Heartland Institute documents reveal strategy of attacks against climate science

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:15 PM GMT on February 17, 2012

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Documents illegally leaked from the Heartland Institute, one of the most active groups engaged in attacking the science of climate change, provide an unprecedented look into how these groups operate. The story was broken Tuesday by DeSmogBlog, a website dedicated to exposing false claims about climate change science. The documents reveal that donors to Heartland included oil billionaire Charles Koch, and Heartland has spent several million dollars over the past five years to undermine climate science. Tens of thousands of dollars are slated to go this year to well-known climate contrarians S.Fred Singer, Craig Idso, and Anthony Watts of the Watts Up With That? website. Naturally, the leaked documents have lit up the blogosphere, but none of the revelations are particularly surprising. The U.S. has a very successful and well-funded climate change denial industry, primarily funded by fossil fuel companies, that has spent hundreds of millions of dollars over the past few decades on a PR campaign against climate change science. I made a lengthy post on the subject in 2009 called, The Manufactured Doubt industry and the hacked email controversy. I won't say more here, but getenergysmartnow.com has compiled a long list of blogs that have interesting posts on the Heartland Institute affair for those interested in following this story.



Eight books challenging the Manufactured Doubt industry
Important scientific findings should always be challenged with the goal of finding flaws and improving our scientific understanding. But there's nothing a scientist hates more than to see good science attacked and the reputations of good scientists smeared in name of protecting corporate profits or ideology. A number of scientists have fought back against the recent unfounded assaults on climate change science by publishing books calling attention to the Manufactured Doubt industry's tactics and goals. Anyone priding themselves on being a open-minded skeptic of human-caused global warming should challenge their skepticism by reading one of these works. I thought so highly of Unscientific America, Merchants of Doubt, and Climate Coverup, that I donated 50 copies of these books to undergraduates at the University of Michigan last year. Here's a short synopsis of eight books published in the past three years defending climate change science against the attacks of the Manufactured Doubt industry:

Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming, by Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway. If you're going to read one book on the attacks on climate science, this should probably be the one--Dr. Oreskes, a history professor at UC San Diego, was voted climate change communicator of the year in 2011. A review of Merchants of Doubt and a video of her defending her book against skeptics is at climateprogress.org, my favorite website for staying current on the politics of climate change. From the review: "Make the journey with them, and you’ll see renowned scientists abandon science, you’ll see environmentalism equated with communism, and you’ll discover the connection between the Cold War and climate denial. And for the most part, you’ll be entertained along the way."

Climate Cover-up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming, by desmogblog.com co-founders James Hoggan and Richard Littlemore. The main author, James Hoggan, owns a Canadian public relations firm, and is intimately familiar with how public relations campaigns work. It's another fascinating and very readable book.

Unscientific America: How Scientific Illiteracy Threatens our Future, by science writer Chris Mooney. He writes a blog focusing on science communication called the intersection. This is a fantastic book, and should be required reading for all college science majors.

Climate Change Denial: Heads in the Sand, by Haydn Washington and John Cook. John Cook writes for one of my favorite climate science blogs, skepticalscience.com, which focuses on debunking false skeptic claims about climate science. The book does a great job debunking all the classic climate change denial arguments.

Doubt is Their Product: How Industry's Assault on Science Threatens Your Health, by George Washington University epidemiologist David Michaels, who now heads the Occupational Health and Safety Administration (OSHA). This meticulously-researched book has just one chapter on climate change, and focuses more on tobacco and hazardous chemicals. About the the tobacco industry's Manufactured Doubt campaigns, Michaels wrote: "the industry understood that the public is in no position to distinguish good science from bad. Create doubt, uncertainty, and confusion. Throw mud at the anti-smoking research under the assumption that some of it is bound to stick. And buy time, lots of it, in the bargain". The title of Michaels' book comes from a 1969 memo from a tobacco company executive: "Doubt is our product since it is the best means of competing with the 'body of fact' that exists in the minds of the general public. It is also the means of establishing a controversy".

