4 out of 5 Americans affected by weather-related disasters since 2006, study finds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on February 20, 2012

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Since 2006 , federally declared weather-related disasters in the United States have affected counties housing 242 million people--or roughly four out of five Americans. That's the remarkable finding of Environment America, who last week released a detailed report on extreme weather events in the U.S. The report analyzed FEMA data to study the number of federally declared weather-related disasters. More than 15 million Americans live in counties that have averaged one or more weather-related disasters per year since the beginning of 2006. Ten U.S. counties--six in Oklahoma, two in Nebraska, and one each in Missouri and South Dakota--have each experienced ten or more declared weather-related disasters since 2006. South Carolina was the only state without a weather-related disaster since 2006. The report did a nice job explaining the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change, and concluded, "The increasing evidence linking global warming to certain types of extreme weather events--underscored by the degree to which those events are already both a common and an extremely disruptive fact of life in the United States--suggests that the nation should take the steps needed now to prevent the worst impacts of global warming and to prepare for the changes that are inevitably coming down the road."




Figure 1. County-level map of federally-declared weather-related disasters between 2006 - 2011. Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the Midwest, and heavy rains and snows from Nor'easters, hurricanes, and other storms in the Northeast gave those two regions the most disaster declarations. An interactive version of this map that allows one to click and see the individual disasters by county is on the Environment America website.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting BobWallace:


Gleick did one thing wrong. He used a false name to trick Heartland into sending him private information.

The "Climategate" perps did two things wrong. First, they hacked the university email system and stole emails. Second, they took bits and pieces of those emails out of context and created lies about the behavior of climate science.

The Heartland Institute actively participated in the Climategate lies. They even continue to claim that the stolen emails demonstrate some sort of scientific misconduct long after a half dozen high level investigations have determined that climate scientists did nothing wrong. They continue to lie.

Does the behavior of the email thieves and the Heartland Institute liars excuse Gleick's behavior?

Of course not.

But Gleick's behavior does not negate what the Heartland Institute has done either.

You can bet that Heartland is going to pump up the noise about what Gleick did in order to divert attention from themselves. While not overlooking Gleick, let's remember who both stole and lied.

And remember who is trying to keep us from preventing runaway climate change.

Yes, Heartland--and Watts, and the rest of the usual suspects--are jumping all over Gleick. Heartland's official statement is that Gleick's apology is nowhere near enough, and they plan to pursue legal remedies.

I'm the first to admit that what Gleick did was stupid. Understandable, yes; he's been one of the largest and most consistent targets of the anti-science crowd. But fighting deceit with deceit, even when as frustrated by the attacks as Gleick must have been, never works (except maybe in romance novels), so shame on Gleick for stooping to that level. His reputation is now highly tarnished, and he's likely out of a job. And, on a larger note, he's unilaterally ceded some hard-won ground in the fight against the deep-pocketed forces of Big Energy, and for that a lot of us will have a difficult time forgiving him.

HOWEVER: to echo your point, while Gleick's actions were stupid, that in no way excuses Heartland for its own ongoing lies and deception. That organization, funded by Big Energy interests (among others) has long been known as one of the most active purveyors of anti-science, pro-pollution nonsense, and no amount of their attempts at redirection are going to free them from blame.

As I alluded to earlier, say what you will about Gleick, but he was man enough to admit to his act of deceit and stupidity. Now let's see whether the lowlifes who hacked into the university's private servers and stole personal emails are a tenth as willing to admit their own culpability.

I won't hold my breath.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Thanks. As someone else said, most of us already knew. Your comments are profound and intelligent and intellectually honest. On the other hand, your impersonator's comments belie a delusional and obsessed troll-like personality driven by jealousy and a deep-seated sense of inadequacy. You're right that there's not much we can do. Just repeatedly flag and ignore, and know that eventually he'll tire of his little game and go bother some other group. (fingers crossed)


CAT5Hurricane?
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Quoting Neapolitan:
You know, it's kinda funny (but not really): for years some have been shouting, "Drill, baby, drill!", promising that if only Big Oil could be allowed to poke more holes in the planet, we'd see a sure drop in prices. Yet here in 2012, after quadrupling the number of oil rigs, giving the United States more working rigs than anywhere else in the world, crude prices continue to rise.

