Bitter cold -65°F temperatures hit Alaska

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:13 PM GMT on January 30, 2012

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If you're wondering who's getting all the cold air the lower 48 states is missing during this non-winter of 2012, the answer during the past week has been Alaska. Our 49th state is used to intense winter cold, but not like what they've experienced during the past week. Friday night and Saturday night, temperatures plummeted to -50°F and -51°F in Fairbanks, marking the first time since 1999 the city had seen back-to-back minus fifty nights. The low temperature so far today at the Fairbanks International Airport has been -44°F, giving the city sixteen days of -40°F temperatures so far this month. Since 1906, there have only been three years (1906, 1934, and 1971) with more 40 below days during the month of January. At forty below zero, the air is so cold that the water vapor condenses out into ice crystals, which float in the air creating a low-visibility fog. A large area of Alaska experienced bitter cold temperatures of -50 to -65°F Sunday morning:

FORT YUKON CO-OP..............65 BELOW
KANDIK RIVER CO-OP............64 BELOW
FORT YUKON AIRPORT..........62 BELOW*
BETTLES.................................60 BELOW**
HUSLIA.....................................60 BELOW
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS............60 BELOW
NORTH POLE/WOODSMOKE....60 BELOW
CHICKEN CO-OP.....................59 BELOW
GALENA AIRPORT....................58 BELOW
TANANA...................................58 BELOW
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS..........58 BELOW
DELTA 20 SE CO-OP...............58 BELOW
COLDFOOT................................57 BELOW
EAGLE CO-OP.........................57 BELOW
KALTAG...................................56 BELOW
GOLDSTREAM CREEK..........55 BELOW
ARCTIC VILLAGE..................54 BELOW
NENANA..................................54 BELOW
SALCHA..................................54 BELOW
FAIRBANKS AIRPORT..............51 BELOW
DELTA JUNCTION/FT GREELY......50 BELOW
LAKE MINCHUMINA.................50 BELOW
MCGRATH.................................50 BELOW

*TIED DAILY RECORD LOW OF 62 BELOW SET IN 1909
**EXCEEDS DAILY RECORD LOW OF 58 BELOW SET IN 1989

The cold snap is expected to continue through mid-week, with more -65°F temperatures possible in the interior valleys north of Fairbanks. Warmer air is expected to arrive state-wide by Thursday.


Figure 1. It's a tradition! Photo taken Sunday, January 29, 2012, by one of our more adventurous wunderphotographers. Image credit: wunderphotographer TerezkaSunshine.

All-time U.S. low temperature record threatened?
The coldest temperature ever recorded in the U.S. was a -80°F (-62.2°C) reading from Prospect Creek, AK (about 180 miles north of Fairbanks) on January 23, 1971. A weather station just a few miles from Prospect Creek, the Jim River DOT site, appears to have recorded a low temperature between -78°F and -79°F Saturday morning (January 28, 2012), shortly before the weather station lost power. Keeping the power going at -70 is very tough, and it is not a surprise to see that the station lost power during this extraordinary cold snap. Power just returned this morning to the site, where the temperature was -66°F at 7 am AKST. Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt is corresponding with Alaska's state climatologist to get more information on whether the data during the power outage will be recoverable, and how reliable these near-record low temperatures might be.

Jeff Masters

54°F Below (alaskajuliens)
This capture was shot just outside of North Pole , Alaska. It was a very cold and slow night for aurora hunting. One of these days I will learn to leave earlier in the evening.
54°F Below
SunDog (katy99780)
Looking due south down a side road, not too long after noon. Chilly night last night, down to -51.
SunDog
Dangerous Temps (alaskajuliens)
This was shot at 0345 on 29, Jan. It was painfully cold.
Dangerous Temps

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Quoting islander101010:
feds are reevaluating properties here in e cen fl. concerning flood insurance wonder if they take into consideration that e cen fl. has not one landfalling major hurricane acc to the records bet not.


Feds may be reevaluating E Central FL properties because of impending sea level rise and hurricanes may be a minor consideration. Just because the dolts in Congress don't support the idea of climate change and its ramifications doesn't mean other Federal agencies aren't moving ahead. The Navy has been raising the heights of piers in Norfolk. Some of the most interesting reading on the subject has come from military and security conferences on the effects of climate change. Two examples from "security and climate change" google.

Link

Link

Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
280. MahFL
Goodmorning all, I just figured out why my coffee cup was not working, the air hole was blocked with gunge....
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Quoting Skyepony:
With the last front everyone I know that had nosebleeds regular during the deepwater spill had one. Day after all that heavy chaff we tracked the night before on radar. Looked around. Modis missed the gulf that one day.. Wings of care was last out there end of Dec saw plenty of sheen, they & others say spraying with dispersant is ongoing. In Nov BP & some clean up boats went to check out natural seeps in the area that have been leaking heavy since Aug..