The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, by climate scientist Dr. Michael Mann. Dr. Mann is the originator of the much-debated "hockey stick" graph of global temperatures over the past 1,000 years, which looks like a hockey stick due to the sharp increase in temperatures in recent decades. This book just came out last week, and I hope to write a review on it this spring. Dr. Mann is one of the main contributors to my favorite web site for staying current on climate change research, realclimate.org. John Cook of skepticalscience.com wrote a review, calling it "an eye-opening account of the lengths the opponents of climate science will go to in their campaign to slander climate scientists and distract the public from the realities of human caused global warming."

Fool Me Twice: Fighting the Assault on Science in America by Shawn Lawrence Otto. I haven't had a chance to read this one yet, but it looks interesting. A review by Katherine O’Konski of Climate Science Watch called the book "a fascinating look at the status of science in American society."

The Inquisition of Climate Science, by Dr. James Lawrence Powell, a geochemist with a distinguished career as a college teacher, college president, museum director, and author of books on earth science for general audiences. I haven't read it, but John Cook of skepticalscience.com wrote a review, calling it "a must-read for anyone who wishes to understand the full scope of the denial industry and their modern day persecution of climate science."

Have a great weekend, everyone! I'll be taking a few vacation days next week, and wunderground meteorologist Angela Fritz will probably be doing most of the blogging for me during the coming week.

Jeff Masters

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Louisiana has definately been the severe weather spotlight so far today
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
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Quoting Patrap:
TYVM BFOTR's for the heads up on the WW.


YW. Hope this crap rolls through before Endymion is scheduled to roll late afternoon. That is the best parade. Well, except for Hermes. Hermes was my favorite in '08!
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The Highland Lakes west of Austin Tx received their best rains since Sept 2010, lake travis is up 4 inches since yesterday and rising, still down 55 feet but at they finally received good rains, another 5 or 6 systems like this and the Lakes should be in decent shape possibly? From Austin eastward it is pretty much flooded around here, 17.38 since Nov. 8th and 9.38 in 2012, well above average. :) Water standing everywhere around here.
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TYVM BFOTR's for the heads up on the WW.
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Quoting SPLbeater:


my personal forecast for me is 0.50in-3.00in
These type of systems are extremely difficult to forecast from an amount and changeover time. Historically, it goes from a bust to a major winter event. Sooo time will tell!
Member Since: August 31, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 426

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0126
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA...SRN MS...SWRN AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 28...

VALID 181721Z - 181815Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 28 CONTINUES.

A DOWNSTREAM TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR AREAS N/E OF WW
28 BY 18Z.
OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WIND...ISOLATED TORNADO AND MARGINAL
HAIL THREATS PERSIST WITH LINEAR MCS PROPAGATING EWD ACROSS SERN LA.

NE TO SW ORIENTED SQUALL LINE FROM LIVINGSTON TO ST MARY PARISH AS
OF 1715Z HAS LARGELY BEEN PROGRESSING EWD AT AROUND 40 KT. 17Z
SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD FROM THE NRN
PORTION OF THE LINE ACROSS FAR SRN MS/AL INTO THE FL PANHANDLE. AIR
MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE ALONG AND S OF THE FRONT WITH THE 65 F
ISODROSOTHERM HAVING NOW REACHED THE NEW ORLEANS METRO. ALTHOUGH
MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS STILL SUGGEST SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY IS WEAK
/AOB 500 J/KG/...THE PRESENCE OF 0-1 SRH AOA 500 M2/S2 PER THE LIX
VWP...WILL REMAIN QUITE FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST TRANSIENT SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES...ALONG WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.


..GRAMS.. 02/18/2012
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Quoting LargoFl:
when i was a kid in the 50's, a good snowstorm was 18-24 inches plus, today, with the weather changing, 6-8 inches is a good storm, anyone else remember?


