4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

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Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting BahaHurican:
Looking at that disaster map makes me wonder if this is the year both SE FL and Tampa will get it... that white area looks like a bullseye...

But, SERIOUSLY....

lol



By the time Tampa gets hit by a major hurricane again we'll have human exploration on other planets and Florida won't be a desirable place to live anymore, that's my prediction.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7561
Quoting KoritheMan:
On another note, once my dad's friend comes back from vacation (which should be Friday), I'm going to talk to him about potentially getting into electronics. As some of you know, I currently work in the dairy, and while the relatively constant business of the department is most desirable, as a 20 year old I have much more in common with electronics than I do milk or eggs.

In short, I think it would make my time at Walmart more enjoyable. I can deal with idiotic customers and Black Friday.

Granted, aside from myself, there are two other people trying for a spot there, so my chances of getting in aren't exactly great. But again, the manager over that department is one of my dad's best friends, and he favors me quite a bit.


A one in three chance is pretty darn good IMO. In my profession the odds are more like one in one hundred.

The system late week seems it wants to take a similar track to last week which would leave me high and dry again. Wildfires are getting an early start in FL.



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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Live in Roswell. :)


Thats where the storms restrengthen.
It always seems Roswell is getting pounded :)
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201500z position near 24.7s 53.0e.
Tropical cyclone 12s (giovanna), located approximately 490 nm
southeast of Antananarivo, Madagascar, has tracked north-
northwestward at 09 knots over the past six hours. Animated
multispectral satellite imagery (msi) reveals that the low level
circulation center (LLCC) became completely exposed over the past 12
hours as the deep convection was strongly sheared down stream. As a
result of this de-coupling the LLCC is now being steered slowly
equatorward under the influence of a low- to mid-level anticyclone
located over eastern south Africa. The current position is based on
the exposed LLCC in msi with excellent confidence. The current
intensity is assessed at 45 knots based on the Dvorak estimates from
pgtw and knes. Animated water vapor imagery depicts the quick demise
of tc 12s. Upper level analysis indicates the LLCC remains south of
the subtropical ridge axis and is under 30-40 knots of vertical wind
shear (vws). Due to the de-coupling of the LLCC, the forecast has
now changed to a north-northwesterly track, with continued weakening
over the next 24 hours due to sustained high vws and drier air. Tc
12s is forecast to be below tropical storm strength by tau 24. The
majority of the numerical model guidance tracks the system eastward
under the influence of an anticyclone to the north that is being
spun up by tc 13s. The ECMWF and ukmo models correctly picked up on
the LLCC separation and subsequent northward movement. Therefore,
the forecast is heavily biased towards these models vice consensus.
Maximum significant wave height at 201200z is 18 feet. Next warnings
at 210300z. Refer to tropical cyclone 13s (thirteen) warnings
(wtxs32 pgtw) for twelve-hourly updates.
//
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3474


TOP OF THE WORLD VIEW
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 54283
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


With all GA's severe weather, I the closest i came to a tornado was lee

The storm had a funnel cloud clipping trees south of me, weakened and passed over me, and then restrengthened north of me with the tornado touchdown a couple miles from my house.
Maybe it is the landscape, but storms, even supercells and those in squall lines, weaken considerably as they approach N Cobb but still produce severe weather just a few miles away. In 10 years, my house has had one 5 minute golf ball sized hail storm, and a couple 60 mph wind gust.
So i am not experienced in witnessing severe weather 1st hand
Live in Roswell. :)
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3842
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 54283
Quoting SPLbeater:


Last spring a tornado F3 roared past me by about 10 minutes. 6 people were killed by the tornado in its 63 mile path on April 16th, and massive destruction left.

:D i think i got u beat lol. And it seems that everytime i see somebody else suffering from a tornado now, it means more because i was in an outbreak. its like i feel their pain now...:D


With all GA's severe weather, I the closest i came to a tornado was lee

The storm had a funnel cloud clipping trees south of me, weakened and passed over me, and then restrengthened north of me with the tornado touchdown a couple miles from my house.
Maybe it is the landscape, but storms, even supercells and those in squall lines, weaken considerably as they approach N Cobb but still produce severe weather just a few miles away. In 10 years, my house has had one 5 minute golf ball sized hail storm, and a couple 60 mph wind gust.
So i am not experienced in witnessing severe weather 1st hand
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I can't comment on this anymore. JTWC goes on my ignore list if the next warning on this isn't the last one.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7833
Quoting SPLbeater:


well i hope a snowstorm comes your way, and you get the same thing i got! a teaser! LOL

You're mean! Besides, that's already happened a couple times this year!


For the first time, Hilwa isn't looking so bad!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7833
We got 15 inches of snow this winter. Our average is 70 inches all winter, and 60 inches up until March.

Europe stole winter! >:[

We are supposed to get 2 inches from this storm that you guys were watching, so we may reach 20 inches this winter. Though it will quickly melt considering we haven't had a high lower than -10C (5F) this February.
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be back soOoOoOon
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

You got me by a bit there SPL, but still, an F3 for MA is very rare.
Also, I saw the 18z GFS has a very strong storm affecting Madagascar 10-11 days from now. A long ways out but the GFS has shown consistency putting a storm somewhere in that timeframe in several of its runs.


well i hope a snowstorm comes your way, and you get the same thing i got! a teaser! LOL
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Quoting washingtonian115:
D.C has only had 2 inches of snow this year.If no more snow falls this winter than that will probally be the smallest amount in a loooooong time.


2010-2011

One dusting snow squall

One 3 inch snowstorm

One 8 inch snowstorm

One 1 inch snowstorm...that left 0.25 inches of ice on top.

2011-2012

One 0.25 inch snowstorm


[No comment]
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Looking at that disaster map makes me wonder if this is the year both SE FL and Tampa will get it... that white area looks like a bullseye...

But, SERIOUSLY....

lol
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Quoting SPLbeater:


Last spring a tornado F3 roared past me by about 10 minutes. 6 people were killed by the tornado in its 63 mile path on April 16th, and massive destruction left.

:D i think i got u beat lol. And it seems that everytime i see somebody else suffering from a tornado now, it means more because i was in an outbreak. its like i feel their pain now...:D

You got me by a bit there SPL, but still, an F3 for MA is very rare.
Also, I saw the 18z GFS has a very strong storm affecting Madagascar 10-11 days from now. A long ways out but the GFS has shown consistency putting a storm somewhere in that timeframe in several of its runs.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7833
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



YOU UNDERESTIMATE MY POWWWWEEEEEERRRRRRR!!!!(absolutely terrible acting voice).


Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7561
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Last summer an EF-3 tornado went through Springfield Mass just a half hour or so west of me... I remember being down in the basement under a tornado warning... Kind of exciting but scary too, especially after I saw all the destruction the tornado caused. I guess people in the midwest and south are more used to it though. I still like a good thunderstorm


Last spring a tornado F3 roared past me by about 10 minutes. 6 people were killed by the tornado in its 63 mile path on April 16th, and massive destruction left.

:D i think i got u beat lol. And it seems that everytime i see somebody else suffering from a tornado now, it means more because i was in an outbreak. its like i feel their pain now...:D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Quoting KoritheMan:


Exceptions don't dictate your climate.



LOL I always laugh when people use a rare event and compare it to climate, it would be like a student who mostly gets straight F averages in all classes, but gets 1 0r 2 A's or B's and thinks they have A's and B averages haha.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7561
Quoting KoritheMan:


Definitely. But you can keep your snowstorms.
D.C has only had 2 inches of snow this year.If no more snow falls this winter than that will probally be the smallest amount in a loooooong time.
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I live in the Tampa Bay area FL, I'm not surprised that graphic shows no weather disasters since 2006 cause we definitely have not had any. Severe weather has been pretty tame overall relative to the normal anyway.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7561
Quoting BahaHurican:
Evening all.

Interesting to note that Grothar's county is one of a handful with no disaster reports since 2006.... lol


Was Lee county NC declared disaster after April 16th tornado?
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

What snowstorms? Haven't had a single real "storm" since the October Nor'easter. Very dissappointing winter...


Exceptions don't dictate your climate.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Definitely. But you can keep your snowstorms.

What snowstorms? Haven't had a single real "storm" since the October Nor'easter. Very dissappointing winter...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7833
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I guess people in the midwest and south are more used to it though


Definitely. But you can keep your snowstorms.
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Quoting SPLbeater:


WOuld be nice to get a strong bow echo through here...

Last summer an EF-3 tornado went through Springfield Mass just a half hour or so west of me... I remember being down in the basement under a tornado warning... Kind of exciting but scary too, especially after I saw all the destruction the tornado caused. I guess people in the midwest and south are more used to it though. I still like a good thunderstorm
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7833
.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
I know this is as far out as it can go on the GFS (384 hours) ... but this setup looks like an outbreak of severe thunderstorms.
And let the flaming begin :3



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Good luck KoritheMan
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Quoting hydrus:
You sound ready. And you should be. Where your at. Dr. grey calls that area " the sitting duck for intense hurricanes"..Hope you are doing well Gro.
Evening all.

Interesting to note that Grothar's county is one of a handful in FL with no disaster reports since 2006.... lol
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



XD
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I'll wish it all back south! It's a battle of wills!

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On another note, once my dad's friend comes back from vacation (which should be Friday), I'm going to talk to him about potentially getting into electronics. As some of you know, I currently work in the dairy, and while the relatively constant business of the department is most desirable, as a 20 year old I have much more in common with electronics than I do milk or eggs.

In short, I think it would make my time at Walmart more enjoyable. I can deal with idiotic customers and Black Friday.

Granted, aside from myself, there are two other people trying for a spot there, so my chances of getting in aren't exactly great. But again, the manager over that department is one of my dad's best friends, and he favors me quite a bit.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Too late.


WOuld be nice to get a strong bow echo through here...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4486
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Too late.


I'll wish it all back south! It's a battle of wills!
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Don't wish it all north of me!

Too late.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I want Severe Weather season to start soon. I like tracking storms, and maybe this year, the activity will switch back to the relatively rural areas of the Central Plains.


Don't wish it all north of me!
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I'm just glad I finally got some severe weather from that squall line on Saturday. I was placed under a tornado warning, and got 50 mph winds and horizontal rain.

My only regret was that I didn't go outside. My portable anemometer was out of batteries anyway. Meh.

Although if we get anything on Thursday/Friday, I'll try and at least capture some footage, anemometer or not. I do have a video camera, after all. If I do, I'll post it here.

I want Severe Weather season to start soon. I like tracking storms, and maybe this year, the activity will switch back to the relatively rural areas of the Central Plains.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


I was taking about the coastal low...
i notice the freeze line thats low also close to coast too so coastal snows likly
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Quoting hydrus:
Lol. Here is some more comfort..Lauderdale was hit twice in 47 and 48 and hit again in 49 and 50...comfort..COMFORT...mmmuuuhahhahah.



I know. I was there in 1948. Just a mere child though, but I do remember it. One of my older brothers told me a big wind was going to come and take me away. I think he was jealous because I was the favorite child. (I really do remember it though) I believe were were living in Hollywood at that time. It was shortly after we moved to Norway. I missed a few in the 1950's was were were living on Long Island for Hazel.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
0c freeze line is down into the deep south pretty far


I was taking about the coastal low...
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3474
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

On Thursday, there appears to be a Severe Weather event across Eastern Texas. There will actually be sufficient CAPE with this event so says the GFS, but fortunately, it appears that wind shear will not be /as high/ as of late.


I'm just glad I finally got some severe weather from that squall line on Saturday. I was placed under a tornado warning, and got 50 mph winds and horizontal rain.

My only regret was that I didn't go outside. My portable anemometer was out of batteries anyway. Meh.

Although if we get anything on Thursday/Friday, I'll try and at least capture some footage, anemometer or not. I do have a video camera, after all. If I do, I'll post it here.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

The end is much, much more interesting.


It always is.
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Rex, King of Carnival

"Pro Bono Publico"

Location: Uptown New Orleans
Date: February 21, 2012
Time: 10:00 a.m.
Year Founded: 1872
Theme: "Lore of the Ancient Americas"
Krewe Website: www.rexorganization.com

Hardy Fowler, Rex 2012







"If ever I cease to Love"
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
Hmmmmm Interesting GFS run...

0c freeze line is down into the deep south pretty far
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

The end is much, much more interesting.



Not with this NAO though...

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Quoting WxGeekVA:
Hmmmmm Interesting GFS run...


The end is much, much more interesting.

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Quoting Grothar:


Thanks, hydrus. That is comforting to hear.
Lol. Here is some more comfort..Lauderdale was hit twice in 47 and 48 and hit again in 49 and 50...comfort..COMFORT...mmmuuuhahhahah.
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Hmmmmm Interesting GFS run...

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3474
Quoting Skyepony:
It's so dry & these winds took their toll. Saw a firefighter on the news say East Central FL is getting close to conditions of 1998 (when it about all burnt down last). SR50 & a few others of these will probably close some time in the night when the wind lays down.

FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST LAKE THOMPSON PL x[CR-561] [CLERMONT] LIGHT SMOKE IN THE AREA VISIBILITY GOOD @ 04:09
FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST LAKE MAX HOOKS RD x[SR-50 E] [CLERMONT] ROAD CLEAR OF SMOKE VISIBILITY GOOD @ 04:04HRS
FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST VOLUSIA SR-40 x[SR-11] [ORMOND BEACH] ROAD OPEN
FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST LAKE CR561 x[BRONSON RD] [CLERMONT] ALL ROADS OPEN // NO VISIBILITY ISSUES
FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST BREVARD EB SR50 E x[HACIENDA DR] [TITUSVILLE] ALL LANES REOPENED---NO VISIBILITY ISSUES@4:26 PM
FIRE - BRUSH/FOREST 06:34 PM 06:34 PM LAKE 12TH ST x[CR-561] [CLERMONT] ROAD OPEN


I'm sure you have this link, Skye. I just don't know why there aren't more fires. I don't remember seeing things this dry this long.

Link
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Quoting hydrus:
This system should have some interesting weather with it.
got to watch the models next 36 hrs or so before its a go
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 54283

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.