There was also out in the last day or two that the dispersant that was applied at the wellhead hasn't much mixed in or broken down like expected. Still sitting in underwater plumes of oil.
Speaking of: did you see the news this week that verifies that BP knew on the day of the blowout that up to 3.4 million gallons a day could be flowing, yet they instead chose to tell everyone the most that could possibly flow was 42,000 GPD? Apparently the company's own people knew what was happening, yet numerous emails show that BP execs forbid them to tell anyone.

Nice.

I remember some on here claiming that it sure looked like a lot more than 42,000 gallons, while others would respond by asking, in apparent sincerity, what good it would do for BP to lie about the flow rate.

Of course, it's no shock at all that an oil company would lie--after all, they've been doing it for decades where climate change is concerned-- just as it's no shock that some in the government would be complicit in that lie. But as a Gulf Coast resident, it does disturb me. Deeply. Even now when I see those touchy-feely TV ads paid for by BP that show various GC tourism pushers telling people to come on down, I laugh, and then I cringe, and then I cry. :-\
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13800
278. Xeloi
Quoting RTSplayer:


I don't agree with the standard model of stellar dynamics regarding the Red Giant phase. Here's why.

The net energy release from the He to Carbon chain is about 7Mev, and involves 12 atomic mass worth of fuel, while net energy release from the Hydrogen chain to helium is 17Mev and involves 6 atomic mass worth of fuel.

7/12 vs 17/6.

the energy density of the hydrogen reaction is nearly 5 times greater per unit mass.


This means that if the Sun were going to swell into a "Giant" due to an excess of internal heating, it should be doing it right now, not in the future.

Once it runs out of hydrogen, it's remaining energy density will have diminshed by a factor of 5 per unit mass, making it extremely unlikely to be able to get hot enough to expand against the forces of
gravity that have held it together all this time.


Moroever, real nuclear reactions are not pretty little schemes where all the atoms of one type wait around for all the atoms of another type to finish reacting.

There's already Helium fusing to Carcon in the Sun right now.

Just like radioisotopes in reverse, a daughter product doesn't sit around waiting for the entire mass of a parent product to decay before it also starts to react or decay.


The textbook notion of a star suddenly one day running out of hydrogen, and then magically making a transition to Helium-only fusion is just BS. It doesn't exist in the real universe.

Even if it did exist, the star would need to begin burning it's mass 5 times faster just in order to maintain the temperature it originally had during the hydrogen phase (but the rate of burning is limited by the force of gravity, so regardless, if it could not overcome the gravity during the lighter, more energy dense hydrogen phase, it certainly won't do so in the Helium phase,) and that still would not make it expand into a multi-a.u. radius cloud of plasma. If anything, it would contract exponentially as it's density increases by making more and more dense atoms.


I digress.

The world is not ready for critical thinking. It's not your fault anyway.


I actually feel that I am qualified to comment on this one -- I have a PhD in Astrophysics.

Just because the energy density is lower doesn't really mean much. A "living" star is always in a state known as "hydrostatic equilibrium" -- the radiation pressure from nuclear fusion and the gas pressure from the hot plasma pushing outwards is balanced by the gravitational pressure pushing downwards. When the supply of hydrogen starts to run out in the core of the star, where fusion is taking place, the core of the star starts to contract as gravity starts to "win". This contraction causes the core to heat up, which is slightly counter-intuitive, I know, but true nevertheless -- gravitational potential energy is being converted into heat. The hotter core means that the star actually releases more energy, so while the core of the star contracts, the outer layers actually expand. This is the red giant phase. If the star is massive enough, the core will actually get hot enough to initiate Helium burning, which requires a much higher temperature than Hydrogen burning. It's not clear if the Sun is massive enough for this... if Helium burning doesn't start, the core will continue to contract and "blow away" the outer layers of the star, which will first create a planetary nebula before becoming a white dwarf. If the star IS massive enough, it will find a new hydrostatic equilibrium, hot enough to maintain Helium burning. It's true that there is less energy released from Helium burning than from Hydrogen burning -- and the star is hotter besides, releasing more energy, so the Helium burning state ultimately has a much shorter lifetime than the Hydrogen burning state. Once the Helium starts to run out, the core starts to contract and heat again. Only very massive stars can begin to burn the Carbon, Oxygen, and Nitrogen "ashes" left over from Helium burning... otherwise, planetary nebula/white dwarf. This burning can continue through Silicon and all the way to Iron... however, any attempt to "fuse" Iron leads to a net loss in energy, rather than a gain, so that's it. Stars that get Iron in their cores ultimately collapse into neutron stars or black holes with a bang -- supernova.



The problem is that it requires much higher temperatures to initiate and maintain helium burning. When the energy generation from Hydrogen burning starts
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feds are reevaluating properties here in e cen fl. concerning flood insurance wonder if they take into consideration that e cen fl. has not one landfalling major hurricane acc to the records bet not.
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 5001
276. Ylee
Finally! We finally find out the true identity of Levi......;-)

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275. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F
18:00 PM FST January 31 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 07F (998 hPa) located at 15.4S 165.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Position fair based on multisatellite visible/infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface observation

Organization has improved slightly in the past 06 hours. Deep convection near the system center has increased in the last 12 hours With cloud tops cooling. System lies under an upper diffluent region And to the east of an upper trough. Depression lies in a region of Moderate shear and is being steered to the southeast by a deep layer Mean northwesterly wind flow. Sea surface temperature is around 29-30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.3 wrap, thus yields Dt= 2.0, met and pt agrees. Ft based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24 hrs.

Global models are gradually intensifying the system and moving it southeastwards.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours is moderate to high.

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at 14:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
274. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F
18:00 PM FST January 31 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 09F (999 hPa) located at 19.9S 172.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving southwest at 10 knots. Position fair based on multisatellite visible/infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface observation.

Convection has decreased significantly in the past 12 hours. Organization is poor for the past 12 hours. This system lies in a region of high shear and is moving into an area of cooler sea surface temperature.

Global models move the system further south and is weakening it.

This will be the last advisory on this system
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Thanks Taz!



your welcome
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271. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL CYCLONE IGGY, CATEGORY ONE (11U)
3:00 PM WST January 31 2012
=================================

At 2:00 PM WST, Tropical Cyclone Iggy, Category One (985 hPa) located at 22.6S 108.6E or 570 km west of Exmouth and 570 km west northwest of Carnarvon has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS

Gale Force Winds
--------------------
60 NM from the center in northern quadrants
100 NM from the center in southern quadrants

Forecast and Intensity
======================

12 HRS: 24.5S 107.7E - 40 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 26.7S 107.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 28.4S 109.9E - 30 knots (TROPICAL LOW)
72 HRS: 28.2S 113.1E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)

Additional Information
=======================

Deep convection reduced over night and this morning's visible imagery shows limited deep convection near the center despite low shear. Organization is good but the convective signature relatively weak. The ASCAT pass at 0134 shows limited gales with winds up to 40 knots. Given the system is weakening and is not likely to have very strong wind gradients ASCAT is likely to be capturing close to the maximum winds.

Banding eye analyses are yielding DT 3.0 but in contrast using enhanced infrared eye analyses on the weak eye feature evident during the morning yields DTs of 4 or 4.5. ADT is running at around 3.0 and no AMSU estimate has been available since the 17Z pass. Final intensity estimate is set at 40 knots 10-min mean.

Shear is currently very low, which is likely why the system has shown such good organization in recent hours despite a relative lack of deep convection, however the shear is forecast to increase overnight. Interaction with a passing mid latitude trough to the south should provide a period of enhanced outflow on the southern side and may encourage regeneration of some convection overnight during the diurnally favorable period. For this reason a relatively slow weakening trend is forecast. Gales may continue on the southern side for a period after the system has weakened below TC intensity due to interaction with a high pressure system building in from the southwest.

Good agreement between the models on the track with majority of models taking the remnant system towards the west coast from Wednesday. Minority of models have the system weakening sufficiently to be steered off to the west. With a passing mid-latitude trough to the south on Wednesday the steering is toward the east at all levels except 850hPa. There is some discrepancy in the sea surface temperature analyses available from different sources but by Wednesday the sea surface temperatures should also be forcing a strong weakening trend.

The next tropical cyclone advice from Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center on TC IGGY will be issued at 12:30 PM UTC..
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Quoting RTSplayer:


I don't agree with the standard model of stellar dynamics regarding the Red Giant phase. Here's why.

The net energy release from the He to Carbon chain is about 7Mev, and involves 12 atomic mass worth of fuel, while net energy release from the Hydrogen chain to helium is 17Mev and involves 6 atomic mass worth of fuel.

7/12 vs 17/6.

the energy density of the hydrogen reaction is nearly 5 times greater per unit mass.


This means that if the Sun were going to swell into a "Giant" due to an excess of internal heating, it should be doing it right now, not in the future.

Once it runs out of hydrogen, it's remaining energy density will have diminshed by a factor of 5 per unit mass, making it extremely unlikely to be able to get hot enough to expand against the forces of
gravity that have held it together all this time.


Moroever, real nuclear reactions are not pretty little schemes where all the atoms of one type wait around for all the atoms of another type to finish reacting.

There's already Helium fusing to Carcon in the Sun right now.

Just like radioisotopes in reverse, a daughter product doesn't sit around waiting for the entire mass of a parent product to decay before it also starts to react or decay.


The textbook notion of a star suddenly one day running out of hydrogen, and then magically making a transition to Helium-only fusion is just BS. It doesn't exist in the real universe.

Even if it did exist, the star would need to begin burning it's mass 5 times faster just in order to maintain the temperature it originally had during the hydrogen phase (but the rate of burning is limited by the force of gravity, so regardless, if it could not overcome the gravity during the lighter, more energy dense hydrogen phase, it certainly won't do so in the Helium phase,) and that still would not make it expand into a multi-a.u. radius cloud of plasma. If anything, it would contract exponentially as it's density increases by making more and more dense atoms.


I digress.

The world is not ready for critical thinking. It's not your fault anyway.


If stars operated how you postulated there wouldn't be any stars around today, having burnt through all their fuel at very accelerated rates, or stopped fusing altogether due to a buildup of heavier nuclei preventing nuclear collisions. It would also change the general distribution of the elements throughout the universe, as by your model heavier elements would already be generated by young or middle aged stars. Other side effects of your model would also include upending special relativity, stellar nucleosynthesis, and indirectly nuclear fission. I also feel bad for all those poor guys working on the ITER and LIF projects, because by your hypothesis, they are doing it wrong.

Basically, your model would require a complete rework of several well established branches of nuclear physics, which have at least 70 years of research, data, and observations backing them up.

Your hypothesis doesn't appear to match observations, and leaves at least several gaps that need to be filled in before taking it before a review board. That's not to say your hypothesis can't work, it's just that right now it's not really all that solid.

The current theory goes something like this (very simplified). The energy released from a fusion reaction is based on the binding energy of the nuclei being fused. The heavier the nuclei, the more energy it takes to fuse (in general). Fusion reactions are energy positive (with decreasing returns) up until you hit iron. After that, fusion reactions become a net loss. The energy can be calculated by using Einstein's famous equation E = mc^2, where in this case m represents the mass difference between the original nuclei and the fused nuclei (mass is lost in fusion reactions, converted to energy).

Due to the binding energy, it takes higher and higher temperatures before fusion can take place. Hydrogen nuclei have the lowest binding energy so happens at relatively low temperatures (also helped along by the density/pressure of the sun's core). Helium requires a much higher temperature to fuse, and produces less energy than the hydrogen reaction. The sun will keep fusing hydrogen to helium until the increased density/pressure allow the temperatures to reach the threshold for helium burning. The hydrogen isn't gone at that point, but a lot of it will have already been converted to helium. Once the helium burn cycle starts the temperature increases and causes the sun to expand.

This fuel cycle continues stepping in this manner until it reaches iron/nickel. At that point, the stepping stops as it takes more energy to fuse those and heavier nuclei than the reaction produces. After that the sun will begin to cool and shrink.

Of course this is a very much simplified explanation, and there are plenty of online resources and various textbooks on the subject.
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Quoting yqt1001:
Iggy is looking nice (especially for a 50mph TS according to the JTWC).



Kind of reminds me of Erin over ohlahoma city... similar structure vs intensity situation.


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264. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
FORECAST FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA REGION BETWEEN 142E-160E SOUTH OF 10S
2:30 pm EST January 31 2012
===================================

The monsoon trough extends across north Queensland and the northern Coral Sea and is expected to develop further over the next few days. A weak low currently sits over western Cape York Peninsula and is forecast to move east into the Coral Sea later in the week. Further development is likely while the low is forecast to continue moving east across the Coral Sea. If this low does become a tropical cyclone it is unlikely to have any significant impacts along the Queensland coast.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

Wednesday: Very Low
Thursday: Low
Friday: Moderate
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Quoting Tazmanian:
firefox ueser like me


if you do not wont too be put up with the upgradeing evere 6 weeks there is now going too be a firefox 10 ESR wish means it will be upgraded evere 42 weeks wish is 7x slower then the Norml firefox 10


but if you cant wait for it you can take it for a test drive


plzs note when firefox 10 be comes live tuesday you need too un stall that one from that site you got it from and in stall the real one or your ad ons will not work

Link


Thanks Taz!
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firefox ueser like me


if you do not wont too be put up with the upgradeing evere 6 weeks there is now going too be a firefox 10 ESR wish means it will be upgraded evere 42 weeks wish is 7x slower then the Norml firefox 10


but if you cant wait for it you can take it for a test drive


plzs note when firefox 10 be comes live tuesday you need too un stall that one from that site you got it from and in stall the real one or your ad ons will not work

Link
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245:

I'll be honest.

I had about 3 pages response written detailing my positon more completely and explaining all my reasoning behind it, but I've decided not to post it.

Suffice it to say, my theory isn't even that far out of the mainstream compared to some things proposed by technically more qualified opponents of the mainstream.

I mean, I know of former NASA employee who have presented solar theories that are virtually polar opposites of the mainstream theory. Not that I agree with those either, but some people are convinced the Sun is already a decaying neutron Star. Others are convinced that attractive gravity is an illusion, instead gravity is a repulsive force caused by cosmic radiation pressure at an absurdly small wavelength, and the Sun is millions of times more massive than we think it is, but the mass of large objects such as Jupiter and the Sun is hidden by a mass shadow defect, because it can't be penetrated by the repulsive gravity radiation. Morever, the math of this theory actually works in every testable way and is self consistent. Yet it's not accepted by anyone, nor do I accept it, it's just something to think about.


Point is, the mainstream stellar model is after all, just a theory and a model.

Even "theory" is a bit of a stretch, since nobody is going to be around to observe the end of the Sun's life cycle and make adjustments or corrections. It's more of a hypothesis, and for human terms, is virtually non-falsifiable.

Meh, wrote two pages to explain why I wasn't writing two pages. Go figure.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting Skyepony:
This was last September..Got a new respect for the yellow bus..

They were stupid and lucky.
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Quoting yqt1001:
Iggy is looking nice (especially for a 50mph TS according to the JTWC).

Iggy looks Icky(I'm sorry I can't help it).Anyway that's my last saying for tonight.Gonna go to bed now.Have a meeting at 9:30 in the morning.(Yawns).
Quoting KoritheMan:


Look forward to seeing it!
Thanks :).
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17810
Iggy is looking nice (especially for a 50mph TS according to the JTWC).

Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
257. Skyepony (Mod)
With the last front everyone I know that had nosebleeds regular during the deepwater spill had one. Day after all that heavy chaff we tracked the night before on radar. Looked around. Modis missed the gulf that one day.. Wings of care was last out there end of Dec saw plenty of sheen, they & others say spraying with dispersant is ongoing. In Nov BP & some clean up boats went to check out natural seeps in the area that have been leaking heavy since Aug..

There was also out in the last day or two that the dispersant that was applied at the wellhead hasn't much mixed in or broken down like expected. Still sitting in underwater plumes of oil.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Are we really bullying people again??.Hopefully the tone will be different tomorrow night.I'm still doing research on warm winter's for the U.S to see if that has some correlation to U.S hurricane Landfalls.I'm going to write a blog on it when I get around to it,maybe some time around April or May.


Look forward to seeing it!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Are we really bullying people again??.Hopefully the tone will be different tomorrow night.I'm still doing research on warm winter's for the U.S to see if that has some correlation to U.S hurricane Landfalls.I'm going to write a blog on it when I get around to it,maybe some time around April or May.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17810
For those of you in Florida or in the GOM....

Long-Term Response Plan for Possible Cuban Oil Spill

ScienceDaily (Jan. 30, 2012) Nova Southeastern University (NSU) and Florida International University (FIU) researchers have drafted a plan to best prepare South Florida for an oil spill off the coast of Cuba.

The proximity of intended Cuban oil drilling and production puts the U.S. coastal zone at risk from Florida to the Carolinas and northward. Oil from a spill would quickly enter the Gulf Stream and reach Florida's shores in hours or days with potentially devastating effects on the densely populated South Florida coastline and its coastal ecosystems. South Florida's accounts for 3.4 million jobs and 45 percent of the $587 billion contribution to Florida's GDP generated by coastal and ocean economic activity.

A likely first impact of a major spill would be the iconic and economically valuable Florida Reef Track, a coral reef ecosystem that stretches from the Dry Torgugas in the Keys to Palm Beach County. Effects could be devastating to the ecology of the reef, Florida's beaches, coastal property and South Florida's economy.


Read the full article..... Link
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Quoting Skyepony:
This was last September..Got a new respect for the yellow bus..


Oh. My. God.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Well, Here's the news im gonna break to you guys...
I will no longer be on this Blog much, if at all, I might be back for the Hurricane season, i might not, but as of right now, you're better off keeping up with my tropical updates on my Twitter Account,
Ty Jarrett- @TropicsWatch
So, well there it is ^^^^
i might update my blog, but you'll have to look it up in the blog directory to see it...
HD07 RIP: 2010 Season to 2012. Tracked since 2008 on here, but will not be apart of this place much anymore...


Dean, this, too, will pass. Probably faster than we realize in the midst of it.
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
bedtime. night all
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
LATEST HEADLINES Link

State of Wisconsin issues statement on nuclear Cincident in Illinois Currently monitoring conditions after plant lost power and went offline - 10:01 PM EST

Fireman Eyewitness: It looked like a lot of smoke coming from containment building at Byron nuclear plant Had to be told it was steam Original call said a building at Byron nuclear plant was filling up with smoke (VIDEO) - 07:33 PM EST

Reporters at Byron Press Conference: A lot of people are calling us about a loud noise Was a special emergency response team on scene? (VIDEO) - 06:21 PM EST (Comments: 9)
NRC: Not a huge concern at nuke plant outside Chicago Employees reported seeing smoke coming from transformer after outage, no fire found - 04:10 PM EST

UPDATED: Emergency shutdown at Illinois reactor Smoke was actually steam containing radioactive material Workers evacuated Releases will continue throughout day (PHOTO) - 02:54 PM EST


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248. Skyepony (Mod)
This was last September..Got a new respect for the yellow bus..
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Now we can blame Mr. Burns....

More vegetables are deformed from stress
Posted by Mochizuki on January 15th, 2012

More mutated vegetables are found and reported. According to some expert, it’s from stress and especially female are worse at handling the stress. Some other experts are pointing out the possibility of midlife crisis of vegetables.

Japanese government’s official statement is that those vegetables forgot to smile when they were irradiated.

1. Mutated tomato in Oze, Fukushima.9/16/2011.

The farmer thinks too much nutrition was the stress for the tomato. He talks he was depressed to harvest those tomatos.(Source)


2. More mutated tomato in Kawasakihara, Fukushima.
The farmer thinks the bug was the stress for this tomato.(Source)



3. Mutated cucumber in Osaka.

The person who found this also found extraordinary big mushrooms in her garden.(Source)





Eggplant



6. Stressed “Fish” found having 2 mouths in Lincoin Nebraska 12/21/2011. Cf.0.36 microSv/h from snowfall in Saint Louis

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Quoting hydrus:
I do admire your passion for faith.


But too much zeal can become dangerous.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


I don't agree with the standard model of stellar dynamics regarding the Red Giant phase. Here's why.

The net energy release from the He to Carbon chain is about 7Mev, and involves 12 atomic mass worth of fuel, while net energy release from the Hydrogen chain to helium is 17Mev and involves 6 atomic mass worth of fuel.

7/12 vs 17/6.

the energy density of the hydrogen reaction is nearly 5 times greater per unit mass.


This means that if the Sun were going to swell into a "Giant" due to an excess of internal heating, it should be doing it right now, not in the future.

Once it runs out of hydrogen, it's remaining energy density will have diminshed by a factor of 5 per unit mass, making it extremely unlikely to be able to get hot enough to expand against the forces of
gravity that have held it together all this time.


Moroever, real nuclear reactions are not pretty little schemes where all the atoms of one type wait around for all the atoms of another type to finish reacting.

There's already Helium fusing to Carcon in the Sun right now.

Just like radioisotopes in reverse, a daughter product doesn't sit around waiting for the entire mass of a parent product to decay before it also starts to react or decay.


The textbook notion of a star suddenly one day running out of hydrogen, and then magically making a transition to Helium-only fusion is just BS. It doesn't exist in the real universe.

Even if it did exist, the star would need to begin burning it's mass 5 times faster just in order to maintain the temperature it originally had during the hydrogen phase (but the rate of burning is limited by the force of gravity, so regardless, if it could not overcome the gravity during the lighter, more energy dense hydrogen phase, it certainly won't do so in the Helium phase,) and that still would not make it expand into a multi-a.u. radius cloud of plasma. If anything, it would contract exponentially as it's density increases by making more and more dense atoms.


I digress.

The world is not ready for critical thinking. It's not your fault anyway.


So you disagree with the generally accepted evolution of stars onto the Main Sequence and then off and into the Red Giant phase as they age over billions of years?

As I remember, (long time ago LSU astronomy) an average size star like the Sun takes about 10 billion years for this process. Bigger stars burn faster and hotter and don't last as long while smaller stars burn cooler and slower and can last a lot longer. The star actually expanded because the main hydrogen burning moved away from the Star's center due to fuel depletion there and with that there was less matter above it balancing the heat of the fusion reactions hence the expansion. At some point the situation becomes unstable and the star's interior collapses by gravity, interior temperatures soar, and a new round of fusion reactions can begin. If the star is massive enough these new reactions can progress till the fusion reactions produce iron. After that nova or supernova, depending on mass. Well at least, that's how I remember it and it still makes sense.
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
244. Skyepony (Mod)
Iggy is causing havoc.. At least 16 people were confirmed killed and more than 2,300 houses damaged in torrential rains and strong winds that lashed much of Indonesia over the past few days. Sutopo Purwo Nugroho, a spokesman for the National Disaster Mitigation Agency (BNPB), said on Sunday that most of those killed were struck by trees felled by severe winds. “Fourteen people were crushed by falling trees,” the spokesman said. “In total, 60 people were injured.” He added that more than 2,300 houses in 35 districts and cities across Java and Bali had been damaged in the last four days due to heavy winds and rain whipped up by Tropical Cyclone Iggy, churning just south of Bali and the Nusa Tenggara island chain. “But now Tropical Cyclone Iggy has weakened and is moving away from Indonesia,” he said. Elsewhere in the country, at least two other people were confirmed killed as a result of the foul weather.

In Bali, the heavy rains caused a massive landslide on Saturday in the Taman Ayun Temple area, a popular tourist spot, killing an 18-month-old baby. Ketut Parwa, the head of the Bali Search and Rescue Agency, said the child had been asleep with her mother at a food stall in the temple’s parking lot when the disaster struck at 11 p.m. They had gone to the food stall to take shelter from the rain. Parwa said the 12-meter-high precipice on which the food stall was located suddenly gave way, burying the child in tons of mud. The mother managed to escape. Rescuers recovered the child’s body on Sunday evening. In Lebak district, Banten, authorities recovered the body of a boy who had been swept away and drowned in a river. They are continuing their search for a friend who was with him. Irna, an official with the local search team, said the victims, both 14-year-old students at an Islamic boarding school, went missing on Friday while swimming in the rain-swollen Ciberang River. One of the bodies was recovered later that day and given to the family for burial.

“We’ve combed a four-kilometer stretch of the river over the past two days, but we still haven’t been able to find the second boy,” Irna said. “We’re having great difficulty in our search because of the strong current in the river.” Also in Banten, strong winds damaged hundreds of homes, including 334 of the 790 houses at the Kota Bumi 2 residential estate in Tangerang. Retno, the marketing head for real estate developer Karsatama Bumi Permai, said the company would compensate residents whose homes were damaged when the strong gusts hit last Thursday. She said most of the damage consisted of tiles being blown off roofs, although there were reports that the walls of some houses had also collapsed. In Kediri, East Java, strong wings uprooted almost 11,000 trees at plantations run by state forester Kesatuan Pemangku Hutan. Erik Alberto, a KPH official, said some of the trees uprooted were 16 years old, indicating the strength of the wind gusts.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
REALITY DENIERS PARTY IN TROPICS CHAT!!!! WOOT!!!


im still there...lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Well, Here's the news im gonna break to you guys...
I will no longer be on this Blog much, if at all, I might be back for the Hurricane season, i might not, but as of right now, you're better off keeping up with my tropical updates on my Twitter Account,
Ty Jarrett- @TropicsWatch
So, well there it is ^^^^
i might update my blog, but you'll have to look it up in the blog directory to see it...
HD07 RIP: 2010 Season to 2012. Tracked since 2008 on here, but will not be apart of this place much anymore...


aw come on Dean, dont leave. i aint one of them who is always off topic...atleast try to be:)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
241. j2008
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Well, Here's the news im gonna break to you guys...
I will no longer be on this Blog much, if at all, I might be back for the Hurricane season, i might not, but as of right now, you're better off keeping up with my tropical updates on my Twitter Account,
Ty Jarrett- @TropicsWatch
So, well there it is ^^^^
i might update my blog, but you'll have to look it up in the blog directory to see it...
HD07 RIP: 2010 Season to 2012. Tracked since 2008 on here, but will not be apart of this place much anymore...

Just happened to see this before I called it a night, I wish you well Dean, Hope you do decide to come back for cane season. Best wishes, signed "J".
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240. Skyepony (Mod)
Wild fires in S Africa. Looks like the goal is to get everyone out of in front of them..
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Thyroid pandemic
Posted by Mochizuki on January 30th, 2012 · 3 Comments

Following up this article ..26 of 3765 children had thyroid tumor

The result shows more 1091 children had tumor, which is smaller than 5.0mm.

In total, 1143 of 3765 (30.36%) had thyroid tumor.

Thyroid pandemic Is this rate normal ?

The chairman of Exploratory Committee ,Yamashita Shunichi (Mr.100mSv) asserts, it is all benignity for some reason.

Tajiri clinic, a physician, who specializes in thyroid disease, in Kumamoto answered like this below.

This is a Q&A with his patient about thyroid problem of a child. (1998)

Question

My third daughter (4 years old, born in 5/24/1994,15kg,101cm) got a tumor on her right side of thyroid since last June. had blood test, urine test, X-ray, ultrasound, and fine-needle aspiration cytology and the doctor said it is benignity. However, it’s already 4cm, he told me she might need a surgery. Because it is risky unless she weighs 25kg, he wants to wait until she becomes 6 years old. Is there any way not to have surgery ?
The hospital told me it was their first time to see a 4 years old girl. The doctor is really nice but my daughter is scared of the tests, she got to hate hospitals.





Answer

I’m sincerely sorry for you. First of all, thyroid nodule of children is really rare. According to a medical report, 20~73% of thyroid nodule grows to cancer in case of children. From the result of ultrasound and fine-needle aspiration cytology, it is likely to benignity, but follicular cancer of the thyroid can not be detected by those 2 tests sometimes. In your case, it is already 4cm, which is very large. I recommend you to have surgery. TSH medication can only treat 20% of the cases, it can not be recommended. Ethanol local injection would be very painful for her. As a result, there is no other way than surgery with general anesthesia seemingly. ….


As a result, that “30%” is extraordinary, and 20~73 % of them would grow to be cancer.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Well, Here's the news im gonna break to you guys...
I will no longer be on this Blog much, if at all, I might be back for the Hurricane season, i might not, but as of right now, you're better off keeping up with my tropical updates on my Twitter Account,
Ty Jarrett- @TropicsWatch
So, well there it is ^^^^
i might update my blog, but you'll have to look it up in the blog directory to see it...
HD07 RIP: 2010 Season to 2012. Tracked since 2008 on here, but will not be apart of this place much anymore...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
236. j2008
Looks as if this blog is done for the night, going to watch the rest of fear factor. I'll check back in tomorrow.
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235. Skyepony (Mod)
Indonesia~ A flash flood swept through five subdistricts in Probolinggo district, East Java, on Sunday morning, destroying thousands of houses. The flood occurred so quickly that residents had no chance to save their belongings, chief of the Probolinggo district natural disaster mitigation board (BPBD) Masyhuri Efendi said. At least six people were reported missing. The flood also destroyed public utilities such as school buildings, and places of worship and carried away livestock. The five flash flood-affected subdistricts are Kraksaan, Gading, Krejengan, Pakuniran, and Pajarakan He said the flash flood was caused by the overflowing of Pekalen river following heavy rains in the upper reach of the river at Mount Argopuro. Hundreds of people were taking refuge at higher ground along with their livestock for fear that another flash flood would recur. Tens of security personnel were deployed to flood-hit villages such as Patemon village. Krejengan subdistrict head Suharto said the flood inflicted billions of rupiahs in losses at Patemon village alone.He said the flash flood also cut off three bamboo bridges which linked the village to other villages in the subdistrict.
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REALITY DENIERS PARTY IN TROPICS CHAT!!!! WOOT!!!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3477
Published: January 30th, 2012 at 02:54 PM EDT By Enenews Admin

UPDATED: Emergency shutdown at Illinois reactor — Smoke was actually steam containing radioactive material — Workers evacuated — Releases will continue throughout day (PHOTO)

Title: Byron Station Declares Unusual Event
Source: Exelon Press Release
Date: Jan 30, 2012
Emphasis Added

[...] Operators at Byron Generating Station declared an Unusual Event at 10:18 a.m.CT, due to the loss of offsite power and Unit 2 coming offline.

The nuclear facility’s diesel generators activated as designed to provide power to the facility when there is a loss of offsite power to the facility. The facility remains in a safe condition. Station engineering experts are looking into the cause of the loss of offsite power.

Byron Station is designed to depressurize to reduce steam pressure as part of the many redundant safety systems built into the facility. Steam from the unit is released through safety relief valves that are specifically designed for this purpose. The steam, which will evaporate quickly, contained expected levels of tritium. Local residents may see or hear the steam release in progress, which will continue throughout the day until the unit cools down. These types of station releases are regulated by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

There is no health or safety impact to workers or to the public from the release, and Exelon Nuclear has notified allappropriate local, state and federal officials of the Unusual Event. [...]
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well tropics chat not working, IM GONE TOO!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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