Europe cold wave deaths hit 200; low-snow winter for the U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:06 PM GMT on February 03, 2012

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Brutal winter cold continues over most of Europe, where at least 200 people have died in a cold wave that began January 26. Hardest hit has been Ukraine, where the temperature bottomed out at -17°F (-27°C) at the capital of Kyiv this morning. It was the second coldest day of the cold wave, behind the -28°C reading of February 2. These temperatures are the coldest winter weather in six years in Ukraine, and at least 101 deaths are being blamed on the cold there. Also hard-hit has been Poland, where 37 people, most of them homeless, have died from the cold. Rome, Italy experienced a rare snowfall today, only its second day with snow during the past fifteen years. Very cold temperatures 10 - 20°C below average will continue for another seven days in Europe before gradually moderating late next week.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average as analyzed by the GFS model, for February 2, 2012. Remarkably cold air was present over Europe and western Alaska, while very warm air was over central North America and Siberia. This image is being generated experimentally by wunderground, and will be regularly available on our web site in the future.

Meanwhile, a snow drought for the U.S.
In the U.S., it's been the opposite story, with temperatures 10 - 15°F above average continuing this week over much of the nation. January 2012 is in the weather record books as the 3rd least-snowy January for the contiguous U.S. since snow records began in 1966, and December 2011 ranked as the 11th least snowy December on record. With no major snow storms in the offing over at least the next ten days, it's looking probable that the non-winter of 2011 - 2012 will set numerous record-low seasonal snowfall totals. The National Weather Service sends out a daily "Weather and Almanac" product for several hundred major U.S. cities that we make available on wunderground. I went through yesterday's statistics for those cities that reported measurable snow this winter. Only nine cities out of 166 major U.S. cities in the lower 48 states reported above-average snowfall as of February 1; 157 cities received below-average snowfall. The big winner in the snow sweepstakes has been Alaska, which is boasting 8 of the top 10 locations for heaviest snowfall this winter. While the 27.75 feet of snow that has fallen on Valdez has gotten a lot of attention, more remarkable is the 18.8 feet of snow Yakutat has received. That's more than 12.5 feet above what they usually have by this time of year.



The big losers in the snow stats for this winter are the cities along the lake effect snow belts on the Great Lakes. Most notably, Syracuse, New York is nearly four feet of snow below average for this time of year. Perhaps more exceptional is Williston, North Dakota, which has received just 1.8" of snow this winter--more than two feet below their average for February 1.



Have a super weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

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Maximum temperature today -21c in the afternoon.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Find it...but when you do, don't tell anybody. :D

I honestly don't know how I missed it the first time.



what are we finding?
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6481
Find it...but when you do, don't tell anybody. :D

I honestly don't know how I missed it the first time.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
490. beell
Quoting Skyepony:


He faults that on the road conditions..


11/8/11 - Recent Chase video on the left depicts what happened in yesterdays chase, including the car roll over... I am ok, thank you for the concerns and thanks to Tyler and Jordan from The Storm Patrol for helping me get home. Thanks to the TornadoVideos.net team for first picking me up immediately after the accident and took me to see a couple more tornadoes with them. Also thanks to Steve Miller(OK) and JR Hehnly for stopping. What appears to have happened was due to the heavy rain, there was some ponding on the road ways, some of the side roads in Oklahoma are paved, and then repaved, and then patched. While back up it appears I may have hit either a puddle or one of the patches/potholes at the worst possible angle. I was backing up at around 20 - 25mph, a little faster than usual, however considering that nobody was behind me and I was alone. Had the road been smooth, it would have been fine, unfortunately the car then backed sideways into the ditch, digging into the mud, and hitting a dirt embankment and rolled over about 1 1/2 times... Thanks again to everyone who watched live yesterday, I was glad to be able to bring you all up close to natures power, please do not attempt to storm chase without solid experience and training!

Thanks,

Andy


Sounds reasonable, Skye. He was definitely backing up in a hurry.
Thanks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
489. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting beell:
About the 1:45 mark-from Reed Timmer's camera.



He faults that on the road conditions..


11/8/11 - Recent Chase video on the left depicts what happened in yesterdays chase, including the car roll over... I am ok, thank you for the concerns and thanks to Tyler and Jordan from The Storm Patrol for helping me get home. Thanks to the TornadoVideos.net team for first picking me up immediately after the accident and took me to see a couple more tornadoes with them. Also thanks to Steve Miller(OK) and JR Hehnly for stopping. What appears to have happened was due to the heavy rain, there was some ponding on the road ways, some of the side roads in Oklahoma are paved, and then repaved, and then patched. While back up it appears I may have hit either a puddle or one of the patches/potholes at the worst possible angle. I was backing up at around 20 - 25mph, a little faster than usual, however considering that nobody was behind me and I was alone. Had the road been smooth, it would have been fine, unfortunately the car then backed sideways into the ditch, digging into the mud, and hitting a dirt embankment and rolled over about 1 1/2 times... Thanks again to everyone who watched live yesterday, I was glad to be able to bring you all up close to natures power, please do not attempt to storm chase without solid experience and training!

