But probability math represents reality even less fully, for obvious reasons. Probability math gives us only probabilities.

This used to be common sense. Mathematicians understood that probabilities were probabilities. Probabilities were imprecise, due to the very definition of the word. But scientists in the 20th century could not live with this imprecision. They were so proud of their new theory that they could not bear to admit that it was not a full expression of reality. They couldn’t live with the “gap” in knowledge. So they simply closed the gap, by main force. They just defined
probability as reality. They said, in effect, “This is what we know. Our math is all we know and it is all we can know. Therefore, it is reality for us. Therefore it is reality.”
- Miles Mathis

Two Steps Back, One Leap Forward, Full Paper by Steven Oostdijk


I found this paper incredibly interesting, because it not only highlights some things I've pointed out, but also many things I didn't think about.Some of his citations are considered crankery, and yet ironically, these people have stumped mainstream theorists and are extremely adept at showing both philosophical and topological problems with mainstream theory.

The main connection here is the section where he tears into the probabilistic model of QM.

Also of interest, deriving relativity with only high school level math, and it's simpler and easier to work with.

This is not dodging the question at all, but gets right to the heart of the matter.

The ridiculously small probabilities involved in the universe are explained away by atheists in modern times as a combination of the anthropic principle and a "many worlds" interpretation of QM, which is to say, "if there's infinite universes one of them was bound to contain us, it's only looking special because we're observing it..."

That is just completely ridiculous, and is a fallacy anyway, because it assumes all possibilities or all probabilities represent realities. They don't.

When you flip a coin it will either land heads or tails, except in an absurdly rare case where it may land on edge and stick. In any case, what happens is real. The probabilities are imaginary constructs to try to show "possibilities," but even possibilities are not real.

Real is what actually happens.

You've really got to work on shortening your posts, lol.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34187
Quoting Neapolitan:
You're certainly within your rights to not accept that. But, again, something isn't irrational (in the logical sense of that world) simply because someone doesn't understand it;


Ah, then you have defeated your own self. I hope you see that.

I've used the same argument myself.

"In the beginning was the Logos and the Logos was with God and the Logos was God...all things were made by him..."

to believe otherwise requires, I think, a very narrow world view and an unhealthy dose of ego.Now, this is surprising news. Will you kindly supply a list of names?


Half a moment.


But probability math represents reality even less fully, for obvious reasons. Probability math gives us only probabilities.

This used to be common sense. Mathematicians understood that probabilities were probabilities. Probabilities were imprecise, due to the very definition of the word. But scientists in the 20th century could not live with this imprecision. They were so proud of their new theory that they could not bear to admit that it was not a full expression of reality. They couldn’t live with the “gap” in knowledge. So they simply closed the gap, by main force. They just defined
probability as reality. They said, in effect, “This is what we know. Our math is all we know and it is all we can know. Therefore, it is reality for us. Therefore it is reality.”
- Miles Mathis

Two Steps Back, One Leap Forward, Full Paper by Steven Oostdijk


I found this paper incredibly interesting, because it not only highlights some things I've pointed out, but also many things I didn't think about.Some of his citations are considered crankery, and yet ironically, these people have stumped mainstream theorists and are extremely adept at showing both philosophical and topological problems with mainstream theory.

The main connection here is the section where he tears into the probabilistic model of QM.

Also of interest, deriving relativity with only high school level math, and it's simpler and easier to work with.

This is not dodging the question at all, but gets right to the heart of the matter.

The ridiculously small probabilities involved in the universe are explained away by atheists in modern times as a combination of the anthropic principle and a "many worlds" interpretation of QM, which is to say, "if there's infinite universes one of them was bound to contain us, it's only looking special because we're observing it..."

That is just completely ridiculous, and is a fallacy anyway, because it assumes all possibilities or all probabilities represent realities. They don't.

When you flip a coin it will either land heads or tails, except in an absurdly rare case where it may land on edge and stick. In any case, what happens is real. The probabilities are imaginary constructs to try to show "possibilities," but even possibilities are not real.

Real is what actually happens.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
looks like alot of light rain moving through central VA..
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The sky is falling! THE SKY IS FALLING!!!

Okay, only the "global average cloud height decreased by around 1 percent over the decade, a distance of 100 to 130 feet (30 to 40 meters). Most of the reduction stemmed from fewer clouds forming at very high altitudes." But still...
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Are you a Star Trek character? You are the most interesting poster I'v ever seen.


I wish. Then I could solve any problem in just one hour, minus commercial breaks, lol.

I'm just complicated.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting Naga5000:


Yet giving the credit for all the order in the universe to a magic sky wizard (of any particular denomination) is completely irrational as well.


By definition, God is equated to "the rational principle that governs the universe," therefore your statement cannot be true.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting sunlinepr:


Cloud height decreasing on Earth and NASA scientists are unsure why
Posted on February 22, 2012
February 22, 2012 – EARTH - Earth’s clouds got a little lower — about one percent on average — during the first decade of this century, finds a new NASA-funded university study based on NASA satellite data. The results have potential implications for future global climate. Data from NASA’s MISR instrument on NASA’s Terra spacecraft show that global average cloud height declined by about 1 percent over the decade from 2000 to 2010, or around 100 to 130 feet (30 to 40 meters). Lead researcher Roger Davies said that while the record is too short to be definitive, it provides a hint that something quite important might be going on. Longer-term monitoring will be required to determine the significance of the observation for global temperatures. A consistent reduction in cloud height would allow Earth to cool to space more efficiently, reducing the surface temperature of the planet and potentially slowing the effects of global warming. This may represent a “negative feedback” mechanism – a change caused by global warming that works to counteract it. “We don’t know exactly what causes the cloud heights to lower,” says Davies. “But it must be due to a change in the circulation patterns that give rise to cloud formation at high altitude.” NASA’s Terra spacecraft is scheduled to continue gathering data through the remainder of this decade. Scientists will continue to monitor the MISR data closely to see if this trend continues. –Physics



Might be hard to compare that to other climate time-scale data. Usually on climatic timescales things are discussed in decadal averages. We just got one decade in that plot and its being analyzed for a trend instead of an average. Will be interesting to see if other data backs this up, and what physical mechanisms are hypothesized to describe the phenomena. Not saying it isn't happening, but color me skeptical.
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Quoting j2008:
To boldly go where no blogger has gone before. To the realm of sanity.
I thought we've already seen that many times on this blog...
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Quoting Xyrus2000:


Yep, and I have a 100 billion dollar bill from Zimbabwe to prove how well it worked. :D

Though that's worth less than a fraction of penny now. They're printing 100 trillion dollar bills now.


Interesting discussion...
Actually, according to this article, those bills have soared in value - as collectibles on ebay!

Sadly for Zimbabweans, a few pounds of stones of the Great Enclosure are more valuable than their currency...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4870
1101. j2008
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Are you a Star Trek character? You are the most interesting poster I'v ever seen.
To boldly go where no blogger has gone before. To the realm of sanity.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
El nino will be here in fall at the rate it's forming.I'm surprised La nina has actually collasped this fast.Mmmmm....


i bet you have changed thru about 50 different avatars this year LOL.

:D

i forgot to put a warning up also that my previous comment contained information about the weather.
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I have a new blog out concerning the quiet tropical acnd possible development. Doesnt look good for Madagascar. Link
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And just when we were talking about weather this BS appears...
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Quoting RTSplayer:
I cannot accept the atheist belief in life as a random accident or some combination of chance and selection, because that is not rational. The universe is far too ordered and even redundant in it's very laws for randomness or chance to be considered as rational.
You're certainly within your rights to not accept that. But, again, something isn't irrational (in the logical sense of that world) simply because someone doesn't understand it; to believe otherwise requires, I think, a very narrow world view and an unhealthy dose of ego.
Quoting RTSplayer:
Many modern scientists are beginning to realize that.
Now, this is surprising news. Will you kindly supply a list of names?
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 14450
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well its actually incredibly hard to explain how the current economy works in terms of currency. If I knew how to explain it to you it would take several years. But what your analogy was perfect for is if we were still on a gold standard. Its much easier to prove something wrong then to prove something to be true.

That was why I said value of U.S. as opposed to our gold reserve. I was just trying to explain why we couldn't print our way out of it.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Look how the Pacific has warmed in a short period of time.

Doesn't look like this one will be a modeki(did I spell that right?) El nino.Looks like once again the warm water will be by South America again.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Look how the Pacific has warmed in a short period of time.



at this rate i dont think i would be out of line to say it could be here by early summer...hmmm...
Member Since: August 4, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 582
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Good analogy.

Thank you.
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Quoting Texasdrifter:

I did say it wasn't perfect. How would you explain it?
Well its actually incredibly hard to explain how the current economy works in terms of currency. If I knew how to explain it to you it would take several years. But what your analogy was perfect for is if we were still on a gold standard. Its much easier to prove something wrong then to prove something to be true.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
El nino will be here in fall at the rate it's forming.I'm surprised La nina has actually collasped this fast.Mmmmm....


Look how the Pacific has warmed in a short period of time.

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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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