Wilma aims devastating blow at Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:52 PM GMT on October 20, 2005

Share this Blog
0
+

Hurricane Wilma continues across the western Caribbean towards Mexico as a extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane capable of massive destruction. Wilma is currently undergoing a collapse of her inner eyewall, which will cause a short weakening trend that may last the remainder of the day. The inner eyewall of eight miles diameter is collapsing, and a new eyewall of 40 miles diameter is forming. This will reduce Wilma's peak winds to perhaps 135 mph today, at the low end of Category 4 strength. We'll have to wait until the next hurricane hunter mission arrives around 4 pm today to verify if this is the case.

As Wilma's eye reforms at a much larger size, the hurricane should begin to intensify again, and a return to Category 5 strength by Friday afternoon is a possibility. The larger eye will result in a much larger area being exposed to the extreme winds of the eyewall. If Wilma makes landfall along the Yucatan Peninsula, a stretch of coast perhaps 50 miles long will experience extreme damage.


Figure 1. Computer model tracks for Hurricane Wilma.

Where will Wilma go?
There is still a high degree of uncertainty in the forecast for Wilma. NHC has not adjusted the official forecast much the past few days, which is wise when the computer models are having difficulty. A trough of low pressure moving across the central U.S. should turn Wilma northwest today towards Cozumel Island, and then due north by tomorrow. However, once Wilma reaches the vicinity of Cancun and Cozumel, the storm is expected to slow to a crawl or stall for 12 - 48 hours. This will result in the northeast tip of the Yucatan Peninsula receiving a horrific pounding, particularly if the eye comes ashore. This weekend is a very bad weekend to be a tourist in Cancun.

Finally, by Saturday, strong westerly winds will build in behind the trough and carry Wilma rapidly northeastward across South Florida or the waters between Florida and Cuba.
The absolutely critical thing is--where will Wilma stall out? The GFDL model believes Wilma will push inland over the tip of the Yucatan, and spend two days overland, and weaken to a tropical storm. The UKMET model believes Wilma will stall in the Yucatan Channel, and not lose much strength. The other models have modest variations on these two themes. The difference in postions is only 100 miles or so. This is impossible to reliably forecast even 12 hours in advance, given the weak steering currents that are likely to exist Friday. Will will just have to wait and see what happens. Very small changes in storm position will cause huge changes in Wilma's intensity.

A long encounter with the Yucatan Peninsula would cause a serious disruption of the hurricane. While the waters are still warm enough to support intensification once she starts moving through the Gulf of Mexico towards Florida, there will be increasing wind shear associated with the westerly winds driving Wilma that will inhibit intensification. In addition, Wilma will only have a day or so to intensify, as the westerly winds will accelerate her to a forward speed of about 30 mph once she approaches Florida. Wilma's likely intensity once she reaches Florida is tropical storm to Category 3 strength.


Figure 2. Storm surge map for the southwest coast of Florida.

What kind of storm surge might affect Florida?
One can see from the storm surge map above that the southwest coast of Florida is very prone to high storm surges. This is because the Continental Shelf extends about 100 miles offshore, creating a very shallow area for the storm surge waters to build up in. If Wilma does hit the southwest coast of Florida as a Category 3 hurricane, which is the upper end of the intensity I think is likely, a 10 - 16 foot storm surge could flood most of Naples and all of Marco. Given the expected high forward speed of the hurricane at landfall in Florida--25 to 30 mph--regions to the south side of where the eye makes landfall will receive far greater wind damage and storm surge than is typical for a hurricane.

After Florida, then what?
After crossing Florida, Wilma is threat to the northern Bahama Islands. Wilma should pass well offshore North Carolina, but close enough to bring tropical storm force winds to the Outer Banks. Wilma is expected to merge with a large low pressure system as she approaches Maine of Nova Scotia about five days from now, and could bring tropical storm force winds to New England and the Canadian Maritime provinces.

I'll be back this afternoon about 4 pm EDT with an update on the latest, and post a storm surge map for the Keys if I can locate one.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 266 - 216

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

266. Whistler
12:13 PM GMT on October 23, 2005
Jeff:

We are inland 20 miles north of Tampa. The weather service is saying to expect tropical storm force winds on Monday. Also, they say there is a "strong cold front" stalled north of us and it is expected to move in on Tuesday. I thought having cold and warm air masses adjacent presented a strong probability of tornadoes in the best of times - putting aside the hurricane's ability to generate them on its own. Is there an increased tornado risk for those of us in the zone north of the projected path? Thanks and good luck to everybody.
265. snowboy
8:48 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Latest NHC advisory - big question: will she thread the needle by going through Yucatan Channel?:

BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2005

...WILMA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE
BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...
220 KM... SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF WILMA WILL BE VERY NEAR THE
COASTLINE OF THE YUCATAN BY MIDDAY TOMORROW. HOWEVER...WILMA HAS A
LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT WELL BEFORE
THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT
APPROACHES THE YUCATAN TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA AIRCRAFT WASS 918
MB...27.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH
SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE...
PARTICULARY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN WESTERN CUBA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN
ISLAND...AND PORTIONS OF HONDURAS THROUGH FRIDAY.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.9 N... 85.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 918 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2555
264. 8888888889gg
8:47 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
if it be come a cat 5 one more time how high could the winds get this time arould and how low will the mb go this time
263. NewtFromNC
8:38 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
RiverLuvr - no way to guess without knowing the track pretty closely. Worst case with the storm moving just offshore will have it push a bunch of water upriver and then when the eye passes, suck out all that and maybe more. Saw that happen in Elizabeth City (well inland) a few years back when we had the worst flooding downtown I've ever seen and very sudden. Maybe 6 feet of water by some of the stores but it only stayed there less than 2 hours and then was pulled back to the sound and we saw an hour of the lowest water in the Pasquotank River I've ever seen. I dis-remember the hurricane that did the deed but I do remember it wasn't a biggy. Sorry for lack of detail but it was at least 10 years ago and the details are just gone.

Other tracks, offshore or inland, and about they will ever see is whatever comes in the form of rain but they do have the outer banks to act as a breakwater so it's mostly sound water.

I'd guess a big storm in the wrong place would be a major disaster given how low the coastal land is and areas with no barrier islands for protection would get it worse.

You can probably get a reasonable guess from someone on here once the track in the Atlantic and the storm strength are firmed up but not until then.

One note if you are fairly new to the area and live where there is swampy ground is that floods float lots of muck out of the swamps which sorta poisons the fish and high salt content in the rivers kill lots of trees so the aftermath isn't pretty.
262. snowboy
8:38 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Latest NHC Discussion:

HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

WILMA HAS TURNED NORTHWESTWARD...310/5...BUT THIS IS NOT NECESSARILY
THE BEGINNINGS OF RECURVATURE. A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IN THE
WESTERLIES...THE OLD LOW FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA...WILL MOVE PAST THE
LONGITUDE OF THE HURRICANE BY TOMORROW MORNING...AND THE TRACK
MODELS SHOW A SLIGHT BEND BACK TO THE LEFT AS A LITTLE RIDGING
BUILDS IN BEHIND IT. IN FACT...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOW
SUGGESTING THAT IT MAY TAKE THREE SHORT WAVES TO LIFT WILMA OUT OF
THE YUCATAN. THE GFDL DID ANOTHER BIG SHIFT WITH ITS 5-DAY
FORECAST...FROM CANADA AT 6Z TO CUBA AT 12Z. THERE IS LESS SPREAD
IN THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS THIS TIME...HOWEVER...LENDING A LITTLE
MORE CREDENCE TO A SLOWER TRACK. THE 12Z MODELS ALSO HAD THE
BENEFIT OF DROPWINDSONDE DATA FROM THE NOAA GULFSTREAM JET. THE
NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT IS
STILL VERY MUCH FASTER THAN ALL OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE. THIS
IMPLIES THAT THE IMPACT TO FLORIDA COULD WELL BE LATER THAN
INDICATED HERE.

THERE IS VERY LITTLE LEFT OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND REPORTS FROM A
NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT WILMA IS BEGINNING TO
RESTRENGTHEN. PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS WERE 145 KT...AND THE SFMR
INSTRUMENT ONBOARD MEASURED A SURFACE WIND OF 125 KT IN THE NORTH
EYEWALL. BASED ON THESE OBSERVATIONS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
SET AT 130 KT. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN REMAINS STRONG AND
WILMA WILL HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STATUS
BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN...AND THE IMPACTS THERE COULD BE
CATASTROPHIC. WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF A MORE EXTENDED INTERACTION
WITH THE YUCATAN INCREASING...SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE WILMA TURNS TOWARD FLORIDA. IN ADDITION...THE LONGER WILMA
LINGERS BEFORE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD...THE MORE HOSTILE THE
ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME FOR STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2555
261. FLHurricaneChaser
8:37 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Looking very north on satellite. Is there a radar loop?
260. snowboy
8:31 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
welcome islawoman, and there are many watching the storm track for every subtle shift - just tune in as you have time, to keep on top of things
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2555
259. matilda101
8:18 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Mishnook, It might not be going due north but more like North-northwest for time being. Also check Accuweather home page and click the link to Cancun radar it's up to date.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 303
258. turtlehurricane
8:15 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
i hav updated my blog with my wilma forecast
Member Since: July 22, 2005 Posts: 227 Comments: 469
257. sailfish01
8:13 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
I agree - it appears to be moving more north. Could it be just a temp wobble or a trend?
Member Since: October 20, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
256. thelmores
8:13 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
cancun radar

looks like a bad day to be in cancun!
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3805
255. islawoman
8:12 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
i just signed up...and dont think the post i did went through...i am on isla mujeres, just off coast of Cancun...so...any info that even hints that Wilma will not make landfall here...is ever so appreciated..ha!
254. 8888888889gg
7:59 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
i have a new blog up i hop evere one like it so take a look
253. diffbean
7:56 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
I agree Mishnook. I too have been plotting the eye locations of the infrared images and have been noticing the straight northerly pattern. I am quite happy in this movement if it holds since I have family in the Playa del Carmen area and will be heading there myself for a "vacation" on the 30th of October.
252. mishnook
7:50 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
I think someone on the jet this morning spilled a drink on their equipment.

After getting the jet data this morning, all fo the 12Z models have Wilma tracking straight (i.e. no turns to the left) West by Northwest into the Yucatan peninsula south of Cancun. But my eyes tell me a much different story. By Freezing the last four images off the satillite (both visual and IR) and plotting the center of the storm for each, and then connecting the dots, you get a line that is much more northerly than the models show, very close to the NWS official track. This line clips the Yucatan just north of Cancun. For the models to be right, the storm will need to take a fairly dramatic left turn fairly soon.

So to the experts here, what's going on. Did someone spill a beer on the jet, are the models missing something, or is there likely to be a dramatic left turn?
251. westcoastfla
7:49 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
any guesses where she will land in florida?
lets take a poll

sarasota my guess
Member Since: October 19, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 7
250. dcw
7:48 PM GMT on October 20, 2005


Look at that center! Very healthy looking system.
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
249. dcw
7:46 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Or 140 with 80%
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
248. dcw
7:43 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
145kt = 170mph. They use a 90% ratio from flight level to ground (or is it 80% at 700mb flight?), so that corresponds to 150mph surface winds.
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
247. 8888888889gg
7:40 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
so what dos 145kt mean dos what dos that make the winds in mph with 145kt any one let me no
246. code1
7:35 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
CNN is talking gas shortages, telling everyone not to panic buy. How funny!! It is not just gas to get out of town. They also tell you to prepare for up to 3 weeks without power. Generators take power=gas. If you don't have the gas to run them......What do they expect people to do? Have had plenty of time to truck in more by now. Can't blame the population!!
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
245. toddrix
7:31 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Cozumel - 46mph sustained already!
244. Hydrocvl
7:28 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Have a safe trip stormydee..

RiverLuvr, should not be a problem for nc river elevations. The entry angle from Ophelia was directly into area. Wilma will literally fly by at greater distance, seems parallel to the coast, the main surge would be along the north, not against the coast.
243. dcw
7:23 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Recon!

000
URNT12 KNHC 201910Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 20/1843Z
B. 18 DEG 44 MIN N
85 DEG 35 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2415 MA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 089 DEG 145 KT
G. 350 DEG 15 NM
H. 918 MB
I. 13 C/ 3050 M
J. 20 C/ 3041 M
K. 19 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C 35
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1124A WILMA OB 3
MAX FL WIND 145 KT N QUAD 1840Z
GOOD RADAR PRESENTATION


145kt? Hello again!
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
242. dcw
7:22 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
For EZ Wilma imagery: Link
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
241. HIEXPRESS
7:15 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Cancun Radar (Static)
Member Since: October 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2156
240. seflagamma
7:15 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
correction I mean they drive "east" not west. I live on the east coast in Broward Ct. Sorry for any confusion.
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40954
239. seflagamma
7:13 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
tbar, welcome to our blog. Your family in Cape Corral is really close to the center of the cone for the SW Florida hit (from the last update I saw). I think Cape Corral is around Napels, correct? My neighbors Mom & Sister live in Cape Corral. Sometimes when they are under the gun, they drive west to our neighborhood; hoping the storm calms down coming across I75. The West coast does have more surge than east side does. Their surge goes much further inland also. I wold advise them all to really pay attention and get ready to leave tomorrow if necessary. Gamma
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40954
238. westcoastfla
7:09 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
good question tpabarb i live 30 miles north of tampa on the gulf would love to know what a northly turn could mean for us
Member Since: October 19, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 7
237. tbar87
7:06 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
I just found this site yesterday and have been reading the posts as i get time. Looks like a great place, i love it that everyone seems to know everyone.

My wife has family in Cape Corral FL. What does the outlook seem to be for that area and my Father is in Lakeland. They arent on the coast but were still battered pretty hard last year.

Thanks everyone
236. tpabarb
7:05 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
So if the storm is slowing, and going north, I see how that could be the turn, but is the fact that it's going north making it likely it will hit florida north of where it was originally anticipated? (I realize nobody really knows)

this blog is so addictive :)
Member Since: October 20, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 54
235. seflagamma
7:04 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
RiverLuvr,
I'm not ignoring you; I just cannot help you with theinformation you want. Perhaps Lefty can let you know something. He's from WV so you may want to go to his blog and ask him.
Good Luck.
Gamma
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40954
234. coastie24
6:56 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Have a safe trip Stormy..
233. RiverLuvr
6:55 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Ok guys, I am going to ask this again.....need opinions and discussion for the coast of NC, not just Outer Banks, looking at surge in the rivers. Ophelia gave us on the Neuse River, 24inchs in garage....If Wilma just brazes, what is guess for North Carolina coasts??
232. stormydee
6:51 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
well, gotta go...try to write in tomorrow before I leave :-)
Goodnight everyone
Member Since: August 25, 2005 Posts: 39 Comments: 517
231. palmbeacher
6:50 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
thanks all for the info.
I gotta go, be back on
later. Good luck everyone.
230. Hydrocvl
6:50 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
If we remember Ophelia, not even the 24 hr forecasted loops were close to what Ophelia did. The loop at the northeast of daytona never happened. Just slowed down enough to smooth out the curves for the next forecast run.
229. Hydrocvl
6:46 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
palmbeacher, it is after the turn. Still the speed is somewhat normal across the gulf, is the speed after crossing florida the one questionable. Currently plots at about 28MPH travel speed, florida to cape cod in one day.
228. krugman
6:44 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Palmbeacher...I would look for slight acceleration as it
exits the turn... kind of like a good nascar race...give
it another day or so. I couldn't help but chuckle at
our TV weather folks in S. FLgoing on about the GFDL's
run yesterday... Even Brian Norcross was calling for
another Mitch. I am a bit concerned abou the
northerly 'turn' it seems to be taking over the past few
hours. If it scoots thru the channel I may be putting up
shutters this weekend....best of luck
Krug
227. stormydee
6:43 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Well, it was either a 3 hour wobble north OR she is still trecking somewhat west (so NW would fit good)...god bless those souls!
Member Since: August 25, 2005 Posts: 39 Comments: 517
226. Cloudbreak
6:42 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
If this actually is a change in direction to the north, does anyone know if this means an earlier arrival for South Florida?
225. westcoastfla
6:42 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
7 DAYS where do you live?
Member Since: October 19, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 7
224. 7daysnopowerfrancis
6:36 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Our school district is more concerned with make up days than people's advance planning here. No big deal, I am sure we won't have school on Monday, oh wait, we were under a tropical storm warning with Rita, and we still had school......

Do you think it will rain tonight?
Member Since: October 17, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 387
223. NOLAinNC
6:36 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Can someone post the latest stats? Thanks! And thanks WU, this blog has been very helpful.
222. palmbeacher
6:34 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
ok, it has slowed down. Does anyone know when it
will pick up this speed I keep hearing? Is it after
it makes the turn?
221. Hydrocvl
6:32 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
True dcw, stormydee. Noticed the 1 pm report from nhc changed from west-northwest to northwest track. So it is changing some north, however down to 5 mph, for stall?.
220. Skyepony (Mod)
6:32 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
windnwaves, you seem to enjoy your free info on the web from our govt., well it's not free cause we pay for it with taxes. Anyway there are 2 bills (1 senete other house) that would put an end to all the wonderful info we are seeing here. One is to privitize. The accuweathers would get 1st dibs on showing us what they want for a price, there would be no more NWS, NOAA, etc.. web sites. No recon info. The other is a BAD section in a good bill that would allow congress behind closed doors to change privitazation & stop free flow info from Universities as well. Your right, if this passes we will be all paying more than $5 to play here. Click on my name above to find out more.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
219. palmbeacher
6:31 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
thanks for your thoughtfulness ric
218. NOLAinNC
6:29 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Bottled water is a scam unless you need
it for hurricane preps, that is!
217. oriondarkwood
6:28 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
code1,

I have, acutally I am starting my second year with wunderground (ie times paying the $5). I would be willing to pay double or triple a year for wunderground. Than the weather channel or Accuweather.

My only gripe (a minor one at that) is no firefox plug in like AccuWeather or a desktop application like weather channel (but then again most of the action is on the blogs)
Member Since: July 5, 2004 Posts: 51 Comments: 42
216. NOLAinNC
6:28 PM GMT on October 20, 2005
Whoa, a scam? As someone who owns
and operates a website, I can attest to
the fact that it costs money to provide
content, program features, maintain
features, host the site, protect the site,
store all these blogs and comments, etc.
etc. etc. They are also offering benefits
for your membership dues. Bottled water
is a scam, this is commerce. Just my 2 cents.
Plus they seem like nice folks.

Viewing: 266 - 216

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
27 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron