Remarkably dry and warm winter due to record extreme jet stream configuration

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:06 PM GMT on January 06, 2012

Share this Blog
40
+

Flowers are sprouting in January in New Hampshire, the Sierra Mountains in California are nearly snow-free, and lakes in much of Michigan still have not frozen. It's 2012, and the new year is ringing in another ridiculously wacky winter for the U.S. In Fargo, North Dakota yesterday, the mercury soared to 55°F, breaking a 1908 record for warmest January day in recorded history. More than 99% of North Dakota had no snow on the ground this morning, and over 95% of the country that normally has snow at this time of year had below-average snow cover. High temperatures in Nebraska yesterday were in the 60s, more than 30° above average. Storm activity has been almost nil over the past week over the entire U.S., with the jet stream bottled up far to the north in Canada. It has been remarkable to look at the radar display day after day and see virtually no echoes, and it is very likely that this has been the driest first week of January in U.S. recorded history. Portions of northern New England, the Upper Midwest, and the mountains of the Western U.S. that are normally under a foot of more of snow by now have no snow, or just a dusting of less than an inch. Approximately half of the U.S. had temperatures at least 5°F above average during the month of December, with portions of North Dakota and Minnesota seeing temperatures 9°F above average. The strangely warm and dry start to winter is not limited to the U.S--all of continental Europe experienced well above-average temperatures during December.


Figure 1. Flowers sprouting on January 1, 2012 in Keene, New Hampshire, thanks to unusually warm December temperatures and lack of snow. Image credit: Wunderphotographer lovne32.


Figure 2. Departure of snow depth from average on January 6, 2011. More than 95% of the country that normally has snow at this time of year had below-average snow cover (yellow and orange colors.) Image credit: NOAA/National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center.

December 2011 jet stream pattern the most extreme on record
The cause of this warm first half of winter is the most extreme configuration of the jet stream ever recorded, as measured by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The Arctic Oscillation (AO), and its close cousin, the North Atlantic Oscillation (which can be thought of as the North Atlantic's portion of the larger-scale AO), are climate patterns in the Northern Hemisphere defined by fluctuations in the difference of sea-level pressure in the North Atlantic between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. The AO and NAO have significant impacts on winter weather in North America and Europe--the AO and NAO affect the path, intensity, and shape of the jet stream, influencing where storms track and how strong these storms become. During December 2011, the NAO index was +2.52, which was the most extreme difference in pressure between Iceland and the Azores ever observed in December (records of the NAO go back to 1865.) The AO during December 2011 had its second most extreme December value on record, behind the equally unusual December of 2006. These positive AO/NAO conditions caused the Icelandic Low to draw a strong south-westerly flow of air over eastern North America, preventing Arctic air from plunging southward over the U.S. and Europe.




Figure 3. December 2011 temperatures in Europe and the U.S. were well above average, thanks to a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). Compare the U.S. plot with the plot of typical departures of temperature from average due to the positive phase of the AO (Figure 4.) The two patterns are nearly identical. Image credit: NOAA/ESRL.


Figure 4. The departure of temperature from average in Centigrade during the November - December - January period during various phases of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). Positive AO conditions lead to warm winters in the U.S., while negative AO conditions lead to cold winters. Image credit: NOAA/Climate Prediction Center.

Wild swings in the December Arctic Oscillation
This winter's remarkable AO/NAO pattern stands in stark contrast to what occurred the previous two winters, when we had the most extreme December jet stream patterns on record in the opposite direction (a strongly negative AO/NAO). The negative AO conditions suppressed westerly winds over the North Atlantic, allowing Arctic air to spill southwards into eastern North America and Western Europe, bringing unusually cold and snowy conditions. The December Arctic Oscillation index has fluctuated wildly over the past six years, with the two most extreme positive and two most extreme negative values on record. Unfortunately, we don't understand why the AO varies so much from winter to winter, nor why the AO has taken on such extreme configurations during four of the past six winters. Climate models are generally too crude to make skillful predictions on how human-caused climate change may be affecting the AO, or what might happen to the AO in the future. There is research linking an increase in solar activity and sunspots with the positive phase of the AO. Solar activity has increased sharply this winter compared to the past two winters, so perhaps we have seen a strong solar influence on the winter AO the past three winters. Arctic sea ice loss has been linked to the negative (cold) phase of the AO, like we observed the previous two winters. Those winters both had near-record low amounts of sunspot activity, so sea ice loss and low sunspot activity may have combined to bring a negative AO.


Figure 5. The December Arctic Oscillation (AO) index has fluctuated wildly over the past six years, with the two most extreme positive and two most extreme negative values on record. Image credit: NOAA/Climate Prediction Center.

The forecast for the remainder of January
We will (finally!) get the first major storm of 2012 in the U.S. early next week, when a low pressure system will develop over Texas and spread heavy rains of 1 - 3" along a swath from Eastern Texas to New England during the week. This storm will pull in a shot of cold air behind it late in the week, giving near-normal January temperatures to much of the country, and some snow to northern New England. Beyond that, it is difficult to tell what the rest of winter may hold, since the AO is difficult to predict more than a week or two in advance. The latest predictions from the GFS model show the current strongly positive AO pattern continuing for at least the next two weeks, resulting in very little snow and warmer-than-average temperatures. If we don't get significant snows during the latter part of winter, the odds of a damaging drought during the summer in the Midwest will rise. The soils will dry out much earlier than usual without a deep snow pack to protect them, resulting in a much earlier onset of summer-like soil dryness. Water availability may also be a problem in some regions of the west due to the lack of snow melt. Fortunately, most Western U.S. reservoirs are above average in water supply, due to the record-breaking snows of the previous winter.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 414 - 364

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17Blog Index

414. AtHomeInTX
5:55 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Bring on the rain. This is getting all too common-again. And it's January!

Firefighters battle Brush Fire
January 07, 2012 10:59 PM
Ashley Gaston

An Orange County brush fire is out after firefighters battled the flames and the wind to contain the fire.

Firefighters with Vidor Emergency Service District # 1 received a call around three this afternoon to a woods fire located on FM 1132 near FM 105.

Volunteers with the McLewis fire department arrived a short time after to help protect the nearby homes from the heat.

Additional man power from the Texas Forestry Service, Muriceville and Bridge City kept the fire from spreading.


Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 254
413. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:52 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Are there any indications that we may have one.?
well if i put the snow makers in front of the fans you will
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
412. hydrus
5:50 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Throw in a deep-south snowstorm, and then ya got it goin' on1
Are there any indications that we may have one.?
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
411. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:48 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Throw in a deep-south snowstorm, and then ya got it goin' on!
are you asking for some snow doug
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
410. PensacolaDoug
5:39 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Quoting trunkmonkey:


Ain't nothing better than a ice cold beer and some fresh peanuts!


Throw in a deep-south snowstorm, and then ya got it goin' on!
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 670
409. Patrap
5:39 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
NOLA Disco

Long term...


the main concern during the period will be with the severe or strong thunderstorm potential as the potent middle/upper low that will be developing over Texas moves east across the lower Mississippi Valley on Tuesday.

Cyclogenesis is expected to take place along or just off the Texas coast in response to the upper low developing and moving east across Texas. This low is then forecast to move northeast across Louisiana and into Arkansas or northern Mississippi Tuesday into Tuesday night.

If this is indeed the case...then most of the forecast area should be in the warm sector for a period of time from late Monday night into part of the day Tuesday. It appears that the best cape and instability may
remain mainly off the coast during the period.

However...strong shear and fairly impressive helicity values are forecast from later Monday night through middle day Tuesday.

The main severe weather threat may be weak and short lived tornadoes.


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
408. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:32 PM GMT on January 08, 2012


looks like some good beer chilling air moving down and in
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
407. TaylorSelseth
5:27 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Thanks for mentioning the record temp here in Fargo, Doc! :-)

This weather is just bizarre, people are both loving the warm weather and yet at the same time are freaking out about it.

In my personal experience the weather around here has been acting unusually since late 2006/early 2007, which was not unusually warm, but was strangely lacking in snowfall, we had no major snow accumulation until early January 2007. Ever since then the weather here has been unusually erratic.
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 324
406. Skyepony (Mod)
5:22 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Found the snow..

