Europe cold wave deaths hit 200; low-snow winter for the U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:06 PM GMT on February 03, 2012

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Brutal winter cold continues over most of Europe, where at least 200 people have died in a cold wave that began January 26. Hardest hit has been Ukraine, where the temperature bottomed out at -17°F (-27°C) at the capital of Kyiv this morning. It was the second coldest day of the cold wave, behind the -28°C reading of February 2. These temperatures are the coldest winter weather in six years in Ukraine, and at least 101 deaths are being blamed on the cold there. Also hard-hit has been Poland, where 37 people, most of them homeless, have died from the cold. Rome, Italy experienced a rare snowfall today, only its second day with snow during the past fifteen years. Very cold temperatures 10 - 20°C below average will continue for another seven days in Europe before gradually moderating late next week.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average as analyzed by the GFS model, for February 2, 2012. Remarkably cold air was present over Europe and western Alaska, while very warm air was over central North America and Siberia. This image is being generated experimentally by wunderground, and will be regularly available on our web site in the future.

Meanwhile, a snow drought for the U.S.
In the U.S., it's been the opposite story, with temperatures 10 - 15°F above average continuing this week over much of the nation. January 2012 is in the weather record books as the 3rd least-snowy January for the contiguous U.S. since snow records began in 1966, and December 2011 ranked as the 11th least snowy December on record. With no major snow storms in the offing over at least the next ten days, it's looking probable that the non-winter of 2011 - 2012 will set numerous record-low seasonal snowfall totals. The National Weather Service sends out a daily "Weather and Almanac" product for several hundred major U.S. cities that we make available on wunderground. I went through yesterday's statistics for those cities that reported measurable snow this winter. Only nine cities out of 166 major U.S. cities in the lower 48 states reported above-average snowfall as of February 1; 157 cities received below-average snowfall. The big winner in the snow sweepstakes has been Alaska, which is boasting 8 of the top 10 locations for heaviest snowfall this winter. While the 27.75 feet of snow that has fallen on Valdez has gotten a lot of attention, more remarkable is the 18.8 feet of snow Yakutat has received. That's more than 12.5 feet above what they usually have by this time of year.



The big losers in the snow stats for this winter are the cities along the lake effect snow belts on the Great Lakes. Most notably, Syracuse, New York is nearly four feet of snow below average for this time of year. Perhaps more exceptional is Williston, North Dakota, which has received just 1.8" of snow this winter--more than two feet below their average for February 1.



Have a super weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Tazmanian:
soon the mode runs will start forcasting hurrcanes and TS


And somehow I'll have to find time to forecast them despite work/exercise.
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Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Then I don't recommend it for you. Do what appeals to you not others.


"An it harm none, do what ye will."
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soon the mode runs will start forcasting hurrcanes and TS
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Quoting KoritheMan:


I don't see the appeal. :|


Then I don't recommend it for you. Do what appeals to you not others.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Football is stupid.

Kill it with fire.


What's that saying? The **** just hit the fan?
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Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Good football weather. Playing football in soaking rain is the best!

Football is stupid.

Kill it with fire.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Good football weather. Playing football in soaking rain is the best!


I don't see the appeal. :|
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Cool. I tried it during Irene. I almost got hit by a tree limb. :S


Yeah, Gustav almost nicked me one but good. That was admittedly far more dangerous to be outside in than Lee, but I don't particularly care. As long as I'm careful, I'm not gonna die young. :P
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Closure

I-70 Eastbound Closed Between Denver and Limon and the Kansas State Line to Denver for Westbound traffic. NO ESTIMATED REOPEN but this is likely to be an overnight closure. Adverse weather conditions and high winds. Additional road closures are listed on the home page or road conditions page
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Quoting KoritheMan:


Did that during Lee. I enjoyed the wind action, but being soaked from head to toe was no fun.

Cool. I tried it during Irene. I almost got hit by a tree limb. :S
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting KoritheMan:


Did that during Lee. I enjoyed the wind action, but being soaked from head to toe was no fun.


Good football weather. Playing football in soaking rain is the best!
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Quoting caneswatch:


Yes, i've had the wind decide plenty of rounds, mostly in my favor.


Clearly, charisma follows you wherever you go.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


If by "entertaining" you mean the difference between winning and losing, I agree.


Yes, i've had the wind decide plenty of rounds, mostly in my favor.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I like standing outside in the rain.

It's quite...wet.


Did that during Lee. I enjoyed the wind action, but being soaked from head to toe was no fun.
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I'll listen to that later. Thanks chicklit!
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Hmm, no I haven't. I will admit my perspective could change, but for now this is how I feel.

There IS a humanitarian side to filming disasters and whatnot, however: the more information we can gather, the greater our scientific understanding of these storms will be.


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Quoting KoritheMan:


If by "entertaining" you mean the difference between winning and losing, I agree.

I like standing outside in the rain.

It's quite...wet.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting Civicane49:


Looks like a turkey.
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Quoting caneswatch:


More entertaining, especially during golf.


If by "entertaining" you mean the difference between winning and losing, I agree.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Wind is more fun than rain.


More entertaining, especially during golf.
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Quoting Grothar:
We have been getting some strong downpours here in Fort Lauderdale. A little windy, but not much. We need the rain.


Not a drop here in Royal Palm Beach.
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Hi Guys,
On my way home tonight heard Dr. Jeff Masters on National Public Radio discussing the Arctic Oscillation and lack of snow across the continental US. LinkNPR
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
Up to a critical point. Then neither are fun at all.

Amen to that.
Opal, Ivan and Katrina.
None of them were fun.
Jesse
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:

Haven't done a lot of disaster response. I can tell.


Hmm, no I haven't. I will admit my perspective could change, but for now this is how I feel.

There IS a humanitarian side to filming disasters and whatnot, however: the more information we can gather, the greater our scientific understanding of these storms will be.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Ok, this sentence is all messed up.

1.) I don't routinely experience snow, I live in southeastern NC. :P

2.) How would you say such a thing!?


you can have the snow i git if you will give me all the thunderstorms you get during the summer :D
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Quoting KoritheMan:


They are to the crazies among us, like myself.

Hell, I eventually intend to pursue storm chasing as a routine hobby. Eventually you guys will see my videos!

Haven't done a lot of disaster response. I can tell.
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


What is the sound of one hand clapping?


Whoosh!
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I've never understood how people who routinely experience snow (like yourself) don't grow weary of it.

Ok, this sentence is all messed up.

1.) I don't routinely experience snow, I live in southeastern NC. :P

2.) How would you say such a thing!?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
Up to a critical point. Then neither are fun at all.


They are to the crazies among us, like myself.

Hell, I eventually intend to pursue storm chasing as a routine hobby. Eventually you guys will see my videos!
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I thought tropicalanalyst13 was near Wilmington NC. Doesn't snow often there.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Wind is more fun than rain.
Up to a critical point. Then neither are fun at all.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Snow is more fun than wind and rain.


A strong bow echo with wind rain AND thunder AND lighting is better then them all!
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

t'noD klat sdrawmcab


!!ahah!sdrawckab ni rettel a dessim uoY
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Snow is more fun than wind and rain.


I've never understood how people who routinely experience snow (like yourself) don't grow weary of it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


Wind is more fun than rain.

Snow is more fun than wind and rain.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting SPLbeater:


?tahW


Spanish for don't be silly.
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Quoting SPLbeater:


?tahW

t'noD klat sdrawmcab
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting Grothar:
We have been getting some strong downpours here in Fort Lauderdale. A little windy, but not much. We need the rain.


Wind is more fun than rain.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No seas tonto. :P


?tahW
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We have been getting some strong downpours here in Fort Lauderdale. A little windy, but not much. We need the rain.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
You sir need.....HAPPY FACE HAPPY FACE :).

No seas tonto. :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Inez 1966
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I don't think so.
You sir need.....HAPPY FACE HAPPY FACE :).
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195. beell
Mesocyclone
(abbrev. MESO)- A storm-scale region of rotation, typically around 2-6 miles in diameter and often found in the right rear flank of a supercell (or often on the eastern, or front, flank of an HP storm). The circulation of a mesocyclone covers an area much larger than the tornado that may develop within it. Properly used, mesocyclone is a radar term; it is defined as a rotation signature appearing on Doppler radar that meets specific criteria for magnitude, vertical depth, and duration. It will appear as a yellow solid circle on the Doppler velocity products. Therefore, a mesocyclone should not be considered a visually-observable phenomenon (although visual evidence of rotation, such as curved inflow bands, may imply the presence of a mesocyclone).

www.weather.gov/glossary
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Quoting KoritheMan:
I think you're forgetting Ingrid.



Forgot about Ingrid from 07I think it won award for weakest I storm there was.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I just wanted you to all notice. And it worked.

I don't think so.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Looks like you took your time on that post.


I just wanted you to all notice. And it worked.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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