Thanks,

Andy
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829

Feb 2 Vanatu had a 7.2 as well.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216
Rain getting heavier to my north...seems to be moving very slow off to the ESE. I might get me somethin:D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4483


Magnitude 4.9 - VANUATU
2012 February 05 02:27:17 UTC
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
This is starting to creep me out.



A magnitude 5.7 earthquake offshore Vancouver Island, and a magnitude 4.3 offshore southern Oregon, all within the span of 31 minutes. Let's look back at the earthquake events I've deemed "significant" in the Cascadia region.

September 1, 2009 - August 31, 2010: 2 earthquakes M6.5 or higher, both offshore northern California.

September 1, 2010 - August 31, 2011: 4 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (both offshore Oregon).

September 1, 2011 - December 31, 2011: 4 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (a M6.4 offshore Vancouver Island, and a ~M5 quake offshore southern Oregon).

January 1, 2012 - February 5 (early morning), 2012: 3 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (one south of Queen Charlotte Islands, another offshore Vancouver Island).



watch for them to get shallower...if so, maybe St. Helens has something for us..never know:)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4483
This is starting to creep me out.



A magnitude 5.7 earthquake offshore Vancouver Island, and a magnitude 4.3 offshore southern Oregon, all within the span of 31 minutes. Let's look back at the earthquake events I've deemed "significant" in the Cascadia region.

September 1, 2009 - August 31, 2010: 2 earthquakes M6.5 or higher, both offshore northern California.

September 1, 2010 - August 31, 2011: 4 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (both offshore Oregon).

September 1, 2011 - December 31, 2011: 4 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (a M6.4 offshore Vancouver Island, and a ~M5 quake offshore southern Oregon).

January 1, 2012 - February 5 (early morning), 2012: 3 earthquakes, including 2 above M4.5 (one south of Queen Charlotte Islands, another offshore Vancouver Island).

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483. beell
About the 1:45 mark-from Reed Timmer's camera.

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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216
480. beell
Another memorable Andy chase was that one last November where he rolled his truck driving backwards & some other chasers picked him up to chase a few more.

Or he got too close and got caught in the rear-flank downdraft-which rolled his vehicle, perhaps.

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479. beell
.
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This week's Colorado snowstorm was a record-breaker:

000
SXUS75 KBOU 042109
RERBOU

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOULDER, CO
209 PM MST SAT FEB 04 2012


...NEW SNOWFALL RECORDS ESTABLISHED IN DENVER FOR FEBRUARY...

12.5 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON FEBRUARY
3RD 2012. THIS ESTABLISHES A NEW SNOWFALL RECORD FOR THE DATE. THE
OLD RECORD WAS 7.5 INCHES SET BACK IN 1932. THE 12.5 INCHES THAT
FELL ALSO ESTABLISHED A DAILY SNOWFALL RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF
FEBRUARY. THE PREVIOUS DAILY SNOWFALL RECORD FOR FEBRUARY WAS 9.5
INCHES ON FEBRUARY 22ND 1909 AND FEBRUARY 19TH 1953.

IN ADDITION...FROM THE EVENING OF THE 2ND THROUGH THE MORNING OF THE
4TH...15.9 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS
ESTABLISHES A NEW THREE DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL FOR THE MONTH OF
FEBRUARY. THE OLD RECORD OF 14.1 INCHES OCCURRED BACK IN 1912.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13524
R.I.P. Andy Gabrielson. :(

He definitely lived life to the fullest and documented some incredible tornadoes. The world of storm chasing won't be the same without him.
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475. Skyepony (Mod)
Another memorable Andy chase was that one last November where he rolled his truck driving backwards & some other chasers picked him up to chase a few more.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
My relatives in Palena, Chieti, Italy (about 2 hours east of Rome) took these and other pictures today. They're starting to get worried about the risk of avalanches and the sheer weight of the snow. The media says that Rome has picked up over 8 inches, with up to 6 feet in the mountains. I think that Dr. Masters also mentioned in his last post that this is only the 2ed time in the past 15 years that Rome has had snow. Related News Article.




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Lots of food out there. I'll call!
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 681
Quoting AussieStorm:


I'll see your 16ft snake and raise you a 22ft 302lbs snake and still aive. Her name is Atomic Betty.





I'll give you that, but unfortunately this is serious stuff for florida as we have no predators to contend with them and they could virtually wipe out every bird and mammal species in the Glades.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 681
Quoting AussieStorm:


I'll see your 16ft snake and raise you a 22ft 302lbs snake and still aive. Her name is Atomic Betty.



I fold.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26110
Quoting Grothar:


It looks like Aussie wins this one.


Yep looks like. :)
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my local radar filling in once again, this time with heavier clustered showers...not that boring ol steady rain :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4483
468. Skyepony (Mod)
RIP Andy..such incredible chases you shared.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
Sorry about my aggressiveness.That's just how I've been all my life.Anywho it looks like June down in the tropics(or at least late may).Wouldn't all surprise me if we have a tropical cyclone in May.
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Lol. You win. :)


It looks like Aussie wins this one.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26110
Looks like my lake levels are rebounding. Might get to go fishing this week. Course it'll be cold, 60ish, especially cutting across the water at 80mph! Lol. My dad won't do 45 on the freeway but loses his mind in that boat! :)



Slowly but surely...

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Quoting AussieStorm:

What's wrong with my spelling?


she means the writing....lol.


Here is my new blog in over a week. COncerns TC Jasmine, and the caribbean system. Link Leavea comment and lemie know wwat u think!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4483
Quoting washingtonian115:
Sorry about the lost of Andy.Condolences goes out to the family.NOW...I'm only gonna say this once and not anymore...What's up with that stuuuuupid typing backwards.That S*** has already gotten annoying as ****.I put up with it a few times.But can we please not make it a habbit???.Next thing you know you'll have the trolls doing it come hurricane season.


Sorry master.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6481
Quoting washingtonian115:
Sorry about the lost of Andy.Condolences goes out to the family.NOW...I'm only gonna say this once and not anymore...What's up with that stuuuuupid typing backwards.That S*** has already gotten annoying as ****.I put up with it a few times.But can we please not make it a habbit???.Next thing you know you'll have the trolls doing it come hurricane season.


i sorry...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4483
Quoting Grothar:



I'll take the mosquitoes:


USA TODAY:
It sounded like a joke when the news first hit in 2000: Giant Burmese pythons were invading the Everglades. Now scientists have measured the real impact of the arrival of this voracious species, and the news is troubling.

South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.
EnlargeClose
South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.



I'll see your 16ft snake and raise you a 22ft 302lbs snake and still aive. Her name is Atomic Betty.

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Quoting Grothar:



I'll take the mosquitoes:


USA TODAY:
It sounded like a joke when the news first hit in 2000: Giant Burmese pythons were invading the Everglades. Now scientists have measured the real impact of the arrival of this voracious species, and the news is troubling.

South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.
EnlargeClose
South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.



Lol. You win. :)
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I know the world is backwards but that spelling ugggggggggh just irritates me....

What's wrong with my spelling?
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I have some really bad news.

The storm chaser Andy Gabrielson (many of you will know him from his many tornado chasers like the Tipton, OK one) has been killed in a wreck in Oklahoma.

"I regret to bring such devestating...but it is 100% confirmed. Andy Gabrielson of Find The Tornado was one of the fatalities in today's accident (OK State Police was called to confirm). Our thoughts and condolences to Andy's friends and family..."


It really is sad about Gabrielson. We watched his chases on here a lot. He was featured on the WC a few times.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26110
Quoting AussieStorm:


˙sıɥʇ ǝʞıl plɹoʍ ǝɥʇ ǝǝs ı 'ǝʇɐɯ ʇı ʇnoqɐ ʎɹɹoʍ ʇ,uop
I know the world is backwards but that spelling ugggggggggh just irritates me....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:


˙sıɥʇ ǝʞıl plɹoʍ ǝɥʇ ǝǝs ı 'ǝʇɐɯ ʇı ʇnoqɐ ʎɹɹoʍ ʇ,uop


We know you are upside down in Australia, but can you at least stand on your head when you write to us. ?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26110
Quoting washingtonian115:
Sorry about the lost of Andy.Condolences goes out to the family.NOW...I'm only gonna say this once and not anymore...What's up with that stuuuuupid typing backwards.That S*** has already gotten annoying as ****.I put up with it a few times.But can we please not make it a habbit???.Next thing you know you'll have the trolls doing it come hurricane season.


˙sıɥʇ ǝʞıl plɹoʍ ǝɥʇ ǝǝs ı 'ǝʇɐɯ ʇı ʇnoqɐ ʎɹɹoʍ ʇ,uop
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AtHomeInTX:
Despite the most dire of predictions things seem to be getting back to normal. Lol.


War against salt marsh mosquitoes


Rosie Cabrera lives on DeQueen and Lakeshore Drive in Port Arthur near the seawall. She says the mosquitoes are making her a prisoner in her own home.

"As soon as I open the door they're coming in my back door. I had to bring my pets inside. It's horrible and I'm just concerned about West Nile Virus," said Cabrera Saturday afternoon.

Pets inside, her niece inside, and flying insect killer nearby. At Jefferson County Mosquito Control planes waiting to lift off, trucks ready to fog, but right now it's a no go.

"The biggest problem is working around the weather...ugh...the temperatures have to be ideal and the winds have to be low enough for the chemical to be effective at all," said Kevin Sexton with the Jefferson County Mosquito Control.

Saturday morning through afternoon thunderstorms rolled in dumping more rain.

Sexton says the type of mosquitoes, salt marsh mosquitoes, can't really be fought. Some things that may help are long-sleeved clothing, limiting outdoor activities, and putting on bug spray.

"They're gonna have to plan around the mosquitoes," said Sexton when asked what people can do if they are planning to be outside, particularly this Super Bowl weekend.

In the meantime Rosie Cabrera will arm herself with mosquito repellant.

"Keep the doors closed and just spray," said Cabrera when asked how she is going to continue fighting the war. She is happy to hear that the county is doing their best to address the issue.



I'll take the mosquitoes:


USA TODAY:
It sounded like a joke when the news first hit in 2000: Giant Burmese pythons were invading the Everglades. Now scientists have measured the real impact of the arrival of this voracious species, and the news is troubling.

South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.
EnlargeClose
South Florida Water Management District, via AP
Workers hold a nearly 16-foot-long Burmese python captured and killed in Everglades National Park, Fla., in October. The python had consumed a 76-pound adult female deer.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26110







Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
For 10:56 am EST on Sunday 5 February 2012
At 10 am EST Sunday, Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Category 2) with central
pressure 984 hPa was located over the Coral sea near latitude 17.2 south
longitude 152.5 east, which is about 720 km east of Cairns and 285 km east
southeast of Willis Is.

The cyclone is moving east at about 20 kilometres per hour and should gradually
intensify over the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Jasmine is not expected to directly affect the Queensland
coast.

The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5 pm EST.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sorry about the lost of Andy.Condolences goes out to the family.NOW...I'm only gonna say this once and not anymore...What's up with that stuuuuupid typing backwards.That S*** has already gotten annoying as ****.I put up with it a few times.But can we please not make it a habbit???.Next thing you know you'll have the trolls doing it come hurricane season.
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Quoting hydrus:
What happened.?

Fatal car wreck on I-44 in Oklahoma.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
What happened.?
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21173
Despite the most dire of predictions things seem to be getting back to normal. Lol.


War against salt marsh mosquitoes


Rosie Cabrera lives on DeQueen and Lakeshore Drive in Port Arthur near the seawall. She says the mosquitoes are making her a prisoner in her own home.

"As soon as I open the door they're coming in my back door. I had to bring my pets inside. It's horrible and I'm just concerned about West Nile Virus," said Cabrera Saturday afternoon.

Pets inside, her niece inside, and flying insect killer nearby. At Jefferson County Mosquito Control planes waiting to lift off, trucks ready to fog, but right now it's a no go.

"The biggest problem is working around the weather...ugh...the temperatures have to be ideal and the winds have to be low enough for the chemical to be effective at all," said Kevin Sexton with the Jefferson County Mosquito Control.

Saturday morning through afternoon thunderstorms rolled in dumping more rain.

Sexton says the type of mosquitoes, salt marsh mosquitoes, can't really be fought. Some things that may help are long-sleeved clothing, limiting outdoor activities, and putting on bug spray.

"They're gonna have to plan around the mosquitoes," said Sexton when asked what people can do if they are planning to be outside, particularly this Super Bowl weekend.

In the meantime Rosie Cabrera will arm herself with mosquito repellant.

"Keep the doors closed and just spray," said Cabrera when asked how she is going to continue fighting the war. She is happy to hear that the county is doing their best to address the issue.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
447. Skyepony (Mod)
Fresh Windsat.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
I made a quick Loop on Utube of the System

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128216
Quoting RTSplayer:
438:

This is already one screwed up year.

That isn't even the same disturbance the model was picking up on a few days ago.

The model said a disturbance was going to develop off the western side of the Yucatan on the 9th or 10th.

Real development seems unlikely anyway with 30kts shear.

If it's subtropical, it doesn't matter.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
Check out all the moisture piling up in the NW Caribbean:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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