Heavier than usual snowfall and high winds have caused chaos on roads and railways in many areas of Austria. About 1.2 metres of fresh snow has fallen, closing sections of highway and isolating some towns since Thursday. Avalanche risk is extreme as more snow is forecast in the coming days. Snowfall trapped some 15,000 tourists at ski resorts on the Arlberg Mountain on Friday, and while some roads are open there, others remain closed, the BBC said. To prepare itself for any potential disasters, the Austrian army has put helicopters on alert. High winds are also whipping the alpine nation, the International Business Times (IBT) reported. The most snow has fallen in the western states of Tyrol and Vorarlberg. A government official in Vorarlberg said 52 people were rescued by an army helicopter there. An important rail line that connects Vienna and Innsbruck with western Austria and Switzerland was to be closed until Sunday, the IBT said. Two rail lines that connect western Austria with Germany were also closed.

Serbia~ There is no electricity in the southern town of Pirot, a road to Mt. Kopaonik is snowed in and one third of households in the municipality of Sjenica have been cut off due to high snowdrifts. Three villages at Mt. Stara Planina still do not have electricity after strong wind and heavy snow severed the power lines. Snow has created numerous problems in the Sjenica area and the authorities have declared the state of natural disaster. Strong wind, heavy snow and low temperatures have caused traffic, water and power supply problems. Sjenica Mayor Muriz Turković told B92 that main roads had been cleared during the night but that around 5,000 citizens were still cut off from the rest of the world.

& Bulgaria~ State of emergency was declared today at 13.30pm on the territory of Chepelare Municipality, Mayor of Chepelare Municipality Todor Bozukov said. Trees have fallen due to heavy snow and had cut wires. Experts are working to restore the electricity in the municipality. Chepelare town is without power supply since yesterday as result there is no water supply in the one half of the town. All public buildings in the town are without heating as well as most of the hotels, the Mayor said.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 226 Comments: 39442
405. Skyepony (Mod)
5:18 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Kentucky~ An explosion spooked many people in the Wheelwright section of Floyd County last night. It happened at about 8:30 on the side of the mountain in Golf Course Hollow. The explosion was felt and heard by everyone on Golf Course Hollow caused quite a stir Friday night in Wheelwright. "While I was standing out here, I heard the explosion. I whipped around real fast and that's when I felt it like tremble, like I felt the earth shake," said Chad Perry, who lives on Golf Course Hollow. Next, Perry saw flames and called 9-1-1 not knowing what caused the apparent explosion. "I didn't know what was going on really. My first instinct I thought it was a plane crash. I mean it was so loud," said Perry. But officials in Wheelwright say a fire on the side of the mountain hit a gas line causing it to explode. "This has happened several times before and usually it's a forest fire that causes it. And actually there's a forest fire on the other side of the hill, so we're pretty sure that's what caused this," said Andy Akers, mayor of Wheelwright and assistant fire chief. Gas company employees arrived on the scene within an hour of the explosion shutting the valves off. "At this time, it's not that big of area. It's burning its way down the hill, so it's taking its time coming down. Its not done too much damage on our side," said Mayor Akers. Smoke and spurts of flames are all you can see now. Chad Perry says he will be keeping a watchful eye on it from his front yard. "If I see it getting close to the house over here, then I will call the Wheelwright Fire Department," said Perry. Until then, fire officials are hoping for rain and cold weather to stop the fire from spreading. Officials say the forest fire actually started on the other side of the mountain in Melvin on Tackett Hollow.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 226 Comments: 39442
404. Skyepony (Mod)
5:16 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Tin city turned tarp city by Tornado..

India~ About 180 thatched and tin houses were damaged and many trees uprooted in an unseasonable violent tornado that hit Dera, Endalapur, Tarapada and other villages under Rajnagar block of Kendrapada district on Saturday. At least one person was killed and 12 sustained injuries in the tornado. Jaladhar Rout (45) of Tarapada was killed when lighting struck during the tornado. Many cycles and paddy bags were tossed around like toys in Dera village, where at least six persons, including two children were injured by flying roof tiles and metal sheets, said villager Tapan Parida. Pranakrushna Das of Endalapur village had a narrow escape in the tornado when some villagers managed to drag him out of his grocery shop, damaged in the storm. The fish market at Rajnagar was also damaged in the tornado, Sahoo said. "Many customers were purchasing fish and meat from my shop at Rajnagar. Suddenly at 11am the tornado hit our areas. My tin roof shop was damaged," said Sankar Behera a fish seller of Rajnagar. Road communication was affected due to uprooting of many trees. About 20 boats were also damaged in the tornado. Rajnagar tahsildar Bhabatarana Sahoo and other government officials rushed to the tornado-hit areas, including two medical teams. "The authority will clear the roads soon by removing the trees. Some schools and cyclone shelters in tornado-hit areas are jam-packed with women and children," Sahoo said. "We have started distributing food to the affected people. The authority arranged polythene covers for the affected too," he added.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 226 Comments: 39442
403. DDR
5:07 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Good Afternoon/morning
Its been raining light to moderate over most of Trinidad over the past 12 hours or so,i'm up to .5 inches expecting some more,with la nina big totals cant be ruled out.
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1730
402. Xandra
4:53 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Have a great Sunday everyone!


Member Since: November 22, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1281
401. trunkmonkey
4:40 PM GMT on January 08, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
..beer?

Did someone mention beer, here ?


Ain't nothing better than a ice cold beer and some fresh peanuts!
Member Since: August 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 599

Chaos is what we've lost touch with. This is why it is given a bad name. It is feared by the dominant archetype of our world, which is Ego, which clenches because its existance is defined in terms of control.


Terence McKenna
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Quoting Patrap:
..beer?

Did someone mention beer, here ?
It was me...Press forced my hand tho..As per usual
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
if it gets as cold as weatherbro says....I'm gonna be more interested in bourbon than beer...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Quoting Articuno:

well he is probably gonna press it, he is the presslord btw
Then the mighty beer graph will be instowed unto his occular recesses..no mercy
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
..beer?

Did someone mention beer, here ?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Quoting hydrus:
No, its The Nile, And if you dont control yourself, i swear I will whip out the beer graphic...dont press it Press..;0

well he is probably gonna press it, he is the presslord btw
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting presslord:


I don't wanna hear it....'denial' ain't just a river in Egypt
No, its The Nile, And if you dont control yourself, i swear I will whip out the beer graphic...dont press it Press..;0
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
Quoting WxGeekVA:


What game is this?


Europa Universalis 3 - Kinda like Civilization just set in 1399-1836. Covers colonization, the Ottoman conquests, Napoleonic wars and US revolutionary war very well.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:


Getting owned in a game playing as the Ottomans. Stupid Austrians, no wonder why they actually won in real life.

I still hope for an Islamic Europe though...wait a second..
Gibraltar defected to me from the Spanish, so I control the Mediterranean! I might pull a win somehow.

lolwtfbbq
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:


Getting owned in a game playing as the Ottomans. Stupid Austrians, no wonder why they actually won in real life.

I still hope for an Islamic Europe though...wait a second..
Gibraltar defected to me from the Spanish, so I control the Mediterranean! I might pull a win somehow.


What game is this?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting presslord:


I don't wanna hear it....'denial' ain't just a river in Egypt

last time i checked it was the nile river
lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting presslord:



Shush!!!!!!!!


Well if the GFS is correct then you might be in luck afterall(lol).
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Articuno:
Where's everyone at?


Getting owned in a game playing as the Ottomans. Stupid Austrians, no wonder why they actually won in real life.

I still hope for an Islamic Europe though...wait a second..
Gibraltar defected to me from the Spanish, so I control the Mediterranean! I might pull a win somehow.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Articuno:
Where's everyone at?


About to be at work. I knew I should have asked my boss to let me close today instead. On Friday I swapped schedules with a coworker and closed yesterday instead of waking up early. Today could have been the same since he asked me if everything else was okay. Like a fool, I said yes.

Oh well, luckily it's only a 4 and a half hour shift. But damn, I've never been a morning guy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Where's everyone at?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:
4/\/\ 1 7|-|3 0|\||_Y 0|\|3 \/\/|-|0 |{|\|0\/\/5 1337?

Am I the only one who knows leet?

|-| 1 |-| Y |)R U 5!!11
| K |\l 0 W W |-| @ T T |-| @ T 5 @ Y 5.
| T 5 @ Y 5 :

4/\/\ 1 7|-|3 0|\||_Y 0|\|3 \/\/|-|0 |{|\|0\/\/5 1337?

Translation: Hi Hydrus!!11
I Know what that says.
It says:
Am I the only one who knows leet?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
No shush..cold..COLD AIR! for eastern third...muuhahahahahah

I don't want cold air unless it brings snow with it!!
Bring on the snow!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
No shush..cold..COLD AIR! for eastern third...muuhahahahahah


I don't wanna hear it....'denial' ain't just a river in Egypt
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Quoting presslord:



Shush!!!!!!!!
No shush..cold..COLD AIR! for eastern third...muuhahahahahah
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
381. Skyepony (Mod)
05S Models threatening to zigzag across the south end or turn around for a 2nd pass..




aspectre~ Thanks for plotting it all. When I looked at the details for the last quake I realized the 2 on the 5th we close but not under, with the red X being inland a bit. Your map really clears it up for the earthquakes.

I went back & tried to make sense of the recent radiation readings.. the high ends may have spiked around the beginning of the year according to their govt site. Radiation around Fukushima is disturbingly high & has been all year so far. Saw some different records that weren't sources showing the same spike. Couldn't come up with anything concrete conclusive other than the general increase in chatter about it. Turns out the power industry there is also the top income for the media through advertising. So media there isn't really getting the details out.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 226 Comments: 39442
Quoting weatherbro:
Prepare for another shot of arctic air this weekend with 20's again possible for Florida!!!



Shush!!!!!!!!
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Prepare for another shot of arctic air this weekend with 20's again possible for Florida!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
378. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE CHANDA (05-20112012)
16:00 PM RET January 8 2012
====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Chanda (996 hPa) located at 19.3S 43.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east southeast at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/12 HRS

Gale Force Winds
================

25 NM from the center

Near Gale Force Winds
=====================

60 NM radius from the center extending up to 90 NM in the southern semi-circle and up to 150 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 20.1S 43.8E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS: 21.1S 44.3E - Depression sur terre

Additional Information
======================

The main cluster remains over sea but a peripheral band in the monsoon flow convergence extends far to the northeast and causes heavy and thundery rain on the western Malagasy coastline and also from 14s to 16s over the all width of the Mozambique channel. System feature has clearly improve over the last past 24 hours and shows on multispectral METOSAT 7 and msg2 imagery a well cyclonic curved band pattern extending mainly in the northeastern semi-circle. System remains slightly north northwesterly sheared and the llcc is difficult to locate precisely (even with microwave). 0611z ASCAT swath covers a large western part of the cyclonic circulation and agree with the RSMC 0600z fix, even in center location and intensity at 30kt, except some likely rain-contaminated 40kt winds flags. From this Sunday afternoon, polar low level inflow is forecast to improve in relationship with the rebuilding subtropical high pressure belt rebuilding in the south. Other low level environmental conditions (equatorward monsoon inflow, oceanic heat content) are already favorable for further intensification.

Sheared constraint should weaken within the next 12 hours allowing the system to deepen but a new westerly sheared constraint is expected to begin late today before the system is forecast making landfall and then dissipating overland. Window for intensification is short and the landfall is expected early Monday near Morondava. 0600z suggested alternative scenario is now the most likely.

The main center of this system is no more expected to cross the big island and to come back oversea. It should dissipate overland as a secondary low is expected to deepen slightly nearby the southeastern Malagasy coastline from Tuesday.

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Seychelles Meteorological Services on TC CHANDA will be issued at around 18:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47041
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
375....Hope this helps.

GFSx Model Forecasts
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Would some of you knowledgeable folks, please post the GFS 7 day maps, their useful.
Member Since: August 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 599
46.8*F in Macon, Ga this morning. 98% humidity.
Fog right now, with a 40% chance of showers later today.

Looks really spooky out there right now. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Neapolitan:

I can't wait until Dr. Masters starts gearing his blog entries towards those who are stuck on SMS shorthand. You know, where the first paragraph of the current entry will look like this:

"Flowers R sprouting n January n nu Hampshire, d Sierra ^v^v^ n cali R nErly snow-free, & lakes n much of Michigan stil hav not frozen. It's 2012, & d nu yr. iz ringing n NothA ridiculously wacky wNtR 4 d U.S. n Fargo, Nth Dakota yesterday, d mercury soared 2 55F, breakN a 1908 record 4 warmest January dA n recorded history. mo thN 99% of Nth Dakota had n snO on d ground DIS morning, & Ovr 95% of d cuntrE dat normally hz snO @ DIS tym of yr. had below-average snO cover. hI temperatures n Nebraska yestRdA wer n d 60s, mo thN 30 abof avg. Storm activity hz Bin almost nil Ovr d past wk Ovr d entire U.S., w d jet stream bottled ^ fR 2 d Nth n Canada. It hz Bin remarkable 2 L%k @ d radar dsplA dA aftR dA & c virtually n echoes, & it iz v likely dat DIS hz Bin d driest 1st wk of January n U.S. recorded history. Portions of northern nu England, d Upper Midwest, & d ^v^v^ of d Western U.S. dat R normally undR a f%t of mo of snO by nw hav n snow, o jst a dusting of less thN an inch. ~ half of d U.S. had temperatures @ lEst 5F abof avg durN d mth of December, w portions of Nth Dakota & Minnesota CN temps 9F abof avg. d strangely warm & dry stRt 2 wNtR iz not limited 2 d U.S--all of continental Europe experienced weL abof-average temps durN Dec."

Yes, I can barely wait. :-\


I think my brain just threw up.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
im headed 2 bed early 2night, special preacher in again tomorrow(technically, today at 10 AM EST). night all. Tell 05S i said hi lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
05S is consolidating nicely.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A continuation of 326 aspectre in response to 297 sunlinerpr and now 328 Skyepony
JapanMeteorologicalAgency Earthquake Information issued at 21:41 JST 05 Jan 2012:
Time 21:37JST 05Jan2012 Location 37.1n140.6e Depth 10km(~6.2miles) Magnitude 4.2
Region Fukushima-Nakadori

For a more informative map scale: the northernmost lone dot is Fukushima(city);
the easternmost lone dot is Nagoya; and the remaining lone dot is Tokyo.

The epicenter was ~33miles(~53kilometres) from FukushimaDaiichi (where the meltdowns occured),
and ~28miles(~45kilometres) westsouthwest of FukushimaDaini (connected by the lower line).

Copy&paste 37.766667n140.466667e, 35.181456n136.906386e, 35.689506n139.6917e, 37.422972n141.032917e-37.1n140.6e, 37.316389n141.025556e-37.1n140.6e into the GreatCircleMapper for more info.

Considering that Mochizuki deliberately left out the epicenter location coordinate which falsified his assertion that "Shallow M4.2 earthquake right under Fukushima plants" or even uniquely close, I'd hafta conclude that his site isn't worthy of any attention beyond heaping scorn upon.

334 bappit "I watched the video and have no idea what I was seeing. I don't know if the description is accurate or not."
337 Skyepony "I agree. Babelfish the description on the Youtube doesn't give much other than a jumbled distraught something lost in translation. Here's a webcam capture of the smog.."

I'm nearly sure it wasn't. No news media outlet has published such a tale, and another steam-explosion at FukushimaDaiichi would certainly provoke headlines.
As for the "smog", probably just spotlighted fog like the "steam" ya see at night arising from an outdoor hot tub or jacuzzi surrounded by snow.

Any warm wet (or wetted) surface exposed to cold air (it is winter in Japan after all, and Honshu's latitude is comparable to California's) will produce such fog. And spotlights will make it highly visible.
The fog probably isn't even coming from within the reactor buildings. All surfaces near the reactors have been deliberately kept wet to minimize the chances of contaminated dust being picked up and carried by the wind. Warm buildings warm their wetted surfaces. The transferred warmth evaporates that surface moisture which then condenses to become fog as it meets ever cooler air.

The more recent magnitude4.6quake

Epicentered ~30miles(~48kilometres) from FukushimaDaiichi,
and ~27miles(~43kilometres) from FukushimaDaini.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tazmanian:
firefox is juck i have not ues firefox for so long now i for got what it look like lol
lol
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22708
368. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 03F
12:00 PM FST January 8 2012
==================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 03F (1003 hPa) located at 21.0S 174.5W is reported as slowly moving. Position POOR based on infrared and visible imagery.

Organization has slightly increased in the last 24 hours. Convection has not increased or deepened much. System lies to the southeast of an upper level outflow center in a weakly sheared environment. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Global models are slowly developing the system and moving it eastward.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the Next 24 to 48 hours is moderate.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47041
BBC report on NZ cargo ship break up with some good video. Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
firefox is juck i have not ues firefox for so long now i for got what it look like lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting yqt1001:


You might want to check to make sure that the conhost.exe process is in System32. I know that many forms of viruses are named as windows executable files to hide better.

It is, I know for a fact that my computer doesn't have any viruses.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32860

Viewing: 414 - 364

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron