4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

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Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

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4044 11/08 District of Columbia Earthquake
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Quoting TampaSpin:
4042 11/04 Virginia Earthquake


The above was declared a disaster by FEMA.....YOU GOTTA BE KIDDING....WOW

This stuff is completely Flawed!


Bottom line, don't believe a damn thing this government tells ya, the days of the old are over and society now days doesn't give a damn what they think or say. It's already happening, protests, next will be riots, then they'll know who is in charge for sure
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


i have mo idea..i was just wondering what it took to be declared a disaster, im sure that state govts sometime do not take proper actions as they should when dealing with disasters...example katrina..totally the states fault!!


Katrina was a violent act of nature that worsened by man's actions/inactions. Let us hope that this is a lesson well learned and the failures of man are less likely to add to the destruction brought by future weather events. ... Observations do not seem to support this as to being very likely, but that can all change.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
4042 11/04 Virginia Earthquake


The above was declared a disaster by FEMA.....YOU GOTTA BE KIDDING....WOW

This stuff is completely Flawed!
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Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Interesting map. Two things, though.

The county lists do not differentiate between "severe storm" and "tornado." All are listed as severe storms. Also, perhaps a little confusing for some, the weather events are not listed on the date they occurred but, apparently, on the date FEMA recognized the weather occurrence as a disaster. Only state I checked was Oklahoma and the counties most familiar to me. Makes it appear as though there were no tornadoes. Right away my radar is up and asking what kind of care was taken in preparing this map and the county-by-county disaster lists.

Second thing. Not related to the map, really, but to the blog title. "4 of 5 Americans affected by weather disasters since 2006" is an exaggeration where some or maybe most forms of weather are concerned. Even allowing for the friend of a friend and the owner of the gym where you work out whose houses got wiped out by a tornado, not every person in a given county is affected. Might have been better to say, "4 of 5 U.S. counties affected..." in the blog title rather than in the fine print, so to speak.

These observations have nothing to do with my views on AGW or my views on whether or not extreme weather is escalating. Just logic and correct use of English.


It's real easy



Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
Interesting map. Two things, though.

The county lists do not differentiate between "severe storm" and "tornado." All are listed as severe storms. Also, perhaps a little confusing for some, the weather events are not listed on the date they occurred but, apparently, on the date FEMA recognized the weather occurrence as a disaster. Only state I checked was Oklahoma and the counties most familiar to me. Makes it appear as though there were no tornadoes. Right away my radar is up and asking what kind of care was taken in preparing this map and the county-by-county disaster lists.

Second thing. Not related to the map, really, but to the blog title. "4 of 5 Americans affected by weather disasters since 2006" is an exaggeration where some or maybe most forms of weather are concerned. Even allowing for the friend of a friend and the owner of the gym where you work out whose houses got wiped out by a tornado, not every person in a given county is affected. Might have been better to say, "4 of 5 U.S. counties affected..." in the blog title rather than in the fine print, so to speak.

These observations have nothing to do with my views on AGW or my views on whether or not extreme weather is escalating. Just logic and correct use of English.
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You all might find this interesting...


Declared Disasters by Year or State
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Quoting RTSplayer:
The Big Bang theory is even based on a logical fallacy.

It assumes:

A) The laws are the same for all space and time.

B) Running a system backwards indefinitely produces states that were in the system's past.


then it looks at the hubble constant and says, "Gee, the universe is expanding, it must have been doing so forever. Let's run it backwards and see what happens."

PROBLEM.

That is an invalid experment, because you can't prove when and where the universe originate to prove when the "running backwards" should stop.

The infinitesmal point origin is a valid mathematical solution to a curve in a model, but the problem is the assumption that the curve can be or should be followed indefinitely is a fallacy.

If I start with a watch, and run it backwards, the assumption that the dates and times on the watch are valid states in the system's past is a fallacy. After all, we can run a watch backwards to infinity or until the device breaks, but it's meaningless. It was made a finite time, in most cases a few months or a few years ago.

The problem I am pointing out with the BB model is that running a system backwards indefinitely is not necessarily logically valid for finding previous states. The watch example shows how the "run it backwards" experiment can produce false states which never actually existed in the system's past.


Just one "tiny" problem.


Looking at red shift doesn't solve it, since the light could have been created that way in the first place.


But again, even if you ignore all the glaring problems in the BB model itself, it still doesn't solve the real question of origins. It doesn't.

If believing in God is irrational or non-scientific, since you can't see or test him in a lab, then how idiotic does this make Michio Kaku and other M-theory and string theorists? They literally believe in the spaghetti monster they cannot see, but disbelieve in God.


I had found another video the other day, in which the expert atheist narrator basically accidentally defeated his own argument against the existence of God.

It will take me a while to find it, but it went something like this.

He admitted the universe itself cannot be eternal, since entropy would have destroyed it.

Therefore the universe needs an origin and needs some form of eternal "cause that was not caused".

And that, friends, is the same thing as Aquinas' cosmological argument.

Yet in the very next statement the narrator dismisses God for no rational reason whatsoever, except that he just doesn't like the idea that God exists.

So the atheist said that there needed to be an "uncaused cause," exactly what any creationist would say, but he refuses to accept God as that solution.


the biblical God is, by defintion, the "uncaused cause", the "First and the Last".


So actually, the atheist narrator logically supported the existence of God, and then willfully rejected him.


no one knows nor will ever know...get over it..move on..this is a weather blog!
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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Unless I am mistaken, I believe that the governor of the state has to request that a disaster be declared. Did SC governor make this request during these times? I would not know.


i have mo idea..i was just wondering what it took to be declared a disaster, im sure that state govts sometime do not take proper actions as they should when dealing with disasters...example katrina..totally the states fault!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Big Bang theory is even based on a logical fallacy.

It assumes:

A) The laws are the same for all space and time.

B) Running a system backwards indefinitely produces states that were in the system's past.


then it looks at the hubble constant and says, "Gee, the universe is expanding, it must have been doing so forever. Let's run it backwards and see what happens."

PROBLEM.

That is an invalid experment, because you can't prove when and where the universe originate to prove when the "running backwards" should stop.

The infinitesmal point origin is a valid mathematical solution to a curve in a model, but the problem is the assumption that the curve can be or should be followed indefinitely is a fallacy.

If I start with a watch, and run it backwards, the assumption that the dates and times on the watch are valid states in the system's past is a fallacy. After all, we can run a watch backwards to infinity or until the device breaks, but it's meaningless. It was made a finite time, in most cases a few months or a few years ago.

The problem I am pointing out with the BB model is that running a system backwards indefinitely is not necessarily logically valid for finding previous states. The watch example shows how the "run it backwards" experiment can produce false states which never actually existed in the system's past.


Just one "tiny" problem.


Looking at red shift doesn't solve it, since the light could have been created that way in the first place.


But again, even if you ignore all the glaring problems in the BB model itself, it still doesn't solve the real question of origins. It doesn't.

If believing in God is irrational or non-scientific, since you can't see or test him in a lab, then how idiotic does this make Michio Kaku and other M-theory and string theorists? They literally believe in the spaghetti monster they cannot see, but disbelieve in God.


I had found another video the other day, in which the expert atheist narrator basically accidentally defeated his own argument against the existence of God.

It will take me a while to find it, but it went something like this.

He admitted the universe itself cannot be eternal, since entropy would have destroyed it.

Therefore the universe needs an origin and needs some form of eternal "cause that was not caused".

And that, friends, is the same thing as Aquinas' cosmological argument.

Yet in the very next statement the narrator dismisses God for no rational reason whatsoever, except that he just doesn't like the idea that God exists.

So the atheist said that there needed to be an "uncaused cause," exactly what any creationist would say, but he refuses to accept God as that solution.


the biblical God is, by defintion, the "uncaused cause", the "First and the Last".


So actually, the atheist narrator logically supported the existence of God, and then willfully rejected him.
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I find myself hitting that little minus - button on every post some peeps make.....even if they post a smiley face.....cause i know its fake.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Thanks, Dr. Masters. I posted a few snippets and graphics from that fascinating and disturbing Environment America report last week, but didn't hear much back from people. The fact is, as numerous independent studies have shown, the rapidly-changing climate is wreaking havoc with our weather, and it's pretty clear that it's going to be getting a whole lot worse before it even begins to think about getting better; I imagine the 2040 version of the map above will be a sold mass of reds and purples...



I know it's sad, especially with the over breeding in the world and shody built infrastructure that will need to be built for all these people creating that much more to destroy by nature herself. That map should be totally purple by 2040. Weather will keep on going on like it has for centuries.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
Quoting uncwhurricane85:
im 100% sure south carolina had multiple tornado events the past 2 years with millions in losses and some deaths as well! to what severity with relavence to this map does it take to be considered a disaster on this map?


Unless I am mistaken, I believe that the governor of the state has to request that a disaster be declared. Did SC governor make this request during these times? I would not know.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
Quoting washingtonian115:
And let's not forget Andrew.Ohhhh he was a nasty little bugger. I just hope this year is'nt like 09.That was a let down for the Atlantic.The other basins had their moments though....Particually the Phillipines.......


yeah i think those Pacific storms are amazing, but tend not to care about them as they will not blast into my house in wilmington, nc
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It may be enough for some to look at the computer and say, "I don't understand every part of it, and that's okay with me." It may be okay for still others to say, "I don't understand every part of it, so I'll manufacture a supernatural creation myth for how that computer works." But I'm in neither of those groups; I choose instead to say, "I don't understand every part of that computer, but given that I doubt the supernatural origin others have ascribed to it, I intend to devote my life and my studies to figuring it out. Now, maybe I'll never know all there is to know, but perhaps the things I've learned will help the person who follows me understand it that much better."


That provides no solace to anyone. Every person who has ever lived has died (well, except according to the bible, Enoch and Elijah anyway,) and people's understanding is limited anyway.

It's simple math. You cannot comprehend a matrix of the scope of the universe in the space of a brain that is a few centimeters across, so why should you expect to understand God?

In other words, no, it is nowhere near enough for me to simply "know the computer was made".


Of course it is. You use it every day without knowing how it works, and I highly doubt you'll personally investigate all of it's workings to ever find out how or why everything works, but you'll still trust the guy who tells you that in fact the computer was made and didn't simply spring into existence.



BTW, please don't keep using the insulting term "irrational" simply because you don't agree with or understand what someone else is trying to say. Thanks!


Pointing out someone else's fallacies is a perfectly valid form of argumentation.
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Quoting reedzone:


That's what they said in 2004, but the Hurricane Season became one of the most disastrous.. at least for Florida.
It depends if it's an EPAC or CPAC El Nino? Where ever the waters are the warmest. Yet it doesn't really matter cause it only takes one to make it a bad season.
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Quoting Skyepony:
This certainly doesn't look like a retraction..

Hard not to wunder if Masters didn't get one of those threatening letters from Heartland to retract or get sued..
He may have, but HI's extremely hypocritical letter of threat and thuggery is being largely ignored, and it will of course have no standing in any courtroom, for its wishes of censorship are unenforceable through and through. Heartland is certainly free to ask news outlets to abstain, of course, though the only ones likely to do so are those in agreement with Heartland that environmental regulation is akin to fascism. Or something like that.

Anyway, there's this great graphic from the very educational Skeptical Science website:

scumbags
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13455
Quoting reedzone:


That's what they said in 2004, but the Hurricane Season became one of the most disastrous.. at least for Florida.
And let's not forget Andrew.Ohhhh he was a nasty little bugger.
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


i hope its a good one too, last year was decent but not enough majors...im hoping for a few cat 5s this year, even with el nino it can still happen..im sure we all know andrew was an el nino hurricane
I just hope this year is'nt like 09.That was a let down for the Atlantic.The other basins had their moments though....Particually the Phillipines.......
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Quoting TampaSpin:
The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters.


And FEMA has been around for HOW LONG? I will let you all figure out where i was going with this.


they started this map the year after katrina too! probably still back logged from 2005...typical govt agency!
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Quoting wxmod:
Interesting that FEMA disaster was never declared for the drought in Texas.


Oh, but they did.

Feds Declare all of Texas a Natural Disaster Area Due to Drought - June 28,2011
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
Quoting washingtonian115:
If a el nino does form I hope it will be very weak.So that I can have some interesting storms to track this year.Im not impending doom and gloom here I'm just a nut for hurricanes.


That's what they said in 2004, but the Hurricane Season became one of the most disastrous.. at least for Florida.
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The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters.


And FEMA has been around for HOW LONG? I will let you all figure out where i was going with this.
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SC had a quite a few serious disasters(3/15/08) for example, but none that were worthy of federal disaster declaration, i guess.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
Quoting washingtonian115:
People I'm talking about this years upcoming hurricane season.Lets all talk about that....Maybe we can restrain from the unnecessary BS.So wha'da ya say???


i hope its a good one too, last year was decent but not enough majors...im hoping for a few cat 5s this year, even with el nino it can still happen..im sure we all know andrew was an el nino hurricane
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People I'm talking about this years upcoming hurricane season.Lets all talk about that....Maybe we can restrain from the unnecessary BS.So wha'da ya say???
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If a el nino does form I hope it will be very weak.So that I can have some interesting storms to track this year.Im not impending doom and gloom here I'm just a nut for hurricanes.
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well shoot, looks like South Carolina is the winner!
;)
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Thanks, Dr. Masters. I posted a few snippets and graphics from that fascinating and disturbing Environment America report last week, but didn't hear much back from people. The fact is, as numerous independent studies have shown, the rapidly-changing climate is wreaking havoc with our weather, and it's pretty clear that it's going to be getting a whole lot worse before it even begins to think about getting better; I imagine the 2040 version of the map above will be a sold mass of reds and purples...

Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13455
im 100% sure south carolina had multiple tornado events the past 2 years with millions in losses and some deaths as well! to what severity with relavence to this map does it take to be considered a disaster on this map?
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Thanks Dr. Masters. I wonder what that map would look like if you include the last ten years. Then it would include the devasting 2004-2005 hurricane seasons. I guess maybe just Florida would change color. But I am sure there were other disasters around the country at that time. I was just too busy dodging hurricanes to pay attention then or to remember now.
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7. Skyepony (Mod)
This certainly doesn't look like a retraction..

Hard not to wunder if Masters didn't get one of those threatening letters from Heartland to retract or get sued..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37327
Looks like GA is just as calm as i thought,but it seems strange that SC has just about no disasters
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
Thanks Doc.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
Interesting that FEMA disaster was never declared for the drought in Texas.
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Wonder what this years hurricane season will bring....
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9690

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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