Definitely not that much life experience, but I remember a good storm here was 12 to 16 inches in the 90's. Now a good storm here is 6-8 inches, and 10 would be really severe. We've only had 2 storms over a foot in the last 8 winters, and both of them were in the same season.
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Quoting SPLbeater:


the GFS gives Greensboro, NC 3.6 inches

NWS gives you same thing as me, rain before 11PM, snow 11PM-2AM, snow/freezing drizzle after 2AM


Cool! Can't wait!
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

More like 1-2"....


my personal forecast for me is 0.50in-3.00in
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
When he found out I could multiply and divide large numbers in my head, he tested me with square root of 5623, but I had 5625 memorized, so I was instantly able to tell him it was close to 75, but less than, and then started trying to do it in my head. I can do 6 digits multiplied by 6 digits in my head with some warm-up, and have done 8 digits squared on one or two occasions, but I do not push myself that way any more. When I began to realize how much strain that puts on your brain I quit, and besides we have calculators now..................That is an extraordinary talent. I remember numbers and dates very well, and for some reason math problems ( most of them ) I do better in my head. I do not know why.
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Quoting natrwalkn:


Looks pretty good to me. I hope the snow continues to shift a little farther south since I'm in Greensboro, NC and would love to see a few inches!


the GFS gives Greensboro, NC 3.6 inches

NWS gives you same thing as me, rain before 11PM, snow 11PM-2AM, snow/freezing drizzle after 2AM
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting SPLbeater:

More like 1-2"....
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31554
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Here's my latest snowfall prediction map. Thoughts?




you dont have Sanford, NC in the 2-4" range :D

12Z GFS gives me 3.5 inches of snow :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
LOL.

Gauge says 2.8 inches and it's still raining.

Radar estimate is barely 1 inch.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting sunlinepr:


Louisiana is really taking a beating today.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 29
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

TORNADO WATCH 29 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC003-039-053-097-182300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/

AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN COVINGTON ESCAMBIA
MOBILE


FLC033-091-113-182300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA


MSC039-131-182300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/

MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE STONE


GMZ630-650-655-182300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0029.120218T1750Z-120218T2300Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MOBILE BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...MOB...
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31554
Good news on the wind staying where it belongs upstairs and the needed rain falling. If it was like this all the time well I'm at a loose for words. How about nice. Boy my most serious concern reading back so far is for the good doctor's health.He must be seriously thinking of inflicting serious bodily harm on himself suddenly realizing, how he completely screwed up a perfectly good blog. So I am begging you for the doctor's sake please leave him in peace. But I doubt it, because that's not really why your here in the first place. In the name of full disclosure I am not the doctor using a alias or was the above typed with the prior permission of the good doctor.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3112
Quoting EllenPettit:






Secondly, Dr. Masters can post whatever he wants since he is the author of this blog. If you find fault or disenfranchised from this issue if any way, shape, or form, well, then--you are more than free to choose to blog about Jeremy Lin or fantasy football anywhere else on the website. Some of us actually care about the effects of a rapidly warming climate for the welfare of our children and grandchildren--and that warming is due to a large part of man's burning of fossil fuels.


Thank you for telling the folks of this weather blog what they can and cannot do obvious troll bot.
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Quoting hydrus:
My pop remembers some big snow storms from the forties and fifties. The storms he talks about the most though they were not snowstorms ( and he rarely talks ) is Hazel in 54, and the Ash Wednesday 1962 storm.
i remember the adults talking about hazel, the 62 storm i remember, things have changed alright
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37064
48 hour FutureCast loop
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31554
Quoting LargoFl:
when i was a kid in the 50's, a good snowstorm was 18-24 inches plus, today, with the weather changing, 6-8 inches is a good storm, anyone else remember?
My pop remembers some big snow storms from the forties and fifties. The storms he talks about the most though they were not snowstorms ( and he rarely talks ) is Hazel in 54, and the Ash Wednesday 1962 storm.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


Here's my latest snowfall prediction map. Thoughts?


Looks pretty good to me. I hope the snow continues to shift a little farther south since I'm in Greensboro, NC and would love to see a few inches!
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NOLA...
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Quoting RTSplayer:


Not much wind right now.

It's just very heavy rain, which we don't mind.

If the seasonal forecast is true, we need all the rain we can get right now to prepare for the drought that's coming.
ok stay safe over there, i guess its our turn tomorrow
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37064
Lot of severe t'storm warnings right now... There's probably some decent wind in that squall line
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7638
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Here's my latest snowfall prediction map. Thoughts?
when i was a kid in the 50's, a good snowstorm was 18-24 inches plus, today, with the weather changing, 6-8 inches is a good storm, anyone else remember?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37064
Quoting LargoFl:
geez look at all that red and yellow, and that huge red squall line, those poor people


Not much wind right now.