Gee. Even leaving aside the dangers posed by climate change, is there anyone out there who still buys the lies of "Drill, baby, drill"?
heard glen beck say gas will be 4.25 a gallon by april on his talk show this morning, can 5.00 be far off in the future? time to buy new sneakers, the walking kind, easy on the feet, I have a feeling I'm going to need them alot this year
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Quoting BobWallace:


Gleick did one thing wrong. He used a false name to trick Heartland into sending him private information.

The "Climategate" perps did two things wrong. First, they hacked the university email system and stole emails. Second, they took bits and pieces of those emails out of context and created lies about the behavior of climate science.

The Heartland Institute actively participated in the Climategate lies. They even continue to claim that the stolen emails demonstrate some sort of scientific misconduct long after a half dozen high level investigations have determined that climate scientists did nothing wrong. They continue to lie.

Does the behavior of the email thieves and the Heartland Institute liars excuse Gleick's behavior?

Of course not.

But Gleick's behavior does not negate what the Heartland Institute has done either.

You can bet that Heartland is going to pump up the noise about what Gleick did in order to divert attention from themselves. While not overlooking Gleick, let's remember who both stole and lied.

And remember who is trying to keep us from preventing runaway climate change.



It's hard not to view the aiding and abetting of the willful destruction of the commons for the temporary benefit of a very few people as a class of evil so far beyond whatever moral shortcoming might be implied by Gleick's deception.

Gleick should be celebrated as a hero:
He's likely sacrificed his career to advance truth.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
...or maybe "family values" Governor Sanford was just so busy shacking up with his mistress in Argentina "hiking the Appalachian Trail" that he neglected to ask for any disaster declarations.We must get rid of that socialist in the White House before he drives the country to financial ruin!!! ;-)
oh that was done by the capitalist before the commie took over
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Quoting RitaEvac:
WTI Crude Oil
$106.08

Brent Crude Oil
$121.37

That's a big spread and WTI has some catching up to do, so buckle up
You know, it's kinda funny (but not really): for years some have been shouting, "Drill, baby, drill!", promising that if only Big Oil could be allowed to poke more holes in the planet, we'd see a sure drop in prices. Yet here in 2012, after quadrupling the number of oil rigs, giving the United States more working rigs than anywhere else in the world, crude prices continue to rise.

Gee. Even leaving aside the dangers posed by climate change, is there anyone out there who still buys the lies of "Drill, baby, drill"?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
109 JNCali "Check this.. Dutch scientists...have come up with a way to grow cow muscle in in the lab.. according to the article, it is way more efficient than actually raising a cow..

$330thousand for a quarter-pounder and another $250thousand for seconds is hardly an example of efficient meat production.

"I hate to think of someone discovering that human muscle can be even easier and cheaper to grow ?! :/ "

Even vegans could hardly object when you are what you eat... literally.
Of course there'd be certain etiquette problems when attending friends' barbeques,
"What? I ain't good enough for you? Is that what you're saying? I ain't good enough for you?"
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Quoting MontanaZephyr:


So... Gleick exposes criminal behavior and apologizes for it? Heartland and their donors should be excised from civilization.


Gleick did one thing wrong. He used a false name to trick Heartland into sending him private information.

The "Climategate" perps did two things wrong. First, they hacked the university email system and stole emails. Second, they took bits and pieces of those emails out of context and created lies about the behavior of climate science.

The Heartland Institute actively participated in the Climategate lies. They even continue to claim that the stolen emails demonstrate some sort of scientific misconduct long after a half dozen high level investigations have determined that climate scientists did nothing wrong. They continue to lie.

Does the behavior of the email thieves and the Heartland Institute liars excuse Gleick's behavior?

Of course not.

But Gleick's behavior does not negate what the Heartland Institute has done either.

You can bet that Heartland is going to pump up the noise about what Gleick did in order to divert attention from themselves. While not overlooking Gleick, let's remember who both stole and lied.

And remember who is trying to keep us from preventing runaway climate change.

Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
WTI Crude Oil
$106.08

Brent Crude Oil
$121.37

That's a big spread and WTI has some catching up to do, so buckle up
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
The GFS hates Madagascar. The 12z run has a strong cyclone sitting off its coast for about 3 days, starting less than a week from now, then hitting it hard for a day or 2, then restrengthening it in the Mozambique Channel for about 2 days, then slamming it into Mozambique as a powerful cyclone. That would be interesting.
I feel so bad for those people..They have had a rough go of it for at least the past ten years.
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Climate scientist admits stealing docs from conservative think tank


Theft, deceit and outright lies: How ugly can climate science get?





So... Gleick exposes criminal behavior and apologizes for it? Heartland and their donors should be excised from civilization.
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Check out the contrails out over the Pacific SW of the California coast on visible loop
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Iran says it will launch %u2018pre-emptive attack%u2019 on any potential threat to the country
Posted on February 21, 2012
February 21, 2012 %u2013 TEHRAN, Iran %u2014 Iran would take pre-emptive action against its enemies if it felt its national interests were endangered, the deputy head of the Islamic Republic%u2019s armed forces was quoted by a semi-official news agency as saying Tuesday. %u201COur strategy now is that if we feel our enemies want to endanger Iran%u2019s national interests, and want to decide to do that, we will act without waiting for their actions,%u201D Mohammad Hejazi told the Fars news agency, NBC News reported.
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The GFS hates Madagascar. The 12z run has a strong cyclone sitting off its coast for about 3 days, starting less than a week from now, then hitting it hard for a day or 2, then restrengthening it in the Mozambique Channel for about 2 days, then slamming it into Mozambique as a powerful cyclone. That would be interesting.
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Good afternoon... Looks like its gonna be a rocky week in the South. Unfortunately it appears we're headed for another active severe weather season.


yeah, friday doesnt look to much of a pleasant day for me either. Maybe if im lucky i can git a bow echo!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Good afternoon... Looks like its gonna be a rocky week in the South. Unfortunately it appears we're headed for another active severe weather season.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
We must get rid of that socialist in the White House before he drives the country to financial ruin!!! ;-)


Democratic presidents are terrible for business, aren't they? That's what the talking heads tell me.

Let's see...

"As of Friday, (10/8/08) a $10,000 investment in the S.& P. stock market index* would have grown to $11,733 if invested under Republican presidents only...

Invested under Democratic presidents only, $10,000 would have grown to $300,671 at a compound rate of 8.9 percent over nearly 40 years."

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/10/14/opi nion/20081014_OPCHART.html

Having your $10 investment grow to $11,733 is much better than having it grow to $300,671 isn't it? Good Republican math. Just think of the taxes you didn't have to pay on that extra $289,000.

BTW, this article was written before the market had finished tanking under the Bush administration and doesn't include the roughly 60% growth during the Obama time in office.

(Why, oh why would investors want to see Republicans in office?)
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
Quoting RitaEvac:
Climate scientist admits stealing docs from conservative think tank


Theft, deceit and outright lies: How ugly can climate science get?



'Twas very unwise for Mr. Gleick to have stooped to such levels. But consider this: Peter Gleick has shamefully admitted to and apologized for his deceitful actions in obtaining the Heartland documents (which were released to the media in their entirety sans editing). That admission took him about a week. Meanwhile, the thieving lying miscreants who stole the "climategate" emails several years ago and released cherry-picked snippets of them still haven't mustered the courage or conviction to admit to their own activities--which were, as opposed to Gleick's, criminal on top of everything else.
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Quoting Patrap:
Fox News again?

Slow Tuesday.


Yea, unfortunately
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New Jersey Education Consortium Hosts Live Chat with Space Station Astronauts

WASHINGTON -- Students and educators from Sussex County, N.J., will gather at Newton High School on Wednesday, Feb. 22, to further their space studies by speaking live with Expedition 30 Commander Dan Burbank and Flight Engineer Don Pettit aboard the International Space Station. The Earth-to-space communication will take place at 10 a.m. EST and be broadcast live on NASA Television.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127913
Climate scientist admits stealing docs from conservative think tank


Theft, deceit and outright lies: How ugly can climate science get?



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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127913
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


No, not on the Day 3. When they talk about "model consensus" 3 days out, they have a pretty good idea of the synoptic pattern. A lot of it for your area will depend on what happens Wed-Thurs. My gut tells me maybe a Day 1 moderate risk on Thursday, but that's just gut. Pretty much I only keep an eye on future days for the S Plains and don't make a habit of looking at the whole country daily. Even if I did, I'm not sure I'd have anything more than gut to go on. lol And, as others have said, on occasion a Day 4-8 risk disappears off the map. Not often, though. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is the best info source at this stage.

/DAY 4/ (from today's Day 4-8 outlook)
...DISCUSSION...
A THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVER ERN
PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES FROM NRN FL...GA INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
THE DELMARVA REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND
ATTENDANT STRENGTHENING KINEMATIC FIELDS WITHIN MOIST WARM SECTOR.

If you have not played around with the mesoanalysis pages at SPC, you might want to. They can be helpful, especially as the day in question nears. Easy ways to view CAPE, moisture convergence, shear etc, with risk combinations. You may already know that, and that you can also keep your eyes on the soundings near your area to see what the atmosphere might look like from the ground up. I also wanted to state it here for others who may want to know. Good idea, too, to keep up on what your local NWS people have to say in their forecast discussions.

And, when the day arrives, keep your eyes on the sky!
:)

Severe storms can be scary as heck sometimes. That is natural, and there is nothing we can do to change them. We can stay informed, though, and we can make sure others around us and those dear to us are up on what's happening with the weather. We can have a plan in case it comes our way.


Terrific +100
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


im thick in it, how bout that!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
420 RTSplayer "Greenland is like a stick of butter in a hot pan. It's already doomed, it just hasn't quite caught up with it's environment yet. Moreover, the pan is still on the burner and the heat has just been turned up to high.
Over the next few years, as sea ice melts more and more, and earlier in the year, I would expect the albedo feedback to begin really tearing into the edges of the Greenland ice caps.
"

The bad news being, the average cargo ships' smokestack emissions per megawatt are on par with those of the filthiest landbased power plants. And shipping companies are drooling over the prospect of using the NorthWest and NorthEast Passages. More black soot on the Arctic ice means more heat absorbtion and faster melting.

426 AussieStorm "I just hope Antarctica doesn't melt or even I'll be looking for higher ground"

The good news being, you'll be several hundred years older before ya hafta move due to rising waters.
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Quoting Patrap:
Ma Nature stays away from Paris Island and Beaufort,S.C. USMC Air Station. Marines dont let nature Roll in S. Carolina, every Met knows dat easily.

: )
The last I heard, the commandant down there was a woman. I would be more inclined to believe it has something to do with her charm. ;)
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Climate Prediction Center's update of ENSO really has a big jump of warming in the Pacific especially on Nino 1-2 at positive 0.9C. Nino 3.4 also jumped to -0.6C,up from -1.0C of last week.

Link
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Quoting inkthepage:
South Carolina's lack of "federally declared weather-related disasters" is much more a function of the political nature of the event being "federally declared". These are usually made at the behest of State Governors or legislative bodies. Clearly SC has a either a greater tolerance for disaster or has ticked off the powers that be. Nevada & Colorado are nearly free of federal disasters as well. Also note the exceptionally high amount that fall INSIDE the Missouri State borders.
Nevada is a desert, Colorado is a maze of mountains. It's hard to compare in those terms.
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does anyone else find it interesting that Volusia county has had more weather related disasters in the last 5 years than anywhere else in the state of Florida?
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We love ya Fess,

Happy Mardi Gras "Big Chief"

"Me Big Chief Im feeling good"...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127913


Strong Southwest Flow
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Quoting Xyrus2000:


Everyone, please note. Xvrus2000 is NOT me. This is an unimaginative troll who is using a close approximation to my handle to cause confusion and write inciteful nonsense on the blog.

This isn't the first time we've had trolls of this nature, but unfortunately there is little we can do about them. :P
Thanks. As someone else said, most of us already knew. Your comments are profound and intelligent and intellectually honest. On the other hand, your impersonator's comments belie a delusional and obsessed troll-like personality driven by jealousy and a deep-seated sense of inadequacy. You're right that there's not much we can do. Just repeatedly flag and ignore, and know that eventually he'll tire of his little game and go bother some other group. (fingers crossed)
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Quoting SPLbeater:


*sigh*

this is really making me a tiny bit worried.

it brings up memories from april 2011. bad memories.

So do you think day 3 will get a moderate risk tomorrow?



No, not on the Day 3. When they talk about "model consensus" 3 days out, they have a pretty good idea of the synoptic pattern. A lot of it for your area will depend on what happens Wed-Thurs. My gut tells me maybe a Day 1 moderate risk on Thursday, but that's just gut. Pretty much I only keep an eye on future days for the S Plains and don't make a habit of looking at the whole country daily. Even if I did, I'm not sure I'd have anything more than gut to go on. lol And, as others have said, on occasion a Day 4-8 risk disappears off the map. Not often, though. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is the best info source at this stage.

/DAY 4/ (from today's Day 4-8 outlook)
...DISCUSSION...
A THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVER ERN
PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES FROM NRN FL...GA INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
THE DELMARVA REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND
ATTENDANT STRENGTHENING KINEMATIC FIELDS WITHIN MOIST WARM SECTOR.

If you have not played around with the mesoanalysis pages at SPC, you might want to. They can be helpful, especially as the day in question nears. Easy ways to view CAPE, moisture convergence, shear etc, with risk combinations. You may already know that, and that you can also keep your eyes on the soundings near your area to see what the atmosphere might look like from the ground up. I also wanted to state it here for others who may want to know. Good idea, too, to keep up on what your local NWS people have to say in their forecast discussions.

And, when the day arrives, keep your eyes on the sky!
:)

Severe storms can be scary as heck sometimes. That is natural, and there is nothing we can do to change them. We can stay informed, though, and we can make sure others around us and those dear to us are up on what's happening with the weather. We can have a plan in case it comes our way.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Everyone, please note. Xvrus2000 is NOT me. This is an unimaginative troll who is using a close approximation to my handle to cause confusion and write inciteful nonsense on the blog.

This isn't the first time we've had trolls of this nature, but unfortunately there is little we can do about them. :P



Trust me we all knew, he wasn't stating facts like you usually do.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6366
This upper disturbance in Mexico is the key to the potential of severe wx later this week.


If you look close and can see this feature just off of BAJA.
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Quoting Xvrus2000:

Well; technically Jeff, you could plus the comment a total of 4 times: once for the handle you are currently using; another for the Jeff9641 handle; another for the Jeff4196 handle, and yet another for the TomasTomas handle I occasional see.

You see, if you think beyond the normal impulses you are incline to, intelligence and craft can go a long way. ;-)


Everyone, please note. Xvrus2000 is NOT me. This is an unimaginative troll who is using a close approximation to my handle to cause confusion and write inciteful nonsense on the blog.

This isn't the first time we've had trolls of this nature, but unfortunately there is little we can do about them. :P
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Im confused... what is the timeframe
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I am barely in the SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook:

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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
they can sway back just as easy


Seems to me the key is this upper level feature diving toward the BAJA. So questions is will it eject ahead of this trough coming down if so then yes we will see a severe wx outbreak if doesn't then it could spur out a gulf similar to the one last weekend. Alot of variables on the table all of the sudden.
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Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6366
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
they can sway back just as easy
If the high pressure ridge near Florida fattens up a bit, they will probably have to increase the size of slight risk area.
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Hey Pat, Who wants a coconut???
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


That may disappear here shortly as the models have swayed away from that scenario.
they can sway back just as easy
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


That may disappear here shortly as the models have swayed away from that scenario.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
...or maybe "family values" Governor Sanford was just so busy shacking up with his mistress in Argentina "hiking the Appalachian Trail" that he neglected to ask for any disaster declarations?We must get rid of that socialist in the White House before he drives the country to financial ruin!!! ;-)


If I could plus this comment 100 times I would! LOL!!!
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Ok, well i have worn my mardi gras beads for an hour now! :D

Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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