Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

January 2012 the globe's 19th warmest
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:18 PM GMT on February 16, 2012 +29
January 2012 was the globe's 19th warmest January since record keeping began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and NASA. January 2012 global land temperatures were the 26th warmest on record, and ocean temperatures were the 17th warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were colder than average, the 9th or 14th coldest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). Eurasia had its ninth largest snow cover extent in the 46-year period of record. Cold and snowy conditions dominated across central and Eastern Europe, as well as much of China. North America had its third smallest January snow cover extent, since much of the United States and southern Canada were warmer and drier than average, limiting snow cover. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of January in his January 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary.




Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for January 2012. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

La Niña conditions continue
A borderline weak/moderate La Niña event continues in the equatorial Pacific, where sea surface temperatures were approximately 1.0°C below average during January and the the first half of February. The majority of the El Niño computer models predict that La Niña will weaken this spring, and will likely be gone by summer.

Arctic sea ice extent fourth lowest on record
Arctic sea ice extent was at its fourth lowest on record in January, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The growth rate for Arctic sea ice in January was the slowest in the satellite record. Satellite sea ice records date back to 1979.



No billion-dollar weather disasters in January
The globe had no billion-dollar weather disasters in January 2012, reported insurance broker Aon Benfield. The most expensive weather disaster of the month was winter storm Ulli in the UK and Scandanavia, which did $306 million in damage and killed three people. Severe winter weather in Japan killed at least 56 people in January, but damage estimates are not available yet. The most expensive U.S. disaster in January was the winter storm that hit Oregon and Washington January 17 - 22, causing major flooding on several Oregon rivers. The only month during the two-year period 2010 - 2011 without a billion-dollar weather disaster was March 2011, so last month's relatively quiet weather comes as a welcome relief.

Next post
The Tuesday release of leaked documents from a non-profit group active in attacking climate change science is creating a ruckus in the blogosphere, as reported by the New York Times. I'll have more to say on this Friday. Also, I'll have an update on a possible Saturday severe weather outbreak over the Southeast U.S.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Climate Summaries
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351. GeorgiaStormz 2:58 PM GMT on February 17, 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
When do you suppose those cold shots may come? None of the five-day forecasts I'm seeing call for one, both the CPC's 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks call for above-normal temps across the east and southeast, and the March outlook calls for the warmth to continue (except along the West Coast):

Warm


A cold shot would only last a day or two, nothing long, and wouldn't happen for at least another week, but beyond 7 days, nothing is certain.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7165
352. trunkmonkey 2:59 PM GMT on February 17, 2012    
Quoting Xyrus2000:


a) Liquid nitrogen requires refrigeration, which would no longer work without power.

b) Liquid nitrogen would vaporize very quickly, causing rapid pressurization of whatever vessel it was in.

c) Reactors stay hot for a LONG time, and there is no real way to store the amount of liquid nitrogen required to keep reactors cool for any serious amount of time.

d) In order for cooling to be effective, there has to be a mechanism for heat transfer. Nitrogen is not very good for this. Once it has been vaporized it is a poor medium for moving heat out of the reactor, and there's no way to re-condense it without refrigeration. Water works great for this (with liquid sodium working even better, but harder to work with).

There are other reasons, but those are some off the top my head. :)


Specific Gravity for Nitrogen is .937 and air being=1

any wind aloft would push this stuff around and couldn't be contained.
Member Since: August 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 467
353. GeorgiaStormz 3:09 PM GMT on February 17, 2012    
I don't know about the system next weekend but the GFS(my favorite model by the way) has consistently shown this system around this time frame:
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7165
354. MississippiWx 3:24 PM GMT on February 17, 2012    
New blog!
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 8651
355. JupiterKen 4:21 PM GMT on February 17, 2012    
Quoting trunkmonkey:


Specific Gravity for Nitrogen is .937 and air being=1

any wind aloft would push this stuff around and couldn't be contained.


Uhh...the specific gravity of water is 1.
Member Since: May 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 295
356. hcubed 3:24 AM GMT on February 19, 2012    
Late update to the main post, here:

Note: Due to a processing error, the January 2012 Global report originally reported incorrect temperature anomalies for the land-surface components for the globe and each hemisphere. These caused the combined land and ocean surface temperatures to be incorrect as well. This error did not affect the historical rank for the January combined land and ocean temeprature, which remains 19th warmest. However, it did affect the rank of the land-only component. With the corrected data, the land only component is now the 28th warmest on record (rather than 26th warmest, as originally reported). The corrected data are reflected in this report as of 17 February 2012. We regret the error and any issues it may have raised for users.
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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