It's just very heavy rain, which we don't mind.

If the seasonal forecast is true, we need all the rain we can get right now to prepare for the drought that's coming.

This is Louisiana. It can rain 5 or 10 inches here and not hurt anybody except the lowest lying water traps. It usually just soaks right up or runs off with no trouble.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Complete white out from rain here in Tangipahoa.

Wind isn't much really right now.

Just raining very hard.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting PlazaRed:
Interesting to note that tropical storm Giovanna has now nearly completed a total circumnavigation of the southern half of Madagascar.
Just thinking how it would go down if there was a storm doing this to Florida. Different location, about the same shape!
good question there, i've never seen that happen here but im sure there would be great damage in alot of area's in florida, probably would make world news tonight as a lead story too
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37064


Here's my latest snowfall prediction map. Thoughts?
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Patrap wow those storms on radar look like they are moving fast enough to cause damage not taking into account the wind beneath them. Looks very unstable.Working backwards on post so if this makes no since disregard please.All though having been completely up to date probably would still be true. Well back to reading good morning/afternoon all.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3112
Quoting Patrap:
geez look at all that red and yellow, and that huge red squall line, those poor people
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37064
SVR T-STORM WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1110 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1106 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1059 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
FLASH FLOOD WARNING JACKSON MS - KJAN 1057 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING LAKE CHARLES LA - KLCH 1054 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1052 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
FLASH FLOOD WARNING LAKE CHARLES LA - KLCH 1036 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1029 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
SVR T-STORM WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1027 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
TORNADO WARNING NEW ORLEANS LA - KLIX 1015 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012
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The squall line about to move into New Orleans and South LA is moving at a pretty fast clip.....
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College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings


Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
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Storm Prediction Center has raised the tornado threat to 10%..New Orleans is in this area too...

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31554
Quoting BobWallace:


You can use that site if you please, but you might want to consider that you would be intentionally decreasing your understanding of the weather and how/why it is changing.

The Arctic sea ice is melting. That's something that most of us would have never have imagined. No ice at the North Pole. Will no ice at the North Pole change the weather further south?

The oceans of the world are absorbing immense amounts of heat, many times more than what we are experiencing on dry land. Will hotter water in the Gulf of Mexico make for stronger hurricanes? Will hotter ocean water and hotter air mean lots more disastrous rain storms?

Don't you want to know the answer to those questions?

Don't you want to understand why the weather you're observing isn't the same as the weather that used to happen? Aren't you interested in what the weather might become?





lol your full of it xD

it would be a better blog to interact if everybody wasnt always trying to correct everybody.*coughs*BobWallace *coughs*
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting mrmeval:
Jeff set up a website that provides weather and I was fine with that. Then the globalwarmingclimatechange started crawling in and I'm not supporting that.

I hear there's a massive change in the works for one of his competition that is politically neutral and will provide the same of superior service. But even if it doesn't meet my weather junky needs there are many other sources for this information.



You can use that site if you please, but you might want to consider that you would be intentionally decreasing your understanding of the weather and how/why it is changing.

The Arctic sea ice is melting. That's something that most of us would have never have imagined. No ice at the North Pole. Will no ice at the North Pole change the weather further south?

The oceans of the world are absorbing immense amounts of heat, many times more than what we are experiencing on dry land. Will hotter water in the Gulf of Mexico make for stronger hurricanes? Will hotter ocean water and hotter air mean lots more disastrous rain storms?

Don't you want to know the answer to those questions?

Don't you want to understand why the weather you're observing isn't the same as the weather that used to happen? Aren't you interested in what the weather might become?


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Interesting to note that tropical storm Giovanna has now nearly completed a total circumnavigation of the southern half of Madagascar.
Just thinking how it would go down if there was a storm doing this to Florida. Different location, about the same shape!
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
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Quoting FrankZapper:
RTS, are you a COMPUTER?


Before electronic computers were invented, people were computers. The electronic computer was named after the "Computers," which were humans who did math and checked other people's math.

I do have a nasty habit of doing large calculations by hand or in my head, or calculating odds in dice games with different modifiers, or thinking about things like whether a "perfect" opening exists for either player in Chess, assuming both players always make the best move, or making up my own coding systems just to occupy my time.

Ironically, I was once nick-named "Machine" in high school, perhaps because I had a hard time relating to others. I guess I was always interested in things that other people didn't really care about.

I've been told by a few distant family members that I might have Aspergers. It seems to fit.

I went to a psychologist, but he didn't diagnose me properly. We got in an argument about the definition of Aspergers, and he got more hung up on experimenting with me to see what I can do, instead of helping me. Part of the problem is people are supposed to be diagnosed when they are children, and I clearly wasn't, so they don't have a way to really evaluate me. They can't really tell the difference between aptitude and experience, since I have eidetic memory and probably OCD.

He gave me a verbal I.Q. test, which I tested superior in, but vocabulary is my weakness. He never gave me the entire math or spatial reasoning tests; just had me view a few of the upper tier problems, which I solved all but the hardest at a glance.

My math skills and memory have actually come down a lot in the past ten years. I used to be able to run Pythagorean Theorem in my head in 3 dimensions in feet, inches, and 32nds and be exactly right, sometimes almost instantly. Looking back, it actually scares me a bit, both because it was spooky fast, and because I'm concerned that I've lost something since then. High blood pressure and heart problems run in the family, and I'm on medicines now at just 31 years old.

To be honest, the test the psychologist gave doesn't even check for the stuff I'm best at, and I'm still convinced there are two correct answers to one of the questions I missed, because the test also doesn't understand your reasoning behind your answer.

When he found out I could multiply and divide large numbers in my head, he tested me with square root of 5623, but I had 5625 memorized, so I was instantly able to tell him it was close to 75, but less than, and then started trying to do it in my head. I can do 6 digits multiplied by 6 digits in my head with some warm-up, and have done 8 digits squared on one or two occasions, but I do not push myself that way any more. When I began to realize how much strain that puts on your brain I quit, and besides we have calculators now.


Anyway, you asked, I tell.

This is what I am, I guess, for better or worse.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
I think the 12Z GFS has shifted slightly south...can anybody verify this
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Couldn't agree more with that. Yet another 50+ day all the way into the northeast.


if i had food out there, i would still be outside sitting in my chair on the patio :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
Click image for complete SPC 1030 CST outlook.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

VALID 181630Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...

...GULF COAST STATES...
A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH /WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG UPPER JET/
OVER SOUTHWEST TX WILL PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND INCREASINGLY
TAKE ON A NEUTRAL/SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT REACHES
THE LOWER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...WHILE ALSO PHASING
WITH AN ADDITIONAL IMPULSE OVER THE LOWER/MIDDLE MO VALLEY.
NEAR/AHEAD OF AN ONGOING SQUALL LINE ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...A WARM
FRONT AND AN ASSOCIATED MORE MOISTURE-RICH AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY MOVE
INLAND THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF
LA/SOUTHWEST AL...AS WELL AS THE FL PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST AL/SOUTHWEST
GA LATER TONIGHT. ACCORDINGLY...SURFACE DEWPOINTS ON THE ORDER OF
64-66 F /OR LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR THE COAST/ WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS AND A
TORNADO THREAT...WITH SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR
EMBEDDED BOWS/POSSIBLE MESO-VORTICES AND PERHAPS A FEW SEMI-DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE.

AS THE PARENT CYCLONE SPREADS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD/DEEP LAYER WIND
FIELD STRENGTHENS INTO TONIGHT...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF MS/AL THROUGH LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY.
WHILE A MORE MARGINALLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL EXIST WITH NORTHWARD
EXTENT INLAND ACROSS THE REGION...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
IN THE FROM OF DAMAGING WINDS/ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST
TONIGHT IN AREAS AS FAR E/NE AS FL PANHANDLE/SOUTHERN AL INTO SOUTH
GA.

..GUYER/HURLBUT.. 02/18/2012
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Quoting SPLbeater:
man, it is such a nice day outside!! the sky is a perfect blue, birds singin, current temperature of about 58 degrees....PERFECT!!

Couldn't agree more with that. Yet another 50+ day all the way into the northeast.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7638

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.