Twelve U.S. billion-dollar weather disasters in 2011 so far: NOAA

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 6:11 PM GMT on December 08, 2011

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The official tally of billion-dollar U.S. weather disasters in 2011 is now twelve, announced NOAA administrator Jane Lubchenco in a speech given yesterday at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco. This is the greatest number of billion-dollar weather disasters in U.S. history, besting the record of nine set in 2008. Dr. Lubchenco said that at least two additional disasters, the October 29 snowstorm in the Northeast, and the flooding from Tropical Storm Lee in early September, may surpass the $1 billion mark, by the time all damage estimates are tabulated. This would bring the 2011 tally to fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters, a truly astonishing level of destruction for one year. The damages from the twelve official billion-dollars disasters is $52 billion, making the 2011 the 4th most expensive year for billion-dollar weather disasters in history. Damage estimates from natural disasters are fraught with uncertainty, and it is not usual for different insurance companies to give damage estimates a factor of two different for the same disaster. Insurance broker AON Benfield estimates that there have been at least sixteen billion-dollar weather disasters in the U.S. so far in 2011, according to their November Catastrophe Recap report. Included in their tally, but not in NOAA's, are severe weather outbreaks on July 10 - 14 and August 18 -19 in the Plains that caused $1.25 billion and $1.1 billion in damage, respectively, plus $1 billion in damage from Tropical Storm Lee's floods, and $3 billion in damage from the October 28 - 30 snowstorm in the Northeast.


Figure 1. Billion-dollar U.S. weather disasters in 2011 as officially recognized by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in early December, 2011. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.

Jeff Masters

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258. PensacolaDoug
1:15 AM GMT on December 10, 2011


Patrap writes:

There are now 377 days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your Friday


Isn't there supposed to be some goofy word that starts with the letter "g" in your post Pat?
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 563
257. WeatherNerdPR
1:08 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
...new blog.
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5682
256. Skyepony (Mod)
1:00 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) - Floods and mudslides unleashed by torrential rains have caused at least eight deaths in Venezuela, a government official said Friday.

Thousands of families have left their homes to take refuge in government disaster shelters, Interior and Justice Minister Tareck El Aissami said.

Five people died in western Zulia state, while three others died in Caracas and adjacent Miranda state, El Aissami said.

President Hugo Chavez's government has ordered the military and rescue teams to be on alert in several regions of the country that have seen heavy rains this week. El Aissami said at a news conference that Chavez has been closely monitoring the government's efforts to help flood victims.

Heavy rains at the end of 2010 also forced tens of thousands of Venezuelans into shelters. Some are still in shelters nearly a year later, while others were moved into new public housing.

El Aissami said about 29,000 families are being housed in hundreds of shelters due to this week's rains and more than 1,000 homes have been seriously damaged.

He said the government is providing about $350 in cash assistance to each family. The government ordered schools closed due to the deluges.

Parts of neighboring Colombia have also been coping with floods. Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos toured flooded areas south of Bogota on Friday and promised assistance to those whose houses have been damaged.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
255. taistelutipu
12:51 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
Quoting PlazaRed:
229. taistelutipu
I am sticking my neck out a bit on this one regarding the "palm tree," but I am almost sure that it is not a palm tree, it is a type of yucca or similar.
In the village square in my village in Spain we have these plants and they have large bunches of white flowers on them in the late spring, they grow very slowly and sometimes the leaves which are single blade types have sharp spikes on them like a cactus. I have seen them with snow on them and they are not bothered by heavy frosts.
I'm sure somebody in the southern US or Mexico areas will know what they are but I don't think they are normal palm tree family which I think is related to grasses.


Fair enough, those in Largs are a rather small variety but have you looked at the other link with a proper tall palm tree growing in Eastern Scotland? With Britain's climate gradually warming we might see more of them.
Also, Manchester City Council plans to plant date palm trees in their parks. The article is from 2006 so I assume that they have done that already.

There are actually articles advising people on growing palm trees in their gardens and here's a choice of palm trees that are hardy enough to grow in Britain. You be the judge what actually counts as a palm tree and what doesn't. I'm not an expert on that. The Largs 'palm trees' seem to be of the Cordyline varieties.

British people seem to like a bit of 'holiday flair' in their gardens and at the coast we rarely have sub 0°C temperatures, so the palms / yuccas do very well.
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
254. Skyepony (Mod)
12:43 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
Polar Bear trying to push an icebreaker ship away..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
253. PlazaRed
12:27 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
From a programme I saw recently on BBC TV with a chap called Attenborough narrating it.
Something of interest and potentially far reaching consequences both in time and connected to possible sea rise.
Part of the programme covered the break up and dissolving of glaciers both in Greenland and the Antarctic.
Due to ice behaving as a very slow moving liquid it can be plugged, or its movements slowed, if the base of the glacier is locked to the seabed. Recently speculation has arisen that as large ice sheets break up along coasts then the ice masses behind them may flow much more quickly towards the sea than previously. It could of course refreeze to the seabed, slowing the increased flow speed but its thought that due to slightly warmer sea waters along the coasts it won't.
Bit of a long term plan so to speak but it is thought there is enough water locked up in these areas to raise the sea by over 100 meters,was stated in the programme.
Member Since: January 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2076
252. MrBoujangles
12:05 AM GMT on December 10, 2011
Quoting weatherbro:
Imagine if the currents reversed themselves...Is it possible?

I'm pretty sure the currents go Poleward on the western end of the basin due to the direction of the Earth's rotation, so I would say that no, it is not possible for them to reverse.
Member Since: May 10, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 20
251. FLWeatherFreak91
11:45 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Patrap:
"We are now very, very close to the attractor"

Terence McKenna

"We are coming close to a tremendous transformation,

and we are going to see it in our own lives,

something so rare and unique which has never happened before,

and will never happen again."



There are now 377 days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your Friday.
Do you follow him? He is the only guy I can stand to listen to hours on end. Too bad he's no longer with us.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3620
250. PlazaRed
11:35 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
229. taistelutipu
I am sticking my neck out a bit on this one regarding the "palm tree," but I am almost sure that it is not a palm tree, it is a type of yucca or similar.
In the village square in my village in Spain we have these plants and they have large bunches of white flowers on them in the late spring, they grow very slowly and sometimes the leaves which are single blade types have sharp spikes on them like a cactus. I have seen them with snow on them and they are not bothered by heavy frosts.
I'm sure somebody in the southern US or Mexico areas will know what they are but I don't think they are normal palm tree family which I think is related to grasses.
Member Since: January 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2076
249. Barefootontherocks
11:28 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting SPLbeater:


gots me a NOAA weather radio sitting 18" behind me, scares me sometimes when it goes off for warning lol. like wednesday, there were 2 severe T-storms that rored thru my area. (bow echoes)

Know what you mean. I don't know where you live but I live in Oklahoma and don't go anywhere without my friendly weather robot when severe might be in the air.

Have a good eve.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 153 Comments: 18617
248. hydrus
11:26 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Very well written post Jedkins. Post # 244.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
247. Neapolitan
11:15 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Jedkins01:


Well that's one of the reasons why I'm not really that big on the AGW deal.

The fact is, I don't care how bright of a scientist someone might be. It doesn't mean they don't have an agenda. We are all prone to agendas because human beings naturally struggle with selfishness and putting our ideas as foundation rather than seeking the actual truth. It makes it that much easier for someone in authority, because they have the experience and knowledge to speak with authority.


Its very easy for smart people to take real scientific data and use it to make people believe in an agenda. Remember, we learn in college how to persuade people to believe your argument, which is good if its used for good but not good if its not.

That being said, I don't think there is some huge conspiracy composed of fabricated data and lying scientists backing it. That is ridiculous, and paranoid to believe so. I'm sure the scientists believe it. But its pretty clear to me those who are so sure of AGW put a spin on things, so to speak.

There's no way we fully can be sure we know what will happen to the global climate as a result of man caused additives. The Earths climate is just too complex. There's nothing wrong with being into the science of trying to. But people must not speak as gods of science and climate. We are human, and as much as we've learned. To be human is to err. And thank God, if we learn to humble ourselves more and realize this, and work together more we would all accomplish scientific goals that much more efficiently.



There's is enough scientific data and research to make it clear man has done environmental damage that is significant. But we just don't know how it will effect things. Weather globally hasn't even followed claims that were made about GW even 5 years ago the way we thought. Therefore, the farther you go into the future, the more that will probably increase.


One thing we all should be able to agree on. Is that man has upset the balance of nature, and we no longer are ignorant of this, so we must learn yo be better swards of the earth. Its cruel and unloving, and downright foolish not to.

BTW, for any of you who might be going to FSU next fall for meteorology or who are already there. You never know, you might just run into me there! lol

Hey, Jed. The thing is, the planet is warming rapidly, and that's a fact that's been established through multiple independent lines of research, and across multiple scientific disciplines. And, as was shown again just this week, it's highly to very likely that our unimpeded burning of fossil fuel is to blame for between three-quarters of that warming and 100% of it. IOW, we humans are conducting a massive, unprecedented, and difficult-to-reverse thermal experiment on this, the only habitable planet our species has ever known. And that is "downright foolish" indeed.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13526
246. Patrap
11:10 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
245. WxGeekVA
10:52 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Jedkins01:


Well that's one of the reasons why I'm not really that big on the AGW deal.

The fact is, I don't care how bright of a scientist someone might be. It doesn't mean they don't have an agenda. We are all prone to agendas because human beings naturally struggle with selfishness and putting our ideas as foundation rather than seeking the actual truth. It makes it that much easier for someone in authority, because they have the experience and knowledge to speak with authority.


Its very easy for smart people to take real scientific data and use it to make people believe in an agenda. Remember, we learn in college how to persuade people to believe your argument, which is good if its used for good but not good if its not.

That being said, I don't think there is some huge conspiracy composed of fabricated data and lying scientists backing it. That is ridiculous, and paranoid to believe so. I'm sure the scientists believe it. But its pretty clear to me those who are so sure of AGW put a spin on things, so to speak.

There's no way we fully can be sure we know what will happen to the global climate as a result of man caused additives. The Earths climate is just too complex. There's nothing wrong with being into the science of trying to. But people must not speak as gods of science and climate. We are human, and as much as we've learned. To be human is to err. And thank God, if we learn to humble ourselves more and realize this, and work together more we would all accomplish scientific goals that much more efficiently.



There's is enough scientific data and research to make it clear man has done environmental damage that is significant. But we just don't know how it will effect things. Weather globally hasn't even followed claims that were made about GW even 5 years ago the way we thought. Therefore, the farther you go into the future, the more that will probably increase.


One thing we all should be able to agree on. Is that man has upset the balance of nature, and we no longer are ignorant of this, so we must learn yo be better swards of the earth. Its cruel and unloving, and downright foolish not to.

BTW, for any of you who might be going to FSU next fall for meteorology or who are already there. You never know, you might just run into me there! lol


Not next year, but the year after that maybe. That is, if I don't get into PSU...
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
244. Jedkins01
10:41 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting KoritheMan:


Personally, I think that the cold continents/warm arctic pattern is one that is likely to persist as the planet warms. I realize you are not a proponent of AGW, but I think it's an interesting concept to consider despite that.


Well that's one of the reasons why I'm not really that big on the AGW deal.

The fact is, I don't care how bright of a scientist someone might be. It doesn't mean they don't have an agenda. We are all prone to agendas because human beings naturally struggle with selfishness and putting our ideas as foundation rather than seeking the actual truth. It makes it that much easier for someone in authority, because they have the experience and knowledge to speak with authority.


Its very easy for smart people to take real scientific data and use it to make people believe in an agenda. Remember, we learn in college how to persuade people to believe your argument, which is good if its used for good but not good if its not.

That being said, I don't think there is some huge conspiracy composed of fabricated data and lying scientists backing it. That is ridiculous, and paranoid to believe so. I'm sure the scientists believe it. But its pretty clear to me those who are so sure of AGW put a spin on things, so to speak.

There's no way we fully can be sure we know what will happen to the global climate as a result of man caused additives. The Earths climate is just too complex. There's nothing wrong with being into the science of trying to. But people must not speak as gods of science and climate. We are human, and as much as we've learned. To be human is to err. And thank God, if we learn to humble ourselves more and realize this, and work together more we would all accomplish scientific goals that much more efficiently.



There's is enough scientific data and research to make it clear man has done environmental damage that is significant. But we just don't know how it will effect things. Weather globally hasn't even followed claims that were made about GW even 5 years ago the way we thought. Therefore, the farther you go into the future, the more that will probably increase.


One thing we all should be able to agree on. Is that man has upset the balance of nature, and we no longer are ignorant of this, so we must learn yo be better swards of the earth. Its cruel and unloving, and downright foolish not to.

BTW, for any of you who might be going to FSU next fall for meteorology or who are already there. You never know, you might just run into me there! lol
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
242. yqt1001
10:16 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting SPLbeater:
I HAVE A QUESTION FOR ALL KNOWLEDGABLE WEATHER JUNKIES AND COMPUTER GEEKS HERE.

how do i get my website to show up in google search?


You need to optimize your website meta code for search engines. From what I recall, your website is a webs website, which makes that impossible (I think).

Otherwise: Link
Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
241. SPLbeater
10:15 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
I HAVE A QUESTION FOR ALL KNOWLEDGABLE WEATHER JUNKIES AND COMPUTER GEEKS HERE.

how do i get my website to show up in google search?
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
240. SPLbeater
10:14 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
i am bored with no tropics. 70% of my weather interest is tropics, heh.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
239. SPLbeater
10:13 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


Have no idea. Posted all I know about the vid. May not be be an official government thing.

It is funny. Good to see you laugh.
:)


gots me a NOAA weather radio sitting 18" behind me, scares me sometimes when it goes off for warning lol. like wednesday, there were 2 severe T-storms that rored thru my area. (bow echoes)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
238. Barefootontherocks
10:11 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting SPLbeater:


LOL. nice. only part needs fixing is the 'happy holidays' in the corner. was that message broadcast on all the weather radios?


Have no idea. Posted all I know about the vid. May not be be an official government thing.

It is funny. Good to see you laugh.
:)
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 153 Comments: 18617
237. WxGeekVA
10:11 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Skyepony:
There is 50,000 in Scotland with no power due to weather, 30,000 in Nova Scotia, ~8,000 in Finland & Ireland was hammered. Volcano activity in Myanmar (Burma), an Eruption in Japan.


2012!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
236. Skyepony (Mod)
10:07 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
There is 50,000 in Scotland with no power due to weather, 30,000 in Nova Scotia, ~8,000 in Finland & Ireland was hammered. Volcano activity in Myanmar (Burma), an Eruption in Japan.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
235. SPLbeater
10:00 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Thanks to seflagamma and juslivin for discovering this and posting it at Gamma's wublog.

Holiday Greetings from your friendly NOAA Weather Radio Robot
:)



video credit: youtube user kb9mwr


LOL. nice. only part needs fixing is the 'happy holidays' in the corner. was that message broadcast on all the weather radios?
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
234. WxGeekVA
9:56 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Thanks to seflagamma and juslivin for discovering this and posting it at Gamma's wublog.

Holiday Greetings from your friendly NOAA Weather Radio Robot
:)



video credit: youtube user kb9mwr


LOL!!!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
233. weatherbro
9:46 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Imagine if the currents reversed themselves...Is it possible?
Member Since: May 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1290
232. Barefootontherocks
9:37 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Thanks to seflagamma and juslivin for discovering this and posting it at Gamma's wublog.

Holiday Greetings from your friendly NOAA Weather Radio Robot
:)



video credit: youtube user kb9mwr
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 153 Comments: 18617
231. bappit
8:37 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Get out! Palm trees in Scotland? Learn something new every day whether I want to or not. :)

Yep, east coast of North America is cooler than the west coast except for the effects of upwelling of cold water.

Found this in wikipedia:

"The northernmost native palm is Chamaerops humilis, which reaches 44°N latitude in southern France.[9] The southernmost palm is the Rhopalostylis sapida, which reaches 44°S on the Chatham Islands where an oceanic climate prevails.[9] Some palms, such as the Trachycarpus fortunei, grow well under cultivation as far north as over 50°N in oceanic climates (Ireland, Scotland and coastal British Columbia- Vancouver/ Vancouver Island)."
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6021
230. kellnerp
7:49 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
And speaking of disasters, I just ran across this: Chiefio. The Fukushima disaster was due in part to emergency generators getting stuck in a traffic jam.
Member Since: September 1, 2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
229. taistelutipu
7:41 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting bappit:

I'm doubtful they have palm trees growing on open ground in Scotland. Also, you might want to check this out.

Climate mythology: The Gulf Stream, European climate and Abrupt Change

"... the northward heat transport by the Gulf Stream is the reason why western Europe enjoys a mild climate, much milder than, say, that of eastern North America. This idea was actually originated by an American military man, Matthew Fontaine Maury, in the mid nineteenth century and has stuck since despite the absence of proof.

"We now know this is a myth, the climatological equivalent of an urban legend. In a detailed study published in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society in 2002, we demonstrated the limited role that ocean heat transport plays in determining regional climates around the Atlantic Ocean."


"We showed that there are three processes that need to be evaluated:

1. The ocean absorbs heat in summer and releases it in winter. Regions that are downwind of oceans in winter will have mild climates. This process does not require ocean currents or ocean heat transport.

2. The atmosphere moves heat poleward and warm climates where the heat converges. In additions, the waviness in the atmospheric flow creates warm climates where the air flows poleward and cold climates where it flows equatorward.

3. The ocean moves heat poleward and will warm climates where it releases heat and the atmosphere picks it up and moves it onto land.

"Using observations and climate models we found that, at the latitudes of Europe, the atmospheric heat transport exceeds that of the ocean by several fold. In winter it may even by an order of magnitude greater. Thus it is the atmosphere, not the ocean, that does the lion's share of the work ameliorating winter climates in the extratropics. We also found that the seasonal absorption and release of heat by the ocean has a much larger impact on regional climates than does the movement of heat by ocean currents."


Thank you for your reply. I admit that my comment on the Gulf Stream is out-dated, but that's what I was taught at school. Thanks for the link to catch up with modern science :) I have a question regarding Seager's paper: Does the argument of being downwind in winter and thus receiving the milder winds from the ocean also apply, e.g. to the West coast of Canada? Is it much milder than the East coast?

As for the palm trees: the caption under the picture says that it was shot at Largs at the West coast of Scotland so there are palm trees. Here's another picture of palm trees in Largs: Largs' seaside
It's the fourth picture from the bottom. This said, we also have palm trees here in Bangor, North Wales at latitude 53228' N.
There's also an article on BBC Scotland about a man who has a 22ft palm tree in his garden in Eastern Scotland, which is much rarer than at the West coast. (Apologies, the article also mentions the Gulf Stream as the source of the warmth)
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
228. N3EG
7:35 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Patrap:
Terence McKenna>


According to him, global warming means less psychedelic mushrooms.
Member Since: April 23, 2005 Posts: 38 Comments: 229
227. PlazaRed
6:51 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Thinking about:-219. Skyepony.
Records being broken etc.
I often fall into the way of thinking that what I am experiencing where I am is whats going on to the exclusion of other places. I'm in the UK for a while, so we have storms, wind records,etc.
I just did a quick calculation which may not be totally accurate but as most of the contributers are in the USA, then they have about one fifteenth of the worlds LAND area!{Including Alaska and the islands.} If records are being broken in similar proportions to the ones in the USA then we must look at up to 15 times the amount of records being broken on a global scale.
If I was a scientist with any kind of influence then I would be using it to the best of my abilities to get attention drawn to this.
Today's records might be tomorrows Norm.
Member Since: January 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2076
226. Patrap
6:29 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
225. Patrap
6:25 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
"We are now very, very close to the attractor"

Terence McKenna

"We are coming close to a tremendous transformation,

and we are going to see it in our own lives,

something so rare and unique which has never happened before,

and will never happen again."



There are now 377 days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your Friday.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128259
224. PlazaRed
6:22 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
These Climate Talks, in Durban are coming to an end and delegates are calling for capping the temperature rises at 2/c above pre industrial levels, there are a lot of links and stories about this today.
They talk about being in agreement about levels by 2020 and some sort of treaty thing by 2015. I'm sure lots of people will have read these reports.
What has to be taken into account is that even if all emissions of greenhouse gases were stopped now, it might be too late anyway as with the temperature rises that are being recorded then the world might be entering into an upward temperature spiral due to new emissions of gases which people can do nothing about as ice and permafrost melt.No doubt soon storms will start to rage across a newly melted arctic ocean, churning up all sorts of dormant sediments.
There is a strong possibility or probability that nothing can be done now to reverse the warming processes, more fires and droughts will add more gases, especially from arctic regions where they will burn unchecked.
Being realistic; you can't ask 7 billion people to suffer hardship voluntarily, the majority of them just won't listen but how can legislation work when we don't yet have enough of it? Quandary?
Member Since: January 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2076
223. WxGeekVA
6:03 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting weatherbro:


Actually we may get it sooner then you think. The QBO has just recently tanked both in the 30MB and 50MB range after being incredibly positive last month!

A sharply negative QBO typically corresponds to warming of the Stratospheric North Pole which in turn causes the AO/NAO to tank-creating a block over Greenland!

If the PNA coroperates, this should telleconnect to a nice pattern change come December 20th-23rd for a eastern 2/3rd of the U.S.

Now that we have sighns of blocking, it's not a question of if but when?


Just in time for a possible white Christmas!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
222. weatherbro
4:19 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Not anytime soon my friend.


Actually we may get it sooner then you think. The QBO has just recently tanked both in the 30MB and 50MB range after being incredibly positive last month!

A sharply negative QBO typically corresponds to warming of the Stratospheric North Pole which in turn causes the AO/NAO to tank-creating a block over Greenland!

If the PNA coroperates, this should telleconnect to a nice pattern change come December 20th-23rd for a eastern 2/3rd of the U.S.

Now that we have sighns of blocking, it's not a question of if but when?
Member Since: May 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1290
221. hydrus
4:19 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
220. hydrus
4:13 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Seasonal variation and annual decrease of Arctic sea ice volume as estimated by measurement backed numerical modelling.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
219. Skyepony (Mod)
3:53 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
In 2011, there were at least 2,941 monthly weather records broken in communities throughout the U.S., as detailed in a new interactive extreme weather mapping tool and year-end review released today by the Natural Resources Defense Council. The powerful web-based tool allows Americans to draw the connections between climate change (http://www.nrdc.org/globalwarming/climatebasics.a sp) and extreme weather in the cities and towns in which they live.

"From heat waves to floods to fires, 2011 was a year of extreme weather for communities throughout the United States. This alarming, yet illuminating data is indicative of what we can expect as climate change continues," said Kim Knowlton, NRDC Senior Scientist who spearheaded the development of the web-based tool. "Actions can be taken today to limit the worst effects of climate change. Our leaders need to make climate change preparedness a priority, if these events will be occurring more frequently and with more intensity."

The national survey provides a unique aggregation of state-by-state extreme weather, detailing a range of extreme weather events including record-breaking temperatures, rainfall and snowfall in each state. The survey found at least 1,302 heat-related records, 1,090 rainfall records and 549 snowfall records were broken in counties across the nation. Especially hard-hit regions include the Midwest and Northeast, which endured heavy flooding and the greater Texas region, which endured an extended period of wildfires, extreme heat and drought.

The damage caused by the unparalleled weather extremes of 2011 has cost an estimated $53 billion. Hurricane Irene and Midwest and Mississippi River flooding this summer amounted to over $20 billion in costs and nearly 60 deaths. Southwestern droughts, heat waves and wildfires took a toll on ranchers and food producers, who experienced over $10 billion total direct losses to agriculture, cattle and structures, this year alone. more here

Here is the extreme weather map & an easy way to tell congress to do something..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
218. hydrus
3:52 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Skyepony:
the rate of increase averaged about .0001 parts per million per year %u2013 in other words, one hundred parts per million every million years. Fossil fuel burning is now causing carbon dioxide concentrations to increase at two parts per million per year.


Quite an experiment we are putting our home in..


I've been wondering when the threat of meters of sea level rise by the end of the century would surface. Some field scientists were at my Great Uncle's beach a few years ago..They had been to Bermuda, Greenland to FL & had discovered that in the past there had been very sudden rises, painted a grim picture indeed.
Proof that the Cryosphere is melting at an alarming rate is irrefutable whether its man made or not, and I believe that as time goes by, this process will accelerate exponentially, providing that there is not some force of nature or cataclysmic event to prevent this trend from continuing. There are scientist who knew this would happen decades ago and they were ignored by many. Now soon we will see just true there predictions actually were.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
217. SPLbeater
3:45 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Been watching this feature. interestin seems
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
216. Skyepony (Mod)
3:42 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
94W

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
215. Skyepony (Mod)
3:25 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
the rate of increase averaged about .0001 parts per million per year – in other words, one hundred parts per million every million years. Fossil fuel burning is now causing carbon dioxide concentrations to increase at two parts per million per year.


Quite an experiment we are putting our home in..


I've been wondering when the threat of meters of sea level rise by the end of the century would surface. Some field scientists were at my Great Uncle's beach a few years ago..They had been to Bermuda, Greenland to FL & had discovered that in the past there had been very sudden rises, painted a grim picture indeed.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
213. Some1Has2BtheRookie
2:52 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting mistymountainhop:
Troll Alert: JFVlandsOnYou and NeapolitansSocialistAgenda



NeapolitansSocialistAgenda

What tipped you off on this one? LOL They may as well just announce as to why they are here and ignore themselves. ;-)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
212. hydrus
2:51 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Quoting Nekeopbarren:

Please flag, report, and ignore. TIA

Looking fairly dry over the next five days for the CONUS; according to the HPC's five day outlook:
And some more green over Texas...Which is good..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
210. hydrus
2:42 PM GMT on December 09, 2011
Wiki..Hurricane Martha (1969) on November 21, 1969. The system was a strong tropical storm at this time. It struck Panama, the only tropical system recorded to do so.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
208. SPLbeater
2:32 PM GMT on December 09, 2011

That 946 isnt forecast to weaken either. NOT GOOD
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.