4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

Share this Blog
37
+

Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 391 - 341

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25Blog Index

Folks it is going to get hot in FL this week. We may hit 90 in couple of days here in E C FL. This is unheard of in February!


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
330 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012



A DELAYED FRONT SCENARIO FRIDAY WILL MEAN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WARMER
AIR SURGES NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HIGHS LOOK TO REACH THE
UPPER 80S IN SOME AREAS UNDER GUSTY S/SW WINDS.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
06Z GFS has done a complete 180 from the 0Z run. Now has a Gulf low and is a lot slower as well. Something to watch as the GFS was showing this last Friday.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


The only reason i want it to be in the daytime, is so i can see it. I hate having storms and all i can see of it is the rain and wind in the streetlight.



I can dig it. That's why I liked the lightning. :) Wouldn't know how to act if I could actually see a hurricane. Lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MahFL:
I think that map posted by Dr Masters is a bit "iffy", because when a map like that is made, and the blurb right next to it says "we need to reduce carbon immissions", you know straight away there is a lot of bias.

Also in my county 2 severe storms, won't have affected 4 out of 5 people here. So the whole claim is bogus, imho.
I suppose where some choose to see "bias", others see "scientific evidence". ;-)

Of course, one needn't be a direct victim of a natural disaster in their county to be adversely affected by it. Insurance rates, the costs of infrastructure replacement, higher taxes, disrupted emergency services--all these and much more are the negative consequences of living in a disaster-struck county.
Quoting MahFL:


But if you read the article it says a sea rise of only 0.4 mm per year, hardly a disaster. For the mathematically challenged thats 1 mm every every 2.5 YEARS.
Yes, that's the current rate. Of course, if you read the article where it notes that expansion due to warming is roughly equal to the amount added by melt, it means a sea rise of 0.8 mm per year. For the mathematically challenged, that's 1 mm every every 15 MONTHS. (And don't forget the biggie: as warming continues, that melt rate will quicken. My own opinion: by 2100, sea levels will have risen not by inches, but by feet. Several of them.)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13797
Quoting AtHomeInTX:



The night crawlers are the worst! The last three hurricanes to come through here were at night. Here a while back there was some debate as to whether or not there was lightning in hurricanes. There is. The only way to see what's happening after the transformers blow. I know what you mean though a severe outbreak at night is dangerous. For the obvious reasons. Matter a fact the last tornado/funnel cloud, not sure which, that laid a tree down on the next door neighbor's house was at night. That was unsettling. But sometimes you can be surprised by a hurricane too. Lol.


The only reason i want it to be in the daytime, is so i can see it. I hate having storms and all i can see of it is the rain and wind in the streetlight.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MahFL:


But if you read the article it says a sea rise of only 0.4 mm per year, hardly a disaster. For the mathematically challenged thats 1 mm every every 2.5 YEARS.

Yes that may be true, but over 25 years it's 1cm or over 250years it's 10cm's. But it's the snowballing effect the increases could have.

This is not a problem???

Except from the article.
The researchers used measurements taken by the GRACE satellite to calculate that the world%u2019s glaciers and ice caps had lost about 148 billion tons, or about 39 cubic miles of ice annually from 2003 to 2010.

The team also reported that the ice loss from both Greenland and Antarctica, including their peripheral ice caps and glaciers, was roughly 385 billion tons of ice annually."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:





No one wanted to believe me when i said squall lines were coming in late Feb.

With this next system, it needs to speed up or slow down so i dont get another nocturnal system here in GA.
Lately, every major outbreak has been nocturnal here.



The night crawlers are the worst! The last three hurricanes to come through here were at night. Here a while back there was some debate as to whether or not there was lightning in hurricanes. There is. The only way to see what's happening after the transformers blow. I know what you mean though a severe outbreak at night is dangerous. For the obvious reasons. Matter a fact the last tornado/funnel cloud, not sure which, that laid a tree down on the next door neighbor's house was at night. That was unsettling. But sometimes you can be surprised by a hurricane too. Lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Warmest temperatures of the season for the southeast US
Believe or not, with all the warmth we have had, it hasnt gotten to 70+ degrees at my house in N GA since November/December. (highest was 69.8)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Don't you mean it moves eastward?

Yeah, I corrected it. I'm multi-tasking this morning and it isn't going so well, lol.

The NAM is currently giving a Tornado Index Value of 6.0-7.0 for Thursday/Friday. These values were last seen at the January 22-23, 2012 tornado outbreak last month.



I have a feeling it will increase as time goes on...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Don't you mean it moves eastward?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Look at the DGEX, with it's impossible prediction of a storm with an eye over the top of the LP of Michigan....
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
A very large and destructive outbreak of Severe Weather is going to occur Thursday night into Friday as a strong cutoff low strengthens in the southwest and heads westward. The main threat area includes portions of northeast Louisiana, much of Mississippi, much of Alabama, and northern Georgia. In this area, supercells capable of producing large hail, destructive winds, and tornadoes are possible.

Looks like our second Moderate risk of the season is upcoming.

The significant threat will continue to spread eastward and reach much of the Southeastern states, including my area, on Saturday where a continued outbreak is likely.





More details as time progresses...





No one wanted to believe me when i said squall lines were coming in late Feb.

With this next system, it needs to speed up or slow down so i dont get another nocturnal system here in GA.
Lately, every major outbreak has been nocturnal here.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:
On the other hand, theism, atheism, and agnosticism are not mutually exclusive.

For example, I don't believe that there is a way to know whether or not god(s) exists. That makes me agnostic. Yet I am also an atheist, in the sense that I don't believe such a deity exists.


I agree 1000%. Without physical, confirmed proof that has gone through the scientific method and been proven beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a god, I do not believe that there is one. However, the moment that there is proof I'll stand up and praise him. I do go to church (kinda forced though by my parents) not for the religious aspect of it, but for the moral guidelines and ethical beliefs taught there. Because there is more than just praying and singing to living as a "spiritual" person. At least to me, you are entitled to your own opinion though.

Now let's get back to the weather....
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3477
A very large and destructive outbreak of Severe Weather is going to occur Thursday night into Friday as a strong cutoff low strengthens in the southwest and heads eastward. The main threat area includes portions of northeast Louisiana, much of Mississippi, much of Alabama, and northern Georgia. In this area, supercells capable of producing large hail, destructive winds, and tornadoes are possible.

Looks like our second Moderate risk of the season is upcoming.

The significant threat will continue to spread eastward and reach much of the Southeastern states, including my area, on Saturday where a continued outbreak is likely.





More details as time progresses...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A significant severe weather outbreak is going to occur this Thursday into Friday. Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, and Louisiana will get the strongest storms.


On Friday, Georgia, Florida, and the Carolinas will be in for some severe weather, too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trunkmonkey:
Thank you Htdrus for the historical information regarding Florida, this is the information I love to read about when visiting WU.

NOT the political mumbo jumbo!

Morning All, Yes i to do so enjoy the stories from the days past. I also agree with Grothar,Jedkins01 about the weather in florida, About how much it has changes since i came in early 1993. Had 44 outside this am.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
374. MahFL
Quoting AussieStorm:
Global glaciers and ice caps shrinking by billions of tons of each year, says study.


But if you read the article it says a sea rise of only 0.4 mm per year, hardly a disaster. For the mathematically challenged thats 1 mm every every 2.5 YEARS.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3838


Look at the DGEX, with it's impossible prediction of a storm with an eye over the top of the LP of Michigan....
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3477
372. MahFL
I think that map posted by Dr Masters is a bit "iffy", because when a map like that is made, and the blurb right next to it says "we need to reduce carbon immissions", you know straight away there is a lot of bias.

Also in my county 2 severe storms, won't have affected 4 out of 5 people here. So the whole claim is bogus, imho.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3838
...Visibilities Near Zero in Texas Panhandle Dust Storm...
Published: Mon, 20 Feb 2012 20:09:35 EST

Strong winds associated with a storm system moving through the central U.S. are kicking up dust and reducing visibilities in the southern Great Plains. A dust storm, visible on satellite imagery, was moving southeastward through the Texas Panhandle Monday afternoon. The dust can be seen on this image within the red oval.



...off the NWS homepage.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
370. MahFL
Quoting KoritheMan:
..But again, the manager over that department is one of my dad's best friends, and he favors me quite a bit...


Is that ethical or legal ?
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3838
good morning folks! 54 and clear, going up to 72 later on, another beautiful day here in the Tampa bay area! have a great day!
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Good morning... I have to waste the next 4 days of school vacation week taking driver's ed classes until 2:30 :( The SPC is thinking we'll see some severe weather late week/weekend. They have a slight risk 3 days out and issued an outlook for 4 days out, which I found interesting. Also, magnitude 4 earthquake in Missouri last night.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thank you Htdrus for the historical information regarding Florida, this is the information I love to read about when visiting WU.

NOT the political mumbo jumbo!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
365. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE HILWA (10-20112012)
10:00 AM RET February 21 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Hilwa (993 hPa) located at 19.3S 64.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 4 knots.

Gale Force Winds
============
30 NM radius from the center

Near Gale Force Winds
================
40 NM radius from the center, extending up to 50 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 80 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 20.2S 63.5E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS: 21.5S 63.0E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS: 27.5S 63.1E - 35 knots (Depression Extratropicale)
72 HRS: 37.4S 65.1E - 35 knots (Depression Extratropicale)

Additional Information
=======================

Overall presentation is significantly better than 24 hours ago, suggesting a slightly more intense system than the current analysis. However, convective pattern on microwave imagery suggest that the system is basically at the same strength over the last 6 hours.

Hilwa is located below the axis of the upper tropospheric ridge and the upper level wind shear is weak (cf. CIMSS analysis). Rather pretty cirrus expansion in the southern semi-circle.

System is rounding the western side of the subtropical ridge and is located ahead of an upper to mid-level trough located to its southwest (well depicted on water vapor imagery to the southeast of Madagascar). Latest microwave fix (SSMIS pass of 0121 AM UTC and 0349 AM UTC) suggest that the system has begun a sharp south southwestwards turn. The track forecast is adjusted accordingly. Some fluctuations in the heading are likely within the next few hours. The system is expected to pass later today or tonight close the southeast coasts of Rodriguez Island. However a direct hit still cannot be ruled out. According to latest satellite imagery, weather conditions appears to deteriorate over the island from the south.

Up to 24hours, environmental conditions should remain neutral or slightly favorable (favorable in altitude, but marginal in the lower levels) and system intensity is expected to remain more or less steady. Beyond, northwesterly upper level wind shear is expected to increase sharply. System is forecast to begin an extratropical transition at the end of the forecast (on Thursday).

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Mauritius Meteorological Service on TC HILWA will be issued at 12:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
2345 UNK CANEY MONTGOMERY KS 3701 9593
ROOF BLOWN OFF BARN AND ANOTHER OUT BUILDING. WALLS DOWNED ON OLD GARAGE. (ICT)

Mostly a wind event but some large hail reported also. Click image for reports.
Just noticed a wind report that came in after I posted the above...

2330 UNK 5 E ADA PONTOTOC OK 3478 9657
TRAILER HOME DESTROYED ... 1 FATALITY ... (OUN)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting bappit:

Dunno. You have to believe what your eyes are telling you. Lots of agnostics on here in that regard.
On the other hand, theism, atheism, and agnosticism are not mutually exclusive.

For example, I don't believe that there is a way to know whether or not god(s) exists. That makes me agnostic. Yet I am also an atheist, in the sense that I don't believe such a deity exists.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Quoting TomTaylor:
yeah me too just making sure ol Walmart gave you the day off. Even though I know how much you love working there and probably wouldn't want to miss a day...
Well hopefully I'll get into electronics. That'd at least make it more tolerable.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BobWallace:


Where in Florida did you not need AC in the 1950s?

I have never needed AC at the beach.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6156
Quoting TomTaylor:
Religion is believing based off faith. Science is believing based off tests and experiments to prove something.

There is no proof in religion.

Dunno. You have to believe what your eyes are telling you. Lots of agnostics on here in that regard.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6156
Quoting TomTaylor:
Really? Have you talked to him about that?

What does he think of satan-worshiping music?



To be fair, I think he meant "genre", not any "type" of music :)


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I like how South Carolina had none.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


This is not the Florida I knew back in the 40's, 50', 60's, 70's, 80's, or 90's. Even though I was not always here, I spent enough time to have seen the changes. It is totally different. One could almost set their clocks by the rainfall in the summer months. I have nevuh, seen it so dry. It was never this hot either. We didn't have air-conditioning until the early 60's. We never had it in the schools. It has drastically changed.



Yeah its weird, Florida is becoming more like the State of Texas it seems. I mean, I'm only 21, but even since I was a kid there has been a consistent change, whether you wanna blame it on human causes or whatever, it has changed that's for sure. I can only imagine how drastic it would seem for you being I'm just a youngin' lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:

Same here. If I did, we'd have at least one tropical cyclone impact my state per year. :P



hahaha I could say the same for me too!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A perfect day and no opportunity to go to the beach. Good thing i'm going Friday though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:

Great because I'm off. :P
yeah me too just making sure ol Walmart gave you the day off. Even though I know how much you love working there and probably wouldn't want to miss a day...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
I usually agree with you, but I disagree on this one......Tampa is due for a major storm. Here is an interesting excerpt from the 1848 storm..Every building on the bay and river was destroyed except for the Palmer Hotel which was badly damaged. At the Garrison the church on the beach, the soldier’s barracks, the Indian agent’s office and the Ferris residence, store and warehouse were wrecked. According to Juliet Axtell, the wife of the Army Chaplain, “there were not more than four or five buildings left standing” and she concluded in a letter that “Tampa was no more.”

After passing Tampa the hurricane moved east-northeast across Florida moving off the Florida East Coast just north of Cape Canaveral. Many of the navigation routes were reported filled with sand and closed to traffic making any charts created prior to 1848 useless.
An interesting legend regarding the 1848 Hurricane is that it created a new pass through a barrier island which was discovered by a reformed pirate named John Levique. Today the pass is known as “John’s Pass“.

Just two weeks after this major hurricane nearly destroyed Tampa, a second hurricane visited the Florida West Coast on October 11-12th. A ship 20 miles southeast of Cape St. George reported northeast hurricane force winds causing its lee rail under water for eight hours. In Tampa this storm was not as intense as the earlier one; however, it did cause a storm surge to about 10ft in Tampa Bay.(2)



I'm actually very familiar with those events :)

The thing is, who's to say a pattern causing strikes at Tampa Bay won't return for additional 40 years or more? Considering as long as its been I would think that the best logical conclusion to make is that the probability of a hurricane strike on Florida remains low.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Quoting TomTaylor:
hey kori, how's your presidents day going?
Great because I'm off. :P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We talking about religion again.....OMG June 1st please come and fast...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BobWallace:


Where in Florida did you not need AC in the 1950s? I'm guessing if it had been an option most would have had it. I know that we would have further north in Tennessee. Summers could be miserable.

We used to go to the St. Pete area for a couple of weeks in the summer and AC was something that would have been great. We made do with fans.

By the time I went to school in Tallahassee in the mid '60s classrooms and labs had AC. The few rooms that didn't were miserable.

I do agree about the change in rainfall. The Florida I grew up with was one in which it rained often. We used to go out at lunchtime and roll up our car windows for the afternoon rain. And then go out and roll them back down an hour or so before we left the lab.

And I remember no problems with fires of any size.


In Miami. The summers are not as hot the further South you go in Florida, especially near the coast. It is much hotter in the Central and Northern Part of the state in the summer. We often had a strong breeze and we rarely had temperatures in the 90's.

Here is a little bit from factoid. Although it did it 100 once last summer.

These are the ten all-time hottest weather temperature days recorded in the city of Miami, Florida. The temperature data for Miami dates back to 1895. Miami is the second hottest weather city in the United states, with an annual average daily temperature of 75.6 degrees.
Despite that fact, the temperature in Miami has only reached 100 degrees once since 1895. The hottest temperature ever recorded in Miami, Florida is exactly 100 degrees, which occurred on July 21, 1942. Miami is also a very humid city, which the beach goers, vacationers and snowbirds don't seem to mind at all, as they flock to the Miami area every year, making it one the most popular tourist destinations in the United States.
The hottest temperature ever recorded in the state of Florida is 109 degrees. The record temperature occurred on June 29, 1931 in Monticello, which is in the Florida Panhandle, northeast of Tallahassee.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:

No he doesn't.
hey kori, how's your presidents day going?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Yah I just wanted to point out when you get to the bottom of things its all based of a singular idea. BTW I am an Atheist.
yeah they are both ideas. One idea has reason behind it though. I could believe doughnuts created the universe, write a book and convince millions of people its true based off the idea that if they don't believe it they will go to a fiery pit for all eternity. I still wouldn't have any evidence for that idea though. The big bang theory has evidence coming mainly from background microwave radiation that has been recorded and observed.

And I think I'm more agnostic myself since I can't prove god doesn't exist. If somehow he was proven to exist I'd probably still avoid organized religion though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
That would be bigtime...Imagine this coming toward you and yours at 65 mph..



Lol. How'd ya like getting this text? From the Jan. 25th outbreak.



Funnel Cloud near Ft Polk at 2:41 PM. Courtesy: KPLC TV

Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Quoting SPLbeater:


tomtaylor prefers trouble over peace:) so he tries to start tings.
No he doesn't.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SPLbeater:


when you say 50's, do you mean the 1850's or 1750's? im confused.


The kid learns fast!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TomTaylor:
Really? Have you talked to him about that?

What does he think of satan-worshiping music?


I dunno I've heard he's into Slayer though.....

Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 394
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well the best way to avoid an argument is to not respond. I think Tom is just very aggressive with his ideals.
most people who know me in person consider me to be pretty passive. I think its just that I get frustrated seeing people banging their heads against the wall over and over making the same mistakes. Some of us have disabilities, but most of us are fortunate to have a functioning brain that can think and reason exceptionally well. It pains me to see people not put their brain to use.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SPLbeater:


tomtaylor prefers trouble over peace:) so he tries to start tings.
the blog has been on the topic of god and religious for the past few days...I didn't start it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
goodnight.

be back tomorrow moOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOorning
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488

Viewing: 391 - 341

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
28 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron